XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsOn Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell joined his teammates in endorsing a stable interest rate policy, providing further support for the XAUUSD. Amidst increasing geopolitical risks, with the conflict between Israel and Hamas spreading to more countries in the region, Gold extended its weekly rally and reached the $1,990 area for the first time in five months on Friday. This surge in Gold prices is driven by safe-haven flows as investors seek to reduce risk exposure, combined with a downward correction in US yields.
Additionally, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic has indicated the possibility of a rate cut in 2024, suggesting a potential shift in monetary policy if economic conditions warrant it. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester has also expressed that the Federal Reserve may be at or near the peak of its rate hike cycle, emphasizing that the central bank will closely depend on incoming data for its decision-making process in the next monetary policy meeting.
As we look ahead, this week's economic calendar will feature key events such as US flash PMI data, the release of Q3 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on its preliminary reading, Durable Goods Orders, unemployment claims, and the Fed's preferred gauge for inflation, the core PCE.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis:
In this video, we dissected the XAUUSD chart from a technical standpoint, analyzed the key levels, analyzed historical price moves, market behaviors, and buyer-seller dynamics, and uncovered potential trading opportunities.
The $1,985 zone will remain our center stage for this week. Its historical significance makes it a crucial point. If the bullish momentum is sustained then the breakout of the $1,985 will serve as a platform for new highs. However, if selling pressure persists below $1,985 just as it had done in the last 5 months $1,900 we could witness renewed selling pressure back into the demand zone at the $1,900 zone.
Stay tuned for more thrilling updates on the Gold market! Hit the like button if you found this analysis helpful, and don't forget to subscribe for more insightful content! 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
Priceactiontrading
GBPCAD: Top-Down Analysis & Bearish Pattern 🇬🇧🇨🇦
GBPCAD broke a support line of a tiny rising wedge pattern on an hourly time frame,
after a test of a solid falling trend line on a daily.
Taking into consideration that the pair is trading in a bearish trend on a daily,
probabilities will be high to see a bearish reaction.
I expect a movement to 1.671
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NZDUSD: Waiting For Confirmation 🇳🇿🇺🇸
I have perfectly predicted an intraday bearish movement after a breakout yesterday.
Analyzing a 4H time frame, we can spot an intraday consolidation now and a formation of a horizontal range.
The next bearish wave will be confirmed after a breakout of the support of the range.
4H candle close below 0.5808 will confirm a violation.
A bearish continuation will be expected to 0.8775 level then.
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Live Trades and Price Action setups explainedIn the video I review my trades on the DOW Jones Index for the session and talk through the setups, price action and reasoning for the trades. I also talk through the overall bias for the session and the missed opportunity from my sessions plan.
Feel free to join in our live trading room....link in the signature below.
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EURJPY: Time to Buy 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY broke a solid horizontal resistance.
Retesting the broken structure, the price formed a tiny horizontal range on a 4h time frame.
Its resistance breakout is an important sign of strength of the buyers.
A bullish movement is expected to 159.4 / 159.7 levels now.
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EURCAD: One More Breakout Trade 🇪🇺🇨🇦
I spotted one more confirmed breakout.
EURCAD violated a key daily resistance.
On a retest of a broken structure, the price formed an ascending triangle formation
with a confirmed neckline violation.
I expect a further bullish continuation on the pair at least to 1.458
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CADCHF: Pullback From Key Level 🇨🇦🇨🇭
CADCHF is taking off from a solid horizontal daily support.
The price formed a double bottom formation on that on an hourly time frame.
Feels like the market is oversold and it is the moment for correction.
Bullish continuation is expected to 0.6535 / 0.6550
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BluetonaFX - EURUSD LONG to Resistance IdeaHi Traders!
EURUSD is holding steady near market lows, and there is a possibility for long entries to target upside resistance levels.
Price Action 📊
The price action currently looks bullish, with market swings showing higher highs and higher lows, and the market has formed an ascending price channel.
Fundamental Analysis 📰
The European Central Bank took a further step on Wednesday towards launching a digital version of the euro that would let people in the 20 countries that share the single currency make electronic payments securely and free of charge.
Support 📉
1.05200: TRENDLINE SUPPORT
Resistance 📈
1.05950: SWING HIGH RESISTANCE
Risk ⚠️
No more than 2% of your capital.
Reward 💰
At least 4% of your capital.
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
How to find Key Price Action zones for Daytrading successPrepping a market for daytrading is an important part of my process and understanding and identifying the KEY LEVELS is the major part of that process.
We have to build a Price Action picture of what may happen and what levels may be targeted so we will be ready for a trade. Understanding who (buyers or sellers) is getting caught off side and levels the market is targeting, will set us up for the higher probability trades.
I discuss a few key concepts for Intraday trading and how I identify the important zones. I show some trade examples and high probability trade zones.
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CHFJPY: Top-Down Analysis & Pullback 🇨🇭🇯🇵
CHFJPY reached a solid horizontal daily support.
After its test, the pair started to consolidate on an hourly time frame
within a narrow horizontal range.
The support of the range was broken then.
It is an important sign of strength of the sellers
and it signifies a highly probable pullback.
Target - 165.63
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BluetonaFX - EURNZD Head & Shoulders SHORT IdeaHi Traders!
EURNZD has a potential head-and-shoulders pattern forming on the 1D chart, and there are opportunities for short entries to lead to a possible neckline break.
Price Action 📊
Recent lower market swings with lower highs and lower lows, and the market is about to break back below the 20 EMA.
We are looking for bearish momentum to fully complete the right shoulder and lead to a break and close below the neckline.
Fundamental Analysis 📰
The NZD has found strength and bounced off session lows due to the parliamentary elections, as the country voted for a change in parliament.
Support 📉
1.75127: NECKLINE
Resistance 📈
1.78600: PREVIOUS DAY'S HIGH
Risk ⚠️
No more than 2% of your capital.
Reward 💰
At least 4% of your capital.
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
BluetonaFX - NZDCAD SHORT to Monthly Low IdeaHi Traders!
There is a possible retest of the strong support level of 0.80531, and there are potential opportunities for short entries towards this level.
Price Action 📊
The market is currently in a descending price channel and recently broke and closed below the 20 EMA, which suggests that there is currently bearish momentum in the market.
We are looking for the bearish momentum to continue with a look to target the support level of 0.80531, which is also the monthly low.
Fundamental Analysis 📰
Recent data out of New Zealand has not been as strong as analysts would have liked, which may lead to possible NZD weakness for the time being. Additionally, the NZD seems to be weaker following the release of Chinese inflation figures, which has an effect on antipodean currencies.
Support 📉
0.80531: MONTHLY LOW
Resistance 📈
0.81203: PREVIOUS DAY'S HIGH
Risk ⚠️
No more than 2% of your capital.
Reward 💰
At least 4% of your capital.
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
BluetonaFX - USDJPY Post-NFP Market ReportHi Traders!
The NFP announcement was released earlier today, and it came as a shock to the market. The number came in at a staggering 336K, which is almost double the expected number of 171K. With the payrolls number coming out so strongly, this is a sign that the US economy is still strong, and the high demand for the US dollar is expected to continue in the near future. This now puts huge pressure back on the JPY, and the Bank of Japan will surely have to intervene to avoid further Yen weakness.
On a technical level, the level to look out for on the USDJPY is 150.000; the market has already reached it this week, and traders will be looking for another test at this level to see if the market can break above it. A break and a close of 150.000, and the only key level above it is the apex level at 151.946, and a break of that, and we will be in record-breaking territory.
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
USDCHF: Your Trading Plan Ahead Of CPI 🇺🇸🇨🇭
Traders, do not forget that in 30 minutes we are expecting US CPI Report.
Here is your detailed trading plan for USDCHF ahead of the news.
The market is currently approaching a key daily horizontal support.
Your bullish confirmation will be a bullish breakout of a resistance line
of a falling wedge pattern on a 4H time frame.
4H candle close above the trend line will give you a strong bullish signal.
A bullish continuation will be anticipated to 0.9067 level then.
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BluetonaFX - EURGBP Rising Wedge SHORT IdeaHi Traders!
There is a rising wedge pattern on EURGBP, which signals a possible reversal of the bullish trend we have seen over the past two months.
Price Action 📊
The market failed to break the previous resistance at the 0.87014 area, which led to lower highs and lower lows market swings, followed by a momentum break below the 20 EMA. This shows that there may be new waves of bearish volume entering the market.
We are looking for a bearish break and a close below the support trendline.
Fundamental Analysis 📰
Traders seem to be uncertain about the euro after ECB president Lagarge claimed that she is confident the ECB's policy will bring inflation back down to their 2% goal.
Support 📉
0.86140: SUPPORT TRENDLINE
Resistance 📈
0.86428: PEVIOUS DAY'S HIGH
Risk ⚠️
No more than 2% of your capital.
Reward 💰
At least 4% of your capital.
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
GBPCHF: Your Trading Plan For Today 🇬🇧🇨🇭
GBPCHF is testing a wide daily horizontal demand zone.
To buy that with a confirmation, pay attention to a double bottom pattern on a 4H time frame.
1.11 is its neckline.
We need a 4H candle close above that to confirm the strength of the buyers.
Buy aggressively or on a retest, then.
Target will be 1.1135
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BluetonaFX - GBPJPY Double Top SHORT IdeaHi Traders!
There is a double top pattern formed on the 4H GBPJPY chart, and there is potential for further moves to the downside depending on whether we get an important support price break.
Price Action 📊
The market has had two price rejections around the 183 level, which is bearish. Although there is very strong support at 181.380, which is our support line, A price break below this level is likely to lead to a momentum break further down.
We are now looking for further bearish momentum to break and close the support line and the 20 EMA to continue to the downside.
Fundamental Analysis 📰
The market's outlook on GBP is currently negative due to weak economic data recently released. The outlook on the GBP looks very negative at the moment, and the demand for the currency is very low.
Support 📉
181.380: TRENDLINE SUPPORT
Resistance 📈
182.207: PREVIOUS DAY'S HIGH
Risk ⚠️
No more than 2% of your capital.
Reward 💰
At least 4% of your capital.
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
BluetonaFX - GBPAUD Descending Triangle SHORT IdeaHi Traders!
The bearish price action continues on the GBPAUD 1D chart, and there may be possible opportunities for short entries.
Price Action 📊
The market has had lower highs and lower lows since breaking below the 20 EMA, creating a descending triangle pattern on the chart.
We are looking for further bearish momentum to break and close the trendline support line and continue to the downside.
Fundamental Analysis 📰
The market's outlook on GBP is currently negative due to weak economic data recently released. The outlook on the GBP looks very negative at the moment, and the demand for the currency is very low.
Support 📉
1.88514: TRENDLINE SUPPORT
Resistance 📈
1.92527: TRENDLINE RESISTANCE
Risk ⚠️
No more than 2% of your capital.
Reward 💰
At least 4% of your capital.
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(05/10/2023) Today will be gap up opening in BANKNIFTY . After opening if banknifty sustain above 44050 level then possible upside rally of 400-500 points upto 44450 Level. And this rally can extend for another 400 points if it gives breakout of 44550 level. Any Major downside only expected in case banknifty starts trading below 43950 level.
XAUUSD - Price Action - Today's Key Zones - London/NY SessionToday's potential trades for #XAUUSD - OANDA:XAUUSD
It's over 100 pips between today's support/resistance zone. If there's no breakout, we have enough room to trade within these prices, on the smaller time frames with care
If there is a breakout of today's support/resistance zone, it will come at these levels.
📈Potential Buys on close above 1829.139
📉Potential Sells on close below 1817.495
Once the price has closed above/below, we will look for an entry on a smaller timeframe.
Our targets for today:
Buys:
Close Part of your trade/TP1 at 1839.583 and set SL to BE (or at around 50-100 pips)
Close Full/TP2 at 1863.231 (or at around 150-200 pips)
Sells:
Close Part of your trade at 1808.355 and set SL to BE (or at around 40-90 pips)
Close Full at 1795.320 (or at around 150-200 pips)
Happy trading all 🤑
BluetonaFX - NZDUSD Bear Flag SHORT IdeaHi Traders!
There is a bear flag pattern on NZDUSD, and there is a possibility of a continuation of the bearish trend if we get a break of the flag channel.
Price Action 📊
There is a lack of bullish momentum in the market due to a lack of market swings to counter the bearish trend; this tells us that the bears are in full control of this market.
We are looking for further bearish momentum to break and close below the flag's channel.
Fundamental Analysis 📰
Traders are currently very bullish on the US dollar due to the very strong economic data and positive statements from the Federal Reserve.
Support 📉
0.58892: FLAG CHANNEL SUPPORT
Resistance 📈
0.60483: FLAG CHANNEL RESISTANCE
Risk ⚠️
No more than 2% of your capital.
Reward 💰
At least 4% of your capital.
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX