Learn How to Trade Cup and Handle (rare but profitable pattern)☕
If you are studying a price action, you should definitely know Cup and Handle formation.
Being applied properly, it can generate big profits.
In this educational article, I will teach you how to identify this pattern. We will discuss its psychology and I will share with you 2 trading strategies.
📏And let's start with the structure of the pattern.
The pattern has 3 important elements:
Cup - long-term correctional movement that tends to move steadily from a bearish trend to a bullish trend.
Handle - short-term correctional movement with signs of bullish strength.
Neckline - upper horizontal boundary of the pattern - a strong resistance that the price constantly respects.
⚠️Being formed, it warns you about a highly probable coming bullish movement.
The trigger that confirms the initiation of a bullish wave is a breakout of the neckline of the pattern and a candle close above.
Here is the example of a completed C&H with a confirmed neckline breakout, indicating a highly probably coming bullish movement.
Depending on the preceding price action, Cup & Handle Pattern can either be a trend-following or reversal pattern.
📉If the pattern is formed after a bearish impulse. It is considered to be a reversal pattern.
Here is the example of a reversal C&H that I spotted on EURUSD.
📈If the pattern is formed at the top of a bullish impulse, it is considered to be a trend following pattern.
Here is the example of a trend following C&H that I spotted on GBPJPY Index.
The thing is that while the price forms the C&H, buying volumes are accumulating. Even though, buyers are hesitant and reluctant initially, their confidence grows, and the accumulation leads to explosive neckline breakout.
There are 2 strategies to trade this pattern.
✔️Strategy 1.
That approach is quite risky, but the reward can be quite substantial.
You should monitor the price action when the price is forming a handle. Occasionally, the price starts trading in a falling channel: parallel or contracting one.
Your trigger will be a bullish breakout of its resistance and a candle close above.
Once the violation is confirmed, you can buy aggressively or set a buy limit order on a retest.
Stop loss will lie below the lows of the channel.
Target will be the closest key resistance.
Here is the example of the handle being a falling channel.
📍Strategy 2.
Wait for a breakout of a neckline of the pattern.
Once a candle closes above that, it will confirm the violation.
Buy the market aggressively or set a buy limit on a retest of a broken neckline then.
Stop loss will lie below the lows of the handle.
Target will be the closest key resistance.
Here is the example of the trade based on a confirmed breakout of a neckline of C&P on NASDAQ Index.
Applied properly, the strategies may reach up to 70% win rate.
As always, the best pattern will be the one that forms on a key level.
Try it, test it, and good luck in your trading journey.
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Priceactiontrading
AUDCAD: Very Bullish Setup 🇦🇺🇨🇦
On a today's live stream, we discussed AUDCAD.
The price formed a double bottom on a key daily support.
Trading in a long term bullish trend, the market broke and closed above the neckline.
We already took a long trade with my students.
Growth is expected now.
Goals: 0.9054 / 0.9077
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GBPUSD: Could the FOMC set up a resistance break?Today's focus: GBPUSD
Pattern – HH HL continuation
Possible targets – 1.2683, 1.2980
Support – 1.2305, 1.2493
Resistance – 1.2640, 1.2660
Today’s focus is on the GBPUSD after buyers made another strong move higher on Wednesday. That move continues the series of HLs and HHs this is a good thing to see in the current short-term uptrend. As discussed in today’s video, our attention is now on key resistance that has stood since May 22.
Could a dovish tone from the Fed set the USD up for more downside? We did see a fightback after the CPI data and the Core remained high at 0.4%. If the Fed hold rates and hint more towards the dovish side in the statement, could that set the GBPUSD up for a new test or break of resistance, setting off a new trend continuation?
For now, the GBPUSD, despite its short-term bullish move, remains consolidation bound.
GBPCHF: Bullish Move From Key Level 🇬🇧🇨🇭
GBPCHF is trading within a wide horizontal daily zone of demand.
Take a look how the price reacted that that area on 1H time frame:
first, the price broke and closed above a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern,
a double bottom pattern was formed and its neckline was broken then.
Chances are high, that we will see a pullback from the underlined structure.
Goals will be 1.1295 / 1.132
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AUDCAD: Short From Key Level 🇦🇺🇨🇦
AUDCAD was steadily growing within a rising channel after it set a new lower low around 0.88 level.
The price reached a key horizontal resistance on Friday.
After the test of the underlined blue zone, the market dropped and violated a support line of the channel.
I expect a bearish continuation now.
Goals: 0.8837 / 0.88
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EURGBP: Could we see a new breakout? Today's focus: EURGBP
Pattern – Range/Descending Triangle
Possible targets – .8600
Support – .8670
Resistance – .8705
Today’s update, will we see the EURGBP make a new push lower, confirming its descending triangle pattern? Price broke the main trend setting up its first leg lower. From that point, we have seen a consolidation set-up with a bearish pattern in the mix. Descending triangle patterns are seen as bearish patterns if they are set up in a new decline. So far, we have the new decline, but we need to see if sellers can confirm the pattern with a breakout through .8670 support.
If today’s rally fails to fade and if we see a new rally through range resistance, this will be a worry and could be telling that the pattern could fail.
Let’s see over today and tomorrow if sellers can regain control and maybe set up a confirmation.
Thanks for stopping by. Good trading, and have a great day.
EURCAD: My Plan to Sell 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD is trading on a key horizontal resistance.
To short the pair with a confirmation, watch a descending triangle formation on 1H time frame.
If the price breaks its neckline, that will give us a trigger to short.
To confirm the violation, we will need an hourly candle close below 1.4607.
A bearish continuation will be expected to 1.4579 / 1.4555
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USDCHF: Your Detailed Trading Plan 🇺🇸🇨🇭
USDCHF pair is trading in a minor bullish trend.
The price sets higher lows, perfectly respecting a rising trend line on 4H.
The market is approaching the trend line at the moment,
To confirm one more bullish move from that, watch an inverted h&s pattern on 1H time frame.
Our trigger will be a bullish breakout of 0.8998 level - the neckline of the pattern.
The breakout will be confirmed with an hourly candle close above.
A bullish continuation will be expected to 0.9045 then
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of a trend line will trigger a bearish continuation.
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FINNIFTY Expiry Day Trade Setup (23-May-2023)This will be my personal trade Setup, This is not an advice of any kind to trade for anyone.
Price is moving in Triangle Pattern will Break of this can give good trade setup, will follow these points:
1.) If opens flat between this triangle then will wait for price to break this pattern as buying PE near upper triangle trend line resistance for target of lower triangle trendline will be slow and there will be theta decay which will just eat premium.
2.) If opens gap up will look for nearby resistance levels. CPR Levels to be in a trade.
3.) Same for Gap down opening only will if it sustain support or if it rejects it.
4.) As it is expiry day so there will be volatility and if setup isn't good due to theta decay it will only eat premiums. Also if i place any trade in FINFIFTY i will be sure to book profits as soon as possible. and will try to look for 5 minute chart to enter a position and 1 minute chart to close my position.
Hit like to keep me motivated for keeping my trading journal. also one can comment how i can make it better or any improvements i can make in my trading setups.
USDJPY returns to its proving groundToday's focus USDJPY
Pattern – Resistance test.
Possible targets – 138.50 (Upside) 136.30 (Downside)
Support –
Resistance – 137.75
Here we are again back at the 137.75 area that has stopped USDJPY rallies since it developed around December 2022. This is the fifth rally from buyers that has tested this area. Will we finally see a break of this level this time around, or will we see sellers continue to hold firm?
In our opinion, a lot will come down to yen strength as it was driving the run. The JPN225 has also been staring, hitting levels close to its 2021 high.
If we see a small retreat, that's not a bad thing, but we want to see a quick HL and new test of resistance to show buyers hold momentum. A move back below 136.30 or a new LH followed by a new move lower below resistance will be a worry around buyer strength.
What do you think? Will we see a break of this level today or during the rest of the week?
Thanks for stopping by. Good trading, and have a great day.
AUDCAD: What a Pattern! 🇦🇺🇨🇦
Update for my yesterday's post for AUDCAD.
The pair retested the broken neckline of a triangle on a daily.
And you know what. Retesting that, it formed the same tiny little triangle on 1H time frame and broke its neckline as well.
It gives a strong intraday confirmation.
The pair will most likely keep falling to 0.8977
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US100 Index (NASDAQ): Classic Trend-Following Bullish Setup
US100 Index broke and close above a key daily resistance last week.
Retesting the broken structure, the market formed a double bottom formation
and violated its neckline.
I will expect a bullish movement now at least to 13420
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AUDCHF: Time to Fall 🇦🇺🇨🇭
AUDCHF is trading in a bearish trend.
After the price set a new lower low, it started a correctional movement.
The pair reached a major falling trend line this week.
The market was stuck on that for a couple of days and formed a horizontal range on 4H.
Its support was broken yesterday.
It will most likely trigger a bearish trend continuation.
Goals will be 0.5935 / 0.588
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S&P500 Index (SPY) Pullback From Key Level
S&P500 Index reached a key horizontal support.
The price formed a double bottom, approaching that,
and successfully broke the neckline.
I expect a pullback at least to 4100 with a potential continuation to 4130.
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EURNZD: Bullish Move From Key Level 🇪🇺🇳🇿
EURNZD reached a key level.
The price was steadily falling within a channel.
After the test of structure, the resistance of the channel was broken,
a double bottom formation was formed then.
I expect a pullback.
Goals: 1.783 / 1.793
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AUDJPY Bullish Falling Wedge BreakoutWhen looking at the times frames higher than the daily timer we see the pair remains bullish despite this pullback, hence we are only looking for
buying opportunities at the moment.
We have listed the confluence we are in line with our current buying setup as follows:
Key level breakout.
Change in market structure from bullish to bearish.
Trendline breakout.
Falling wedge breakout.
EURGBP: Waiting For Breakout 🇪🇺🇬🇧
I spotted an ascending triangle formation on EURGBP on a daily time frame.
The market is currently stuck between its horizontal neckline and a rising trend line.
Bullish breakout of a trend line (daily candle close) will be a strong bullish signal.
A bullish continuation will be expected to 0.892 level then.
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