JK CEMENT | Strong Volume Breakout | Short-Term Upside in Play📈 Short-Term Trade Plan:
Buy Zone: ₹5,240–₹5,255 (on retest of breakout zone)
Target 1: ₹5,310
Target 2: ₹5,360
Stoploss: ₹5,195 (below the breakout candle wick)
🔍 Technical Insights:
Strong volume surge on breakout above ₹5,220–₹5,230 resistance zone.
RSI comfortably above 60, suggesting sustained strength.
Box breakout pattern typically suggests upward continuation with momentum.
for educational purposes only
Priceaction
EMCURE PHARMA | Approaching Key Resistance | Breakout or Triple ⚙️ Technical Setup Highlights:
Price is testing a resistance zone around ₹1100, which has been rejected twice before (as indicated by black arrows).
Volume has picked up on the recent move up — indicating buying interest.
RSI is turning up from near the 50 level, signaling positive momentum.
📈 Trade Plan:
🔹 If Price Breaks Above ₹1110-1120 with Volume:
Buy above ₹1120 (wait for a breakout candle with volume)
Target 1: ₹1180
Target 2: ₹1240
Stoploss: ₹1070 (just below the breakout level)
🔻 If Price Rejected at ₹1100-1120 Zone Again:
Sell near ₹1100-1110 (on bearish reversal candle confirmation)
Target: ₹1020
Stoploss: ₹1130
🎯 Ideal Strategy:
Wait for confirmation — either a clean breakout above ₹1120 or a rejection signal at resistance. Avoid trading within the zone.
for educational purposes only
ASTRAL LTD | At Key Trendline Resistance | Breakout or Rejection🟢 Buy Recommendation (Breakout Trade)
Entry: Buy only on breakout and daily close above ₹1,420–₹1,430 (above trendline resistance).
Target 1: ₹1,550
Target 2: ₹1,650
Stop Loss: ₹1,320 (below recent consolidation support)
📌 Rationale: If price breaks above the trendline on good volume and closes above ₹1,430, a trend reversal may begin.
🔴 Sell/Short Recommendation (Rejection Trade)
Entry: Sell if the price gets rejected from ₹1,400–₹1,420 and shows a red candle (confirmation).
Target 1: ₹1,280
Target 2: ₹1,180
Stop Loss: ₹1,445 (above the trendline)
📌 Rationale: If the price fails to break the trendline, it could resume the downtrend. RSI is overbought, and sellers might take over.
🔴 Sell/Short Recommendation (Rejection Trade)
Entry: Sell if the price gets rejected from ₹1,400–₹1,420 and shows a red candle (confirmation).
Target 1: ₹1,280
Target 2: ₹1,180
Stop Loss: ₹1,445 (above the trendline)
📌 Rationale: If the price fails to break the trendline, it could resume the downtrend. RSI is overbought, and sellers might take over.
for educational purposes only
EUR/USD Explosion or Trap?EUR Futures
Asset Managers: Strongly net long and continuously increasing since December 2024 → a clear sign of institutional confidence in the euro.
Leveraged Money: Also rising, moving from net short to net long → sentiment reversal even from speculators.
✅ Interpretation: Both institutional categories are bullish on the euro, suggesting potential upward support for EUR/USD.
USD Index Futures
Asset Managers: Decreasing since the end of February → reducing long exposure on the dollar.
Leveraged Money: Recovering from net short, but still uncertain → mixed sentiment.
⚠️ Interpretation: The dollar is structurally weakening. This reinforces the bullish bias on EUR/USD.
🧠 Technical Analysis – EUR/USD Weekly Chart
Current price: 1.13150, right in the middle of a weekly/monthly supply zone, marked by upper wicks → clear seller presence.
Price has made a strong rally from 1.03600, breaking through all intermediate supply zones.
RSI: Slightly declining after previously reaching overbought territory.
📌 Key levels:
Major support: 1.1000–1.1080
Structural resistance: 1.1350–1.1450 (current zone)
🧠 Technical Scenario:
If price holds above 1.1250, we could see an extension toward 1.1500.
If it breaks below 1.1200, a pullback toward 1.1080–1.1000 is likely.
✅ Trade Summary:
COT bias: Bullish EUR/USD → strong EUR, weakening USD
Technical: Watch price behavior in the 1.1350 zone → if rejection continues, expect a technical retracement before potential continuation.
🎯 Potential Setups:
Long on pullback toward 1.1080
Breakout long above 1.1450 → targeting 1.1600
Short-term short if bearish price action appears in the current zone
2025-04-23 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqnasdaq e-mini futures
comment: Until bears close the gap down to 18500, this is bullish, no doubt about it. I just think that we have seen 3 legs up and we are at big resistance. There is a chance that we have see the high today for this bull leg in what is likely a bigger trading range or still a very small chance of the continuation of the bear trend. Tomorrow will likely be key for this week. If we find acceptance above 18700, no reason not to run all the stops up to 19400. Below 18700 last chance for the bulls is defending the bull gap 21600 and below we go down hard again.
current market cycle: trading range, triangle on the daily chart - that is dead once we go above 19400
key levels: 17800 - 19500
bull case: Bulls want to test the 50% retracement and run all the stops up to 19500. That is the only price that matters for them. That would mean we are making higher highs again and this bear trend is over for good. There really isn’t much more to it right now. Bulls just can’t let the market fall below 18600 or today’s rally was indeed the bull trap I expect it to be.
Invalidation is below 18600.
bear case: Bears want a lower high below 19388 and continue inside the triangle. If they can make lower lows again, the momentum would be dead and only really good news could help the bulls. Right now I prefer the triangle structure we are in and favoring the bears to trade back down to at least 18400 tomorrow/Friday. Above 19000 I don’t think many bears will hold short and hope that 19165 remains resistance.
Invalidation is above 19000/19170.
short term: Neutral at 18900. Bearish only below 18700 and how strong the move is. Bullish above 19000 for 19165 retest and maybe much higher to 19500.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-20: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We had the clear W1 and W3 but now it’s messy.
Only a big tariff agreement news can move the markets and that can go either way. You have no edge in guessing what will happen, so having huge swing positions right now does not make much sense. If earnings go bad, we will go much lower. What is the next big support to be hit? The lows of 2022 at 12565. Can we really get there? With a deep recession and some bigger failings, sure but for now it’s unrealistic to expect it.
trade of the day: Long since Globex open but the selling above 19100 was a big warning and then market let the bulls out with a higher high but that was is. Easiest move was either holding long on Globex open or buying the double bottom 18630 with stop below the gap down to 18400ish.
BTC NEXT MOVE ANALYSIS Bitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum, with a potential pullback setup forming. We are currently watching the $93,300 zone for short term reaction, but our primary interest lies lower.
A buy limit is planned at $90,500, aligning with a high-probability demand zone and market structure support. This area could provide an optimal entry for a continued push toward the draw of liquidity near $96,500.
Stay patient any dip toward this zone is a buying opportunity.
Setup is valid unless price closes below $90,000.
Stay Tuned For More 🤝🎖️🫡
Crypto Bulls Awaken – Is This Just the Beginning?In the past 48 hours, the crypto market has brought joy to traders and investors who managed to buy near the bottom.
(Sorry to the cryptobros still holding floating losses—your time will come too! 😊)
Some of you might be thinking it's too late to ride this bull run. But if you zoom out and look at the bigger picture, there's still plenty of room for the bull to run.
Just switch to a higher timeframe like the weekly or monthly chart, and you'll see the potential upside.
One coin that looks particularly interesting is BINANCE:SUIUSDT .
There's been a pullback from 2.1829 - 1.7997, and it's supported by bullish divergence, suggesting a continuation of the impulsive move with 7.6108 as the first major target.
This bullish scenario remains valid as long as the price holds above 1.7174.
You might be wondering,
" So can I just buy/long BINANCE:SUIUSDT now? "
Not yet.
For a better entry and a more favorable risk-reward ratio, I suggest using the daily chart.
Wait for a pullback, then look for confirmation using candlestick patterns.
(I'll cover those patterns in my next post—stay tuned!)
BTC - Bullish Control, Confirmed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
🚀 As per my last two setups (highlighted on the chart), BTC rejected the $72,000 support and pushed higher with strength.
📈 This week, BTC broke above the $90,000 structure, confirming a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
🟢 For the bulls to stay in control, a break above the $95,200 resistance is still needed.
📊 In the meantime, as BTC retests the $89,000–$90,000 zone, we’ll be looking for medium-term trend-following longs to catch the next impulsive move.
📚 Reminder:
Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key.
Good luck, and happy trading!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC - Distribution Confirmed After Accumulation Cycle CompletionThis 4H chart is a textbook illustration of how smart money cycles play out over time—starting with accumulation, leading into a sharp markup, and culminating in a deceptive distribution phase characterized by manipulation and false breakouts.
Let’s dissect each stage of this engineered move:
---
1. Accumulation Phase Following a Double Bottom
At the left of the chart, price forms a clear double bottom —a classic retail reversal signal.
- Smart money likely used this area to absorb sell-side liquidity, building long positions while retail traders expected further downside.
- This base formation set the foundation for the upcoming accumulation range , marked by sideways price action and multiple rejections from both highs and lows of the range.
The purpose of accumulation is simple: transfer supply from weak hands to strong hands. Every dip in this range allowed large players to fill bids without driving price too aggressively.
---
2. Sharp Markup and Resistance Interaction
Once positions were fully loaded, price launched into a strong impulsive move upward , confirming the transition from accumulation to markup.
- The move stalled at a clear horizontal resistance zone—marked as an area of prior supply and potential seller re-engagement.
- Price consolidated just below this resistance, building tension and liquidity in the form of breakout longs and stop orders from early shorts.
This led to the final stage of the cycle: distribution via manipulation.
---
3. Manipulation Above Resistance: The Fakeout
What followed was a classic fakeout above resistance .
- Price briefly broke above the key resistance area, attracting breakout buyers who assumed the trend would continue.
- In reality, this move served as a liquidity sweep and exit trap , allowing institutions to offload long positions accumulated earlier.
- The immediate rejection from this fakeout confirms a bull trap —a hallmark of distribution.
This is where smart money transitions from buyers to sellers while retail is left holding the bag.
---
4. Gap Inversion: Confirmation of Distribution
Post-fakeout, price creates a gap and immediately inverts back into the prior range , invalidating the breakout and forming a clear distribution schematic .
- The gap acts as a volume void or inefficiency , often revisited in reversal models.
- Once this area is rejected and price fails to reclaim the resistance zone, it becomes clear that distribution has been finalized.
- This breakdown marks the beginning of a markdown phase—typically faster and more violent than the markup.
The rejection confirms that price is now being delivered to the downside.
---
5. Narrative: From Accumulation to Redistribution and Collapse
This setup isn’t random—it’s narrative-driven:
- Double Bottom → Accumulation → Breakout → Manipulation → Distribution → Reversal
Each phase builds on the previous one, guided by smart money's intent to trap liquidity and maximize profit during transitions.
Now that distribution is confirmed, the expectation is continued downward delivery as price seeks out untapped liquidity and rebalances imbalances left behind during the markup.
---
Conclusion:
This 4H structure is a clear representation of the Wyckoff distribution model in action:
- Accumulation fuels markup.
- Breakout entices buyers.
- Manipulation traps them.
- Distribution unloads supply.
- Reversal completes the cycle.
The move down is not a random pullback—it is the deliberate continuation of a planned liquidity cycle . Expect further downside unless this structure is invalidated with a reclaim and break of the prior fakeout zone.
GOLD heading to $3,450 or a bull trap ahead?XAUUSD has shown a strong bullish reversal from the key zone at $2,832, with a series of high-volatility, full-bodied weekly candles that completely absorbed the supply in the $3,050–3,140 area. The breakout of previous weekly and monthly highs confirmed a bullish structural shift, with a natural technical target around $3,450—its recent all-time high. Price reacted precisely to previously tested demand blocks, suggesting that buy-side pressure may still have room to expand.
However, a deeper look at COT data reveals a more complex picture: Money Managers’ net positions on GOLD have been declining sharply for months, diverging from price action. This may indicate a rally driven more by retail flows or ETFs than by institutional strength, making it potentially unstable. Additionally, the COT report on the Dollar Index shows growing net long positions among leveraged traders, signaling USD strength—historically a headwind for gold.
In summary, gold remains technically bullish with room to climb to $3,450, but COT data raises a red flag: if institutional positions don’t realign with the move, this rally could turn out to be a bull trap. From a trading perspective, there’s room for aggressive longs, but only with tight risk management.
2025-04-22 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bullish. I want to believe that the market can not go above 21700 but 5 consecutive daily bull bars say duck yo puts. Above 21700 no more resistance until 22000. If bulls fail, down we go to likely another higher low above 21250. Everything below 21200 is a big bear surprise.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 20000 - 22000
bull case: Bulls are heavily favored if they break above 21700. There is no more resistance then, since we would then be making higher highs and today we closed above the daily 20ema. 21480 must hold, otherwise this was a bull trap and we could continue to range between 21000 - 21700. Measured move up from today is exactly 20000.
Invalidation is below 21470.
bear case: Bears not doing enough and even bad news could not get follow-through selling going. Above 21700 last bears have to cover because we will likely go for 22000 again. If they somehow manage to get below 21470, this continues inside the current trading range 21000 - 21700. Bears can still argue that even the 5 consecutive daily bull bars happened but bulls are not advancing much and they can not close a daily bar above 21500. EU close was 21439. So very low probability that 21700 will hold and we go down again.
Invalidation is above 21700.
short term: Neutral. Want to lean bullish but I won’t buy into big previous resistance. Above 700 on good momentum I’m long for 22000. Shorts only below 21470.
medium-long term from 2024-03-16: Bear trend is ongoing but for now I still think 19500 and below is an amazing buy if you can hold for years. Things will have to turn really bad for this market to find acceptance below the bull trend line from the covid lows and right now this trade war is just front running. Markets were not priced for risk 3 weeks ago but this drop was too much too fast. My bearish targets for this year are met and with the current environment I will not call for lower prices than 19000. If the trade war turns real bad, yeah sure but for now it’s not.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Long the breakout above 21365. Clear breakout with immediate follow-through. 15m tf or higher was way better to trade than lower ones.
BTCUSDT – Absorption in progress...📊 BTCUSDT – Absorption in progress, swing high targeted before a potential dump?
Price is moving in a clean bullish structure with a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS),
but under the surface, we can clearly see signs of absorption, which could signal an upcoming reversal.
📈 Open Interest is rising sharply
🟢 CVD Futures & Spot are both rising → real buying pressure
🔴 Funding remains negative
📊 85% of open positions are longs
🐋 Top traders are massively short
🧱 ➤ Clear absorption: price goes up… but someone is selling into it hard
🎯 Current hypothesis:
🧠 Longs are being absorbed,
suggesting a short-term rejection is likely,
but before that, price might push higher toward the swing high (92.5–93.5k) to:
Hunt liquidity
Trigger stop losses
Finalize the short trap
📌 Trade plan:
✅ Spike above the swing high
✅ Final absorption / wick trap
✅ Dump back into the Reload Zone (FIB 61.8–78.6%)
❗ Rule: don’t front-run – wait for confirmation:
Sharp rejection after the spike
Spot CVD divergence
Loss of structure + drop in OI
⚖️ The market is tense.
We are likely between the top of absorption… and the beginning of the flush.
Stay patient. Watch closely. Only act on clear confirmation.
🔽Fr🔽
📊 BTCUSDT – Absorption en cours
Le prix évolue dans une structure haussière propre avec un Break of Structure (BOS) validé,
mais les dessous du marché révèlent une absorption nette, qui pourrait annoncer un retournement.
📈 Open Interest en forte hausse
🟢 CVD Futures & Spot haussiers → pression acheteuse réelle
🔴 Funding négatif persistant
📊 85 % de longues sur le marché (Kingfisher)
🐋 Top traders en short massif
🧱 ➤ Absorption claire : le prix monte… mais la contrepartie absorbe tout
🎯 Hypothèse actuelle :
🧠 Une absorption des longs est en cours,
ce qui laisse penser qu’un rejet est probable à court terme,
mais avant cela, le marché pourrait encore pousser vers le swing high (92.5–93.5k) pour :
Chercher la liquidité
Déclencher les stops vendeurs
Finir le short trap
📌 Plan envisagé :
✅ Spike au-dessus du swing high
✅ Absorption finale / mèche piégeuse
✅ Dump en direction de la Reload Zone (FIB 61.8–78.6 %)
❗ Règle : ne pas anticiper – attendre confirmation :
Rejet brutal après le spike
Divergence CVD Spot
Perte de structure + chute OI
⚖️ Le marché est tendu.
On est probablement entre le haut de l’absorption… et le début de la purge.
Rester patient. Observer. Agir sur signal propre.
USDCHF Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeaMidterm forecast:
0.84000 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
OANDA:USDCHF
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 0.80385 on 04/21/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 0.83314 and maximum to Major Resistance (0.84000) is expected.
Take Profits:
0.83314
0.84000
0.85430
0.86286
0.87550
0.89147
0.90367
0.92218
0.94400
__________________________________________________________________
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ChainLink (LINK/USD): A Bullish Breakout on the Horizon?Hey there, traders! Let’s take a closer look at ChainLink (LINK/USD) on the daily chart. There’s some interesting action that might point to a bullish move, but let’s break it down with a bit of caution to see if the stars are truly aligning.
Price Action
After a consistent downtrend, we’re seeing a potential shift at $11.23. There’s a bullish reversal candle showing up here, which could suggest buyers are stepping in at this key support level. It looks promising, but we’ll need more confirmation to be sure this is a real trend change.
Volume
The volume at this reversal point is picking up, which is a good sign—those bars are taller than the recent average. This might mean stronger buying interest, but it’s not a massive spike, so I’d keep an eye on whether this volume trend continues to support the move.
Pattern
Looking at the bigger picture, it seems like a cup-and-handle pattern could be forming. The price has rounded out (the “cup”) and is now consolidating (the “handle”). If LINK can break above the $16.00 resistance, we might see a bullish breakout—but this pattern isn’t fully confirmed yet, so let’s stay alert.
Potential Targets
If we do get that breakout, here’s what we might aim for:
TP1: $24.17 – A possible first target.
TP2: $30.04 – Could happen if momentum builds.
TP3: $32.00 – A stretch goal, but only if the bulls really take charge.
Key Support
The $11.23 support is our critical level to watch. If the price drops below this, the bullish setup could be in trouble, so let’s not get too ahead of ourselves.
Wrap-Up
We’ve got a reversal candle, some increased volume, and what might be a cup-and-handle pattern forming, so LINK could be setting up for a bullish move. But it’s not a done deal yet—breaking above $16.00 will be the real test. If you’re thinking of jumping in, set a stop-loss below $11.23 and manage your risk carefully. What do you think—could this be the start of something big? Let’s watch and see! Happy trading! 🚀
DXY Bearish Pennant Breakdown | More Downside Ahead?The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has broken down from a well-defined bearish pennant pattern on the 4H chart, signaling continuation of the prevailing downtrend.
🔹 Technical Setup:
Pattern: Bearish Pennant
Breakdown Level: Below 99.00
Target: ~94.50 based on pennant pole projection
Confirmation: Clear follow-through after breakdown, low volume consolidation
🔹 Fundamentals:
Weak U.S. economic data and dovish Fed expectations continue to weigh on the dollar.
Rising gold and commodity prices further support DXY downside.
📌 Outlook: As long as DXY trades below 99.00 resistance, bearish momentum is likely to extend toward the 94.50 target zone.
NOTE: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Always do your own research.
GOLD 30M ANALYSISIn this analysis we're focusing on 30m time frame for GOLD. To identify the best buying area and POI for our buy trade setup. In this chart price is creating trendline support and also price break it's previous high. So overall market trend was bullish. According to the market trend my Bias was also bullish. Let's see when price retest and come to our entry zone. Once price comes observe the behavior of price and if price give any bullish confirmation then we'll execute our trade. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis.
#XAUUSD 30M Technical Analysis Expected Move.
USD/JPY in Free Fall: What’s Behind the Break Below 140?🔍 Technical Analysis – USD/JPY
The weekly chart shows a sharp rejection in the macro zone between 155–158, where strong supply is present (highlighted in red). After brushing historical highs, USD/JPY experienced a vertical drop down to 140, decisively breaking through the key zone at 148–146.
Price has now broken the weekly structure and is approaching an area that previously triggered significant rallies (blue zone between 138–141). Monthly support is in danger, with the RSI deeply in oversold territory, but no clear reversal signals just yet.
📊 COT Report – USD Index
Asset Managers: Slight recovery on long positions, but still in neutral territory.
Leverage Money: Increasing net shorts, indicating speculative bets against the dollar.
The divergence between the falling USD Index and speculative positions confirms a growing lack of confidence in the greenback.
📊 COT Report – JPY Futures
Asset Managers: Strong increase in long positions on the yen since December 2024.
Leverage Money: Reinforcing long bias since February 2025.
This confirms that institutional players are accumulating yen, possibly anticipating BoJ interventions or a broader flight-to-safety.
💥 Trade Outlook
USD/JPY is in full bearish breakout mode. If the 140 level breaks decisively, the next technical targets are:
137.00 → historical mid-level support
134.00 → base of the 2023 structure
Keep an eye on the RSI: a bullish divergence with strong volume could trigger a technical rebound. But as long as the overall sentiment remains strongly risk-off, every rally is a selling opportunity.
EURUSD ANALYSISEUR/USD – 2H Bullish Continuation Play
Following a sharp breakout, EUR/USD is gracefully pulling back toward the 1.1095–1.1149 demand zone, now acting as support. This zone holds significance as a potential launchpad for the next bullish wave.
A higher low formation here could ignite continuation toward 1.1471, with extended upside into 1.1605, presenting a clean and favorable risk-to-reward opportunity.
The structure is clear, the momentum is aligned, and the setup reflects a well-composed bullish scenario ideal for patient and precise execution.
▫️ Impulsive breakout
▫️ Retracement to demand zone (1.1095–1.1149)
▫️ Looking for higher low → continuation
🎯 TP1: 1.1471
🎯 TP2: 1.1605
🛡️ Clean R:R, perfect for trend followers.
#EURUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.