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Gold (XAU/USD) Breaks Ascending Channel – Bearish Move Ahead?📉 Market Structure: Gold was moving in an ascending channel, but price has now broken below the support trendline. This suggests a possible trend reversal or correction. 📌 Key Levels: Resistance : $3,125 - $3,170 Support: $3,054 - $3,035 Target: $3,000 - $2,995 📊 Trade Idea: A pullback to support-turned-resistance could give a short entry. Bearish target: $3,000 if rejection holds. Invalidation: If price reclaims $3,125. 🔍 Watch for: Price reaction at the former channel support. Possible retest before further drop. Let me know if you need any modifications! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PIPsOptimizer
Is gold going to be eclipsed? ------------------------- Timeframe: 240 Min ------------------------- The price action suggests a completed impulse structure originating from the 2833 low, with gold now trading at an all-time high. Based on cluster zones and Fibonacci extensions, wave (5) still has the potential to extend toward the 3150-3200 range. This zone represents a key resistance level where buying momentum may slow down, signaling an impending shift in market dynamics. Once wave (5) completes, it will mark the end of wave ((3)) of a higher degree, setting the stage for a corrective move. A retracement toward the previous wave (4) level is expected as wave ((4)) develops, aligning with historical corrective behavior after extended rallies. This phase will provide crucial insights into the market’s next major move. Stay tuned for further updates.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Money_Dictators
EUR/GBP Triangle Pattern - Bearish Breakdown SetupProfessional Analysis of the EUR/GBP Chart This EUR/GBP (Euro/British Pound) daily chart from OANDA, published on April 3, 2025, highlights a key technical setup based on price action analysis, chart patterns, and support/resistance levels. 1. Market Context: Accumulation & Transition to a Triangle Pattern Curve Zone Formation (Rounded Bottom): The market initially exhibited a rounded bottom structure (curve zone) from July 2024 to February 2025, indicating a gradual accumulation phase. This phase often signals a shift in market sentiment, where sellers lose dominance, and buyers start stepping in. Breakout from Accumulation: After reaching the support zone (~0.8250 - 0.8300), price rebounded sharply in March 2025, confirming strong buyer interest. However, it failed to sustain upward momentum near the resistance zone (~0.8470 - 0.8500), leading to consolidation. 2. Formation of a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Lower Highs & Higher Lows: Price action began forming a symmetrical triangle, a classic consolidation pattern that typically precedes a strong breakout. The market is currently trading near the apex of the triangle, indicating that a breakout is imminent. Potential Breakout Direction: Symmetrical triangles are neutral patterns, meaning they can break either upward or downward. However, the price structure and resistance rejection suggest a higher probability of a bearish breakdown. 3. Key Levels & Trading Setup Resistance & Support Zones: 🔴 Resistance Zone (~0.8470 - 0.8500): This area has repeatedly acted as strong resistance, where sellers have consistently pushed prices lower. A breakout above this zone would indicate a bullish invalidation of the current bearish bias. 🟢 Support Zone (~0.8250 - 0.8300): This level has held price multiple times, acting as key support. A break below this zone would confirm bearish momentum, targeting lower price levels. 4. Bearish Trade Setup 📉 Entry Strategy (Short Position): Wait for a confirmed breakout below the triangle’s lower trendline (~0.8320 - 0.8350). A retest of the broken support turning into resistance would provide the best short entry. 📌 Stop-Loss Placement (~0.84764): Positioned above recent highs and the resistance zone to minimize risk. This ensures the trade is protected against potential false breakouts. 🎯 Profit Target (~0.81190 - 0.81134): The projected move aligns with historical support levels, making it a logical target. This level represents a previous market structure where buyers stepped in. 5. Conclusion & Trade Considerations ✅ Bearish Bias: The price action and pattern suggest a higher probability of a downside breakout. ✅ Defined Risk & Reward: A well-structured stop-loss and target level ensures a solid risk management strategy. ✅ Watch for Confirmation: Traders should wait for a confirmed breakout before entering a trade to avoid false moves. 📊 Overall Verdict: A high-probability short setup is forming, with a clear entry, stop-loss, and take-profit strategy. If the market respects the triangle breakdown scenario, this could lead to a significant bearish move toward the 0.81190 target.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USD Analysis Ascending Triangle Breakout – Bullish TargetOverview of the Chart: The chart represents the EUR/USD (Euro to U.S. Dollar) pair on a 1-hour timeframe, showcasing a bullish ascending triangle breakout. The pattern indicates an upward continuation in the trend after a period of consolidation. This analysis will break down the key elements of the chart, the technical structure, and the potential trading strategy. 1. Market Structure & Key Zones A. Market Curve Area (Early Trend Development) The price started with a strong bullish trend leading up to the formation of the triangle. The curved trendline suggests a gradual increase in buying pressure, indicating that the market was preparing for a larger breakout. B. Resistance and Support Levels Resistance Level (Red Arrow & Blue Box): This level acted as a price ceiling where sellers previously dominated. The market attempted multiple times to break this resistance before successfully breaching it. Support Level (Green Arrow & Yellow Zone): The price consistently found buyers at this level, reinforcing a higher low structure. The rising support line within the triangle indicated strong accumulation by buyers. 2. Chart Pattern: Ascending Triangle Formation The price action formed an ascending triangle, which is a well-known bullish continuation pattern. The higher lows (trendline support) indicated buyers were gaining control, gradually pushing the price toward the resistance. Eventually, the resistance was broken with strong bullish momentum, confirming a valid breakout. 3. Breakout Confirmation & Retest The breakout above the resistance level came with high volume, indicating strong market participation. After the breakout, a minor pullback (retest) occurred, confirming previous resistance as new support. The price surged upward after the retest, validating the bullish trade setup. 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management A. Entry Strategy A trader would enter a buy (long) position after confirming the breakout. Entry Trigger: Either at breakout (high-risk, early entry) Or after a successful retest (safer entry) B. Stop Loss Placement A stop loss is placed below the previous support level at 1.07276, ensuring risk is limited in case of a false breakout. C. Target Projection The target price is measured using the height of the triangle added to the breakout level. Based on this calculation, the projected target is around 1.12838. 5. Conclusion & Trading Plan The EUR/USD pair has executed a clean ascending triangle breakout, signaling further bullish movement. The trading plan suggests: ✅ Entry: Buy after breakout confirmation or retest. ✅ Stop Loss: Placed below 1.07276 for risk management. ✅ Take Profit: Targeting 1.12838, based on the pattern’s height projection. This setup presents a high-probability long opportunity in a trending market, with proper risk management to protect against potential reversals.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
PY/USD Analysis: Rising Wedge Bearish Reversal & Short SetupThis chart represents the JPY/USD (Japanese Yen vs. US Dollar) on a daily timeframe (1D), published on April 3, 2025, via TradingView. The price action and technical indicators suggest a bearish outlook based on the formation of a Rising Wedge Pattern, a classic reversal structure signaling potential price depreciation. 1. Chart Structure & Identified Patterns A. Rising Wedge Formation (Bearish Reversal Pattern) The price has been moving in an uptrend, forming higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). The two converging black trendlines indicate a rising wedge, a pattern that typically precedes a downside breakout. A rising wedge is considered a bearish signal, especially when formed after a strong rally. B. Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Zone (Highlighted in Beige, Upper Range) This level represents a historically significant supply area where selling pressure is expected. Price action shows multiple rejections at this level, indicating the presence of strong resistance. The red downward arrow further confirms that this level is acting as a cap on price movement. Support Zone (Highlighted in Beige, Lower Range) This area previously served as a strong demand level, where buyers stepped in, reversing the price. The green upward arrow suggests that it played a critical role in the prior bullish move. C. Key Price Levels All-Time High (ATH) Marked at ~0.007155 This represents the historical peak price, which serves as a potential long-term resistance. Stop-Loss Placement (~0.006959) This is placed above the resistance level to manage risk in case of a false breakout. Target Level (~0.006178) Based on the wedge height, this level is calculated as the measured move after a breakdown. 2. Price Action & Market Sentiment A. Recent Bullish Move The market has been in a strong uptrend since hitting the support zone. This move was characterized by higher lows and higher highs, reinforcing bullish momentum. However, momentum appears to be weakening as the price struggles to break through the resistance. B. Confirmation of a Bearish Reversal The price has touched the upper resistance zone multiple times but failed to break through. The trendline breakdown (expected move) suggests sellers are stepping in. A lower high formation is seen as an early warning of a reversal. 3. Trade Setup: Short Position Strategy This setup aligns with the principles of technical analysis, utilizing the Rising Wedge as a bearish reversal pattern. A. Entry Strategy Sell Entry Trigger: Enter a short trade upon a confirmed breakdown below the lower trendline. Retest Confirmation: Ideally, wait for a pullback to the broken trendline before shorting to avoid false signals. B. Risk Management Stop-Loss Placement: Above the resistance zone at 0.006959, to protect against an invalidation. Take-Profit Target: Set at 0.006178, calculated based on the wedge’s height projection. C. Reward-to-Risk Ratio (RRR) RRR = 2:1 or higher The target level offers a risk-reward ratio that justifies the trade setup. 4. Summary & Final Outlook Bearish Signals: ✅ Rising Wedge Pattern – A strong reversal indicator. ✅ Lower Highs and Weak Momentum – Suggests selling pressure. ✅ Failure to Break Resistance – Indicates bullish exhaustion. ✅ Projected Target Based on Wedge – Price expected to reach 0.006178. Neutral Considerations: If price does not break the lower trendline, the pattern is not validated. If a false breakdown occurs, prices may briefly recover before falling. Bullish Invalidation: If the price breaks above 0.006959 and sustains above resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated. Final Verdict: 📉 Bearish Bias – The market setup favors a downside move upon a confirmed breakdown. 🎯 Target: 0.006178 (Key support level). ⚠️ Risk: If the price does not break lower, consolidation may occur before a clearer move.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Silver Breakdown: Rising Wedge Bearish Move Towards Target1. Chart Overview This 4-hour (H4) chart of Silver (XAG/USD) shows a clear Rising Wedge Pattern, a bearish technical formation. The price action recently broke below the lower support trendline, confirming a downside move. Several key levels, indicators, and trading strategies can be derived from this setup. 2. Identified Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal) A Rising Wedge is a pattern that forms when price consolidates between two upward-sloping trendlines, with the support line rising at a steeper angle than the resistance line. This pattern is considered bearish because it signals weakening buying pressure and an impending breakdown. Uptrend Formation: The price had been moving within a wedge, forming higher highs and higher lows. Volume Considerations: A wedge breakout is often accompanied by increasing volume, further confirming the trend shift. Breakout Confirmation: The price has decisively broken below the lower boundary of the wedge, indicating that sellers are taking control. 3. Key Technical Levels & Trading Strategy Resistance Level (Rejection Zone) – $34.00 - $34.50 The upper boundary of the rising wedge acted as strong resistance. Multiple price rejections confirm sellers' dominance in this area. Any future retest of this level may provide a new opportunity for short entries. Support Level (Broken & Retested) – $32.50 - $32.80 This zone previously acted as strong support, preventing price from falling lower. Now that price has broken this support level, it could act as resistance if a retest occurs. A confirmed rejection here will further validate the bearish outlook. Stop Loss Placement – $34.16 A logical stop-loss placement is slightly above the previous swing high and resistance area. If price moves above this level, it would indicate that the breakdown has failed, invalidating the bearish setup. Bearish Target – $30.76 (Measured Move Projection) This level is derived from the height of the rising wedge pattern projected downward. The area around $30.76 aligns with a previous support zone, making it a reasonable target for the current breakdown. 4. Price Action & Future Expectations Current Market Sentiment: Bearish The break below the wedge confirms a bearish sentiment. A slight retracement to the previous support (now resistance) around $32.80 - $33.00 is possible before further downside. If selling pressure remains strong, Silver is likely to reach the $30.76 target in the coming sessions. Alternative Scenario: Bullish Recovery If the price moves back above $34.16, the bearish outlook is invalidated. A sustained move above this level could indicate a false breakdown and may push Silver toward new highs. 5. Trading Plan Based on This Setup 🔹 Entry Strategy: Look for a retest of the broken support zone ($32.80 - $33.00) to enter short positions. A rejection from this level with bearish confirmation (e.g., a bearish engulfing candle) strengthens the trade setup. 🔹 Stop Loss: Placed above the wedge resistance at $34.16 to protect against false breakouts. 🔹 Take Profit Targets: First Target: $31.50 (intermediate support level) Final Target: $30.76 (measured move projection of the wedge) 6. Conclusion This Rising Wedge Breakdown on Silver’s H4 chart presents a strong bearish trading opportunity with a well-defined risk-reward ratio. The break below key support signals continued downside, with $30.76 as the next major target. However, traders should monitor any retest of the broken support zone to confirm further selling momentum before entering new positions.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
GBPAUD - Already Over-Bought!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈GBPAUD has been bullish trading within the rising channels in orange and red. Currently, GBPAUD is retesting the upper bound of the channels. Moreover, the $2.085 - $2.1 is a strong resistance zone. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper trendlines and green resistance zone. 📚 As per my trading style: As #GBPAUD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
2
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Rectangle Pattern Breakdown – Bearish Move1. Overview of the Chart & Market Context The chart provided represents Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, published on TradingView. This analysis highlights the rectangle pattern formation, key support and resistance levels, and a potential short trade setup with defined risk management. The market structure suggests a bearish outlook, as Bitcoin attempted to break above a resistance level but failed, leading to a sharp decline. The price action now indicates further downside movement, aligning with a rectangle pattern breakdown. 2. Rectangle Pattern Formation What is a Rectangle Pattern? A rectangle pattern is a consolidation phase where price moves sideways within a defined range, forming multiple touches at resistance and support before a breakout occurs. It can serve as a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on the breakout direction. In this case, the pattern has resulted in a bearish breakout, indicating that sellers have taken control of the market. Key Characteristics of This Rectangle Pattern: The upper boundary (resistance) is at 88,333 USD, where price repeatedly failed to break higher. The lower boundary (support) is at 78,044 USD, which acted as a strong floor but is now under pressure. The price moved within this range for an extended period, showing a balanced battle between buyers and sellers. A failed breakout at resistance, followed by a sharp rejection, signals a bearish reversal. 3. Breakdown of Key Levels & Market Structure A. Resistance Level – 88,333 USD This level has been tested multiple times, but price failed to hold above it. The recent failed breakout led to a strong bearish rejection, confirming resistance. The price action formed a bearish engulfing candlestick, adding to the bearish bias. B. Support Level – 78,044 USD This zone has previously provided multiple bounces, showing strong buying interest. However, with the recent break below this level, it may now act as resistance. If the price retests this area and fails to break above, it confirms a bearish continuation. C. Price Rejection and Market Structure Shift The formation of lower highs and lower lows signals a transition from consolidation to a downtrend. The price broke out of the rectangle pattern to the downside, confirming a bearish breakout. If the support at 78,044 USD fails, the price may continue dropping toward 73,678 USD. 4. Trade Setup & Execution Plan 🔹 Entry Strategy A short position is initiated after the bearish rejection at resistance (88,333 USD). The breakdown of the rectangle pattern strengthens the short setup. The price may briefly retest the broken support (78,044 USD) before continuing downward. 🔹 Stop-Loss Placement The stop-loss (SL) is placed above 88,333 USD, ensuring that if price moves against the trade, risk is minimized. This protects against any unexpected bullish reversal. 🔹 Profit Targets (Take Profit - TP) TP1: 78,044 USD (previous support level) – A conservative target. TP2: 73,678 USD (deeper support) – If bearish momentum continues, this is the extended target. Trade Component Details Entry Short after rejection at 88,333 USD Stop-Loss (SL) Above 88,333 USD Take Profit 1 (TP1) 78,044 USD Take Profit 2 (TP2) 73,678 USD Confirmation Breakout & retest of support Risk-Reward Ratio Favorable (defined SL & TP) 5. Expected Price Action and Market Behavior 🔻 Bearish Scenario (Most Likely Outcome) The price will continue to fall towards TP1 (78,044 USD) due to selling pressure. If 78,044 USD fails to hold, Bitcoin is likely to test the next major support level (73,678 USD). The structure of lower highs and lower lows supports the downtrend. 🔺 Bullish Scenario (Invalidation of the Short Setup) If Bitcoin breaks above 88,333 USD, the bearish outlook is invalidated. This could signal a potential trend reversal or bullish breakout. 6. Technical Indicators Supporting the Analysis Several technical indicators can be used to confirm the bearish outlook: 📉 RSI (Relative Strength Index): If RSI is below 50, it confirms bearish momentum. If RSI is oversold (<30), a temporary bounce may occur. 📉 Moving Averages: If the 50-period MA crosses below the 200-period MA, it confirms a bearish trend. If price is below both MAs, it strengthens the bearish setup. 📉 Volume Analysis: A high selling volume during the breakdown indicates strong bearish conviction. If volume spikes near support levels, a potential bounce could happen. 7. Summary of Key Findings Pattern Identified: Rectangle pattern with a bearish breakout. Market Structure: Price formed lower highs and lower lows, signaling a downtrend. Trade Setup: Short trade after rejection at 88,333 USD. Stop-loss above 88,333 USD to manage risk. Profit targets at 78,044 USD (TP1) and 73,678 USD (TP2). Risk Management: Clear stop-loss and take-profit levels ensure a controlled risk-to-reward ratio. If price moves against the trade, the stop-loss prevents excessive losses. Technical Indicators: RSI, Moving Averages, and Volume Analysis confirm the bearish outlook. 8. Final Thoughts & Trading Plan Implementation This analysis presents a high-probability bearish trade setup using the rectangle pattern breakdown strategy. With proper risk management, traders can execute this short trade with a structured plan. 🔹 Actionable Trading Plan: Wait for price confirmation – If BTC retests the broken support (78,044 USD) and rejects, this strengthens the trade idea. Execute the short trade – Once confirmation occurs, enter a short position. Manage risk appropriately – Stick to the stop-loss above 88,333 USD. Monitor price action – Adjust take-profit levels based on momentum and support breaks. If the price invalidates the setup by breaking above resistance, it is crucial to exit the trade and re-evaluate the market conditions. Conclusion: This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) rectangle pattern breakdown analysis provides a clear bearish trade setup, supported by market structure, technical indicators, and price action. The well-defined entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels ensure a structured risk-reward ratio, making this a viable short trade opportunity.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Trend Changing Pattern (TCP) in Action: Live ExampleHey traders, Following up on yesterday’s lesson about the Trend Changing Pattern (TCP), I wanted to share a real-time example using the CADJPY pair in an intraday downtrend. Today, we spotted a TCP setup where price action gave us a classic reversal signal: The market manipulated the low of the TCP zone with a single break. This was followed by a W pattern and a second attempt that failed to make a lower low. That failure to create a new low acted as our entry confirmation for a long position. 🔹 Entry: 103.71 (Long) 🔹 Stop Loss: 103.28 (Just below the break low for protection) This trade setup perfectly illustrates how price structure and momentum shifts can help you catch early entries during trend reversals. Stay sharp, manage your risk — and have a blessed trading day!
Long
by Charts247TradingAcademy
Gold (XAU/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish SetupOverview Gold (XAU/USD) has been in a strong uptrend, making consistent higher highs and higher lows. However, the price action has formed a Rising Wedge Pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that the bullish momentum is weakening, and a potential sell-off could follow. The recent breakdown of the wedge structure confirms the bearish bias, and sellers are now in control. Based on price action analysis, we can anticipate further downside movement toward key support levels. 📊 Technical Analysis – Rising Wedge Breakdown 1️⃣ Understanding the Rising Wedge Pattern The Rising Wedge is a bearish pattern that occurs when the price consolidates within an upward-sloping channel but shows signs of exhaustion. Here’s how it developed: Higher Highs & Higher Lows: The price consistently formed higher peaks and troughs, indicating an uptrend. Declining Bullish Momentum: As the wedge progressed, price action became increasingly squeezed, showing reduced bullish strength. Breakout Confirmation: Once the lower trendline of the wedge was breached, it confirmed that buyers were losing control and that sellers had stepped in. 2️⃣ Key Levels & Market Structure 🔵 Resistance Level: The upper boundary of the wedge around $3,150 - $3,163 acted as a supply zone, where sellers pushed prices lower. 🟠 Support Level: The lower boundary of the wedge, around $3,100 - $3,120, initially provided demand but eventually failed to hold. 🔻 Breakdown Confirmation: The price broke below the wedge, which is a strong bearish signal. 🎯 Trade Setup & Strategy 3️⃣ Bearish Trading Plan Given the breakdown of the wedge pattern, the setup favors a short (sell) trade. Here’s how to approach it: 📉 Sell Entry: The ideal short position is initiated after a confirmed break of the wedge’s support level. 📍 Stop Loss (SL): A tight stop-loss is placed above the previous resistance at $3,163.67, ensuring risk is controlled if the trade goes against the bias. 🎯 Take Profit (TP) Targets: TP 1: $3,080.66 – First major support level, where buyers might step in temporarily. TP 2: $3,057.33 – Extended downside target, offering a greater risk-to-reward ratio. 4️⃣ Additional Price Expectations Retest of the Wedge Breakdown: The price may pull back to the broken wedge support before continuing downward. Stronger Bearish Momentum: If selling pressure remains strong, price could fall even lower, breaking TP 2. Invalidation Level: If price climbs above $3,163, the wedge breakdown would be invalidated, signaling that bulls have regained control. 📌 Conclusion & Market Sentiment 🔹 Rising Wedge Breakdown Signals Further Downside – The market structure suggests that sellers are gaining control. 🔹 Sell Setup with Risk-Managed Approach – With a defined stop-loss and two profit targets, this trade offers a favorable risk-to-reward setup. 🔹 Gold’s Short-Term Bearish Outlook – The chart confirms a potential correction, and price may drop towards $3,080 and $3,057 if the bearish momentum continues. 📊 Final Thought: This is a high-probability short trade based on classic technical analysis. Traders should monitor for confirmation retests and manage risk accordingly. ✅ Would you like any refinements or additional insights? 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
EURJPY Double Top - Bearish Reversal Ahead Toward Target!🔍 Chart Analysis: Identifying the Double Top Pattern The EURJPY (Euro/Japanese Yen) 1-hour chart shows a classic Double Top pattern, which is a strong bearish reversal formation. This pattern occurs when the price reaches a significant resistance level twice but fails to break above it, indicating a potential shift from bullish momentum to bearish control. 1️⃣ Top 1: The first peak formed as buyers pushed the price higher, but strong resistance forced a pullback. 2️⃣ Top 2: The price attempted to break the same resistance level again but failed, forming a second peak at approximately 164.165, confirming that sellers are overpowering buyers. 3️⃣ Neckline (Support Level): The critical support level around 160.000 acted as a trigger for the bearish move. Once this level broke, the double top pattern was confirmed. 📌 Key Levels and Market Structure 🔹 Resistance (164.165): The highest level where sellers dominated, preventing further upward movement. 🔹 Support/Neckline (160.000): This level acted as a crucial pivot. Once broken, it signaled a trend reversal. 🔹 Take Profit Levels: TP1 – 159.036: This serves as the first profit target, aligning with a prior demand zone. TP2 – 157.200: The full projected downside move based on the double top pattern. 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): Above 164.165, ensuring a risk-managed approach in case of trend invalidation. 📉 Trading Strategy: How to Trade This Setup? 1️⃣ Entry Confirmation: The ideal entry was after the price broke the neckline at 160.000 and retested it as resistance. A breakdown candle with high volume confirmed seller dominance. 2️⃣ Stop-Loss Placement: A stop-loss above 164.165 provides room for price fluctuations while protecting against false breakouts. 3️⃣ Profit Targets: TP1: 159.036, securing partial profits. TP2: 157.200, completing the double top measured move. 📊 Market Psychology & Price Action Insights The double top pattern reflects a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. The repeated rejection at 164.165 signals a lack of buying strength, increasing the probability of a downward move. The breakdown of the 160.000 neckline confirms that sellers have taken control. The price action also shows a lower-high formation, reinforcing bearish momentum. ✅ Conclusion: Bearish Bias Until 157.200 This setup strongly favors short positions, as long as the price stays below 162.500. A break above 164.165 invalidates the bearish setup, signaling a potential reversal. Until then, the market remains bearish, with TP1 & TP2 as achievable downside targets. 💬 What’s your outlook on EURJPY? Drop your analysis below! 👇
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
2025-04-02 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: This is the event bears have prayed for, full blown trade war and this market is not positioned for any downside risk. Let’s see where we close this week. Below 21500 would be amazing but let’s close below 22000 first. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 21800 - 23000 bull case: Tbh, best bulls can hope for, is to stay above 22000. I can’t see this going above 22800 for the near future. If bulls do it, I am clearly wrong. Invalidation is below 21900. bear case: Bears got the event gift and now it’s about how fast do they want to get out of this. I expect the worst but stops for now are 22800. First target is a strong move below 22300, then bears need to break 22000 and print a lower low. If they do that, we most likely freefall to 22000. If things become real bad, we hit the big bull trend line from August tomorrow, likely around 21800. Invalidation is above 22800. short term: LFG. Trade small with wide stops. medium-long term from 2024-03-16: Germany takes on huge amount of new debt. Dax is rallying hard and broke above multi-year bull trends. This buying is as real as it gets, as unlikely as it is. Market is as expensive as it was during the .com bubble but here we are and marking is pointing up. Clear bull channel and until it’s broken, I can not pound my chest and scream for lower prices. Price is truth. Is the selling around 23000 strong enough that we could form a top? Yes. We have wild 1000 point swings in both directions. Look at the weekly chart. Last time we had this volatility was 2024-07 and volume then was still much lower. We are seeing a shift from US equities to European ones and until market closes consecutive daily bars below 22000, we can’t expecting anything but sideways to up movement. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Big up, big down. Triangle on the 4h chart and both sides made decent money today.
EUREX:FDXS1!Short
by priceactiontds
BTC/USD Bullish Breakout from Rectangle PatternOverview: The chart represents Bitcoin's price action against the US Dollar on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a Rectangle Pattern Breakout with a well-structured trade setup. This analysis will break down the pattern, key levels, and possible trading scenarios. 1️⃣ Chart Pattern Breakdown – Rectangle Consolidation The price has been moving within a rectangle pattern (range-bound movement), where Bitcoin found support at lower levels and faced resistance at the upper boundary. Rectangle Pattern: A continuation/consolidation pattern where price fluctuates between horizontal resistance and support before breaking out. Curve Formation: The price action within the rectangle also forms a rounding bottom, indicating a potential shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. Breakout Confirmation: BTC has broken out from the rectangle, suggesting bullish momentum. 2️⃣ Key Technical Levels 🔹 Support Level ($84,110) This zone has acted as a strong demand area, preventing the price from falling further. Buyers consistently stepped in at this level, making it a significant psychological floor for Bitcoin. 🔹 Resistance Level ($86,850 - $87,000 Zone) This level had previously rejected upward movements, leading to multiple price pullbacks. After the breakout, this area is expected to act as a new support level upon a retest. 🔹 Target Price ($89,931 – Next Resistance Zone) If the breakout sustains, the next key target for bulls is around $89,931, based on prior resistance zones and technical projections. 🔹 Stop Loss ($84,110 – Below Support Zone) A stop loss below the support zone ensures risk management in case of a false breakout. 3️⃣ Trading Strategy & Execution 📌 Entry Point – After price confirms the breakout above the rectangle’s resistance. Traders should wait for: A pullback and retest of the broken resistance, which should now act as support. A strong bullish candle confirming continuation. 📌 Take Profit (TP) – $89,931, based on historical resistance levels and price projection from the rectangle range. 📌 Stop Loss (SL) – Placed at $84,110, below the rectangle’s previous support zone to minimize downside risk. 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) – The setup offers a favorable RRR, meaning potential profits outweigh the risks. 4️⃣ Market Sentiment & Additional Factors ✔ Bullish Outlook – The breakout signals strong buying interest and potential upside continuation. ✔ Volume Confirmation – Traders should monitor volume spikes during the breakout to confirm institutional participation. ✔ Economic Events & News – External factors like macroeconomic data or Bitcoin-related news can impact price action. Conclusion – BTC/USD Trading Setup Pattern Identified: Rectangle Pattern Breakout Current Trend: Bullish breakout from consolidation Trade Type: Long position (Buy setup) Key Levels: ✅ Support: $84,110 ✅ Resistance: $86,850 - $87,000 ✅ Target: $89,931 ✅ Stop Loss: $84,110 🔥 Final Thought : Bitcoin has broken out of a key consolidation range, signaling a bullish move towards $89,931. Traders should wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly! 🚀📈
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD Head & Shoulders Breakdown – Bearish Target Ahead?This chart represents a detailed technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe with a structured trade setup based on a Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern. Below is an in-depth explanation of the chart components, price action, and trade strategy. 1️⃣ Key Chart Patterns and Analysis A. Head and Shoulders Pattern (Bearish Reversal) This is a well-known bearish reversal pattern that signals a potential trend change from bullish to bearish. It consists of three peaks: Left Shoulder: A rise followed by a temporary pullback. Head: The highest peak in the pattern, showing strong buying pressure before reversal. Right Shoulder: A smaller rise compared to the head, indicating weakening bullish momentum. B. Neckline (Support Level) and Breakdown Confirmation The neckline (horizontal support level) is drawn across the lowest points between the shoulders. A break below the neckline confirms the reversal, triggering a bearish move. The chart suggests price is at the neckline zone, preparing for a breakdown. 2️⃣ Trendline and Support/Resistance Analysis A. Uptrend Trendline Break The price was following a strong ascending trendline (dotted black line). A trendline breakout has occurred, indicating potential trend reversal. This supports the bearish bias further. B. Resistance and Support Levels Resistance Level: Marked at the top of the Head region, which aligns with previous price rejection zones. Support Levels: First support (TP1 - 3,053.269): This is the first potential take profit level. Second support (TP2 - 3,030.556): The next target if price continues downward. 3️⃣ Trade Setup & Risk Management A. Entry Point (Short Position) Sell (Short) after the neckline breakout, ensuring bearish momentum is confirmed. B. Take Profit (TP) Targets TP1: 3,053.269 (Initial support target). TP2: 3,030.556 (Stronger support zone, deeper profit target). C. Stop Loss Placement Stop Loss: 3,150.726 (Above the resistance zone). This is a logical stop-loss placement, allowing price fluctuations without prematurely stopping the trade. 4️⃣ Overall Market Sentiment & Trade Bias Bearish Bias: Due to the formation of the Head and Shoulders pattern, trendline breakout, and weakening bullish momentum. Confirmation Needed: A strong bearish close below the neckline increases probability of downward continuation. 5️⃣ Final Thought – A High-Probability Trade Setup If neckline breaks, the trade is valid with potential for a 3%+ downside move. If price holds above the neckline, the pattern may fail, leading to reconsidering trade execution. This structured risk-managed approach ensures a strategic entry, controlled risk, and maximized profit potential. 📉🔥 Let me know if you need further refinements! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout: Next Target $3,181?"Key Observations: Current Price: Gold is trading at $3,127.450 at the time of the chart. Trend: The chart exhibits a strong uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows. Support Levels: Several support levels are marked in the $3,010 - $2,999 range, extending down to around $2,906. Resistance and Target: The immediate price range is highlighted, suggesting possible consolidation. A breakout above this range could lead to a target around $3,181. Chart Annotations: A retracement (red structure) indicates a short-term correction before continuation. A breakout structure (black lines) suggests a previous significant upward movement. The range and possible continuation are marked, indicating that the price may consolidate before attempting to reach the target. Trading Perspective: If price holds above the range, we may see bullish continuation towards $3,181. A break below support levels could signal a deeper pullback towards $3,010 or lower. This chart suggests a bullish outlook, with potential for more upside if momentum continues. Traders might look for confirmations before entering long positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer