SolanaHi guys
on the weekly time frame; If the red downtrend line breaks upwards, we may be ready to complete the flag pattern.
But the situation is not interesting here at the moment.
If the red support area ($104.5) is completely consumed, we expect a reaction from the area of $188.4 or $160.3, and the possibility of continuing the downward trend to the specified price area is strengthened.
If the support area of $104.5 is preserved and the downtrend line is broken upwards, our mentality for an uptrend will be strengthened.
What do you think?
Priceactionanalysis
SWING TUTORIAL - ABSLAMCIn this tutorial, we analyze the stock NSE:ABSLAMC (Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited) identifying a lucrative swing trading opportunity following its all-time high in Oct 2021. The stock declined by nearly 57%, forming a Lower Low Price Action Pattern, but subsequently reversed its trend.
At the same time, we can also observe the MACD Level making a contradictory Pattern of Higher Lows. This Higher Low Pattern of the MACD signaled the start of a Bullish Momentum, thereby also signaling a good Buying Opportunity.
The trading strategy yielded approximately 114% returns in 63 weeks. Technical analysis concepts used included price action analysis, MACD, momentum reversal, trend analysis and chart patterns. The MACD crossover served as the Entry Point, with the stock rising to its Swing High Levels of 720 and serving as our Exit too.
As of wiring this tutorial, we can also notice how the stock is making a breakout and retest of the Swing High levels and trying to continue its momentum further upward trying to make a new All Time High.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
1. Momentum Reversal: The stock's price action shifted from a bearish to a bullish trend, indicating a potential reversal.
2. MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line showed steady upward momentum, signaling increasing bullish pressure.
3. MACD Crossover: The successful crossover in May 2023 confirmed the bullish trend, creating an entry opportunity.
TRADING STRATEGY AND RESULTS:
1. Entry Point: MACD crossover in May 2023.
2. Exit Point: Swing High Levels - 720.
3. Return: Approximately 114%.
4. Trade Duration: 63 weeks.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS CONCEPTS USED:
1. Price Action Analysis
2. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
3. Momentum Reversal
4. Trend Analysis
5. Chart Patterns
NOTE: This case study demonstrates the effectiveness of combining technical indicators to identify bullish momentum. By recognizing Price Action, MACD movements, and Reversal patterns, traders can pinpoint potential entry and exit points.
Would you like to explore more technical analysis concepts or case studies? Share your feedback and suggestions in the comments section below.
XAUUSD TRADED IDEAHi all
There are two movements, buy and sell. If the price respects the trendline, it is likely that the price will continue to drop to TP 1. However, if there is a breakout at the trendline and it makes a new high, it is likely that the price will change direction to a buy and target an all-new time high of 2874
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 07/11/2024Slgihtly gap up opening expected in nifty near 24500 level. After opening important level for nifty is 24550. In case nifty starts trading above this level then possible strong bullish rally upto 24800 level occurs in today's session. Downside 24350 level will act a strong support for the session. Any major downside expected below this level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(07/11/2024)Today will be gap up opening expected in banknifty near 52500 level. After opening if banknifty starts trading above 52550 level then possible strong upside bullish rally upto 52950 level in today's session. Downside 52050 level will act an important support for the session. Any major downside only expected below this level.
Will Gold Hold at 2630? Key Levels for Bulls and BearsI'm eyeing a sell opportunity in gold (XAUUSD) , targeting the 2660 level for an ideal short entry. The price is expected to dip towards 2630 , a significant support zone, where a potential reversal could occur. If the market finds strength there, we may see a bounce as buyers step in.
Geopolitical tensions continue to support gold's safe-haven appeal, but a stronger dollar or global risk-off sentiment may keep downward pressure in the short term. Monitoring price action closely around these levels for potential setups.
EUR/USD: PAT + VPA 10/21/2024Good morning,
I will be monitoring the daily candle close today, anticipating a bullish pullback or reversal to develop over the next few weeks.
Several indicators have pointed to this:
1. The weekly chart has surpassed the previous high established on December 25, 2023. Currently, the price is attempting to retest the Demand zone that led to the breakout of that high..
2. The weekly demand zone is identified between 1.0775 and 1.0825. Pay attention to the key level at 1.080, as it appears to be setting up as a robust support level for the currency pair.
3. The market has declined approximately 400 points since September 27, 2024, showing minimal pullbacks on a daily basis. Notably, this price drop has formed a double top without a genuine next line test. I anticipate that prices will rebound to around 1.100 in the coming weeks. A break below 1.100 could trigger a long-term retracement back to the highs at 1.200.
Volume signature indicates that market makers are gradually exiting the trend. The weekly outlook remains bullish and is expected to dominate. It's important to note that the weekly chart is currently retesting the bearish flag it broke out of between June 24, 2024, and August 19, 2024.
TVC:DXY
OANDA:EURUSD
XETR:DAX
HCL Technologies Ltd Daily Chart Analysis
The daily chart of HCL Technologies Ltd illustrates an upward trend with strong support levels and clear resistance areas, showcasing both bullish momentum and potential pullback scenarios.
Key Observations:
1.Trend Analysis: The stock price is in an overall uptrend, consistently making higher highs and higher lows. It is supported by a well-defined ascending trendline and is trading above the 200 EMA, which is a bullish indicator.
2.EMA Levels: The 13, 48, and 200 EMAs are aligned in a bullish configuration, indicating continued strength. The price’s proximity to the EMAs will be a key indicator of short-term trends.
3.Volume Behavior: There is a healthy volume trend with spikes during up moves, suggesting interest and accumulation during bullish days.
4.Resistance and Support Zones:
• Resistance: The resistance zone around ₹1,888.50 - ₹1,889.30 represents a key hurdle. A sustained move above this level, accompanied by strong volume, could confirm a bullish breakout and indicate further upside potential.
• Support: The primary support level lies around ₹1,719.00. A breakdown below this level could lead to a more significant pullback, possibly retesting previous lows or consolidating around the 200 EMA.
5.RSI Indicator: The RSI is currently around 55.27, indicating mild bullish momentum without being overbought. An upward move in the RSI beyond 60 could further validate any price strength and potential for breakout scenarios.
Potential Scenarios:
• Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the ₹1,889 resistance zone with strong volume could propel the stock higher, targeting further resistance levels around ₹2,000 and beyond.
• Bearish Scenario: If the price is unable to break above resistance and reverses, it may test support around ₹1,719. A breakdown below this level could signal a potential trend reversal or consolidation phase.
Impact of Macro Events (e.g., US Elections):
The outcome of significant macroeconomic events, such as the US elections, could influence IT sector stocks, including HCL Technologies. Favorable policies, market stability, and global business sentiment may drive higher demand for IT services and lead to a bullish impact. Conversely, any policy uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, or economic disruptions could lead to increased volatility, potentially affecting the stock’s upward momentum.
Summary: HCL Technologies is currently at a key resistance level. A breakout above ₹1,889 may signal further bullishness, while a rejection and breakdown below ₹1,719 could prompt caution. Traders should watch volume and price action closely, along with any macroeconomic news that might impact the broader market sentiment.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Central Depository Services (I) Long positionCentral Depository Services (I) Ltd Daily Chart Analysis
This daily chart of Central Depository Services (I) Ltd (CDSL) reveals key market movements and a clear ascending trendline support that has provided a strong base for the stock’s recent upward movement.
Key Observations:
1.Ascending Triangle Pattern: The chart shows an ascending triangle pattern, characterized by higher lows connecting through a rising trendline and a relatively horizontal resistance zone near ₹1,660.20 - ₹1,664.40. This pattern typically suggests a continuation of the existing uptrend with a potential breakout.
2.EMA Levels: The stock price is above the 13, 48, and 200 EMA levels, which supports the bullish sentiment. The moving averages act as a dynamic support zone, indicating strong buying momentum.
3.Volume Trends: The volume shows periodic spikes, suggesting accumulation. A volume surge during an upward breakout above ₹1,660 - ₹1,664 could confirm the strength of the breakout.
4.Resistance and Support Zones:
• Resistance: The key resistance levels to watch are around ₹1,660.20 and ₹1,664.40. If the price breaks out above these levels with strong volume, it could lead to a significant upward move.
• Support: The immediate support level lies at ₹1,560.55, aligned with the ascending triangle’s support trendline. A break below this level may result in a corrective phase or consolidation around ₹1,486.65.
5.RSI Indicator: The RSI is around 58.93, indicating bullish momentum but not yet in overbought territory. A move above 60 would further strengthen the bullish sentiment.
Potential Scenarios:
• Bullish Scenario: A sustained breakout above ₹1,664 with strong volume may push the stock toward higher resistance zones, potentially targeting ₹1,750 and beyond.
• Bearish Scenario: A failure to break above the resistance levels and a drop below ₹1,560 could lead to a pullback toward the support levels around ₹1,486.
Impact of US Elections:
The outcome of the US elections can influence global market sentiments, including Indian equities. A favorable or market-friendly outcome (e.g., policies encouraging global trade, fiscal stimulus, or economic stability) could trigger bullish momentum in international markets, including CDSL, especially if investor sentiment turns risk-on. Conversely, market uncertainties or potential negative impacts on global trade and investments could weigh down sentiment, causing increased volatility and possibly stalling upward momentum for stocks like CDSL.
Summary: CDSL is currently showing a bullish pattern with an ascending triangle. The upcoming breakout or rejection from the resistance levels will likely set the direction for the stock. Traders should monitor volume, price action, and global macroeconomic influences, including the US election outcomes, to gauge market sentiment accurately.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
XAUUSD Pullback Set-Up Demand at 2722 Targeting 2700The XAUUSD (gold) market has a strong initial demand zone at 2722-17 , where a pullback is expected before facing resistance at 2747-53 , which is forecast as a significant supply level. Our major aim is 2700 , which corresponds to a robust daily demand zone.
Geopolitical developments are boosting gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Heightened tensions in the Middle East, as well as the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia , have added to risk aversion, attracting investors to gold. Furthermore, the forthcoming presidential election in the United States on November 5 creates uncertainties about prospective fiscal policy moves. Historical trends demonstrate that election outcomes frequently cause volatility in gold as investors hedge against policy changes. These factors are strengthening demand at important levels, which aids our understanding of potential retracements and target zones.
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#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 06/11/2024Gap up opening possible in nifty near 24300 level. After opening if nifty starts trading above 24350 level then this bullish rally can extend upto 24500 level. Below 24300 level possible downside movement upto 24050 support level. Above 24500, Nifty will indicating strong bullish rally in upcoming sessions.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(06/11/2024)Today will be gap up opening expected in banknifty near 52500 level. After opening if banknifty starts trading above 52550 level then possible strong upside bullish rally of 400-500+ points occurs in index. Downside 52050 will act as a strong support for today's session. Now any major downside only expected below 51950 level.
Top Resistance Points in XAUUSDOur XAUUSD market analysis highlights a key sell level at 2750-2756, with an extreme sell zone around 2772-2776, where we expect significant selling pressure to develop. These levels are critical for those looking to capitalize on potential resistance in XAUUSD.
On the buy side, our support area is set at 2702-2698 , suggesting a buy opportunity if the price revisits this range. However, given today's emphasis on the sell zones, these levels may see stronger market activity. Keep an eye out for any major USD news today, as it could impact these levels.
If this analysis adds value to your trading strategy, a boost would be greatly appreciated—it’s always motivating to know my insights are valuable!
PAYTM Ascending triangle PatternPaytm Daily Chart Analysis
This daily chart of ONE 97 Communications Ltd (Paytm) shows a strong uptrend with prices consistently following an ascending trendline, forming a triangle pattern with higher lows. The stock is currently testing the resistance zone around ₹780 - ₹790, which aligns with previous rejections.
Key Observations:
1. Triangle Pattern Formation: A triangle pattern is forming as the price consolidates within narrowing boundaries, indicating a possible breakout soon. The lower trendline has acted as strong support throughout this rally.
2. EMA Support: The price is trading above the 13, 48, and 200 EMA levels, signaling a bullish sentiment. These EMAs have provided reliable support, reinforcing the ongoing uptrend.
3. Volume Analysis: There is steady volume, with spikes on green days, suggesting accumulation. This volume behavior often precedes a breakout, where a significant volume increase can confirm the direction.
4. Resistance Levels: The key resistance levels to watch are ₹790 and ₹803. A breakout above these levels, especially with high volume, could push the stock into new highs.
5. Potential Scenarios:
• Bullish Breakout: If the price closes above ₹790 with strong volume, it may lead to a breakout, targeting ₹850 and higher.
• Reversal Scenario: If it fails to break ₹790 and reverses, it may retest the support around ₹748. A breakdown below this support could lead to further downside toward ₹700 or lower.
RSI: The RSI is around 59, indicating mild bullish momentum. Watch for an RSI break above 60 to confirm strength on a potential breakout.
Summary: Paytm’s price action suggests a high probability of a breakout. Traders should watch for a close above ₹790 for confirmation. Maintain caution around resistance and support levels, as a failed breakout could lead to a pullback.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or trading advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
GOLD OUTLOOK Gold a safe heaven as we have taken bunch of profits today as it was our lucky day now as we see all day activity gold price remained very choppy price didn't broke above 2748 price level of resistance also didn't broke below 2731 price level of support as price has formed immediate resistance level of 2746-48
Now we again predict a fall in price as from H4 to H1 we can observe price is in a bearish momentum although price is showing some bearish signs over Daily Time frame but still price is in a bullish trend daily as we haven't observed any CHOCH on daily TF
GEOPOLITICS
As Geopolitics is concerned tight situation between iran and israel has loosen up to some extent of some tension increases we can see a bull run over price
US ELECTIONs
As far as today's big news is concerned gold is under effect of US Congress elections and what we have observed today is election effect tomorrow at 6th we can see any predictable price movment till now we are bearish over gold as price is all sideways
BAYER CROPSCIENCE - Potential 40% upmove Mid Term IdeaThe stock is in strong uptrend.
Moving out of a 4 year old consolidation zone.
Coming out of a 5 week old
consolidation, Daily VCP Breakout.
Ready for Swing Targets
15% 8215, then 9579 - Short To MId Term Targets 3-6 months.
SL 5% 6576 Daily closing Basis.
SasanSeifi| TONCOIN:Is a Further Correction Coming?Hey there, ✌
🔹In the daily timeframe, analysing the KUCOIN:TONUSDT chart, reveals that the price has been on a downward trend since the $8 level. After breaking the crucial $6 support, this downtrend extended to around $4.80. Following this decline, the price saw a nearly 50% recovery and pulled back to $6, but then faced further correction to $4.50.
🔵Currently, with the price not stabilizing below the previous LOW, it has managed to grow at least 50% from the previous correction leg. The medium-term outlook remains generally bearish. If the price fails to break significant resistance levels between $6 and $6.50 and confirm a SELL signal while completing the pullback, further price correction towards $4 and potentially $3.50 might occur.
💢However, if resistance levels are broken and stabilize, the price may rise towards the $7.50 to $8 range. In this case, further analysis will be needed to determine if the previous high will be surpassed and whether the bullish trend will continue.❗❓
💢 Please remember that this is just my personal viewpoint and should not be taken as investment advice. I’d love to hear your thoughts and share opinions!
Happy trading!✌😎
Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!✌
SasanSeifi| Is the Downtrend Here to Stay?Hey there, ✌ Let's analyse the chart of BINANCE:GRTUSDT , the native token of The Graph protocol, which is used for querying blockchain data. This protocol is widely applicable in decentralized applications (DApps) and DeFi, serving as a crucial infrastructure for information retrieval on blockchains. The Graph protocol is also somewhat related to artificial intelligence.
Currently, in the long-term 5-day timeframe chart, we observe that the price has decreased from approximately 0.50 to about 0.10. Following a reaction at the 0.10 support level, the price has entered a consolidation phase and is now trading around 0.13. The long-term outlook appears to lean towards further declines.
If selling pressure persists, key support levels between 0.080 and 0.060 (particularly in the Bullish Breaker Block and Order Block zones) may act as support. As the price approaches these support levels, we could see positive fluctuations and potentially a continuation of the range-bound movement. If a correction occurs, we need to monitor how the price reacts in these areas.
Conversely, if the price holds within the 0.13 to 0.10 range and buying interest emerges in the market, a breakout above the 0.20 level, with subsequent stabilization, could lead to increased bullish momentum, invalidating the bearish scenario.
💢This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊