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MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, AUDUSD Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list. 1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸 For the last 2 weeks, EURUSD shows a strong bearish momentum. The price managed to break and close below a key daily support cluster. A strong bearish reaction that followed after its retest confirms a strong selling pressure. I think that the pair has a potential to drop lower this week. 2️⃣ #GBPUSD daily time frame 🇬🇧🇺🇸 In comparison to EURUSD, GBPUSD looks very stable. The pair is consolidating within quite a wide range on a daily. For now, probabilities are high that sideways movement will continue. Consider trading the upper and lower boundary of the underlined channel. Alternatively, a breakout of one of the underlined structures will give you a strong bullish/breaish signal. 3️⃣ #USDJPY daily time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵 Looks like the market is returning to a mid-term bearish trend. The price is currently breaking a support line of a bearish flag pattern. A daily candle close below its support will provide a strong bearish confirmation. 4️⃣ #AUDUSD daily time frame 🇦🇺🇺🇸 I see a completed head & shoulders pattern on a daily. The price is currently breaking its neckline. A daily candle close below that will provide a strong bearish confirmation and suggest a highly probable bearish continuation. Do you agree with my market breakdown? ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
The Ultimate Guide to Price Action TradingIntroduction to Price Action Price action trading is a powerful method that relies solely on analyzing price movements without using indicators. Instead of following lagging signals, traders use historical price movements to predict future market behavior. This approach helps in making informed decisions based on real market sentiment. Why Use Price Action? Many traders prefer price action because it simplifies trading by focusing only on the movement of price rather than complex technical indicators. Here are some key advantages: Eliminates reliance on lagging indicators: Indicators often generate signals after the price has already moved significantly. Price action provides real-time insights. Provides a clearer picture of market sentiment: By analyzing candlestick formations and key levels, traders can assess where the market is likely to move next. Works across all timeframes and markets: Whether you trade stocks, forex, or crypto, price action techniques remain relevant. Market Structure & Trend Analysis Understanding market structure is key to recognising trends and making profitable trades. Price moves in patterns, forming trends, consolidations, and reversals. Identifying Trends A trend is a general direction in which the price is moving. Identifying trends early can give traders a significant edge. Uptrend: Characterized by higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). This indicates strong buying pressure. Downtrend: Identified by lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). This signals dominant selling pressure. Ranging Market: Occurs when price moves sideways, forming equal highs and lows, showing indecision. Using Market Structure to Trade Follow the dominant trend for higher probability trades rather than trading against the market direction. Look for breakouts from consolidation zones, which often lead to explosive moves in the market. Identify trend reversals by observing changes in market structure, such as a break of previous highs or lows. Key Support & Resistance Levels Support and resistance levels help traders identify where price might react, leading to potential trade opportunities. Types of Support & Resistance Horizontal Levels: These are static price levels where the price has reversed multiple times, acting as strong barriers. Trendlines: These dynamic levels move with price and act as diagonal support or resistance. Psychological Levels: Round numbers like 100, 200, or 1.0000 in forex often act as key psychological barriers for traders. How to Use Support & Resistance Buying near support and selling near resistance is a classic strategy used by traders. Breakout trading: If the price breaks a key level with strong momentum, it often continues in that direction. Retest confirmation: After a breakout, the price may return to test the level before continuing its move. This offers a high-probability entry. Candlestick Patterns & Their Meaning Candlestick patterns provide insights into market sentiment and potential reversals or continuations. Single Candlestick Patterns Pin Bar (Rejection Candlestick): A pin bar has a long wick and a small body, showing strong rejection at a price level. It signals a potential reversal. Doji: A candlestick with a small body and wicks on both sides, indicating indecision in the market. Hammer & Shooting Star: The hammer forms at the bottom of a downtrend, signaling reversal, while the shooting star appears at the top, suggesting a potential sell-off. Multi-Candlestick Patterns Engulfing Pattern: A bullish engulfing pattern occurs when a large green candle completely engulfs the previous red candle, signaling a strong upward move. The opposite is true for bearish engulfing patterns. Morning Star & Evening Star: These three-candle patterns indicate a shift in momentum, either bullish or bearish. Head & Shoulders: A reversal pattern that suggests a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend or vice versa. Price Action Strategies Breakout Trading Breakout trading involves identifying key price levels where a breakout is likely to occur. This can be from a range, a pattern like a triangle, or a resistance level. Identify consolidation zones where price has been trading in a tight range. Enter a trade when the price breaks above resistance or below support with strong volume. Use stop-losses to avoid false breakouts, placing them just outside the consolidation zone. Reversal Trading Reversal trading focuses on identifying trend exhaustion and potential reversals. Look for exhaustion at key levels, where price struggles to move further. Confirm reversals with candlestick patterns such as pin bars, engulfing patterns, or head & shoulders formations. Use risk-reward ratios of at least 1:2 to maximize profits on successful reversals. Trend Continuation Trading Enter on pullbacks within an established trend, rather than chasing breakouts. Look for price bouncing off moving averages or trendlines as confirmation. Ride trends until momentum weakens, using trailing stop-losses to lock in profits. Trading Without Indicators Analysing raw price action helps traders understand market movement without distractions. Key Steps for Chart Analysis Identify the overall market trend by checking higher highs or lower lows. Mark key support and resistance levels to find potential trade areas. Observe candlestick formations that provide confirmation for entries. Wait for confirmation before entering a trade to avoid false signals. Risk Management & Psychology in Price Action Trading A strong mindset and risk management strategy are crucial for long-term success. Risk Management Tips Use stop-losses to limit risk and prevent large drawdowns. Risk no more than 1-2% of capital per trade, ensuring longevity. Always aim for a favorable risk-reward ratio, such as 1:2 or 1:3. Psychological Tips Stay disciplined and avoid emotional trading, as emotions can lead to impulsive decisions. Accept losses as part of the process and learn from them. Stick to a well-defined trading plan, reducing uncertainty in decision-making. Final Thoughts & Next Steps Mastering price action trading takes time, patience, and consistent practice. Here’s how you can improve: Continuously analyze charts and refine your strategy by backtesting historical data. Keep a trading journal to track progress and identify areas for improvement. Stay updated with market conditions, as price action can behave differently in different market environments. By applying these techniques, you can develop a strong foundation in price action trading and make more informed trading decisions. Stay disciplined, keep learning, and happy trading! __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Education
by TehThomas
48
NZDJPY: Bearish Movement Confirmed 🇳🇿🇯🇵 All Yen pairs look bearish after the early morning BoJ interest rate decision and press conference. NZDJPY formed an inverted cup & handle pattern on a 4H after a test of a key daily resistance. High momentum bearish candle indicates a strong bearish sentiment. I think that the price may drop at least to 86.2 level. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
AUDCHF: Strong Bullish Chart Pattern 🇦🇺🇨🇭 AUDCHF formed an inverted head & shoulders pattern on a 4h time frame after a test of a key intraday/daily horizontal support. After a deep retest of a broken neckline, we finally see a positive bullish reaction. I think that the market will rise and reach 0.56 level soon. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1