Gold Price Analysis November 20Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some follow-through buying for the third consecutive day on Wednesday and rose to a one-and-a-half week high, around the $2,641-$2,642 region during the Asian session. Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine continued to boost demand for traditional safe-haven assets, coupled with slowing US Dollar (USD) price action, acting as a bullish driver for the precious metal.
That said, overnight comments from Russian and US officials helped ease market concerns about the onset of an all-out nuclear war, which was evident in the generally positive tone in equity markets. Additionally, a healthy rise in US Treasury yields favored USD bulls and warranted some caution before positioning for any further upside moves in Gold prices.
Technical analysis
The uptrend is clearly shown in the time frames and the important resistance level is at 2660-2662. Today's trading plan is mainly waiting for BUY signals when there are retest beats. Pay attention to the retest price zones noted on the chart to have a good trading strategy for yourself. Those are Fibonacci zones and also psychological zones that the market is respecting. 2622-2613-2597 are the zones to pay attention to.
Priceactionanalysis
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 21/11/2024Flat opening expected in nifty in between consolidation zone of 23450-23550 level. After opening if any side breakout of this zone can gives strong rally towards the breakout direction. If nifty starts trading below 23450 level then strong downside expected in nifty upto 23200 level. Further bullish rally only expected if nifty sustain above 23550 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(21/11/2024)Today will be flat opening expected in banknifty. After opening if banknifty sustain above 50550 level then possible upside movement upto 50950+ level. Strong Downside fall possible if banknifty starts trading below 50450 level. This downside rally can goes upto 400-500 points. 50050 will act as a downside support for today's session. Below this support level if banknifty gives breakdown of 49950 level then possible sharp fall in market.
SasanSeifi|Will Gold Reach Higher Targets!?Hey there, ✌Analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe shows that after a bearish trend and reaching the 2540 level, the price entered a consolidation phase and faced demand. Following the breakout of the supply zone, the price rallied to the 2640 range.
Currently, after hitting the 2640 resistance, the price has started a corrective move toward the support zone at 2620-2610. In a bullish scenario, the price is expected to target levels of 2645, 2650, 2660, and potentially 2667-2675. However, rejection and further corrections are possible from these levels.
If the price breaks below 2610 and stabilizes, the likelihood of further declines toward 2600-2590 increases.
On the daily timeframe, the overall outlook leans more towards a bearish move, with a target of 2500.
💢 Please remember that this is just my personal viewpoint and should not be taken as investment advice. I’d love to hear your thoughts and share opinions!
Happy trading!✌😎
Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!✌
GBPUSD possible to start the next drop today!Hey guys,
Based on the chart price reached a resistance area on 15min chart timeframe and a bullish trend line is broken.
So based on this scenario and considering the previous days drop on price, I consider this movement as good sell opportunity with rational risk reward ratio which is around 1:6.
Good luck!
Gold Analysis November 19Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some safe-haven flows after posting its biggest weekly decline in more than three years last week and snapped a six-day losing streak on Monday amid rising geopolitical tensions. In addition, falling US Treasury yields prompted some profit-taking in the US Dollar (USD) following its post-US election rally to fresh yearly highs and turned out to be another factor in favour of the non-yielding yellow metal.
USD bulls remained on the defensive in Asian trade on Tuesday, supporting Gold’s further recovery from a two-month low touched last Thursday. Meanwhile, expectations that US President-elect Donald Trump’s policies will reignite inflationary pressures and limit the scope for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). This will keep US bond yields high and benefit USD speculators, which could limit XAU/USD
Technical Analysis
The technical resistance level of 2624 that Gold is facing will be very important in today's European trading session, the uptrend is relatively strong and there has not been much recovery in price. The 2595 zone is considered the target of all the downtrends today. The 2648-2650 zone is the main resistance zone today. In a strong uptrend, you should prioritize BUY signals at 2615 at old breakout points to have the best strategy for yourself.
SasanSeifi| Can It Hit $2.50!? Hey there,By analyzing the daily chart of BINANCE:THETAUSDT , we can see that the price has made a significant move up from its low towards the supply zone. Currently, the price is reacting to the supply zone and we are witnessing a pullback. Based on the overall market conditions, my view remains bullish.
My Expectation:If the price holds the support level at $1.50, it could potentially rise to targets of $2.00, $2.20, and the supply zone around $2.50. If the price continues to rise, we need to observe its reactions to better understand the continuation of the trend. The key support level is $1.50.
💡 Keep in mind, this is just my personal perspective and shouldn't be considered as financial advice. I’d love to hear your thoughts and engage in a discussion!
Happy trading!✌😎
Feel free to reach out if you have any questions or need more clarification. I'm always here to assist!✌
If you want any further adjustments, just let me know!
CADJPY Breakdown Following Structural FailureHey Guys,
Today, we are trading the CADJPY live. Earlier this week, I highlighted 110.48 as a critical level to monitor, as it marks the reset point (Structure 4) of the last completed H1 bearish wave structure.
Key levels of interest for further downside movement:
109.56
109.06
"Looking for a Sell Setup Near Key Supply ZoneGold (XAU/USD) is currently trading at a critical level, and I am anticipating a sell setup near 2624. The zone aligns with a potential short-term resistance level, offering a solid risk-to-reward opportunity.
[* ]Entry: 2624
Stop Loss: 2630 (Above the recent high to avoid premature stop-outs)
Target 1: 2610 (Initial support level where price might react)
Target 2 (Full Target): 2600 (Key round number with historical significance)
This setup is supported by a strong bearish rejection at the supply zone, as indicated on the chart. With geopolitical tensions continuing in the Middle East and the U.S. Federal Reserve's uncertain policy outlook, gold's price is showing signs of exhaustion at higher levels.
EurUsd Nov 24' .. Elections Catalyst?Hey traders, welcome back to another analysis. It's been 2 years and Eurusdmay finnally break out of the range to the downside. I know you are just as excited as I am for a potential squeeze down to 1.03.. However, we must wait for confirmation and maybe a liquidity wick before anything else. Safe trading!
Please leave any feedback below or even a boost to help the channel. Ty, cheers.
-ShrewdCatFx
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 19/11/2024Gap up opening expected near 23550 level in nifty. After opening if it's starts trading and sustain above 23550 level then strong bullish rally expected. 23450-23550 levels are the consolidation range for nifty. Downside movement expected below 23450 level and this rally can goes upto 23200 level in case nifty starts trading below 23450 level.
Gold Price Analysis November 18Fundamental Analysis
Gold extended its recovery to test $2,600 amid rising Russia-Ukraine tensions, ending a six-day losing streak. The latest gold rally could be due to rising Russia-Ukraine geopolitical tensions after the United States authorized Ukraine to use long-range US weapons to attack Russia.
The greenback’s rally following Donald Trump’s election victory could put some selling pressure on USD-denominated gold. Expectations of higher inflation next year due to Donald Trump’s policies have led to fewer expected rate cuts.
In addition, traders have reduced expectations of lower interest rates in December after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the US central bank would not rush to cut, citing “remarkable” economic performance. Higher interest rates tend to drag gold prices lower, as it makes holding non-yielding assets like gold less attractive.
Technical analysis.
Gold prices have reacted at the EMA 34 zone, which is also an important dynamic resistance zone in the Asian session. The price zone of special note today is 2617-2615 at the upper boundary and the Asian session breakout support zone this morning is around 2575. The possibility of an uptrend and the formation of wave 3 has also been established according to the technical chart, so BUY signals will be prioritized today.
NVIDIA's Price Action: The Strat Analysis & Key Levels (4-Hour)Candlestick Patterns:
The chart shows 4-hour candlestick patterns with colors corresponding to price movement:
- green fill and green outline indicates price closed above candle open price
- green fill and red outline indicates price closed below candle open price
- red fill and green outline indicates price went below previous candle low but closed above current candle open
- red fill and red outline indicates price closed below previous candle and current candle low
- yellow is the color for a consolidated candle (aka "1" or inside bar)
- blue is the color for the "3" candle that went above and below previous' candle high and low
The numbers "1," "2," and "3" likely represent The Strat methodology, a popular trading framework:
1 (Inside Bar): Price action is contained within the previous candle's range.
2 (Directional Bar): Price breaks either high or low of the previous candle.
3 (Broadening Formation): Price takes out both the high and low of the previous candle.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Multiple horizontal lines represent key support and resistance levels:
- Yellow lines indicate historical highs/lows or significant levels (e.g., "Previous All-Time High Zone").
- Red and blue lines mark specific levels like the "Open WK" or "ABR1 Upper,"
- Labels such as "High of Day," "Previous Weekly High," and "Previous Daily Low" provide context for recent price action.
Broadening Formations:
- Diagonal white lines identify broadening formations, consistent with "The Strat." These formations reflect expanding ranges, suggesting increased volatility or market indecision.
Key Dates and Events:
- Specific dates and times, such as "4hr Mon, Nov 11 @ 1:30 pm," appear next to significant price levels, helping to pinpoint areas where the stock reacted strongly.
Indicators:
- ATR (Average True Range) and DTR (Daily True Range) values are shown at the bottom right:
- ATR: 4.58 — Indicates the average price movement range over a period.
- DTR: 5.16 — Suggests the range within the day (113% implies higher-than-average volatility).
Directional Signals:
- Green and red arrows identify potential buy and sell signals based on the methodology applied, likely aligned with price action breakouts or reversals.
Analysis:
- Trend: The stock has moved from consolidation (inside bars and 2s) to a broader upward trend with several green directional bars (2-ups). However, recent candles show retracement and potential consolidation.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance: $148.68 ("Open WK") and $149.77 ("Previous Weekly High").
- Support: $140.08 and $137.33 ("Low of Day, Tuesday, Nov 5").
- Volatility: Broadening formations and ATR/DTR metrics suggest significant volatility in the price action.
Potential Trading Setups:
- Look for directional moves off major levels (e.g., $148.68 and $140.08).
- Monitor broadening formation boundaries for potential reversals or breakouts.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 18/11/2024Flat opening expected in nifty. After opening if it's sustain above 23500 level and indicates bullish reversal from this level then possible upside rally upto 23750 in opening session. But in case nifty starts trading below 23450 level then possible strong downside fall in nifty upto 23200- level in today's session.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(18/11/2024)Today will be flat opening or slightly gap down opening expected in banknifty. After opening banknifty will trade in between 50050-50450 important levels. If banknifty gives breakdown and starts trading below 49950 level then sharp downside rally expected in market. Bullish movement expected if banknifty starts trading and sustain above 50550 level.
GBPUSD analysis week 47🌐Fundamental Analysis
UK employment figures largely beat expectations, but wage growth fueled inflation concerns. While jobless claims were lower than forecast, the number of people claiming unemployment benefits still rose from the previous month's revised figure.
The Bank of England's (BoE) latest Monetary Policy Report is due out on Wednesday morning, and investors will be looking for hints on how the BoE plans to deal with the unbalanced UK economy that continues to struggle with inflation numbers. On the US side, key CPI inflation figures are due to hit the market. Headline CPI inflation is expected to have edged higher to 2.6% year-on-year from September's 2.4%. Core CPI inflation is expected to have held steady at 3.3% year-on-year. The monthly figures for both inflation are generally expected to remain unchanged from the previous month.
🕯Technical Analysis
The downtrend is still showing no signs of stopping for GBPUSD. The next important support zone that the pair is aiming for is 1.2470, which is the old bottom area that saw strong price reaction from buyers in May. Besides, the possibility that the pair will still stick to the trendline and fall to this support zone, when the buying force is strong enough to break the trendline, the market will also turn around. Hopefully, the bullish waves can break the trendline and form an uptrend towards the resistance of 1.271-1.277-1.286.
📉📈Trading signals
BUY GBPUSD 1.247-1.245 Stoploss 1.243
SELL GBPUSD 1.271-1.273 Stoploss 1.276
SPY LOVERS, BE READY ! This week, I decided to remove some objects I had in the chart history as references, which we’ve been analyzing, to make some space and clean up the chart a bit.
After reaching all-time highs, the price has naturally begun a retracement.
But what’s new in technical analysis?
Let’s analyze the price together:
In this case, I added an ascending channel where the price follows an upward sequence, bouncing between support and resistance.
Here’s the million-dollar question: How much further can the price drop?
If we look at the chart, I marked a very important line in red or maroon color at $575.12, which aligns with a resistance pivot and two indecisive candlesticks with identical volumetric bodies.
Often, indecisive levels are key to how the market makes sudden decisions after an indecisive candle. In this case, if we pay closer attention, the indecisive level marked in maroon color is positioned exactly at the support of the ascending channel. This suggests how far the price might fall, and we could potentially see a rebound. For me, this would be the primary scenario.
But...
If the price breaks through this level, my second scenario would be a drop to the order block. Since this level has acted as both support and resistance in the past, I can validate it as my secondary inflection zone or "Inflection Block."
You might wonder: What on earth is an inflection zone?
As I’ve mentioned multiple times and explained in some of my analysis, inflection zones—or points of inflection—represent moments where there’s a significant change in the price’s direction within a trend, whether in a market, an asset, or an economy.
On a trading chart, an inflection point is the spot where the chart changes direction or marks an important decision.
An inflection zone can also be a historical area on a chart. As we can see, my order block is already being considered an inflection zone because the price has historically made key moves within it. and i called it "Inflection Block" (See the white arrows).
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
TRADE SAFE
Best regards!