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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEIn this analysis, we're examining the 2-hour time frame of gold. Looking closely, we can see the market has formed a parallel support and resistance level. Additionally, it has broken through both the previous CHOCH and the previous internal HIGH. This confirms that the market is currently operating within its internal structure. Based on my theory and approach, I’m anticipating a potential buying opportunity from this key area. Now, let’s watch closely to see how the market unfolds and which direction the price takes once it opens. Key levels: 2675 - 2660 Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. #XAUUSD 2H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradeTacticsreal
2025-01-15 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500 e-mini futures - Neutral around 6000. Market is close to the daily 20ema, bear trend line and big round number 6000. I won’t even think about longing this but it’s obviously wrong to short too early. As long as bulls keep it above 5950, they are good and in full control of the market. Targets above are 6030 and then 5050. If bulls break above the bear trend line, there aren’t many reasons why we could not just melt to 6100+. comment: Huge bull day but right at multiple prior resistances. Bad buy no matter how you put it. I would actually not be surprised if we trade below 5950 or lower tomorrow. We have been going wildly up and down in this bear wedge/channel and that pattern is valid until clearly broken. current market cycle: trading range (bear channel/wedge on the daily tf) key levels: 5900 - 6030 bull case: Bulls got the big move from the CPI news and they want to test the bear trend line and break above it. It’s just not a good buy and hoping for a breakout. I won’t make stuff up here. If bulls break above 6020, next target is 6068 and then 6100. Invalidation is below 5795. bear case: Bears need anything to stop the rally. They have good arguments with the daily ema, bear trend line and big round number 6000. They came around the prior weeks and until that bear trend line is broken, I expect them to keep this a lower high as well. It would be pretty funny if we completely reverse today before we go into the weekend. Invalidation is above 6030. short term: Bearish below 5950 and bullish only above 6020. Neutral in between. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-22: Ultimately 5200-5300 in 2025. Again, rough guess as of now and since we have not seen a strong first bear leg, these targets are the lowest I am willing to give an honest outlook about. If bears surprise and we see a huge leg down to 5500, we will go much lower for the second and third leg. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buying the double bottom on the 15m chart around 5956 was good.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
2025-01-15 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax xetra - Neutral and waiting for bears. New ath 20629 and market stayed above 20600, which is very bullish. Bears would need a miracle to reverse this over the next 1-2 days. We are once again at multiple upper bullish trend lines that should be resistance but market could just continue higher. I don’t have any interest in buying this but would need very strong signals to short this right now. I still think the bull wedge is the pattern to trade here and I wait for bears to come around. comment: What are the odds of 20629 being the high and we go down from here? Low at best. Since the overall markets have been choppy as hell, it’s not entirely out of the question that this could reverse strongly but I highly doubt it. current market cycle: bull wedge key levels: 20100 - 20700 bull case: Bulls got a new ath and now what? I have two trend lines that have room to be hit and one would even get us to 21000. Bulls want the obvious follow through and preferably stay above the 15m or 60m 20ema and just continue higher. Buying above 20600 is hard though. Stop would have to be at least 20420 and betting on this getting to 20800 is a stretch but so was making a new ath again. I got two measured move targets 20800 and 21000. Invalidation is below 20420. bear case: Bears pretty much did nothing since EU open and we can’t expect them to come around all of a sudden tomorrow. Best bears can hope for here is to stop the advance and go sideways until we get a new impulse. Trading consecutive bear bars below the 15m 20ema is their first target for tomorrow and if a miracle happens, retesting 20420 would be the next target. Invalidation is above 20650. short term: Neutral. Bullish if momentum continues and we stay above 15m or 60m 20ema. Bears can only get me below 20420 again. medium-long term from 2024-12-22: Any short near 20000 is reasonable if you can hold for another 1000 points higher. 17000 is much more likely than 21000 though. My first target for the next months is 19000, followed by 17700ish and ultimately down to 16000-16300 in 2025. current swing trade: None - cut my losses on last position. Need to see bigger bear bars first before thinking about it again. trade of the day: Could have bought anywhere and made money. Most happened due to news, so that’s always tough and I never gamble on it.
XETR:DAX
by priceactiontds
7
BiTcoinThe corrective scenario is valid only if the $89,308 support zone is fully mitigated. After a single liquidity sweep into this level, we anticipate a bullish retracement targeting the $106,225 price range, where sell-side liquidity is expected to be tapped. Following this, a bearish continuation toward the $84,000 zone is likely. If the $89,308 support zone remains unmitigated and the $101,195 resistance zone is fully cleared, the probability of revisiting lower levels becomes invalid for now. That said, considering the current market structure and order flow, the bearish scenario appears more probable, but confirmation is still required. What’s your perspective on this?
Short
by BiTBingo
FIL on the Rise Eyeing a Breakout to $6+Key Observations 1. Channel Formation The price is attempting to move within an ascending channel formation. The lower trendline acts as support, while the upper trendline serves as resistance. 2.Current Price Action The price is approaching the upper boundary of the channel. To confirm bullish momentum, a strong 4-hour candle close above the channel is essential. 3. Resistance and Target A breakout above the channel indicates a bullish continuation, with the immediate target around $6+. $5.50 might act as minor resistance before the target. 4.Support Levels If the price fails to break out, the lower channel line (around $5.00) will serve as a critical support zone. A break below this support could invalidate the bullish scenario. 5. Volume Confirmation Monitor trading volume for confirmation. A breakout with high volume increases the likelihood of reaching the target. 6. Market Sentiment Current sentiment aligns with a potential bullish breakout if external factors like Bitcoin movement or news events don’t cause significant volatility. Strategy Entry: Wait for a confirmed 4-hour candle close above the upper trendline with support retest. Target: $6.00+ Stop-Loss : Below the channel’s lower boundary (e.g $4.90) The setup looks promising, but caution is advised due to market volatility. Always use proper risk management when trading.
by wolfchemist
BTC on the Edge Falling Wedge Breakout & CPI Impact Awaited !The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 4-hour timeframe, moving within a falling wedge pattern The falling wedge pattern is a bullish continuation/reversal formation, where the price compresses within converging trendlines. BTC has been respecting the pattern's boundaries, suggesting a potential breakout. The immediate resistance zone at $97,200 has been tested multiple times, but the price has faced consistent rejections, indicating strong selling pressure in this area. For a bullish breakout, we need a 4-hour candle close above $97,200. If this happens, it could trigger a strong upward momentum, with a target potentially extending towards the $104,000 region, aligning with previous highs. The presence of CPI (Consumer Price Index) data release today adds an external factor of volatility. Economic data like CPI can significantly impact the market sentiment, especially in crypto, as it reflects inflation levels and can influence risk-on or risk-off market behavior. Traders should exercise caution and consider these key factors Monitor the wedge breakout closely. Await a confirmed 4-hour candle close above $97,200 before entering a long position. Use proper risk management, as the market is expected to be volatile due to the CPI data. BTC is on the verge of a potential breakout. However, external factors like CPI data can amplify volatility. Wait for confirmation and trade cautiously.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.P
by wolfchemist
XRP - Roadmap to $3Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📦XRP has been trading within a large range, bounded by two round numbers, $2 and $3, forming a symmetrical triangle. Last week, after rejecting the lower boundary of the triangle, XRP turned bullish in the short term. For the bulls to maintain control and regain the long-term trend, a breakout above the red trendline and the green structure is required. Such a breakout would target $3 as the initial objective. 🎯 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
18
2025-01-14 - priceactiontds - daily update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Market is in balance around 94k. Bulls want to test the bear trend line and bears want to get below 94000 to test 90000 again. Market is contracting so don’t make this more complicated as it years. Trade near the extremes and not too much in the middle. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 90000 - 101000 bull case: Bulls had their second leg up but it was weak and market then went sideways below 97k. They need a break above 97400 for more upside and their next obvious target is the big bear trend line, which probably not many expect to be broken on the next hit. They are still trading above the 1h ema, so they are in control and favored for more upside until we trade below it again. Invalidation is below 89000. bear case: Bears need to close a 1h bar below the ema to turn the market neutral again. If they can make 98000 resistance, it would show strength and I don’t think many bulls will hold on to longs if we can’t make it to 100k tomorrow/Thursday. Otherwise bears do not have much on the higher time frames since Monday was so bullish. I expect more bears to come around closer to 100k. Always ask yourself if you had to have a position right now, which side would it be and where would your stop be? Being a bear here is hard because your stop would have to be 103k and that’s 6k points. 1:1 r:r would need to hit 91k. Really not an ideal trade. Invalidation is above 101000. short term: Neutral 94k - 98k. Bulls are in control as long as we are above 94000. We are in an expanding triangle inside a bigger contracting triangle. Market is in breakout mode and we will probably see a breakout later this week or next. medium-long term: 75000 is my biggest target for now and until bears get there, any lower target is just unreasonable. My bias is bearish going into 2025 and I think the odds of a bigger leg down are good. current swing trade: Want to see market closer to the big bear trend line and then more selling pressure before new shorts. trade of the day: Long since EU open was decent or any short near 9700 since market found no buyers above it. The long on EU open was because of strong momentum and a second leg up was expected after Yesterday’s very bullish price action. The 1h 20ema has not been touched at that point, which added to the strength of the bulls.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
2025-01-14 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Neutral. Strong by the bulls to keep the Globex gap open to 20326 but they failed at finding acceptance above 20420. We continue sideways until one side clearly gives up. We are still close to the middle of the bigger triangle so shorts need a stop 20622 and that’s far away. I still slightly favor the bears to rather trade back down to 20200ish than above 20500. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 20200 - 20500 bull case: Bulls want to stay above 20300 and continue upwards to test 20500. They are in control as long as the Globex gap stays open. Bulls are also above most important 20ema and that means they are in control of the market. Their issue is, that they can’t find more buyers above 20400 and all daily bars since last week have decent tails above them. Bulls will only try so many times before more give up and want to short lower again. Invalidation is below 20300. bear case: Bears have a decent head & shoulders pattern that could break down over the next days. The measured move target is around 20150 which was Monday’s low. First target for them would be to close the gap to 20320 and close a 1h bar there. Bulls have bought every touch of the 1h 20ema and until that changes, we continue sideways to up. Problem for the bears is, that we could go up to 20500 or even 20550 to hit the bigger bear trend line. That stop is far away and likely a reason why bears scalp out near support. Invalidation is above 20500. short term: Neutral 20300 - 20400. Bears need a strong move below 20320 and bulls need to find acceptance above 20420. medium-long term from 2024-12-22: Any short near 20000 is reasonable if you can hold for another 1000 points higher. 17000 is much more likely than 21000 though. My first target for the next months is 19000, followed by 17700ish and ultimately down to 16000-16300 in 2025. current swing trade: Scaling in and out of shorts. In above 20450 and out where market shows support (currently 20350). trade of the day: Buying close to the Globex gap was good for many longs. Also selling close to 20500 was a no-brainer since market went mostly sideways before and we had huge prior resistance 20500 and above.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
EURUSD OUTLOOKIn this analyze we are focusing on 4h time frame. As we can see, the price has formed a range and consolidation within a parallel channel on the 4-hour timeframe. Additionally, the price has broken the parallel channel to the downside. If the price retests and reaches our supply area, and shows a bearish rejection, we will execute a sell trade. Intraday traders can hold until Take Profit 1 or 2, while swing traders can hold for the full move. For now, this is my bias; let's see what opportunities the market provides once it opens. Make sure to use a stop loss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. #EURUSD 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
Short
by TradeTacticsreal
EurUsd - This Will Impact Your Trading In 2025!EurUsd ( OANDA:EURUSD ) is heading much lower: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 For basically an entire year, EurUsd has been retesting a massive previous support which was then turned resistance. Over the past couple of months, we then saw a significant drop breaking all structure towards the downside and it is quite likely that this won't stop soon. Levels to watch: $1.090, $0.970 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
Short
by basictradingtv
11
ENA/USDT on the Edge Major Breakdown Signals Big Moves Ahead!The chart showcases ENA/USDT breaking down from a well-established channel pattern, signaling potential bearish momentum. This breakdown indicates a shift in market sentiment, as bulls have failed to hold the key support levels. The price action now reflects a retest of the broken channel's lower boundary, which is likely to act as a significant resistance area. ENA has exited the channel pattern, with the price moving decisively below the structure. This breakdown is a critical bearish signal, as it invalidates the previous trend's upward momentum. The levels of $0.84 and $0.89 will act as key resistance points. The $0.84 level represents the immediate resistance derived from the channel's lower boundary, while $0.89 aligns with a historical supply zone, where sellers are likely to dominate if the price approaches this level. A failure to reclaim these levels will reinforce the bearish bias, encouraging sellers to push the price lower. If the price fails to reclaim the resistance levels, the bearish breakdown could extend toward $0.73, which is the first significant demand zone, followed by $0.66, a mid-level support identified from previous accumulation zones, and $0.58, the ultimate bearish target if selling pressure accelerates. The breakdown has been accompanied by increased sell-side volume, indicating strong participation by sellers. Any attempts to reclaim the resistance levels must also show increasing volume on the buy side to invalidate the bearish structure. The breakdown below the channel has likely shaken bullish confidence. When the price retests the resistance zone between $0.84 and $0.89, short positions may dominate, targeting the lower support levels. Traders should watch for price action near the $0.84 to $0.89 resistance range. A clear rejection at this zone, coupled with low bullish volume, will confirm the bearish continuation. Conversely, if bulls manage to reclaim and hold above $0.89, it could invalidate the bearish outlook and signal a recovery toward $1.00. ENA/USDT has shown significant bearish signs with the channel breakdown and subsequent retest of resistance levels. The likelihood of further downside remains high unless bulls reclaim the $0.89 level. Traders should exercise caution and focus on price action around the key resistance and support zones for optimal trade entries.
Short
by wolfchemist
EthereumThe resistance level at $4165 has not been fully consumed yet. As long as the support area at $2982.5 holds, we can expect a bullish trend similar to the previous scenario. Currently, the probability of a bearish scenario and the consumption of the $2982.5 support level is much higher. If this support zone is consumed, we can expect to see the $2700 price range as well. At the moment, the $3060 and $2700 price zones are considered low-risk areas for buying Ethereum. What’s your take on this?
Short
by BiTBingo
EUR/USD Bearish Setup Short Opportunity at Key Resistance ZoneThis chart suggests a potential short setup for EUR/USD The price has been in a downward trend, making lower highs and lower lows. The current price action indicates a potential retracement towards the marked resistance zone near 1.02820 - 1.03117, which aligns with a possible supply zone. This zone could act as a strong resistance due to previous selling pressure. The price is likely to reject this resistance and resume the downward movement, following the overall bearish trend. A breakdown from the resistance zone could lead to a short opportunity targeting 1.01764 as the first support level. If bearish momentum continues, the price might further decline toward lower levels. Key levels to watch Resistance: 1.02820 - 1.03117 (entry zone for shorts if rejection occurs) First Target: 1.01764 (potential take-profit level) Stop Loss: Above 1.03117 (to protect against a breakout) Confirmation of rejection through candlestick patterns or bearish momentum near the resistance zone is crucial before entering the trade.
Short
by wolfchemist
2
2025-01-13 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Can’t write much new stuff. Still neutral between 20200 and 20300. Bulls were not strong enough to close the gap to Friday’s close but bears were not strong enough to keep it below 20300. We have a clear triangle on the daily tf between 20150 and 20500 and I do expect the market to continue inside for 1-3 more days. Very strong US session close and above 20300 I expect follow-through to 20400/20450ish. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 20100 - 20500 bull case: Bulls want to close the gap to 20350 tomorrow and then more up to 20400/20450 and test the bear trend line. I highly doubt they can break above and test 20500. We stayed above the big bull trend line and the daily 20ema, so bulls did what they had to do. Market is contracting and that means a couple more days of sideways price action before another big breakout. Invalidation is below 20100. bear case: Bears tested the bull trend line but quickly gave up trying to push this below. Best they can get now is sideways and staying below 20350/20400. If they can manage, we can poke more at the bull trend line until one side gives up. My medium term bias is bearish, so I expect the triangle on the daily tf to break out below. Invalidation is above 20500. short term: Neutral 20200 - 20300. Bearish below for 20150 and bullish above for 20400. medium-long term from 2024-12-22: Any short near 20000 is reasonable if you can hold for another 1000 points higher. 17000 is much more likely than 21000 though. My first target for the next months is 19000, followed by 17700ish and ultimately down to 16000-16300 in 2025. current swing trade: Took most off at 20180 and want to short again closer to 20400/20500. trade of the day: Selling the open because the selling pressure was very strong. Market then went sideways too much around 20200 and taking profits was reasonable. Buying the breakout above 20230 was also decent.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
2025-01-13 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Strong buying into US close and I expect 5900 to be hit tomorrow or Wednesday. The bear channel is valid until broken, so I want to either long closer to 5800 or short closer to 5900. current market cycle: trading range (descending triangle on the daily tf) key levels: 5800 - 6020 bull case: Bulls want to hit 5900 again and the bear trend line from the descending triangle. Their breakout late today is reasonably strong to expect follow-through tomorrow. I would not be surprised if we see early weakness and then a lower high around 5830/5840 before we move higher. Invalidation is below 5795. bear case: Bears will likely wait for 5900 and the bear trend line before they initiate bigger shorts again. Overall we see more two-sided trading today than a strong bull trend, which means the upside is likely limited and prior resistance will hold. Bears want to hit 5800 and likely somewhat lower to retest the October and November lows. Invalidation is above 6030. short term: Bearish closer to 5900 to trade back down to 5800 and longs only on a decent dip below 5850 again for target 5900. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-22: Ultimately 5200-5300 in 2025. Again, rough guess as of now and since we have not seen a strong first bear leg, these targets are the lowest I am willing to give an honest outlook about. If bears surprise and we see a huge leg down to 5500, we will go much lower for the second and third leg. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buy low, sell high. Clear range 5820 - 5840 which was amazing to trade back and forth.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds