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Long AAL IntradayLooking at AAL today saw some good movement and it seems to be liking the 17.83 support area. In terms of probability, the stock holds some upside potential atleast until the next resistance 18.55. If the stock opens lower than the 17.83 support I will be looking at a more bearish outlook, a movement towards the 16.93 previous resistance. All in all in my analysis I deduce that 1. if the stock opens higher than the current resistance (18.55) I can definitely see a movement up to the 19.50 region and towards 20.30 2. If the stock opens at the current support (17.83) I can see it move upto to the resistance level 18.55 and profit with a quick scalp 3. if the stock open below the current support (17.83) I can see the stock move down to the previous resistance level (16.93) My pick: #1 Given the right momentum and bull pressure we can break past the 19.50 region and if so I can place TPs at 19.50, 20.30 and 21.20 Let me know if you guys think of anything else. Just looking to record my ideas and if they help anyone with their own analysis, all the better.
NASDAQ:AALLong
by RobinDhillon
1
USDMXN: BOOOOM morethan 26,000pips and 500% return on my accountWhat did I say about USDMXN? I said it will SELL like crazy!!!!!! you don't believe me? check out my previous analysis I've been making since early May!!! USDMXN has been my greatest trade since March. In March I made 50,000pips and now 25,000pips!!! I've mentioned to SELL this pair since early May, check out my previous post to verify my claim. I will try to BUY this pair in the near future but for now, I'm done Selling! there is a good chance it might continue to go lower but I've already achieved my goal to make 25,000pips (500% on my account). This pair has retraced more than 50% and a good buying opportunity might be around the corner but it might take time for the Buy formation to happen. What a great way to start the month! comment below if you managed to capture the move...
by UnknownUnicorn4020772
5
001 Piggish_Play - Bearish Strangle on Urban Outfitters (URBN)NASDAQ:URBN TRADE OVERVIEW: Entry Date: Monday - Tuesday, May 25th - 27th, 2020 Ticker: {URBN} Sector: Retail - Apparel STRATEGY AND POSITION DETAILS: Strategy: Aggressive Bearish Strangle Main Position: 80 PUTS $17.50 Strike Expiration (5/29) N/A Offset Position: 10 CALLS $20.00 Strike Expiration (6/19) N/A FUNDAMENTAL REASONING: Aside from the entire sector missing street estimates by an average of triple digits (both top and bottom line), URBN is the clear choice for worst Q1 performance, missing consensus estimates by over 500%. The only award they won was providing the bleakest Q2 guidance in the sector. This company is either going bankrupt or will be struggling to survive for the next three quarters. I do not see a bullish fundamental argument. Finally, very recent analyst estimates have been slowly teasing down throughout the weekend. Once I see an actual “Sell” rating, it’s all over, in my opinion. TECHNICAL REASONING: Triple-top formed and confirmed on Friday with heavy headline resistance . Volume speaks volumes - red days simply have several times more volume than green days. The gap from 17.50 to prior peaks is simply insurmountably high, given the recent lack of fundamental confidence. To that point, I believe that the sideways trend is now long enough to align with pre-COVID highs where the 3rd Cycle Wave down can begin. Also, I believe that both URBN and the major indices are experiencing heavy buying exhaustion, which leads me to believe that a corrective week is coming. The tailwind from the broader market pullback will likely be the final push down for this stock. POSSIBLE PITFALLS: The stock is broadly oversold and tends to bounce violently at lows. Look back at the 5-year chart for evidence of the power behind these bounces. My logic is that if it does get a sustained and powerful bounce, it will continue to 20 and beyond. The call options have more time value, and thus, act as a perfect hedge in case the broader market surges over the next coming weeks. BOTTOM LINE: Polar Bear Candidate of the Year - I cannot find any reason to be bullish from a fundamental perspective. Buy short-term PUTS & offsetting calls for an aggressive strangle this week that can yield 5-6X given the clear 12 dollar target.
NASDAQ:URBNShort
by UnknownUnicorn5511258
3
USDJPY BULLISH ABOVE 107.30The US dollar remains well-supported against the Japanese yen currency as traders continue to buy any dips towards the 107.00 level. Technical analysis shows that bulls need to defend the 107.30 level this week to keep the recent bullish bias in play. Traders should be aware that a breakout above the 108.00 level could cause a powerful rally in the USDJPY pair towards the 110.00 level. The USDJPY pair is only bullish while trading above the 107.30 level, key resistance is found at the 108.30 and 109.00 levels The USDJPY pair is only bearish while trading below the 107.30 level, key support is found at the 106.90 and 106.03 levels. Do your own analysis ... Dont Forget Moving StopLoss At Breakeven Disclaimer! This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only! You can use the information from the post to make your own trading plan for the market. You must do your own research and use it as the priority. Trading is risky, and it is not suitable for everyone. Only you can be responsible for your trading.
by tyleralee