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LINK - Bullish Control Soon...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈After rejecting the $20 round number, LINK has been in a correction phase in the shape of a falling channel marked in orange. Currently, LINK is hovering around a strong structure, support and round number $10. 🏹 Once the orange channel is broken to the upside, we will expect the next bullish phase to start leading to a movement towards the $20 mark again. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
4
2024-09-19 - priceactiontds - daily update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Bitcoin - I said if bulls get above 61500, they are favored for 64000+. High of the day was 63848. Next target for them is 65000 and if bears fail there, we will see 67000/68000 again. Right now it’s still a triangle on the daily chart and bulls had 3 pushes up. Slightly favoring the bears if they come around tomorrow and if it stays below 65000. comment: 3 pushes up on the daily chart and near previous resistance between 64000 and 65000. For weeks now, every strong daily bar is followed by disappointment. If the market has done this so many times, I do not expect this to change and rather see bears coming around over the next 2-4 days again. current market cycle: trading range (again a triangle on the daily chart) key levels: 57000 - 65000 bull case: Bulls want the breakout above 65000 and trade back to 68000 and touch the bear trend line from the ath. Can they get it? I doubt it. We made 21% over the past 2 weeks but given that we made -30% in 7 days in July, this rally was weak. You can also draw the bull channel for the current rally but the arguments would be the same. We are at the top of the channel and prior resistance. I don’t expect market to find many buyers above 64000. Invalidation is below 61500. bear case: Until bulls can print 65000, odds favor the bears for a reversal. We are at prior resistance, the top of the bull channel, bulls had 3 legs up and the daily and weekly 20ema are as flat as can be. What are the odds of a big bullish breakout? Very low. Can happen but betting on it is a losing strategy. Best here is to wait. If bulls get it, join em. If bears come around, don’t sell the first pullback. Wait for a retest (probably on the 1h tf) Invalidation is above 65000. short term: Neutral. Bullish above 65000 and bearish below 61500 or on good momentum after a second signal. medium-long term: Down to 40000 (could take 1-3 months). Could also drop to 20000 again but let’s make 40000 first and see how many want to buy there. —unchanged since March, obviously updated the time range which was 6-9 months before. — current swing trade: Swing shorts got burned bad. None currently but looking for shorts again. trade of the day: Very bullish day. Buying the 15m 20ema was profitable many times.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
Gold Analysis September 19Fundamental Analysis Gold prices regained positive momentum after yesterday’s pullback from an all-time high and continued their steady intraday gains heading into Thursday’s European session. The US dollar (USD) saw an intraday reversal from a one-week high and now appears to have stalled its recovery from its lowest since July 2023 hit the previous day. This, coupled with concerns over a recession in the United States (US) and China, along with the risk of further escalation in tensions in the Middle East, prompted some safe-haven flows into the precious metal. With Thursday’s positive move, Gold now appears to have snapped a two-day losing streak, although the possibility of more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) could limit any further gains. In fact, the US central bank decided to start its policy easing cycle by cutting borrowing costs by 50 basis points on Wednesday. However, the Fed has lowered market expectations for excessive rate cuts in the future. This still supports a modest increase in US Treasury yields, which could limit the USD's losses and limit the gains of the non-yielding yellow metal. Technical analysis Gold has recovered very strongly from the Fibonacci retracement level of 2547-2545. At the moment, we need to understand what it wants each session and how it pushes the price. So Gold can absolutely continue to push higher in 3 sessions when Asia and Europe have not had any significant declines. The important price zone is 2588. If this zone breaks when the US enters, do not sell and wait for 2600 SELL to react. It is easy to have a false break, so the beautiful BUY point in the area I determined yesterday at 254x will be held until 263x. Today is a difficult day to trade. If the US session at 19:30 cannot break the 2588 area, it is possible to SELL to the destination area at 2565 - 2545 SELL attention zone 2588-2600-2612-2618 BUY attention zone 2565-2545
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
PriceAction StrategyIn this chart we are focusing on 1h time frame for EURUSD currency pair. In this analyze we are using price action concept along with support and resistance. So here we have two conditions. 1: If price break the consolidation or ranging area toward upside than we will go for buy. 2: If price break the ranging area toward downside than we will look for sell. So wait for price when price give us clear breakout than after confirmation we will execute our trade. Always use proper risk to reward ratio for your trade.
by Bullionbuzz
2024-09-18 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Gold - Bull trap above the bull wedge as I wrote. Bears confirmed it with the close today. I look for shorts tomorrow and expect 2560 or lower to be hit tomorrow. Anything below 2540 would be a huge surprise and we could see an acceleration down to 2500. If bulls reverse this and trade back above 2610, bears will most likely give up until we hit 2700. comment: Another spike and new ath but huge rejection. I do think the rejection was strong enough to expect follow through and test the lower bull wedge trend line around 2550/2560. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 2550 - 2630 bull case: Bulls tried to break above the bull wedge and failed. Odds now favor a retest of the lower trend line (daily ema is also there), where I expect buyers to step in more strongly again. If bears somehow fumble this again, bulls would need a reversal of the huge 1h bar and get back above 2600. The longer bulls can stay around 2600, the better. Invalidation is below 2540. bear case: Bears want to keep the momentum strong tomorrow (after the 50+ point rejection from the new ath) and test down to 2550. If they somehow manage to break below 2540, we could see an acceleration down to 2500/2520 but I highly doubt that. Since we had a spike up and then a huge spike down, the dominant pattern is still the bull wedge and there is not much more magic to it than what I described. Bears absolutely need to keep it below 2600 to have a chance of lower prices. Invalidation is above 2605. short term: Neutral until bears get follow through below 2570 or 2600 is clear resistance now. medium-long term: 7 consecutive months where Gold barely went below previous month’s low. Strong buying on the monthly chart but also the third push up we are currently in. I highly doubt bulls get another one so if it continues, it’s without me. I am waiting for a bigger correction. current swing trade: None trade of the day: How could you predict those spikes today? You can’t. How can you trade them? Only viable could have been shorting the spike above 2620 but those are hard to take. You would need a wide stop and scale in. One time you short it correctly and make the trade of the week and next time you blow your account if you are not humble enough. Today was no obvious good trade to be honest.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds
2024-09-18 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. sp500 e-mini futures comment : Look at the daily chart and then you can’t be anything but neutral after yesterday and today. Consecutive doji bars with huge tails above and minor tails below. I don’t care about the new ath on the cash index since I trade the chart in front of me and that’s where the ath was in July and due to contract switch it’s now at 5782 while today hit 5756. The high was high enough to qualify as a tripple top now and we can sell off or make a new one above 5800. The dominant feature is the bull wedge and we are kinda closer to the middle than to the top or bottom. I can see this going either way to be honest. Ask yourself this, has the market a reason to sell off right now after the big rate cut? Answer was no before and definitely no after the cut. Does not mean it can not happen anyway. current market cycle: trading range (bull wedge) key levels: 5660 - 5800 bull case: Bulls made another higher high and a higher low. Does not look that good for bulls to buy the close 5680 but it sure as hell does not look bearish. As long as support and resistance are holding, I lean bullish and scalp long. Market is still trading above the 4h 20ema and obviously the daily, so bulls remain in control. Obvious targets above are 5782 and then 5800. Invalidation is below 5665. bear case: Bears need a lower low below 5665 and that’s they only target for now. Until they can achieve that, they have no good arguments on their side. I do think market will spend some more time in this area before we see another breakout. If bears would get below 5665, their next target is the daily 20ema at 5640 and below that is the bull trend line around 5570. Invalidation is above 5810. short term: Neutral between 5665 - 5782. Big range but that’s today’s range where we wildly went up and down multiple times. medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-01: Very much like my outlook in dax. Trading range on the daily chart and we are at the highs. We could make higher ones or not. Does not matter much. I expect 5000 to be hit again in 2024. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Buying 5690 and selling 5720 but you needed wide stops to trade this.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
Dow Jones Index (US30): What to Expect from FOMC? Dow Jones Index is very weak ahead of FOMC today. The market is stuck within a horizontal range on a 4h time frame. Depending on the reaction of the price to its boundaries, I see 2 potential scenarios. Bullish Scenario If the price breaks and closes above 41820 - the resistance of the range, we can expect a bullish continuation at least to 42000 level. Bearish Scenario A bearish breakout and a candle close below 41440 will push the price lower at least to 41200 level. Wait for FOMC and then follow the market after a breakout. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by VasilyTrader
1
BTC Tests $61,000 Range Ahead of FOMC MeetingCurrent Market Activity: Bitcoin is currently testing the $61,000 top of its range support, a strong resistance level, just ahead of tonight’s FOMC meeting. Key Levels: Range High Support/Resistance: $61,000 Lower Range Support: $57,000–$58,000 Next Major Resistance: $64,000–$67,000 Reversal Zone: $66,000–$68,000 (Required for upside shift) Potential Outcomes: Unfavorable FOMC News: BTC could test the $57,000–$58,000 support. Favorable FOMC News: A break through $61,000 may lead BTC to the next resistance at $64,000–$67,000. Trend Analysis: BTC continues to form lower highs, indicating a broader downtrend. A break and reclaim of the $66,000–$68,000 zone would suggest a potential reversal, but caution is necessary due to the volatility expected around the FOMC meeting. #Bitcoin #BTC #FOMC #MarketAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #Crypto #Volatility #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
by Richtv_official
SasanSeifi| Will Price Break Through 1.32390?Hey there, ✌ FX:GBPUSD In the 2-hour timeframe, as observed, the price started an upward move from the 1.30 level, reaching up to the previous high of 1.32390. After failing to break this previous high, the price retraced and pulled back to the liquidity level at 1.31400. Following this correction and some sideways movement, new demand emerged, and the price is currently trading around the previous high of 1.32290. With the current momentum, there is potential for a breakout above the 1.32290 and 1.32390 levels. If the price can hold above 1.32, the upward trend is expected to continue, targeting 1.32650 next. After a minor pullback, the price could also rally towards the 1.33 target. To better understand the ongoing trend, it’s important to monitor the price’s reaction to key levels. Key support areas in the short-term timeframe are located at 1.31850 and 1.31400. Additionally, if the price breaks below the 1.31400 – 1.31100 range and holds, the likelihood of a deeper correction increases for some time. This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
by SasanSeifi
2024-09-17 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Oil - Strong second leg up (daily tf) and bulls even tried to break above the bear flag but for now I doubt the breakout will be succesful. We are right in the middle of the broad bear channel and odds are 50/50 for either side. Above 72 odds rise for the bulls and below 69.5 I favor the bears again. comment: In my weekly outlook I wrote that if 65 holds, bulls are favored for 73 or 74. High today was 71.92. I doubt bulls are strong enough to break above the bull channel and make the pullback even steeper. 50% pullback from the selloff since 77 is around 71.5, so we are right in the middle of the broad bear channel. Odds favor the bears to test the lower bull channel around 70.5 again. If bulls fail there and bears can break below, we will likely see a retest of 67 or 66. current market cycle: bear trend key levels: 66 - 74 bull case: Bulls got decent follow through and they want an endless pullback for the bears and keep going until they hit the upper bear trend line around 74.5. They are trading above the 4h 20ema and every touch of it is bought. As long as they keep it above 70, higher prices are expected. Invalidation is below 70. bear case: Bears see this bear flag with 3 pushes up as done and the 50% pb is high enough to try for a continuation of the bear trend. Don’t be among the first to join them. Confirmation would be a 15m bar close below 70 and a break below the bull channel. Invalidation is above 72. short term: Neutral around the 50% pb 71.5. Bearish below 70 and bullish above 72. medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-08: Bears broke below multi month support and want a retest of 64.46 or lower. Right now the selling is a bit too steep to be sustainable. When we get a more complex pullback and form a decent channel, I will write a longer update here. Can this bear trend be the start of a bigger where we see Oil below 50$ again? I have absolutely no idea but the current daily chart can not not lead to that conclusion. current swing trade : None trade of the day: Buying the 4h 20ema is profitable again.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
2024-09-17 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Many new highs but also a deep pullback and we closed around the middle of the daily range. Are we smarter than yesterday? We know that bulls remain in control since we are trading above most higher tf ema but bears also sold off for 1% today on the sp500. I keep my neutral stance and wait for the FOMC debacle to be over with. No one knows where markets will go on either 25 or 50bps. Be more like Elsa, let it go. You don’t have to gamble away hard earned profits on max confused and undecided markets. dax futures comment: Bulls got above my given target 18750 in my weekly update but got rejected for almost 200 points. Market is still neutral imo and I don’t expect this to change until some hours after FOMC. Since the market is so confusing and no one knows where rates might go, we can expect traps before and after FOMC. I refuse to trade much tomorrow. current market cycle: big bull wedge on the daily tf and bull channel on the 1h tf key levels: 18600 - 18900 bull case: Bulls printed 18800 and this could have been it before FOMC. We are 270 points below the ath (xetra) and we could easily get there. That’s also the only target left for the bulls. As long as the bull channel holds, they are in control and favored for higher prices. Invalidation is below 18600. bear case: Bears reversed much of today’s gains and did so in a fast manner. Bulls still bought it again, like the previous week. Bears need to start making lower lows again or bulls continue to btfd. Bears first target is to get below 18600 which would also break the bull channel. If you look at the daily chart we have many tails above and below bars. Bulls are grinding higher but it can reverse quickly imo. 1h ema is pretty flat, so don’t get trapped selling low or buying high. Invalidation is above 18820. short term: Neutral. Only scalping small positions until we know how market thinks FOMC is to be interpreted. medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-01 : 4 Months left in 2024 and I do think the market is in a trading range where the upper area is around 19000 and the lower area is probably 17000 or 16000 if something bigger comes up. Since we are at the very top, I expect the market to go some sideways before trying to go down again. Next 2000 Points will be made to the downside but it’s too early to short this. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Globex lows held and the long after the double bottom around 18680 was good. Also selling the second try by the bears when bulls failed at 18800 (double top) but it’s hard to be this flexible on bigger swings. If you took one of those, you probably had an amazing day.
EUREX:FDXSU2024
by priceactiontds
SUPPLY AND DEMAND MODULEIn this analysis we are focusing on 1H time frame for GOLD. Here I'm using supply / demand strategy combine with price action. Today I'm looking for potential buy. As we know that the trend was bullish. I expect that market price first take small retracement at least the area 2494.00 - 2488.00 and then market will give rejection if price reject this area than after confirmation we will go for buy. But in other situation if price break below the area 2488.00 and close the candle below 2488.00 then we look for sell but we need strong confirmation first. Without any confirmation we will not take any step. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and risk to reward ratio. #XAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradeTacticsreal
SasanSeifi|A Quick Overview of Bitcoin’s MovementHey there, ✌In this analysis, we’re taking a broad look at Bitcoin's trend. As observed on the 20-day chart, Bitcoin rallied from the $16,000 range, leading to a price increase that saw it reach an all-time high (ATH) of $73,700. However, after failing to hold and close above $70,000, the price entered a consolidation phase and eventually corrected to fill the gap near $49,800. Currently, candles are closing above the critical $54,100 liquidity level, with Bitcoin now trading around $60,000. The market remains in a ranging phase. Historically, we’ve seen Bitcoin make significant moves around November each year, and as we approach the end of 2024, it's possible we could see a similar trend, whether upwards or downwards. It’s also worth noting that we have upcoming elections, which could impact the cryptocurrency market. Based on this, the scenarios we can consider are as follows: Bitcoin is likely to remain in this range or experience corrections down to the $46,600–$46,000 targets by year-end. However, a breakout and consolidation above $70,000 could pave the way for a further upward trend, with targets in the $77,700–$80,000 and $85,000 ranges. This is a long-term view, and to confirm a bullish trend, we need to see price stability above $70,000. If the price corrects to the aforementioned support zones, it will be crucial to observe how it reacts for a better understanding of the next moves. Stay tuned for updates, and don’t forget to like and follow for the latest analysis. I’d love to hear your thoughts in the comments!✌🙌 ❌This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SasanSeifi