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Gold Analysis March 10⭐️Fundamental analysis The main reason for this weakness is the US dollar (USD) recovering slightly after hitting its lowest level since November. The USD's recovery was due to the market's reaction to the weaker-than-expected US jobs report, creating some pressure on the precious metal. However, growing expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will conduct more interest rate cuts this year have pushed US Treasury yields lower. This could limit the USD's upside momentum, thereby helping gold prices avoid a deep correction. In addition, concerns about the negative economic impact of former US President Donald Trump's trade tariff policies have also contributed to strengthening gold's safe-haven role. Therefore, investors may be more cautious before making a strong trading decision following the downtrend ⭐️Technical analysis Gold price at the beginning of the week traded sideways in the range of 2899 and 2929, with the fluctuations at the beginning of the week, it is quite difficult for gold to break through this price range. If there is a break from the lower range, gold will find the next strong support zone of 2882. In the immediate future, pay attention to buying around 2899 when there are signs that the candle has not closed above this range. When breaking 2899, just wait to sell today
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
USD/CHF Short Setup – Institutional Flow & Liquidity TargetsUSD/CHF is setting up for a bearish move, with confluence from technical structure, order flow, and fundamental events. Here’s a complete breakdown of the setup, execution plan, and institutional positioning. 📊 Trade Execution & Technical Breakdown 🔹 Entry Zone: Price rejected from the 0.8786 - 0.8794 supply zone, aligning with 0.62 - 0.79 Fibonacci retracement levels. 🔹 Confluences: ✅ Bearish trend continuation – Lower highs forming. ✅ Liquidity grab above minor resistance, suggesting smart money distribution. ✅ Break & retest structure confirms potential downside. 🔹 Target Zones: 📉 First target: 0.8767 (previous low & liquidity area). 📉 Final target: 0.8750 (-0.62 Fibonacci extension). 📌 Market Structure: Higher timeframe bearish bias remains intact. Supertrend (4H) signals continued downside. EMA alignment (1D) confirms selling pressure. 🏦 Institutional Positioning & Market Sentiment 📌 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights: 📈 USD: Institutional long positions declining, indicating potential USD weakness. 📉 CHF: Increased net short positioning, suggesting institutional flow favoring CHF strength. 📌 Liquidity & Order Flow Data: Market depth shows heavy short positioning near resistance. Volume profile indicates a lack of demand above 0.8780, confirming weak bullish momentum. ⚡ Fundamental Drivers – Key News Events 📊 Macroeconomic Data Impacting USD/CHF: 📌 Employment Trends Index (108.35) – USD strength limited. 📌 T-Bill Auction & Treasury Buyback – Potential liquidity shifts affecting risk sentiment. 📌 Fed’s Beige Book & Policy Outlook – Key for USD direction. 🛑 Impact on Trade: ✔️ USD uncertainty fuels risk-off flows into CHF. ✔️ Short-term retracement provides an ideal short entry before further downside. 📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights 📌 Prime Market Terminal Data: ATR shows increased volatility, supporting large price swings. Institutional short positioning rising, indicating strong bearish control. DMX data suggests liquidity buildup below 0.8760. 🔥 Conclusion – High-Probability Short Setup ✅ Bearish trend structure aligns with institutional positioning. ✅ Liquidity grab above resistance confirms distribution phase. ✅ Confluence of technicals, fundamentals, and order flow supports downside movement. 📌 Short Bias: Targeting 0.8767 → 0.8750. 📌 Key Invalidations: A break above 0.8800 could shift sentiment. 💬 What’s your take on USD/CHF? Let me know in the comments! 🚀📉
Short
by LDForex_
Gold Price Analysis March 7Fundamental analysis Gold prices saw buying pressure as they dipped below $2,900 before rebounding to a daily high in European trading on Friday morning. Investors were cautious and waiting for the key US jobs report. The upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report will have a significant impact on the USD's performance in the short term and could provide fresh impetus to gold prices. Amid the market’s anticipation of key economic data, expectations that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates multiple times in 2025 – amid signs of slowing US economic growth – sent the USD tumbling to a multi-month low, further supporting gold prices. In addition, concerns surrounding former US President Donald Trump’s trade policies and their potential impact on the global economy weighed on investor sentiment. Technical analysis Gold price is increasing in the early European trading session. 2928 will be the resistance level in this trading session. If the European session fails to break this zone, consider SELL signals to 95. Conversely, when breaking 2928, wait for retest and BUY signals towards 294x to SELL. NF trading range today is 2876 and 2945.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold Price Analysis March 6Gold price today will trade in the range of 2928-2900. There will not be enough catalyst for gold to break through this range, at least wait until Nonfarm. When breaking the range of 2929 and 2895, it will confirm a new trend of Gold. The 2915 area until the end of the Asian session cannot be broken, it can push the price up to 2922 - 2928 or if broken, pay attention to the 2912 area for a BUY signal and resistance. Today around 2900 when breaking 2912-2915 and retesting those resistance areas.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
EUR/USD Long Setup – Institutional & Retail Flows Align This EUR/USD long trade was executed based on a confluence of technical levels, institutional positioning, and macroeconomic factors. Here’s the breakdown of the trade execution, market influences, and the Prime Market Terminal insights that supported the decision. 📊 Trade Execution & Technicals Entry: The trade setup was based on price retracing into a key Fibonacci retracement zone, aligning with a demand area before a bullish continuation. Confluence: A combination of trendline support, 50%–79% Fibonacci levels, and liquidity sweeps confirmed the setup. Target Zones: Price moved towards key Fibonacci extensions (-0.27 & -0.62 levels), which aligned with previous liquidity zones. Market Structure: Higher timeframes indicated a bullish trend, reinforcing the long bias. 🎯 Trade Outcome The trade executed as planned, with price bouncing off the retracement levels and moving towards the projected take-profit zones. Bullish continuation confirmed the validity of the setup, as institutional order flow aligned with the technicals. ⚡ High-Impact News That Influenced EUR/USD 📌 Economic data from the Prime Market Terminal showed major USD events: ISM Manufacturing PMI (53.5) exceeded expectations (52.8) – initially strengthening USD. Durable Goods Orders rose by 3.2%, reinforcing economic resilience. EIA Weekly Crude Stocks & Fed's Beige Book impacted liquidity and volatility in the market. 🛑 Impact on the Trade: Positive USD data initially caused short-term retracements, offering a discounted entry for longs. Market reaction confirmed a USD exhaustion, leading to EUR/USD bullish momentum. 📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights 📌 Volatility data from the Prime Market Terminal indicated: EUR/USD ATR increased, signaling higher liquidity grabs and expansion. Liquidity Pools: Visible range analysis showed high-volume nodes near the Fibonacci retracement area, acting as liquidity traps before the bullish push. Institutional Order Flow: Increased volume and liquidity injection around key price levels confirmed smart money accumulation. 🏦 Institutional Positioning & Market Flow 📌 COT (Commitment of Traders) Report Insights: Institutional Traders: Increased long positions on EUR/USD, signaling confidence in the bullish move. Retail Sentiment: Majority of retail traders were short, fueling a short squeeze that propelled price higher. Market Depth Data: Prime Market Terminal showed institutional buy orders stacking near the key demand zone, reinforcing the long setup’s strength. 🔥 Conclusion ✅ The confluence of technicals, fundamental news, volatility data, and institutional flows provided a high-probability long setup on EUR/USD. ✅ Key Takeaway: Combining macro analysis with technicals and liquidity insights can increase the accuracy of trade setups. 📌 Did you catch this move? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀💬
Long
by LDForex_
Gold Buy Setup – Smart Money Flow & Institutional Order PositionGold (XAU/USD) is showing bullish potential, aligning technical, fundamental, and liquidity factors for a high-probability setup. Let’s break down the market structure, trade execution, and institutional flows that support this move. 📊 Trade Execution & Technical Breakdown 🔹 Entry Zone: Price retraced into a key demand zone aligning with the 0.62 Fibonacci level (2902.190). 🔹 Confluences: ✅ Trendline support held, confirming bullish momentum. ✅ Fibonacci retracement (50%-79%) aligned with institutional order blocks. ✅ Liquidity sweeps confirmed smart money accumulation. 🔹 Target Zones: 📈 First target: 2,926.183 (previous high). 📈 Final target: 2,950.176 (-0.62 Fibonacci extension). 📌 Market Structure: The 1H timeframe suggests a bullish continuation pattern. Daily EMAs are trending upwards, reinforcing buying pressure. Supertrend indicator on the 4H supports bullish sentiment. 🎯 Institutional Positioning & Market Depth 📌 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights: 📈 Institutional traders increasing long positions, signaling confidence in an uptrend. 📉 Retail traders are majority short, fueling a potential short squeeze. 📌 Liquidity Data: Volume profile shows high demand near 2902, confirming strong buy-side interest. Market depth data from Prime Market Terminal indicates institutional buy orders stacking in this range. ⚡ Fundamental Drivers – Key News & Events 📊 Economic data influencing XAU/USD: 📈 ISM Manufacturing PMI (53.5) vs. forecast (52.8) – Initially strengthened USD. 📈 Durable Goods Orders +3.2% – Positive US data caused a pullback. 📉 Gold supported by weaker USD following liquidity rebalancing. 🛑 Impact on Trade: ✔️ Initial USD strength provided a discounted long entry on Gold. ✔️ Market reacted with bullish momentum as institutional flows aligned with demand zones. 📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights 📌 Prime Market Terminal Liquidity Analysis: ATR (Average True Range) increased, signaling upcoming volatility. High-volume nodes align with the 2902 support area. Institutional order flow confirms bullish positioning. 🔥 Conclusion – High-Probability Long Setup ✅ Smart money accumulation & institutional order flow confirm a bullish bias. ✅ Confluence of technical, fundamental, and liquidity factors supports upside movement. ✅ Potential targets: 2,926 → 2,936 → 2,950. 📌 Did you catch this move? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀💬
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LDForex_
USD/JPY – Precision Short Trade Breakdown🔥 Executed a precise short trade on USD/JPY this morning, aligning with institutional order flow and Prime Market Terminal insights. Here’s the full breakdown of how this setup played out! 🔍 Trade Setup & Analysis: 📌 Entry: 149.300 – Price rejected a key supply zone & Fibonacci retracement level. 📌 Stop Loss: 149.558 – Above key liquidity & invalidation area. 📌 Take Profit: 148.504 (first TP), 148.213 (final target). 📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 📊 Prime Market Terminal Insights That Confirmed This Trade: 🔻 Institutional Positioning & Market Flow: ✔ Smart Money Report: Large institutions were heavily net short USD/JPY, with leveraged funds reducing their long exposure. Dealer intermediaries (banks and liquidity providers) also added more short positions, indicating further downside momentum. ✔ COT (Commitment of Traders) Data: Open interest showed a significant drop in long positions, suggesting weakness in USD/JPY. Hedge funds and asset managers increasing short exposure aligned with my bearish bias. ✔ DMX Open Interest: 66% of institutional traders were short on USD/JPY, confirming my sell-side setup. Short positioning had increased by 34% in the last session, reinforcing my downside expectation. 🔻 Volatility & Liquidity Insights: ✔ Average True Range (ATR) Analysis: ATR showed a high probability of an extended move, suggesting the potential for price to hit my targets. Recent daily ranges indicated USD/JPY had room to move another 100+ pips to the downside. ✔ Session Range & Market Structure: Liquidity grab above 149.300 supply zone, followed by strong rejection and sell-off. Previous session lows were swept, indicating smart money targeting deeper liquidity. Institutional orders clustered around 148.200, suggesting a likely downside target. 🔻 High-Impact News That Influenced USD/JPY: 📢 Japanese Unemployment Rate (Actual: 2.5% | Forecast: 2.5%) → No surprise, minimal impact. 📉 Business Capex (MOF YY) (-0.2% vs. 8.1% previous) → Indicated economic slowdown, weakening JPY demand. 📰 U.S. Economic Data Later Today: Redbook YY (USD) expected at 6.2% – could impact USD sentiment. Fed’s Williams speech on monetary policy could affect USD volatility, reinforcing our bias. 🎯 Trade Execution & Outcome: ✅ TP HIT! Price dropped as expected, hitting both targets with precision. 🚀 Perfect confluence of: ✅ Smart money selling pressure ✅ Liquidity sweep & supply zone rejection ✅ High-probability move from ATR analysis 📸 Prime Market Terminal Screenshots Included: 📊 DMX Open Interest → Confirmed institutions were net short. 📊 COT Data → Showed decline in long positions. 📊 ATR & Volatility Charts → Supported extended downside movement. 📊 Session Ranges & Market Structure → Confirmed liquidity grab & supply zone rejection. 🔑 Key Takeaways from This Trade: ✔ Trade with institutional momentum – Always check positioning before entering! ✔ Multiple confirmations = High probability setups – Don’t rely on a single indicator. ✔ Liquidity is key – Smart money moves price to hunt liquidity, trade accordingly. ✔ Fundamentals matter – Weak JPY capex data helped push price lower. 💬 What’s your view on USD/JPY? Will we see further downside? Drop your thoughts below! 📊 Follow for more trade setups, market analysis & strategy breakdowns!
Short
by LDForex_
Avoid Market Maker Traps: Liquidity Sweeps & FVG ExplainedUnderstanding Market Maker's Perspective: Liquidity Sweeps and Fair Value Gaps (FVG) In this educational post, I'll dive into the smart money concepts (SMC) that help traders understand market behavior from a broker or market maker's perspective. This analysis will focus on liquidity sweeps, Fair Value Gaps (FVG), and how market makers use these strategies to manipulate price movements. What is a Liquidity Sweep? A liquidity sweep occurs when the market pushes through a known level of liquidity, such as stop losses or pending orders. This action often creates sharp wicks or sudden moves, typically engineered by smart money to gather liquidity for their positions. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Explained An FVG is a price gap between a consecutive bullish and bearish candle (or vice versa), leaving a void in the market. These gaps often act as magnets for price, as market makers seek to "fill" these gaps, using them as traps for retail traders. The Retail Trader's Perspective Many new traders view the FVG as a signal to enter the market, expecting price to move in their favor immediately. They often set stop losses below recent lows, providing market makers with a clear liquidity target. How Market Makers Exploit Liquidity Market makers often execute a classic trap strategy: Push the price up slightly to create a false sense of security for retail buyers. Execute a sharp move down to trigger stop losses and capture liquidity below key levels. Finally, reverse the price direction sharply to the upside, aligning with their true market intent. Practical Trading Strategy For new traders, understanding this concept can help avoid common traps: Avoid entering trades at the FVG without confirmation. Look for signs of a liquidity sweep, such as long wicks or strong rejections. Enter trades only after seeing a market structure shift (MSS) that confirms the true direction. Conclusion By thinking like a market maker, traders can align their strategies with smart money concepts, improving their chances of success. Always remain patient, seek confirmation, and avoid the traps set by market manipulation. This post aims to educate traders on avoiding common pitfalls and developing a more strategic approach to trading using smart money concepts.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDEducation
by SuvashishFx
Gold Price Analysis March 5⭐️Fundamental Analysis Gold prices (XAU/USD) have stalled after two days of gains due to rising US bond yields, putting pressure on non-yielding gold. However, gold may be supported by safe-haven demand amid escalating trade tensions. Specifically, the US imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada, while China also increased tariffs to 20%, raising concerns about trade retaliation. At the same time, the US's suspension of military aid to Ukraine also prompted investors to seek gold. In addition, the situation became more tense when President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Zelenskyy disagreed on peace negotiations. ⭐️Technical Analysis It is clear that gold is rising and heading towards the resistance level of 2929. This is considered a key area for gold. If broken, gold will continue to increase in price to ATH 295x. If Gold breaks the trend and falls, 2903 will no longer be meaningful and it will be at the 2896 area that Gold will really have a price reaction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
Gold’s rally: $3,000/oz in Q1 2025 or a trap? New peak and sell?Gold has recently provided long traders with opportunities to step in and buy, but could the market be setting a trap—luring traders toward an all-time high (ATH) only to tumble shortly after? The $3,000 level is often seen as a sentimental milestone, yet there’s no historical trading record of gold sustainably reaching or surpassing it. So far, the rally appears driven by geopolitical tensions and typical price action behavior. Are we on the cusp of seeing gold hit $3,000 per ounce as early as Q1 2025, or is the market misleading us into thinking the pot is ready to boil over? Two scenarios seem plausible (see image): Gold reaches a new ATH, triggering a sell-off that draws in more buyers while allowing price action to build momentum toward $3,000/oz.Gold hits $3,000/oz, and the market turns that level into a new floor rather than a ceiling. But if that happens, where does it go from there? That remains unclear. What are your thoughts? *Not financial advice. Side note: I initially bought at $2,833.00 and took an early exit. Now holding a new entry at $2,895.00. #FxHyenas
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Takeprofiit
3
$PIUSDT Price Road to $11 Price Prediction 2025 Pi Network News: Can Pi Coin Price Hit $11? Key Levels Revealed, Pi Already Get place 11 of the Market. Pi Network has gained 6.8% in the past 24 hours, outperforming major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (+7.5%), Ethereum (+8.9%), XRP (+11.1%), BNB (+9.8%), and Solana (+7.8%). But that’s not the real surprise. Since its mainnet launch, PI's price has skyrocketed by an incredible 1,775.77%, while the overall crypto market has dropped by 11% in the same period. That’s a staggering contrast - and a sign that something big is happening. With PI breaking key resistance levels and speculation about a major exchange listing growing, investors are wondering: How much higher can PI go? Could we see a breakout past $2? Let’s dive in. 💗 Why Is PI’s Price Rising? Since February 20, PI has gained an incredible 1,775.75%, with a 7.5% jump in just the last 24 hours. This steady rise shows that Pi Network is moving independently of the broader market, maintaining strong momentum. Key Reasons Behind PI’s Price Rally Several factors are driving PI’s price increase: Mainnet Migration Deadline Approaching Pi Network is reaching its final deadline for users to migrate their holdings. According to a recent blog post from the team, March 17 is the last day to complete the migration. This deadline may be increasing buying pressure as investors prepare for the next phase. 🧡 Potential Binance Listing Speculation around a Binance listing is another major factor. In a recent Binance community poll, over two-thirds of participants supported listing PI. If Binance or other major exchanges list it, the price could see a significant boost. US Election Impact on Crypto Donald Trump’s return to office is bringing a more crypto-friendly stance from the US government, which could benefit projects like Pi Network. 💝 Can PI Break $2.2? Experts believe that if PI moves past the $2.2 resistance level with strong volume, it could rally toward $11. However, if it fails to break through, selling pressure could push it down to $1.5 Stoploss price area To maintain its bullish trend, PI needs to hold support above $1.7. The price is currently just 1.11% below the key $2.2 level, making the next few days crucial in determining its next move. 🩷 Never Miss a Beat in the Crypto World! Stay ahead with breaking news, expert analysis, and real-time updates on the latest trends in Bitcoin, altcoins, DeFi, NFTs, and more. Pi Network has defied market trends and harsh criticism before, and if history is any guide, this rally might just be getting started. 🩵 Why Is Pi Coin’s Price Rising? Pi Coin’s price is rising due to increasing exchange interest, migration deadlines, and strong community support, pushing demand higher. 💜 Nano History Will Pi Coin Reach $11? If Pi breaks the $2 resistance with strong volume, experts predict a rally toward $11. Failure could lead to a drop below $1.5 💛 Is Binance Listing Pi Coin? Binance has not officially listed Pi yet, but a recent community poll shows strong support, increasing the chances of a future listing.
Long
by SUBROOFFICIAL
2