EURCHF: Breakout & Confirmation 🇪🇺🇨🇭
EURCHF leaves a clear bullish clue after a recent breakout of a key intraday/daily resistance.
Retesting the broken structure, the price formed a range on a 4H time frame.
Its resistance has been broken.
Growth will continue at least to 0.9499
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Priceactiontrading
NZDCHF: Buying After Breakout 🇳🇿🇨🇭
NZDCHF may continue growing after a confirmed violation
of an intraday/daily horizontal resistance.
As a confirmation, the price also broke a resistance line of a bullish
flag pattern on an hourly time frame after a test of a broken structure.
Goals: 0.530 / 0.531
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AUDNZD: Intraday Bullish Confirmation?!🇦🇺🇳🇿
Update for our yesterday's setup on AUDNZD.
The pair leaves clear bullish clues, forming an
inverted head and shoulders pattern on an hourly time frame
and breaking its neckline.
The market has a nice potential to continue growing.
Next resistance - 1.0944
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Dow Jones Index (US30): What to Expect from FOMC?
Dow Jones Index is very weak ahead of FOMC today.
The market is stuck within a horizontal range on a 4h time frame.
Depending on the reaction of the price to its boundaries,
I see 2 potential scenarios.
Bullish Scenario
If the price breaks and closes above 41820 - the resistance of the range,
we can expect a bullish continuation at least to 42000 level.
Bearish Scenario
A bearish breakout and a candle close below 41440
will push the price lower at least to 41200 level.
Wait for FOMC and then follow the market after a breakout.
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NZDCHF: 2 Bearish Patterns 🇳🇿🇨🇭
NZDCHF formed 2 bearish price action patterns on a daily.
I see a bearish breakout of a support line of a rising wedge pattern
and a violation of a neckline of a head and shoulders pattern.
The pair will most likely drop lower soon.
Next support - 0.519
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AUDJPY: Classic Breakout Trading 🇦🇺🇯🇵
AUDJPY broke and closed below a key daily/intraday structure support.
Retesting the broken structure, the price formed a tiny range
on a 4H time frame.
Its support was broken today.
I shorted the pair on its retest, expecting a further decline.
Next support - 95.2
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GBPUSD: Bullish Trend-Following Movement Ahead! 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD leave multiple bullish clues on a 4H time frame.
First, the price broke and closed above a resistance line of
a bullish flag pattern.
Then, a confirmed Change of Character CHoCH occurred.
The price has a good potential to continue growing.
Next resistances - 1.3182 / 1.3212
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EURGBP: Your Trading Plan Explained 🇪🇺🇬🇧
EURGBP is currently stuck on a key daily horizontal support.
The price is consolidating within a horizontal range on a 4H time frame.
With a release of US PMI, we see a positive bullish reaction and a test
of the resistance of the range.
Its bullish breakout and a 4H candle close above will provide a strong bullish signal.
A confirmed violation will open a potential for a further bullish continuation.
Next goal will be - 0.845
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of the support of the range may trigger a bearish movement lower.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI) Intraday Bearish Confirmation
Update for our yesterday's setup on WTI Crude Oil.
The price successfully retested a broken structure.
Our intraday bearish confirmation is a breakout of a support line
of a bearish flag pattern on an hourly time frame.
The fall will continue now at least to 72.1
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EURAUD: Very Bullish Outlook Explained 🇪🇺 🇦🇺
EURAUD may pullback from a key daily horizontal support.
The pair looks very oversold after a recent bearish rally.
On Friday, the price formed a double bottom pattern on a 4H time frame
and broke and closed above its horizontal neckline.
We see its retest at the moment.
The price will most likely reach 1.6376 level soon.
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Dollar Index (DXY): Time to Recover?!
Dollar Index reached a significant daily horizontal structure support.
Its test made a bearish rally stop.
The market formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern on an hourly time frame
and just broke its neckline, leaving a clear bullish clue.
The price may bounce at least to 100.89
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EURAUD: Technical Outlook & Your Trading Plan Explained🇪🇺 🇦🇺
EURAUD is currently retesting a recently broken horizontal support.
To sell the market with a confirmation, pay attention to a bearish
flag pattern formation on a 4H time frame.
Bearish breakout of a support of the flag and a 4H candle close below that
will give you a strong bearish signal.
A bearish continuation will be expected at least to 1.6465 level then.
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EURGBP: Intraday Bearish SIgnal 🇪🇺🇬🇧
I see a strong trend-following pattern on EURGBP.
After a bearish wave, the price formed a symmetrical triangle formation.
A breakout of the support of a triangle is a strong bearish signal.
It signifies the strength of the sellers and a highly probable
bearish continuation.
Next support - 0.8502
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AUDCHF: Bullish Trend Continues 🇦🇺🇨🇭
AUDCHF is trading in a bullish trend on a 4H time frame.
After quite an extended bullish wave, the pair was consolidating within
a horizontal range for some time.
The resistance of the range was broken yesterday.
It is a very important sign of strength of the buyers for us.
I think that growth may continue, and the market will reach 0.58 level soon.
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USDCHF: 2 Bearish Patterns 🇺🇸🇨🇭
I see 2 bearish patterns on USDCHf on a 4H time frame.
First, the pair broke and closed below a support line of a rising wedge pattern.
Then, a neckline of a head & shoulders pattern was broken.
Probabilities are high that the fall will continue now.
Next supports: 0.8585 / 0.852
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Highs and Lows Move Together: A Key Insight for Retail Traders█ Understanding Daily Highs and Lows in Trading
When it comes to trading, understanding the dynamics of daily price movements is essential. Daily highs and lows, which represent the highest and lowest prices of an asset within a single trading day, are more than just numbers—they provide valuable insights into market behavior, volatility, and potential trading opportunities.
█ What Are Daily Highs and Lows?
Daily Highs: The highest price an asset reaches during a trading day.
Daily Lows: The lowest price an asset hits during the same period.
Price Range: The difference between the daily high and low, which gives a measure of the day's volatility.
These metrics are crucial for traders because they not only reflect the volatility but also highlight the turning points in the market. A wide price range indicates high volatility, while a narrow range suggests the opposite.
█ Insights from Research
Research shows that daily highs and lows are not just random occurrences—they are statistically significant and can be forecasted with reasonable accuracy. For example, models that analyze the relationship between daily highs, lows, and the price range can outperform simple predictions based on past prices alone.
⚪ Highs and Lows as Important Levels:
The daily high is the highest price that an assets reaches in a day, and the daily low is the lowest price. These points are important because they often act like barriers in the market. If the price approaches the daily high, it might struggle to go higher, like hitting a ceiling. If it can’t break through, it might start to fall back down. Similarly, when the price gets close to the daily low, it might find support, like hitting a floor, and start rising again.
⚪ Market Reactions:
When the price reaches these highs or lows, it often reacts strongly. For instance, if the price hits a high but then drops, it suggests that traders think the price shouldn’t go higher, leading to a possible reversal. On the other hand, if the price keeps pushing against a high and finally breaks through, it could signal the start of a new upward trend.
In simple terms, the highs and lows act like important checkpoints in the market. Watching how prices behave around these levels can give traders clues about what might happen next.
█ Key Findings
⚪ Daily Highs and Lows Move Together:
The study found that the highest and lowest prices of oil each day are connected and tend to move together over time. This connection means that if one changes, the other usually does too. For retail traders, this suggests that tracking these levels can provide important clues about where the market might be heading next.
⚪ Price Ranges Indicate Volatility:
The difference between the daily high and low (known as the price range) is a strong indicator of how volatile the market is. A large range means the market is very active and prices are swinging widely. For traders, this could mean more opportunities to profit, but also more risk. Conversely, a small range indicates a calmer market with less movement.
⚪ Better Forecasting Models:
The study shows that by understanding the relationship between daily highs, lows, and the price range, traders can use more accurate models to predict future prices. These models outperform simpler methods that many traders might be using. For retail traders, this means there are better tools available that can help them make more informed decisions and potentially increase their chances of success.
█ Daily Highs and Lows Move Together
Daily highs and lows are connected and influence each other. This means that the highest and lowest prices of an asset during a trading day tend to move in relation to one another.
Imagine you're tracking the price of crude oil. On Monday, the highest price of the day was $80 per barrel, and the lowest was $75 per barrel. On Tuesday, the price went up, with the high being $88 and the low being $79. What the research found is that these daily highs and lows tend to follow a pattern or move in sync with each other over time.
The increase in both the high and low suggests that overall market sentiment is positive, and traders are willing to pay more, even at the lowest prices of the day.
█ What It Actually Means
⚪ Connection Between Highs and Lows:
If the daily high price increases, the daily low price often increases too, and vice versa. This doesn’t mean they are the same price, but rather that they tend to trend in the same direction. For instance, if the market is generally moving up (bullish), both the daily high and low prices will usually increase from one day to the next.
⚪ Why They Move Together:
This movement happens because the factors driving the price up or down (like supply and demand, market sentiment, or external news) impact both the high and low of the day. If there’s strong buying pressure, it will push the daily high up and also raise the floor, or daily low, as sellers adjust their expectations.
█ What It Means for Retail Traders
For new traders, understanding and using daily highs and lows can be a game-changer. These metrics offer a glimpse into market sentiment, help identify trading opportunities, and can form the foundation of robust trading strategies. By incorporating the analysis of daily highs and lows into your trading routine, you can make more informed decisions and improve your chances of success in the markets.
Understanding that daily highs and lows move together can help you predict market trends. If you see a pattern where both the highs and lows are steadily rising, it’s a sign that the market is in an uptrend, and you might decide to buy, expecting prices to keep climbing. Conversely, if both are falling, it might indicate a downtrend, suggesting it’s a good time to sell or avoid buying.
█ Reference
He, A.W.W., Kwok, J.T.K., & Wan, A.T.K. (2010). An empirical model of daily highs and lows of West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices. Energy Economics, 32(6), 1499–1506.
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Disclaimer
This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only.
The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
GBPNZD: Your Trading Plan Explained 🇬🇧🇳🇿
GBPNZD is retesting a recently broken major rising trend line on a daily.
To sell the market with a confirmation, watch a bearish flag pattern
on a 4H time frame.
Bearish breakout of its support line and a 4H candle close below that
will give us a strong signal to sell.
A bearish continuation will be expected at least to 2.106 level then.
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USDCHF: Bearish Pattern Identified 🇺🇸🇨🇭
Looks like all the setups that I spotted today are bearish.
One more is on USDCHF.
I see a head & shoulders pattern on an hourly time frame
that was formed after a strong intraday resistance.
Bearish breakout of its neckline is an important sign of strength of the sellers.
I think that the pair can drop to 0.8503 level.
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