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EUR/JPY 1H: Bullish Falling Wedge Breakout + Target 🧠 Overview of the Setup The EUR/JPY currency pair has recently completed a Falling Wedge pattern, a classic and powerful bullish reversal formation. This chart structure typically signals the end of a downtrend and the potential beginning of a strong upward impulse. In this setup, multiple confluences point toward a bullish move, including pattern breakout, structure shift, retest of a dynamic support level, and alignment with major supply/resistance zones. 🔍 Pattern Analysis: Falling Wedge Definition: A falling wedge is a technical pattern formed by two downward-sloping trendlines — one representing resistance and the other support — that converge. It signals a slowdown in bearish momentum, often preceding a bullish reversal. Chart Observation: The wedge is well-defined, spanning several trading sessions. As price action tightened toward the apex, bearish momentum began to weaken. Breakout Trigger: Price broke convincingly above the upper wedge boundary, suggesting the start of a bullish reversal. ✅ Implication: The breakout confirms that buyers have taken control, especially as this move is supported by a structural Change of Character (CHOCH). 📈 Price Action Structure & Key Zones 1. Minor Resistance (Broken) After the breakout, price encountered a minor resistance zone just above the wedge. This area is now likely to flip into support (a classic breakout retest). 2. Major CHOCH (Change of Character) A CHOCH indicates a break in market structure — from lower highs and lower lows to higher highs and higher lows. The break above this level confirms a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. 3. Curved Support (Black Min Curve) A rising curved trendline has formed below current price, acting as a parabolic support structure. This suggests not just a trend reversal, but increasing bullish momentum, as buyers step in at higher levels with each correction. 4. Major Resistance Zone (Target Area) Price Target: ~164.50 – 165.50 This zone has historically acted as strong supply and is marked for potential take-profit or observation for reversal signals. The target is derived from both horizontal resistance and the projected height of the wedge pattern. 🎯 Trading Strategy Component Details Entry Zone 162.50 – 162.60 (retest of minor resistance + curve support) Stop Loss Below 162.00 (beneath wedge and curve) Take Profit 164.50 – 165.50 (major resistance) Risk/Reward Approx. 1:2.5 to 1:3 🔸 Conservative Entry: Wait for bullish confirmation (bullish engulfing candle or pin bar) on the support retest. 🔸 Aggressive Entry: Market buy after confirmation of curve bounce or on lower timeframe bullish signals. 📊 Volume & Momentum Consideration Although volume isn’t shown on this chart, volume confirmation on the breakout would significantly strengthen the bullish bias. Look for: Increasing buy volume on breakout Lower sell volume on pullbacks Bullish divergence (if using RSI or MACD) ⚠️ Risk Management & Event Awareness Be cautious of unexpected JPY-related economic releases (e.g., BOJ announcements, inflation data) that may cause volatility. If the curved support is broken decisively, this could invalidate the setup, suggesting further consolidation or downside risk. 🧠 Psychological Perspective The Falling Wedge reflects a market where sellers are gradually losing control — pushing price lower, but with less conviction. As the wedge tightens, bulls prepare to step in. The breakout confirms that sentiment has shifted, and many traders use such setups as entry points for swing or momentum trades. The curved support line suggests a transition from accumulation to markup phase, which typically leads to faster price expansion as confidence in the uptrend grows. ✅ Summary ✅ Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish) ✅ Breakout: Confirmed with CHOCH ✅ Support: Curve trendline acting as dynamic support ✅ Target: 164.50 – 165.50 major resistance ✅ Bias: Bullish (until curve support is broken) 📣 Final Thoughts This is a high-probability bullish continuation setup backed by price structure, pattern breakout, and support alignment. The risk is well-defined, and reward potential is strong — making this a favorable setup for swing traders or short-term position traders. 💬 Let me know what you think in the comments — are you going long EUR/JPY? 👍 Like and Follow for more setups and breakdowns.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/GBP – Bearish Breakout Expected & Triangle Pattern + TargetThe EUR/GBP pair is currently consolidating within a well-defined symmetrical triangle pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, often considered a neutral pattern that precedes a breakout in either direction. However, when placed in context with the prevailing downtrend, surrounding key support/resistance zones, and price action behavior, this pattern strongly hints at a bearish continuation. This is a textbook setup where market compression within a triangle leads to a volatility expansion, offering traders a clear breakout structure with manageable risk and high reward potential. 🔺 Chart Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle A symmetrical triangle forms when the price creates lower highs and higher lows, converging toward an apex. This indicates market indecision or consolidation. The price is being squeezed between buyers and sellers, leading to reduced volatility. In the current EUR/GBP chart: The triangle is forming after a strong bearish impulse, which suggests the probability favors a breakout to the downside (trend continuation). The triangle’s boundaries are respected with multiple touches, increasing the reliability of the pattern. 🧭 Key Technical Levels: 🔴 Resistance Zone: The 0.84290 level has acted as strong resistance, capping bullish attempts multiple times. This zone aligns with the upper boundary of the triangle and the prior rejection point. 🟢 Support Zone: The 0.83915 - 0.83710 zone is a previous support structure that saw multiple reactions. This is the projected take-profit region if the breakdown follows through. 🔵 Breakout Retest Area: If price breaks the lower triangle trendline (~0.84100), a retest of the broken line may offer a high-probability short entry. This is a common occurrence in technical setups — former support becomes new resistance. 🧠 Market Psychology Insight: Triangle patterns often reflect a period of balance — bulls and bears are temporarily equal in strength. However, when the price is compressing inside a triangle after a strong directional move (in this case, downward), the market is typically building pressure to continue in the same direction. The inability of bulls to push past the resistance and the repeated rejection at lower highs is a psychological signal that buyers are weakening, and a bearish breakout is imminent. 📋 Bearish Trade Plan: Entry: After price breaks below the lower triangle boundary (~0.84100) and retests it. Enter on confirmation of bearish candle rejection or strong volume. Stop Loss (SL): Above resistance and triangle top: ~0.84290 This invalidates the setup if breached. Take Profits: TP1: 0.83915 — minor support zone and realistic first target. Final TP: 0.83710 — major support and historical price reaction level. Risk-Reward Ratio: With SL around 20 pips and TP1 around 30 pips, and TP2 near 50 pips, this setup offers an excellent risk-reward profile (>1.5 to 2.5 R:R). 📅 Upcoming Events & Volatility Watch: There are multiple economic events shown on the chart (Euro and UK flags). These could impact price action significantly: Eurozone announcements UK economic data releases Ensure you monitor the economic calendar and avoid entering just before high-impact events unless you're managing your trade closely. 📝 Final Thoughts: This is a high-probability breakout setup for swing or intraday traders who favor trading patterns with clear structure and back-tested success. The market is compressing, and the squeeze is tightening. Volume is likely to surge on breakout, especially during London or early US sessions. Keep in mind: Confirmation is crucial — wait for a decisive breakout and retest before committing capital. Risk management is non-negotiable — place SL logically beyond structure and respect it. 📌 If the breakout happens to the upside, reevaluate the bias and wait for fresh confirmation. The structure itself remains valid either way — it’s how price reacts at those boundary levels that will dictate the move.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USD Short Opportunity – Rising Wedge + Retest + TargetThis technical setup on EUR/USD (1H timeframe) highlights a potential high-probability short opportunity based on a combination of price action, chart patterns, and key structural levels. The pair is showing signs of weakening bullish momentum and preparing for a bearish continuation. 🔎 1. Pattern Analysis: Rising Wedge Formation The primary pattern visible is a Rising Wedge, which is traditionally a bearish reversal formation. It’s defined by: Higher highs and higher lows, but both trendlines are converging, suggesting weakening bullish control. Volume (not shown here) typically decreases within a rising wedge, further confirming a potential breakout. This wedge formed after a previous sharp bullish recovery, acting as a continuation structure that often reverses. In this case, the price formed multiple touches on both wedge boundaries, enhancing the reliability of the pattern. 🧱 2. Key Structural Zones: Minor Resistance Zone (~1.1270–1.1285): Clearly marked on the chart with a blue shaded zone. Price has reacted from this level multiple times, validating it as a supply area. The most recent attempt to break above this level failed, further confirming seller dominance. Consolidation Zone (highlighted in yellow): Prior to the wedge’s formation, price entered a consolidation phase. Consolidation often precedes a breakout or a trend reversal. In this case, it provided a base for the rally that formed the wedge. 🔁 3. Breakout and Retest: Price has broken below the lower support line of the rising wedge. This breakout is a bearish signal and suggests the pair may now be ready for a stronger downside move. The price appears to be retesting the broken wedge support, which is a classic confirmation move before continuation. Retests of broken structures often offer low-risk, high-reward entry opportunities. 🎯 4. Trade Plan and Setup: Entry Zone: Watch for bearish rejection or candle confirmation on the retest of the wedge support turned resistance. Stop Loss (SL): Positioned just above the resistance zone, at 1.12887, protecting the trade against false breakouts or reversals. Take Profit Levels: TP1 – 1.10649: This level is a strong support zone based on previous price action and structural significance. TP2 – 1.09670: The full measured move from the height of the wedge. This also aligns with historical support and psychological round number proximity (1.10). 🧠 5. Confluence Factors: Technical Pattern: Rising wedge = bearish. Support/Resistance: Multiple reactions to both the resistance zone and wedge trendlines confirm market memory. Price Action: Break + retest = ideal entry confirmation. Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable, especially with conservative TP1 and aggressive TP2 levels. Macro Context (optional): If posted during news week – potential USD strength based on rate expectations, NFP, or inflation. ⚠️ 6. Risk Management Tips: Use a position size that aligns with your account risk tolerance (1–2% rule). Wait for confirmation (bearish engulfing candle or rejection wick) before entering. Always be prepared for invalidation. If price closes above the resistance zone, this idea is voided.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
JPY/USD Rising Wedge Pattern Formed | Retest & Move To Target🧠 Overview: The JPY/USD pair has recently exhibited a Rising Wedge Pattern, a classic technical formation known for its bearish implications. This pattern has developed over several days of bullish price action, showing diminishing bullish momentum as price action narrows. The wedge is forming right beneath a minor resistance zone, increasing the likelihood of a potential rejection and breakdown. This setup is particularly noteworthy due to the multiple layers of confluence supporting the bearish bias. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: 📌 1. Rising Wedge Formation A rising wedge is often considered a bearish reversal pattern, especially after a strong uptrend. As seen on the chart, price is respecting both the upper and lower bounds of the wedge, but with a loss of bullish momentum, indicated by shallower highs. This tightening price action hints at indecision and likely exhaustion from buyers. 📌 2. Minor Resistance Zone Price has approached a previous structure high where strong selling interest was seen before. This zone has already rejected price once, acting as a supply area. The repeated failure to break above reinforces the strength of this resistance. 📌 3. SR Interchange (Support Turned Resistance) Below the current price action, there's a well-defined Support-Resistance Flip Zone (SR Interchange). Previously a strong demand area, this zone may now act as a new resistance if price breaks below and retests it. This is a key area where sellers are likely to step in again. 📌 4. Break & Retest Structure As price begins to break the lower wedge boundary, the next move we anticipate is a retest of the broken wedge trendline. This retest, if confirmed by rejection candles (such as bearish engulfing or pin bars), would present an ideal entry opportunity for short positions. 🎯 Trade Plan & Price Levels: 💼 Bearish Scenario Entry Point: Wait for a successful retest of the broken wedge line (confirmation via price action: bearish engulfing or pin bar). Stop Loss: Above the recent swing high or above the wedge resistance (~0.006920). Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.006845 – First key support zone. Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.006807 – Next major support / liquidity zone. 🧩 Why This Setup Makes Sense: ✅ Multiple Confluences: Bearish wedge structure = reversal pattern. Resistance zone = psychological and technical rejection. SR Interchange = confirms institutional selling interest. Retest confirmation = high-probability entry. Target zones = based on recent support levels and market structure. 🛑 Risk Management: Risk-to-reward ratio favors short positions if executed after retest. Avoid jumping in early — wait for confirmation. Proper stop loss is key to avoiding false breakouts or premature entries. 📊 Summary: This is a textbook bearish setup with strong technical backing. The rising wedge pattern, when combined with resistance and retest zones, offers a great shorting opportunity — assuming price respects the pattern. Patience will be crucial here; wait for the break, the retest, and the confirmation before entering. 🔔 What to Watch: Price behavior near the lower wedge boundary. Reaction on retest — do bulls defend or do bears take over? Confirmation from volume or price action (engulfing candles, rejection wicks). Any fundamental catalysts or USD-related news. ✍️ Final Thoughts: This is a well-structured short setup on the JPY/USD 1H chart. Wedges often deceive with temporary breakouts before reversing hard — so discipline, timing, and confirmation will be key. If the market respects this technical structure, we could see a clean drop toward our projected targets.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
XAGUSD Triangle Pattern Forming – Breakdown on the Horizon?🧠 Technical Analysis – XAG/USD Silver (XAG/USD) has entered a compression phase, forming a classic Symmetrical Triangle Pattern within a broader Black Mind Curve structure, which adds additional psychological and visual significance. These patterns, when paired together, often signal a build-up of volatility ahead of a powerful breakout. 🔍 Pattern Explanation: Triangle + Black Mind Curve Symmetrical Triangle Pattern: This pattern is marked by converging trendlines of higher lows and lower highs. It reflects indecision between bulls and bears — a tug-of-war where volatility decreases as price coils into the apex. Black Mind Curve Structure: The curved support and resistance arcs highlight a rounded structure often seen before large breakout moves. These curves create an intuitive framework for understanding how the market is behaving on a broader scale — the "mind of the market" if you will. 🔺 Curve Resistance: Acting as a ceiling suppressing bullish attempts. 🔻 Curve Support: The dynamic floor that has held price within bounds until now. 📉 Breakout & Retest Phase in Play The triangle has now been breached to the downside, and price is currently in the retest phase — a textbook behavior before continuation. The market is now revisiting the lower boundary of the triangle (~$32.30–$32.40), which is potentially flipping into resistance. This retest is critical: if price fails to reclaim the triangle and gets rejected, it strengthens the case for further downside. We’ve also seen a slight uptick in bearish momentum and volume on the initial breakdown. 🎯 Projected Price Targets We apply the measured move technique, which calculates the triangle’s height and projects it downward from the breakout point: TP1: $31.68 – A short-term support level and the first technical target. TP2: $31.12 – Measured move target and key demand zone from the past week. These levels are not arbitrary — they align with both psychological round numbers and historical structure zones, which often act as magnets for price. 📌 Why This Setup Matters This isn’t just a triangle breakout. The confluence of the triangle pattern and the Black Mind Curve framework suggests a psychologically significant shift is underway. Price has respected the curved structure for nearly two weeks. The triangle represents compression — the final phase before directional expansion. The false breakout risk is real, but the context (bearish trend leading in, lower highs, failed rallies) favors a downward continuation. 💡 Trade Setup Idea (Example Only) Parameter Value 🧩 Pattern Symmetrical Triangle ⏳ Phase Retesting after breakdown 🎯 Entry On bearish confirmation at ~$32.30 ❌ Stop Loss Above triangle upper bound (~$32.65) ✅ TP1 $31.68 ✅ TP2 $31.12 ⚖️ Risk/Reward 1:2 or better Note: Wait for clear rejection candlesticks (e.g., bearish engulfing, shooting star) to confirm bearish intent. ⚠️ Risk Management & Considerations Avoid premature entries — wait for candle confirmation on the retest zone. Adjust lot size and leverage according to personal risk tolerance. Remember: triangle patterns can break either way — monitor invalidation levels carefully (e.g., a breakout back into triangle with strong volume). 💬 Mindset & Market Psychology This triangle and curve setup mirrors a battle between consolidation and trend continuation. The curves represent the market’s subconscious behavior — as price rounds out and tests boundaries, the final breakout reveals collective trader sentiment. “Patterns are footprints of psychology. Trade the behavior, not the prediction.” Be the trader who waits for the story to unfold. Let structure speak before you act. ✅ In Summary 📌 Pattern: Triangle inside Black Mind Curve 🔍 Key Levels: $32.30 (retest), $31.68 (TP1), $31.12 (TP2) 📉 Bias: Bearish, with potential continuation after retest rejection ⏱️ Timeframe: 1H – Suitable for intraday to short-term swing trades 💬 What do you think – is Silver ready to break down, or will bulls reclaim control? Drop your analysis below! Like & follow for more smart technical setups every week.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Setup on Gold (XAUUSD)Gold traders, pay attention! We’re watching a textbook triangle pattern unfolding on the 1-hour timeframe for XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) — and the breakout could be just around the corner. Let’s break down what’s happening technically and why this setup could offer a high-probability opportunity. 🔺 Pattern Overview: Triangle Formation We’ve got a clear symmetrical triangle pattern developing — marked by converging trendlines of lower highs and higher lows. This type of structure often signals a buildup of pressure, a “coiling spring” waiting to explode in one direction. These patterns don’t last forever, and based on recent price action, we’re approaching the apex — which means a breakout is likely imminent. 📌 Key Technical Elements 🔷 1. Minor Resistance Zone A minor resistance zone lies just above the upper triangle boundary. This area has previously acted as a ceiling where sellers stepped in. A decisive candle close above this level would confirm a breakout — turning this resistance into a potential new support. 🔷 2. Retesting Zone After a breakout, it's common to see a retest of the breakout level. The chart anticipates this scenario with a projected pullback to the triangle edge. If price respects this zone and forms bullish candlestick patterns (like a bullish engulfing or pin bar), it could provide an ideal entry point with lower risk. 🔷 3. Black Mind Curve Support There’s a curved support line acting as dynamic support beneath the triangle. This "Black Mind Curve" reflects broader market psychology — it's the path where bulls might step in again if price dips. It adds a second layer of confluence support for this trade setup. 📍 SL & Risk Management The chart also defines a clear Stop Loss (SL) level around $3,205 — placed slightly below both the triangle’s lower boundary and the curved support. This is a sensible location to minimize downside while allowing room for minor volatility. 🛡️ Pro tip: Always risk only a small percentage of your account per trade — ideally 1-2%. 🎯 Projected Target: $3,342 If the breakout plays out as expected, the projected move targets the $3,342 level. This aligns with: The height of the triangle projected from the breakout point (measured move) Previous horizontal resistance and Fibonacci extension zones This offers a strong risk-to-reward ratio, especially if entry is timed during the retest phase. 🧠 Market Psychology Insight What’s happening under the surface? Bulls are gradually stepping up, making higher lows. Bears are losing steam as each push down is weaker than the last. Volume is likely compressing, indicating a buildup of energy. Once one side gains control (likely bulls based on this setup), a sharp impulsive move is expected. 💡 How to Trade This Setup Wait for confirmation: Look for a strong bullish breakout candle above the triangle & minor resistance. Entry Options: Breakout entry on confirmation candle Retest entry near triangle top (lower risk, better R:R) Set SL below the triangle & curve (~$3,205) Target: First take-profit at $3,280; second at $3,342+ 📣 Final Thoughts: This setup is a powerful blend of technical structure, support dynamics, and clear breakout potential. While nothing is guaranteed in trading, this is a high-quality formation that deserves a spot on your watchlist. Let the market show its hand — don’t rush the entry. Wait for confirmation, manage your risk, and let the probabilities do the heavy lifting. 🔖 Tags: #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #TrianglePattern #PriceAction #ForexTrading #BreakoutTrade #SwingTrade #TradingViewIdeas #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldBreakout #RiskManagement
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
2025-05-19 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bulls finally got their retest and a higher high. Now is decision time. Can we do another leg up or is this a bull trap and we finally reverse for a deeper pullback over the next days? I heavily favor the latter but for now bears are nowhere to be seen and until then, looking for shorts is suicide. 24300 could be the potential next target if we continue in the bull channel on the 1h chart. current market cycle: broad bull channel key levels: 23000 - 24300 bull case: Bulls got 24000 and we are in a perfect channel upwards. Trade it until broken. I will only scalp this and if we break above this channel or go beyond 24300, it will be without me. Invalidation is below 23300. bear case: I see the odds of this becoming a late bull trap greater than another leg up but so far, bears are doing nothing, so do not look for shorts. Only below 23700 is the current channel broken and we test 23600 next. Below that, 23400 would be next but we closed at the highs and thinking about anything below 23700 is senseless for now. Invalidation is above 24130. short term: Neutral. Pullbacks will likely be good long opportunities until we see bigger selling pressure. Bulls in full control but I will not buy the highs. medium-long term from 2025-05-11: So here is my very rough guess about the next months. This short squeeze is clearly overdone and global macro stuff has most likely already deteriorated a great deal. Down to 20000 over the next weeks and form a big trading range. Up through October-Year end. Zero thought about a new bull trend above 24000 or that we have seen the lows for either 2025 or 2026. Good question is always, “How would you allocate 100k right now?”. 50% short dax, 25% of it levered/options and with the rest I would scalp. trade of the day: Buying Friday’s low at 23788 and hold at least for gap close. The move up was strong enough to continue to hold and market has printed 6 consecutive 1h bull bars.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
WTI Update | Oil CrashSince the last update we were able to perform about two to three swing trades. One from $70 - $79, and from $79 to $68. The next move I'm looking for is another short position from current market price ~($62) to swing to the next major low $33. We saw a rejection last week and we're currently pulling back to retest the little selloff we had. Could say this next local move will look to selloff mid week making its way back to $57 which would be a nice short term swing. The $33 target would be the long term swing of course and moving on I would like to see a break below $57 and a retest.
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by Nathanl19
NZDJPY: Another Bullish Confirmation 🇳🇿🇯🇵 If you remember, I already posted a bullish outlook for NZDJPY on Friday. This morning, I spotted one more intraday bullish confirmation. I see a breakout of a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on an hourly time frame. I expect a bullish movement at least to 85.9 level soon. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
EUR/USD – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout & Bullish Continuation🔍 Overview The EUR/USD pair has presented a classic and high-probability trading setup based on a symmetrical triangle formation, which recently experienced a bullish breakout. This pattern has formed after a period of compression and consolidation, creating a coiled spring scenario. Technical traders often watch for such breakouts as they signal the resumption of momentum with clear entry, stop-loss, and target zones. This chart combines pattern recognition, key price action levels, psychological curve mapping, and structured trade planning. Let’s dive deeper into each component. 🧱 1. Chart Structure and Pattern Analysis 🔷 Symmetrical Triangle Formation A symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern formed when price action contracts between two converging trendlines. This represents market indecision — both buyers and sellers are cautious, gradually narrowing the price range. In this setup, the triangle has been forming since May 11, 2025, with a visible tightening of price action. The chart shows well-respected upper and lower trendlines, confirmed with multiple touches on both sides. 🔼 Breakout Confirmation A breakout occurred from the triangle's upper boundary around May 19, with a strong bullish candle closing above the structure. Breakouts from symmetrical triangles often lead to sharp movements due to built-up pressure during the consolidation phase. The volume typically expands at breakout zones (although volume is not displayed, price behavior implies it). 🔁 Retesting Area Price may revisit the broken trendline (previous resistance → now support) for a retest before continuing higher. This "retesting area" provides an ideal entry for those who missed the initial breakout. Retests validate the breakout and confirm buyer strength. 🧱 2. Key Levels and Market Dynamics 🔻 Minor Resistance Zone (~1.13700–1.14100) This zone has previously acted as a supply area where sellers pushed price down multiple times. Price may hesitate or range within this area before breaking higher. If bulls maintain control, breaking through this resistance zone will add confirmation to the bullish momentum. 📈 Target Projection: 1.14662 The target is derived by measuring the height of the triangle and projecting it from the breakout point. It also aligns with a previous horizontal resistance level and psychological round number area. This zone could act as a medium-term profit-taking level for swing traders. 🧠 3. Black Mind Curve – Market Psychology in Play The "Black Mind Curve" is a representation of anticipated market sentiment and price flow. It reflects a wave-like journey post-breakout — early breakout, pullback, bullish continuation, minor consolidation, and final push toward the target. Such curves are used to forecast crowd behavior patterns, capturing how traders typically react post-breakout: 📌 Initial breakout ➜ Profit taking ➜ Retest ➜ Re-entry ➜ Final impulsive move. 🧮 4. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan ✅ Trade Setup Entry: Breakout Entry (already active) OR Retest Entry near the triangle’s upper boundary for conservative traders. Stop-Loss (SL) : Placed just below the triangle’s lower boundary at 1.11726. This level invalidates the breakout and prevents deeper drawdowns. Take-Profit (TP): Final target at 1.14662, offering excellent risk-to-reward potential. 📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Depending on the entry (breakout or retest), the RR can range from 1:2.5 to 1:3.5, which is ideal for swing or short-term position traders. 📚 5. Educational Insight This pattern illustrates the importance of: Price compression zones (triangles and wedges) as precursors to momentum trades. Confirmation via breakout candles before entering high-conviction setups. Patience during retests, which allow re-entries with defined risk and improved pricing. Blending technical structure with psychological forecasting to stay aligned with market sentiment. 🔚 Conclusion EUR/USD is showing a technically sound and psychologically supportive setup for bullish continuation. The symmetrical triangle has broken with strength, and price is heading toward key resistance with momentum. If you're already long — consider holding until the target is hit or trailing stops to protect profits. If you're not in yet — watch for a retest to join the move with precision. 🔔 Always remember to manage risk effectively. No setup is guaranteed, but trading based on structure, confluence, and price behavior improves your edge
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
BTCUSD Rectangle Pattern Breakout + Bearish Retest & Target🧩 Chart Overview This chart captures a well-defined rectangle continuation pattern forming within a rising channel on the 1-hour timeframe. This setup is a classic combination of horizontal and diagonal price structure interaction, offering valuable insights into potential market behavior and trade opportunities. 🧱 Structure Breakdown Rectangle Pattern: Price action was trapped in a sideways consolidation phase between the resistance zone (~104,800 - 105,400) and the support zone (~101,200 - 101,800). This rectangle followed a strong bullish rally, which often implies a continuation pattern. However, the lack of follow-through from bulls near the resistance led to repeated failures to break out, suggesting weakening momentum. Rising Channel: Within this rectangle, price respected a rising trendline support and resistance structure, forming a parallel ascending channel. Bearish Breakout: The significant event occurred when BTC broke down below both the horizontal support of the rectangle and the lower boundary of the rising channel, triggering a structural shift from bullish to bearish. 🔁 Retesting Phase – What’s Happening Now After the breakdown: Price pulled back toward the prior support zone, which is now acting as resistance (a classic example of the support-turns-resistance principle). This is commonly referred to as a retest, which validates the breakout and offers a lower-risk entry point for traders looking to short. The retest area (around 101,500 - 102,000) is crucial. If price fails to reclaim this level and prints bearish confirmation (e.g., rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle), it increases the probability of downward continuation. 🎯 Trade Setup (Short Bias) Entry Zone: 101,500 – 102,000 (on retest rejection confirmation) Stop Loss: Above 103,000 (above prior highs and invalidation point) Target 1 (TP1): 99,347 – key psychological and horizontal support level from prior structure Target 2 (TP2): 97,277 – measured move of the rectangle height projected downward, aligning with previous demand area This setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio, assuming proper trade management and confirmation-based entry. 📊 Additional Technical Confluences Bearish Momentum: The aggressive breakdown candle shows strong seller interest and increased volatility. Volume: If confirmed with high selling volume during the breakdown and low buying volume during the retest, the move gains more credibility. Trend Reversal Signals: The break of the channel and the rectangle support indicates potential trend reversal from short-term bullish to bearish. RSI & Momentum Indicators (optional): Traders may use tools like RSI or MACD to confirm momentum shifts during retest. 📉 Psychological and Price-Level Significance 101,500 was a strong intraday support zone throughout the consolidation phase. Once broken, it flips polarity and acts as resistance. The round-number level of 100,000 is always a psychological magnet for BTC. It often acts as a bounce or breakout zone, so traders should watch price behavior near this area closely. Deeper demand may emerge around 97,000 – 96,500, which can serve as an extended target or reaccumulation zone depending on broader market conditions. ⚠️ Risk Management & Final Thoughts This setup is high-probability only if the retest confirms rejection. Avoid early entries or assumptions before confirmation. Always use proper stop-loss placement to avoid whipsaws or fake-outs. Manage position sizing based on account size and risk tolerance. News events or macro data can override technicals, so be aware of upcoming economic releases or sentiment shifts. 🧵 Conclusion Bitcoin is showing clear signs of short-term weakness following the breakdown of a long-standing consolidation range within a rising channel. The ongoing retest provides an ideal area for short positioning, with clearly defined invalidation and profit targets. ✅ If bears defend the retest zone, expect downside continuation toward 99.3K and possibly 97.2K.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD – Triangle Pattern Forming with Breakout PotentialThe price of Gold (XAU/USD) has recently gone through a structural shift, transitioning from a strong downtrend to a phase of market consolidation. This transition is clearly visible on the 1H chart where price has formed a symmetrical triangle, which generally signals price compression and often precedes a large breakout in either direction. The most recent significant downtrend came to a halt near a well-identified support zone around the $3,157 level. This level aligns with previous reactions, and the price sharply rebounded from this demand area—indicating strong buyer interest and liquidity absorption. Following this, the market has shown higher lows and lower highs, compressing into a tight range that is forming the triangle pattern. 📐 Technical Structure Breakdown: 🔸 Symmetrical Triangle Pattern A classic consolidation pattern. Formed by converging trendlines—one sloping down (resistance) and one sloping up (support). This triangle signifies market indecision between buyers and sellers. Volume is decreasing, which is typical in triangle formations and suggests a breakout is nearing. 🔸 Trendline Breakout & CHoCH (Change of Character) The earlier bearish trendline was broken, indicating a change in the short-term trend bias. The CHoCH label on the chart signals the point where bearish market structure was invalidated by a bullish rally, shifting momentum toward buyers. 🔸 Support Zone ($3,157) This zone served as the springboard for the current bullish impulse. Price wicked into this level multiple times and formed long lower shadows, confirming buyer absorption. Acts as the last line of defense for bulls if price retraces after a fakeout or failed breakout. 🔸 Major Resistance Zone ($3,393) This level is derived from historical supply, where sellers previously overwhelmed buyers. Now identified as the target zone in case of a successful bullish breakout from the triangle. A breakout above the triangle would likely trigger buy-side liquidity up to this resistance area. 🔄 Trade Scenario Planning ✅ Bullish Breakout Setup: Entry: Above upper triangle boundary (aggressive) or after successful retest (conservative). Confirmation: Break and close above triangle with volume. Target: $3,393 (major resistance zone). Stop Loss: Below last higher low inside triangle or breakout candle low. Risk-to-Reward: Favorable if managed properly from triangle base. ❌ Bearish Breakdown Scenario: Entry: Below triangle support trendline or upon hitting marked Sell Stop at ~$3,223. Confirmation: Strong bearish candle closing below the triangle with rising volume. Target: $3,157 support zone (first target), lower if momentum continues. Stop Loss: Just above the breakdown candle or inside triangle top. This provides a hedge setup if the market traps breakout buyers. 📉 Curve Zone & Parabolic Projection: A curve zone has been drawn to simulate a potential parabolic move to the upside. If price respects the curve, we might witness accelerated buying once the breakout confirms. This is a visual guide to monitor momentum alignment with volume and RSI. 📊 Conclusion: The market is currently in a compressed volatility phase within the triangle. Price is winding up and preparing for a large move. The setup provides a dual-opportunity strategy, allowing traders to position for either direction, depending on which side breaks first. Key levels of support and resistance are clearly defined, and risk can be tightly managed around the breakout points. This triangle pattern, coupled with a prior CHoCH and clear curve trajectory, gives a strong technical bias for a bullish breakout, but always stay alert for fakeouts and liquidity grabs, especially before big economic news. 🔔 Trading Notes: Watch for breakout volume and RSI divergence. Avoid entering prematurely—confirmation is key. Use alerts at breakout levels. Be aware of fundamental catalysts (e.g., USD news, Fed decisions, geopolitical tensions).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Cup and Handle Breakout | Strong Trend Reversal in PlayNSE:PREMEXPLN Analysis: This chart showcases a classic "Cup and Handle" breakout pattern — a powerful bullish reversal setup. After a prolonged downtrend, the stock formed a rounded base, retested the neckline zone near ₹500, and broke out with strong momentum and volume. Trendline Breakout: A long-term descending trendline has been broken, signaling a trend reversal. Cup Formation: A smooth, rounded bottom formed over several months indicates accumulation and base-building. Breakout Confirmation: A sharp breakout above the neckline resistance (around ₹500–₹510) with volume confirms the breakout. Target Levels: Price has already moved toward ₹606 and is now approaching ₹678 — the measured move target from the depth of the cup. Trade Setup: Entry: Ideal entry was near breakout of ₹510. Targets: ₹606 (hit), ₹678 (approaching). Stop-loss: Below ₹500 or trailing below recent swing lows for momentum trades. Outlook: The chart signals a strong reversal and momentum continuation. If ₹678 is broken, further upside potential opens up. HAPPY TRADING !!
NSE:PREMEXPLNLong
by thetradeforecast
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