GBP/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Bias in PlayThe market never lies, it simply reflects behaviour. And right now, the behaviour around GBP/USD suggests one thing: bearish momentum.
As seen in this clean 4H chart, price failed to hold above the key horizontal resistance zone and now showing signs of weakness after a retest. I’ve marked a potential bearish projection (red arrow) based on:
Key Technical Factors:
Rejection from a prior structure zone
Clean lower highs forming
Breakdown and retest of minor support
Room below toward - near 1.30300 (next yellow line)
This setup aligns with a potential swing move down toward the next area. If price follows through, we could see a solid continuation to the downside in the coming sessions.
Patience and discipline over prediction. Let price confirm the story it’s telling.
Priceaction
GU-Fri-16/05/25 TDA-Daily closure above DR for continuation!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trade updates!
No structure, harder to get good trades. Sometimes
all you need to do is wait for more clarity, more
structure and let the price and candles indicate
the move.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
ETH is still Bullish!!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈This week, ETH has been in a correction phase. However it is still overall bullish long-term trading within the rising channel marked in blue.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong demand and structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #ETH retests the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
PB Fintech (NSE: 543390) Trade Setup📈 Breakout Watch | Price retesting key pivot at ₹1,745
Momentum building with RSI > 60 and bullish structure. Ideal for intraday or short swing.
🔵 Long Entry
Buy Above: ₹1,745 (Pivot breakout confirmation on 15m/1H candle close)
Target 1: ₹1,775 (minor resistance)
Target 2: ₹1,807 (next pivot)
Target 3: ₹1,869 (final swing target)
Stoploss: ₹1,720 (below previous candle low/support zone)
✅ Volume confirmation and RSI strength supporting move
🧠 Good for breakout traders looking for momentum continuation
🔴 Short Setup (if rejection from ₹1,745)
Sell Below: ₹1,730 (on rejection + bearish candle)
Target: ₹1,682
Stoploss: ₹1,745
📊 Indicators:
RSI: 65.7 → bullish, near breakout threshold
BB% B: 0.88 → strong bullish move near upper band
BTC Long Bias – Here’s the BreakdownEveryone’s screaming “99K dump” — I’m not buying it.
Price swept BSL at the highs without touching the 30M OB that caused the move down. But instead of breaking down, it formed bullish structure and held. That tells me smart money isn’t done buying yet.
🎯 Entry Zone: 101K–102K (where price showed strength)
🎯 Target: 104,979.32 (previous 30M high + liquidity resting there)
Price respected the bullish structure and gave the reaction I called off the demand zone. Now just waiting for a clean 5M entry with inducement + OB.
Let the rest wait on 99K. I’ll follow what the market actually tells me.
#BTC #SmartMoney #SMC #Inducement #OrderBlocks #TradeWhatYouSee
Bless Trading!
2025-05-15 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Market is in peak euphoria again but you would be buying at the very top on an Opex Friday. Like… Just dont. Enjoy your weekend. I expect a rather choppy session maybe even a deep pullback rather than closing the week on another green bar.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 20600 - 22000
bull case: Bulls want a new ath and we are high enough, that they could easily get it next week. My count was likely wrong and W1 was not the spike from 16735 to 19388 but rather the leg from 17863 to 20277. That means we are in W3 and W4 is around the corner. I have many calculated targets around 23000 and as of now, there is no reason we can not get there. It’s a very tight bull channel upwards. Bears are not doing anything so the path of least resistance is up.
Invalidation is below 20100.
bear case: Bears need a miracle. That’s it. Best they can maybe get is a pullback to the bull trend line around 20700ish but I highly doubt that. If we print 21000 tomorrow, most bears would be wet and take their profits before letting them see burning away again. My assumption for tomorrow is a choppy session somewhere between 21000 - 21600.
Invalidation is above 21600.
short term: Neutral. Opex Friday, I made my money this week. Absolutely no need to throw it away tomorrow. Less interest in buying up here but bears are barely making money, so I’d rather sit on hands.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-20: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We are +18% from the lows and I do think, once this turns again, it will easily be the short trade of the year.
trade of the day: Longing the lower low below 21300 is the obvious choice. Market went sideways to up with higher lows for 4h. There were at least 4 big tails on the 15m chart which told the story.
SHYAM METALICS – Breakout Zone Alert Price is approaching a key resistance zone (~₹950) after breaking out of a descending channel with strong volume and RSI confirmation.
This setup indicates potential bullish continuation.
📌 Trade Plan:
Buy above ₹955
Stoploss: ₹915
Target 1: ₹1,010
Target 2: ₹1,065
Sell below: ₹915 (only if price rejects resistance with volume)
Reasoning:
Price broke long-term downtrend
Strong volume and RSI > 60
Clean resistance breakout in sight
For Education Purposes Only
XAUUAD UPDATE 15-5-2025This chart is a technical analysis of CFDs on Gold (US$/OZ) with a 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
Chart Patterns:
1. Falling Wedge Pattern:
A clear falling wedge is outlined with blue trendlines converging downward, typically a bullish reversal pattern.
The price has tested the lower boundary multiple times, suggesting a strong support zone.
2. Projected Breakout:
An upward arrow indicates a possible breakout from the wedge.
The breakout zone appears to aim for the 3,473.994 level, marked with a red line.
A potential rally target is highlighted in a yellow zone, between approximately 3,400 and 3,500.
3. Support & Resistance:
Support: Around 3,122.690 (green line at the bottom).
Resistance: Approximately 3,261.270, with further resistance near 3,473.994.
4. Volume:
There’s steady volume activity, which could indicate accumulation before a breakout.
5. Fib Level:
A Fibonacci retracement level around 0.793, often used to confirm reversal zones.
6. US Economic Events:
Two U.S. flag icons suggest important economic data releases, which might trigger volatility and influence the breakout.
Conclusion:
This chart suggests a bullish outlook for gold, expecting a breakout from the falling wedge and targeting the 3,400–3,500 zone. However, the movement could be influenced by upcoming economic data, so it’s essential to watch for confirmation before acting.
Would you like an interpretation in a different format (e.g., simplified summary or trading plan)?
US Dollar Index (DXY) – Bullish Setup in PlayThe market has spoken and it’s whispering a potential bullish breakout .
As seen in the chart, the US Dollar Index (DXY) recently broke out from a short-term consolidation zone after forming a solid base near the 99.00 region. Currently, it's retesting a minor support level (highlighted by the yellow horizontal line).
Key Observation:
Price is holding above this support zone with strength. If this level holds, I anticipate a continuation to the upside as marked by the white arrow.
Target: The next major resistance zone lies near the 103.00 area, where price previously reversed. This becomes the logical next stop if the bullish momentum continues.
What I’m Watching:
Reaction from the current support zone
Strength of buyers stepping in
Any fundamental catalysts from USD-related news/events
In trading, it's not about predicting, it's about preparing. This chart reflects a classic "break-and-retest" scenario often seen before major moves.
Let’s see how this plays out over the coming days.
GJ-Thu-15/05/25 TDA-Gap is starting to get filled! Interesting!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possibly live trade updates!
Keep grinding, only when you are carrying your
own buckets of water, you'll feel every drop significantly!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GJ-Wed-14/05/25 TDA-Higher high, higher low to next DR 197.240?Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trade updates!
Does anybody know if gaps will always be filled or not?
Based on what criteria if it will be filled or not?
Appreciate the responses!
Comment down below!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GU-Thu-15/05/25 TDA-Tricky zone, open for both direction!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possibly live trade updates!
Knowledge per se won't make you money, it is
applying the knowledge and in this case in trading
doing live trades will make you money.
What's your view on this? Comment down below!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
EUR/USD Breakdown in May: Seasonality + Smart MoneyEUR/USD Weekly Outlook – May 15, 2025
EUR/USD is showing clear signs of weakness after a sharp rejection from the key supply zone between 1.1450 and 1.1600. Last week’s candle closed decisively below the 1.1250–1.1300 structure, confirming the failure to sustain bullish momentum. The RSI has also dropped below the 40 level, signaling strong downside pressure.
From an institutional positioning standpoint, non-commercial traders are rebalancing: both longs and shorts on the euro have decreased, while spread positions have increased—suggesting hesitation and a lack of clear conviction. On the other hand, commercials remain heavily long on the euro, but this appears to be more of a hedging move than a directional bias. The US dollar is regaining strength, with new long positions added by speculative traders, aligning with the recent EUR/USD decline.
Retail sentiment shows that a majority of traders are short, but not in extreme proportions. There’s a heavy cluster of long orders between 1.1100 and 1.1050, likely serving as liquidity targets for further downside movement.
From a seasonal perspective, May is historically bearish for EUR/USD. All major seasonal timeframes (5y, 10y, 15y, 20y) point to consistent average negative performance in this month. The current 2025 trend aligns perfectly with this historical pattern, providing a statistical tailwind to the bearish thesis.
Macro-wise, today’s key US data releases—PPI and Retail Sales—could significantly impact the USD. A positive surprise would further strengthen the dollar, adding downward pressure on the pair. Market attention is also focused on Fed Chair Powell's speech later today, which could add fuel to the current move.
Conclusion: The macro, technical, sentiment, and seasonal frameworks all converge on a bearish continuation for EUR/USD. A weekly close below 1.1175 would confirm the downside extension, targeting the 1.0850–1.0700 demand zone. A break above 1.1330 would temporarily invalidate the bearish setup.
MKVENTURES CAPITAL – Positional Breakout Setup📈 Buy Above: ₹1,700 (Breakout Zone)
Stoploss: ₹1,630
Target 1: ₹1,790
Target 2: ₹1,880
🔹 RSI is bullish, above 60
🔹 Strong volume build-up
🔹 Near resistance zone – breakout likely
📉 Sell Below: ₹1,630 (Trend Reversal)
Stoploss: ₹1,700
Target: ₹1,550
📊 Chart: Daily
📌 Strategy: Resistance Breakout with RSI & Volume Confirmation
💡 Risk-Reward: 1:2 (Good for swing trade)
For Education Purposes Only
Gold's Fakeout Into The Trap — Smart Money is Loading Up🟡 GOLD 30-Min Chart Breakdown — May 14, 2025
Gold just gave us a masterclass in Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Let’s dissect the juicy bits of this long setup:
🧩 1. Structure Overview
Market in a defined downward channel
Price taps the order block from previous accumulation zone
A liquidity sweep wick pierces just below the OB (classic SMC trap)
🛠 2. Key Confluences
🔵 Order Block: Held strong, respected on multiple timeframes
🔴 Liquidity Sweep: Deep wick hunts stops below OB, then bullish reaction
📉 Descending Channel: Price bounced off the bottom trendline
✅ Clean RRR Long: Setup has 1:5+ potential if targeting the upper channel
📈 3. Trade Idea
Entry: Around $3,220
Stop: Under $3,206 (below liquidity sweep)
TP: Zone near $3,257
Expecting breakout attempt if momentum breaks structure above $3,240
📉 4. Risk Notes & Management
Keep an eye on Asian session volume — fakeouts are common
Trail stop as price pushes past mid-channel
Rejection at $3,240 = consider partial close
📌 Gold loves a dramatic reversal — this one is no different. Smart money doesn’t chase — they accumulate in fear. This setup screams institutional entry zone.
💬 Drop a “💎” if you caught this with us!
🎥 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for clean SMC breakdowns like this every day!
2025-05-14 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Higher highs and higher lows compared to Tuesday. We are in a triangle and market is refusing to print below 23500. I do think we will see a big move tomorrow. What I don’t think is that we will close Friday at an extreme. If we get to 24000 again, I am very inclined to look to fade it again. Can we close this week below 23000? I gighly doubt that as well.
current market cycle: broad bull channel or trading range - doesn’t matter since you trade them the same
key levels: 23000 - 24100
bull case: Bulls want 24000 again and I think 23500 is the place where they are happy to scale in. Bears will likely give up tomorrow, if we move above 23650 since they tried 3 times since Monday and market is refusing to go lower. I still think bulls will likely not get much more than 24000. Every time we are in a form of a triangle, I will not write much since market is in balance around it’s midpoint and you should not interpret more into it than it is. We are in a clear bull trend and this sideways correction is better for bulls than bears, since sideways is acceptance and it means bears are not making much money.
Invalidation is below 23300.
bear case: Bears can not expect 23500 to break all of a sudden tomorrow. If anything, most have to cover if we go above 23650 because we could do 23750 or higher. I don’t have much for the bears. If they somehow break below 23440, it would open up the possibility of 23000 but for now it’s very unlikely.
Invalidation is above 24100.
short term: Neutral but rather looking for longs than shorts. Clear support 23500 and everyone expects at least a double top or more.
medium-long term from 2025-05-11: So here is my very rough guess about the next months. This short squeeze is clearly overdone and global macro stuff has most likely already deteriorated a great deal. Down to 20000 over the next weeks and form a big trading range. Up through October-Year end. Zero thought about a new bull trend above 24000 or that we have seen the lows for either 2025 or 2026. Good question is always, “How would you allocate 100k right now?”. 50% short dax, 25% of it levered/options and with the rest I would scalp.
trade of the day: Shorting above 23700 has been profitable all week but I expect it to fail either tomorrow or Friday. Market poked enough at it, that the chance of a breakout above is too big for me to continue to fade against that price.
GBPJPY Just Hit the Sweet Spot — High RRR or Fakeout Trap?💷 GBPJPY 30-Min Chart Breakdown — May 14, 2025
This setup is a banger for traders following structure, zones, and risk-reward logic. Let’s dissect the trade logic:
🔍 1. Market Structure
Price has been moving within a well-respected ascending channel (see black trendlines).
We just printed a short-term bearish pullback, with price dipping into a refined demand zone (highlighted pink/red).
The most recent bearish impulse looked like a liquidity sweep, not a structure break.
🧱 2. Smart Money Zone
Demand zone aligns with:
✅ Previous OB (order block)
✅ Mid-channel support
✅ Equal lows & trendline liquidity just below
Dark gray box = the exact entry block
Bulls stepped in right on time — classic mitigation + reaction setup
🎯 3. Risk-Reward
Entry: Around 195.380
SL: 195.110 (tight below the block)
TP: 196.575
RRR ≈ 1:5 — beautiful sniper entry with minimal exposure and max gain
🧠 4. What to Watch Next
Break above 195.900 = confirmation of bullish continuation
If price stalls again below midline, re-entry could come after another liquidity push
Clean break of 195.100 = invalidation (watch for potential short setups below)
🔁 Trade Management Tips:
Trail stops aggressively above 195.900
Scale out partials every 50 pips if you're trading it like a swing
Add confluence from DXY/Yen strength for better context
This one checks all the boxes: structure, zone, confirmation, and a clean RRR.
🚀 Tag a trader who loves tight stop, high-RR plays.
📲 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for more Smart Money scalps & swing setups!
XAUUSD Bearish Pennant Breakdown | Retest in Play – 3090 TargetGold (XAUUSD) has been in a corrective phase after reaching the resistance zone around 3370–3420 USD, where the price was previously rejected with strong selling pressure. Over the past sessions, price action has developed into a Bearish Pennant pattern, typically seen as a continuation pattern in a downtrend.
Following a sharp drop from the highs, the price consolidated between converging trendlines, creating lower highs and higher lows. This structure resembles a pennant or triangle formation, which traders often interpret as a pause before the next leg down.
🔍 Key Technical Features:
1. Resistance Zone (3370–3420 USD):
Strong institutional selling observed here.
Multiple rejections confirm this zone as a significant supply area.
This area also serves as a risk management reference point for stop-loss placement.
2. Support Zone (3210–3230 USD):
The price bounced multiple times from this level, making it a key demand area.
A clean break below this zone would confirm bearish continuation.
3. Trendline Resistance:
A descending trendline has been respected consistently since May 8.
Price recently retested this trendline after a minor pullback, aligning with the bearish pennant structure.
4. Bearish Pennant Pattern:
Forms after a strong downward impulse.
The consolidation is narrowing within converging trendlines.
A breakdown with high volume typically leads to a continuation of the prior trend.
5. Breakout & Retest:
Price has already broken below the pennant's lower boundary.
The current move is a retest of the broken trendline—a classic setup for entering a short position upon rejection.
🎯 Bearish Target Projection:
The measured move from the pole of the pennant suggests a target around 3090 USD.
This level is derived by taking the height of the initial drop before the pennant and projecting it downward from the breakout point.
🛑 Stop Loss Strategy:
A conservative stop loss can be placed just above the 3370 USD resistance zone.
Alternatively, a tighter stop could be placed slightly above the trendline (~3240–3250) for aggressive entries, though this increases the risk of a false breakout.
✅ Trading Plan Summary:
Aspect Level / Detail
Entry Zone After retest & rejection (near 3230–3240 USD)
Target 3090 USD
Stop Loss Above 3370 USD
Risk-Reward Approx. 1:3 or higher
Pattern Type Bearish Pennant
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This is a textbook bearish continuation setup with strong confluences:
Trendline resistance
Bearish pennant formation
Breakdown with retest
Clear resistance and support zones for managing risk
If momentum sustains to the downside after the retest, we could see a swift drop toward 3090 USD, offering a favorable shorting opportunity for swing and intraday traders alike.
Always confirm with volume and candlestick confirmation before execution. Stay updated with fundamental drivers such as CPI, PPI, or FOMC comments, which can inject volatility.