The Printing Company- how it works :
- Imagine you can create apples, and that you are the only one in the world able to do that.
- So if you create 100 apples, you will make them more rare and unique, so maybe you can sell them for 10$ each one.
- So now imagine you create 10,000,000,000 apples, you will have more apples than peoples need to eat, so you will have to sell your apples 0.0001$
- Anyway you don't really care about your apples price goes down because, you can create how many apples as you want, and the world population is growing.
- This is exactly the same for the US Dollar :
-- Less they print paper, less life is expensive, because we get some kind of USD rarefaction.
-- More they print papers more the dollars flood the world, it makes it weak, then you need more papers to buy your home, a new car or food.
-- Flooding the world with USD make everyone dependent on USD.
- So in graph you can see how many dollars they created post crises 2007 and for Pandemic Covid in 2020.
- So what is the situation right now :
-- Basically they stopped to print ( that's the main reason DXY Pushed up. "Dollar rarefaction" ) and world economy crashed ( Forex, Stocks , Cryptos ) .
-- In time they will have no choice to print again because their system is based on a greedy model.
- What you see is the just top of the iceberg, the Fed is a mosquito if you compare it to the BIS ( Bank for International Settlements).
- Actually controlling the flux of the creation of the dollar is just controlling the world system, it's a kind of tax form that you don't see, but you pay it much more than you think with inflation.
- USD paper money system will end sooner or later for a new monetary model called CDBC.
- it will be worst than you think as they will control everyone having a phone on their hand.
- The Only way to to counter them is to buy Bitcoin because of his real disinflationary mechanic.
- There's no other way to counter the system right now.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Printingmoney
SPX Monthly - Adjusted for Real InflationThe assumptions are that money printing is real inflation as is often stated by Peter Schiff and M2 money supply is a good measure of the amount of money that has been printed into circulation. This data goes back to 1959 and makes the dot com bubble in 2000 look much more exuberant than current price levels. There is room for downside from here as the 1966 to 1974 decline and 2008 crash suggest.
The chart also suggests that there has been no real stock market growth since the 1960s. It should be noted that the stock market was a good place to keep capital as an inflation hedge and a source of dividends and that cash kept over this time period would have lost pretty close to all of its value while earning no dividends. It demonstrates how important it is to not let cash sit in a bank and collect dust and to be financially literate. The central bank system punishes savers and forces participation in markets.
The S&P can see a 75% increase or a 68% decrease from here and still be within its historical range. I’m leaning more bullish right now but these are very uncertain times, with the Fed having raised the fed funds rate to 4.75% and the stock market having declined for all of 2022. Nothing would surprise me but this chart helps to show that maybe the market isn’t as ridiculously priced as it looks when looking at the S&P 500 chart alone.
WBD hit some resistance and is ready for a breakout.Look at this chart of WBD on the Daily TF.
On the right side of the chart you will see a purple box which marks a pivot point.
Off of that pivot point, there is a Yellow resistance line, where price action was chopping along for some time.
The price action then started creating lower highs and lower lows creating a downward sloping megaphone pattern.
When you see this type of a pattern on towards the lows of the charts this becomes a bullish indicator.
Where you see the yellow line meet with the top of the megaphone pattern is a circle where you can expect resistance.
The resistance is due to the pivot point as well as the top of the megaphone.
If WBD were to hit the target within a couple of days then it would still be valid for a couple day pull back.
Now, if price action chops along the top of the blue line for 6 to 7 days the we can expect a breakout with a potential upside to the $17.00 range.
What do you think will happen?
Let me know in the comments.
Cheers,
BABA Nears Major Resistance, Short Sell PotentialTake a look at this beautiful chart.
We are looking at the BABA chart on the Daily TF.
Let's start out at the bottom of this chart where you can see the first measured move (purple measurement), which moved 36.30 points.
Then, notice that the second measured move (blue measurement), if we extend it up to 36.30 points, it takes you up to the yellow line.
The Yellow Line is a gap fill and with price action moving up, it will act as a resistance point.
Charts, (and humans) generally repeat past actions, this means that our possible target is around the 121 level.
Since gap fill is right at the 121 level and is coinciding with a measured move, this will be a great pull back level.
BABA will be closely monitored for movement in the next couple of days and this Idea will be updated if something in the chart changes.
What do you think will happen to BABA next?
Let me know in the comments.
Cheers,
p.s. this is not advice, it is just an opinion and what I see when looking at this chart.
TDOC is about to make a Breakout but which way will it go?What we are looking at here is TDOC on the Daily TF.
Draw your attention to down sloping trendline (Yellow). You will notice that the yellow trend line is acting as resistance and the price action has hit this line a couple of different times.
The price action from today (1/9/2023) helped solidify the downward sloping trendline and showed us that the resistance is strong along that line.
Now look at the downward sloping trendline (Green). It used the price action on Friday (1/6/2023) to help solidify that downward sloping trendline, which is acting as support.
The yellow resistance line and the green support line are creating a wedge pattern for TDOC to make a move.
If the Yellow resistance line gets tagged a couple more times, you can expect further upside and a breakout.
However, if you tag the support (Green line) too many times more, you will see price breakdown and the price of TDOC could go lower.
This is a situation where you just sit and wait for the price action and the charts to tell you what to do next.
TDOC will continue to be monitored as this stock has a lot of potential for a breakout.
What do you think will happen next with TDOC? Do you think Breakout or Breakdown?
Let me know in the comments.
Cheers.
META is setting up for a breakout.What we are looking at here is META on the Daily TF.
I want to draw your attention to the downward sloping line (yellow), where price action has been attacking since the beginning of April.
The yellow line was acting as resistance until the 5th hit of that line, when a break out occurred (purple box).
Now that we have seen a breakout above that resistance line, the chart is indicating that the price action wants to go a bit higher.
Once the price gets to around the $140 level it will hit the resistance line (green), where we can expect the price to stall out and eventually retrace back down to the blue support line (as it is an up-sloping trend line).
If it breaks through the blue support, it will head back down to the down sloping (yellow) trend line which will now act as major support.
The first hit of the blue line could possibly be a great place to start going long on META, knowing that if it does pierce the blue line, the yellow line will provide some additional support for a major move to the upside.
At the end of the chart you will notice the red arrows, which indicate how price action is expected to go.
META will continue to be monitored for price action and this post will be updated as things change.
In the comments, let me know what you think will happen.
Cheers.
NVDA Is going to hit support but W/ further downside in 2023.What we are looking at here is a beautiful NVDA chart on the Daily TF.
We are going to start at the middle of this chart where you will see the parallel channel that is being marked with the blue rectangle.
The price moves through the channel and touches both the top and the bottom of the channel several times.
Ultimately the price action moves to the top range of the chart, when there are multiple attempts to break through. As the attempts get closer and closer together that upper channel that is acting as resistance becomes weaker and weaker, and then a true breakout occurs.
Now I want to take your attention to the upper yellow line, which is a downward slopping trend line that is acting as major resistance. Once past the parallel channel the price action busts through the yellow resistance line but since this is only the third hit of that line it does what we would expect and gets pushed back down.
Now that the price action is back inside of the parallel channel we can expect further downside in 2023.
On the right hand side of the chart you will notice that there are Orange support lines.
Keep an eye on those as those will act as key support lines for a small bounce before continuing through from the first support, to the second support, and to the third support.
The third support is also a shorter term double bottom so you can expect a little bigger bounce on that one.
What do you think will happen in 2023? Will the charts bust through the upper resistance yellow line or will they flush through the orange line down to the bottom of the parallel channel?
Let me know your thoughts in the comments.
Cheers.
MSTR hitting support but then further downside to fill the gap.Okay guys look at this beautiful chat.
Here you are looking at MSTR on the Daily TF and you have a lot of stuff going on.
Notice the wedge pattern that is forming from the down slopping (yellow) line and the parallel (green) support line. That is forcing action to the corner of the wedge.
You will also notice that before the continued downward movement in the stock there was an attempted breakout (purple box). Now, this is where most investors would have jumped on board and though that this was a true break out, however there wasn't any confirmation.
Without confirmation there isn't a true breakout.
Also notice how the big gap up represented by the green line is now serving as a major support and goes back to 2020. This line has been tagged times now and is beginning to weaken.
Once the green line is weakened enough it will break and head down to the gap fill (represented by the blue line) and you will see a bounce off of that level.
We will continue to monitor the progress of this chart and see if there is enough bullish price action to get through the yellow resistance line or if the bears will win and fill that gap.
Let me know what you think will happen.
Cheers,
People are blinded by the Bear but Elliot tell a different storyThe past few months have been very tough for the crypto market when the price is entirely dominant by the Bear.
However, Elliot is here to bring good news, at least in a larger timeframe.
Looking at the bigger picture, we can observe that the basic Elliot wave is complete which include wave 1-5 and ABC in a smaller timeframe, and that completes the picture of wave 3 and 4 in the monthly timeframe.
So what do we do here?
Personally, I choose to take a risk by opening a long position after the price break the trendline as shown in the picture and tp at least 50% in the ATH area as we want to be cautious since the is a wave 5 in the Monthly timeframe and wave 3 have already increased a lot.
That's all bout the technical perspective. In terms of macro activities, I found that there's some news that could validate the fact that wave 4 just ended
Yesterday, the GDP of Americans have been announced to be negative 2 times in a row. This is very bad news for the USA that strongly affect DXY. So FED might want to stop increasing the interest rate sooner or later and start to print money to support the economy. and Crypto will be affected by that news in a good way
Trust the process.US30 short trades going well so far, all of my confirmations align so I'm letting them fly.
Yellow- Daily resistance zone with a break and retest
Blue- 4H support zone
Yellow arrow- 4H candle direction @12:15PM
Entry @12:15PM on the 2nd rejection of retracement on 15M
4H Bearish closure under McGinley Dynamic 40
Remain patient with each trade you take, pleasant trading.
Mad money printing from central banks, how will it affect you?Just a quick chart to show all the new money thats being printed by central banks
we can see how the stock market is being kept alive by all this extra wealth being pushed into it, keeping it bullish, the only downside is obvious, INFLATION, massive amounts of very dangerous and harmful inflation!
Highlighted the 2008 housing market short and also the most recent injection in March of 2021 for all this COVID B; and there is more to come now that President Biden has signed another package to print even more...
Its a house of cards and can already see it falling (not the money supply but the system) - are we being pushed into crypto? how does this effect the crypto markets too?
I'll do another chart showing the price of bitcoin compared to the extra money and show why we still have much more upside on Bitcoin and the crypto market, will BTC go parabolic like the money supply??? We shall soon see!!!
Trade well guys and gals, hold on tight if your just in fiat cause its gunna get very rocky ride down the next set of rapids - the only diversity you need in your life, is in your portfolio!!
Long on TSLA is ON! But be wary...Hello Traders!
Here is my first post on an equity and it might as well be Tesla, followed by a GME post coming up lol
While the dump has been significant, the reversal at Long Entry 1 is a good sign. We shall see what occurs soon.
Here are some key levels -
Entry 1: $547.28
Entry 2: $ 463.90
Directional Stop: $401.01
Target: $1067.34
While the long setup is activated, I am going to be paying attention to overall economic conditions in the coming weeks. The printing press is being fired up once again!
Happy Trading, always manage risk.
Quality in trading is the ability to react to one's own psyche
The Pandemic Debt Bubble of 2020 - ? I mean, does it need more explaining? The writing is on the wall. Even if you're sub 100 IQ, you would understand that going up = good and down = bad. We are going down. Very fast. That blue line is a 200 sequential moving average line. It means if you're under it for a long period of time, you're doing something very wrong. Buy Bitcoin, physical gold/silver, a house, magic the gathering cards... anything that can hold value for years. We are going for a ride.
EURUSD - fight for $ of 1% eliteClearly USD value is in question.
There is bigger demand for EUR than USD for now and we could it clearly see on charts. A lot of speculation and fear comes into play for the next 3 months.
Will EUR go higher? You can not predict future but last week showed that fear for holding USD is strong.
Current play:
Long term (D) - Longing
Long term (W,M) - this month will be crucial to switch into Long
DAYTRADE - wait, price already over-extended - we might focus on play between zones (RANGE) - current price is in golden zone - people mostly take profits here.
no trend trades in 1.12 <-> 1.36 => we are going for RANGE setups following Short Term Trend
sales@vanderhedge.com
SPY 400 by Labor Day (S&P 4000 this summer)We have not reached the top yet. The S&P will rise due to unprecedented liquidity and serious retail FOMO will kick in for a parabolic rise to SPY 400 (S&P 4000) by labor day 2020. This is the end of a 30+ year secular bull market. Once the fed signals slowing of quantitative easing due to rising S&P and economy showing signs of recovery, the bust will reach its second stage and kick S&P down to 800. Deflation will take control, leading to more QE and trigger inflation long term. Gold $10k by end of decade. Bitcoin will tag along the melt-up and will reach ATH this summer, then crash with the S&P but find a strong support level above $20k and reach $1MM by end of decade.
TETHER PRINT 1.53 BILLION USDT OVERNIGHT FROM THIN AIR!I spy with my little eyes Tether printing 1.5 B, yes BILLION USDT out of thin air.
Not only are the central banks printing unlimited FIAT to keep the economy afloat, we too are seeing USDT just being minted out of thin air in the Crypto universe. Now supposedly this is backed by 1.5B in Fiat US dollars but after seeing how shady Tether has been in the past, I personally highly doubt this is the case. Even if it is backed by fiat, that too was created with a click of one button so what difference does it really make?!
How coincidental this happens to be on APRIL 1ST LMAOO this whole thing really is a joke
I would not be surprised at all if we see extreme volatility and more pump and dump action come into the market in the very near future. 1.5B USDT is more than enough to give the market a good shake because remember that 1.5B USDT is NOT the same as 1.5B in market capitalisation.
For me personally, my plan remains the same. Sit back and watch this all play out, let this market properly bottom and let BTC form proper bottoming structure before going risk on.
Guys NEVER forget the 3 basic principles of trading and investing:
1) Preserve thy Capital
2) Protect thy Capital
3) Grow thy Capital
Or in other words…
1) Don’t lose money
2) Make Fucking sure you don’t lose money
3) Grow your money
These markets were made to take your money NOT make you rich. Never get so caught up in the 3rd principle that you lose sight and disregard the first 2. Without capital, you have no game left to play!
With that said guys, I’m very curious what’s your opinion on all this, how do you think this will impact the market? Be sure to let me know in the comments below!
If you liked todays little lesson and want more from where that came from please show some love by hitting that follow and like button!
100??? Oh my..Well here is what I see. If we have a good 10 more days of feds pumping money into the market we are going to have a LOT of selling pressure if we get beyond 100. 98 no longer held as resistance so we have been pushing our way to 100. I will be looking for a corrective structure and resistance under the dashed line before shorting the dollar.
current direction : Long
Bias : Short after a 100 FAIL
Entry: Break below 98.20 with a pullback retesting 98.80 zone