NZDUSD: One More Bearish Confirmation 🇳🇿🇺🇸
Earlier this week, I already predicted a bearish movement on NZDUSD.
I spotted one more bearish confirmation today.
This time, the price formed a symmetrical triangle pattern on a 4H time frame.
Its rising support was broken.
I think that the price may drop lower.
First goal - 0.604
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Priceaction
GOLD and worldBased on my analysis, I am looking for a buy setup below 2620 to 2590, expecting the market to move upside. iv mentioned my levels where I would like to see the reaction and take partials on this up wave.
I am not expecting this upwave to break the ATH, although current geopolitical can make a mess and continue the move to the upside, so securing partials on each level based on the reaction and adding positions will be a good idea to implement here.
OANDA:XAUUSD
As always market always win, trade with care.
SasanSeifi| Is Ethereum Poised for a Move to Higher Levels?Hey there, ✌ In the daily timeframe analysis, as shown, the price has entered a downward trend from the $4,000 range. Following this price drop, it reacted at the important support level of $2,100, oscillating between the price ranges of $2,100 to $2,800. Currently, after observing demand at the $2,300 level, the price has experienced slight positive fluctuations and is trading around $2,600.
Based on the candlestick behaviour, it is anticipated that in the short term, the price may rise towards the important resistance levels of $2,700 to $2,820, with some minor positive fluctuations. If the price breaks above $2,820 and stabilizes in lower timeframes, the likelihood of further price growth towards the resistance zone of $3,000 to $3,250 increases. In such a scenario, monitoring the price reactions at these levels will be essential for evaluating the next trend. However, if the $2,820 level is not breached and the price fails to maintain its stability, the possibility of a price retracement may rise.
The long-term outlook remains bearish, with expectations for the price to move towards the $1,800 to $1,500 range.
In the daily timeframe, the $2,450 to $2,300 levels serve as critical support. Maintaining the price above these levels is crucial for the desired scenario.
Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!
If you found my analysis helpful, I would appreciate it if you could show your support by liking and commenting. Thank you!🙌✌
Price ActionIn our trading strategy, we focus on 4H identifying key supply order blocks created when the price moves downward. When the price retraces and revisits this supply order block, we will look for additional confirmation signals to enter a sell trade. This approach allows us to capitalize on potential reversals in the market while managing risk effectively.
Steps to Execute the Strategy:
Identify the Supply Order Block:
Monitor the price action for a significant decline that creates a clear supply order block. This area represents where selling interest has accumulated.
Wait for a Retracement:
Once the price moves away from the order block, we will wait for it to retrace back to this zone. A successful retest of the supply order block is crucial for our entry.
Confirm the Trade Signal:
As the price approaches the supply order block, we look for additional confirmation signals, such as bearish candlestick patterns, divergence, or other technical indicators. This confirmation is essential to ensure a higher probability of a successful trade.
Enter the Sell Trade:
Upon receiving confirmation, we will execute a sell order at the supply order block. Proper risk management strategies, including stop-loss placement, should be applied to protect our capital.
2024-10-15 - priceactiontds - daily update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
Bitcoin - Bulls got follow through and are at my bullish target where I expect a reversal. The July high should hold and we are at the top of the bull wedge, touched the big bear trend line from ath and saw some decent selling above 67000. Swing short for me 66803, sl 70170.
comment: Clear 3 legs up for the bulls. Big resistance 68000, two big patterns aligning and bears demonstrated selling pressure above 67000 and are currently trading below. Enough signals to see this as a reasonable short.
current market cycle : trading range (big triangle on the daily chart)
key levels: 60000 - 68000
bull case: Bulls moved up fast in the last 5 days but are at bigger resistance now. The bear trend line from the ath now held for 6 months, so do you really want to bet on a breakout above? Very hard to make a bull case here. If they break above 69000, I am surprised big time and we can only assume 70000 and higher next.
Invalidation is below 64500.
bear case: Bears have all the arguments they need to defend the bear trend line. Their next targets are 65000 and then a fight for the bull channel. Below 65000 is 63000 next, which marks my two-legged correction (ABC). I won’t squeeze more words out of these clear patterns.
Invalidation is above 69000.
short term: Bearish
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06: Something between 49000 and 70000. Big surprise, I know. I don’t know if we get a breakout of this range in 2024 again.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Short 67000 because bulls could not hold this price since July. Buying 65000 was the next best trade and also obvious because we had a decent trading range there yesterday and in the Globex session.
2024-10-15 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
dax futures
comment: A daily bear bar closing on it’s low. What a time to be alive. Kinda in the middle of the channel now, which is a bad bad place to trade. Both sides have valid arguments. I would rather sit on hands and only scalp on momentum than initiate trades around 19600.
current market cycle: bull trend
key levels: 19500 - 20000
bull case: Bulls can be happy a decent dip came which they can now buy. Will they buy 19600 or will they wait? I am not sure but would you really want to buy 19600 now in hopes of a climactic continuation above 19800? Hard to make that a good trade. I do think the rally was fueled by momentum, that is gone now.
Invalidation is below 19500.
bear case: Bears finally got a decent day and they want/need follow through tomorrow. Obvious targets to hit next are 19350ish (breakout price) and the potentially much bigger support at the daily 20ema and the bull trend line around 19300-19350. If we get there, I highly doubt bears will push their luck and we see another strong move up. On the 1h tf, the first target for tomorrow is the open of the week 19536 and that is also where a smaller bull trend line is. Can be bigger support and bears could also give up there. Hard to make a bigger bear case for now but it’s worse for the bulls to blindly buy this just because we dipped some.
Invalidation is above 19800.
short term: Bullish but a bit more neutral right now, until we know where the next support is and bulls come around again
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06: 3 Months left in 2024 and I do think the market is in a trading range where the upper area is around 19500 and the lower area is probably 17000 or 16000 if something bigger comes up. Since we are at the very top, I expect the market to go some sideways before trying to go down again. Not so sure about 19491 being the high, since liquidity could see a bigger increase and upside could be higher. We will likely have another 10%+ correction this year and a possible year end rally.
Update 2024-10-13: Possibility of a blow-off top to 20000 is there. If we get there, it will be the short opportunity of the decade.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Shorting 19750 was not the hard part about the short trade but holding through bar 38 - 52 was. Had to get short bar 32 or latest 33. Can you hold afterwards? Tough. Open price was an obvious magnet when we hit 19650, so do you want to hold through a 60 point up move when you are short? I did not. Could have gone short below bar 57 but then you see the spike and hope for more and when you hold, market reverses bad again and you are underwater or break even at best. Then you do what? The 15m 20ema was decent to short then but all in all tough because market wanted lower but also produced many big tails below the bars that touched 19600.
BTC - Short-Term Bearish?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
The BTC market structure has been very clean lately, which I find interesting.
📉Previously, after breaking below the last major lows (marked in red), BTC dipped .
📈Similarly, after breaking above the last major highs (marked in blue), BTC surged .
🔄 If history repeats itself, and the current last major low marked in red is broken to the downside, we can expect another dip in BTC.
However, as long as BTC continues trading within the rising orange channel, the overall short-term trend remains bullish.
🕝What do you think? Will BTC break below the channel for a bearish correction to start, or will it keep pushing higher within the channel to test the $70,000 round number?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
AUDNZD: Your Trading Plan to Buy 🇦🇺🇳🇿
AUDNZD is currently retesting a recently broken daily horizontal resistance.
For trend-following buying, pay attention to a bullish flag pattern
on a 4h time frame.
Your confirmation will be a violation - a candle close above its resistance.
After that, buy the pair, anticipating a growth at least to 1.108 level then.
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EUR/USD: Bearish Trend Driven by Diverging Monetary Policies!The EUR/USD continues to face bearish pressure, nearing two-month lows around 1.0890, driven by a strengthening U.S. dollar supported by increased risk aversion and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The dollar also benefited from the release of the minutes of the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which revealed that a majority of members supported a monetary easing policy, though without a clear timeline for future rate cuts. The diverging monetary policies between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB) are strongly influencing the exchange rate. While the Fed is leaning towards further rate cuts, with an 84% probability of a 25-basis-point reduction next month, the ECB is more cautious. Despite inflation in the Eurozone falling below the 2% target, the ECB is closely monitoring economic data before taking new measures, leaving the euro vulnerable. The economic weakness in the Eurozone, with stagnant GDP growth, could continue to weigh on the euro, further favoring the dollar, which is in a position of strength thanks to the resilience of the U.S. economy. In conclusion, the EUR/USD is in a bearish context, with a possible break of key support levels that could lead to further declines. Only a recovery above the 1.0996 resistance could reverse the negative trend, but current economic and monetary conditions suggest the dollar will continue to dominate in the short term.
2024-10-14 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
Indexes - In my weekly post yesterday I wrote “max bullish” a couple of times and I hope you did not short this today. Bulls are in absolute control and they have no reason to stop buying every small dip. You can not be a bear on the hope that this madness will stop eventually. It can go much further than you can imagine. Strong day, strong close, can only expect higher prices until bears print consecutive big bear bars on higher time frames. My best guess is still a blow-off top this week, which can mark the top before we see a bigger correction. Today felt like we are already in it.
dax futures
comment: Bulls got follow through and confirmed Friday’s bullishness. There is nothing bearish about this so don’t waste time looking for bear arguments. You never want to be the first in trading unless you are a big institution who needs to scale into positions because you literally move the market otherwise. 19700 is almost a given but buying high is not the way to go here. Wait for decent pullbacks. Today the 30m 20ema was perfect to buy on 3 occasions.
current market cycle: bull trend
key levels: 19500 - 20000
bull case: Bulls are close enough to 20000 and bears absent to enough to expect that we get there. We have formed a proper channel where the lower trend line is around 19600. If that holds, it’s max bullish again but we could also reach the bigger trend line around 19500 before going higher again. Since bulls literally bought every dip since Wednesday, expect for them to continue to do so.
Invalidation is below 18500.
bear case: Best they can hope for is sideways movement and maybe get down to the 1h 20ema. Anything below 19500 would surprise me. Their target is to test the 1h 20ema and the lower bull channel line around 19600ish. If they somehow break that, their next target would be the price area around 19550.
Invalidation is above 18720.
short term: Max bullish until bears come around. Look for longs.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06: 3 Months left in 2024 and I do think the market is in a trading range where the upper area is around 19500 and the lower area is probably 17000 or 16000 if something bigger comes up. Since we are at the very top, I expect the market to go some sideways before trying to go down again. Not so sure about 19491 being the high, since liquidity could see a bigger increase and upside could be higher. We will likely have another 10%+ correction this year and a possible year end rally.
Update 2024-10-13: Possibility of a blow-off top to 20000 is there. If we get there, it will be the short opportunity of the decade.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Close of last week held during Globex, EU opened could not even get down there, that was the last big hint bulls mean business and you should get long. Only real tricky thing today was to either hold through bar 32 - 34 or get long again on bar 49 or 54.
2024-10-14 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
Indexes - In my weekly post yesterday I wrote “max bullish” a couple of times and I hope you did not short this today. Bulls are in absolute control and they have no reason to stop buying every small dip. You can not be a bear on the hope that this madness will stop eventually. It can go much further than you can imagine. Strong day, strong close, can only expect higher prices until bears print consecutive big bear bars on higher time frames. My best guess is still a blow-off top this week, which can mark the top before we see a bigger correction. Today felt like we are already in it.
sp500 e-mini futures
comment: Break above both bull wedges. Could this be a bull trap? I highly doubt that. 6000 will very likely be hit this year.
current market cycle: max bullish
key levels: 5860 - 6000
bull case: Bulls are in full control and we can only expect higher prices, given the strength of this follow through buying. We have a small channel which will likely break overnight and the next bull trend line is around 5890 already and aligns nicely with the 1h 20ema. Next obvious target is 6000.
Invalidation is below 5880.
bear case: Nothing really. Can they prevent 6000? Doubt it. Can they get a deeper pullback before we get there? Also doubt that. Anything below 5880 would surprise me. If they get it, 5850 is their next target and bigger support.
Invalidation is above 6050.
short term: Bullish af. Don’t look for shorts. Buy on pullbacks when bulls come around again.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13 : Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess.
current swing trade : None
trade of the day: Globex oscillated around last week’s close and after bar 10 it could not even touch the 15m 20ema again. Could have bought anywhere and made money except 15m before US close.
NZDUSD: Intraday Bearish Confirmation?! 🇳🇿🇺🇸
Last week, I already made a prediction that NZDUSD will keep falling.
Analysing the intraday price action, I spotted a strong bearish confirmation today.
Retesting a recently broken structure, the price formed a head and shoulders pattern.
Its neckline was violated, confirming a local dominance of the sellers.
We can anticipate a down movement at least to 0.6057
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NIFTY - Elliott Wave Outlook
Timeframe: Weekly
NSE NIFTY began an impulsive move after hitting a low of 15183.4 . Based on the wave count, the price completed wave (5) of wave (3) at 26277.3 and has since started to decline. The price is currently in a wave (4) correction phase. Let’s switch to the daily timeframe for a closer look at the details.
Timeframe: Daily
On the daily chart with a neckline at 24,750 , we’re observing a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern forming. If the price breaks below this neckline, Nifty could drop significantly, potentially reaching the demand zone or surge point of the pattern. However, if the price fails to break this neckline, it indicates weakness in the bearish momentum, signaling a possible reversal
According to the Elliott Wave Principle, if wave 5 is an extended wave, the correction often occurs near sub-wave 2 of the previous impulse, especially if it falls below sub-wave 4. So, 24,570 will be a crucial level for Nifty. We can expect the price to move up by no more than 126% of wave A within the correction. Otherwise, there’s a risk of mistaking wave B for wave 3.
Whatever scenario Nifty chooses, it’s better to let Nifty commit to a clear direction before we commit to the market.
We will update further information soon.
#202441 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
wti crude oil: Bulls bought the daily 20ema and now we had gigantic up and gigantic down, means gigantic confusion. I favor another sideways to down movement for the second leg of the two-legged correction before bulls can try 77 or higher again. 75-76 is a bad spot to trade imo. Downside target is 74 or 73 and everything below would be bad for bulls.
Quote from last week:
comment: Wild, wild market currently. New low below 66.9, just to reverse for 13.95% or 925 ticks. You won’t see that move too often per year. So now what? Tough. Friday’s bar has a big tail above and we broke above the bear trend line, which could very well be a bull trap. A look at the monthly and weekly chart never hurts. They are both showing the same continuation pattern of a contracting market, since we did not break the lows below 63. Next bigger high which will most likely hold is the July one at 80.71. As of now bulls turned the market neutral again, where the middle of the potential range could be 72 if we use the July high and the September low.
comment : Bullish doji on the weekly with big tails above and below. 71.5 is a good low and likely to hold. I do expect another try by the bears though. Only question now is will we see 77+ before 74? I don’t know. So watch for momentum and hope along. I still favor the bulls for at least a retest of 77/78 but I do think we can hit 80 again. Given the strength of the move up, it is reasonable to expect a bigger second leg to 80 or higher.
current market cycle : trading range (triangle on the weekly tf)
key levels : 71 - 80
bull case: I continue to be bullish until bears can reject 77 or 78 again. Bulls now have formed a proper channel up and we are likely in W2 in a potential W5 series. Don’t trade based on that wave series because right now it’s a very rough guess.
Invalidation is below 71.3.
bear case: Bears had an amazing pullback last week and had to take profits on those 690 points. I don’t think we will see bigger bears coming around to fight for 75-76 they likely wait for 77/78 again. Otherwise I don’t have any arguments for the bears here.
Invalidation is above 79.
outlook last week:
s hort term: Neutral. I would not short 74.38 right now but favoring the bears for a pullback but only on weakness. Will only turn more bullish above 76 or around 72/73 (if bulls buy it). Pullback could go as deep as 70.
→ Last Sunday we traded 74.38 and now we are at 75.56. Neutral was good. Big up, big down, big confusion. Likely to trade more in the middle of that range, which we are doing.
short term: Neutral but expecting a retest of 77 and higher again. The closer to 74 you can long this, the better is what I think.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06 : That bear trend is over and we are again in the big trading range 64 - 78/79.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Removed bearish two legged correction and added a potential 5-wave series.
#202441 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500 e-mini futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
sp500: Also max bullish. Bulls closed 8 points below the ath. Strong buy signal going into next week but the issue (again) is that you are buying above the bigger bull wedge and at the very high of a nested one. Waiting for a pullback to go long is the much more reasonable trade instead of buying near 5860. The wedge has room to 5900, so 6000 is a valid year end target. Bear case begins below 5750. 5800-5850 is neutral.
Quote from last week:
comment: Much bigger range than the previous week with wild moves the whole week. Bears sold it with spikes, followed by bulls who bought every dip. End result was 5800 again and now what? We are near the ath and can easily make a new one. The high was also high enough to count as a decent lower high and we sell off from here. Given the strong bull bar on Friday, we have to give the higher odds to the bulls to get follow through above and we will probably make a new ath.
comment: Two decent days were enough for the bulls to make new ath. Again a bad place to trade, 8 points below the new ath. We have nested bull wedges and market broke above the bigger one. Odds favor some pullback but I would rather wait and be flat than to short this.
current market cycle: nested bull wedges
key levels: 5750 - 5900
bull case: Bulls want 5900 and have all the arguments on their side. That still does not make buying 5859 a good buy. It’s possible that bulls break above both wedges and continue for 5900 and much higher, is it likely though? I doubt it.
What, no more text? We have two perfectly fitting patterns and are trading at the very highs. I have given precise invalidation prices. Don’t think more words will make this better. Just as more trades probably won’t make you more money. Quality over quantity.
Invalidation is below 5750.
bear case: Bears have nothing until they close below 5750. We are at the highs but so what? 5 Consecutive weekly bull bars say it all. Don’t look for shorts when bears do not make money other than scalping on time frames below 15m. When these two wedges break below, we will see a decent correction again and it’s possible over the next weeks but as of right now, bears are in pain and nothing else.
Invalidation is above 5910.
outlook last week:
short term: Neutral 5750 - 5850, big range but we are in the middle of that given range and both sides have reasonable arguments. If bulls get follow through above 5800, long scalps are a decent trade for 5830 or a bit higher. Right now I would not trade it.
→ Last Sunday we traded 5800 and now we are at 5859. Neutral range but I wrote above 5800 a long is good for 30 points or more. Good outlook.
short term : Neutral since we are exactly at the top of two big patterns and 8 points below the ath. Sitting on hands is best here.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13: Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess.
current swing trade: None
chart update : None
#202441 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
dax: Max bullish for 19500/19600. Bulls have all the arguments if they stay above 19200. 19000-19200 is neutral and only a daily close below 19000 could start a bear case. My base assumption is that we are in W5 of this bull trend which could lead up to 20000.
dax xetra
Quote from last week:
comment: Bearish scenario played out during the week and bears managed to reach the lower bull trend line which bulls happily bought on Friday. Right now the odds heavily favor the bulls. Market has two very good reasons why the area around 18950 is support and since we are in a bull trend and got a decent signal bar on Friday, I want to be long above 19200 for 19400 or higher.
comment : Bullish outlook was good. Bulls will likely retest ath on Monday/Tuesday and have good chances of making new ones. My targets above are 19500 and 19600 with 20000 being possible if we get blow-off top. Don’t be a bear until bears can close below 18900.
current market cycle: bull trend
key levels: 19000 - 20000
bull case: Bulls have all arguments on their side again. My bullish wave thesis is still fitting perfectly and W5 could lead to 20000. Any close below 19200 would seriously hurt the bull case.
Invalidation is below 1920.
bear case: Bears need a daily close below 19200 to start making more bulls doubt this breakout above the minor trading range which was my W4. As of now bears do not have any reasonable arguments to stop this.
Invalidation is above 19400.
outlook last week:
short term: Neutral between 19000-19200, very bullish above 19200 and slightly bearish but more cautious below 19000.
→ Last Sunday we traded 19120 and now we are at 19373. Bullish outlook above 19200 was perfect and I hope you made some.
short term: Bullish for 19500 and higher.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06: 3 Months left in 2024 and I do think the market is in a trading range where the upper area is around 19500 and the lower area is probably 17000 or 16000 if something bigger comes up. Since we are at the very top, I expect the market to go some sideways before trying to go down again. Not so sure about 19491 being the high, since liquidity could see a bigger increase and upside could be higher. We will likely have another 10%+ correction this year and a possible year end rally.
Update 2024-10-13: Possibility of a blow-off top to 20000 is there. If we get there, it will be the short opportunity of the decade.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Removed the ABC wave up and replaced it with a 5-wave series.
CGPower : Strong Bullish Momentum: Key Support & Resistance Zone NSE:CGPOWER in Strong Bullish Momentum: Key Support & Resistance Zones
NSE:CGPOWER continues to demonstrate solid upward momentum across multiple timeframes, with positive trends seen on the daily, weekly, and even shorter 75-minute charts. Here's an advanced look at key levels and insights:
Key Indicators to Watch:
Weekly 50 EMA: ₹605 – A strong long-term support level. The price remains well above this, indicating a sustained bullish trend.
Daily 50 EMA: ₹736 – Medium-term support. A key level to watch for any pullbacks or corrections.
Weekly 10 EMA: ₹745 – Immediate weekly support, offering a clear level for trend continuation.
Daily 10 EMA: ₹792 – The near-term support on the daily chart; holding this level is crucial for continued upward momentum.
75-min Chart:
50 EMA: ₹786 – This EMA offers intraday support, crucial for short-term traders.
21 EMA: ₹816 – Further intraday support, maintaining strength at this level keeps the bullish sentiment intact.
10 EMA: ₹840 – Immediate short-term support in intraday action.
Key Resistance Levels:
52-Week High : ₹874.70 – A breakout above this significant level could lead to a fresh rally with further upside potential.
₹846 – Short-term resistance that aligns with 75-min 10 EMA, a key test for continued bullish momentum.
₹875-₹900 – If the stock breaks its 52-week high, we may see this range as the next target zone.
Support Levels to Watch:
₹756 – Short-term support level; a strong dip-buying opportunity if prices pull back to this region.
₹786 – A key support level on the 75-minute 50 EMA; holding this strengthens the upward move.
₹816 – The 75-minute 21 EMA provides a solid intraday support level.
₹846 – A critical near-term support zone that should hold for the continuation of bullish movement.
Outlook:
NSE:CGPOWER is showing a healthy bullish momentum, with consistent support levels across the daily and weekly charts. Holding above ₹756 and breaking past ₹874.70 could fuel further bullish activity. Watch for pullbacks near support levels for potential buying opportunities. As long as the price holds above its key EMAs, especially the daily and 75-min EMAs, the trend remains strongly positive.
Conclusion:
With CGPower's upward momentum intact and strong support from its EMAs, it remains in a bullish trajectory. Monitoring price action near ₹756, ₹786, ₹816, and ₹874 is essential for confirming continued strength.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst (RA). This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
GAIL Showing Strength Above 10 EMA: Key Support & Resistance NSE:GAIL Showing Strength Above 10 EMA: Key Support & Resistance Levels (Daily & Weekly Analysis)
NSE:GAIL is currently trading at ₹229.40, maintaining strength above the 10 EMA on the daily chart, indicating positive short-term momentum. A similar setup is reflected on the weekly chart, where the stock is trading well above its 50 EMA, reinforcing a bullish bias.
Key Resistance Levels:
₹236 – Immediate resistance zone, significant on both daily and weekly timeframes. A breakout above this level could trigger further bullish momentum.
₹246 – The 52-week high, acting as a strong resistance on the weekly chart. A decisive move above this would mark a fresh bullish breakout, potentially leading to accelerated gains.
Key Support Levels:
₹226 – Crucial short-term support on the daily chart, aligning closely with the 50 EMA (₹226.29). Holding this level is essential for sustaining the positive trend.
₹216 – Next significant support zone on both timeframes. A break below this could signal weakening momentum.
₹196 – Major support level corresponding to the weekly 50 EMA. This level acts as a long-term safety net, and a breach below would indicate a shift in the broader trend.
Outlook:
The stock’s alignment above key EMAs on both the daily and weekly charts suggests that GAIL is in a strong uptrend. A break above ₹236 could lead to a test of the 52-week high at ₹246, where a breakout would be a strong bullish signal. Traders should monitor price action around these levels closely.
If GAIL faces a pullback, holding support at ₹226 will be crucial to maintain its short-term momentum. A break below ₹216 could indicate potential weakness, with ₹196 (weekly 50 EMA) serving as a critical long-term support.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst (RA). This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.