[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(28/10/2024)Gap down opening expected in banknifty for today session. Further 400-500 points downside possible in banknifty if it's starts trading below 50450 level. Upside 50950 level will act as a strong resistance for today's session. A bullish rally only expected above 51050 level.
Priceactionanalysis
Gold Price Analysis October 28Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices edged lower to near $2,735, snapping a two-day losing streak in early morning trading in Asia on Monday. However, the precious metal’s losses may be limited amid geopolitical tensions and ongoing uncertainty surrounding the US presidential election.
Buying by central banks and rising demand from investors have pushed up prices of the yellow metal. The World Gold Council said that central banks around the world have bought more than 1,000 tonnes of gold in each of the past two years, with China topping the list of countries looking to increase their gold reserves.
On the other hand, a slower pace of interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve amid stronger US economic data has weakened the yellow metal. According to CME's FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing in a 97.7% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) in November.
Technical Analysis
Gold is approaching the gap again and forming an uptrend if it breaks the important zone of 2750. The all-time high of 2768 will still act as resistance at the moment. On the other hand, a break of 2725 is considered an opportunity to find long-term buying points. 2711 and 2723 are two areas to watch in today's trading session. Wish you a successful trading day.
I'll Long AUDUSD If This HappensI've been following AUDUSD closely, and since February 2021, we've been in an extended downtrend on the monthly timeframe. However, for the first time, we saw a break of structure (BoS), as the September monthly candle managed to break and close above the previous monthly LH. This break of structure is notable, as it could indicate a potential shift in the long-term trend.
Though the impulsive move that resulted in September's break of structure wasn’t the strongest, likely due to price respecting the month-long trendline, it'll be interesting to see if buyers can defend price so that the current monthly HL isn’t taken out by sellers.
While we’re seeing a large sell candle in October, buyers can still be considered in control as long as the monthly HL remains unbroken. Let’s move to the weekly timeframe to see if any interesting price data emerges there.
On the weekly timeframe, as seen in the chart above, the previous weekly HL has been broken meaning sellers are gaining control over the buyers as they were able to break and close below the previous low. Not a single rejection.
But does this mean we should all scream sell and short the life out of AUDUSD? Well, our business is not to be on the sell or buy team, our concern should be to make money regardless of the market trend. To do that, we need to look for patterns that suggest the probability of one outcome over another. That’s exactly why we’re doing this top-down analysis. So far, from the monthly timeframe down to the weekly, nothing has clearly indicated where we should buy or sell, even though we’re seeing strong red impulsive candles. Next, let's check the daily.
Now, take a look at that pattern on the daily timeframe. What pattern is that? A bird pattern? Or maybe a plane pattern. (I'm Joe King.) It’s actually a falling wedge, a reversal pattern. But does that mean we should start buying AUDUSD? Not yet. It means we should start watching for a change in structure, perhaps on the 4-hour timeframe. Only then should we look out for our entries.
Still no trading decision, so let’s check the 4-hour next. Please stay with me.
Still no trading decision on the 4-hourly, but there’s a plan. If price can impulsively break the 4-hourly LH at 0.66611 and stays above, then I’ll be looking for a buy on a pullback, probably on the 1-hour timeframe, where I typically look for entries.
But… what happens if price continues to trend down? Since I trade based on structure, I’ll be watching for price to pull back after breaking and trading decisively below the weekly HL at 0.66220 .
One key lesson I’ve learned in my trading journey is that it’s not just about price breaking a zone; it’s about how it breaks it. From the weekly, we saw price break the weekly HL at 0.66220 . But as we scale down to the daily and 4-hourly, the pattern behind this break hints at a possible reversal.
What are your thoughts on AUDUSD this week? Please share in the comment.
My trading rule is simple, don't take position based on what you anticipate price will do, take position only when price does what you anticipate and presents you a point of entry.
BTC at 70k don't worries me, the real challenge is at this levelBitcoin continues fluctuating below 70k.
As we mentioned in last week’s analysis, it doesn’t surprise me that Bitcoin crosses 70k; the real challenge is for BTC to surpass $71,890.
If you look at the overall structure, the price made a very significant historic move in MAY and JUNE, which I’ll label as PIVOT 1 and PIVOT 2 (see chart).
To me, that area presents a real challenge to surpass because I detect a lot of institutional liquidity there, so we need to stay alert once the price crosses 70k and reaches this level.
For now, the price has managed to create two candles with strong buying pressure, so I think Bitcoin will have a few good days, but it will continue to fluctuate below 70k until we see solid buying volume.
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
TRADE SAFE!
Best regards!
Is Palantir in a Danger Zone? We will see after the report... Palantir is about to announce its quarterly report.
As we analyzed in the last report, the price reached its highest point after several years, but after reaching this liquidity zone, it had a pullback as we announced before.
However, Palantir is showing strength in this area, and we ended on the last candle where it will attempt again to surpass this liquidity zone with strongly.
Will it succeed?
I believe Palantir has the volume to continue moving a bit higher, but at this point is entering an area where the upward momentum is slowing significantly. On one hand, we’re seeing a double-top forming, and the candle hasn’t fully formed yet. We need to wait and see if the next candle shows liquidity. If so, we should be cautious about the wick length, as that could signal trouble for Palantir.
so with the earnings report approaching, there is a lot of uncertainty, which may make it difficult for the price to break this liquidity zone.
We should stay alert this November 4th. Palantir has excellent fundamentals, but its recent reports have barely exceeded analysts' expectations. If this report misses even by a small margin, I think we could see a significant drop due to the stock being heavily inflated.
Here are Palantir's latest results:
Nov 02, 2023
2023 (Q3)
Analysts = 0.06 / Reported = 0.07 (BEAT)
Feb 05, 2024
2023 (Q4)
0.08 / 0.08
May 06, 2024
2024 (Q1)
0.08 / 0.08
Aug 05, 2024
2024 (Q2)
0.08 / 0.09
Nov 04, 2024
2024 (Q3)
0.09 / (Mon, Nov 4)
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
TRADE SAFE!
Best regards!
Google / Waiting for the earnings reportGoogle refuses to break out of the 'stacked channel,' that channel where the candles are tightly packed side by side. It’s a bit frustrating that the price isn’t making any move or decision, but all we can do now is wait for the big earnings report day for the price to decide its direction.
Stay tuned on Tuesday, the 29th, after the market close!
Best Regards
NVIDIA Waiting for the big day !!!! Although we closed last week with a candlestick pattern called an 'Inside Candle,' the following candle was green, but it didn’t exceed the last high (see slanted yellow arrow).
Nvidia is stronger than ever, but that doesn’t mean the price won’t take a pause or make a small pullback before its report; rather, the price is likely entering an accumulation phase, as everyone expects Nvidia’s upcoming quarterly report to show excellent earnings results.
So my forecast for Nvidia is that it will fluctuate between my point of interest as resistance and the yellow order block as support, but the most important moment here will be its earnings report day—that’s when the price will make a decision and direction.
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
TRADE SAFE
Best regards!"
2 Confirmations last week just as we planned, What's next? SPY PRICE HAS BEEN MOVING IN OUR FAVOR ! CHECK MY LAST WEEK ANALISIS,
Before we get to the analysis i just want to say...
So far, the price has moved in our favor. If you check the results of previous analyses, you’ll see that the price has moved exactly according to my analysis of price action, supported by institutional trading concepts.
Each green check mark represents a prediction that was correctly fulfilled according to the analysis from one week ago. My analyses are weekly, carefully prepared every weekend, but note: the study of price movement and the forecasted direction here, is based on my experience as a trader.
I DON’T KNOW WHERE THE PRICE IS HEADING!
IN FACT, NO ONE DOES!
Every price movement and behavior is based on a historical movement of institutional supply and demand. Based on the years I’ve spent studying this concept, I can predict the next price movements. However, it’s crucial to emphasize that trading is ultimately speculation, but if you have really good fundamental study in price action & structure, your margin of error will always be minimal.
So This analysis is for you but at the same time for entertainment purposes do not take trades because I'm greedy on any active, please do your own research first and you will have tyour final decision.
BACK TO SPY...
The price indeed broke out of the channel after we saw it crawling like a worm along the channel support.
Indeed, the price began to range after the channel breakout.
Looking at the overall structure, the price has been losing strength and volume since last week. I have a feeling we won’t see all-time highs soon, as it’s time for the price to start accumulating or simply making its natural pullback.
I'm expecting the next move to either be a pullback that touches my "order block" zone and then starts gaining momentum to recover all that decline, or, in another scenario, if we see enough volume on Monday, it could start fluctuating in a range to accumulate before touching new all-time highs.
BUT!
The price could reach highs while forming its accumulation range. However, what we’re looking for is a decision from the price to break out of the range and reach new highs along with a new extreme!
So be patient; this week will be very interesting to analyze in terms of price behavior.
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
TRADE SAFE!
Best regards
Gold Analysis October 25Fundamental analysis
Gold prices remained close to the lows of their daily ranges in the first half of the European session, pressured by a combination of factors. For now, the US dollar (USD) appears to have halted its downward correction from a near three-month high hit on Thursday amid bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates less. This, coupled with generally positive risk sentiment, is seen as undermining the safe-haven precious metal.
That said, a further decline in US Treasury yields is keeping USD bulls from placing aggressive bets. Additionally, US political uncertainty ahead of the November 5 presidential election and further escalation of tensions in the Middle East could provide some support to Gold prices. Traders are now looking forward to US macro data - Durable Goods Orders and Revised Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for short-term opportunities.
Technical Analysis
Gold broke the bullish structure of the Asian session and fell sharply in the European session with the break of the important support zone 2720. Gold is heading towards 2710 and 2700. Pay attention to the price reaction of this zone for long-term BUY strategy. SELL signals have been set with profit levels as analyzed. Wish you a successful trading day
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 25/10/2024Flat or slightly gap up opening expected in nifty. After opening expected nifty will consolidated between 24400-24500 zone. Bullish rally only expected if nifty gives breakout of 24500 level and sustain above this level. Downside expected if nifty starts trading below 24400 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(25/10/2024)Today will be flat opening expected in banknifty. After opening if banknifty starts trading below 51450 level then downside rally of 400-500 points expected. Downside 51050 level will act as an important support for today's session. Any upside rally only expected if banknifty sustain above 51550 level.
Gold analysis ahead of Unemployment Claims newsHello Traders. The head and shoulders pattern is forming before the news. With the expectation that the news will have a corrective fall. The 2738-2740 zone is still relatively strong to prevent the price from increasing back to ATH of gold. We are waiting for a SELL signal to bet on the news. Wish you a favorable trading day.
Gold price analysis October 24Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices fell sharply from an all-time high of $2,758 on Wednesday as US Treasury yields rose, while the greenback hit a two-month high, according to the US Dollar Index (DXY).
Risk appetite has deteriorated, prompting a flight to safe-haven currencies, but not assets such as the yellow metal. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note has risen more than 65 basis points (bps) since the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) on September 18, amid concerns that a Trump presidency could spark inflation.
Investors appear to believe that former President Donald Trump could defeat Vice President Kamala Harris, as most betting sites have indicated. As we approach the US election on November 5, investors are looking for shelter from that possibility. Investors are somewhat concerned that Trump's deficit spending, use of tariffs and large illegal immigrant deportation program could cause a new wave of inflation.
Technical analysis
Gold is recovering near the important price reaction zone of 2736-2738. When gold breaks this important zone, it will find the breakout zone of 2750. In case the European session gold fails to break this price zone and falls back, our target is to give a SELL signal around 2724 followed by the bottom zone of 2708 and the most important zone of today is 2700, the critical zone of the EMA. Wish you a successful trading day.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 24/10/2024Slightly gap up opening in nifty. After opening if it's sustain above 24500 level then possible upside rally upto 24700 level. Strong downside expected below 24400 level. 24400-24500 will act as a consolidation zone for nifty. Downside next support will be 24200 for nifty.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(24/10/2024)Today will be flat or slightly gap up opening expected in banknifty. 51050-51450 zone is consolidation area for banknifty. Upside bullish rally expected if banknifty gives breakout and sustain above 51550 level in today's session. Strong downside expected below 50950 level in today's session.
SWING TUTORIAL - MFSLIn this tutorial, we analyze the stock NSE:MFSL (MAX FINANCIAL SERV LTD) identifying a lucrative swing trading opportunity following its all-time high in July 2021. The stock declined by nearly 50%, forming a Lower Low Price Action Pattern, but subsequently reversed its trend.
At the same time, we can also observe the MACD Level making a contradictory Pattern of Higher Highs. This Higher High Pattern of the MACD signaled the start of a Bullish Momentum, thereby also signaling a good Buying Opportunity.
The trading strategy yielded approximately 80% returns in 71 weeks. Technical analysis concepts used included price action analysis, MACD, momentum reversal, trend analysis and chart patterns. The MACD crossover served as the Entry Point, with the stock rising to its Swing High Levels of 1148 and serving as our Exit too.
As of wiring this tutorial, we can also notice how the stock is making a breakout and retest of the Swing High levels and trying to continue its momentum further upward trying to make a new All Time High.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
1. Momentum Reversal: The stock's price action shifted from a bearish to a bullish trend, indicating a potential reversal.
2. MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line showed steady upward momentum, signaling increasing bullish pressure.
3. MACD Crossover: The successful crossover in May 2023 confirmed the bullish trend, creating an entry opportunity.
TRADING STRATEGY AND RESULTS:
1. Entry Point: MACD crossover in May 2023.
2. Exit Point: Swing High Levels - 1148.
3. Return: Approximately 80%.
4. Trade Duration: 71 weeks.
NOTE: This case study demonstrates the effectiveness of combining technical indicators to identify bullish momentum. By recognizing Price Action, MACD movements, and Reversal patterns, traders can pinpoint potential entry and exit points.
Would you like to explore more technical analysis concepts or case studies? Share your feedback and suggestions in the comments section below.
SasanSeifi|Bearish Momentum Targets Key Support Levels! Hey there, ✌ OANDA:EURUSD In the daily timeframe, the price advanced toward the liquidity level of 1.11300 and the 1.12 price range with a significant upward trend. Following this rise, corrections occurred, and after forming a low, the price again moved towards the key 1.12 level. However, with the failure to break the previous high, a double top was formed, leading to another wave of corrections.
⏭Currently, after breaking the low at the 1.10 level, the price has retraced to 1.095. The overall outlook is bearish, with potential corrections targeting 1.086 to 1.082. If momentum weakens around the support range of 1.095 to 1.090 and a confirmation is received, the price may enter a consolidation phase, ranging between 1.10, 1.10400, and 1.10800.
🔹After this, we might see a pullback followed by further corrections. Monitoring price reactions at the first demand zone will provide better insight. However, if the selling pressure continues and the demand zone is broken, the price could target the corrective levels of 1.086 and 1.082 within the FVG and order block areas.
This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 23/10/2024In today's session, Expected nifty will open near 24500 level. After opening if it's sustain above 24500 level then expected correction movement upto 24700. Upside 24700 will act as a strong resistance for today's session. In case, Nifty gives breakdown of 24450 level then possible strong downside upto 24200 level in today's session.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(23/10/2024)Today will be gap down opening expected in banknifty. Expected opening near 51050 level. After opening if banknifty starts trading below 50950 level then expected strong downside rally of 400-500 points in index. Any bullish side movement only expected if it's sustain above 51050 level. Upside 51450 will act as an immediate resistance for banknifty.
SWING IDEA - TORRENT POWERTorrent Power, a major player in the power sector, is showing strong technical signs of a swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
1650 Support Zone : The 1650 level has acted as a strong support zone, and the price is holding steady around this level, indicating potential upside.
Bullish Engulfing Candle on Daily Timeframe : A bullish engulfing candle on the daily chart suggests strong buying momentum, indicating that the stock may reverse from its current support zone.
Double Bottom Pattern : The formation of a double bottom pattern is a bullish reversal signal, indicating the stock may have completed its downtrend and is now primed for an upward move.
0.618 Fibonacci Level Support : The stock has bounced back from the golden Fibonacci retracement level, providing additional support to the bullish thesis.
50 EMA Support : The price is holding above the 50-day exponential moving average, adding strength to the current setup and suggesting the trend is intact.
Target - 1908 // 2000
Stoploss - daily close below 1610
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
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SWING IDEA - AMBER ENTERPRISESAmber Enterprises , a leading player in the Indian air conditioning and refrigeration industry, is showing technical signals that suggest a promising swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
4600 Resistance Breakout : The 4600 level has been a significant resistance zone. The price is now breaking out above this level, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Strong Bullish Marubozu Candle on Daily and Weekly Timeframes : The recent formation of bullish marubozu candles on both the daily and weekly charts indicates strong buying pressure and suggests potential for further upward movement.
Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : The stock is trading above both the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMA), reinforcing the bullish sentiment and providing strong support levels.
Higher Highs : The stock is consistently making higher highs, indicating a strong upward trend.
Gradual Increase in Volumes : A noticeable increase in trading volumes confirms the strength of the price move and indicates growing investor interest.
Trading at All-Time High : The stock is trading at its all-time high, suggesting strong market confidence and potential for further gains.
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights