Will the Perfect Storm in Natural Gas Markets Lead to a New EnerIn an era of unprecedented global energy transformation, the natural gas market stands at a critical juncture where geopolitical tensions, technological advancement, and infrastructure development converge to create a potentially game-changing scenario. The ongoing Middle East crisis, particularly the Israel-Iran tensions threatening the Strait of Hormuz, could reshape energy flows and trigger a cascade of effects across interconnected global energy markets, potentially forcing a fundamental reassessment of natural gas's role in the global energy mix.
A seismic shift is approaching in North American markets with LNG Canada's anticipated 2025 launch, which promises to revolutionize Canadian gas pricing dynamics and global market access. This transformation coincides with an extraordinary surge in potential demand from AI and data centers, projected to consume between 3 and 30 billion cubic feet per day of additional North American gas. Such technological evolution, coupled with Asia's growing appetite for cleaner energy sources, suggests a structural reformation of traditional gas flow patterns and pricing mechanisms.
The convergence of these factors presents both challenges and opportunities for market participants. While weather patterns and storage dynamics continue to influence short-term price formation, longer-term strategic considerations are increasingly dominated by infrastructure development, market access, and geopolitical risk management. As the industry adapts through strategic hedging, infrastructure investment, and consolidation, the natural gas market appears poised for a period of dynamic evolution that could fundamentally alter its global value proposition and establish a new paradigm in energy markets.
Pricedynamics
Oil Gold12.14.19 when I start these videos I'm not sure exactly what I'm going to say, and when I'm done with the video I decide if I'm going to upload it. I use this statement to clarify points that I was trying to make. I chose to talk about 135 patterns which are trending patterns. In the oil example I used there is a visual irony in that the corrections are very abrupt and very bearish looking in a market that is bullish and working its way higher. In these examples when you try to apply the paradigm that " the trend is your friend " the real-time experience feels anything but that this market is trending higher--- and if that is your feeling, this will keep you out of opportunity, and even worse, get you trading in the wrong direction. Think about it, a market takes days to move higher, and then in a matter of a day or two you have one or two bars taking out almost all of the move higher, but it still ends up being a trending market higher. I'm guessing that most people don't visualize these patterns when they think of a trend. In my own trading I think this is very important to take into consideration.
I make some general comments on gold and oil and the type of markets I think they are.