Gold Analysis 1H TFGold has found support in this range where the previous breakout happened. This could be a strong demand zone, but won't be confirmed until we break and close above resistance at 1917
1.Price trended bearish today to retrace yesterday nights' bullish run
2. Price has retested this major level of support and failed to close below
3. Price has rejected the 200EMA which indicates a possibility for a continuation for bulls
4. There could be a minor pullback as price approaches this resistance.
5. If there is a break and close above 1915.50 it can continue going bullish due to the fundamental analysis
Priceactiontrading
USDCAD: Classic Range Trading 🇺🇸🇨🇦
Hey traders,
As we earlier discussed, USDCAD is stuck within a horizontal trading range.
Yesterday the price reached its upper boundary.
A bearish engulfing candle that was formed then is a perfect indicator of the strength of sellers.
For that reason, the pair will most likely drop to 1.269 / 1.2665 levels.
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Price Action Definition #2Price Action Definition #2
Hello My Dear Traders... I Am A New Trader... Not Too Long In The Game... But Just Starting Out On Social Media To Help Grow Myself As A Price Action Trader
I Am New To Trading View And I Am Hoping That I Can Fit Right In And Hopefully Make Some Great Educational & Analytical Content With Accurate And Understandable Information... Thank You
Price Action Trading Is My Way Of Trading... And I Just Wanted To Share Some Information On This Great Trading Style Of Trading The Markets Using Past Historical Price Movement And Data
As A Price Action Trader It Is Crucial That You Learn To Read & Understand What The Candlesticks On The Chart In Front Of You Are Saying.
You Need To Remember That The Market Leaves Clues And These Clues Are Somewhere Hidden In The Chaos / Confusion And Noise Of The Market...
Price Action Is A Form Of Technical Analysis... And It's Main Focus Is On The Relationship Of A Market's Current / Recent And Most Importantly Past Price Action / Price Movements
When It Comes To Price Action... The Candlesticks And Bars That Are Printed On The Charts Help To Play A Very Important Role In The Market And Also In Your Interpretation Of What Is On The Charts.
You Need To Also Remember That Second-Hand Indicators And Price-Derived Indicators Are Especially Not Needed When Trading With Price Action And Your Specific Price Action Trading Strategy.
Think Of Those Printed Candlesticks On The Charts As First-Handed Market Data
Price Action Trading Analysis Gives The Trader The Opportunity To Make Sense Of What The Market's Price Movement Is Trying To Convey Through Patterns Or Price Action Signals And Price Action Setups...
This Is Why When You Are Trading With Price Action... You Must Have A Proper Price Action Trading Strategy That Has Been Previously Tested And Approved...
There Are Many Many Price Action Strategies Out There... You Just Need To Pick One - Learn It - Study It - And Understand Its Function And Process, And Most Of All Master It.
You Must Master Your Strategy... It Is Very Important That You So.
As A Price Action Trader... You Should Generally Be Concerned With The Last 3-6 Months Of The Market's Past Historical Price Action Data.
Last But Not Least... You Need To Remember That All Of The Price Action And Market Data That You See On A Chart Is A Result Of The Minds / Emotions And Attitudes Of Traders / Investors And Anyone Participating In The Everyday Cycle Of The Market And The Economy...
Hope You Enjoyed This Lesson... Please Stay Tuned For The Last And Final Part Of This Trading Lesson
Price Action Definition #1Price Action Definition #1
Hello My Dear Traders... I Am A New Trader... Not Too Long In The Game... But Just Starting Out On Social Media To Help Grow Myself As A Price Action Trader
I Am New To Trading View And I Am Hoping That I Can Fit Right In And Hopefully Make Some Great Educational & Analytical Content With Accurate And Understandable Information... Thank You
Price Action Trading Is My Way Of Trading... And I Just Wanted To Share Some Information On This Great Trading Style Of Trading The Markets Using Past Historical Price Movement And Data
Price Action Trading Is A Style Of Trading That Utilizes Price Movements Across A Specific Time Period
Price Action Traders Base Their Trading Decisions Off Of Price / Market Movements Rather Than On Market Indicators
Price Action Trading Ignores Other Means Of Analysis Such News / Economic Events And Fundamental Analysis That Tend To Influence The Movements Of The Markets
Price Action Traders Use Raw Price / Market Historical Data To Help Them Predict Future Price Movements And Market Direction. This In And Of Itself Is A Form Of Technical Analysis
As A Price Action Trader... your main concern is to know how to Read And Understand the movements of the Market. A Price Action Trader ignores all the fundamental factors that tend to influence the movements of the market.
Price Action Traders solely rely on Price Action Data And Past Historical Market Data to help them predict future Market Movements And Direction.
Price Action is the Movement Of Price And How Price Changes... which is the "Action" of price. Price Action is much easily observed in markets with High Liquidity And Volatility.
But any market where anything is Bought Or Sold will most certainly produce some kind of Price Action
Price Action Is A Great Way Of Trading...
It Has Been Around For Many Many Years And Has Been Used By Many Many Traders All Over The World For Many Decades...
As The Saying Goes... PRICE ACTION Is King
isnt it to beautifull... pure price actionas u can see pure price action levels are marked. but we have to be cautious as Russia is accelerating the issue instead of solving it.
so obviously our bias will remain short but will keep an eye on the ongoing issue to get a real picture at the time of placing a trade.
so will not be interested in taking long positions as of now.
USDJPY: The Pair May Drop! Here is Why 🇺🇸🇯🇵
Even though USDJPY is trading in a bullish trend, the pair did not manage to break a previous high 116.35 and
set an equal high instead.
Then the market broke and closed below a support line of a rising channel.
It looks like the pair may drop at least to 114.25 level with a potential continuation to 113.6.
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Price Action Lesson: The Basics of How to Read Price Part 3Hey Guys!
As you guys know I aborted 2 short entries on the NZD/USD pair yesterday to minimize my losses.
In this lesson, I'll explain how I knew to abort the short entries early by reading 1 minute price action and thus minimize the loss.
Enjoy!
Have a great day!
Ken
Gold: What does it mean for the Russia-Ukraine conflictFundamental View:
After a long six months or more, gold finally broke through the trendline resistance and climbed to the previous high.
Last week, a large number of days of significant trendline resistance erupted at the same time. During the previous two years, the Coronavirus has been a source of concern, and gold prices were supported.
As we have seen in recent months, the US economic data have been perfect, and the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates beginning in April. So, why isn't the price of gold dropping as a result?
This is something that those who follow fundamental analysis have come to grasp by now. Increasing demand for gold as a safe haven is mainly due to the Russia-Ukraine situation, which brought with it the inflation problem is still present, and to the coronavirus problem, which has been supporting the gold price for the past two years.
In general, the rise in the price of gold was expected and expected. The question now is whether or not Russia will attack Ukraine. And what, exactly, will be the outcome? Only China and some countries are supporting Russia in Ukraine issues but the entire European and American community is not.
President Biden and Russian President Vladimir Putin chatted on the phone for more than an hour on Saturday. As predicted, we have not yet received any additional information. America is also posing a threat to Russia.
If Russia attacks Ukraine, the United States will first take will impose tough economic sanctions on the country. As a result, it may have been forced to dig into its vast gold reserves to keep its currency stable. As a result, I'm being extra cautious in that regard. And it will help gold prices to go higher.
On the other hand, oil and gas prices are expected to surge. This would significantly shock inflation expectations in the United States and Europe, resulting in rates rising aggressively and bonds collapsing. As a result, gold is considered a safe refuge.
On a technical level, because gold has broken free of trendline resistance and surged to its previous high, it is now widely accepted that the metal is headed for a long-term buy.
However, even if we study the market technically, we must first determine why gold breached the trend line in the first place; if this problem is resolved, the market will remain in its current form, but it will continue. We must not forget this.
However, as long as the problem is still present, as long as the issue continues to exist, we can put it in bye mode at each breakout session, if necessary. However, what should consider the news.
Technical View:
The present $1853/1845 is identified as trendline support as gold price breaks and stabilizes above the previous trendline resistance.
So, as long as the gold price is above the trendline resistance, gold will be considered an uptrend.
The first target to the upside is the $1870/1875price zone (previous swing high zone). Breaking above $1875 will open the door for the $1900/1915 rice zone.
On the other hand, if the gold price breaks below the trendline support again and below $1845, it may test its trendline support level of $1815/1810 price zone again.
Price Action Lesson: The Basics of How to Read Price Part 2Hey Guys!
As you guys know the current NZD/USD daily bias is short. Or in other words, price is likely to reach 0.6591 before reaching 0.6731.
So on my last post, I mentioned I took a short entry at 0.6722 with a stop loss at 0.6591 with its main target at 0.6591 for the time being.
In this Price action lesson, I just wanted to briefly explain how I read price in order to take the short entry yesterday. Moreover, why I was able to
take the short position "comfortably" even though price pulled back to 3 pips to the stop loss level.
That's it!
Have a great day guys!
Ken
Disclaimer: This is not Personal Financial Advice.
Price Action Lesson: The Basics of How to Read PriceHey Guys!
Just wanted to put up a quick Price Action Lesson on How to Read Price.
I demonstrate this foundational element of reading price with a current eurjpy short trade I'm currently in.
The Key point of the lesson is simply: Directional movement of price is irrelevant when it comes to reading price. What's important is "How Price Gets from Point A to Point B".
So even if price moves up, if there is no signs of strength in the same direction, that move up will be unsustainable.
Moreover, this foundational way of looking at price movement is what allows a trader to always be one step ahead of the market and thus not chase the market.
Ok! I hope this helps guys!
Have a great day!
Ken
Disclaimer: This is not Personal Financial Advice.
Gold short term buy and long term sell. Do you know why?Fundamental View: Yesterday, the US labor market published its inflation data. Inflation reached its highest level in the United States in forty years.
It caused panic and high volatility during yesterday's American session when the CPI report was released. The yield on US Treasury bonds thus pressured the currency, stock, commodity, and metal markets to rise when the report was released.
CPI rose by 0.6% in January after rising by about 0.4% in December, and the annual index over the past 12 months rose to 7.5% from 7% in December, the highest pace since 1981, better than expectations. It indicated an increase to 7.3%, while the annual core index rose to 6% from 5.5% (expectations 5.6%).
US futures expectations, according to the CME FedWatch tool, increased by 50 basis points in the March meeting to more than 80% this morning, Friday, after it was below 20% before the inflation figures, which explains the vital movements of the US dollar and stocks during the session.
The President of the US Federal Reserve in St. Louis, James Bullard, supports raising the US Federal Reserve by half a point in the March meeting and reaching 1% by July supported the expectations of the markets and futures contracts well.
The US dollar, in its first reaction, rose more than 0.50% after the inflation figures, to test 96 levels, before retreating strongly in a wave of profit-taking that did not last long before returning and regaining the 96 levels in the Asian session, and is now trading at 95.95 levels.
Gold also traded in a fluctuating range between the initial reaction and the profit-taking wave before settling on a decline and is now trading at levels of $1828, after testing its highest level in two weeks at $1841.50.
Gold's current sentiment: Gold's current sentiment is positive. We have seen even positive NFP, and overall the US labor market report couldn't get down the gold price. BOE's rate hike also didn't hurt gold. Yesterday, CPI printed positive, which also didn't down the gold price against the USD.
We know from our experience any central bank's favorable rates hurt gold and bitcoin prices. But this economic theory didn't happen with gold and bitcoin prices this time.
These are happening because of covid and higher inflation that causes economic growth slowdown and political crises worldwide. Yemeni Houthi is threatening UAE, and on the other hand, Russia has a chance to attack Ukraine.
Gold is a haven asset and works best against inflation. As a result, investors don't like to take risks to bet on other assets.
Technical View: Yesterday, gold spiked down after the CPI report was released and tested nearly $1821 price zone. But the selling pressure was short-lived, and the gold price spiked up again nearly $1841.50 within a few minutes.
Technically its positive bias has not finished yet, and there is some more room to go upside of gold price.
Immediately resistance is at the $1830 price zone from the present rate. Breaking above $1830, the next target is yesterday's high $1841.50, and the final target to the upside is the $1847 price zone.
On the other hand, there is a trendline resistance at$1847/1850 price zone. As long as the market is below $1850, there still have chances to drop. If the gold price only breaks above the $1855 price zone, we can buy long-term. At the same time, as long as gold won't drop below $1815, there will still have chances to go upside. If the gold price breaks below $1815, the next target to the downside is $1800, and the final target to the downside is the $1790/1785 price zone.
Gold Forecast: It's all about the inflation report today. Gold's Fundamental View: Gold has been rising in a row for seven days. Currently, the gold price is hovering nearly $1830/1835 price zone ahead of the inflation report.
Today's inflation is significant, and investors are cautious ahead of the critical data today. Based on today's inflation report, FED will clarify how many times and how much they will hike their rates.
If inflation rises more than expected and forecasted, FED will be more aggressive and will hike rates very often. It will be bad for the gold price, and gold can drop nearly the $1800 price zone.
On the other hand, if CPI (inflation) reports print negative than forecast today, FED won't hike their rates 50BP. Moreover, they can hike the 25BS rate. 25BP rate already priced in. So, it will benefit the gold p [rice and gold may initially test 1845/1850 price zone.
Gold's current sentiment: Gold's current sentiment is positive. We have seen even positive NFP, and overall the U.S labor market report couldn't get down the gold price. BOE's rate hike also didn't hurt gold.
We know from our experience any major bank's favorable rates hurt gold and bitcoin prices. But this economic theory didn't happen with gold and bitcoin prices this time.
These are happening because of covid and higher inflation that causes economic growth slowdown and political crises worldwide. Yemeni Houthi is threatening UAE, and on the other hand, Russia has a chance to attack Ukraine.
Gold is a haven asset and works best against inflation. As a result, investors don't like to take risks to bet on other assets.
XAUUSD Technical View: Technically, gold has been stuck in a triangle for a long time. Gold dropped from trendline resistance to its trendline support four times. Gold's triangle is getting narrow. So very soon, we will see a clear breakout.
From the present price zone, immediate resistance is $1837, and trendline resistance is $1847/1850. So, technically gold has some more room to go up.
But as long as gold cannot break above its trendline resistance, it can't carry its uptrend for the long term. And today's inflation is one of the most significant catalysts to break out trendline resistance if CPI reports drop hard.
1855/1860 is a no trading zone. Anything can happen between 1855/1860. If gold price can break and stabilize above $1860 price, it will confirm break out trendline resistance and triangle.
So, Breaking and stabilizing above $1860, we will go for a long-term buy. The first target to the upside is $1975. We may see a minor correction from the $1975 to nearly $1845/1850 price zone. At $1845/50 we may buy again till $1900/1915 price zone.
On the other hand, if inflation rise today, gold may initially drop to the $1820 price zone. Breaking below $1820 will open the door for more drops till the $1802/1795 price zone.
UPDATE: XAU/USD Shorts still validIn my previous analysis I stated where I expected the correction to hit $1825.00 and we did just that and then some. I also shared that we should not rush to place any shorts as we need the market to shift from an intraday bullish to bearish. This decision is the key separator between winners and losers.
Currently we are seeing a potential ending diagonal playing out, which is also a confirmation of the short analysis.
As always your feedback and thoughts are welcome.
Let's discuss in the comments
Signed;
Samore
USD/JPY: Break out, 117.00 in sight!Today's price action called for a small adjustment to the price action of the market based on the wave principles.
With the breakout above resistance this confirms the original analysis, Let's continue to see how the market develops.
Remember, as a trader the goal is to be proactive to the market and not reactive, understanding of this simple concept will make a huge difference in your success.
Signed,
Samore
BankNifty Key Levels and Zones For Intraday [10 Feb 22]Banknifty Key Levels and Zones for Intraday
38500 levels in Banknifty future is a key support zone for today and might see high volatility near this zone.
Wait for break and retest the zone to enter into a trade.
RBI policy and expiry day may take SL easily. So, take care of your position sizing.
XAUUSD, 4hr tf, potential HnS pattern
Looks like price retesting broken ascending trend line. This is also where 61.8 fibonacci located for the recent drop of XAUUSD.
We might see price continue going down to retest 1755 area again.
There is also a possibility price making right shoulder of a HnS pattern.
Sell XAUUSD 1827
Stop loss 1855
Take profit 1755 (2.5R)
Use only 1-2% risk
Good luck
Disclaimer on