India Cements - Revenge Trade 101 :) :) :)A Beginner's Guide - How to do Revenge Trading :) - Inspired by True Story !!!
Few years back, when I was naive in Technical Analysis, I took an Intraday position in India Cements basis someone's Call in Social Media.
It ended up hitting a SL resulting in a Loss of Rs. 111 :) Back then I used to lose money on everything F&O, Intraday, Equity - because "I was always dependent on Calls from someone... When the market goes other way - I used to Panic because that Someone won't respond to our queries or there would be no option for us to ask questions in those Telegram Channels"
As a "Smart Trader" I used to do Revenge Trading in F&O by taking Opposite positions because the market went the other way earlier. And the Market so Humbly and with Full Love and affection - SLAP ME ON BOTH SIDES - Ha ha
Later - I spent time on Learning and finally decided to take my real Revenge
To Avenge my Loss of 111 (Rs.)...
Took Revenge Trade at an entry price of 222 (Rs.)...
And personally Set up a %Target of 111% :) :) :)
Today - the price has reached 374 which is 68% from my entry of 222.
One of my student said India Cements - Looks Very Scary from Fundamentals Perspective and he said 111% Target looks too steep and extremely Risky
Really ??? Look at the Chart again. The Price has Beautifully completed a Breakout of a 17 Year Rounding Bottom Pattern for Targets of 394, 430, 470 and 586
Look at the Quarterly Chart - Are there any sudden Crashes / Volatile or Erratic Moves ? Despite having a Crappy Fundamentals - how can the Chart be so Neat and Clean ?
Understand the Reality - the market does not move as per Fundamentals - its just a Perception.
Let's quickly review the Math:
Entry Price: 222
CMP: 374
Profits: 68% already done
Now that the Breakout is completed on Weekly Closing and also if the price sustains at CMP for another 3 days - it would confirm the Breakout at Monthly closing - setting the 68% on Stone. It won't fall below after that
To reach the 111% Target from my Entry price of 222 - its just a matter of 25% more upside from CMP. After a 17 year Monthly Pattern Breakout - is it that hard to get 25% more ? Looks much simpler than before - No ?
Worrying too much about Fundamentals might make you a Mental :) (sorry - this is Hard reality)
Summary:
1. Don't take Revenge Trade with you loose - your Emotion will make you a Fool - same day
2. Wait for Opportune time - if I can Avenge my Rs. 111 loss with 111% gain - so can you
Learn First, Understand how the Market really moves (Don't have any Bias that Fundamentals, Valuations, PE, ROCE, ROE, EPS would offer best results) and Wait for the Right Entry point from the Market (Not from any Call Giver in Internet) and Avenge your loss Taking the Side of the Market (Not Against it)
Happy Trading :)
Disclaimer:
3+ Years Teaching Experience in Stock Market - Technical Analysis, Behaviour Analysis, Advanced Patterns, Emotional Management, News based Trading...
We are NOT SEBI Registered and Our focus is NOT providing Buy/Sell Recommendations/calls. Primary Objective is to provide detailed analysis of how to review a chart, explain multi-timeframe views purely for Educational Purposes.
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Ways to achieve greater profits
It's not necessary to use heavy positions or hold onto trades in order to achieve greater profits. I want to emphasize the dangers of these two approaches again. Heavy positions - the most direct manifestation of this in the market is that even if you are in a relatively good position, once you are stopped out, the heavy position can lead to significant losses. Of course, it must be acknowledged that if you can correctly predict the direction, it can also bring significant returns.
However, when weighing the two approaches, preserving capital should always be the first principle. Holding onto trades is even riskier. Once you encounter a one-way market, if you keep adding to your position, the result will be huge losses or even blowing up your account. Therefore, both approaches are not advisable.
The correct approach is twofold. First, operate in markets with larger formations, using staged profit-taking and setting trailing stops to take advantage of greater market space with zero risk. By holding for the long term, you can maximize profits.
Second, as the market continues to move, add to your position appropriately in situations where you already have profits, and then set stop-loss orders to protect your capital. For example, if you sell at the upper bound and the market later falls below the lower bound, the entire formation will turn downward.
We understand that there is still a lot of room for the market to run, so if you have profits from your sell order at the upper bound and the formation begins to turn downward, you can use additional orders and stop-loss orders to hold onto the position with zero risk, thereby maximizing profits.
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Two methods to ensure no loss of principal
There are only two ways to avoid losing capital: one is to have a small stop-loss space (reflected in the entry position), and the other is not to bet too much at once. For example, buying one lot with $10,000 can earn $1,000, and buying ten lots with $100,000 can earn $10,000. Although the probability is the same, the more you do, the more you earn, and the less you do, the less you earn. However, controlling losses should be the top priority. As discussed earlier, if you buy too many lots this time and get stopped out, it will result in a big loss, which violates the principle of capital preservation.
Some traders become increasingly greedy after making profits and then add more positions. A typical behavior is adding positions. For example, if you bought 10 lots at first and then made a profit in the expected direction, the trader would blame himself for not buying more at the beginning. Then, he would begin to imagine that the market would continue to move in the expected direction and invest most of his capital in this product, let alone any correct practices such as taking profits in batches.
After you add more positions, it means that the cost has changed. Once the market reverses slightly, you will go from being profitable to losing money. At this point, you panic, lose your ability to think, and greed slowly turns into hope. You hope that this is only temporary, but the losses increase every moment. Perhaps you will have some luck a few times, but it won't be long before there is a risk of a big loss or liquidation.
It is important to understand that becoming rich cannot be achieved by just one market movement, so don't be obsessed with this one time. Greed makes people forget about risk, and don't always imagine that the market will move in the expected direction, ignoring the risk of the opposite trend. This is the key to keeping your capital out of danger.
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I hope this can help.
Thank you
#GirolamoAloe
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