USDJPY Analysis: Awaiting Market Confirmation Post Fed Rate CutHi Traders,
Following yesterday's USD news, the Federal Reserve has reduced the interest rate by 0.25%. It seems the market has already absorbed this news, and our attention shifts back to the USDJPY pair.
On Tuesday, my analysis showed a price break above the H4 structure. According to this structure, we can anticipate a continuation of the overall downtrend. However, predicting the exact point where the decline will begin is tricky. We'll need to carefully monitor price movements on smaller timeframes for more clarity.
On the 1-hour (1Hr) chart, we're looking for either a new higher high (HH) or a slightly lower high (LH) to complete the current wave structure. Selling at this stage is premature. Instead, we’re looking to buy on the current swing of the 1Hr chart, waiting for a potential failure to make a new HH.
Pricestructure
Good Chance of Disney Capitulation (fire sale!)Disney showing order absorption price structure at its major support zone on the 2-Month chart indicates a better than 50% chance of at least a bull-spring formation under the support or a markdown below it.
I'm certainly going to be setting limit buy orders around $70 and $50 a share to hold for the next few decades.
USDJPY Outlook - Bullish SentimentPrice has successfully moved from the 141.600 zone as I said it would. Let's see if market-makers would still manipulate BUYERS in the 147.000 price zone. I expect price to break 145.000 and climb to around 147.000 before collapsing back to my 3rd TP price at the 141.000 zone .
Patience is key!!!
Undervalued Stock Series #1 : CRSRThe share price for this company have been absolutely beaten down since February 2021.. and that is good for me.
The numbers for this company is good and several DCF valuations have suggested that the current price is on average 60% under the fair price.
On the technicals, there is no reason for me to buy some shares. Price trading way under the 100-200 EMA cloud and price structures doesn't suggest the bulls have taken over yet.
We wait. First sign I am looking for is the highs of the price structure is broken and moving way up towards the EMA cloud.
Understanding Market Structure In Under 10 MinutesUnderstanding Market Structure
In this I explain how to use TradingView tools to mark out the recent price structure so that you can know what side of the market to be on (Buy or Sell) very quickly and easily without the need to use any indicators.
You can apply this technique to any market, FX / Stocks / Crypto... it works on all markets.
By understanding which community of traders are currently in control (Buyers or Sellers) you can then use the trendline tool to spot areas that might be higher probability areas for your trade entries.
I have written the general process below to complement the video explanation.
Step 1
Roughly mark out the recent highs and lows of price action just focusing on the main turning points of the market.
Step 2
Once you have completed Step 1, use the "eye tool" / "hide button" by the chart label to remove all of the candles and the noise of the market so that you can easily focus on what is important.
Step 3
Analyse the turning points / pivot points that you have marked out & if you feel it helps label them as Higher Highs / Higher Lows / Lower Highs / Lower Lows so you are able to know who is in control of the market structure.
Step 4
Use the recent turning points that are relevant to your directional bias to spot levels that the market might turn around and continue the trend. Alternatively use candlestick analysis to spot potential turning points.
Step 5
Finally place your entry and define your risk management as it applies to your own strategy / risk tolerance.
CADCHF- LongCADCHF recently showed some bullish momentum and broke through the 4H EMA.
Price has since returned to the support line of its ascending channel.
If we see price reject this support line, fib level 78.9% and break past the 4H EMA, price will likely continue its bullish momentum and hit the 0.7420 area (previus support)
Entry check list:
- rejection at support line (around 0.7300)
- rejection at 78.6% fib level
- break past the 4H EMA
- bullish confirmation among MACD and RVI
Live Trading and Analysis AUDUSDThe AUDUSD has traded below the Daily Structure of 0.7340 after several intraday attempts to stay above this price point.
Another factor that will contribute to this bias is a break below 1DL of 0.7332.
We look to target the next structural point of 0.7289, the strong line 110% of the Fibonacci extension.
Alternatively, a break back above the 0.7348 will invalidate the short setup.
Finding Orderblocks and Trading Like A BankIn this video I explain how the market moves to fulfill orderblocks & supply / demand of large institutional traders. Once you spot these levels it can significantly improve your trading results.
Please Like / Comment / Share this video with anyone that you think will find it useful.
How to Understand Price StructureI have put together the basics of how to read a chart without indicators.
This is a key skill for anyone who wants to become a profitable trader. Clearly theres much more that goes into reading charts than just what is here but this is the key foundations of reading how price works and how to make trade entries with a good chance of profitability.
If you have found it helpful then please Like the post / Share it with anyone you think it might help / Follow my profile so you get updated the next time I post
GBPUSD Short Open: 1.39150
Take Profit(1): 1.37500
Take Profit(2): 1.35150
Stop Loss: 1.40400
Open
1. Downtrend on 1 and 4 hours chart
2. Open position near 4 hours 50 EMA (Blue line)
Take Profit (1)
Major price sructure 1.37100 - 1.37500( yellow area)
Take Profit (2)
1.Major price structure 1.34600 - 1.35150 (green area)
2. close to the bottom of the major uptrend
Stop Loss
Above 20 pipes of previous high
AUDUSD long position!Confluences:
-On the daily there is bullish price structure
-DXY is very weak
-When the 4hour candle closes, if it closes as a bullish Maribozu, I will wait for the rest of the key level and place a buy stop taking it to the next level
-If the zone acts as support, this trade becomes high probability
Good luck and tell me what you guys think!
GBPUSD - Potential Buy setup using convergence at 1.3200 Taking a look at the price action on GBPUSD we can see a potential level of support set up for a possible move higher at around the 1.3200 big figure.
As you can see from the 1 Hour chart, we have a possible convergence of factors that could increase the probability for a move higher.
The 1.3200 level being a big figure level in general is psychological level but what can help strengthen this point is the liquidity gap that was created by price spiking higher on the 28th August (marked with a pink arrow). These 2 factors alone could have additional order flow resting at this level which could cause a reaction in price higher.
Lastly, we can also see a descending diagonal trend line that could also meet at the same point if price starts to sell off currently, again increasing the probability of the level to react.
If price gets to this level and goes straight through it then no action is needed and the trade is void, but if we can see a bounce occur here we will go down to our lower time frames and see if we can find any additional signals like a bullish price pattern or structure that could help in fine tuning a possible execution point.
We will update this accordingly.
EURUSD SHORT SETUP ON H4 TIMEFRAME! Good day traders! I hope you all have a great trading day ahead!
Start off with EURUSD. Price has been pretty bearish recently and price action dictates that bullish momentum has slowly fade and bear market has taken charge.
Head and shoulder has been formed in H4 timeframe and price is ranging on EMA 55. To have a good short setup, we are looking for a retest to EMA 55 which is inline with the price structure.
Entry price: 1.1280
SL: 1.1300
TP: 1.1179
Always go for a clear trading strategy and enter trade with good risk management. It's always you versus yourself instead of you versus the market.
Nasdaq: 21-01-2020 AnalysisAs the WEF (World Economic Forum) in Davos is developing, and after the US holiday on monday, the market today picked up the up-trend very strongly. NASDAQ is currently retracing from the 60 pips up-move, and expecting the trend to continue if the "Confirmation level" is broken. Taking profits at 127% and 161.8% Fib levels. Only shorting if the "Invalidion level" is taken.
#ethereum price structureIf you want to be a successful trader you have to learn to read the charts; price action reflects psychology behind the market, once you understand that you'll be one step ahead in the game.
This particular chart is a textbook example of support and resistance generating price structure: $180 was a resistance threshold at first and once broken is being retested as a support and seems to hold so far (given the last two low shadowed candles). If this support holds #ethereum should resume its trend from here.
Banknifty Corrections MappingThis is the deepest correction so far in recent times. First one over 5% range. Most other cases markets had pulled back anywhere between the 38% to 100 % range.
the Zone marked in red ( 29900-30100) odd area is going to be the resistance area going forward. Swing wise any pullbacks can be shorted with stops above that range.
USDJPY: DAYTRADE-Opportunity! The levels I`m looking at!'ChanceHey guys,
quick a video about the price-levels I`m looking at.
As always, we never know what is going to happen but this could be our edge! :-)
LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT - I appreciate every support! =)
Peace and good trades
Irasor
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