BTC Price Action- Quick update and not a price prediction, just to give a general idea.
- Timeframe is only H4 ( and i don't like too much small TF, lot of noise there)
- Just to monitor the PA between 72k$ ish and 60k$ ish.
- this PA could form a ranging consolidation to the next leg.
- if BTC dip again, the next support is around 50k$ ish.
- Keep things simples.
- I don't scalp, nor leverage, but if u want to gamble.
- First you need to know " Where to Gamble ".
- Don't forget Halving is very close.
- BTC Volatility will grow faster.
- BTC.D not yet maxed imo.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Priceactionanalysis
Attention price range before FOMCGold dropped from peak to 2,340 USD before Fed information
After CPI rose to a three-day high past the $2,340/troy ounce mark, gold prices now appear to have digested that initial move and returned some gains amid a weaker dollar and Yields fell ahead of the FOMC event later in the session.
The 2340 level is unlikely to hold before the FOMC. The 2352 resistance zone will be better for you if you want to SELL gold. Today it is predicted that the FOMC will continue to support the dollar, so the possibility of gold falling will be very high. Scalp support may be around the old bottom of 2390
BIRLASOFT - Breakout and retest done - Time for new highs!Daily Time Frame:
Overview & Observation:
1. Clean price action.
2. Moving after retest.
3. Reversing after support formation
4. RRR is favourable.
5. IT sector is currently underperforming once the sector starts reviving this stock should blast.
Trade Plan:
1. ENTRY = 642
2. SL = 10% (577)
3. TARGET = 1:3,1:4,1:5
- Stay tuned for further insights, updates and trade safely!
- If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing.
Thanks & Regards,
Anubrata Ray
SAIL - Reversal pattern in action!Monthly Time Frame:
Overview & Observation:
1. CHange in price structure from LL-LH to HH-HL
2. Good volume support
3. Bouncing from weekly demand and fib support zone.
4. Expected to continue to move higher.
5. Earnings are weak though!
Trade Plan:
1. Entry = cmp 154
2. Stop Loss = 10-12%
3. Target = 40%
- Stay tuned for further insights, updates and trade safely!
- If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing.
Thanks & Regards,
Anubrata Ray
Gold fell after the FED kept interest rates unchanged in June💥Gold prices (XAU/USD) gained positive traction for the third straight day on Wednesday and touched a new weekly high, around the $2,341-$2,342 region as US consumer inflation figures softened slightly.
💥Gold then fell sharply after data from the US Federal Reserve (FED) signaled there would only be one interest rate cut this year. in a context where inflation is still far from target.
💥The change in the Fed's forecast led to a slight increase in US Treasury yields, supporting the US Dollar (USD) after its overnight bounce from multi-day lows and further weakening prices. Yellow
💥Gold support is approaching at 2282. Gold prices could accelerate the decline after the $2,285 horizontal support is broken. That said, any further decline is likely to find some Support near the $2,300 mark before the $2,285 horizontal zone. Some further selling activity will be seen as fresh trigger for bearish traders and leave XAU/USD vulnerable to accelerating the decline towards the next relevant support near the $2,254-2,253 region. If gold trades above 2325 today, it will soon find higher levels such as yesterday's peak resistance area at 2340 and higher at 2355.
Regain the mark of 2,300 USD/ounceGold prices regained the 2,300 USD/ounce mark because investors had a bottom-fishing mentality after prices plummeted last weekend.
Experts say that gold prices are going against the general rules of the market when many forecasters receive bad news. The US consumer price index for May, which is about to be published, is likely to increase, making the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) delay in cutting interest rates even longer.
Gold investors are turning their attention to the Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting scheduled for June 11-12 (US time), which will open up a more positive direction. for gold price.
Here, the FOMC will provide insight into the plans and timeline for expected interest rate cuts this year and through 2026.
Gold is having difficulty trying to regain the 2320 level. Yesterday in the US session, gold achieved a recovery level of 2313 according to investors' expectations after a weekend of catastrophic price decline. Unable to reach the expectation of 2320, gold is stuck around the 2300 price range. The upward recovery will likely continue until gold returns to the market's downward trajectory.
SELL zone 2330-2332 SL 2335
SELL zone 2281-2279 SL 2276
Pay attention to support and resistance points to have the best trading strategy
Support: 2286 - 2280 - 2270
Resistance: 2315 - 2329 - 2338
GOLD 06/10 The downtrend is still continuing💥Gold prices (XAU/USD) entered a bearish consolidation phase and hovered near their lowest level in more than a month, below the $2,300 mark.
💥The widely known Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report showed that the world's largest economy created more jobs than expected in May, forcing investors to cut bets on the round. interest rate cut in September by the Federal Reserve (Fed). This kept US Treasury yields elevated and lifted the US Dollar (USD) to a near one-month high, which in turn, was seen as a headwind for the yellow metal failing to deliver. profit.
💥Gold will continue its downtrend. On the h4 chart, we can see that important support levels were broken and strong resistance areas were formed. The recovery level of gold today cannot exceed 2320 and the decline margin of gold is wider with the support level of 2370 being the break out area of the previous 2 months and the next around 2355 EMA 89 moving average of the daily frame.
Support: 2286 - 2280 - 2274 - 2268 - 2259
Resistance: 2308 - 2320 - 2329 - 2338
SELL price range 2320 - 2322 stoploss 2327
BUY price range 2270 - 2268 stoploss 2264
BPCL: Gearing up fly high - Know Why!Daily Time Frame:
Key Points:
Breakout Confirmation: The stock has decisively moved past its 4 years long resistance, confirming the breakout.
Volume Surge: Accompanied by high trading volume, indicating strong market interest.
Target Potential: Eyeing a 50% upward move based on technical analysis.
Why This Matters:
Momentum: Breakouts like this often lead to sustained trends.
Opportunity: Ideal for traders looking for growth stocks with strong technical setups.
- Above 620 it will start to shoot and also EMAs have confirmed the bullish trend continuation.
- If you have liked my chart reading and analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post.
- Wish you all a profitable trading journey. Cheers!
Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recomendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do you due diligence before investing.
Thanks & Regards
LINKUSDTHi guys
It seems that we have an upward channelized trend. And currently, the ceiling of the RSI negative divergence channel has also been issued.
The support area of $17.24 is still preserved.
Provided that this support area and the upward trend line are maintained, there is a high possibility of forming an upward trend similar to the drawn upward scenario.
in case of breaking the upward trend line and losing the support range of $17.24; The downside scenario is more likely.
What do you think?
WIFUSDTHi guys
For now, the trend is fluctuating between the two ranges.
If the support area of $3.0488 is completely consumed, the possibility of the continuation of the downward trend and the touching of the medium-term uptrend line will be strengthened.
At the moment, it seems that the weight of the downside scenario is more.
What do you think?
Gold price margin analysis before NONFARM💥Gold reacted strongly at the 2385 resistance zone as traders waited for the important US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Gold prices continued to rise and hit a 2-week high as US bond yields fell after Latest labor report. Published data showing signs of "cooling down" in the US labor market have reinforced the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in September. Currently, investors are still hot. Please wait for US non-farm payroll data to be more certain about this expectation.
💥RSI in the h2 time frame shows signs of divergence and has gradually escaped the overbought area. It can be seen that the buying force has weakened when the price touched 2385. The uptrend is still there with strong support from the EMA 34 and EMA 89 which are still rising strongly in the large time frames h4 h2 d1. Therefore, the price reaction at 2385 could be a stepping stone for gold to reach 2400.
💥Technical points to pay attention to for the best trading signals:
Support: 2370-2355
Resistance: 2395- 2405
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThis video dissects the recent market trends and economic data that have been impacting the Pound Sterling and the US Dollar.
Last Friday, data revealed a positive turn in UK house prices for May, following a couple of months of decline. However, all eyes were on the report on US inflation, which significantly influenced price movements. The Pound Sterling (GBP) demonstrated signs of recovery, particularly after the monthly United States core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data for April fell short of expectations. With underlying inflation growing at a slower rate than anticipated.
Additionally, the downwardly revised GDP estimates have weighed on the US Dollar and increased the speculation on the likelihood of the Fed reducing interest rates in September, with estimates surpassing the 50% mark.
Shifting focus to the United Kingdom, the survey of economic outlook conducted by Lloyds Bank highlighted easing price pressures and strong expectations surrounding the Bank of England (BoE) potentially initiating interest rate reductions earlier than anticipated hereby bolstering business optimism.
In this video, we navigated the current market dynamic to unravel the potential direction of price action in the coming week as market participants digest the implications of the economic data from both economies
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound hold above $1.27000? Watch this video for key trades this week. We analyze trends and levels for market insights. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
AXSIt seems that according to the maintenance of the upward trend line (we do not have a LL on the price chart), if the resistance range of $8.7 is completely consumed; The probability of the continuation of the upward trend similar to the scenario is high.
If this specified resistance area is not completely consumed, we expect a downward trend and the bullish scenario is invalid.
At the moment, we do not have a signal for a bearish trend on the price chart. On the other hand, a relatively attractive candlestick pattern tangential to the upward trend line has been formed for us.
What do you think?
EOSUSDTHi guys
Tangent with the medium-term uptrend line, in the lower time frames, a head and shoulder pattern is formed at the end of the downtrend.
The support areas are also well preserved so far; Provided that the previous price floor is maintained, and the resistance range of $0.831 is consumed, we expect an upward trend similar to the scenario.
UPl | Wyckoff Events & Phases Explained Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice.
The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and MarkDown.
👉TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and Phases👈
Price Action Analysis
And this is the accumulation stage -
1) PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move.
- Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
2) SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom.
- Often price will close well off the low in an SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
3) AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline.
- A wave of buying easily pushes prices up.
- The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation.
4) ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand.
- If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC.
- It is common to have multiple STs after an SC.
5) SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume.
6) LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS.
7) BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume.
All the phases of accumulation stage-
Phase A:
Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend.
-- Up to this point, supply has been dominant.
-- The approaching cutback of supply is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC).
-- A successful secondary test (ST) in the area of the SC will show less selling than previously and a narrowing of spread and decreased volume, generally stopping at or above the same price level as the SC.
-- If the ST goes lower than that of the SC, one can anticipate either new lows or prolonged consolidation.
-- Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behavior, as seen in the two Accumulation Schematics above.
Phase B:
-- Phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend
-- In Phase B, institutions and large professional interests are accumulating relatively low-priced inventory in anticipation of the next markup.
--There are usually multiple STs during Phase B'
-- Institutional buying and selling impart the characteristic up-and-down price action of the trading range.
--Early on in Phase B, the price swings tend to be wide and accompanied by high volume.
Phase C:
-- It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a final test of the remaining supply.
-- this marks the beginning of a new uptrend, trapping the late sellers (bears).
-- It indicates that the stock is likely to be ready to move up, so this is a good time to initiate at least a partial long position.
-- The appearance of an SOS shortly after a spring or shakeout validates the analysis.
Phase D:
--During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top
--LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions.
Phase E:
--large operators can occur at any point in Phase E.
--These are sometimes called “stepping stones” on the way to even higher price targets.
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Revive Traders
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EURUSD analysis 06/05/2024EUR/USD steadies below 1.0900 ahead of key US dataEUR/USD is consolidating below 1.0900 early Wednesday amid modest gains in the US Dollar. Fed rate cut bets keep US bond yields lower, limiting the pair's downside. Key US data on Wednesday could provide some impetus ahead of the ECB on Thursday.
The pair is approaching the lower trendline of the uptrend and is being supported by the EMA34 and EMA 89. In case the news is positive for the USD, it is possible that EURUSD will break the trendline and two EMA line to approach the 1.08300 support zone.
The old peak at 1.9100 will be the first resistance area that the pair encounters when the price is pushed up from the current support area. With the negative release news for USD the highest level EURUSD reached today was 1.09700.
BUY zone 1.08300 SL 1.08000
SELL zone 1.09100 SL 1.09400
SELL zone 1.09700 SL 1.10000
Gold soon regained its rising position (week 24 gold analysis)💥Gold reacted strongly at 2360 and could not overcome the old resistance level to break back to 2400. Gold has formed a double top pattern on the 4th hour frame.
💥After returning below 233x, important support levels 2317-2310 -2305 will be believed by investors to push gold prices back up.
💥The price is retracing relatively far from MA 34 and MA 89, so the downtrend can maintain for the first few days of the week before gold bounces back strongly at the end of next week.
💥When the gold price drops, we will BUY at the support points listed above. new stop loss of 50 pips for each signal. possible profit level according to RR11 ratio. When the price reaches the 2310 or 2301 area, we can consider making long-term BUY signals.
💥If you check back at the levels we have shared weekly over time, you can see how effectively they are used to trade with or against short/medium term fluctuations and trends .
Resistance 2360-2400
Support 2317-2310-2305
EURUSD analysis week 24EUR/USD clings to gains above 1.0850 following US inflation data. EUR/USD traded in positive territory around 1.0850 during the US session on Friday. The US dollar struggled to maintain its strength following the April PCE inflation data and helped the pair hold its ground at the end of the week.
The EU region's CPI consumer price index has begun to cool down, but according to March and April data, this index still increased around 2.4% over the same period last year in recent shares shared by the ECB President. believes that inflation in the EU area is expected to continue to decrease and the ECB can lower interest rates if they meet the inflation assessment criteria they have identified.
The price range of the EURUSD pair is getting narrower, showing that the long-term accumulation of the currency pair is about to reach a boom stage. Pay attention to the break out hooks 1,080 and 1,088 to get appropriate trend trading signals. When the price breaks out of the narrow range, important support and resistance levels will be quite far away. Above the old peak resistance level around 1,093 and in the opposite direction, the old Dow breaking support area at 1,074 will be a support area that investors trust.
Trading signals:
BUY zone 1.07400-1.07200 SL 1.06900
SELL zone 1.09300-1.09500 SL 1.09800
Beak out and retest: 1.08800 and 1.08000
GBPUSD analysis week 24📌GBP/USD eases from 1.2765, keeping gains modest. GBP/USD hit a two-day peat at 1.2765 during the US session, as US data showed core PCE inflation held steady at 2.8% yoy in the month Private. The pair retreated later as risk aversion triggered demand for the US Dollar.
📌The possibility of the FED cutting interest rates in September is quite low. As the Fed has said they want to see inflation fall for months before considering a move to normalize policy, higher-than-expected inflation would significantly impact markets. FED interest rate cut will be delayed until November. If this index is lower, it will boost the prospect of FED lowering interest rates in September
📌The pair is trading within the border of the uptrend line and is strongly boosted by the EMA 34 and EMA 89 to extend the upward price momentum. The narrow price range of 1,280 and 1,268 that has been maintained continuously for the past two weeks could completely be broken in the next week with further resistance and support levels at 1,288 above and vice versa at 1,265 below.
🕯Trading signals
SELL zone 1.28800-1.29000 SL 1.29300
BUY zone 1.26500-1.26300 SL 1.26000
You found liquidity. Now here is what yo do with it.
In this chart price action I have marked out where previous types of liquidity existed.
At the left you can see there was an uptrend but this uptrend had no factors showing LOW liquidity. Only strong high liquidity. Using the rules below you can mark out liquidity levels and what to expect when price returns to these levels later on.
No indicator can do this for you. This is simple price action structure.
You can implement these rules into marking levels in your price patterns / shapes, if you like using those as well.
Welcome to the coffee shop everybody this is your host and Baristo Eric, and I'm here today to let you guys know about the difference between high liquidity and low liquidity pivots and when I say pivots I mean price levels in the market. I want you to keep in mind that this trick works on all time frames it doesn't matter what time frame you're looking at but it certainly works best if you're comparing the high time frame to the low time frame that you're trading on.
This is a price action trick and strategy that you do not need an indicator for. Which means you can never get this wrong as you long as you follow these rules but the minute you try using an indicator for this you're going to miss out on some important details.
Now obviously there's a few rules that you need to follow when you're looking for high liquidity or low liquidity pivots and in the image above you should be able to see it but in the text below I'll give you my breakdown of the 123 rule that you can really follow to understand what you're looking for.
Here's a few rules to follow:
1. Bullish candles make high pivots
2. Bearish candles make low pivots
3.the length of the Wick of the candle is the trigger to tell you what you're looking for.
You cannot find low or high liquidity in a market during the trend. You can only see it after the trend has finished and you are either currently ranging or you are in the alternate trend meaning you were in a downtrend and now you're in an uptrend or a sideways market. You want to look for these liquidity types in the previous trend but using the strategy in this video you can also find high and low liquidity in arranging markets simply by looking at the ranging market that previously took place.
The trick to finding liquidity in the market goes like this:
Finding Sell Liquidity (Resistance) in previous market moves.
If you were in a downtrend and now it has completed you can look backwards at that downtrend and find all the bullish candles that will reflect the rules you were looking for.
Look at the downtrend and find the bullish candles.
You want the bullish candles that had swing highs and their upper Wick is longer than their lower Wick.
If the previous market was an uptrend you simply wanna do the opposite:
and previously up trending market you wanna find all the bearish candles and those bearish candles need to have a swing low Wick plus the Wick on the bottom must be longer than the Wick on top. These will reflect your SUPPORT levels (Buy Liquidity)
One of the questions often asked is what do you do with these levels once you find them.
Once you find low liquidity levels you wanna mark them this way you can treat them as plausible breakout areas meaning that with low liquidity in these areas price will reach those areas later on and price will continue to move through them because there are very few participants trying to buy or sell in a low liquidity area.
High liquidity area however simply means there is a lot of volume lot of activity and when price reaches back to these levels that price will either stall or reverse at these levels.
High liquidity areas also mean that these are banks and institutions trading at these levels so price can pull away from it retest and then come back to it for a very large move initiated by that same level.
Metropolis Simple Price Action AnalysisOn this auspicious occasion, may lord Vigna Vinayaka remove all obstacles from your life and fill it with joy and success. Happy Ganesh Chaturthi!
NSE:METROPOLIS could be the next good investment for this year.
After a big downtrend, the price is able to create an Inverse Head and Shoulder. Thereafter, the neckline broke, a retest happened, and now it should move up.
The first target could be 1791, the Second target will be 2570 and the final target is 3579. Approx. 139.14% Return on Investment plus Dividends.
Disclaimer: Stock trading is inherently risky and you agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that you make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of the stock trading calls made by Prosenjit should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. All comments and posts made by Prosenjit are for information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for actual trading.
Many important economic data are waitingGold prices rose at the beginning of the week when the latest report showed that US manufacturing activity slowed for the second consecutive month.
Specifically, the purchasing management index in the manufacturing sector decreased to 48.7% in May, compared to 49.2% recorded in April. This figure is weaker than the forecast of the world. expert.
Disappointing economic data raises the possibility that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year, pushing the dollar to a three-week low and benchmark US Treasury yields falling. dropped to its lowest level in 2 weeks.
Today's world gold price is listed on Kitco at about 2,350 USD/ounce, up 23 USD/ounce compared to early yesterday morning. Gold futures last traded at $2.3716 per ounce, up $25.60.
Gold price forecast
The Fed's interest rate direction will be the main factor affecting the direction of gold in the short term. Therefore, the market will continue to listen for information that is expected to have an impact on the Fed's decision.
This week, besides employment data, the gold market will wait for the interest rate decision of the European Central Bank (ECB). The bank is almost certain to cut interest rates by 25 basis points and this could become the first major central bank to cut interest rates this cycle. The ECB's decision may cause investors to recalculate the time and scale of the Fed's interest rate easing.
Many analysts predict that, ahead of the Fed's monetary policy meeting on June 11-12, many investors will increase buying, causing gold prices to increase sharply before the meeting.
Technically
The important price range today is that gold is trading at 2363 and 2335. If gold wants to regain its strong bullish position, gold needs to surpass the important area at 2363 and 2365 in the opposite direction. The sideways trend will continue when gold Moving towards the 2335 support zone. In the h4 time frame, the two EMA lines show that the main trend is still moving sideways within a wide range. Gold is waiting for a breakthrough from US data this week to escape the border.
Support: 2335 - 2328 - 2315 - 2305
Resistance: 2355 - 2363 - 2374 - 2389
BUY price range 2327 - 2325 stoploss 2321
SELL price range 2374 - 2376 stoploss 2380
Maintain wide trading margins for a long timeGold continued to fall and traded below $2,330 on Tuesday, erasing most of Monday's gains in the process. Renewed US dollar strength drags XAU/USD lower as markets take a cautious stance ahead of US data.
The $2,360 area (Friday's high) acted as a barrier for gold and caused gold to fall sharply as the strength of the PMI news was not enough to break this resistance.
Gold has difficulty escaping the trendline that has lasted for nearly two weeks. Gold will soon be pushed up by the 2315 -2310 or 2305 support zones and continue to wait for ADP data or even wait until Friday when nonfarm is announced by breaking out of this wide accumulation zone.
Price zones need attention to have an effective trading strategy
Support: 2320 -2305
Resistance 2360-2348