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2024-09-16 - priceactiontds - daily update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Since today was a very slow day, my weekly update is more interesting than today’s daily update (in case you haven’t read it). Bitcoin - Very good follow through by the bears and I joined them for a swing short with target 54000 or lower. 59300 should not get hit again or bears are not strong and 60000 is more likely than more downside. comment: Two pushes down now and a third could get us to 56500, where I expect stronger buying again. For now bears did enough today to confirm the bear trend line and the contracting market. Bears now need to keep it below 59300. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 53000 - 60700 bull case: Bulls did not do much over the weekend and today. They also don’t have many arguments on their side. 57500-59000 is not a good buy zone for them and we trading below the 1h and the daily 20ema. I expect more buying around 56500-57500. Above 59300 bears fumbled it again. Invalidation is below 55000. bear case: Bears did enough today to gain control of the market. Their next target is around 56500 and that’s about it. If they are really strong (which I highly doubt) they would get to 55000 and below. Invalidation is above 59300. short term: Slightly bearish for 56500ish. medium-long term: Down to 40000 (could take 1-3 months). Could also drop to 20000 again but let’s make 40000 first and see how many want to buy there. —unchanged since March, obviously updated the time range which was 6-9 months before. — current swing trade : Short since 58000 for tp 55000 or lower. SL 59300 trade of the day: Selling bar 10 with stop above bar 9. Market touched the 1h ema and continued the selling. Textbook two legged pullback to the moving average and continuation of the trend.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by priceactiontds
SasanSeifi| BITCOIN: Will a Pullback Lead to Lower Levels?Hey there, ✌ Bitcoin is currently trading around the $58,500 range. Given the lack of stabilization above the $60,000 level, we could be facing a bearish trend. Additionally, with the recent break below the $59,300 mark, the short-term outlook on the 1-hour chart appears bearish. We expect that after completing a pullback, the price may move towards the corrective targets of $57,500, $57,000, $56,700, and $56,000. ❌ Key resistance levels to watch are around $59,000 and $59,700. 💢 Keep in mind that this is just my personal perspective and not financial advice. I’d love to hear your thoughts and exchange ideas! Good luck and happy trading! ✌😎 Feel free to reach out if you have any questions – I’m here to help!✌
Short
by SasanSeifi
GALAXY SURFACTANTS - 70% ROI Potential Stock Mid Term Idea A Fresh stage 2 Multiyear Flag breakout move. Why I consider this attractive ? 1) The stock has broken out of a 3 year old consolidation zone - Flag Breakout. June 2021-Aug 2024 2) The stock as compressed for 2 months at the breakout level. 3) Overhead supply is very minimal. 4) Daily has broken out of the compression at Flag Breakout level, retested and given a good breakout again, indicating solid buyers strength. Flag targets at about 5400.
NSE:GALAXYSURFLong
by Rugminik
Bitcoin ! BREAKOUT IS THE KEY, BUT IT STILL HAS SOME WAY TO GOBitcoin is stationed in an inefficiency zone but with a lot of strength. It undoubtedly had a bullish week, and naturally, after a bullish run, the price needs to take a pause or rest. What better place than our historical zone, which we've marked as an inefficiency zone on the 1-day chart. Yes, Bitcoin still has a bit more to climb to see the breakout that I've been anticipating. As we can see, Bitcoin has been in a bearish sequence channel, and from the technical analysis within the channel, I'm aiming for Bitcoin to at least reach 64k this week so we can see a bit more price action. THE BREAKOUT IS THE KEY, BUT IT STILL HAS SOME WAY TO GO! So, until Bitcoin breaks my channel or at least reaches 64k, all I can do is wait. Thank you for supporting my analysis. Best regards.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by RocketMike111
2
#202438 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500: Neutral. Big triangle on the daily chart and we are 40 points below the previous big resistance. Resistance is just that until clearly broken. Sideways movement between 5400 - 5670 is more likely than a new ath above 5721. If bulls break above 5670, a new ath becomes more likely and bellow 5550 I think the bears are favored again, at least for 5400. Quote from last week: comment: Strong bearish momentum is what we got with the bearish engulfing candle on Monday and market never looked back. 50% pullback is almost exactly at Friday’s close and if we get a pullback before 5200, it will be here. What are the chances? No idea, so every time that is so, it’s 50/50. Absolutely favoring the bears to continue down to 5200, with or without pullback. So if we get one, I will load on swing shorts. comment: Favored the bears last week and wanted to load on shorts on this pullback but bears were practically gone, so no shorts for me. Lower highs and higher lows. Triangle on the daily chart until broken. Not much difference to the other indexes. Above 5670 bulls are favored for 5700+ and maybe a new ath and bears would need a strong reversal below 5650 for bulls to cover their longs again. Similar to 2024-09-03 where bears printed a huge bearish engulfing bar, that is that they would need here as well. current market cycle: trading range (triangle) key levels: 5400 - 5700 bull case: Traps on both sides and 5630 is a very good place to trap bulls again, like they did 2 weeks ago. Not much more to say other what I wrote in my comment. Bulls are slightly favored here until bears come around again but buying above 5600 right now is a bad trade, no matter how you put it. If bulls get follow through on Monday, I join them but no earlier. Invalidation is below 5500. bear case: Bears need to keep this a lower high or probably face a new ath test. Since bulls printed a 5 bar micro channel last week, bears have no good arguments until they print a bear bar on the daily chart. Market is undecided and erratic, don’t overstay your welcome to either side. If we see 5700+ next week, I will think deeply about when and where to short. Last time we hit 5700, market spent 5 days around that price before turning down hard for 10%. Invalidation is above 5670. outlook last week: short term: Full bear mode and yet we could get a 100+ point pullback. So shorting 5419 is not advisable as of now. Wait for bears to come around again. If bulls can get to 5500 again, look for a reversal and then you could load up on shorts. I do think it’s more likely that we will make high lows instead of lower lows and form a triangle. → Last Sunday we traded 5419 and now we are at 5629. I warned against being bearish at the lows and wait for a pullback. Pullback was way stronger than expected so meh outlook. short term : Neutral between 5400 - 5670. I slightly favor the bears when they print a good bear bar on Monday because of the triangle. Above 5670 I scalp long and see how high we can get. medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-01: Very much like my outlook in dax. Trading range on the daily chart and we are at the highs. We could make higher ones or not. Does not matter much. I expect 5000 to be hit again in 2024. current swing trade: None. chart update: Removed the ABC correction and added the bull wedge.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
#202438 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax: Neutral. Won’t be running into any more traps again. Both sides have reasonable arguments but bulls closed last week at the highs, so bulls are slightly favored. Best pattern currently is probably the big bull wedge we are in. Bulls want a retest of the ath 18990 and bears below 18000. Bullish above 18750 and bearish below 18200, neutral in between. Quote from last week: comment: Selling is already too strong for a pullback in a bull trend. We are in a big trading range and on our way to test the lower range somewhere between 17000 - 17500. Do we get there in a straight line like we went up in August? Highly unlikely but so was the climactic selling and the insane reversal over the past 5 weeks. comment : Disappointment bar on Monday, bears tried again on Tuesday and Wednesday but market held above 18200 and bears then quickly gave up. My bearishness last week was a bit too strong but slightly profitable until the reversal on Wednesday. So, not much harm done. Market formed a bull wedge and if bulls can close the bear gap to 18750 on Monday, we will very likely see 18990 or 19000 over the next days. Bears have nothing until they can get below 18200 or we reach 19000. I don’t think that many traders will be interested in buying above 19000 but let’s see next week. current market cycle: big trading range key levels: 17000 - 19000 bull case: Bulls did not do much on Monday and Tuesday but enough to make many bears take profits early and stall the market and bears were not having that, so they gave up. Bulls are favored if they get above 18750 but I think it’s very close to 50/50 if we make a new ath. Market is undecided to the max and we see many traps on any time frame. We are above the daily ema and the bull trend line from the wedge, so bulls are slightly favored. Invalidation is below 18200. bear case: Bears gave up on Thursday and do they want to fight it at 18700? I don’t think so. Thu + Fr was strong enough that we can expect a retest of the ath next week and there I expect stronger selling to happen again. Since we did not print 19000 so far, it’s an obvious magnet and market’s rarely touch those big round numbers and reverse from there. We will likely overshoot some before big bears come around. Make no mistake, this buying here is purely absolutely atrocious from any reasonable valuation level given many German macro indicators but that stuff will only destroy your account so let’s not go there. Market is overvalued and we will likely see 17000 again this year. Invalidation is above 18750. outlook last week: short term: Bearish but only on momentum again. Any pullback has to stay below 18700. Next targets for bears are 18000 and below that is 17500. Fun times ahead. → Last Sunday we traded 18301 and now we are at 18699. Bears fumbled it on Wednesday and then quickly gave up. Bearish momentum was there on Tuesday but they barely made a new low. Anyhow, bad outlook. short term: Neutral. Bullish above 18750 for 18900+, bearish below 18200 and neutral in between. medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-01: 4 Months left in 2024 and I do think the market is in a trading range where the upper area is around 19000 and the lower area is probably 17000 or 16000 if something bigger comes up. Since we are at the very top, I expect the market to go some sideways before trying to go down again. Next 2000 Points will be made to the downside but it’s too early to short this. current swing trade: Cut those shorts on Thursday and will try again around 19000 if bears come around. chart update: Added a bull wedge again and made the bear gap smaller.
XETR:DAX
by priceactiontds
Dogs: Knows its boundries.If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! If it can hold this level and move up to break and flip these other levels. Elliott wave side, it looks like a ZZ up which would call for the lows to be taken. The last move up from 0.0009941, which was an option from my last update looks like a 3 wave move so there is a super bullish alternative here, a running flat. But the Price Action here has alot to prove. 0.0011732 is a strong resistance. 0.0011184 is the fisrt obsticle for bulls. 0.0010609 is displaying as support atm, a break and it could turn into resistance. 0.0009941 has been holding as strong support. Bulls do not want to see no more than a sweep of that level. Breaking the pivot low, could just be a sweep but the Elliott wave would have to be reconfigured. Trade Safe, Trade Clarity.
Long
by CryptoKnee
Herding CatIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! Ideally it needs to stay above 0.000030662. On the Elliott wave side it looks like a potential impulse being put in, and we are at the Wave 4 of the larger degree which could mean another move up. If the level metioned breaks it becomes less likely. MO. 0.000028937 is the final level I would want to see it fall beneath. Trade Safe, Trade Clarity.
Long
by CryptoKnee
EURUSD Analysis Week 38🌐Fundamental Analysis EUR/USD returned to the 1.1100 level on Friday, before market forces once again weighed on the Euro and sent Fiber back to its opening price. The pair failed to make a near-term technical recovery as traders turned their attention to the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate call next week. The European Central Bank (ECB) cut its benchmark interest rate, the deposit facility, by 25 basis points (bps) to 3.5% as expected. The ECB also cut the rate on its marginal lending facility and main refinancing operations by 60 bps. In her post-meeting press conference, ECB President Christine Lagarde refrained from hinting at the timing of the next rate cut. While the ECB event failed to boost the Euro, renewed selling pressure around the US Dollar (USD) helped the EUR/USD pair gain. On an annual basis, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 1.7% in August, down from 2.1% in July and below market expectations of 1.8%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September rose above 40% following the data, according to CME's FedWatch Tool, triggering a sell-off in the USD. 🕯Technical Analysis After peaking around 1.110, a short-term downtrend channel has formed, the support of the downtrend channel remains at around 1.099 and 1.093. These two key support levels will keep the pair stable in the trend. On the other hand, if this short-term downtrend is broken, the 1.115 area will be a key resistance before looking to last month's high around 1.119. 📈📉Trading Signals SELL EURUSD zone 1.114-1.116 Stoploss 1.118 BUY EURUSD zone 1.099-1.097 Stoploss 1.095
by TVS-Trader
INVESTMENT IDEA - PAGE INDUSTRIESPage Industries presents a compelling investment opportunity, supported by both technical indicators and robust fundamentals. Reasons are listed below : Technical strengths : The psychological level of 35,000 has shifted from a resistance point to a strong support level, reflecting market confidence in the company's prospects. The formation of a hammer candlestick pattern on the weekly chart signals a potential reversal from a downtrend, indicating buyer support at lower price levels. Finding support at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level suggests a healthy correction within an overall uptrend, reinforcing investor confidence. Page Industries' stock price is supported by the 200 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the weekly timeframe, highlighting its stability even during market fluctuations. Fundamental Strengths: With well-established brands like Jockey and Speedo, Page Industries maintains a competitive edge and market leadership. Consistent revenue growth and profitability underscore the company's financial health and prudent management. Strategic partnerships and expansion efforts enhance Page Industries' market presence and growth prospects. Page Industries' focus on product quality, innovation, and customer satisfaction ensures its offerings remain relevant and competitive. Target - 43000 // 53000 // 67000 Stoploss - monthly close below 27000
NSE:PAGEINDLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
2
Do not trade if you do not have high probability XAUUSDIt’s not just about the thrill of nailing a setup and making profits. It’s also about recognizing when an asset has you emotionally trapped, even when there’s no solid argument for your position. Here’s a lesson from my own experience: After making a huge trade on gold ( ) , I became fixated on the idea that it would keep falling, completely ignoring the market structure. This blinded me to the obvious bullish signals the market was giving. Here are the 7 bullish arguments for gold that I overlooked in my post-trade euphoria: Monthly PCH disrespected Weekly FVG respected Weekly Swing Low respected Daily Swing Low respected Daily FVG respected Bearish 4H FVG disrespected 4H Swing Low respected Not a single bearish argument in sight—a full 100% probability that the price would rise, and indeed it did. 🚨 Lesson learned: Being a profitable trader isn’t just about technical analysis. It’s about mastering your emotions, understanding market structure, and managing your risk. Stay humble, stay disciplined.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jaytradermb
HFCL Ltd. Resistance Rejection Sell Setup - 5:1 Risk-Reward Rati Description: This setup on HFCL Ltd. demonstrates a resistance rejection pattern with a focus on high-probability sell trades. The steps in this trade idea are as follows: Candle Identification: We start by identifying a candle that has closed above the all-time high. Candle Confirmation: The next two candles should close below each other, confirming a resistance level. Resistance Confirmation: The continued closing of candles below resistance indicates strength in the rejection of this level. Sell Execution: A sell trade is initiated as per the strategy, with a stop-loss placed at 160.00 and a risk-reward ratio of 5:1. The target for this trade is set at ₹139, and the stop-loss is placed at ₹160. This setup provides a clear framework for executing trades with proper risk management.
NSE:HFCLShort
by rg739847
3
GOLD Trend-pullback Buy Off S&RI had a really good entry for this GOLD buy, but unfortunately, I decided to move my stop loss too soon after seeing the sell reaction from the top of the range (Previous High). If I had not moved my stops, the price would have reached my target, even though I exited with almost half of the profits on this trade. Price has made new all-time highs, which was expected, but I was skeptical of holding on because we had quite a few impactful news that would have affected USD strength and hence GOLD strength.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by vinkulavi
Gold Price Analysis September 13Fundamental Analysis Gold prices maintained modest intraday gains heading into the European session on Friday and are currently hovering near the $2,565-2,570 region, or record highs. A softer-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report released on Thursday provided further evidence of easing inflation and raised expectations of a larger rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed) next week. This was reinforced by a fresh drop in US Treasury yields, which dragged the US dollar (USD) to its lowest in more than a week and continued to act as a bullish driver for the non-yielding yellow metal. In addition, persistent geopolitical risks stemming from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and the protracted war between Russia and Ukraine also provided additional support for safe-haven gold. This, in turn, confirms the overnight breakout through a multi-week trading range and supports the outlook for a short-term bullish move. Technical Analysis Profit-taking by some investors at the end of the Asian session pushed the price to 2563 and continued to push it up when the European session entered. Today's scenario is that gold retreats to the 2560 zone and does not break this zone until the middle of the European session, so we can buy back to the target zone of 2574-2580. In the direction of breaking through the 2560 zone, we will not sell retest but wait for the BUY zones of 2555 and 2545. BUY signals can hold TP far away at the present time because gold can completely create ATH in the near future Price zones to pay attention to according to the scenario: 2555-2545-2560-2575-2580.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
2024-09-12 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Strong follow through by the bulls after another nasty bear trap. On lower time frames we got some sell spikes but mostly due to bulls taking profits and not strong bears shorting. Bullish price action can’t be denied and on the daily charts we are moving closer to the shallow bear trend lines from the ath and we are mostly inside triangles. Daily charts tell the story and it’s bullish so we can’t expect a strong bear reversal tomorrow. sp500 e-mini futures comment: Triangle is still my preferred pattern for now. Tomorrow we could see 5640 but anything above is uncertain. At that level I would get out of most longs. Currently I don’t have any interest in selling, since we have seen many bear traps. Today bears could not close a 1h bar below the 20ema, so look how market behaves if we get there again tomorrow. Buy on strength and don’t get fooled into shorts on strong selling. It was strong but disappeared in an instance and bulls melted higher again. current market cycle: t rading range and also minor bull trend inside since we are making higher lows and higher highs key levels: 5400 -5650 bull case: Bulls bought 5550 until bears gave up. The selling around the open was strong enough to trap many bears and that’s why the move up was so violent again. Bulls are in full control until we make lower lows again. Targets above are obvious. Next one is open of the month + high of the month around 5670 and above that is the ath 5721. Last time we got above 5600, market did go sideways for 10 days and this time we could see a breakout above or below somewhat faster. Invalidation is below 5540. bear case: Bears tried to keep it below 5580 but since they could not close below the 1h for 3h, they gave up and market moved up in a perfect small pullback bull trend which held above the 1m 20ema for an hour and 35 points. So what’s next for bears? Do or die moment around 5650 to keep it a lower high. If they fail, we most likely print a new ath. Rough guess is that bears won’t try to close the week with a red bar but just keep it below 5670. Invalidation is above 5670. short term: Max bullishness as long as the 1h 20ema is not broken and until we hit 5650/5660. I’d close longs there on any weakness and probably won’t do anything until next week. medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-01: Very much like my outlook in dax. Trading range on the daily chart and we are at the highs. We could make higher ones or not. Does not matter much. I expect 5000 to be hit again in 2024. current swing trade: Only intraday scalps currently. Still think next 500 points are made to the downside and not up. trade of the day: Buying the bear trap on the US open was as perfect of a trade as it gets.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by priceactiontds
2024-09-12 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Gold - There it is. Another break above, which was expected more than bears breaking below 2500. Bulls want 2600 and I expect more profit taking and more sideways movement at that level. No interest in selling it. gold comment: New ath, which I have been writing about for many weeks now on the premise that as long as bears could not even break below 2500, there was no alternative to being bullish. The breakout was a matter of when and not if. Market refused to close below the daily ema for 5 days despite touching it 4 times. That’s strong bulls scaling into longs. What’s next? We are at the top of the bull channel and every time market made a new high, bulls took bigger profits. Will this time be different? I doubt it. Can bulls break above the bull channel for much higher prices? Doubt that too. Will look for weakness and scalp some shorts tomorrow. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 2500 - 2600 bull case: Bulls want 2600 and somewhat above to run stops. Nothing unexpected. I highly doubt that have bigger interest in printing much higher than 2600, given the previous sell offs after new ath. 15m 20ema was not touched on the whole move up, so look for longs once we get there before we hit 2600. Invalidation is below 2550. bear case: Bears gave up above 2560 and I can’t see them coming around big time below 2600 so don’t waste energy on looking for shorts until it’s clear that bulls have no interest in buying anymore. Bears need a break of the 15m and 1h ema to begin with. Invalidation is above 2610. short term: Bullish for 2600 and then only interested in shorts again. medium-long term: Will update on the weekend. Bulls are clearly much stronger than most expected. Market refuses to go down. current swing trade: None trade of the day : If in doubt, zoom out. 1h chart showed only strength since Globex. Buy anywhere and make money.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by priceactiontds
XAUUSD | Short from Resistance or NEW All Time High ? Everyone's favourite precious metal has been in a near month long range zone for the last few weeks following a surge to the all time high level of $2,532 and a range low of $2,471 in where gold has been stuck in consolidation even with Non Farm Payroll which failed to break this strong range zone. Most recently we have seen a large bullish surge in momentum that has driven gold from $2,484 to the now resistance topside of the range at $2,536 where it is likely to see another fractal pivot bring price back into the range however that being said with todays upcoming USD releases for the CPI + Inflation Rate traders are anticipating if this could be the day we break the topside and push for another all time high which could be likely but as always is a 50/50 gamble on such red flag events. Price action wise I will be aiming for the short range from $2,515 - $2,502 with a continuation of the range likely for the next 2 weeks, but as per any high impact news day I will be looking closely at the market structure and volume during these events whilst utilising correct risk management and preferable being out of my trades before and seeing where suitable entries lie following such events. What are your thoughts ? Let me know in the comments below :)
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDShort
by OfficialKieranTrewick