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Nasdaq Slapped- Like u saw yesterday, BTC dipped but the main reason for now is just the global economy being worst. - Nasdaq Companies made big % lost yesterday - here the main list - www.cnbc.com - The Covid19 caused a fast dip followed by a mega pump based on stimulus (brrrrr), now the real dip is ongoing. ---------------------------------- Trading Part ( Long Term ) ---------------------------------- - Buy 1 : 12,000$ - Rebuy : 10,500$ - 11,000$ TP : before 20,000$ ---------------------------------- - This Analyze of course can be faked by a strong money printing (Brrrrrrrrrrrr) Happy Tr4Ding and St4y Safe !
SKILLING:US100Long
by thecryer
38
The Printing Company- how it works : - Imagine you can create apples, and that you are the only one in the world able to do that. - So if you create 100 apples, you will make them more rare and unique, so maybe you can sell them for 10$ each one. - So now imagine you create 10,000,000,000 apples, you will have more apples than peoples need to eat, so you will have to sell your apples 0.0001$ - Anyway you don't really care about your apples price goes down because, you can create how many apples as you want, and the world population is growing. - This is exactly the same for the US Dollar : -- Less they print paper, less life is expensive, because we get some kind of USD rarefaction. -- More they print papers more the dollars flood the world, it makes it weak, then you need more papers to buy your home, a new car or food. -- Flooding the world with USD make everyone dependent on USD. - So in graph you can see how many dollars they created post crises 2007 and for Pandemic Covid in 2020. - So what is the situation right now : -- Basically they stopped to print ( that's the main reason DXY Pushed up. "Dollar rarefaction" ) and world economy crashed ( Forex, Stocks , Cryptos ) . -- In time they will have no choice to print again because their system is based on a greedy model. - What you see is the just top of the iceberg, the Fed is a mosquito if you compare it to the BIS ( Bank for International Settlements). - Actually controlling the flux of the creation of the dollar is just controlling the world system, it's a kind of tax form that you don't see, but you pay it much more than you think with inflation. - USD paper money system will end sooner or later for a new monetary model called CDBC. - it will be worst than you think as they will control everyone having a phone on their hand. - The Only way to to counter them is to buy Bitcoin because of his real disinflationary mechanic. - There's no other way to counter the system right now. Happy Tr4Ding !
ECONOMICS:USCBBS
by thecryer
7
SPX Monthly - Adjusted for Real InflationThe assumptions are that money printing is real inflation as is often stated by Peter Schiff and M2 money supply is a good measure of the amount of money that has been printed into circulation. This data goes back to 1959 and makes the dot com bubble in 2000 look much more exuberant than current price levels. There is room for downside from here as the 1966 to 1974 decline and 2008 crash suggest. The chart also suggests that there has been no real stock market growth since the 1960s. It should be noted that the stock market was a good place to keep capital as an inflation hedge and a source of dividends and that cash kept over this time period would have lost pretty close to all of its value while earning no dividends. It demonstrates how important it is to not let cash sit in a bank and collect dust and to be financially literate. The central bank system punishes savers and forces participation in markets. The S&P can see a 75% increase or a 68% decrease from here and still be within its historical range. I’m leaning more bullish right now but these are very uncertain times, with the Fed having raised the fed funds rate to 4.75% and the stock market having declined for all of 2022. Nothing would surprise me but this chart helps to show that maybe the market isn’t as ridiculously priced as it looks when looking at the S&P 500 chart alone.
SP:SPX
by Skipper86
2
Dow Jones Industrial not looking goodDJI = Dow Jones Industrial is not looking good. 200MA, 200EMA (which has worked as support before) and key level ~29 700 was tested and turned to resistance like it is seen on the graph. Next target ~26 800 and if that gets broken ~23 000. IF history repeats itself, then we might go test the 18 200 levels which happened last time 200MA turned to resistance ( 2008 ) This analysis is invalid if we break ~29 700-30 000 and get on top of the EMAs When Fed pivots and start to print money again the markets will turn, and the markets are probably going to sniff that before it actually happens. I think it's sooner than we expect. -Jebu
TVC:DJIShort
by PalenTrade
3
Tokyo says enough , starts intervention!INFORMATION USDJPY has been rising for multiple weeks. The current trend is very bullish. Couple of days ago, Japan had to intervene and bought Yen using its dollar reserves. Statistic shows that Japan has over 1 Trillion US dollars in their reserves. As the dollar continues to get stronger, BOJ is planning to Battle for the next 6-9 months to stabilize the Yen. WHAT COMES IN MIND? USDJPY is in a consolidation Phase on the higher timeframe and will continue to do so base on what BOJ is trying to do. FEDS continue to stay Hawkish on Interest rates this means stronger Dollar Japan interest rate stays Low and BOJ still continuing to print Money Population Statistic: Japan has a growing number of Old people compare to Young people, this is very bad long term for the economy because there is a imbalance of supporting cast. MY FINAL THOUGHTS: We will consolidate between 140 - 145 for the next couple of months unless BOJ stops intervening. I have USDJPY continuing higher in a slow fashion to 160 - 170. Weeks to MONTHS
by OmaOne
Current inflation has nothing to do with the FedWith the most anticipated FOMC announcement in a long time coming tomorrow I'm throwing out my prediction: the Fed will be surprisingly patient with their tapering. This chart shows a few reasons why: 1. M2 growth does not have anywhere close to the same effect as it did on inflation in 1970. From the 3 decades 1970-2000 the CPI Growth/M2 growth was in the range of 0.65-0.75. Something happened in the next decade that broke this ratio down where it has been declining ever since - QE. Quantitative easing allowed the Fed to flood bank reserves into the system to protect from a liquidity crisis. This is what people refer to as "printing money" but in reality it that money is not being injected into the real economy. Banks reserves need to get loaned out and circulated in the economy to have an effect on inflation and this appetite for loans is not something their QE controls. Lower rates may have a limited affect but the majority comes from aggregate demand factors that are difficult to control. The second chart shows the first derivate of CPI/M2 over a 12 month period. Comparing the levels in the 1970s to our current period should make it clear we are not seeing even close to the same effects on CPI that we did then. We are still in an era more similar to 2010-2020 than 1970-1980 and the Fed doesn't even need to stop purchases to see the growth rate slow. 2. The dollar has not has barely been effected and already looks to have bottomed. The last chart shows how drastically the dollar index plunged in the two CPI spikes of the 1970s. This preluded the actual CPI numbers which is intuitive - the dollar plunging takes time to actually reach the consumer. This current cycle we haven't seen anything close to that. The dollar has held steady and is relatively unchanged since 2014. The dollar is not seeing a massive decline relative to other currencies like we did in the 1970s. 3. Supply issues have clearly had an effect on CPI It's not a surprise that Covid severely damaged the worlds supply chains. Pretty much every earnings call from a company that is exposed to the global supply chain mentions this. The New York Fed has a gauge here if you want to see for yourself. Luckily, it seems to be peaking but we are not sure of that yet. In summary, the inflation numbers we've seen are likely not being caused by monetary policy and the Fed knows this. Supply pressures look like they are starting to ease but we are not out of the woods. A drastic measure by the Fed may not even work to stop the inflation if my my assumptions are correct and it would induce a much more damaging stagflation. I predict the Fed is extremely cautious with their moves and we will not see anything drastic in tomorrows statement.
INDEX:DXYLong
by Seth-Goldberg
go long Desktop Metal $DMTechnical Thesis: -double bottom -20 day MA on the verge of a steep cross up through the 50 day MA -average volume is trending upwards -it broke out with significant volume Fundamental Thesis: -YoY Profit margins are trending upward -from 2018 to 2020 their debt to assets has fallen significantly -on the Macro side, with the ability of large-scale production and companies now needing to diversify their suppliers, Desktop Metal should benefit from growing their amount of clients, increasing cash flow allowing for more R&D, paying off debt, and improving margins. -possibility of being acquired, possibly by an automaker to improve the speed that they can produce. (like Tesla trying to acquire Velo3D) -currently the 2nd largest holding in Cathie Wood's PRNT ETF at the time of this post. in-flows will help the stock -they are figuring out a way to 3D print synthetic wood, which would make them an ESG play since it would reduce the need to cut down trees. Becoming an ESG play will only result in more in-flows. -Oppenheimer and Credit Suisse initiated coverage. The street is starting to take notice. Price Targets: Credit Suisse: $14 Oppenheimer: no target Sources: www.forbes.com www.dailyadvent.com www.streetinsider.com
NYSE:DMLong
by EBITDAtiger
Retailers are now selling lumber to suppliersI've heard this from a social media, from someone involved in this business. When I checked lumber futures with the only brokers that grants me access, the min order is 0.5 lots (62.5K), the risk would be at least €5000, and I also saw a 40,000 wick yesterday, and a 10k wick the week before that. So it's just not going to happen. I'm way too poor. Other goods are going up even grains, I'm trying to hop on board, I've been trying since August 2020 getting stopped or missing it, I'll get my chance. Millions of migrants are entering the USA. We know that "no one should tell their kids they have to sleep outside", so what will demagogues do to house these millions? Print money? And when that fails because the supply is not here, blame greed and print more? Until there is so much "money" the migrants can make beds with bank notes? A bloomberg article about lumber going back the supply chain: Boy I hope they hedged their risk using CME futures. Just kidding they probably did not. Rekt. www.bloombergquint.com Step by step: US demagogues developped a cult to Rudolf Havenstein & Karl Marx for years building up to 2020, the few saying this were called permabears & conspiracy nuts. The US government started considering very soon following the example of Rudolf Havenstein in March, even before. Mid-March: The MZM starts rallying. 27 March 2020: A law to spend trillions is signed (who would have thought?). April 2020: By the end of the month already most of the money printing has been done, and it starts getting distributed. No big visible impact on prices yet, BUT they did bottom which may show well informed speculators took long positions, predicting they would go up up up up. Well no, we can look at the COT, for steel large speculators are shorting since the bottom, and for Corn: Closed shorts June-August then long from September on (still around the bottom) January 2021 longs topped no change Small speculators are short whole time Lumber it's rather flat... Soybean large speculators went long but started closing at the previous high "resistance" of 1000 (price is at 1500 now). Copper speculators went long following the trend and started closing at their target resistance of 3.5 (price at 4.5 almost now). Am I the only one seing how transparent they are? And how as a group there is no brain, no one saw the price rises coming, no one is expecting hyperinflation now. Or maybe not "hyper inflation" it won't be that bad... although all hopes in humans is lost so yes, Weimar hyperinflation and everyone will act like it's the most normal thing in the world. So much for "the big funds that know everything". I don't get it. 1 billion tons of notes get printed, production declined, spending increases, no one expects prices to go up? The "big boys" simply followed the trend once it was obvious and closed their longs at some made up "resistance". If they knew everything they'd all be trillionaires... Just typical nonsense sold by daytrading course educators that missed their calling as a demagogue. I didn't ride any of these trends myself but I don't have much money & I do not have access to all the tools they have. And well what can I say that's it. I am not trying to be insulting but when very silly people like Paul Krugman 🤡 when nothing happens in the following 5 minutes go "aha! nothing bad happened" it's beyond ridiculous. First the FED prints monopoly money, then the government takes those magic beans, distrubutes some to corporates & citizen & itself, it goes through the bureaucracy so already it took a month or 2, then they keep slowly distributing it over the month, and a couple of months after the FED printed the magic beans it starts being spent, as it gets spent over more months, the prices go up, the prices REACT they do not magically go up before. The price of everything bottomed when the FED printed money, and then the giant green candles appeared months later. They continue to print money at a slower rate but still high, even if the initial March-April 2020 printing is already in the commodity prices what is being printed every month is not. And the USA have plans to spend even more, maybe they double down and spend tens of trillions who knows. But even if they don't... After the "commodity prices going up" (and staying up) step, meaning the industrial costs go up, the industrial prices will go up (already has for example car makers made announcements because of superconductor prices increases), and finally the retail prices go up (in some cases already did - lumber planks, with a short chain). Mainstreet is still celebrating their free money, and to us the price increases is already something of the past, that happened long ago, mainstreet will be aware of it in months, maybe even years, it will feel like a lifetime ago to us, but to them it will be breaking news... No one has superman powers, they're dumb powers anyway, but it's possible to have another type of superpower. What can possibly beat knowing things before everyone else knows? Being always 2 steps ahead?
LLong
by MrRenev
1
BTC: Road to the 70,000$ Following the cycle, BTC is heading into new highs. IT'S THE ROAD TO THE 70,000$ . Many economic indicators can help us confirm that: 1- With the Fed holding interest rates , DXY is now bearish although the US economy is recovering. 2- Morgan Stanley becomes the first big U.S. bank to offer its wealthy clients access to bitcoin funds, giving BTC more importance on the global markets. 3- The US government is still printing dollars, following the historical $ 1.9T stimulus . That's 7% of the US debt's size. 4- An overall sentiment that Bitcoin has a great future and that it can compete other currencies including the US Dollar. Will it reach the $ 70,000 ? Let's wait and see while enjoying profits ! Trade Safe ! If you like the idea, support us with a like and follow. MacroForex
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Therealsmaira
1
3D Printing ETF - Time for us to BUY 😊 ✔️Correction generates OPPORTUNITY. We have been waiting to see Support and BUY this beautiful, amazing, incredible, FANTASTIC ETF. The 3D Printing ETF (PRNT) seeks to provide investment results that closely correspond, before fees and expenses, to the performance of the Total 3D-Printing Index, which is designed to track the price movements of stocks of companies involved in the 3D printing industry. 3D PRINTING is an industry you might also want to invest in: 1. 3D printing will become a mainstream technology for serial production 2. Design software for additive becoming more integrated and easier to use 3. 3D printing applications will become adopted (are becoming adopted) 4. 4. Dental is adopting 3D printing as a dominant production technology 5. Micro-chips are being now made with 3d printing ( look at Nano ) 6. 3D printing will become smarter, faster, better, more efficient 7. 3d PRINTING IS THE INDUSTRY THAT WILL BOOST AEROSPACE AND DEFENCE (AND SPACE MINING) This is an industry still in the making, all the R&D will start paying fruits and I am talking for myself: This is a HAPPY DAY for me and I am buying it now! One Love, the FXPROFESSOR
CBOE:PRNTLong
by FX_Professor
1