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BTCUSD 2H | Breakout Flow + BOS Confirmation – CelestiaPipsBTC is slowly developing a breakout structure on the 2H timeframe . Multiple bullish BOS points and a solid NY session demand base formed. Price is currently retesting the breakout zone after sweeping short-term liquidity. If price holds this zone, we could see continuation toward 88,900. I’ve mapped out the entire flow – BOS, entry zone, and final target. Watch how price reacts from this level. — Shared by CelestiaPip
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CelestiaPips
#BTC/USD ANALYSIS. (BULLISH)Bitcoin Price Action Analysis. The Next Big Move? Bitcoin is moving within an ascending channel, showing strong bullish momentum! However, a key decision point is approaching as the price nears a critical support zone (highlighted in blue). If BTC holds above this level, we could see a strong push towards the $91,500 resistance and potentially break into the $94,700 range. A well structured risk-to-reward setup is in play, with a potential bullish breakout targeting new highs. Will BTC sustain its momentum, or will we see a retracement before the next leg up? Stay sharp and trade wisely! We will execute our trades only after receiving bullish confirmation. Use proper stoploss and proper money management. This is just my analysis. Observe the behavior of price how it will react. #BTCUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by TradeTacticsreal
1
#GOLD ANALYSIS (BEARISH BIAS)🔍 XAU/USD Technical Breakdown – Bearish Setup Ahead? Gold has been struggling against a key trendline resistance, with a strong supply zone acting as a barrier. The price is currently approaching a critical rejection area ($3,033 - $3,040), aligning with the downward trendline. A potential liquidity grab in this region could trigger a bearish reversal. Always take confirmation before executing your trade. Expected Price Action: A rejection from resistance, followed by a lower high formation. A move towards the $3,010 - 3015 level, with a possible test of liquidity. Break below could open doors for further downside. 🔴 Stop-Loss: Above the resistance zone. 🟢 Target: Key support around $2,999-$3,010. Will the bears take control, or will bulls break through? Let’s watch how price reacts! 👀 #XAUUSD 30M Technical Analysis Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
1
2025-03-24 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Big day for the bulls tomorrow. US markets rallied hard while this closed neutral but the rejection above 23300 made this day good for the bears. Bulls need to stay above 22954 and bears below 23200. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 22900 - 24000 bull case: Bulls have no more room to the downside. Either break above again or go down. Above 23300 we test 23500 and maybe higher but for now the battle is fought between 22900 and 23200. Bulls are still in control since the bull channel is alive and well. They have closed above the daily 20ema and have also six 1h bars with big tails below 23100. Problem though is that six is a bit much. They need to rally hard tomorrow or at least stay above 23100. Invalidation is below 23000. bear case: Bears printed a good rejection above 23300 and had 3 legs down while the third one made a double bottom, which is not good for them. Structure below 23100 looks better to buy and not to sell. If they keep it below 23200, they could poke 23000 a bit more and maybe more bulls will give up but for now it’s a big maybe. Market is still always in long until we have consecutive daily closes below 23000. Best bears can hope for is to continue to print lower highs below 23374. Invalidation is above 23400. short term: Slightly bullish bias around 23100 with stop 23954. I want to see a new ath and then a huge rejection from maybe 24k, which should align with my guess for the big second leg down in us markets. Still a rough guess for now. medium-long term from 2024-03-16: Germany takes on huge amount of new debt. Dax is rallying hard and broke above multi-year bull trends. This buying is as real as it gets, as unlikely as it is. Market is as expensive as it was during the .com bubble but here we are and marking is pointing up. Clear bull channel and until it’s broken, I can not pound my chest and scream for lower prices. Price is truth. Is the selling around 23000 strong enough that we could form a top? Yes. We have wild 1000 point swings in both directions. Look at the weekly chart. Last time we had this volatility was 2024-07 and volume then was still much lower. We are seeing a shift from US equities to European ones and until market closes consecutive daily bars below 22000, we can’t expecting anything but sideways to up movement. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buying Globex open was easy but selling was hard. Bears surprised me multiple times. Bad trading on my part today.
EUREX:FDXS1!Long
by priceactiontds
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas💡 OANDA:XAUUSD Daily Timeframe: As forecasted by 4CastMachine AI last week, gold started its decline when it hit the red channel line. This decline will continue, but the support area of ​​2955 could trigger a rebound. At the support area of ​​2955, the up trend line will also prevent further declines. If this area is broken, the price will decline to the support area of ​​2789.95. This area, which was previously a major resistance, will become a major support, creating a good buying opportunity. So, given the long-term uptrend, we can use this area as a long-term BUY ZONE. 💡 TVC:GOLD H4 Timeframe: The price is in a Corrective wave. Given the break of the ascending trend line in the RSI, the corrective wave is expected to continue to a depth of 2955. 💡 H1 Timeframe: A Head and Shoulder Reversal Pattern has formed and the neckline has also been broken. Price is touching the neckline again. It is very likely that the downward wave will start from this area. 3027.83 support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now! Forecast: Correction wave toward the Sell Zone Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
FX:XAUUSD
by ForecastCity
17
What is a Swing Failure Pattern? - Basic explanation!A Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) is a technical chart pattern often used in price action trading to identify potential reversals in the market. It is typically seen on candlestick or bar charts in the context of trend analysis. The basic idea behind a Swing Failure Pattern is that the price temporarily breaks above or below a previous swing high or low, but fails to sustain that move and reverses direction quickly. This indicates a potential shift in market sentiment, and it can be a signal for a trend reversal or breakdown. When is it a SFP? - In needs to sweep the previous low - It has to close the candlestick above the previous low. So only a wick down When the price closes the body of a candle below the last low, it will not be considered an SFP. In this case, it is highly likely that the trend will continue in that direction. The SFP can occur across various timeframes, from lower to higher timeframes. Example on the daily timeframe Here, we see two SFPs: one to the upside and one to the downside. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Education
by Youriverse
31
XTIUSD Price ActionHello traders! As you can see, I've highlighted two valid Supply and Demand zones on the chart. Notice that the previous trendline liquidity has already been swept, and the market grabbed liquidity at the top before forming the supply zone. This presents a good opportunity to enter a trade targeting the next valid demand zone below. Remember, always pay close attention to risk management—protect your balance first, then aim for profits. If you can manage risk effectively, you'll thrive in the market. Wishing you all successful trades—happy trading!
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by SuvashishFx
2
EUR/JPY – Double Bottom Breakout & Trendline Retest, Trade Setup📊 Chart Type: 1-Hour (H1) 💹 Asset: EUR/JPY 📈 Technical Patterns: Double Bottom, Trendline Breakout, Retest 📌 Overview of the Chart The EUR/JPY chart showcases a bullish reversal setup, characterized by a Double Bottom pattern, a trendline breakout, and a successful retest. This combination suggests a potential continuation towards higher price levels, making it an ideal setup for traders looking for breakout entries. The price action initially followed a downtrend, but buyers stepped in at key support zones, leading to the formation of a strong reversal pattern. Now, the price is testing a key resistance level, and if it breaks out, we could see a significant upward move. 🟢 Key Technical Analysis Breakdown 1️⃣ Double Bottom Formation – A Bullish Reversal Signal 🔹 The Double Bottom is a classic reversal pattern that forms after an extended downtrend. 🔹 In this case, price found strong support at 160.139, forming two lows (Bottom 1 & Bottom 2), indicating buyer dominance. 🔹 The confirmation of the pattern comes with a break above the neckline at around 162.000, suggesting a shift from bearish to bullish momentum. 2️⃣ Trendline Breakout & Retest 🔹 A descending trendline had been acting as dynamic resistance, pushing prices lower. 🔹 Recently, the price broke above the trendline, signaling a potential trend shift. 🔹 Now, price is retesting the trendline, which is a key factor in confirming whether the breakout is valid. 🔹 If the retest holds, it could trigger a strong bullish move towards the next resistance zone. 📍 Support & Resistance Zones 🔹 Support Level (160.139): The lowest point in the chart, where price tested twice and formed the Double Bottom. Buyers stepped in aggressively at this level, preventing further decline. Stop Loss Placement: Below this support zone for long trades. 🔹 Resistance Zone (163.725 - Target Level): The previous swing high and a major supply zone. A breakout above this area could lead to further bullish momentum. 📈 Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup? ✅ Bullish Trade Setup (Breakout & Retest Confirmation) This setup is ideal for traders looking to capitalize on breakout and retest strategies. 📌 Entry: Wait for a strong bullish candle to confirm the retest of the trendline. A break above the 162.500 level could be a good entry confirmation. 📌 Target: First target: 163.725 (Resistance Zone). If momentum continues, the next upside target could be around 164.500. 📌 Stop Loss: Below 160.139 (previous support level) to minimize risk. Alternatively, place it below the trendline retest zone if entering aggressively. 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): This trade offers a strong RRR, as the downside risk is limited, while the upside potential is higher. 🔴 Bearish Scenario – What if the Retest Fails? While the bias is bullish, traders must be prepared for a fake breakout scenario. If price fails to hold above the trendline and neckline, the structure might break down. 📌 Bearish Entry: If price rejects the retest zone and closes back below 161.500, it could indicate a false breakout. 📌 Target: 160.139 (Support Level). 📌 Stop Loss: Above the trendline retest zone to protect against unexpected bullish moves. 🔎 Key Takeaways & Final Thoughts ✅ The Double Bottom pattern signals a potential trend reversal. ✅ The trendline breakout & retest adds further confirmation to the bullish bias. ✅ A breakout above 162.500 could accelerate buying pressure toward 163.725. ✅ Risk management is essential: A well-placed stop loss below the support level ensures minimal downside risk. ✅ If price rejects the retest zone, traders should be prepared for a possible bearish reversal. 📌 Overall Bias: Bullish ✅ 📌 Trade Confirmation: Needs trendline retest hold + bullish breakout 📈 📌 Key Level to Watch: 162.500 (Breakout Confirmation Zone) 🔥 💡 Pro Tip : Always wait for confirmation before entering a trade. A strong bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., engulfing candle) on the H1 or H4 timeframe could provide extra confidence in the setup! 🚀
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/GBP Chart Analysis – Inverse Head & Shoulders Bullish SetupThis EUR/GBP 1-hour chart showcases a classic Inverse Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. This pattern is considered one of the most reliable technical formations for spotting upcoming upward momentum, particularly after a prolonged downtrend. 🔎 Market Overview Currency Pair: EUR/GBP Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1) Current Price: 0.83720 Trend: Transitioning from a downtrend to a potential bullish breakout Key Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders Trading Bias: Bullish (Pending breakout confirmation) 📊 Chart Breakdown & Technical Analysis 1️⃣ Market Structure & Trend Analysis Before the formation of the Inverse Head & Shoulders, the market was in a strong downtrend, making lower highs and lower lows. However, buyers started stepping in near the 0.8350 level, preventing further decline. This rejection at key support has set the stage for a potential trend reversal. Left Shoulder: Price formed a minor low around 0.8370, followed by a small bounce. Head: Price made a deeper low around 0.8351, confirming strong support and buyer interest. Right Shoulder: Price attempted another dip but failed to break below the previous low, forming a higher low near 0.8370, signaling increasing bullish pressure. Neckline Resistance: 0.8385 - 0.8390 zone – a crucial level that price needs to break for confirmation of an uptrend. 2️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels Support Level: 0.83513 (Major demand zone) Resistance Levels: Neckline: 0.8385 - 0.8390 (Breakout confirmation zone) Major Resistance: 0.84308 (Target level) Curve Zone: A dynamic resistance trendline that has been containing price action. A breakout above this curve signals a potential shift in trend. 📈 Trading Strategy – Bullish Breakout Plan ✅ Entry Strategy: A long trade should be considered only after a confirmed breakout above the neckline (0.8385 - 0.8390). The confirmation comes when: A strong bullish candle closes above the neckline. Increased trading volume supports the breakout. A possible retest of the neckline as new support (0.8385) before continuation. 🎯 Target Price & Stop Loss: Take Profit (TP): 0.84308 (Projected move based on pattern size). Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.83513 (Right Shoulder low). Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2 or higher, making this a high-probability trade setup. 🛑 Risk Management & Trade Confirmation: Volume Confirmation: A breakout should be accompanied by a volume spike, confirming strong buyer interest. Fakeout Warning: If price briefly breaks above the neckline but then falls back below, it could be a false breakout. In this case, waiting for a retest would be a safer approach. Trailing Stop: Once price moves toward 0.8410, a trailing stop can help secure profits in case of market reversals. 🧐 Summary – Key Takeaways ✅ Inverse Head & Shoulders Identified – A reliable bullish reversal pattern. ✅ Breakout Zone: 0.8385 - 0.8390 (Watch for confirmation). ✅ Target Price: 0.84308 (Potential profit zone). ✅ Stop Loss: Below 0.83513 (Protect against downside risk). ✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable (1:2 or better). ✅ Trading Plan: Buy above the neckline, aim for 0.8430, and manage risk properly. 📌 Final Thought: If the neckline is broken with strong momentum, expect a bullish move toward 0.8430+. However, traders should remain cautious of potential fakeouts and manage risk accordingly. 📢 Share your thoughts in the comments! Are you bullish on EUR/GBP? 🚀📊 #EURGBP #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #InverseHeadAndShoulders
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USD Falling Wedge Breakout – Professional Chart AnalysisOverview of the Chart The EUR/USD 1-hour chart presents a bullish trading setup, featuring a well-defined falling wedge pattern, a trendline breakout, and a retest phase, signaling a potential upward move. The chart is marked with key technical elements such as support and resistance zones, breakout confirmation, and risk management parameters. This analysis will break down each component of the chart, explaining the logic behind the setup and how traders can approach this opportunity. 1. Identified Chart Patterns Falling Wedge Formation (Bullish Reversal Signal) The price action formed a falling wedge, characterized by lower highs and lower lows, creating a narrowing price channel. This pattern is typically a bullish reversal structure, as it indicates weakening selling pressure before an expected breakout. The wedge’s downward movement ended with a strong breakout to the upside, signaling buyers regaining control. 2. Key Technical Levels Support & Resistance Zones Support Level (Buyers’ Stronghold) The horizontal support level is a price area where buyers have previously stepped in, preventing further declines. This level has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its strength as a key demand zone. Resistance Zone (Profit Target Area) The highlighted resistance zone represents a supply area where the price has struggled to move past in previous sessions. The target price level aligns with this resistance, making it a realistic profit target for the long position. 3. Trendline Breakout Confirmation Before forming the wedge, the chart shows an uptrend with a breakout above a trendline. This trendline breakout was an early signal of bullish strength, aligning with the later wedge breakout. After the breakout, the price came back for a retest, which is a key confirmation before further upward movement. 4. Retesting Phase Before the Upward Move After breaking out of the wedge, the price returned to the breakout level to confirm support. Retesting is a crucial validation step—if the price holds above this level, it increases the probability of a continued bullish move. This retesting action provides a potential entry point for traders looking to go long. 5. Trade Setup & Risk Management Strategy Trade Entry: A buy entry is considered after the retest is confirmed (price holding above the breakout level). Stop Loss Placement (Risk Control): The stop loss is placed below the previous low at 1.07790, ensuring protection against fake breakouts or unexpected reversals. Take Profit Target (Projected Price Move): The target price is set at 1.09698, which aligns with previous resistance levels and the measured move from the wedge breakout. This provides a strong risk-to-reward ratio, making the setup favorable for bullish traders. 6. Risk-Reward Ratio & Trade Viability Risk: The distance between the entry point and the stop loss is relatively small, making it a low-risk trade. Reward: The potential upside move is significantly higher than the risk, creating a high reward-to-risk ratio trade. This type of technical confluence increases the probability of a successful trade, making it an attractive opportunity. 7. Conclusion & Trading Strategy 📌 Key Takeaways: ✅ The falling wedge breakout signals a bullish reversal. ✅ The trendline breakout and retest add further confirmation to the trade setup. ✅ The support and resistance zones provide a clear risk management strategy. ✅ The risk-reward ratio makes this an attractive long trade setup. 💡 Trading Plan: 🔹 Enter Long after retest confirmation above the breakout level. 🔹 Stop Loss: 1.07790 (below previous low). 🔹 Take Profit: 1.09698 (previous resistance zone). Final Thoughts This EUR/USD setup is a textbook example of a bullish reversal following a falling wedge breakout. Traders who patiently wait for a confirmed retest can capitalize on this high-probability trade setup, aiming for a strong bullish continuation. 🔹 Tags: #EURUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #PriceAction #TradingSetup #SupportResistance
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Setup📊 Overview of the Chart This 4-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) provides a classic example of a Rising Wedge Breakdown, a bearish reversal pattern. The price initially followed a strong uptrend, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, but failed to sustain momentum at the key resistance zone (~$34.00 - $34.50). This led to a breakout to the downside, which has now confirmed a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. This analysis will break down each key level, the technical indicators supporting this trade setup, and how traders can approach it effectively. 🛠️ Breakdown of the Chart Components 1️⃣ Rising Wedge Formation (Bearish Pattern Identified) The price action created a Rising Wedge, which is a bearish pattern characterized by an uptrend where the higher highs and higher lows start converging into a narrowing range. This shows that while buyers were pushing prices higher, their strength was gradually fading. The breakdown of this structure signaled a loss of bullish momentum, leading to a shift in trend. 2️⃣ Resistance Level & Sell Zone Identified The resistance level at $34.00 - $34.50 has acted as a supply zone where sellers stepped in, preventing further upside. A bearish rejection at this zone confirms that sellers are still dominant. 3️⃣ Retest of the Broken Support (Key Confirmation) After the breakout from the wedge, the price made a retest of the broken trendline, a classic move before further downside. Retesting this area confirms that it is now acting as resistance rather than support, further strengthening the bearish case. 4️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Shift in Market Structure The dashed trendline was previously supportive, but now that the price has broken below it, it has turned into a resistance level. This shift in market structure is a strong bearish signal. 5️⃣ Key Support Levels & Target Projection The next major support level is at $32.00, a level where price previously found demand. The ultimate target price is around $31.18, which aligns with historical support and Fibonacci retracement levels. 📉 Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup? ✅ Entry Point (Short/Sell Setup) A good shorting opportunity arises if the price retests the resistance at $33.50 - $34.00 and shows bearish confirmation (like a rejection candlestick or a bearish engulfing pattern). 📍 Stop Loss (SL) Placement SL should be above $34.20 to avoid getting stopped out by potential fakeouts. 🎯 Take Profit (TP) Levels TP1: $32.00 (First support level) TP2: $31.18 (Final bearish target) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Entry at $33.50 - $34.00 with SL at $34.20 and TP at $31.18 provides an excellent risk-to-reward ratio (~1:4). 📌 Market Sentiment & Conclusion 🔴 Bearish signals are dominant, suggesting further downside potential. 📉 A strong bearish move is expected if the price fails to reclaim $34.00. 🎯 Targeting $31.18 in the upcoming sessions. 📢 Final Advice: Traders should watch for confirmation before entering trades. A successful retest and rejection at $33.50 - $34.00 will be a high-probability short setup. 🚀 🔥 Follow price action and risk management principles for a successful trade! 🔥
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Trading Setup for CHF/USD – Triple Bottom Breakout Strategy📌 Chart Pattern: Triple Bottom with Trendline Breakout This CHF/USD chart showcases a triple bottom formation, a bullish reversal pattern that signals a potential uptrend after three consecutive lows at a strong support level. The price action respects this support zone and attempts a trendline breakout, suggesting a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. 📊 Full Chart Breakdown & Professional Analysis 1️⃣ Key Levels & Structure: ✅ Support Level (1.1300 - 1.1270): The price has tested this region three times, indicating strong buying interest. This forms a triple bottom, a reliable reversal pattern in technical analysis. ✅ Resistance Zone (1.1400 - 1.1420): The price previously reversed from this zone, making it a key short-term resistance level. ✅ Target Level (1.1457): A breakout above resistance could drive the price toward this measured move target, representing a 1% potential gain. ✅ Stop Loss (1.1269): Placed below the support zone to minimize risk in case of a breakdown. 2️⃣ Price Action & Trendline Breakout: 📌 Triple Bottom Formation: Price hits the same support level three times, signaling strong demand. Each bounce from support indicates a gradual weakening of bearish momentum. 📌 Trendline Breakout: The price broke a downward-sloping trendline, suggesting a potential bullish move. A successful retest of the trendline could confirm further upside. 📌 Expected Move: Scenario 1: Price confirms the breakout, retests, and moves toward resistance. Scenario 2: If resistance is broken, price targets the next major level at 1.1457. 3️⃣ Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup? 🎯 Buy Entry: Enter long after a confirmed breakout and retest of the trendline. 📉 Stop Loss: Below 1.1269 (beneath triple bottom support) to limit downside risk. 🎯 Take Profit Targets: Target 1: 1.1400 (Resistance Area) Target 2: 1.1457 (Measured Move Projection) 💡 Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable risk-reward ratio of 1:3, making it an attractive setup for traders. 4️⃣ Market Psychology Behind This Move: Bears losing strength: Multiple failed attempts to break support indicate sellers are exhausted. Bulls gaining momentum: Trendline breakout shows buyers are stepping in with confidence. Breakout confirmation: If resistance breaks, a strong rally toward 1.1457 is likely. 📌 Summary: Bullish CHF/USD Trade Idea 🔹 Pattern: Triple Bottom + Trendline Breakout 🔹 Entry: Buy on retest confirmation 🔹 Stop Loss: 1.1269 🔹 Target: 1.1400 & 1.1457 🔹 Risk-Reward: Favorable 1:3 setup 🚀 This is a high-probability trade setup with strong technical confirmation, making it a great opportunity for breakout traders! 🚀
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
JPY/USD Head & Shoulders Breakdown – Full Professional Analysis1. Introduction to the Chart Pattern The JPY/USD chart on the 1-hour (H1) timeframe displays a well-defined Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, which is a well-known bearish reversal pattern in technical analysis. This pattern signals the potential end of the previous uptrend and the beginning of a downward move. A Head & Shoulders pattern consists of three main components: Left Shoulder: The price rallies to a peak, then retraces. Head: The price rises higher than the left shoulder, marking the highest point before declining. Right Shoulder: A lower peak compared to the head, indicating weakening bullish strength. Neckline: The horizontal support level that, once broken, confirms the bearish trend. 2. Key Levels & Market Structure 🔹 Resistance Level (Supply Zone) The blue box at the top represents the resistance area, where price action was repeatedly rejected. This indicates strong selling pressure at this level, preventing further bullish momentum. 🔹 Support Level (Neckline) The horizontal blue line acts as the support level or neckline of the H&S pattern. Price has tested this area multiple times, confirming it as a crucial level for trend continuation or reversal. 🔹 Trend Line (Dynamic Support) The black dashed trend line represents the previous uptrend, which provided support before being violated. The break of this trend line suggests a weakening bullish structure and increased chances of a bearish move. 3. Breakdown of the Head & Shoulders Pattern Initial Uptrend: The market was in a strong uptrend before forming the Head & Shoulders pattern. Buyers pushed the price higher, making higher highs and higher lows. Formation of Left Shoulder: Price reached a peak and then retraced, forming the left shoulder as sellers entered the market. Formation of the Head: A strong rally followed, breaking the left shoulder’s peak and reaching a new high, forming the head. However, buyers started losing momentum, leading to another retracement. Formation of Right Shoulder: The price made another attempt to move upward but failed to surpass the head’s high, forming the right shoulder. This signaled a reduction in bullish strength and potential trend exhaustion. Neckline Breakdown (Bearish Confirmation): The price dropped below the neckline (support level), confirming a bearish reversal. This is the official entry signal for traders looking for a short setup. 4. Expected Market Behavior & Trading Setup 📉 Bearish Confirmation Steps: Neckline Retest: The price might retest the broken neckline before continuing downward. Bearish Candlestick Patterns: Look for rejection signals like bearish engulfing or shooting star formations. Volume Increase on Breakdown: Strong selling pressure confirms the trend continuation. 🎯 Potential Take Profit Levels: 1️⃣ Target 1 (TP1): 0.006492 – This is a short-term support level, where the price might pause before further decline. 2️⃣ Target 2 (TP2): 0.006430 – A stronger support zone, where sellers may take profits. 🚨 Stop Loss Placement: A stop-loss should be placed above the right shoulder to protect against false breakouts. This ensures a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 5. Risk Management & Market Conditions ✅ Entry Strategy: Wait for a retest of the neckline for a higher probability short trade. ✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Ideally, aim for 1:2 or 1:3 to ensure profitability. ✅ Market Catalysts: Be cautious of fundamental news events, as they can cause unexpected volatility. 6. Conclusion: Bearish Outlook for JPY/USD 🔸 The Head & Shoulders pattern breakdown suggests a strong bearish trend reversal. 🔸 If the neckline holds as resistance, a short trade offers a high-probability setup. 🔸 Price may reach TP1 first, then potentially extend to TP2 if selling pressure persists. 📢 Final Verdict: Bearish trend confirmed; watch for short opportunities on retest. 📊 TradingView Tags: #JPYUSD #HeadAndShoulders #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishBreakout #ShortTrade
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Falling Wedge Breakout – Bullish Setup! 📌 Overview of the Chart Setup This daily Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart presents a technical breakout from a falling wedge pattern, a well-known bullish reversal signal. The price has been forming lower highs and lower lows over the past months, consolidating within a tightening structure. However, the current price action suggests an early breakout attempt, which could lead to significant upside movement in the coming weeks. Let’s break down the key levels, technical insights, and trading opportunities visible in this chart. 📉 Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal) 🔹 What is a Falling Wedge? A falling wedge is a bullish continuation or reversal pattern characterized by converging downward-sloping trendlines. It typically signals a loss of bearish momentum, leading to a breakout to the upside. 🔹 Key Observations in the Chart The price has been moving inside the falling wedge structure, with clear lower highs and lower lows. The support level around $75,000-$80,000 has been repeatedly tested, forming a strong demand zone. A trendline breakout has occurred, suggesting that bulls are regaining control over the price action. Volume is expected to increase upon a confirmed breakout, reinforcing the bullish momentum. 📊 Important Technical Levels 1️⃣ Support & Resistance Zones 📌 Support Level: The $75,000-$80,000 zone has acted as a strong base, preventing further downside. Buyers have stepped in multiple times here. 📌 Resistance Level: The $95,000-$100,000 range represents a historical resistance where price has struggled to break through. 2️⃣ Trendline Breakout The chart clearly shows a breakout above the falling wedge’s upper boundary, indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. If this breakout holds, Bitcoin could see strong buying pressure pushing it toward its next major resistance level. 📈 Trading Strategy & Setup 🔹 Entry Confirmation To enter a long position, traders should wait for: ✅ A daily close above the wedge resistance (confirmed breakout). ✅ A successful retest of the breakout zone, which strengthens the bullish case. A breakout retest is ideal because it provides a lower-risk entry point, ensuring the breakout is legitimate rather than a false move. 🔹 Target Price Projection Using the height of the falling wedge as a projection, the potential price target is set at $118,000. This level aligns with a 35%+ upside from the breakout zone. Bitcoin must clear the $95,000-$100,000 resistance before reaching the final target. 🔹 Stop Loss Placement A stop loss is positioned at $59,896, slightly below the previous major support zone. This ensures that if the breakout fails, losses are minimized while still allowing price fluctuations within expected volatility. 🔹 Risk-to-Reward Ratio Entry around breakout level (~$87,000) Target: $118,000 (35% upside) Stop Loss: $59,896 (~30% downside) Risk-to-reward ratio: ~1:3, making this an attractive trade setup. 📢 Market Psychology & Sentiment Why This Pattern Matters? A falling wedge represents seller exhaustion. Over time, the bearish pressure weakens, leading to a bullish breakout. If Bitcoin can maintain this breakout, momentum traders and institutional investors may step in, accelerating the rally. Breaking above the resistance at $95K-$100K would confirm bullish dominance, potentially leading to new all-time highs. Potential Risks ❌ Fake Breakout: If Bitcoin fails to hold above the wedge resistance, we may see a pullback to support before another breakout attempt. ❌ Macro Factors: External factors like regulatory news, interest rate decisions, and market-wide sentiment could impact price action. ❌ Bitcoin Dominance: If altcoins start rallying, some capital may rotate out of Bitcoin, slowing the upside move. 🚀 Final Thoughts: A High-Probability Bullish Setup ✅ The falling wedge breakout suggests a strong bullish shift, with a 35%+ potential upside. ✅ A confirmed breakout above $95K-$100K will act as a final confirmation before the next leg up. ✅ Risk is managed with a stop loss at $59,896, ensuring downside protection. 🔹 Best trading approach? Wait for confirmation, manage risk, and let the trend develop. Would you like additional insights on entry techniques, volume confirmation, or potential invalidation points? 😊
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
XAU/USD – Triple Top Formation & Bearish Breakdown Potential📌 Overview of the Chart This chart presents the XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD) price action on a 15-minute timeframe, highlighting a classic Triple Top pattern. The Triple Top is a well-known bearish reversal pattern that forms after an extended uptrend. It signals that buyers have attempted to push the price higher multiple times but failed, indicating weakening bullish momentum. This pattern is crucial for traders as it often precedes a trend reversal. The breakdown below the neckline (support level) confirms that selling pressure is taking over, leading to a potential decline. 📊 Identifying the Triple Top Formation A Triple Top pattern consists of three peaks (Top 1, Top 2, and Top 3) at nearly the same resistance level. Here’s a detailed breakdown of its formation: 🔹 Step 1: Price Uptrend Leading to Resistance Before the pattern develops, the price follows a strong uptrend with buyers dominating. The price reaches a key resistance level and faces rejection (Top 1), signaling initial weakness. 🔹 Step 2: Repeated Attempts to Break Resistance After pulling back slightly, buyers make another attempt to break through resistance (Top 2), but fail again. This signals that sellers are actively defending this price zone. 🔹 Step 3: Final Rejection & Breakdown Setup The third attempt (Top 3) fails to break resistance once more. This repeated rejection confirms a Triple Top formation. The price then moves toward the neckline (support level), which is a critical area for the bearish breakdown. 📉 Trading Setup & Execution Strategy ✅ Entry Point – When to Open a Short Position? A short position is confirmed when the price breaks below the neckline with a strong bearish candlestick. A breakdown with high volume strengthens the bearish confirmation. Conservative traders may wait for a retest of the broken neckline before entering. ❌ Stop Loss Placement – Managing Risk The stop loss should be placed above the highest peak ($3,039.076), ensuring protection against false breakouts. If the price moves above this level, the Triple Top pattern fails, and the bearish setup is invalidated. 🎯 Profit Targets – Where to Exit? After the breakdown, price action usually follows a measured move based on the height of the pattern. The following target levels are identified: 1️⃣ First Target: $3,000.962 → A key support level where price may pause. 2️⃣ Second Target: $2,991.766 → A deeper support area that aligns with the price projection from the pattern. Risk-Reward Ratio: The trade setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, making it an attractive opportunity for short sellers. 📈 Confirmation Signals to Strengthen the Setup To increase the probability of a successful trade, look for additional confirmations: 🔸 Volume Analysis: A spike in selling volume at the neckline breakdown suggests strong bearish conviction. Low volume breakdowns may indicate a false move, requiring extra caution. 🔸 Retest of the Neckline: Sometimes, after breaking below the neckline, the price retests the level before continuing downward. This provides a secondary entry opportunity for traders who missed the initial breakdown. 🔸 RSI & Momentum Indicators: If RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows bearish divergence, it adds confidence to the downside move. Momentum indicators like MACD crossing bearish further confirm selling pressure. 📍 Key Considerations & Risk Management 🔹 False Breakout Risk: If price bounces back above the neckline after the breakdown, it could be a false move. Waiting for confirmation reduces this risk. 🔹 Macro Fundamentals: Gold prices are sensitive to economic news, interest rates, and geopolitical events. Unexpected fundamental shifts can impact the pattern’s reliability. 🔹 Trailing Stop Strategy: To protect profits, traders can use a trailing stop-loss, adjusting as the price moves toward targets. 🔍 Summary & Trading Plan 📊 Pattern: Triple Top (Bearish Reversal) 📉 Bias: Bearish (Short Setup) 🛠️ Entry: Sell below neckline confirmation 🎯 Targets: Target 1: $3,000.96 Target 2: $2,991.76 🚨 Stop Loss: Above $3,039 💡 Final Thoughts The Triple Top pattern on XAU/USD suggests a high-probability bearish setup. A confirmed neckline breakdown signals selling pressure, with price targets well-aligned with historical support zones. Patience and confirmation are key—watch for a clean breakdown or a potential retest before entering. Would you like any modifications or additional insights? 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Levels in LINK: Breakdown or Breakout?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! ### **Technical Overview** - **Current Price**: $14.35 (approx.) - **Trend Structure**: Elliott Wave count suggests Wave 3 has wrapped up. Wave 4 and 5 are likely next. --- ### **Key Observations** - **Impulse Invalidation Level**: $19.190 → A break above this invalidates the current bearish impulse. - **Bullish Barriers**: - *Minor Resistance*: $15.002 - *Major Resistance*: $17.677 These are the key spots bulls need to reclaim to regain control. - **Crucial Support**: $12.426 → If this breaks, expect more downside—likely toward the final Wave 5 zone. - **Bearish Target**: $9.283 → Probable landing spot for Wave 5 (of C). Could shape up as a longer-term accumulation zone. --- ### **Elliott Wave Context** - A possible running or expanded flat scenario is in play, with Wave (B) topping around the 1.382 extension. - Wave 3 appears to have completed near the 1.618 extension, a textbook zone for this kind of move. --- ### **Potential Scenarios** 1. **Bullish Reversal Case**: - Price reclaims $15.00 and ideally $17.677. - The bearish count falls apart. 2. **Bearish Continuation Case**: - Price stalls under resistance. - A break of $12.426 sets the stage for continuation down to $9.283. 3. **Neutral Scenario**: - Choppy consolidation between $12.5–$15 while the market sorts itself out. --- ### **Strategic Considerations** - **Short-term Bulls**: Watch $15–$17.6. Any strong reclaim could offer clean long setups. - **Bears & Shorts**: Prime fade zone if price gets rejected near resistance. - **Long-term Investors**: If we hit $9.283, that’s a potential loading zone for the next cycle. Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
COINBASE:LINKUSDLong
by CryptoKnee
2
#202512 - priceactiontds - weekly update - dax futuresGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: Neutral week. Bulls retested the ath and could not print a new one and bears failed at 23k. Do not make these range bound markets harder than they are. You have no edge on predicting where the breakout will happen. So trade the range and if the breakout happens, wait for confirmation and join along. current market cycle: Bull trend until consecutive daily closes below 23000 (changed upwards to 23k since we are staying above it now too long) key levels: 22000 - 24000 bull case: As long as bulls keep it above the bull trend line and inside the channel, they are fine. 23k is the big support to hold for them. If it fails, we test 22500. Only question right now is, how high are the odds of another bull leg up to 24k or higher? I have no idea and every time I feel that way, I am neutral. The bull channel is still the dominant feature so bulls remain in control but they have to close green on Monday or the channel is most likely broken. Targets above are 24k and maybe 24500. Invalidation is below 23000. bear case: Double top is their only legit argument for now until we see consecutive daily closes below 23k. The Thu/Fr bear bars do not look all that bearish, so selling below 23200 is bad no matter how you look at it. If anything I’d look for longs 23126 for 23400+. I won’t make stuff up for bears. Once we close below 23k. Bears next target is previous support at 22500 and below that would be the gap close to 22270ish. Invalidation is above 23500. short term: Neutral/leaning very slightly bullish since we are near big support. If bulls come around, I want to be long for 23400+. Shorts only closer to 23746 (keep in mind we had contract switch) or on a strong move below 23k. medium-long term from 2024-03-16: Germany takes on huge amount of new debt. Dax is rallying hard and broke above multi-year bull trends. This buying is as real as it gets, as unlikely as it is. Market is as expensive as it was during the .com bubble but here we are and marking is pointing up. Clear bull channel and until it’s broken, I can not pound my chest and scream for lower prices. Price is truth. Is the selling around 23000 strong enough that we could form a top? Yes. We have wild 1000 point swings in both directions. Look at the weekly chart. Last time we had this volatility was 2024-07 and volume then was still much lower. We are seeing a shift from US equities to European ones and until market closes consecutive daily bars below 22000, we can’t expecting anything but sideways to up movement. current swing trade: None chart update: Nothing big, just new targets
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
#202512 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-mini futuresGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: Bulls were not strong enough to trap late bears and every bear selling below 19700 had multiple chances of exiting break-even or even with a profit. I still think we need to see a bigger bounce but for now market is in balance at 19800, which is bad for the bulls. We need to form a proper channel down and going sideways to do so would be amazing for the bears and a show of big strength by them. 23 days earlier we were trading couple points below ath. Volume last week was low but I can’t see this breaking down again this early after that much selling. I still expect 20400/20700 to be hit next week. Anything above would be bad for bears. current market cycle: strong bear trend but pullback expected key levels: 19300 - 20700 bull case: Bulls stopped the selling and printed a green week, which was only due to a 100 point rally in the final 10min of Friday. They are expect to bounce this higher but for now it’s not happening. Their first target is a daily close above 20k and next would be the daily 20ema around 20300. Market has now touched the bull trend line from 2023-01, 3 times and it also touched the monthly 20ema 3 times with it. I can not see this just breaking down below it, without a bigger bounce. Invalidation is below 19100. bear case: Bears showing incredible strength by keeping the market mostly below 20k. They even printed a couple ticks below the previous low on Friday, which means lower lows and higher highs and that’s always something that happens in trading ranges, not in trends. Bears are fine with going sideways because they can hold on to longer term positions comfortably. As long as any bounce stays below the 50% retracement to 20700, bears are good and expect more selling after we have formed a proper channel. You can never expect a -14% move to just get more follow-through selling after a couple of days. If any market does it, it’s a parabolic climax which can go on for long but are unsustainable. My best guess on how the next weeks could play out is in my chart since last week and is valid until market does something very different. Invalidation is above 21100. short term: Still… Heavy bullish bias for 20000 and likely 20400. Above 20500 air would get real thin again, if this was the start of a bear market. For now I think the pattern from 2024-07 is more likely to repeat than the bear trend as drawn on the chart. No updates since we moved sideways. Important to note, again, is that the longer the market stays at these lows, the more accepted the prices are and the higher the odds of another strong leg down. medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We don’t know if we have printed the W1 of the new bear trend or repeat the pattern from 2024, where we sold of very strong to reverse even more strongly and make new all time highs. Market needs a bounce and around 20000/20500 we will see the real battle for the next weeks. current swing trade: None chart update: Updated the possible bear trend and added a bullish alternative to show what we did in 2024. For now the bullish path is more likely.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
#202512 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: 4h chart tells the story the best. No acceptance below 66.5 and above 68. Bulls managed to get the second weekly bull bar but they have gained almost nothing. It could continue up and keep the multi-year contraction alive, since the double bottom at 65 looks good. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 65 - 70 bull case: Bulls need to print 70. That’s about it. The double bottom at 65 is decent enough to buy pull-backs with that stop. Bulls also managed to close above the daily 20ema on Friday and above 68. They now need to break above the last bear trend line around 68.5 and are then free to test 70. They do need to prevent another lower low below 65 if they want to have a major trend reversal. Invalidation is below 65. bear case: Bears look like they are exhausted and not pushing for new lows. If we close green next week and above 70, clear major trend reversal. Bears could surprise again and push below 65, which would open up targets below 64 and 63. Issue for bears is that below are so many support prices, that it’s hard to argue for more selling but since this is a commodity, could surprise to the downside as well. Technically, bears do not have much below 68. They need to keep the bear trend line around 68.5 alive or give up until market hits 70 again. Invalidation is above 71. short term: Neutral but if bulls continue above 68.5, leaning bullish for 70. Odds favor continuation of sideways movement 65-68. medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: Bear trend is getting weaker but I still see this going sideways around 70 instead of a range expansion. current swing trade: None chart update: Removed bear trend lines that were broken or likely not relevant anymore.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds