USDJPY | FVG + OB + Weak Low Target = Textbook SMC Setup📊 USDJPY | 1H Bearish Play – Smart Money In Control
We’re seeing a classic setup where price retraces into a bearish zone of confluence and prepares for a selloff toward internal liquidity. Check the breakdown:
🔻 1. Structure Shift Confirmed
Price broke structure on the downside after forming a lower high
Current move is a retracement into discount OB zone
Clear rejection is forming, signaling short momentum incoming
🟪 2. Zone Confluence
📌 Order Block (OB): Sitting just under the 61.8% Fib
📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG): Mitigated perfectly
📌 Fib Retracement: Price reacts between 61.8% and 70.5% — classic Smart Money play
📌 Previous Demand Turned Supply: This level is now acting as a rejection zone
This is stacked confluence — just how Smart Money likes to move.
💣 3. Entry Strategy
Entry Zone: 142.55 (midpoint of the OB reaction area)
Stop Loss: Above 143.443 (above OB + liquidity wick)
Take Profit: 139.888 (weak low, previous liquidity resting point)
⚖️ 4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
🎯 TP = 139.888
📍 Entry = 142.550
🔐 SL = 143.443
✅ RRR ≈ 1:3.5
A great example of high-probability short setup using pure Smart Money logic.
📉 5. Why This Works
Retail traders will try to long at this zone hoping for a breakout
Smart Money uses this zone to engineer liquidity
They tap into the FVG/OB, then target internal liquidity and weak lows
Clean, controlled sell-off expected down to 139.888
🧠 SMC Insights
This chart is all about liquidity engineering:
Push up into OB
Reject at premium pricing
Drive down to weak low to collect stops
Possibly reverse or continue trend from there
💬 Comment “FVG TAP + OB = 🔥” if you spotted this setup early
💾 Save it before the drop happens
📤 Share with a fellow SMC trader who needs this breakdown
Priceaction
BTC Short Locked – FVG + 79% Fib = Liquidity Grab Incoming📉 BTCUSD | 1H Smart Money Short – Premium Rejection in Play
Bitcoin just tapped into a nasty supply zone that aligns with:
🟥 Fair Value Gap (FVG)
🔻 79% Fibonacci Retracement
💥 Previous Breaker Block Zone
🧠 Clean Internal Liquidity sweep
🚩 Structure still bearish – no HH
🔍 1. Market Structure Breakdown
Price broke down aggressively from the top (early signs of redistribution)
We’re now retesting the FVG + OB zone
No candle close above the Strong High = still valid bearish context
🧱 2. Zone Confluence
📍 FVG (Fair Value Gap): Imbalance created during impulsive sell-off
📍 OB + Breaker: Strong resistance holding inside 70.5%–79% retracement
📍 Strong High: Still protected
📍 Weak Low: Below = prime target for liquidity sweep
Price kissed the edge of that 79% Fib and immediately rejected = 🔥 confidence for a swing short
🎯 3. Trade Plan
Entry: Around 110,800 (inside FVG zone)
Stop Loss: Above 112,400 (Strong High)
Take Profit: 105,248 (below Weak Low liquidity)
⚖️ 4. RRR (Risk-Reward Ratio)
📥 Entry: 110,800
🔒 SL: 112,400
💰 TP: 105,248
✅ RRR ≈ 1:3.5
Solid asymmetric setup with clearly defined structure, inducement, and imbalance = Smart Money textbook trade.
📉 5. Why This Works
Retail longs are entering late = exit liquidity for big players
Price filled the FVG but failed to break structure
Weak low below is clean AF, likely to be swept for continuation
1H/4H alignment = high conviction short
💬 Type "SHORTED BTC 💥" if you saw this setup before the drop!
📌 Bookmark this – confluence stacking is how you win consistently
👊 Share this with someone still buying the top 📈🙃
GU-Tue-27/05/25 TDA-Great pullback, good structure is forming!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Consistency, show up daily is not easy. Many
in fact will quit. If you want to really get good
at something you need to put into hard work.
Short cuts will benefit short term, but long term
it will cost you!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
2025-05-26 - priceactiontds - daily update - dax
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Back where we started on Friday and I do think one more big leg down will finally be enough for the persistent btfd crowd to scale it down a bit. So far it has been profitable and that’s why bears need a big gap that does not close or otherwise we just continue sideways to up. Bulls need to get trapped for this to end.
current market cycle: broad bull channel
key levels: 23000 - 24300
bull case: Watch the 1h 20ema tomorrow. If we stay above, we can make another ath and it’s possible we see more upside above 24200. Since all my bull targets are met and I have no interest in buying this, I won’t be your guide in looking for longs here. I think buying above 24000, while we wait for 50% tariffs to the US, qualifies for most stupid the trade of the year. I’m happy for you if you make money on any side though.
Invalidation is below 23300.
bear case: Even if tariffs won’t be 50% and only 10%, it would still mean less business for everyone. Markets are not pricing the risks right and are begging to get rug pulled. Only a couple times a year markets are so miss-aligned with reality that in hindsight you feel unwell for not risking more. Having said that, now is not the time to short. We need way more selling pressure again. Wait for big bears to appear. Below 23900 we could see a test of 23800 but it will likely be an easy trap for bears so only take it if we either move very strongly down or if we move down over a long time without any decent bounce up.
Invalidation is above 24300.
short term: Neutral. Sitting on hands until bulls run for the exits and big bears come out.
medium-long term from 2025-05-25: My rough guess from early May was down over the summer and up into year end. POTUS certainly helped with the 50% tariffs. I need to see market reaction next week and if there is no 180° reversal until Friday, they will become reality the week after and dax should do 20-30% down over the next months. Markets were not positioned for any risk what so ever. Now we got the atomic trade bomb.
trade of the day: Long since Globex open. Tough.
Bitcoin : Impulse up or Flat Trap!?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
BTC has staged a solid move off the May 25 low — but the context matters. We’re facing two distinct, high-stakes scenarios here: one bullish, one bearish. What happens next hinges on whether the May 25 rally is the start of a new impulse or the final leg (C wave) of an expanded flat off the all-time high.
Structure Breakdown
Bearish View: We’re completing a textbook expanded flat from the ATH:
A wave started May 23
B wave pushed to a lower low.
C wave began May 25 and is likely wrapping up now
If valid, this sets the stage for a powerful Wave 3 down.
Bullish View: The May 25 low marked the end of a corrective phase:
Rally from that low is an impulsive Wave 1
A pullback to the 108k golden zone would represent Wave 2
Wave 3/C up could follow from that base
What to Watch
The area around 108,000–107,100 is a magnet. If price retraces into this zone with a corrective look and holds, bulls could be in control. But if we roll over hard from here, it supports the expanded flat thesis — and a much deeper move likely follows.
Outlook
This is a moment for sharpen focus. The chart structure is clean, but the outcome isn't binary until we see what kind of retrace (if any) forms.
Watch 108k like a hawk. If bulls defend it, there’s room to talk new highs. If we break impulsively from here, expect acceleration lower — fast.
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
EUR/GBP Bullish Breakout Forming – Falling Wedge & Retest SetupEUR/GBP has been in a prolonged downtrend over the past several weeks, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. However, the recent price action shows signs of exhaustion in selling pressure, as the candles begin to compress into a Falling Wedge pattern — a classic bullish reversal formation.
The wedge is defined by two descending, converging trendlines. As price moves closer to the apex of this wedge, volatility contracts and volume typically dries up (not shown here, but conceptually expected). This signals that market participants are preparing for a directional breakout, most likely to the upside in this context.
🔍 Key Technical Elements:
🔸 1. Falling Wedge Pattern:
The Falling Wedge is a bullish setup that forms during a downtrend and signals a potential reversal when confirmed. Price here has followed a steady decline, but the slowing momentum and structure of the wedge suggest the sellers are losing control.
The wedge acts as a compression zone, where bearish moves are becoming less impactful.
Price touches both upper and lower wedge boundaries multiple times, increasing pattern validity.
A breakout has already occurred, and the pair is now undergoing a textbook retest of the broken wedge resistance (now acting as support).
🔸 2. Retest at Key Support Zone (SR Interchange):
The retest is happening precisely at a former support/resistance flip zone, labeled SR – Interchange on the chart. This is a historically significant area where price has reacted multiple times, adding confluence to the setup.
If this level holds during the retest, it may invite strong buying interest, fueling the bullish breakout move.
🔸 3. Resistance Zones & Targets:
Inner Resistance (~0.8460): First hurdle for bulls; breaching this will signal strong momentum.
Minor Resistance (~0.85618): This is the primary target of the setup, based on previous structure and wedge height projection.
Major Resistance (~0.8740): A longer-term bullish objective if momentum sustains beyond the first two targets.
These zones serve as logical areas for profit-taking and reassessment.
📐 Measured Move & Target Projection:
The projected breakout target of 0.85618 is derived using a combination of:
The vertical height of the wedge at its thickest point.
Previous market structure resistance zones.
Fibonacci and price symmetry (if analyzed further).
This target also aligns with a previous supply zone, making it a strong magnet for price if bullish momentum kicks in.
💡 Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice):
This setup provides a good risk-to-reward opportunity if executed with patience and proper confirmation:
Entry Zone: After bullish confirmation at the retest (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or break of minor lower high).
Stop Loss: Below the SR Interchange zone or recent swing low (~0.8350–0.8360).
Target 1: Inner Resistance (~0.8460)
Target 2: Minor Resistance (~0.85618)
Target 3 (extended): Major Resistance (~0.8740)
🔄 Market Psychology:
This chart setup reflects a shift in momentum and sentiment:
Sellers have driven the price down consistently but have failed to create new significant lows with force.
Buyers are stepping in at key demand zones, creating higher lows within the wedge.
The breakout suggests smart money accumulation, and the current retest offers one of the last low-risk entries before a broader move.
🔔 Confirmation to Watch:
Bullish reversal candlestick patterns at the retest zone.
Break above local lower highs near 0.8440–0.8460.
Momentum indicators (if used) showing divergence or crossover confirmation.
📉 Bias:
Short-Term Bullish
Valid if support at 0.8390–0.8400 holds and price confirms breakout continuation.
🧠 Minds Post (Expanded Explanation)
Title: EUR/GBP Bullish Reversal Developing – Falling Wedge Breakout Retest
EUR/GBP has broken out of a textbook falling wedge on the 4H chart, which often signals the end of a downtrend and beginning of a new bullish phase. The price is currently pulling back, testing the breakout zone — a crucial step in confirming the validity of the breakout.
If this retest holds, we may see a sharp move toward the 0.8460 and 0.8560 levels — both key resistances based on past price action.
This pattern reflects a deeper market psychology shift — from consistent bearish dominance to a potential bullish takeover. Smart money may already be positioning here.
I’m watching for confirmation at the support zone around 0.8390. If price holds and breaks above local highs, a continuation toward the upper resistance is likely.
Let the market come to you. Don’t chase. Wait for structure, then trade with confidence.
EUR/USD Breakdown Imminent – Rising Wedge at Major ResistanceOn the 1H chart, EUR/USD has developed a Rising Wedge pattern, a classical bearish reversal formation. The pair has been moving higher within a tightening structure, marked by converging trendlines—indicating weakening bullish momentum.
What makes this pattern more compelling is that it’s occurring just below a well-defined Major Resistance Zone around 1.1380–1.1400, where previous attempts to break higher have failed. This area has historically acted as a strong supply zone, increasing the probability of a reversal.
🔍 Key Technical Components:
Rising Wedge Pattern: The wedge reflects a temporary uptrend with weakening strength. Bullish candles are getting smaller, and volume appears to be fading (not shown here but typically expected in this setup).
Black Mind Curve Support: A custom support curve illustrating the underlying parabolic trend. Once this is broken, it often leads to a steeper selloff.
Change of Character (CHOCH): Around the 1.1260 level, there's a possible shift from bullish to bearish structure. If price breaks and closes below this level, it will likely confirm a momentum reversal.
Target Projection: The measured move and previous structural support suggest a drop toward 1.11479, which coincides with a prior demand zone. This also aligns with a potential liquidity sweep beneath recent lows.
🔔 Price Action Signals to Watch:
Bearish engulfing candles or strong rejections from the wedge’s upper boundary.
Breakdown below the lower wedge line and the curved support.
CHOCH confirmation – market structure shift from bullish to bearish around 1.1260.
Retest of the wedge breakout level, followed by continuation to the downside.
📌 Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice):
Entry: On break and retest of wedge support.
Stop Loss: Above the wedge high or resistance (~1.1400).
Target: 1.11479 for first take-profit level; partials can be taken at 1.1260 if needed.
📉 Bias:
Short-Term Bearish – Only upon wedge breakdown and confirmation.
🧠 Minds Section (Expanded for Traders' Perspective)
EUR/USD is approaching a critical technical juncture. We are seeing a textbook rising wedge formation into a major resistance zone, signaling exhaustion of bullish strength. While the pair has enjoyed upward momentum, price action is showing signs of slowing, and the structure is no longer sustainable.
This pattern often traps late buyers before reversing. We are closely watching the lower wedge boundary and curved support—a breakdown here will likely trigger bearish momentum, especially with the CHOCH area near 1.1260 acting as a structure-defining level.
If sellers gain control and the breakdown confirms, there’s high probability for a fall to 1.11479, targeting prior demand zones and potential liquidity pockets.
Now is the time to be cautious if long, or begin planning short setups. Wait for confirmation—no need to rush the trade.
EURUSD - SHORT PREDICTION - MONDAY, 26TH MAY 2025A pullback appears to be underway, following a sweep of inducement around the 15-minute level at 1.13900—marking our first significant Change of Character (CHoCH). This shift aligns with the broader narrative from the 1-hour timeframe, suggesting the potential for a deeper retracement into the extreme 1H order block.
With the current price trading around 1.13777, we anticipate a move back up to the 1.14078 level. This area is of interest for initiating short positions, in line with the ongoing correction.
Our first take-profit target is set at 1.13368, where we expect an initial reaction. Should bearish momentum continue, we foresee price extending lower to sweep the previous daily low at 1.12771 and potentially tapping into the daily external order block at 1.12664.
From there, we’ll closely monitor price behavior. If bullish intent begins to form, we’ll assess the potential for long setups targeting a move back toward the weekly high at 1.14190.
JPY/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish Reversal in Play🔎 Technical Breakdown:
1. Rising Wedge Formation:
The pair has been trading within a Rising Wedge, a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price makes higher highs and higher lows but with diminishing momentum. The wedge is visible from the swing low on May 13, where price began to climb aggressively but within increasingly narrow price action. This narrowing range signals weakening bullish strength.
2. Key Resistance Zone:
The wedge forms right below a Major Resistance Zone marked earlier in the chart (around 0.007050), where price had previously faced heavy selling pressure. This adds confluence to the bearish bias, as the zone historically acted as a turning point.
3. SR Interchange Zone:
Below the wedge lies a Support-turned-Resistance (SR) Interchange level, a critical price area where past support may now act as resistance if the price attempts to retrace. This is a commonly watched level by institutional and technical traders.
4. Breakdown Confirmation:
The price has broken below the wedge's lower trendline, which is often considered the breakdown signal. A valid breakdown typically includes a close outside the wedge body followed by a retest or continuation.
5. Bearish Target:
The projected move is toward 0.006796, derived by measuring the wedge height and applying it from the breakdown point. This level aligns with a historical support zone, adding more confluence to the target.
🧠 Psychological & Structural View:
Bullish exhaustion: Buyers pushed price higher into resistance, but momentum slowed, signaling exhaustion.
Trapped longs: Traders who entered late in the wedge may now be trapped, potentially accelerating a sell-off as they exit.
Smart money behavior: Rising wedges near resistance often signal distribution by smart money before a drop.
🛠️ Trading Plan Suggestion (Not Financial Advice):
Entry: After a clear wedge breakdown, consider short entries on a retest of the broken trendline or a bearish candle confirmation.
SL: Above the wedge high or major resistance zone.
TP: Staggered exits below 0.006850 and final target around 0.006796.
🔁 What to Watch For:
Retest of the wedge breakdown (potential short entry zone)
Momentum confirmation via volume or bearish candles
Price reaction at SR Interchange and final support target
🧠 Minds Section – Condensed Summary
JPY/USD formed a Rising Wedge below major resistance, signaling bullish exhaustion. Price has broken down from the wedge, confirming bearish momentum. A clean breakdown targets 0.006796, with SR interchange acting as a minor support. A retest of the wedge breakdown could offer a good short opportunity.
XAGUSD Technical Analysis : MMC Breakdown from Resistance ZoneChart Concept: By Using MMC – Mirror Market Concepts
🔎 1. Major Resistance Zone – The Brick Wall
At the top of the chart, around $33.85–$34.00, we see a strong major resistance zone. This area has acted as a ceiling for price multiple times in the past. Think of it like a brick wall where the bulls keep trying to break through but get pushed back. When price touches this level and fails to break above it, that’s a clear rejection.
This rejection gives the first sign that buyers are losing steam and sellers are stepping in.
🧠 2. Mirror Market Concept (MMC) in Action
Using the MMC (Mirror Market Concept), we’re treating the chart like a reflection — what happened on one side of the move is likely to mirror or repeat on the other.
So when price aggressively moved up into resistance, you look for a symmetrical move back down once it's rejected — just like looking in a mirror. This concept helps predict where price might land based on previous movements, levels, and psychological patterns.
🧱 3. SR Interchange Zone (Support ↔ Resistance Flip)
Look around the $33.10–$33.25 area — this is a critical SR interchange zone. Price used this zone as resistance in the past, broke above it, and then used it as support.
Now that price has rejected from the top, it’s coming back down to retest this SR zone. If it breaks below this area, it confirms a shift in market structure—from bullish to bearish.
🌀 4. Black Mind Curve Support – Dynamic Support
That curved black line? That’s not just a drawing — it's called Mind Curve Support in MMC. This curve helps map out dynamic support based on price memory and human psychology.
As long as the price respects that curve, the structure is bullish. But once it breaks below it — like it’s threatening to do now — it often means momentum has shifted and a correction is underway.
⛓️ 5. Bearish Breakdown Structure
Once price touched the major resistance, it formed two swing highs labeled TP1 and TP2. That’s very similar to a double top pattern, which is a strong bearish reversal signal. After the second peak, price dropped sharply — that’s your early confirmation of a potential move lower.
And now, price is forming lower highs and lower lows, another classic sign of bearish momentum taking over.
🎯 6. Target Zone – Why $32.72?
Here’s where MMC really helps:
The projected target zone is $32.72, which is marked in the chart.
Why this exact level?
It’s previous market structure (support zone from earlier)
It aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
It’s the mirror reflection of the bullish move, completing the MMC concept
This is a high-probability area where buyers may step in again.
💼 Trade Setup Summary (Educational Only)
Parameter Level
Entry Below $33.20 after confirmation candle
Stop Loss Above $33.85 (recent high)
Take Profit $32.72 (MMC Mirror Target)
🧠 Final Thoughts – The MMC Edge
This chart isn’t just about lines and levels. It’s about understanding how traders think — where they get excited, scared, greedy, or exhausted. That’s what Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) are built on.
By recognizing structure, psychological curves, and SR flips, you're not just guessing—you’re reading the market’s mind.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. Always use proper risk management and confirm setups with your own trading plan before entering any trade.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Bullish Breakout – Targeting $116K Using MMCBitcoin has printed one of the most powerful continuation setups in technical analysis — a Bullish Pennant — and it's playing out beautifully, backed by Mirror Market Concepts (MMC). Let's break down the structure, the reasoning behind this move, and how smart money could be driving this price action.
📈 1. Market Context – The Impulsive Rally That Set the Stage
The first thing to notice is the strong bullish move that occurred before the pennant started forming. This rally is important because a Bullish Pennant is a continuation pattern, and without a strong preceding trend, the pattern loses its credibility.
This initial move acts as the “pole” of the pennant — a clean, impulsive leg upward, driven by demand and momentum.
Such moves are often the result of strong buying from institutions, retail FOMO, or positive macroeconomic catalysts.
🧠 Psychology Insight: The rally injects confidence into the market. Buyers who missed the move now wait for a pullback, while early buyers prepare to scale in on continuation.
🔺 2. Bullish Pennant Structure – The Calm Before the Next Storm
After the bullish pole, the price enters a tight consolidation phase, forming a symmetrical triangle:
Lower highs and higher lows compress price into a pennant shape.
Volume usually declines during this phase, showing that the market is resting, not reversing.
The market is essentially "charging up" for the next big move.
💡 Why This Matters: The Pennant shows temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers. A breakout typically signals which side wins — and in this case, buyers have taken control.
🪞 3. Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) – The Secret Weapon
This chart also showcases the power of MMC (Mirror Market Concepts), a strategy based on the idea that the market tends to reflect its previous behavior, structure, and reactions.
Here’s how MMC applies:
The price broke out of the pennant, then came back to retest the breakout area, just like it did during the previous breakout from the consolidation zone.
The Mini SR – Interchange zone acted as resistance before, and now it’s acting as support — a classic Support/Resistance flip (SR flip).
The retest behavior mirrors the earlier breakout structure, offering a confirmation that the market is following a familiar rhythm.
📊 Trading Logic: When a market behaves similarly at two different points in time, it’s often a signal of institutional activity — "smart money" repeating proven entry points and exits.
🔁 4. Retesting – The Entry Opportunity for Smart Traders
After the breakout from the pennant, price didn’t just shoot up — it pulled back to retest the broken structure. This is a high-conviction setup in technical trading:
✅ Retest confirms the breakout was valid (not a fakeout).
✅ It provides a safe entry point for traders who missed the initial impulse.
✅ Volume and bullish candle structure post-retest indicate buyer interest.
📌 The Mini SR – Interchange zone, around $106,631.69, acted as the perfect launchpad for the next bullish leg.
🎯 5. Trade Setup – High R:R Swing Opportunity
Let’s look at the exact setup this chart offers:
Entry: After the breakout and retest near $107K–$108K
Stop Loss (SL): Below the support zone at $106,631.69
Target (TP): At $116,105.65 — derived by projecting the height of the pole from the breakout zone
This gives an excellent reward-to-risk ratio, a key principle in sustainable trading.
🧠 6. Psychological Fuel – Why This Move Has Legs
Traders who missed the earlier rally are now watching closely for entries.
Retail traders are seeing confirmation.
Institutions may already be in from lower levels and are now defending support zones.
Sentiment is bullish post-retest, increasing volume and momentum.
It’s a self-fulfilling prophecy: as more traders recognize the pattern and the confluence, the trade becomes even more likely to play out.
🗓️ 7. What to Watch Next – Smart Risk Management
Even though the pattern looks strong, smart traders always remain cautious:
✅ Move SL to breakeven once price moves halfway toward the target.
🔄 Consider taking partial profits near interim resistance zones (like $112K).
📆 Stay alert for economic events or Bitcoin news that could cause sudden volatility.
📘 Conclusion: Bullish Setup with Proven Structure and MMC Confirmation
This BTC/USD chart is a textbook example of a Bullish Pennant breakout, with added strength from Mirror Market Concepts and a clean SR Flip retest. For swing traders and price action lovers, this setup offers a structured, strategic, and smart opportunity to ride the next wave of Bitcoin momentum.
GBPAUD - One More Leg for Bears to Take Over!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPAUD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue.
However, it is currently approaching the upper bound of its channel acting as an over-bought zone.
And the $2.1 - $2.104 is a strong resistance zone.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of resistance and upper blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPAUD is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Rising Wedge Breakdown & MMC🧠 2. Introduction to Mirror Market Concepts (MMC):
MMC, or Mirror Market Concepts, is a powerful technique that views price action as symmetrical or repetitive in nature. In this scenario, we notice that the right side of the chart mirrors the left — suggesting that after this bullish climb, the market might repeat its earlier bearish behavior but in a reflected pattern.
This adds confluence to our bearish outlook and makes the forecast more robust.
🔺 3. Rising Wedge Pattern – Bearish Reversal Signal:
The most critical part of this analysis is the formation of a Rising Wedge — a classic reversal pattern. Let’s break down what it means:
Structure: The wedge is formed by two upward-sloping trendlines converging at the top.
Volume Behavior: Volume typically decreases as the wedge matures, showing that bulls are losing strength.
Psychology: Buyers keep pushing the price higher, but each move has less momentum than the last. Sellers are quietly preparing for a breakdown.
The moment price breaks below the wedge’s lower trendline, it usually triggers panic selling or aggressive short entries.
🔄 4. Key Price Levels & Zones:
Minor Resistance Zone: Price rejected near a historical resistance area, showing sellers are still active.
Previous Target Zone: This area acted as a ceiling before the rejection — important for reversal confirmation.
SR Interchange Zone: A classic zone where support becomes resistance — this adds strong confluence to the reversal idea.
🎯 Bearish Trade Plan & Take-Profit Levels:
Once the wedge breaks down, the projected move is based on measured moves and prior support levels. Here’s the breakdown:
✅ TP1 (Take Profit 1): 3,275.30 – This is the first key support level right after the wedge breakdown. Ideal for partial profits.
✅ TP2: 3,205.64 – Previous support zone from earlier consolidation. High probability target.
✅ TP3: 3,169.18 – A more extended target that aligns with historical price memory and full wedge depth.
Each TP level is supported by historical price structure and previous volume clusters.
⚠️ Risk Factors & Trade Management:
While this setup looks strong, always consider:
False Breakouts : Wedges can fake out traders. Wait for candle close confirmation below the wedge.
News Events : Macroeconomic announcements (especially U.S. dollar data) can reverse technical setups.
Risk-to-Reward: Don’t enter without calculating your stop loss above the wedge and aiming for at least a 1:2 ratio.
🧠 Conclusion – What This Setup Tells Us:
This chart is a perfect blend of price action + market symmetry (MMC). The rising wedge signals that bulls are running out of steam, while MMC suggests a mirrored decline could follow.
If price action confirms the breakdown with momentum and volume, this could be a high-probability short setup for swing traders and intraday players alike.
GBPCHF: Long Setup – Bounce from Trendline + EMA CrossThe price has bounced from the lower boundary of the ascending channel and confirmed a bullish reversal after EMA cross. Current momentum supports a long position.
📌 Entry: Market buy (current price ~1.1142)
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 1.1291 – minor resistance
TP2: 1.1394 – upper channel border
🛡️ Stop-loss: Below 1.1090 (under channel + EMAs)
This setup favors continuation of the bullish trend after liquidity grab and structure shift.
GOLD Short Setup – OB Rejection + FVG Play to Weak Low 📉 XAUUSD | 4H Short Setup – Classic Smart Money Reversal Zone
Gold is giving us a prime reversal opportunity off a stacked supply zone, aligning with:
🔵 79% Fibonacci Retracement
🟪 High-Timeframe Order Block (OB)
🚫 Failure to create a new high (bearish intent confirmed)
Let’s break it down:
🔻 1. Price Structure Insight
Clean swing high printed near 3400
Retraced down to a discount zone, then sharply reversed
Price now tapping into a premium supply zone between 70.5% – 79% Fib
🟣 2. Key Zone Confluence
📍 Order Block: The final up-candle before a massive drop = institutional sell zone
📍 Fibonacci Levels: 70.5%–79% = premium sell levels
📍 Internal Liquidity: Price swept local highs before stalling
📍 Strong High Above: Untouched = inducement for future sweep (or rejection fuel)
Everything screams Smart Money Sell Setup 📉
🎯 3. Trade Idea
Sell Entry: Around 3,348
Stop Loss: Above OB & Strong High ~ 3,390
Take Profit: 3,120 (clear weak low = liquidity pool)
⚖️ 4. Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR)
📥 Entry: 3,348
🔒 SL: 3,390
💰 TP: 3,120
✅ RRR ≈ 1:5.4
Perfect textbook SMC setup—high confluence + asymmetric RRR = 🔑
🧠 5. Why This Setup Works
Retail traders are lured into longs after bullish push
Smart Money taps OB, rejects hard at premium
Target: internal liquidity resting at weak low (3120)
This creates a controlled sell-off that avoids grabbing the strong high
🟢 Drop a “GOLDEN SHORT 🪙💥” if you caught this setup before the crowd
💾 Save it for reference – this is how institutions trap liquidity
📤 Share with your trading fam — this setup is 🔥🔥🔥
GJ-Mon-26/05/25 TDA-Big range, possible scalping buy! Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
There are periods when price will push smoothly,
others when price give little pushes and not so
clean. Understanding and reacting to how good
the volume is and price readiness is important to
create a consistent edge in your system.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GU-Mon-26/05/25 TDA-WR 1.35790 hit, some pullback now?Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
I can't, you can't. Nobody can catch every single
move on the chart. Knowing when there are higher
probabilities to win, it's a key to your long term edge.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
Another small cap primed for a breakout?Very clean range formation on the verge of a breakout. Price has rallied nicely into the top of range. We just need to see where the pullback comes to but overall, a great area to start accumulating. Ideally a bullish candle close on the monthly would indicate a “safer” entry. A quick and easy target would be the EQ of the FVG which is around the macro 50% level
*note the arrows are not time analysis just price pathway.
EURUSD Trendline Breakout – Bullish Target Ahead
EURUSD has successfully broken out of a strong descending trendline, which was acting as dynamic resistance for weeks. The breakout is backed by strong bullish candles and clear higher lows forming.
After the breakout, the price also reclaimed a key horizontal support zone around 1.12573, turning it into a solid base for further upside.
🎯 Bullish Target (Expected):
First major bullish target at 1.13864 based on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the last swing move.
📌 Support: 1.12573
📌 Breakout Confirmation: Valid as long as price holds above the trendline and support.
📈 Outlook:
The momentum looks strong for further bullish continuation. If the price holds above the breakout zone, we expect a move toward 1.13864 in the coming sessions.
Breakout after a brutal ~10 year Range? A great risk to reward trade in play with price pulling back and printing bullish hammer into the covid low demand structure, major 50% and near previous ATH zone. Expect price to move quickly up through the range here for a potential breakout of a brutal 10~ year range.
Great place to buy are the LPS (pullbacks) and trail SL on the monthly swing bottoms.
The 100% extension is a minimal target with price potentially slicing through it after such a long consolidation.
*Arrows are not based on time analysis just a path for PA
MERL Markup phase inbound? Overall, PA has been building up nicely on the daily TF with a clean Wyckoff range building. In phase D we’re seeing increased volume on up bars with larger spreads than the pullback candles. Market could be ready to move into Phase E (markup) after the SOS and pullback. The pullback is sitting nicely on the range top, range 50% level and FVG of Thursdays 22/5 candle.
Daily swings 1 bar and weekly 1bar/2bar swings are up.
Could enter now for more aggressive play as 25 May daily high is broken indicating continuation of trend with SL under the low. However, have to be careful as BTC is primed for a potential pullback to around 98-100k~
ETH Trap & Drop Setup – OB Rejection + Bearish Channel📉 Ethereum (ETHUSD) | 1H SMC Breakdown | Bearish Setup Explained
Another clean setup for the SMC gang. ETH just gave us a beautiful opportunity, respecting market structure, reacting to Order Block supply, and aiming to clean up sell-side liquidity. Let’s dive in 👇
🧱 1. Structure: Bearish Channel Formation
ETH has been moving in a tight bearish channel, producing:
Lower highs (confirmed supply zones)
Lower lows (liquidity grabs + structure breaks)
This shows consistent bearish pressure.
🧊 2. Premium OB Tap + Rejection Zone
Price just retraced into a Bearish Order Block sitting in the Premium zone, right around $2,514.
💥 OB zone is aligned with:
Upper channel resistance
Supply rejection
Clean inefficiency fill
Price wicked inside and immediately rejected = Smart Money active.
🧠 3. Retail Psychology Trap
Retail likely:
Longing support bounce
Placing stops under structure lows
Not respecting OB/imbalance narrative
Meanwhile, Smart Money:
Enters short from OB
Targets imbalanced zones
Eyes the $2,270 weak low
🎯 4. Liquidity Pool & Final Target
🔻 Target Zone: $2,270
This level is:
A weak low (high chance of being swept)
Sits at lower channel boundary
Acts as a liquidity magnet
Expect price to accelerate as it approaches this zone.
⚔️ 5. Trade Plan (Short Setup)
📍 Entry: $2,514 OB Zone
🔐 Stop Loss: Above $2,582 (structure break + OB invalidation)
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $2,460
TP2: $2,400
TP3: $2,270
⚖️ RRR: ~1:4+ – high precision trade
🧠 Key Concepts in Play:
Order Block Rejection
Premium Pricing Sell Setup
Bearish Channel Continuation
Liquidity Sweep Targeting
📌 Chart Summary:
"Don’t chase candles – follow the narrative. OB tells the story, liquidity gives the profit."
📚 Study the OB zone reaction. These setups repeat every week across assets if you know what to look for.
💬 Drop “ETH OB SNIPER” in the comments if this is your kind of entry.
📈 Tag a trader who needs to stop fading Smart Money moves!