GBPAUD: Bearish Breakout & Bearish Continuation 🇬🇧🇦🇺
I spotted 2 breakouts on GBPAUD on a daily time frame:
first, the price broke and closed below a rising trend line and violated a horizontal key level then.
The underlined blue area on a chart is a potential reversal zone.
I will expect a bearish move from that.
Goals: 1.7414 / 1.7266
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Priceactionstrategy
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) Finally Overbought? 💵
Dollar Index retests the recently broken major trend line on a daily.
Retesting that, the market formed a double top pattern on 1H.
I believe that now we may expect a correctional movement.
Goals:
112.0
111.2
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GBPUSD: Detailed Technical Outlook 🇬🇧🇺🇸
Here is my technical top-down outlook for GBPUSD.
The pair has recently broken a major falling trend line and a solid horizontal supply area.
The broken structures turned into supports now.
The closest resistance that I see is 1.168 - 1.174 area.
Analyzing the intraday perspective, I spotted a falling wedge pattern on 4H time frame.
I believe that the next bullish move may initiate after its bullish breakout.
Monitor the underlined green supports for buying opportunities and look for a confirmation on lower time frames.
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AUDNZD: Classic Trend Following 🇦🇺🇳🇿
Update for AUDNZD pair.
After a strong bearish impulse, the price was consolidating for some time within a horizontal trading range.
This morning, its support is finally broken.
I suppose that the price will drop soon to 1.1 level.
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EURJPY LongList of confluences:
1: Falling Wedge Breakout
2: Trendline Breakout
3: Key Level Breakout and Change in Market Structure
When looking at the larger time frames, we can see that EURJPY remains in a uptrend. We have also seen the market pull back which signalled a chance to
enter in the direction of the bigger picture trend. We have listed 3 reasons as to why we will be looking to Buy/Long the pair. We are expecting a potential
return of between 12.12 % to 24.24% at 1 - 2 % risk per trade.
USDCHF: 2 Scenarios Explained 🇺🇸🇨🇭
Update for USDCHF.
The price is currently approaching a key daily structure resistance.
Depending on the reaction of the price to that, I see 2 potential scenarios:
If the price breaks and closes above the underlined blue zone on a daily,
a bullish continuation will be expected to 1.02
Analyzing intraday time frames, I spotted a triple top formation on 1H time frame.
1.0036 - 1.004 is its neckline. If the price breaks and closes below that, I will short the pair.
Targets will be 0.9985 / 0.9935
Wait for a breakout, then follow the market.
What do you expect?
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EURCHF: Bullish Continuation 🇪🇺🇨🇭
I am not a big fan of a cup and handle pattern,
but here on EURCHF, we have its perfect example.
The price has already broken the neckline of the pattern.
I believe that the pair will reach 0.9855 resistance soon.
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CHFJPY Buy/Long1: Trendline Breakout
2: Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Breakout
When looking at the larger time frames, we can see that CHFJPY is bullish . We have also seen the market pull back which signalled a chance to enter in the direction of the bigger picture trend.
We have listed 2 reasons as to why we will be looking to buy the pair. The trendline breakout on the daily chart signals shows the pair might have gained interest of buyers. The symmetrical triangle
pattern breakout further adds to our narrative of a continuation to the upside.
GBPUSD: Time to Sell?! 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD finally reached a major falling trend line on a daily.
The price formed a double top on that on 4H and broke its neckline then.
I expect a bearish move to 1.116
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ENSUSDTHello friends
The price has reacted by reaching the pink range, and on the other hand, the negative divergence of the RSA in the four-hour time frame has also been issued to us.
Currently, if the current trend is below the range of $16.16, the possibility of the trend continuing to the range of $15.18 and $12.92 is high.
What do you think?
SOLUSDTHello Dear friends
Considering the formed harmonic pattern and maintaining the yellow area ($30), the probability of forming an upward trend similar to the drawn scenario is high.
But keep in mind that after the upward trend is above the $32 range, the confirmation of the upward trend is issued.
The best and least risky area at the moment is the price range of $30.83.
We would be happy to hear your comments
NZDUSD: Waiting For Breakout 🇳🇿🇺🇸
NZDUSD is trading in a bearish trend.
After a strong bearish move, the pair is consolidating for 2 weeks in a horizontal trading range.
I am patiently waiting for its 0.5565 - 0.56 support breakout to short.
We need a daily candle close below that to confirm the breakout.
Next target will be 0.548
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2000 Pips for Grabs as the new kicks offWhat may possibly play out as we go into the new week-2000 Pips .In my personal opinion S&P 500 has been largely bearish since 22nd Sept though a pull back on 4th Oct.which is normal in order to regain some momentum, However The Friday NFP news triggered the continued bearish momentum which pushed the price to currently 3631, so i may likely be placing my SALE.and my First TP @ around 3572 and 2nd TP somewhere before the .27 Fib ext.,Until then will i reanalyze for any possibility of change to Bullish or not.
GBPUSD: Important Breakout! What is Next? 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD looks quite overbought:
the price action was steadily contracting within a rising wedge pattern
and the price just recently broke and closed below its support.
It looks like the pair will drop lower.
Targets: 1.133 / 1.122
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EURCHF Sell
List of confluences:
1: Rising Wedge Breakout
2: Trendline Breakout
3:Key Level Breakout and Change in Market Structure
When looking at the larger time frames, we can see that EURCHF remains in a strong down trend. We have also seen the market pull back which signalled a chance to enter in the direction of the bigger picture trend.
We have listed 3 reasons as to why we will be looking to short/ sell the pair. We are expecting a potential return of between 6.35% to 12.7% at 1 - 2 % risk per trade.
EURGBP: Trend-Following Trading Plan 🇪🇺🇬🇧
Update for EURGBP.
We have spotted earlier a bullish breakout of a weekly resistance cluster.
Now the market retests that.
To buy with a confirmation, watch a bullish flag formation on 4h.
We need a 4H candle close above its resistance to confirm the breakout.
Then buy aggressively or on a retest.
Targets will be 0.8779 / 0.881.
If the price breaks a support of the flag, the setup will be invalid.
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Trading Basics | How to Identify The Market Trend 📈📉
Hey traders,
In this article, we will discuss a proven price action based way to identify the market trend.
❗️And let me note, before we start, that no matter what strategy do you use in your trading, you should always know where the market is going and what is the current trend. Your judgement should be based on strict and objective rules that proved its accuracy.
There are a lot of ways to identify the market trend. One of the simplest and efficient ones is price action based method. This method relies on impulse legs.
The market never goes just straight up or down, the price action always has a zigzag shape with a set of impulses and retracements.
The impulse leg is a strong directional movement, while the retracement is the correctional movement within the boundaries of the impulse.
📈The market is trading in a bullish trend if 3 conditions are met:
1️⃣the price forms an initial bullish impulse,
2️⃣retraces, setting a higher low,
3️⃣then starts growing again and sets a new high with the second bullish impulse.
Once these 3 conditions are met, we consider the market to be bullish, and we expect a bullish continuation in such a manner.
📉The market is trading in a bearish trend if 3 following conditions are met:
1️⃣the price forms an initial bearish impulse,
2️⃣retraces, setting a lower high,
3️⃣then drops lower and sets a new low with the second bearish impulse.
Once these 3 conditions are met, we consider the market to be bearish, and we expect a bearish trend continuation.
➖The third state of the market is called consolidation. The market is trading in a consolidation if the conditions for bullish or bearish trend are not met. The price chaotically forms bullish and bearish impulses, usually trading within the range.
Knowing the current trend, one always knows whether a current trading position is trend-following or counter trend, or it is a sideways consolidation trade.
Learn these simple rules and try to identify the market trend with them.
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NZDCAD: Still Bearish Outlook 🇳🇿🇨🇦
Even though NZDCAD went higher than it was expected yesterday
I still remain bearish biased on NZDCAD.
The price broke and closed below a support line of a bearish flag pattern,
confirming the strength of the selling pressure.
Targets:
0.788
0.786
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EURGBP: Classic Bullish Setup 🇪🇺🇬🇧
EURGBP is trading within a horizontal trading range.
Approaching its support, the price formed a double bottom formation and broke its neckline then.
I expect a bullish move to 0.8715 level now.
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GBPCHF: Pullback From Key Level 🇬🇧🇨🇭
GBPCHF reached 2 years' low last week.
Analyzing the reaction to that structure on lower time frames,
I spotted a confirmed bullish breakout of a falling parallel channel on 4H,
and a completed double bottom formation.
I believe that the pair will grow now.
Goals: 1.1215 / 1.125
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