XAUUSD PROBABLE RANGE FOR APRIL 07 2020XAUUSD WILL PROBABLY TRADE BETWEEN 1670,19 - 1615,93. I HAVE A LONG BIAS.
Probability
USOIL PROBABLE RANGE FOR APRIL 07 2020USOIL WILL PROBABLY TRADE BETWEEN 28,26 - 25,83. I HAVE A BEARISH BIAS!
SPX PROBABLE RANGE FOR APRIL 07 2020SPX WILL PROBABLY TRADE BETWEEN 2679,22 - 2572,73. I HAVE A BEARISH BIAS!
XAGUSD PROBABLE RANGE FOR APRIL 03 2020XAGUSD WILL PROBABLY RANGE BETWEEN 14,55 - 13,91. I HAVE A BEARISH BIAS!
XAUUSD PROBABLE RANGE FOR APRIL 03 2020XAUUSD WILL PROBABLY RANGE BETWEEN 1620,86 - 1582,78. I HAVE A BULLISH BIAS!
USOIL PROBABLE RANGE FOR APRIL 03 2020USOIL WILL PROBABLY RANGE BETWEEN 27,31 - 20,76. IT GAVE ME A HIGHER HIGH AND HIGHER LOW ON THE RANGE, THEREFORE I EXPECT THE CONTINUATION OF THE PULLBACK. I HAVE A BEARISH BIAS!
SPX PROBABLE RANGE FOR APRIL 03 2020SPX WILL PROBABLY TRADE BETWEEN 2537,04 - 2451,67. I HAVE A BEARISH BIAS!
XAGUSD PROBABLE RANGE FOR APRIL 01 2020XAGUSD will PROBABLY range between 14,25 - 13,86. I HAVE A BEARISH BIAS ON SILVER.
XAUUSD PROBABLE RANGE FOR APRIL 01 2020XAUUSD will PROBABLY trade between 1619,30 - 1569,84. I AM BULLISH AND WOULD LIKE TO BUY SOME AROUND THIS LEVEL...
USOIL PROBABLE RANGE FOR APRIL 01 2020USOIL will PROBABLY trade in this range 21,89 - 20,01. I HAVE A BEARISH BIAS ON OIL BUT WE CAN SEE A PULLBACK BECAUSE IT HAS HIGHER HIGHS AND HIGHER LOWS ON THE RANGE!
SPX PROBABLE RANGE FOR APRIL 01 2020SPX will PROBABLY trade in this range 2648,21- 2563,04. I have a Bearish Bias, but we might see a pullback to the trend... will see...
PROBABLE RANGE FOR USOIL, MARCH 31 2020USOIL will PROBABLY trade between 20,87 - 19,26. Lower High and Lower Low... heading South? Bearish Bias!
XAGUSD PROBABLE RANGE FOR MARCH 31 2020XAGUSD will PROBABLE range between 14,43 - 13,82. I have a Bearish Bias on Silver right now.
PROBABLE RANGE FOR XAUUSD, MARCH 31 2020XAUUSD will probable range between 1630,25 - 1611,71. I have a Long Bias... but not yet!
PROBABLE RANGE FOR MARCH 31 2020SPX will PROBABLY range between 2637,01 - 2540,48. I am not expecting a breakout... to me it is more a retest! we are heading lower... Bearish Bias.
GOLD (XAUUSD) - 2H Trend PositionI explain why on this particular time frame the 2H at this point in time there is a greater probability for the south.
Please note carefully for every probability estimate in one direction, there is a residual probability in the opposite direction (e.g. if 51% for the south there is a 49% chance for the north). There is no way I know to accurately assess or measure probability in any particular direction.
In other videos I showed how many missed the Gold storm (for the north).
Disclaimer : Whist the position shown is advantageous in probability terms for the south in my estimation, there is a clear indication of loss. I could be wrong - as I am a lot of the time. This means if you short this and lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
Short GoldGold has bumped its head on a historically strong resistance level at ~1560.
USDJPY has not confirmed gold's move since Dec '19.
USDJPY breaking out higher itself (bearish gold) so we should expect gold to readjust itself.
DXY in general has regained an important historical level + 61.8 fib of most recent trend which points the dollar higher (bearish gold).
Rerate should take it down to ~1533. If it loses that level then bears will take full control of gold.
AUD/USD LONG - HIGH PROBABILITY SETUPAUD/USD is at a monthly demand zone, there are numerous traps enticing retail traders to short. E.g. bouncing off the weekly trend line, and a so called area of resistance on the daily.
COT data also shows banks are becoming slightly bullish and reducing short positions.
A-la-la-la-le-LONG,
ah-long-long-le-long-long-LONG!
Don't short basically.
Ps. Trade prediction is not an entry yet, certain requirements still need to be met.
AAPL - LONGThere is not much to lose if we take risk as a reward ratio.
The stop is between 228 and 229, the last peak.
Since new summits can be seen, our profit sales place is not clear, it is open end.
It will be determined by dynamic analysis.
If the increase continues, new peaks will be seen.
DAX - strong bearish divergence - Fight against probabability
In continuation to my previous chart on XETR:DAX , there is a continuation of the bearish divergence. This a signal that price action is not appropriately being reflected in the indicators and may see a halt or correction
Like I Said, I went through some data crunching and found the below interesting observations that make the current upward movement by DAX very encouraging (if you do believe in history) and hence the title fight against probability
Did you know from 1983 to 2018 (36 years history) for DAX
1. The Sept close candle has been in the Green 25 times and Red about 11 times (so Sept month being higher than previous month probability is about 70%
2.Oct and Nov close candle (that's posted in Nov and Dec respectively) has closed 24 times in Green and 12 times in Red (67% probability of ending higher than previous month)
3. All 3 months ending higher that the previous one probability is 30.56%
4. All 3 months ending in Red is a mere 5%
Year Sept Oct Nov (CANDLE CLOSE, POSTED IN SUBSEQUENT MONTH BEGINING) - G (Green) and R(Red)
1983 G, G, G,
1984 G, G, G,
1985 G, R, G,
1986 R, G, R,
1987 R, R, R,
1988 G, R, G,
1989 R, G, G,
1990 G, G, R,
1991 R, R,G,
1992 G, G, R,
1993 G, R, G,
1994 G, R, G,
1995 R, G, R,
1996 G, G, G,
1997 R, G, G,
1998 G, G, G,
1999 G, G, G,
2000 G, R, G,
2001 G, G, G,
2002 G, G, R,
2003 G, G, G,
2004 G, G, G,
2005 R, G, G,
2006 G, G, G,
2007 G, R, G,
2008 R, R, G,
2009 R, G, G,
2010 G, G, R,
2011 G, G, R,
2012 G, G, G,
2013 G, G, G,
2014 R, G, R,
2015 G, G, R,
2016 G, R, G,
2017 G, R, R,
2018 R, R, R,
2019 G, ?, ?
Hope this information is useful. Please share a thumbs up and leave a comment if you like it
www.tradingview.com
USDTRY - LONG (Gradual)Our risk / reward ratio is 0.28 in the first field and 0.09 in the second field.
There was a close above 5.84.
Long positions can be tried in small lots.
However, losses can be a bit high since the bar cannot be sure without closing, so stoploss should be placed directly at 5.81 or 5.84.
Our sales level for the first area is 6.095.
If the first area breaks down, our sales level is 6.56.
