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Gold price analysis July 24Fundamental analysis: Gold prices attracted some buying activity on Wednesday and recovered further from a more than one-week low touched on Monday. The momentum lifted the precious metal to fresh weekly highs around the $2,418 region during the Asian session and was backed by a combination of supportive factors. Growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin its rate-cutting cycle in September, along with US political developments, prompted some intraday selling around USD and acts as a driving force for Gold prices. However, traders may refrain from positive bets and prefer to wait for further signals on the Fed's policy path. As a result, the focus remains on US Q2 GDP data and the US Personal Consumption Price Index (PCE), expected on Thursday and Friday. Meanwhile, global PMIs will be looked at for short-term momentum. Technical analysis: From a technical perspective, this week's recovery from the $2,385 resistance level signals the end of the downtrend of recent days as wave 5 has ended and the abc wave of the elliot wave pattern has also ended. around 2411. The aforementioned 2385 area will now act as an important pivotal point, which if broken decisively will pave the way for deeper losses. Gold prices could then slide to the 61.8% Fibo level, around the $2,366-$2,365 area. On the other hand, any further upside move is likely to face some resistance near the $2,420-2,422 zone above which a fresh short squeeze could lift Gold prices to the $2,430-2,432 zone. Momentum could extend again to retest all-time highs, around the $2,482 region. Resistance: 2420 - 2431 - 2436 - 2450 Support: 2385 - 2375 - 2368 - 2360 SELL 2422 - 2420 stoploss 2425 SELL 2431 - 2433 stoploss 2437 BUY 2386 - 2384 stoploss 2380 BUY 2373 - 2375 stoploss 2369
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
3
S&P dragged down by US politicsLast week, the market was significantly affected by political uncertainty in the US. Technically, everything looked decent, and there was no change in fundamentals as inflation continued to slow down and banks reported positively. Given this, I was expecting a rotation within a narrow range, but the uncertainty was too strong, causing a sell-off in all major sectors (see Market Strength Index). The only sector that showed some resilience was Financials, but even it eventually succumbed. The week closed very weak, with a bearish engulfing candle, which formally starts a weekly consolidation. It is important to remember that the market is still in a weekly uptrend, and we should treat weekly consolidations as short-term pullbacks until the price sets a convincing lower high on the weekly chart. I would expect the price to try retesting the gap from Wednesday, the 17th. Whether this retest is successful or not will determine the future of the market. It is also likely that in the coming months, the market will be very sensitive to political developments. Disclaimer I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
AMEX:SPYShort
by hermes_trisme
2024-07-24 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Big down, big up, big confusion. Market closed 60 points above where it opened but still a bear day. Since we broke below the shallow bull trend line on the daily chart, this is no longer a triangle and bears increased their chances of making new lows below 17844 over the next days. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 18200 - 18700 bull case: Bulls bought the new lows and rallied for 270 points. Tells you that bears are fine with taking profits at new lows and bulls still in btfd mode. Bulls want a second leg up, like they did on Monday & Tuesday. Measured move up would bring us exactly to the high of the week 18774. Invalidation is below 18200. bear case: Bears need to trap bulls buying the dip there under 18500 or they risk another high above 18700. Since bears closed the us session below the 1h 20ema, I give the better odds to the bears for follow through selling below 18200. A weekly close below 18000 would be amazing for the bears. Invalidation is above 18500. short term: Neutral until I see follow through selling below 18350. Both sides have reasonable arguments and the market was two sided all week, with big swings in both directions. medium-long term: My long term outlook stays bearish and I expect at least a -20% correction in 2024. Medium term is 17100 while I think we can touch the big bull trend line starting 2022-10 around 16700 in 2024. —unchanged current swing trade: Short since 18700, added to shorts 18900. Will hold this till Cathy closes ARKK or the big short 2.0 is announced. Update: 400 points in profit, will take most off around 18000-18100 and see where Market wants to go. trade of the day: Tricky day again. The bing selling began 3 a.m. CET so long before EU opened. I joined the bears at around 7 a.m. and caught a 80 point ripper down. There was no bullish price action and just selling going on. Then came the hard part below 18300. It was obvious market was trying to bottom and to exit shorts but taking the long was hard. You have to be really mentally flexible to take the other side after such a strong move. Trade of the day was the long bar 13. Bar 9 was strong enough but bar 10 did not trade above it. Bar 11 + 12 were good signal bars and 13 was the follow through. That was good for 200 points. I missed it.
EUREX:FDXSU2024
by priceactiontds
2024-07-24 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: A trading range after a strong move is more often than not the final flag. Yesterday we formed a late trading range and bulls had a strong move up today, which makes me believe that the sell into the close was the final flag, rather the start of another leg down. Market is at huge support with the bull trend line from October and no one expects it to break on the first try. Can we dip below before a stronger pullback? Sure. Odds still favor the bulls for a pullback, at least to the 4h again, like the bull spike today. I have drawn 2 potential paths forward but as always, wait for the market to show its direction and not guess it and most certainly do not trade before it’s happening. current market cycle: Trading range until 5500 is clearly broken. But bubble has popped. Enjoy the ride down. key levels: 5400 - 5560 bull case: Bulls got a strong bounce to the 4h 20ema today. Tomorrow they want to defend the bull trend line from 2023-10 and keep the market above 5500, which is still max bullish if you look at higher tf. Invalidation is below 5400. bear case: Bears are in control of the market and in full STR mode. The bounce today was strong but bears reversed it even harder. They are trading below all important ema and their only target for the rest of the month is to break the big bull trend line, which would put bulls in panic mode. Such important trend lines mostly have to be poked at a couple of times before market can break through. If they step aside for another pullback higher, they need to keep it below 5533 or market will test 5560/5570 again. Invalidation is above 5533. short term: Slightly bullish with a clear invalidation price of 5430. Odds slightly favor the bulls for a second leg up and go sideways around 5500. If bears manage to break below the bull trend line, next support is at 5300. medium-long term: Bearish. We will see 5000 over the next weeks again and 4600 over the next 12 months. Will update this time and price wise over the weekend but I expect to at least see 5000 over the next months in 2024. —unchanged current swing trade: Closed my swing short from 5700 at 5450. I expect a pullback and will short it again. trade of the day: Buying the opening reversal from 5432. On the 5m chart bears just quickly gave up and market made 97 up. Very strong 3 bar reversal and difficult to take after the 40 point drop from the open. Taking the short afterwards was probably easier and better. Market turned at the 4h 20ema and only spent 1h at around 5520 before bears printed a strong 15m bear bar which was strong enough to go short as it closed. On the chart it was bar 13
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by priceactiontds
ATOM: Understanding the Key Levels and Trends✨ Welcome to my channel. Here, we analyze a new crypto project or Forex pair every day. 📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the ATOM coin in the crypto market. 🗂 About the Project: ATOM, or Cosmos, is a decentralized network aiming to facilitate interoperability between multiple blockchains. It is known for its unique consensus mechanism and ability to enable communication between different blockchain networks. Cosmos is particularly popular among DeFi and blockchain developers due to its scalability and modular architecture. 📅Weekly Timeframe In this timeframe, ATOM has experienced significant movements. Recently, it saw an upward trend reaching a peak around the $44 level, which was a critical supply zone. Following this, the price entered a correction phase with lower volume, suggesting the strength of the previous upward trend. Currently, ATOM is at a support level of $6.51 after a correction phase. 📈 If ATOM stabilizes above $8.08, we can anticipate a bullish momentum potentially pushing the price towards the next resistance at $16.07. Confirmation of a new upward trend will depend on candle stability above this level. 📉 Conversely, if ATOM falls back into the range between $6.51 and $8.08, and stabilizes below $6.51, it indicates a bearish trend continuation. The next critical support level would be around $4.50. 📊 In both scenarios, volume analysis is crucial. A healthy trend should be supported by corresponding volume without any divergence. 📅Daily Timeframe 🔍 On the daily chart, ATOM ranged around the $8.07 level before initiating another downward wave. Currently, there is noticeable bearish momentum, and the price has found temporary support at $6.00. 🧲 Given the current setup, a stabilization below $6.00 could signal another bearish wave. On the flip side, if the price moves above $8.07, it could indicate the start of a bullish trend, targeting higher resistance levels. 📅4-Hour Timeframe 📈 In the 4-hour timeframe, ATOM has pulled back to the resistance at $6.56. Volume analysis shows a decrease, indicating potential exhaustion of the recent upward movement. 📉 For short positions, the key levels to watch are $6.56 and $7.03, where price reactions could provide better entry points. For long positions, critical levels are $5.77 and $5.20. 💥RSI Oscillator The RSI is currently ranging between 31.20 and 36.56 on different timeframes. Breaking these levels could provide confirmation for opening positions. However, always use these levels in conjunction with candle patterns and volume analysis to find the best entry and exit points. 📉 Given the current bearish signals in the daily and 4-hour timeframes, alongside the potential trend change in the weekly timeframe, I am inclined to open a short position. However, this is based on my trading strategy. Each trader should base their decisions on their strategies and risk management plans. ⚠️ Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Short
by itsparham96
1
Supply / Demand And Price ActionIn this analysis we are focusing on M30 time frame for XAUUSD. Here I'm looking for a potential sell today. If market break our BB zone toward the downside then after strong confirmation we look for sell. As we know that market structure was bullish. But in other case if market first move upward for retracement than we will wait for confirmation. After confirmation we will execute our trade. This is just my analysis or prediction. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management. Always use proper risk / reward ratio.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
1
SMC MODULEIn this analysis we are focusing on (1H) timeframe for XAUUSD. Here I'm looking for a potential buy today. In this analysis we are using SMC concept. As we know that price face a strong rejection from support zone and price moves upside and also we have a (IMB), if price come back and retest this zone again then after confirmation we execute our trade and the target is set at least supply zone. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes. Always put stoploss for your trade. # GOLD (1H) Technical Analyze Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradeTacticsreal
Gold analysis July 23Fundamental analysis US President Joe Biden's withdrawal from the 2024 Presidential election has increased the chances of Donald Trump becoming the next US President, raising hopes of a looser regulatory environment. Additionally, the People's Bank of China's (PBoC) surprise interest rate cut on Monday still supported the market's optimistic sentiment and became the main factor acting as a drag on precious metals This safe haven. However, dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve (Fed) will help limit losses for non-yielding Gold prices. In fact, market participants seem confident that the US central bank will begin lowering borrowing costs in September and have priced in the possibility of two more rate cuts by the end of the year. This triggered a fresh decline in US Treasury yields, putting US Dollar (USD) bulls on the defensive and supporting the yellow metal. Therefore, it would be wise to wait for some follow-through selling first with a buying strategy to extend the all-time high that has just been established. Technical analysis Gold was about to test the support level of 2386 but the selling force was no longer enough to reach the support zone yesterday. Gold price recovered to above 2400 in the third European trading session. Gold is breaking the trendline structure of the h1 frame to form an uptrend. If you can close the candle above the 2402 area, gold will be ready to conquer higher levels during the day. The first level of strong resistance could be around 2420 and next at 2431 which will help restrain the rise in gold prices. And the SELL signals are established there. On the contrary, after failing to find 2384 again, the deeper support areas at 2366 and 2350 become more difficult to reach today. The RSI index in the h4 frame is still below the average level of 50. However, the RSI has just crossed the MA 9 line, also showing that buyers have begun to jump in to push the price up. Trading signals SELL scalp zone 2422 - 2420 stoploss 2425 SELL zone 2431 - 2433 stoploss 2437 BUY scalp zone 2386 - 2384 stoploss 2380 BUY zone 2373 - 2375 stoploss 2369
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold shows signs of recovery and increases again☘️Fundamental analysis Gold prices showed uncertainty near key support at $2,400 during the European session on Monday. The precious metal remains on edge amid growing speculation that the Republican Party led by Donald Trump will win the United States (US) presidential election in November. Market experts see Trump's victory as beneficial for economic growth because he has promised to cut corporate taxes and interest rates. This has driven upside risks to consumer inflation expectations. Trump's growing margin of victory has improved the appeal of the US dollar. The US dollar index (DXY), which tracks the value of the US dollar against six major currencies, fell slightly to 104.20 on Monday after a strong recovery from a four-month low is 103.65. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell to 4.22%. Lower yields on interest-bearing assets reduce the opportunity cost of investing in non-interest-bearing assets, such as Gold. ☘️Technical analysis Gold prices trade in a narrow range near $2,400. This precious metal dropped near the EMA 89 of the 4 hour frame and is reacting bullishly. The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) dipped into the 40.00-60.00 range, suggesting the bullish momentum has stalled. However, the uptrend remains intact. The bullish position is ready to return if the 2400 support level remains intact after the close of the daily candle. Resistance: 2420 - 2431 Support: 2403 - 2397 - 2392 - 2382 SELL price range 2419 - 2421 stoploss 2425 BUY price range 2392 - 2390 stoploss 2386
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Tips and Tricks on How to Trade the Inside Bar Candlestick Tips and Tricks on How to Trade the Inside Bar Candlestick Formation What is an Inside Bar? An Inside Bar is a two-bar price action pattern where the second bar (the inside bar) is completely contained within the high and low range of the first bar (the mother bar). This often signifies a period of consolidation or indecision. Trading the Inside Bar: Breakout Strategy: Look for a strong breakout above the mother bar's high for a long position, or below the mother bar's low for a short position. Volume Confirmation: Increased volume on the breakout candle can strengthen the signal. Stop-Loss Placement: Consider placing your stop-loss at the opposite end of the mother bar. Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure a favorable risk-reward ratio before entering a trade. False Breakouts: Be aware of false breakouts, especially in ranging markets. Combine with Other Indicators: Use the inside bar in conjunction with other technical analysis tools for improved accuracy. Remember, the inside bar is a powerful tool, but it's not a foolproof strategy. Always practice risk management and consider using it as part of a broader trading plan. #tradingview #insidebar #priceaction #forex #stocks #tradingtips
Education
by Forex_Wealth_Factory