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Pricevolumeanalysis

GOOG: Risk for HFT Gap on EarningsThe mighty NASDAQ:GOOG has hit the Market Saturation Phase and its advertising AI is one of the primary problems. Alphabet is losing small business advertisers in droves as prices skyrocket to advertise on Google Ads while results are dismal for the advertisers. This run down is due to speculation that is not based on financial data. It may find support at this level, but it is vulnerable to an HFT gap down. It is never a good sign to see selling a few days ahead of an earnings report. A gap up would be based on Year over Year, not quarterly improvement.
NASDAQ:GOOG
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
FSR increasing volatility as earnings approach LONGFSR is on 15 minute chart. It has been in a down trend. However, as the earnings report due on Feburary 29th is near, trader interest has caused some buying volume spikes and upward price movement closing in a bull flag pattern after the squeeze indicator triggered several times and with the last a green histogram reflecting upward price action. The price-volume trend reversed bearish to bullish. I see this as a setup for a long trade of FSR into the earnings. In watching for an options setup I noted that the strike $0.50 same day expiration on 2/23 this past Friday went 0.03 to 0.12 nearly 375% while the same for 3/1 went 0.09 to 0.16 or about 75%. Al in all not matter shares or options, I see FSR as a set up for a long pre-earnings trade.
FLong
by AwesomeAvani
BNTX biotech / currency play LONGBNTX a Germany company in the biotechnology and vaccine sectors out of Europe and Germany is looking good on the 2H chart here with a volume profile and an intermediate term VWAP overlaid. Price bounced off the bottom of the high volume area of the volume profile and looks to be ready for a reversion to the mean and even a sling-short move. The target here is the double top M pattern of mid July at 114. The VPT and MACD are confirmatory of a momentum flip making for a long trade entry. I will review the options chain for a suitable options trade with a narrow bid/ask spread, suitable volume and open interest. If I cannot find one I'll take a trade of 10-20 shares of stock with a stop-loss of 105 to back up this trade while NVAX and MRNA are also making moves.
NASDAQ:BNTXLong
by AwesomeAvani
BOIL ( 3x Nat Gas ETF) Reverses to UpsideOn shown on the 15 minute chart with a VWAP band/line setup anchored to the July 1st pivot high. BOIL is in a VWAP breakout since bottoming mid-day July 17th. Confirming the reversal are the Price Volume Trend Oscillator printing a green histogram and an upgoing signal line as well as the zero-lag MACD with upgoing parallel lines crossing the zero-horizontal line. Price has crossed over the mean VWAP. On the dual time frame RSI indicator both the lower and higher RS lines ( blue and black) are above the 50 level and the lower time frame is higher highlighting bullish momentum. I will take a long trade targeting based on the VWAP lines first $65 and then $68. I will open equal amounts of call options striking the targets with expirations on July 28th. I seek a 100% ROI in the next 6-8 trading days. On an intraday basis, I may enter a low DTE call option at the low of day ( typically mid-morning) and exit at the high of day the same or next day.
BLong
by AwesomeAvani
UBER Bullish Pennants for ContinuationUBER on the 15-minute chart this week has printed a small bullish pennant pattern then continued into another larger print of the same pattern. The Price Volume Trend Oscillator went red to green as the initiation of this trend over the past two days. Trading volumes have pushed prices and are in the range of double the moving average. The zero-lag MACD indicator shows a pattern of bullish momentum in the mornings followed by fades at lunch and afternoons. I believe that this 5-6% trend up has another 1-2 days to go before a profit-taking session to close out the trading week.
NYSE:UBERLong
by AwesomeAvani
GLD is the high volume EFT that is tracking the gold bullrun which started two weeks ago on July 3rd after a downtrend for two months starting on May 2nd. This is not a leveraged ETF as so a bit less volatile than JNUG or GDXU. On the 2H chart, I have added a VWAP band line setup anchored into the pivot high. On my analysis: 1. GLD is ascending through VWAP band lines in a VWAP breakout. 2. Volume is steady 3. The Price Volume Trend Oscillator went from a diminishing negative/red histogram into green on July 5th. 4. On the zero-lag MACD, the lines crossed while under the histogram reversing a descent on July 17th and marking the end of a minor correction of the uptrend then confirmed by those lines crossing the zero-line the following day. I conclude that GLD is set up for a long trade. While others might simply take a trade of stocks I will use call options to take a long position. My target is $190 between the second and third positive standard deviations of the mean VWAP. I will purchase 50 options contracts for about $37 each expiring August 4th. I will hold all of them until July 27th and liquidate half of them at the high of day on that Thursday expecting Friday to be a down day. The remaining 25 contracts will be sold at the rate of 6 contracts per day until the overall position is closed. Overall, I expect to realize 200% in profits over the 12-13 trading days in the trade. I plan for a 15% stop loss and expect the trade to be above break-even with the first stop loss advance which I expect will be on Friday.
AMEX:GLDLong
by AwesomeAvani
FINNIFTY Expiry Day Trade Setup (23-May-2023)This will be my personal trade Setup, This is not an advice of any kind to trade for anyone. Price is moving in Triangle Pattern will Break of this can give good trade setup, will follow these points: 1.) If opens flat between this triangle then will wait for price to break this pattern as buying PE near upper triangle trend line resistance for target of lower triangle trendline will be slow and there will be theta decay which will just eat premium. 2.) If opens gap up will look for nearby resistance levels. CPR Levels to be in a trade. 3.) Same for Gap down opening only will if it sustain support or if it rejects it. 4.) As it is expiry day so there will be volatility and if setup isn't good due to theta decay it will only eat premiums. Also if i place any trade in FINFIFTY i will be sure to book profits as soon as possible. and will try to look for 5 minute chart to enter a position and 1 minute chart to close my position. Hit like to keep me motivated for keeping my trading journal. also one can comment how i can make it better or any improvements i can make in my trading setups.
NSE:CNXFINANCE
by TradeInsights
How to Study Price and Wave volume RelationshipHi 👋 In this post I would try to throw some light on the Price & Wave Volume relationship (popularized by late David Weis). This method may help trades in two ways: 1️⃣Ride the trend 2️⃣Picking the end of a rally I came across this chart randomly and found that there are a few principles that I can discuss with the help of this chart. Before reading any further I want to disclose that this technique was not originally developed by me. However, different authors may have different interpretations when it comes to some techniques of discretionary trading. This is a small piece of what I have learnt as a big follower of price action trading. I don’t want to go for bar by bar analysis here due to time and space constraints, so I have marked a few important places (as numbers in green rectangles) that are important and need to be discussed. The numbers in white are the cumulative wave volume in crores. This means just keep on adding the volume of each up bar until there is a reversal. I have taken the reversal a 2points on closing basis. Which means I keep on adding the volume until the price closes 2points below the close of the previous bar. The opposite is true for down waves. 🚀Point1 If you look at the upwave preceding the downwave at point1, it is the sharpest of the rallies from March 2020 lows (scroll back the chart a bit). Also wave volume is the highest (37cr) compared to 10,19 and 18cr on previous upwaves. At point 1 there is 10cr volume on the downwave, which is the highest on any downwave in the rally from Mar2020 lows. This is an alarming signal that sellers are getting active. But this may not impress us to liquidate our trades as we need further evidence to confirm this weakness. 🚀Point2 Here we have very high volume accompanied by the widest bar (in the rally) but closing in the middle. These three things confirm here that sellers have stepped in and the stock is weakening. 🚀Point3 There is a rally back to the highs but this time with lesser volume (29cr compared to 37cr) than preceding rallies. This is our second confirmation that buyers are turning there back at this level, at least for now. This is a sure exit opportunity for investors who bought at the lows. 🚀Point4 There was a sharp reaction with huge volume of 31cr and very wide bar, closing off of its lows. At this point there is still confusion that the trend has reversed or not. If it was a reversal then there would have been a follow through of 31cr volume on the downside but it is not so. For the next 3 days price sustained above the low of this wide downbar. 🚀Point5 The sellers again tried to push to the stock down but look at the volume in this wave. Are you getting it now? Its just 13cr instead of 31cr on the last downwave. This infers here that seller are not interested. So if seller are not interested then what will happen? Buyers will take over. 🚀Point6 The sellers tested the level of 1, 4 and 5 a few more times, buyers holds it and that develops a support. There was a very strong rally (compared to rallies in the last one year) back to the highs and volume is again 23cr which is lesser than volume at previous highs. Lesser volume could have 2 interpretations – there are less sellers this time and/or buyers are not interested. 🚀Point7 The stock is back to the support again. But volume on downwaves is much lesser in relative terms. In fact, it decreasing from 13 to 4 and then 2cr (see chart). Where have the sellers gone? They don’t want to sell at the support. 🚀Point8 Lack of selling leads to buying and eventually to new highs. Notice that there in very less volume at point 8 (only 4cr). This time sellers attempt (5cr) was failed quickly (without hitting support) and new highs were made outside resistance (developed at 2, 3 and 6). At this stage, when the price is closing outside the resistance, I would expect more volume to come in. More volume at this stage would indicate that buyers are interested but that is not the case here. 🚀Point9 Point 8 looked like a failed breakout attempt. The price fell back into the trading range (between support and resistance ). If I look at volume here, it is 15cr on this downwave. In the immediately preceding fall with 17cr it touched the bottom end of the range but this time with 15cr it is just at the middle of the range. This signifies re-accumulation at point 9. 🚀Point10 Re-accumulation lead to a rally back into resistance. We have 13cr as of now. Its too early to say, before this upwave ends, but 13cr is less (for me at this point) to push it any further. It seems holding back in the range. 🚀🚀Final thoughts This is a very nice and rare example showing both distribution (by the seller at resistance level ) and accumulation (by the buyers at support level ). Normally the price peeps outside the range on both sides and fails to follow through, until there is a decisive break on either side. I hope you learnt something new in this post. Now you can do one thing, press 🚀 to encourage me to write more educational stuff. Thanks for reading.
NSE:ADANIPORTSEducation
by Bravetotrade
Long BTC - $41,900 to $45,000I opened a long position at $41,900. In the 3 hour, I saw that we were nearing resistance in the linear regression channel and nearing the resistance cluster established on Feb 4-6. The green EMA and red sRSI both turned up and, importantly, the green EMA contacted the red sRSI, while the red sRSI was moving upward. The price has moved to the upper boundary of the linear regression channel, which serves as resistance. Note how easily the price moved upward on the green shaded bar, at least in comparison to the downward movement of the red shaded bar. There was a significant move downward on the red shaded bar, but it occurred on much greater volume than that observed with the green shaded bar. The blue shaded bars indicate an important area of resistance. In the 6 hour, the BTC price has met resistance at the upper boundary of the linear regression channel. However, notice the upswinging sRSI and blue LSMA. Based on this information, one might be inclined to think that the BTC might push up higher to around $43,500. Again, note that the blue shaded bars indicate an important area of resistance. In the 12 hour, please note the purple shaded up bar – the one with high volume and spread. The close of that bar should serve as support. The close of that bar coincides nicely with the lower boundary of the linear regression channel. The support at that level makes me confident in opening my position at $41,900 as it is likely that the BTC price will not fall below the support given by the close of the purple shaded bar. The red sRSI and blue LSMA are swinging up, suggesting continuation of the price to the upside. In the black oval, you can see that the red sRSI was contacted and crossed by an upswinging green EMA. At the same time, the BTC price was near the lower bound of the linear regression channel. It appears that the sRSI is flattening out and may swing upward again. So there are two options with this trade: (1) Close the trade and take some profit (around $43,500; 3.8% profit). (2) Keep the trade open until a higher target is reached (e.g., around $45,000). I am going with option #2. This is not financial advice. I am not your financial advisor. This is my opinion.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Eightchains