Trading Basics | How to Identify The Market Trend 📈📉
Hey traders,
In this article, we will discuss a proven price action based way to identify the market trend.
❗️And let me note, before we start, that no matter what strategy do you use in your trading, you should always know where the market is going and what is the current trend. Your judgement should be based on strict and objective rules that proved its accuracy.
There are a lot of ways to identify the market trend. One of the simplest and efficient ones is price action based method. This method relies on impulse legs.
The market never goes just straight up or down, the price action always has a zigzag shape with a set of impulses and retracements.
The impulse leg is a strong directional movement, while the retracement is the correctional movement within the boundaries of the impulse.
📈The market is trading in a bullish trend if 3 conditions are met:
1️⃣the price forms an initial bullish impulse,
2️⃣retraces, setting a higher low,
3️⃣then starts growing again and sets a new high with the second bullish impulse.
Once these 3 conditions are met, we consider the market to be bullish, and we expect a bullish continuation in such a manner.
📉The market is trading in a bearish trend if 3 following conditions are met:
1️⃣the price forms an initial bearish impulse,
2️⃣retraces, setting a lower high,
3️⃣then drops lower and sets a new low with the second bearish impulse.
Once these 3 conditions are met, we consider the market to be bearish, and we expect a bearish trend continuation.
➖The third state of the market is called consolidation. The market is trading in a consolidation if the conditions for bullish or bearish trend are not met. The price chaotically forms bullish and bearish impulses, usually trading within the range.
Knowing the current trend, one always knows whether a current trading position is trend-following or counter trend, or it is a sideways consolidation trade.
Learn these simple rules and try to identify the market trend with them.
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NZDCAD: Still Bearish Outlook 🇳🇿🇨🇦
Even though NZDCAD went higher than it was expected yesterday
I still remain bearish biased on NZDCAD.
The price broke and closed below a support line of a bearish flag pattern,
confirming the strength of the selling pressure.
Targets:
0.788
0.786
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EURGBP: Classic Bullish Setup 🇪🇺🇬🇧
EURGBP is trading within a horizontal trading range.
Approaching its support, the price formed a double bottom formation and broke its neckline then.
I expect a bullish move to 0.8715 level now.
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GBPCHF: Pullback From Key Level 🇬🇧🇨🇭
GBPCHF reached 2 years' low last week.
Analyzing the reaction to that structure on lower time frames,
I spotted a confirmed bullish breakout of a falling parallel channel on 4H,
and a completed double bottom formation.
I believe that the pair will grow now.
Goals: 1.1215 / 1.125
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EURJPY: Pullback From Key Level 🇪🇺🇯🇵
Hey traders,
EURJPY reached year's highs.
I expect a pullback from the underlined blue structure to 143.06 / 142.63 levels.
I see a tiny little head and shoulders pattern on 1H time frame, confirming the strength of the underlined resistance.
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EURJPY: Very Bullish Setup 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY broke and closed above a key daily structure resistance yesterday.
Retesting the broken structure, the price formed a double bottom formation and broke its neckline then.
I believe that it may trigger a bullish move at least to 139.25
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GBPAUD: Classic Trend-Following 🇬🇧🇦🇺
GBPAUD formed a double top trading within a peculiar confluence zone on an hourly time frame.
That zone is based on an intersection between a falling trend line and a horizontal supply area.
I believe that the pair may drop at least to 1.6939 level.
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EURCHF: Bearish Trend Continuation 🇪🇺🇨🇭
Hey traders,
EURCHF is trading in a global bearish trend.
Lower highs are perfectly respecting a falling trend line on a daily.
Approaching that earlier this week, the price formed a double top formation.
The pair broke and closed below its neckline then.
I believe that the market will keep falling now.
Goal - 0.957
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GBPCHF: Great Shorting Opportunity Explained 🇬🇧🇨🇭
GBPCHF is coiling around a solid intraday structure resistance.
The price was trading for some time within a horizontal range.
Just a couple of minutes ago, the pair broke and closed below the support of the range.
We see its retest now.
I believe that the pair will drop.
Goals: 1.13513 / 1.132
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AUDCHF: Bullish Continuation Pattern 🇦🇺🇨🇭
AUDCHF has recently dropped to a key daily structure support.
The price formed a double bottom on that on a 4H time frame.
I expect a bullish move now to 0.6668 / 0.67
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GBPNZD: Bearish Outlook 🇬🇧🇳🇿
GBPNZD is coiling around a peculiar intraday zone of confluence:
we see a perfect match between a horizontal demand area and 618 retracement of the last bearish impulse.
I expect a bearish move to 1.899 / 1.881 levels from that.
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BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Bullish Continuation ₿
Bitcoin is taking off from a major rising trend line.
The price broke a resistance line of a falling parallel channel after its test
and heading towards 24700 / 25000 structures now.
Consider an occasional retest for entries.
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Learn How to Trade Double Top Formation | Full Guide 📚
Your ultimate guide for double top pattern trading.
Entry selection / stop placement / target selection explained.
Meaning of the pattern and identification rules.
Important tips & real market exampe.
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AUDUSD: Bullish Continuation 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD reached a solid horizontal support last week.
The market bounced nicely from that and managed to break and close above a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern on 4H.
I believe that the pair will keep growing at least to 0.7034.
For entries, consider an occasional retest!
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NZDJPY: Key Structure Ahead! Your Plan: 🇳🇿🇯🇵
NZDJPY is approaching an important zone of confluence on a daily.
We see a perfect match between a horizontal structure resistance and 618 retracement of the last bearish impulse.
To catch a bearish move from the underlined zone, watch a rising wedge pattern on 1H time frame.
Your trigger to short will be its bearish breakout (at least an hourly candle close below its support).
Then a bearish continuation will be expected to 84.2 level.
Alternatively, a bullish breakout of the underlined area will push the market to higher structure levels.
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GBPUSD: Classic Bearish Setup 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD is trading in a rising wedge pattern on 4H.
The price reached its resistance yesterday.
Analyzing the reaction of the price to that on 1H time frame, I spotted a triple top formation
and a confirmed neckline breakout.
I believe that the pair will drop now.
Goals: 1.20915 / 1.2045
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NZDCHF: Bearish Move From Key Level 🇳🇿🇨🇭
NZDCHF reached a key structure resistance last week.
The market was rejected nicely from that and broke a support line of a rising wedge pattern then.
I believe that the pair will keep falling.
Initial target - 0.596
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GBPUSD: What to Look at This Week 🇬🇧🇺🇸
Take a look, what I spotted on GBPUSD:
the pair formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern on 12H time frame.
1.2035 - 1.209 is its neckline. If the price breaks and closes above that,
I will expect a bullish move at least to 1.217 structure.
However, remember that a global trend in bearish.
Zooming in the same chart, we can spot a horizontal consolidation range.
1.189 - 1.194 is its support. If the price breaks and closes below that,
a bearish move will be expected to 1.18 support.
Wait for a breakout as your confirmation here.
What do you expect?
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AUDNZD: Breakout & Bullish Continuation🇦🇺🇳🇿
AUDNZD was consolidating within a horizontal trading range since 20th of June.
The price finally broke and closed above its upper boundary yesterday.
Now, I believe that the pair will keep growing.
Next resistance - 1.115
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GBPUSD: Important Update! 🇬🇧🇺🇸
So we have nicely predicted a bearish movement on GBPUSD yesterday.
The price formed a head and shoulder pattern then.
1.189 - 1.1935 is its neckline.
To catch a further decline, I would suggest waiting for its breakout (you need a 4H candle close below to confirm the violation).
Then, a bearish continuation will be expected at least to 1.178 level.
However, if the price breaks a head level and sets a new high, the setup will be invalid.
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GBPAUD: Important Decision Ahead 🇬🇧🇦🇺
Hey traders,
GBPAUD is approaching a solid rising trend line on a daily time frame.
Depending on the reaction of the price to that, I see 2 potential scenarios:
If the price breaks and closes below that,
I will expect a bearish continuation to 1.731 level.
If bulls violate a resistance line of a tiny rising wedge pattern and close above that,
I will expect a bullish movement at least to 1.765
I believe that probabilities are on a bullish side.
However, let's see what will happen!
What do you expect?
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Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️