EURUSD - Where to next?I managed to catch a nice 1:21 RR on EU
I am now triggered into a long position taking price back up to the previous highs and potentially beyond.
Price is at a very key area on the HTF and we are at a key area of Supply.
As price sits I'm still expecting it to continue higher, however, if we break the 4HR orderflow to the downside there is a strong possibility price will move lower.
We will keep an eye on this one this week!
Priceaction
USDJPY Pullback? Watch OB + Fib Confluence for the Next Buy WaveUSDJPY | 30-Min Chart – Smart Money Buy Setup in Progress
After a sharp bullish rally, USDJPY is setting up for a classic retracement buy scenario. We're now watching a key confluence zone between Fibonacci levels, a bullish order block, and internal trend structure — all lining up for a high-probability long setup.
🔍 Trade Breakdown:
📉 Pullback Expected Before Next Rally:
Price rejected near short-term resistance and is retracing from local highs.
Retracement aligns with key OB + 61.8–79% Fib zone = institutional entry zone.
🟣 Order Block (OB) Demand Zone: 143.086 – 142.828
Last bullish candle before explosive rally = demand OB.
OB sits within premium Fib retracement = Smart Money buy zone.
📐 Fibonacci Levels (Swing Low to High):
61.8% ≈ 143.200
70.5% ≈ 143.000
79% ≈ 142.828
This is the kill zone for institutional longs — where Smart Money typically enters before expansion.
🔵 Projected Play:
Retracement to OB/Fib confluence.
Bullish rejection from OB zone.
Impulse move targeting previous highs and beyond.
💡 Target Level: 144.396 (sits just above prior high and aligns with -27% Fib extension)
📉 Current Bias:
Short-term retracement ➝ Mid-term bullish continuation
Expecting price to dip into OB then launch.
🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan:
🔹 Entry Zone: 143.086 – 142.828
🔻 SL Below: 142.650 (below OB/Fib + structure wick)
📈 Target: 144.396
⚖️ RRR: 1:3+ — high confluence risk-managed buy
🔍 Technical Confluence Checklist:
✅ OB demand zone
✅ 61.8–79% retracement
✅ Bullish market structure
✅ Internal channel support
✅ Momentum slow before entry
📍 Save this chart — don’t chase, let price come to you
💬 Comment if you're watching this OB too
👣 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for precision-based setups daily
BTCUSD at Decision Point – Rejection or Breakout Ahead? (4H)Bitcoin is currently trading around $103,500, and the price action is presenting a textbook technical scenario with multiple confluences. This chart is rich in structure — from rejection zones and trendlines to channel breakdowns and historical support retests — making it a critical area for traders to observe.
🔍 1. Previous Reversal Zone
The chart shows that Bitcoin previously faced a strong rejection near the $110,500–111,000 level. This created the first lower high, signaling the end of bullish momentum and the start of a trend shift. Every subsequent touch of that zone resulted in rejection, confirming it as a major supply zone.
📉 2. Descending Trendline – Dynamic Resistance
After multiple failed attempts to break above, price has formed a clean descending trendline that is acting as dynamic resistance. Each touch along this trendline has led to a short-term selloff, and price is now approaching this line again, near the Next Reversal Zone.
📌 This confluence increases the probability of another rejection unless there's a strong bullish breakout with volume.
📊 3. Bearish Channel & Breakdown
Before the recent fall, Bitcoin was trading inside a small bearish channel. This type of consolidation often results in continuation — which we saw with the downside breakout. This breakdown also increased bearish momentum and pushed BTC into the major support area.
🧊 4. Major Support Zone – The Battle Ground
Marked around the $101,000–102,000 range, this zone has acted as a strong demand area multiple times. The most recent bounce suggests that buyers are still active here. This could be the last defense for bulls in the short term.
🧠 If this zone breaks, we could see price falling toward the psychological level of $100,000 or even lower.
🌀 5. Ellipse Zone – Accumulation Structure
Early on the chart, an ellipse highlights a horizontal accumulation zone where price moved sideways before breaking out upward. This shows how smart money often enters during quiet phases before explosive moves. Watching for similar signs can provide strong trade setups.
🔄 6. Next Reversal Zone – Watch Closely
Price is now approaching the Next Reversal Zone near $104,500–105,000, which aligns perfectly with the descending trendline. This is a high-probability rejection zone where traders should be watching for bearish confirmations like wicks, pin bars, or bearish engulfing candles.
📌 Two Possible Scenarios
🟥 Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
Price touches the Next Reversal Zone and gets rejected.
We could see a drop back to the Major Support Zone.
If support breaks, expect a move toward $100K–99K in the coming sessions.
🟩 Bullish Scenario (Low Probability Without Volume):
Price breaks and closes above the trendline with strong bullish candles and increased volume.
In that case, BTC could rally toward the $107K–108K resistance and potentially flip the trend bullish.
💡 Trading Insight:
Fridays usually have low volume, leading to unexpected wicks and false breakouts. That’s why it’s important to:
Use small lot sizes
Wait for confirmations
Avoid overtrading before weekend closes
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This is a classic setup — consolidation after trend, rejection zones, trendline resistance, and strong support areas all in one chart. Whether you’re a price action trader or a structure-based analyst, this chart offers a powerful decision point.
Stay patient. Let the market reveal its hand. The next few candles around this trendline will likely dictate the next 1–3 day direction for BTC.
GU-Fri-6/06/25 TDA-This week mostly after news driven PA!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
PA= price action
This week unless you're good fundamental
analyst or taking good advantage of fundamental news,
it was not easy to trade normal price action. (at least for me)
Since I trade only London session, and majority of moves
happen in NY session after news release.
This week was not the best for me, keeping myself low risk
max medium risk trades.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GJ-Fri-6/06/25 TDA-Money flowing out of safe have assets, YEN!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
For those who don't understand safe haven assets
like YEN-Gold, it's gonna be really difficult to trade
these pairs.
These assets are heavily influenced by global events,
global tensions, trade wars, crisis.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
2025-06-05 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Good day for the bears but if you look at the daily or 4h chart, do you really want to sell this? Of course not. Most traders will wait and see where the bears fail to long this for another try at 22000. Technically we had at least 3 legs up in this wedge and 21936 qualifies as a top. I would still not sell this yet. Favoring the bulls for some bounce, can be higher or lower high. Below 21390 I would be neutral and we could try to test down to 21200 or 21000.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 20700 - 22000
bull case: Bulls will likely be eager to buy close to the bull trend line which we have not touched since early Monday. Question then is, will we get a lower high or finally the 22000 print? You never know in advance. What you can know is that selling below 21600 is most likely a bad trade.
Invalidation is below 21390.
bear case: Bears getting more confident in shorting new highs since they make decent money doing so. Until we see 21000 again, they will still likely only scalp and not hold on to positions for longer. The bull wedge is too obvious to hold short and pray for a break. If bears would stay below 21700 tomorrow, that would certainly change their outlook and more bulls would start doubting that we can get to 22000. Daily 20ema is around 21200 and the bull trend line around 21400, those are the next targets for bears.
Invalidation is above 22100.
short term: Neutral but if I had to have a position, I’d be long with stop 21050. I will sit on hands and wait for bears to give up and scalp some longs tomorrow. If bears continue down, it will be without me because I don't like getting trapped.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-24: Will update this section more after the coming week but in general the thesis is as for dax. Down over the summer and sideways to up into year end. I don’t think the lows for this year are in.
trade of the day: Longing 21700 was a good trade a couple of times today. You could have made decent money doing so and then getting stopped out on the break below 21630 but that would have been still a profitable day. Get comfortable losing.
GOLD (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – MMC Strategy Breakdown🧠 Conceptual Foundation:
This analysis is rooted in Market Maker Concepts (MMC), focusing on how smart money manipulates liquidity, traps retail traders, and shifts structure before making big moves. The GOLD market today gave us a high-probability setup that combined several key technical elements: SR interchanges, structure shifts, trendline breaks, and a major arc pattern.
Let’s dissect it step-by-step:
1️⃣ Initial Downtrend & Liquidity Sweep
In the early part of the chart, GOLD was in a clear bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows, consistently respecting a descending trendline. This downtrend attracted retail sellers who kept entering shorts, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
🔻 However, right before the reversal, GOLD made a sharp move down to grab liquidity below previous lows near the $3,361–$3,364 support zone. This is a classic MMC liquidity trap — clearing out stop-losses of early buyers before initiating a reversal.
2️⃣ SR Interchange Zones (Smart Money Play)
Around the levels of $3,361 and $3,364, we noticed strong Support-Resistance Interchange (SR Flip) behavior:
These zones were first used as support during the initial decline.
Once broken, they acted as resistance, and again flipped to support post-breakout.
This flip signals institutional involvement — smart money often builds positions in these zones.
These interchanges also acted as the base of accumulation, preparing for a bullish breakout.
3️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Early Reversal Confirmation
As the price consolidated and coiled around the SR zones, it finally broke the descending trendline — a major reversal signal.
This breakout was accompanied by strong bullish candles, showing a sudden shift in momentum. It's likely that smart money stepped in aggressively, initiating a structure shift.
4️⃣ Arc Pattern Formation – Visual Clue of Accumulation
The most eye-catching part of this chart is the arc pattern — a rounded bottom formation. This type of pattern typically indicates accumulation phase, where institutions quietly enter positions while retail sentiment is confused or bearish.
🟡 The arc acts like a pressure cooker: as price coils and liquidity builds, it eventually explodes in the direction of accumulation — in this case, bullish.
5️⃣ Structure Shift – Confirmation of Bullish Intent
Once price broke above the internal structure (previous lower highs), it confirmed a structure shift from bearish to bullish.
📈 This is one of the most critical elements in MMC:
It tells us that smart money has reversed the flow.
The shift often leads to expansive moves in the new direction (as we saw here).
6️⃣ Next Reversal Area (Key Supply Zone)
Price continued surging upward and reached a predefined Reversal Area around $3,405–$3,410. This zone is likely to contain historical supply and institutional sell orders.
As expected:
Price showed early rejection signs from this level.
A potential short-term pullback or distribution phase may now be underway.
If bulls reclaim this zone, it may lead to further upside toward $3,420–$3,430.
📌 Key Technical Highlights:
Component Observation
Trendline Clean break signals momentum shift
SR Interchange Zones Strong demand re-entry near $3,361–$3,364
Arc Pattern Indicates bottoming and accumulation phase
Structure Shift Broke prior lower highs confirming bullish bias
Reversal Zone $3,405–$3,410 acting as resistance; possible rejection/pullback point
🔮 What to Expect Next?
If price rejects the $3,405–$3,410 zone again and forms a lower high, expect a pullback to $3,375–$3,380.
A break above the reversal zone with strong volume may open the door to new highs, targeting $3,420+.
Use caution around news events or high-impact fundamentals (e.g., USD data releases).
💡 Trading Strategy Ideas:
✅ Long Scenario (Already Played Out):
Entry: Post-trendline break + arc confirmation
TP1: Reversal Zone at $3,405
SL: Below $3,361 SR Flip
🔁 Potential Short Setup:
Entry: On bearish confirmation from $3,405–$3,410
TP1: $3,375
TP2: $3,364
SL: Above $3,412 (reversal zone high)
📢 Final Thoughts:
This chart is a great example of how MMC (Market Maker Concepts), when combined with clean price action tools like trendlines, SR zones, and structure shifts, can offer high-accuracy trades.
Don't chase price. Wait for zones to react. Let the market show its hand before taking action.
Gold Price ActionHello traders, hope you're all doing well!
Here's a straightforward setup that could yield 100–200 pips with ease.
Price has entered the inducement or "trap" area, but the true sell zone lies just above.
Look to enter short positions from that higher level and aim to capture some solid pips.
Is This the Optimal Entry After a PDL Sweep and FVG Retest?A clean structural development on CHFJPY (1H TF)
After sweeping the Previous Day’s Low (PDL), price created a bullish Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside , shifting short-term sentiment. This BOS was followed by a precise retest into a Fair Value Gap (FVG), suggesting possible continuation as liquidity shifts from weak hands to strong.
🧠 Educational Notes :
CRT Sweep Logic: Market often sweeps the previous day's high or low before making its true move. In this case, a clean PDL sweep was followed by a strong bullish reaction.
Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed bullish intent after the sweep, validating a shift in order flow.
FVG Retest: Institutional pricing inefficiency filled — a classic SMC continuation behavior.
Entry Thesis: Based on reaction from FVG + BOS confirmation, with invalidation below the swept low and TP near the previous swing high.
This setup is not financial advice, but a clear visual case study for traders applying SMC + CRT logic.
EURAUD - Bullish... but not for long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURAUD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. However, it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure and resistance.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURAUD is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GJ-Thu-5/06/25 TDA-Big pump and dump, pre and after US news!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Trading news is not profitable long term, unless
you are really good fundamental analysis!
Yes, you might get lucky sometime that price
goes to your favor, but without a clear understanding,
bad risk management, no strategy you'll likely to lose
all the profits you make.
It's not just about making profits, you have to consistently
making it and keep the profits you make.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GU-Thu-5/06/25 TDA-US bad data report, GU tapped WR 1.35790!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Market conditions shift, you have to learn to
adapt to it. Trading price action, you learn to
react to the market. The way the candles moves
differently it might indicates shift of market
dynamics.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
2025-06-04 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: When in doubt, zoom out. Market is leaving gaps below and daily bar closed at the high (at least for futures). Bulls will likely get another spike above 24430 to run the stops but I don’t know if they can get more. Buying above 24200 is there but lackluster but that’s still enough for the bulls because bears are not doing anything, so do not look for shorts. I think we are days away from the top but it’s a rough guess.
current market cycle: broad bull channel
key levels: 23700 - 24500
bull case: Bulls remain in control. There are making higher highs and higher lows. That’s all you need to understand about the current price action. Do not sell this unless you are really really good at reversals. The easy money is buying pullbacks. Do that until we make lower lows. Next targets are 24430 and then 24500.
Invalidation is below 24130.
bear case: Even if bears get below 24130, we have another trend line around 24000 and for now we can not expect bears to just appear. They will likely need an event or market has to spend more time building a credible top before we can reverse.
Invalidation is above 24550.
short term: Neutral. Bulls remain in full control but buying up here is just too easy to get trapped and I will rather wait. 24500 is the next obvious target. I think it’s more likely we are in a trading range 23700 -24500 than getting another strong move above 24500.
medium-long term from 2025-05-25: My rough guess from early May was down over the summer and up into year end. POTUS certainly helped with the 50% tariffs. I need to see market reaction next week and if there is no 180° reversal until Friday, they will become reality the week after and dax should do 20-30% down over the next months. Markets were not positioned for any risk what so ever. Now we got the atomic trade bomb.
trade of the day: Long overnight or EU session for 24400. The short from 24371 was not obvious nor easy to take. Also went much further than I expected it to go. Buying the double bottom 24160 was the second best trade. Market found not acceptance below the 1h 20ema and it was also the Globex low.
$5 to $26 big +400% day for $MULNThe biggest mover of the entire stock market NASDAQ:MULN with huge 400% squeeze. Mentioned probable bounce from $14.50 in chat, then double bottom possibility and stronger bounce from $14.50 again, after double bottom was confirmed it rocketed beyond $20 and $25.
It closed the day right at same $14.50 area once again, we'll see how it trades tomorrow.
Sol, setting!? or will it rise!
In our last Solana ( CRYPTOCAP:SOL ) update, we discussed the potential for a bounce and posed the critical question: would it be a retest or a reclaim? That distinction is now front and center as price action unfolds.
The 141 area remains the level bulls must defend. A clean reaction here, ideally with a supportive pattern, would create favorable conditions for upside continuation. However, if price returns above 169 , the current impulsive structure downward would be invalidated and a recount would be warranted, that could also be the end of the correction.
Zooming out, the bigger question is whether we are in the C wave of a flat correction. If that’s the case, then this impulse Should be the final move before a change in trend. Conversely, an impulse shouldn't be taken for granted nor lightly, I could set the stage for further down side. If a C wave, this pattern could set the stage for a powerful move after it completes.
In simpler terms:
If bulls hold 141 and reclaim momentum, the structure could shift bullish quickly.
If this is a flat, the C wave down is still unfolding, and we may need to endure one more leg lower before a true trend reversal.
Either way, patience is key. Let the chart print clarity.
JNJ - Macro View 🌐Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 JNJ has exhibited an overall bullish trend, trading within the ascending wedge pattern outlined in blue. It is presently nearing the lower boundary/blue trendline.
At present, JNJ is undergoing a correction phase and is trading within the descending red channel. It is currently approaching the lower limit and a highlighted demand zone in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower blue and red trendlines acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As JNJ approaches the lower purple circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
ebay is on sale 🛒Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EBAY has exhibited an overall bullish trend , trading above the orange and blue trendlines.
At present, EBAY is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching a strong support zone 30 - 34
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower blue and orange trendlines acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EBAY approaches the lower red circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GOLD (XAU/USD) Analysis – Head & Shoulders & Target📌 Overview:
Today’s GOLD market presented an excellent educational setup using the MMC (Market Maker Cycle) methodology. We identified a Head & Shoulder reversal pattern, volume contraction at a key zone, a Major Break of Structure (BOS), and finally, a clear shift in market structure leading to a strong bullish move.
Let’s break it down step-by-step:
🧠 1. Head & Shoulders Pattern – The Early Reversal Signal
The pattern started forming around May 26–28, a classic Head & Shoulders that signaled potential exhaustion of the downtrend:
Left Shoulder: Price attempted to rise but failed to break previous highs.
Head: Sellers pushed to form a deeper low, forming the head.
Right Shoulder: Buyers entered again at the previous demand, creating a higher low than the head—indicating weakening bearish momentum.
🟦 The neckline was drawn across the swing highs. Once broken, it confirmed the reversal.
📍Significance: This pattern formed inside a strong SR Interchange Zone, where support turned resistance and vice versa—adding confluence.
🛠 2. Major Break of Structure (BOS) – Confirmation of Trend Shift
After forming the right shoulder, price decisively broke above the neckline and previous highs—this was the Major Break of Structure (BOS).
This is critical in MMC because:
It signals the end of the accumulation or manipulation phase.
It confirms that smart money has taken control and is pushing price in the new direction.
BOS acts as an entry trigger for traders using structure-based strategies.
💥 A strong bullish candle closed above the BOS level, showing aggressive buying.
📉 3. Volume Contraction – Smart Money Behavior
Between May 31 and June 2, we observed a tight consolidation at the previous resistance zone (now support).
Volume was contracting, forming a compression zone—a common sign of liquidity buildup by institutional players.
🧠 Why is this important?
Low volume ranges typically lead to high-volume breakouts.
This is the “accumulation before expansion” phase.
Smart money often accumulates orders here before a major move.
When price broke out of this compression, it did so with high momentum—validating this theory.
🔄 4. Structure Shifting – New Bullish Market Cycle
Following the BOS and breakout from volume contraction, price aggressively shifted its structure:
Higher highs and higher lows started forming.
Price invalidated bearish order blocks and respected bullish zones.
A new bullish market cycle under MMC began unfolding.
🚀 Price is now headed toward the Next Reversal Zone (around $3,460–$3,470), where we expect significant reaction.
🔍 5. Key Levels Explained
🔵 SR Interchange (~$3,280): This acted as a strong base for the Head & Shoulder formation. A key demand zone if price retraces.
🟦 Volume Contraction Zone (~$3,330–$3,350): Launchpad for the bullish impulse.
🟥 Next Reversal Zone (~$3,460–$3,470): A likely profit-taking or short-term reversal zone. Watch for bearish setups or consolidation here.
🎯 Strategy Insights (Based on MMC)
Entry Opportunity: After BOS + Retest of neckline or volume contraction zone.
Risk Management: Stop loss just below the previous low or reversal zone.
Target Zones: Next Reversal Zone or Fibonacci extensions depending on strategy.
📈 Conclusion
This GOLD chart is a textbook example of how technical confluences create high-probability setups:
✅ Head & Shoulder at demand
✅ Break of structure confirms reversal
✅ Volume contraction signals smart money entry
✅ Bullish expansion shows structure shift
🔔 Final Thought:
Watch closely how price reacts around the Next Reversal Zone. If bearish price action appears, it may provide a short-term reversal or retracement trade. Otherwise, a clean break above could signal the continuation of the bullish leg.
GU-Wed-4/06/25 TDA-Not easy zone to mess with GU!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Today's focus: Trading Psychology
-Have you ever over traded?
-Have you ever revenge traded?
-Have you ever got greedy and end up
with a loss instead of good profits?
-What is something that you struggle to
these days psychologically speaking?
I've been all these situations mentioned above!
Each of this three steps are crucial to
become a very good trader:
1) Consistently profitable strategy
2) Proper risk management
3) Trading Psychology
What's your ideal solution to improve
your trading psychology?
Comment down below!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GJ-Wed-4/06/25 TDA-GJ strong push, will it continue?Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Trading is not easy, there are so many factors,
variants that influence the price movement.
Generally when big moves happen, it is caused
by big news, important speeches, flash news.
Markets don't move randomly, it's really important
to understand why price had this particular move,
at that specific time and ask why.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y