USDJPY Scalping SignalBUY USDJPY now 147.200-147.000
↠ Stoploss 146.800
→Take Profit 1 147.500
→Take Profit 2 148.200
Japanese Yen remains tepid as US Dollar advances due to diminished bets of Fed rate cuts
The Japanese Yen declines due to low trading as traders observe the Mountain Day holiday in Japan. The US Dollar receives support due to diminished odds of Fed rate cuts following last week’s upbeat US data. Safe-haven flows may limit the downside of the JPY amid increased geopolitical tensions.
Priceactionanalysis
Gold Analysis August 12Fundamental Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) attracted some dip buying near the $2,424 region on Monday and looked set to extend last week’s decent recovery from the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support. Investors remain concerned about the possibility of a wider conflict in the Middle East, which is seen as a key driver for the precious metal. In addition, expectations of further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) also provided additional support for the non-yielding asset.
However, the intraday rally lacked any bullish sentiment following the generally positive tone around the equity markets, which tended to weigh on the safe-haven bullion. Moreover, a modest appreciation in the US Dollar (USD) continued to limit the upside in XAU/USD. Traders also seem reluctant and prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key US inflation figures - Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Technical Analysis
Gold is approaching the resistance point of 2441-2443 and we can set up a SELL signal in this area. GOLD is on an uptrend so we just look at the Scalping signal and look for a nice entry to BUY long term in line with the main trend of the market.
Pay attention to the support and resistance points to have a suitable trading strategy
Breakout upper border: 2434, 2446
Breakout lower border: 2421, 2416, 2400
Resistance: 2432 - 2442 - 2456
Support: 2421 - 2417-2407
SELL price zone 2442 - 2444 stoploss 2446
BUY price zone 2407 - 2405 stoploss 2401
GOLD at a Tipping Point: Rally or Reversal?Comprehensive Analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar)
Across the 1-hour, 15-minute, and 4-hour charts, the current market structure of Gold against the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) reveals a critical juncture, with several key technical patterns and liquidity zones influencing potential price movements.
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1. Overall Market Structure: Large Ascending Channel (4-Hour Chart)
- Channel Formation: The price has been trending within a **large Ascending Channel** since early May, with well-defined higher highs and higher lows. This channel serves as the primary structure guiding the market’s long-term movement.
- Upper and Lower Boundaries: The upper boundary near 2474.774 (Daily LQZ) and the lower boundary near 2355.819 (Daily LQZ) are critical levels. The price is currently closer to the channel's upper half, indicating potential room for further upside but also a heightened risk of reversal.
2. Intermediate Market Structure: Recent Ascending Channel Breakdown (1-Hour & 4-Hour Charts)
- Smaller Ascending Channel: On the 1-hour and 15-minute charts, a smaller Ascending Channel had formed recently, suggesting a potential continuation of the upward move. However, this channel experienced a breakdown, indicating a shift in short-term momentum.
- Retest and Flag Formation: Following the breakdown, the price formed a flag pattern. This typically signals consolidation before continuation in the direction of the previous trend (which was down, post-breakdown). The resolution of this flag is crucial for the next significant move.
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3. Liquidity Zones (LQZs): Key Decision Points
- 1-Hour LQZ at 2441.637: A significant resistance level that the price is currently hovering near. Its strength has been tested, and it could either cap the current move or be breached if buying pressure increases.
- 4-Hour LQZ at 2458.954: Positioned slightly above the current price, this is another critical resistance zone, closely aligned with the broader channel's upper resistance area.
- Daily LQZ at 2474.774: This is a major resistance level that coincides with the upper boundary of the large Ascending Channel. If reached, it could signal an important inflection point.
- Support at 2402.417 (1HR) and 2355.819 (Daily): These are key levels of support that could come into play if the price fails to break higher and instead moves downward.
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4. Volume Analysis: Gauging Momentum**
- Recent Volume Trends: Across the charts, volume has shown signs of moderation, particularly during the formation of the flag pattern. This suggests a potential lack of conviction among market participants, which could lead to a volatile breakout or breakdown.
- Volume at Key Levels: It will be essential to monitor volume closely at critical LQZs and the flag pattern boundaries. A breakout with strong volume could confirm the direction, while a low-volume move might indicate a false breakout or temporary move.
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5. Mass Psychology and Market Sentiment
- Herd Behavior: The market is at a psychological tipping point. If a breakout from the flag pattern occurs, it could trigger a strong collective buying response, driving the price higher toward the 4HR and Daily LQZs. Conversely, a failure could lead to a rapid sell-off as participants rush to exit.
- Overextension and Exhaustion: The proximity to significant resistance levels increases the risk of overextension. If the price approaches the Daily LQZ at 2474.774, traders should be cautious of a potential reversal due to exhaustion of the bullish trend.
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6. Potential Scenarios and Strategic Considerations
- Bullish Scenario:
- Breakout Above Flag: A confirmed breakout above the flag pattern, supported by strong volume, could push the price towards the 4HR LQZ (2458.954) and potentially the Daily LQZ (2474.774).
- Continuation Within the Larger Channel: If the price clears the 4HR LQZ, it could target the upper boundary of the large Ascending Channel, aligning with the Daily LQZ at 2474.774.
- Bearish Scenario:**
- Breakdown from Flag: A breakdown from the flag, especially with increasing volume, could signal a short-term bearish move, targeting support levels at 2402.417 (1HR LQZ) and 2355.819 (Daily LQZ).
- Rejection at 1HR LQZ (2441.637): If the price fails to break the 1HR LQZ convincingly, it could lead to a retest of lower support levels, indicating a potential retracement within the larger channel.
- Neutral/Baseline Strategy:
- Wait for Confirmation: Traders might consider waiting for a clear breakout or breakdown from the flag pattern and observe how the price reacts at the nearest LQZs. This approach reduces the risk of being caught in a false move.
- Risk Management: Stops should be placed strategically around the flag pattern’s boundaries or key LQZs to protect against adverse moves.
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Conclusion:
The XAU/USD pair is currently at a crucial inflection point. The broader market structure, combined with recent developments in the 1-hour and 15-minute charts, suggests that the next significant move could set the tone for the short to medium term. Close attention should be paid to the flag pattern, volume behavior, and the reaction at key liquidity zones, particularly the 1HR and 4HR LQZs. A breakout could lead to a test of the upper boundaries of the larger channel, while a breakdown might see the price revisiting lower support levels within the channel.
This is a classic setup where waiting for confirmation before entering a position could offer a strategic advantage, allowing for more informed and controlled trading decisions.
Gold Market Outlook: Bullish Trend Expected To PersistOur technical analysis and market indicators suggest that gold will continue to exhibit bullish behavior tomorrow, Identified buy level at 25 and 20, building on the momentum established in recent trading sessions. This optimistic forecast is supported by robust fundamental factors, including:
- Strong investor demand for safe-haven assets
- Central banks' continued gold reserves accumulation
- Favorable macroeconomic conditions
SWING IDEA - AVANTI FEEDSAvanti Feeds , a leading manufacturer of shrimp feed and prawn processor, is showing technical indicators that suggest a potential swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
Multiple Tests at 600-650 Zone : The 600-650 level has been tested multiple times, indicating it as a significant resistance zone. The price is now attempting to break through this level, suggesting strong bullish momentum.
Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Breakout : The stock is breaking out of a symmetrical triangle pattern, a bullish continuation pattern indicating potential upward movement.
Strong Bullish Engulfing Candle on Weekly Timeframe : The formation of a bullish engulfing candle on the weekly chart indicates strong buying pressure and suggests potential for further upward movement.
50 and 200 EMA Support on Weekly Timeframe : The stock is finding support at both the 50-week and 200-week exponential moving averages (EMA), reinforcing the overall bullish sentiment and providing strong support levels.
Break of Consolidation Zone of 5+ Years : Avanti Feeds is breaking out of a long consolidation phase that lasted over 5 years, signaling a potential new bullish trend.
Spike in Volumes : A noticeable increase in trading volumes confirms the strength of the price move, indicating strong investor interest and participation in the current trend.
target - 770 // 900 // 975
Stoploss - weekly close below 485
Disclaimer :
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
Gold price analysis September 8Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices eased from a three-day high near $2,430 but held above the key support level of $2,400. The near-term outlook for the precious metal remains solid amid speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin cutting interest rates in September.
However, investors remain divided on whether the Fed will demonstrate its aggressiveness in its policy normalization by announcing a 50 basis point (bp) rate cut or a 25 bps cut.
Technical Analysis
Gold prices are in a strong bullish range with a narrow range around 2,418 and 2,434. Prices are trading strongly above the EMA and are poised to make further gains. The resistance levels of 2,454 and 2,404 act as key support and resistance, keeping gold prices steady over the weekend.
Resistance: 2432 - 2448 - 2454
Support: 2412 - 2407 - 2396 - 2388
Price ranges to note:
SELL scalp price range 2441 - 2443 stoploss 2447
SELL price range 2453 - 2455 stoploss 2459
BUY price range 2407 - 2405 stoploss 2400
BUY price range 2397 - 2395 stoploss 2391
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailGold took a tumble last Friday, reversing its upward trend after disappointing economic data from the US. We saw a near 1% drop following a two-week high of $2477, driven by concerns about the health of the US economy.
The latest Nonfarm Payrolls figures fell short of expectations, adding only 114K jobs in July, a significant miss from the estimated 175K. This comes on the heels of a dismal ISM Manufacturing PMI report, raising concerns about the health of the US economy.
Major banks like Bank of America, Citi, and JP Morgan have adjusted their forecasts, now anticipating more aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
While gold remains bullish in the current environment, the path forward isn't clear.
What’s next for gold? With the market dynamics shifting, the path of least resistance for this safe-haven asset remains bullish. But which route will it take?
In this video, I dive deep into my swing trading strategy and share how I plan to navigate the current market environment. Join me as I break down the latest developments and outline my approach to capitalize on potential opportunities in the gold market next week.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
This week, we're focusing on the crucial $2,20 - $2,425 zone. This is a big deal for gold traders - it could be a make-or-break point. If gold stays above this zone: Bulls might maintain control, potentially pushing prices higher and setting up new highs. If gold drops below the zone then Bears might gain the upper hand, and prices could head south breaking down the support line of the ascending channel in the process. Join me as we explore these factors and potential opportunities in the gold market. Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for the latest analysis and insights!
📌 Follow my journey as I map out the next moves in this dynamic market!
#gold #goldprice #goldtrading #swingtrading #marketanalysis #fed #rates #economy #usdata #nonfarmpayrolls #tradingstrategy #technicalanalysis #investing #finance #goldinvestors #goldbugs #goldnews #marketupdate📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Hey SPY Lovers! We are on a slow recoveringThe price touched our area of interest and has started to bounce back upwards. As you can see in the indicator, the SPY is beginning its slow strength. If you Compare the structure with the oscillator on the bottom, you will see there will be a bull run soon .
The question is: will this be the bull run we've been looking for, to reach our area of interest or even higher?
No one knows for sure, but for now, I want to show you that the SPY is starting the recovery process.
HERE IS THE KEY: We need to pay much attention to Nvidia's report because, if you remember, the last time they reported, it practically pushed all the markets to new highs!
Let's see what happens."
SWING IDEA - GLAXO SMITHKLINE PGlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals , a major player in the pharmaceutical industry, is displaying technical signals that suggest a potential swing trade opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
Breakthrough of Strong Resistance (1800-1900) : The 1800-1900 range was a significant resistance level. The price has broken through, retested, and is now making new highs, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Breaking a 9+ Year Consolidation Phase : The stock has emerged from a consolidation phase that lasted over 9 years, signaling a potential new long-term bullish trend.
Bullish Engulfing Candle on Weekly Timeframe : The recent bullish engulfing candle on the weekly chart indicates a significant shift towards bullish sentiment, engulfing the previous week's candle and suggesting further upward movement.
0.5 Fibonacci Support : The stock has found support at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, reinforcing the potential for a continued bullish trend after a retracement.
Increased Volumes : A noticeable increase in trading volumes confirms the strength of the price move, indicating strong investor interest and participation in the current trend.
Trading at All-Time High : The stock is trading at its all-time high, suggesting strong market confidence and the potential for further gains. However, it's also important to monitor for signs of overextension or profit-taking at these levels.
Target - 2940 // 3600
Stoploss - weekly close below 1950
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SWING IDEA - STERLING AND WILSON SOLAR SW Solar is showing promising technical signals that suggest a potential swing trade opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
620-650 Crucial Support Zone : The 620-650 range has been a strong support zone, indicating significant buying interest and providing a solid base for potential upward movement.
Bullish Engulfing Candle on Daily Timeframe: The formation of a bullish engulfing candle on the daily chart suggests a potential reversal, signaling strong buying pressure.
'W' Pattern Formation : The 'W' pattern, a bullish reversal pattern, indicates that the stock might be ready to break out to the upside.
Bullish Marubozu on Weekly Timeframe : A bullish marubozu candle on the weekly chart indicates strong buying pressure, suggesting that the bulls are in control.
100 EMA Support on Daily Timeframe : The stock is finding support at the 100-day exponential moving average, reinforcing the overall bullish sentiment and providing a reliable support level.
Target - 828 // 955
Stoploss - daily close below 620
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
BTCUSDT in selling pressureHi guys, Based on the chart we've experienced a strong drop in previous days and I assume this current movement as a correction.
So we clearly see that the structure on 1H timeframe is broken and the price comes below the trend line.
If you found this analysis useful, please like and subscribe.
Good luck!
Gold (08/07) Wide trading range in a week without important news☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some dip buyers near the $2,379-$2,378 region on Wednesday and rose to fresh daily highs heading into the European session. Weaker economic data from the United States in the coming weeks suggested that the world’s largest economy is slowing faster than initially expected. This, in turn, fueled speculations of more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), acting as a boost for the non-yielding yellow metal.
In addition, concerns over an economic slowdown in China and the risk of escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East also provided additional support for safe-haven gold. However, strong demand for the US dollar (USD), fueled by a further recovery in US Treasury yields, coupled with a generally positive risk sentiment, could keep a lid on any meaningful upside move for XAU/USD.
☘️Technical Analysis
There is not much important news this week so gold is trading in a wide sideway range. The two EMA lines are still showing that the sellers are dominating the market. The RSI in the short-term frame also wants to show that the recovery of gold is being limited by the RSI 50 level. In short-term time frames such as h1 h4, gold is in a downtrend and is ready for deeper pullbacks to the support zone of 2370-2355. The important level in the sideway range will be around 2415, the peak that gold reached yesterday. Breaking the level will form a new structure for the market.
On days when there is no news that has a big impact on the market, we can identify price range zones to trade.
Support: 2386 - 2381 - 2375 - 2366
Resistance: 2405 - 2415 - 2426 - 2430
☘️Trading signals
SELL zone 2414 - 2416 stoploss 2420
SELL zone 2428 - 2430 stoploss 2434
BUY zone 2365 - 2367 stoploss 2361
BUY zone 2347 - 2345 stoploss 2341
USDCHF: Bearish Pattern Identified 🇺🇸🇨🇭
Looks like all the setups that I spotted today are bearish.
One more is on USDCHF.
I see a head & shoulders pattern on an hourly time frame
that was formed after a strong intraday resistance.
Bearish breakout of its neckline is an important sign of strength of the sellers.
I think that the pair can drop to 0.8503 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Next real support for NVDA is around 92Short term trend is DN with angle 2 now approaching UP angles 2-3.
We have RED TrapZone and RED UMVD with RED BAR. That means there is no Buy signals for some time.
If you are tempted to Buy, just look to the LEFT when the TrapZone was GREEN and Trap Bars were GREEN with GREEN UMVD - That is how Buy environment looks like.
GREEN UMVD will show that buyers are starting to come in. What do you think ?