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From Correction to Impulse: Elliott Waves in Jindal Steel power Technical Analysis of JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. based on Elliott Wave Principles
This analysis uses Elliott Wave Theory and structures, offering one potential market scenario among multiple possibilities. The information is for Educational purposes only and should not be taken as trading advice . There is always a risk of being incorrect, and users should not make trading or investment decisions based solely on this analysis. The content does not guarantee profits, and we are not responsible for any financial outcomes. It is recommended to consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Introduction to Elliott Wave Theory:
Elliott Wave Theory, developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott, identifies repetitive price patterns in financial markets, driven by investor psychology and crowd behavior. Here are some key Elliott Wave rules:
1. Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
2. Wave 3 is often the most powerful and cannot be the shortest of the impulse waves.
3. Wave 4 should not overlap with the price territory of Wave 1 (except in diagonal patterns).
4. Impulse waves move in five smaller waves (1-2-3-4-5), while corrective waves move in three waves (A-B-C).
Wave Counts and Analysis:
On the 2-hour chart of JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD., the completion of Wave (4) in blue is likely at the 896 low. This corrective phase may have concluded, signaling the start of a new bullish impulse wave.
Current Structure: Wave (5) in Blue Unfolding
We may now be at the start of Wave (5) in blue, which suggests further upward momentum. Within this wave, the internal structure shows:
- Wave 1 in red of Wave (5) has been completed.
- Wave 2 in red of Wave (5) also seems to have finished, a typical pullback phase.
- Wave 3 in red of Wave (5) appears to be starting, signaling a potential strong upward move.
Characteristics of Wave 3:
Wave 3 is typically the most extended and powerful part of an impulse wave. It often accelerates rapidly, fueled by market sentiment, and can deliver outsized price gains. This wave is expected to push the stock price higher with more conviction.
Based on Fibonacci levels, potential targets for Wave 3 are:
- The first target could be 1020 (100% Fibonacci extension).
- A further target lies at 1076, the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, a common level for extended third waves.
- An extended target is 1111 at the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
Moving Averages Confirmation:
Adding to the bullish outlook, JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. is currently trading above both the 200-period EMA and the 50-period EMA on the 2-hour, daily, and weekly timeframes, which signals strong strength to show upward momentum across multiple timeframes. The alignment of these exponential moving averages (EMAs) indicates that the stock is maintaining long-term support, which provides additional strength to the current bullish wave count.
Critical Level to Watch: 988
Once the price closes above the 988 level, we can expect further confirmation of strength. This price level is crucial as it would signal a breakout, paving the way for additional bullish momentum and targeting higher Fibonacci levels, such as 1020, 1076, and 1111.
Invalidation Level:
The wave count remains valid as long as the price stays above 896, the low of Wave (4) in blue. A break below this level would invalidate the current wave structure, implying that the bullish trend may be in jeopardy.
Summary:
In conclusion, JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD. appears to have completed its corrective Wave (4) in blue, with the price now starting to unfold into Wave (5) in blue. With Wave 1 and Wave 2 in red complete, the stock is likely entering Wave 3 in red, which typically exhibits strong price advances. The stock’s upward trajectory is supported by its position above the 200-period EMA and 50-period EMA across multiple timeframes (2-hour, daily, weekly), further strengthening the bullish case. Key levels to watch include 1020, 1076, and 1111, while 988 acts as a near-term breakout level. The invalidation point for this wave count remains at 896.
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My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
e-Learning with the TradingMasteryHub - 3 Strategies You Need
Welcome to the TradingMasteryHub Education Series!
Are you ready to take your trading to the next level? Join us for another exciting lesson in our 10-part series where we dive deep into strategies that can transform your trading game. Whether you're a beginner or looking to refine your strategy, these lessons are designed to guide you on your journey to mastering the markets.
Three Proven Strategies That Can Make You a Fortune, When You Follow Them with Discipline!
In trading, having the right strategy is crucial, but even the best strategy won’t work if you don’t stick to it. Today, we’re uncovering three live-proven strategies that can potentially lead to massive gains—when executed with discipline and precision.
1. The Trend-Following Strategy: Ride the Waves
Trend-following is all about identifying and capitalising on sustained market movements. This strategy involves buying when the market is in an uptrend and selling when it’s in a downtrend. The key is to use indicators like moving averages and the ADX (Average Directional Index) to confirm the strength of the trend.
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Breakout trading focuses on identifying price levels where the market has repeatedly struggled to break through—these are your key support and resistance levels. When the price finally breaks out of these levels, it often leads to significant moves.
To execute this strategy, use tools like the Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) and Relative Volume (RVOL) to confirm the strength of the breakout. A high RVOL indicates that the breakout is supported by strong market participation, increasing the likelihood of a sustained move. The trick here is to act quickly but carefully, entering the trade as soon as the breakout is confirmed and setting your stop-loss just below the breakout level to protect against false moves.
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Mean reversion strategies work on the principle that prices eventually return to their average or "mean" after extreme moves. This approach is particularly effective in range-bound markets where prices oscillate between defined levels.
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The Key to Success: Discipline and Consistency
While these strategies have the potential to deliver significant returns, they only work if you follow them with discipline. That means sticking to your trading plan, setting realistic profit targets, and most importantly, managing your risk. Remember, no strategy is foolproof—losses are part of the game. The goal is to stay consistent, manage your emotions, and keep learning from each trade, win or lose.
Conclusion and Recommendation
These three strategies—trend-following, breakout trading, and mean reversion—are time-tested and can be incredibly profitable when applied correctly. But success in trading doesn’t come from the strategy alone; it comes from the discipline to follow your plan, manage your risk, and stay calm under pressure.
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4. e-Learning with the TradingMasteryHub - Risk Management 1x1🚀 Welcome to the TradingMasteryHub Education Series! 📚
Are you looking to level up your trading game? Join us for the next 10 lessons as we dive deep into essential trading concepts that will help you grow your knowledge and sharpen your skills. Whether you're a beginner or looking to refine your strategy, these lessons are designed to guide you on your journey to better understand the markets.
📊 Manage Your Risk with These Three Simple Methods!
In trading, managing risk effectively is crucial to long-term success. Even the best strategies can fail if risk management is ignored. In this session, we'll explore three key methods that every trader should master to protect their capital and stay consistently profitable.
1. Position Sizing: Trade Smart, Trade Safe
Position sizing is the foundation of risk management. I always set a daily and weekly stop-loss limit to ensure that I can recover mentally and financially from any losses. My daily stop-loss is capped at 5-10% of my entire trading account, and I never risk more than 30% of that daily limit on a single trade.
Each trade's risk allocation depends on the quality of the opportunity:
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This ensures that my risk/reward ratio (R/R-ratio) is correctly calculated. Before entering any trade, I carefully assess whether the potential upside justifies the risk. If the R/R-ratio isn’t favorable, even for a 5-star setup, I might avoid the trade to protect my capital.
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Diversification is another critical aspect of risk management. As a trader, you can choose to focus on a handful of ticker symbols or spread your risk across a broader range of assets. The first approach, trading a few instruments, is easier to manage and ideal for strategies like market profile trading in FX or indices.
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Risk management isn’t just about protecting your capital; it’s about maintaining the psychological stability needed to trade consistently. By mastering position sizing, setting precise stop-loss orders, and choosing the right diversification strategy, you can navigate the markets with confidence and discipline. Remember, successful trading isn’t just about finding the right opportunities—it’s about managing those opportunities wisely to ensure long-term profitability.
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NLC India 334 % PROFIT and Reach the Falling Wedge Target 267Rs.I have identified and Analyzed a "Falling Wedge Pattern" on 21-06-2022, at that Time the Price was 61 rupees. Now SUCESSFULLY Breakout the Pattern and Reach the Falling Wedge Target 267 rupees. After Breakout, Target Reached within a YEAR.
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Soybeans: LongToday's session marks the beginning of the second up-wave in soybeans. The ultimate target seems to be around the 1305–1310 level. This move begins now and may possibly extend to the end of June or early July.
A wide stop is recommended to allow the trade to play out. A close beyond 1189 would nullify this trade, and losses should thus be taken.
Stay tuned for updates.
#EURUSD - 13 MayEURUSD formed another green weekly candle last week. Could see further upside for this week. Friday was bearish though so near term is weak.
Price opened at the PZ and is rejected by it. Thus looking for possible longs, but only at 1.0761 and possibly 1.0745.
Price target for today, 1.0799 double resistance and if hold, 1.0829 next.
#EURUSD - 10 MayEURUSD made a slow grind down lower over the past few days but yesterday it moved down to make a new low off a level and rallied all the way up, forming a bullish daily candle. However it is still below last Friday's high thus question remains if market will form a lower high or we are looking for a move higher.
However, yesterday's price action does point to a move higher. I would prefer to have a down move, to 1.0753 (bottom of PZ) or 1.0743 for a long to target above levels, with 1.0833 as near term target.
If however, EURUSD moved up from here, I will look to try a short off 1.0825/35 for a move down to 1.0803 and possibly 1.0775.
Unboxing Profits: A Modern Twist on Darvas's Strategy with VWMAIn the mid-20th century, Nicolas Darvas turned a modest investment into millions, all while traveling the world as a professional dancer. His secret? The Darvas Box Theory—a trading method that identifies stocks exhibiting strong upward momentum confirmed by increasing volume. Fast forward to today's digital trading world, and we find that Darvas's principles are still relevant, but they're now supercharged with advanced indicators like the Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA).
Reviving a Classic with Modern Tools
Our "Darvas Box Strategy with Visual Signals" leverages the simplicity of Darvas's boxes and pairs it with the insights of a VWMA. This strategy script for TradingView is designed to illuminate clear buy and sell signals on your chart, providing you with a compelling visual cue that marries price action with volume.
The Anatomy of the Strategy
At its core, the strategy is built on two primary components:
Darvas Boxes:
These are virtual 'boxes' that capture the 'high' and 'low' of a stock within a specified period. As per Darvas's original concept, a new box is formed when the stock hits a new high. The top and bottom of these boxes serve as the resistance and support levels.
VWMA:
The VWMA provides more than just an average price level—it integrates volume into the mix, offering a weighted average price based on the amount of activity. This gives traders a sense of whether the price movement is supported by the market's conviction.
Bringing the Strategy to Life
Using the script, traders can set their preferred 'Length' for the Darvas Boxes and 'VWMA Length' to tune the strategy to their trading style. The strategy plots:
VWMA Line: A smooth purple line that trails the price, adjusting with the volume flow.
Darvas Boxes: Visualized by green circles for the tops (resistance) and red circles for the bottoms (support).
Signal Flares for Entry and Exit
What sets this script apart is its ability to provide distinct 'Buy' and 'Sell' signals:
Buy: When the price ascends past the bottom of a Darvas Box and stands above the VWMA, it's an indication of potential upward momentum.
Sell: Conversely, a dip below the top or bottom of the box suggests a possible change in tide, prompting an exit signal.
Custom Alerts for Timely Execution
Recognizing the right moment to enter or exit a trade is crucial. Therefore, our strategy includes built-in alert conditions, ready to notify you of emerging opportunities as they happen.
In Summary
This Darvas Box Strategy with Visual Signals is more than just a nod to a bygone era of trading—it's a dynamic tool that integrates historical wisdom with contemporary analysis, aimed at helping modern traders navigate the markets with greater clarity and confidence.
Remember, while this strategy offers a strong foundation, it's vital to engage it within a broader trading system that accounts for your risk tolerance and market conditions. May your trades be as graceful and deliberate as a dancer's steps, much like Nicolas Darvas himself.
Crypto MOBUSDT Caution Advised Manipulation Lead to Downward
Greetings, Traders!
🌟 Hello everyone,
It's important to exercise caution with MOBUSDT as recent price movements suggest potential manipulation, leading to a sharp 100% increase. However, this may not be sustainable, and a downward movement could deplete capital.
BINANCE:MOBUSDT
Key Observations:
- MOBUSDT has experienced a rapid and unprecedented 100% increase, indicating potential manipulation in the market.
- Traders should be wary of entering long positions at this time, as the price surge may not be based on genuine market demand or fundamentals.
- It's crucial to closely monitor MOBUSDT for signs of a reversal or correction, as entering long positions under current conditions could result in significant losses.
Technical Analysis:
Technical indicators may provide insights into the extent of manipulation and the likelihood of a downward movement in MOBUSDT. Traders should pay attention to key support levels and reversal patterns.
Fundamental Factors:
While fundamentals may have contributed to MOBUSDT's initial price increase, the rapid and unsustainable nature of the surge suggests underlying manipulation rather than genuine market demand.
Trading Strategies:
Given the potential for a downward movement in MOBUSDT, traders may consider adopting a cautious approach and avoiding long positions until there is more clarity in the market. Short-term trading strategies or staying on the sidelines may be prudent.
In Conclusion:
With MOBUSDT exhibiting signs of manipulation and a potential downward movement looming, traders should exercise caution and avoid entering long positions blindly. It's essential to prioritize capital preservation and wait for more favorable trading conditions.
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#GBPUSD - 28 MarchGBPUSD moved as per the plan given; I was bearish GBPUSD and it moved down nicely yesterday. Similar to EURUSD, GBPUSD opened just below the PZ and came down on open, to the support below and bounced strongly, to make new highs but it hit the strong level within the PZ and came down the second time.
But again the same 1.2617 level held with 2 bullish pin bars and GBPUSD moved back up again to close near the highs at the strong level 1.2639.
However this morning again, it opened and came down to the support level below and bounced off it with a bullish candle. With the current bullish candle, GBPUSD should move higher possibly back to 1.2639. A break above 1.2639 should signal a possible low and 1.2659 is next. If however, 1.2639 is able to hold the sell and GBPUSD is again rejected off it, should see further break, with 1.2681 as the probable target.
#EURUSD - 27 MarchEURUSD plan worked rather well yesterday. Sell level at 1.0855 given and it reacted well and sold down 25 pips to new lows. I did consider a break above 1.0855 to possibly see further upside but my bias is to the downside possibility and it worked out well.
Bearish Tuesday indicating further downside but bullish Monday indicating support. I am of the opinion of the move lower. Overall, IMO as long as 1.0851 holds (but IMO max pullback is to 1.0845) look for further downside to 1.07995 double support.
Could bounce from there while whole structure is kept intact. A close below this level is bearish for further downside.
#EURUSD - 26 MarchEURUSD sold off on last Thursday post FOMC, and further on Friday hitting the 61.8 Fib and also my strong level. I said EURUSD could come down from the PZ but I was of the opinion of a further pullback before downside. My sell level was at 1.0851.
Yesterday was a slow moving day IMO as EURUSD just based and slowly moved above the PZ and did not hit the 1.0851 level but price has gone up further today on open and is approaching that level.
Price action yesterday is bullish thus question is if we will see further upside. I would say to watch the 1.0851 level. A rejection off the level would be a possible next leg down to target previous low at 1.0799 strong level before further downside to 1.0759. Will not discount the possibility of a break above, in which 1.0899 will be the upside target. I am leaning towards the downside for today.
#EURUSD - 25 MarchOn Thursday, EURUSD reversed the FOMC rally, which I said is very bearish and we could expect further downside on Friday. Indeed, EURUSD sold off further on Friday for a good 60 pips, closing near the lows.
Weekly price action is bearish thus expect further downside for this week. However, EURUSD is bouncing off the strong 1.0799 monthly level.
Price has pulled back to the PZ and is reacting off it. Overall, looking for a move lower, though it could come from here, 1.0851 IMO. Price target would be 1.0761 is likely magnet. but if break, 1.0711 is next.