UK100 (FTSE)-Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
8380.25 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 8006.10 on 12/20/2024, so more gains to resistance(s) 8833.83, 9000.00, 9100.00 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
8664.21
8765.00
8833.83
9000.00
9100.00
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Priceaction
Gold Price ActionHello Traders,
Take a look at the higher timeframe (4H)—it's clear that the market is in an uptrend. Here, we can see a rally-base-rally formation, indicating a continuation of the trend.
We can follow the market momentum and look for opportunities near the 15M zone or even before the price reverses. Keep a close watch and consider going long, but always remember to manage your risk properly.
Wishing you all the best and happy trading!
Thank you.
#202507 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Last week my bearish take was wrong again and market moved closer to 23000 than below 22000. Until bears start closing gaps below and breaking bull trend lines, this is still max bullish, no matter the valuations. Still hard to buy the highs, given that we are trading either above or at the high of all of the ones you can draw. We are also far away from the daily 20ema and markets always come back to them. For now it’s useless to look for shorts because bears are not doing anything to have a decent trade setup for shorts. Bulls buy every dip and make money, so join them until it stops working. Trade small.
current market cycle: Bull trend (very climactic move last weeks, market needs to take a breather but it doesn’t)
key levels: 21800 - 23000
bull case: Not much difference to last week, other that we are 700 points higher. Bulls buy it all because it continues to be profitable. Clear bull trend line around 21800 and if we get there, we can expect heavy buying to happen but I highly doubt we get there in the first place. Upper target is 23000. I expect a sideways correction much more than one to the downside. Longs closer to 22000 are better than ones closer to 22600, obviously.
Invalidation is below 21800.
bear case: A decent pull-back is overdue but that does not make it happen tomorrow. Bears need to start by closing the gap down to 22150 and testing the bull trend line. For now we can’t expect them to get much more than that. It’s likely that we only see the beginning of more profit taking, once we stop making daily new ath and market stops finding buyers buying new highs. Hasn’t happened yet, so don’t spend too much time looking to short this. Daily close below 22000 would be a huge surprise to me and then we can talk lower targets.
Invalidation is above 23000.
short term: Neutral until we have a daily close below 22000. Can only look for longs until we clearly stop making daily new ath and see bigger selling pressure.
medium-long term from 2024-02-16: As much as I would love to see this 30% lower, it’s not happening anytime soon. Market will probably has to move sideways for some weeks before this could go down. For now it’s still only up. 23000 likely next.
current swing trade: Burned the last shorts. Only long scalps for me as of now.
chart update: Just highlighted current bull trend lines.
#202507 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-mini futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bulls got the higher high. Next stop is likely a new ath above 22450. Weekly candle closed at the very top and all dips were bought last week. Let’s see how high we can go now. Bears can only dream of going below 21800 again.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 20500 - 22100
bull case: 22k was support on Friday and that’s my line in the sand for bulls. We stay above, much more upside to follow. Next targets are the obvious ath 22450 but my next ones would be 22500 and then 23000. We have a bigger bull trend line around 21700 but also one on the 1h tf at 22150. In any case, bulls should keep it above 22000 or we could go 200-300 points lower from there. The weekly chart shows nested bull wedges and we could go up to 22700 for the most recent one. Problem for the bulls is that we don’t have a single monthly close above 21946 so this month’s end will be interesting if we stay above 22000 until then.
Invalidation is below 21900.
bear case: Bears gave up on Thursday and Friday and they will probably try again near 22450. If bears somehow manage to break below Friday’s low 22042/22000, their next target would be the breakout price at 21930 but that is very low probability as of now. If anything it would be news related and we saw every news bomb being bought last week, even hot cpi/ppi numbers.
Invalidation is above 22500.
short term: Bulls bought it all last week and I think Thu/Fri showed bears giving up. We can only assume higher prices next week and a retest of the ath. Dips are likely very good buying opportunities if we stay above 22000.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-16: Bulls are on their way of making a new ath again. So no bearish thoughts until market character changes dramatically again. I can see this going up to 23000 but not beyond. No bigger opinion on a medium-term outlook for this.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Removed bearish trash.
#202507 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: No bigger opinion on this trading range. 70 holds, we chop until a bigger news event pushes us above 74. Below 70 we could flush to 69 and then 67.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 70 - 75
bull case: Bulls preventing meaningful lower lows but we have a clear bear trend line. Bulls are still favored going into next week to buy around 70 and test back up to at least 72. They want to break above the Tuesday high 73.67 and make the market more neutral again. If they get it, we could test 75 next.
Invalidation is below 69.7.
bear case: Bears have closed the week near the lows and they want to poke at 70 until it fails. I have no idea how likely that is next week but for now it’s support and if we see decent buying pressure tomorrow, bulls are favored. Volume is also trash again. Below 70 we test 69 and then 67.
Invalidation is above 75.
short term: Neutral for now. Still no interest in this tbh. 70 should hold but the last thing I want to do is buying this. Nothing has changed since last Sunday. Play the range or trade something else.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-19: Triangle is dead and market is now in a proper trading range with upside to 80 or even 85.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Nothing
#202507 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Yeah I won’t make stuff up this week either. Range is the same and we saw some expansion last week but barely. Targets for both sides remain the same and if you don’t like trading ranges, stop reading here. I have no idea where the next breakout will happen but a slightly bearish bias due to this market going sideways 12k points below ath while nasdaq is pumping.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 90k - 110k
bull case: Bulls printed another lower high and have nothing to show for after this week. They need daily closes above the 20ema and 100k to gain control again. Same stuff as last week.
Invalidation is below 88k.
bear case: Market is totally neutral. If bears start closing bars below 90k we can talk bear targets again. For now it’s nested triangles.
Invalidation is above 110k.
short term: Neutral. Play the range until broken.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-19: 75000 is my biggest target for now and until bears get there, any lower target is just unreasonable. My bias is bearish going into 2025 and I think the odds of a bigger leg down are good.
We are in a big trading range until it’s clearly broken. Bearish targets will only happen once we get a strong move below 90k.
current swing trade: Nope
chart update: Added the smaller triangle as well.
MARKET STRUCTURE FOR GOLDIn this analysis I'm looking for a buy trade opportunity. According to my analyze and my strategy I'm expecting that gold price retest first at least my demand zone and then pushing up again. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#XAUUSD 15M Technical Analysis Expected Move.
GBPJPY ANALYSISIn GBPJPY currency pair we're looking and expecting further bearish move continuation. Let's see what happen and which opportunity market will give us.
Time Frame: 4H
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#GBPJPY 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
Get Her ROSE for Just 4 Cents This Valentine!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
🌹Instead of spending tens of bucks on a few roses this Valentine’s Day, get her hundreds of ROSE tokens—she'll thank you later!
📈ROSE has been overall bearish trading within the falling blue channel and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the $0.03 - $0.05 zone is a strong support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue arrow zone is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #ROSE approaches the intersection zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
USOIL(WTI) Price ActionHello Traders,
I hope you all had a great weekend and made some profits last week! As the market opens today, I’ve identified another setup on USOIL (WTI) . Here’s the breakdown:
1. Zones Marked:
- On the 4H chart, I’ve marked two key zones: a Supply Zone and a Demand Zone.
- Switching to the M30 chart, I’ve marked an additional Demand Zone.
2. Liquidity Line:
- You’ll notice a Liquidity Line on the chart. Wait for a sweep of this level before considering any trades.
3. Entry Strategy:
- Move to the M15 chart for a precise entry to lower your risk.
- Look for bullish momentum to confirm a long position.
4. Take Profit (TP):
- The TP levels will remain the same as planned.
5. Volume Observation:
- Volume is currently low, which could indicate a potential divergence. Keep an eye on this as it may impact the trade.
6. Risk Management:
- Always manage your risk carefully. Avoid trading blindly and stick to your plan.
Wishing you all the best and happy trading! Let’s make it a profitable week. Thank you!
Bitcoin Dominance Analysis Channel Rejection and Its Impact Bitcoin Dominance is currently trading within a well-defined downward channel, indicating a consistent decline over time. Recently, dominance attempted to break below the channel but failed, resulting in a re-entry back into the channel. This failed breakdown suggests that the bearish momentum is weakening, at least temporarily.
A declining Bitcoin dominance typically signals a potential bullish phase for altcoins, as market capital moves away from Bitcoin into alternative cryptocurrencies. However, in this scenario, the downward movement is relatively slow, confined within the channel, which explains the lack of a strong recovery in the altcoin market.
For a more significant altcoin rally, we need to see a clear breakdown of this channel, accompanied by a sharper decline in dominance. A rapid drop would likely trigger stronger buying activity in altcoins, providing better opportunities for traders.
It's crucial to monitor Bitcoin dominance closely, as its next move will provide key insights into potential market shifts. Stay alert and adjust your trading strategy accordingly.
If you find these market insights helpful and want to stay updated with more trade setups and detailed analysis and join my community,feel free to ping me.
TOSH/USD Long Setup: OTE + Fake Supply zone reclaimed I've spotted a great long opportunity on TOSH/USD using a combination of advanced market analysis techniques:
1️⃣ Liquidity grab below recent lows, clearing out impatient buyers.
2️⃣ Entry at the OTE zone (Optimal Trade Entry) between 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, a key area for strong rejections.
3️⃣ A fake supply zone has been reclaimed, signaling bullish intent.
🎯 Trade Details:
Entry: 0.0006900 (validated in the OTE zone).
Context: Liquidity sweep below support followed by a bullish re-entry.
Confirmation: Clean reclaim of the fake supply zone with momentum.
Stop Loss: Below the last swing low for proper risk management.
Take Profits:
TP1: Previous Higher High (HH). 🚀
📊 Plan:
I’m watching for strong confirmation in the OTE zone and increased volume as the fake supply zone is reclaimed. Risk management is key—position sizing is based on capital and stop-loss placement.
This is not financial advice, just my personal setup idea based on market structure. What’s your take? Let me know below! 👇"
GOLD - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2789.95 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2789.95 is broken.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 2942.55 on 02/11/2025, so more losses to support(s) 2879.11, 2833.00 and minimum to Major Support (2789.95) is expected.
Supports and Resistances:
3000.00
2942.55
2879.11
2833.00
2726.10
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GBP/USD: Bulls in Control… For Now! Key Levels to Watch Hello Folks
GBP/USD is holding strong above 1.2533, and I see a potential bullish move toward 1.2805 if momentum continues. But I’m staying flexible—if price breaks below 1.2450, my bias shifts, and I’ll look for downside targets instead. 📊
📍 Here’s how I see it:
✅ Bullish above: 1.2533 → 1.2627 → 1.2650 → 1.2805 🚀
❌ Bearish shift below: 1.2450 → 1.2378 👀
💡 My Plan:
As long as GBP/USD stays above 1.2533, I’m bullish and expecting a push toward 1.2805 📈
If price drops below 1.2450, I’ll reconsider and look for shorts instead 📉
⚠️ No need to rush—let the market confirm the move!
Crude Oil - Ichimoku Theories + Price Action ConceptsNYMEX:CL1!
Combining your Ichimoku strategy, with market structure orderblocks, could provide you with support & resistance levels, for your Ichimoku trend bias.
- Here is Crude Oil futures, on a 4H timeframe
- Analyze how the orderblocks, provide key level resistance, for your short positions
2025-02-13 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: As expected after yesterday’s cpi reversal, bears are not strong enough and bulls wanted a higher high badly. Now a new ath is much more likely than prices below 21800. Max bullishness would be if we stay above 22k but everything above 21900 is ok for the bulls. We have a decent channel on the 1h tf but it’s not steep enough to get to 21400 tomorrow. So it’s probably best to pay more attention to the lower trend line and not looking to short the upper one.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21800 - 22500
bull case: Bulls now only need to keep it above 21900 and bears can’t hold shorts on this. We could easily print 22500 or higher tomorrow. Today we had wild swings on smaller time-frames so I doubt many bulls would want to buy the highs but we should know an hour into the Globex session if we can expect sideways to down first or if bulls just keep it above 22k in fear of not getting enough points to the upside. Odds are good for a max long day tomorrow.
Invalidation is below 21900.
bear case: Bears can scalp short on new highs but the risk of getting trapped if we break above was never higher this week. If they somehow manage to get below 21900 again, the bull case would be in trouble but for now we are making clear higher highs and higher lows. Could bears stay below 22100 tomorrow and break sideways out of the channel? Yeah but we closed at 22094. If Globex sells-off hard, might happen but I doubt it. Bears do not have much here.
Invalidation is above 22150.
short term: Clear plan. Stay above 21900 and long for 22400+. Dip below and see if bears can generate follow-through. Leaning heavily bullish though.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-09: Another lower high but also higher lows. Bears are not doing enough, so we are in a trading range below the ath. We are close to it that there is always the possibility of printing a higher high again. Bears need lower lows below 20600 before we can talk about 20000 again.
trade of the day: Strong selling on the open but by now everyone knows bears are only getting trapped this week, so buying around 21750 was where market found support late yesterday and we dipped only 6 points below the low from yesterday evening. Market refused to go down after the early EU session selling was done, so long it was. The pullback from 22000 down to 21890 was deep and holding longs through it was tough but if you look at the 1h chart at the end of the day, it was much more bullish than lower time-frames suggested.
GBPJPY Price ActionHello Traders,
If you entered during the aggressive selling phase, I hope you managed to capture at least 100 pips! Now, as you can see, the price action has formed a Head & Shoulders pattern. However, I don’t trade patterns blindly—this setup is backed by a fresh 4-hour Supply and Demand zone, which adds more weight to the trade idea.
If the price respects this zone, we can expect a drop. But remember, always take small risks and manage your position size wisely. Don’t get greedy—stick to your plan and let the market do its thing. The beauty of trading is that the market repeats itself over and over again.
Stay disciplined, trade smart, and happy trading!
GBPJPY Price ActionWe’ve already hit our take-profit (TP) target, and the price has now reached the highest volume zone, which is where it previously dropped from. Currently, the price is attempting to form a higher high, but the upward momentum is slowing down. If you look at the volume, there’s a noticeable divergence—price is making progress, but the volume at the bottom isn’t significant, indicating weakness in the move.
For your take-profit levels, you can aim for TP1 which around 250+ pips during the initial impulse move and TP2 which is 450+ pips if the price continues to push higher. Keep an eye on the volume and momentum for confirmation.
Hint - FOR SL Don't use more than 30-40 Pips or MAX 50 Pips Depends Your Lot Size and Risk Management.
GBPCHF: Range BreakoutThis range breakout follows the same pattern as my other idea on CADCHF. In a very similar fashion, price has been in a range since September 2024.
The upper range boundary has shown signs of weakening or breaching a couple of times over the past few months. However, price recently closed above this range level over the past two days, which indicates a higher probability of sustained breakout.
The daily ATR is currently 64.3 pips. This sets my trading parameters at TP 32 and SL 64. Note that I'm only targeting 0.5x ATR because I scale into positions, but I also want to ensure I'm able to secure a profit with minimal holding costs.
CADCHF: Range BreakoutCADHCF has been in a range since August 2024. This range is quite wide at approximately 160~ pips.
Another observable detail is that the upper range boundary breached twice - once in November 2024 and then again last month, in January 2025.
Right now, in early-February, price is showing signs of breaching the upper range boundary again. Unlike the previous breakouts, this one seems more sustained.
Right now, the daily ATR is 41.4 pips. This sets my trading parameters at TP 20 and SL 41.