USD/JPY- Correction Phase with Potential TargetsThe main trend for USD/JPY is down, but the price is currently in a correction. We expect the secondary trend to continue. In the H1 timeframe, the wave structure suggests a higher high is likely.
Target areas:
T1: 141.64
T2: 142.28
H4 Target: 143.04
Stop Loss: 140.30
Profittargets
Minervini’s Specific Exit CriteriaIntroduction
In this tutorial, we delve into the heart of Mark Minervini's trading philosophy—his specific exit criteria. Mastering the art of exiting a trade is as important as knowing when to enter. Minervini, a renowned stock market wizard, emphasizes that the secret to successful trading lies not just in selecting the right stocks but also in understanding when to sell them. This section focuses on three fundamental aspects of his exit strategy: the Stop-Loss Strategy, the Profit Target Strategy, and the Trailing Stop Strategy.
Each part of this section is designed to provide you with a deep understanding of these strategies, integrating the wisdom of Minervini's approach with practical, actionable steps. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting, mastering these exit strategies will empower you to make informed decisions, manage risks effectively, and maximize your trading potential. Let's embark on this journey to unravel the nuances of Minervini's exit strategies and apply them to enhance our trading acumen.
1. Stop-Loss Strategy
Introduction to Stop-Loss Orders
Definition: A stop-loss order is a vital tool in trading, particularly in swing trading strategies like those advocated by Mark Minervini. It is an order placed with a broker to buy or sell a stock once it reaches a predetermined price. The primary function of a stop-loss order is to limit an investor's loss on a security position. By automatically triggering a sell or buy order when the stock price hits the specified level, it prevents further loss.
Importance in Minervini's Strategy: Mark Minervini, a renowned swing trader, places a strong emphasis on risk management in his trading approach. For Minervini, a stop-loss order is not just a safety net; it's a critical component of successful trading strategy. He asserts that controlling losses is just as important as securing gains. By setting a stop-loss, a trader can ensure that their losses are controlled and predictable, which is essential in the volatile world of stock trading.
Setting Stop-Loss Levels
• Percentage-Based Stop-Loss: One of Minervini's key strategies involves setting stop-loss orders at a fixed percentage below the purchase price. This percentage is typically between 7% and 8%. For instance, if you purchase a stock at $100, setting a stop-loss order at 7% would mean placing it at $93. This method is straightforward and can be easily applied to any trade.
• Volatility-Adjusted Stop-Loss: Minervini also advises adjusting stop-loss levels according to the stock's volatility. Volatile stocks, which have larger price swings, may require a wider stop-loss order to avoid being prematurely stopped out. For example, if a stock is known to fluctuate by around 10% regularly, setting a stop-loss closer than this percentage could lead to an unnecessary sale. In such cases, a wider stop-loss, perhaps around 12-15%, might be more appropriate.
Practical Examples
• Example with a Less Volatile Stock: Consider a stable stock, XYZ, trading at $50. Following Minervini's percentage-based strategy, you could set a stop-loss at 7% below the purchase price, which would be $46.50. This level ensures that if the stock unexpectedly declines, your maximum loss will be limited to 7%.
• Example with a Volatile Stock: Now, let's take a more volatile stock, ABC, which is also trading at $50. Given its higher volatility, a 10% stop-loss might be more appropriate, setting the stop-loss order at $45. This wider margin accounts for the stock's normal fluctuations, reducing the likelihood of a sale triggered by ordinary market volatility.
In both examples, it’s crucial to monitor the stock performance and adjust the stop-loss orders as necessary, especially in response to significant market events or changes in the stock's fundamentals.
This section of the tutorial underscores the critical role of stop-loss orders in implementing Minervini's trading strategies. By effectively using stop-loss orders, traders can manage risks, control potential losses, and enhance their overall trading performance.
2. Profit Target Strategy
In Mark Minervini's trading philosophy, setting realistic profit targets is a cornerstone of successful trading. This strategy involves a careful analysis of historical data, chart patterns, and specific criteria established by Minervini. The aim is to identify a potential exit point that maximizes gains while minimizing risks.
Setting Realistic Profit Targets
• Analyzing Historical Data: Start by reviewing the historical performance of the stock. Look for patterns in how much the stock typically moves after breaking out of a base. This gives an insight into what might be a realistic target.
• Understanding Chart Patterns: Chart patterns play a vital role in setting profit targets. For instance, the 'cup and handle' pattern can provide clues about the potential upside. The depth of the cup or the height of the handle can be used to project the upward move.
• Minervini's Criteria: Minervini often looks for stocks with strong fundamentals and a history of robust earnings growth. The idea is to invest in stocks that have the potential to make significant moves.
Risk-Reward Ratio
• Definition and Importance: The risk-reward ratio is a measure used to compare the expected returns of an investment to the amount of risk undertaken to capture these returns. A favorable risk-reward ratio for Minervini is typically around 3:1 or higher. This means for every dollar risked, there is a potential to make three dollars.
• Application in Profit Targets: When setting profit targets, consider the potential downside (or the distance to your stop-loss) and set a target that adheres to this ratio. For example, if your stop-loss is set to result in a $1 loss per share, your profit target should aim for at least a $3 gain per share.
Examples
• Example 1: Stable Stock with Moderate Volatility: Let's say you buy a stock at $100, and based on historical performance and chart analysis, you expect it could rise to $120. If your stop-loss is set at $95 (a $5 risk per share), your profit target of $120 provides a risk-reward ratio of 4:1, aligning with Minervini’s strategy.
• Example 2: High Growth Stock with High Volatility: Consider a high-growth stock purchased at $50. The historical data and chart patterns suggest a potential target of $70. If your stop-loss is at $45 (risking $5 per share), then the profit target of $70 gives a risk-reward ratio of 4:1.
In each example, the key is to align the profit target with the calculated risk-reward ratio, ensuring that the potential gains justify the risks being taken. This disciplined approach to setting profit targets is integral to Minervini’s strategy and can significantly influence the success of your trading endeavors.
3. Understanding Trailing Stops
In the context of Mark Minervini's trading strategies, trailing stops are a dynamic and essential tool for managing positions and protecting profits. They are particularly significant in swing trading, where capturing trends and reacting to market changes promptly is crucial.
Definition and Benefits
• Definition: A trailing stop is a type of stop-loss order that moves with the market price. Unlike a standard stop-loss, which remains fixed once set, a trailing stop adjusts as the price of the stock moves in a favorable direction. The trailing stop is set at a percentage or a specific dollar amount below the market price.
• Benefits: The primary benefit of a trailing stop is its ability to secure profits while allowing room for further growth. As the stock price increases, the trailing stop follows it up, maintaining the set distance. If the stock price falls, the trailing stop remains stationary, and a sell order is triggered if the price hits the trailing stop level. This method effectively locks in profits and limits losses without the need for constant manual adjustment.
Application in Swing Trading
• Importance in Minervini’s Strategy: Minervini, known for his precise swing trading tactics, emphasizes the use of trailing stops for capturing the maximum possible trend movement while safeguarding the gains. In swing trading, where the goal is to capture short- to medium-term trends, trailing stops ensure that traders do not exit a position too early during a favorable trend or too late when the trend reverses.
Setting Trailing Stops
• Methods: There are several methods to set trailing stops:
• Fixed Percentage: This involves setting the trailing stop at a fixed percentage below the market price. For example, a 5% trailing stop on a stock currently at $100 would be placed at $95.
• Specific Dollar Amount: Here, the trailing stop is set at a specific dollar amount below the market price. For a stock at $100, a $5 trailing stop would be placed at $95.
• Technical Indicators: Some traders use technical indicators, like moving averages, to set trailing stops. For instance, setting a trailing stop below a 20-day moving average.
• Dynamic Adjustment: The key to using trailing stops effectively is their dynamic adjustment. As the stock price moves up, the trailing stop moves up accordingly, always maintaining the predetermined distance from the peak price achieved.
Summary
In this tutorial, we have delved into the critical aspects of Mark Minervini's exit strategies, focusing on practical and effective methods to optimize trade exits. We explored the Stop-Loss Strategy, emphasizing the importance of limiting losses and managing risks with carefully placed stop-loss orders. The Profit Target Strategy highlighted the significance of setting realistic profit goals based on a thorough analysis of historical data and chart patterns, always considering the crucial risk-reward ratio. Lastly, the Trailing Stop Strategy showcased a dynamic approach to protecting gains while allowing room for potential upside in a stock's price.
By understanding and applying these strategies, traders can enhance their ability to make informed decisions, effectively manage risk, and potentially increase profitability. These exit strategies, integral to Minervini’s trading philosophy, offer a disciplined framework for closing positions, vital for success in the dynamic world of swing trading.
📉 Falling Wedge Alert on $1INCH! Reversal Potential!Hey traders! Today, I want to discuss an intriguing chart pattern I've identified on $1INCH. Let's explore the falling wedge pattern and its implications, particularly in relation to the parabolic trend. 📊💡
Pattern: Falling Wedge 📉🔽
Symbol: CRYPTOCAP:1INCH 💰
Overview:
A falling wedge is a bullish chart pattern characterized by converging trendlines, with the upper trendline sloping downward and the lower trendline sloping upward. The presence of the parabolic trend further adds to the potential reversal scenario. Let's delve into the falling wedge pattern on CRYPTOCAP:1INCH in more detail. ⚡💹
Key Features of the Falling Wedge on CRYPTOCAP:1INCH :
Converging Trendlines: The upper trendline connects lower highs, while the lower trendline connects higher lows, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment. 📈📉
Parabolic Trend Support: Notice that CRYPTOCAP:1INCH is currently holding the parabolic trend, which reinforces the bullish outlook and strengthens the potential reversal signal. 🚀📈
Breakout Expectations:
Falling wedge patterns often precede bullish breakouts. To confirm the pattern, traders typically look for a decisive move above the upper trendline. It is essential to wait for a confirmed breakout before considering any trades. 🚀📈
Trading Strategy:
Entry Point: Consider entering a long position once CRYPTOCAP:1INCH successfully breaks above the upper trendline of the falling wedge pattern, supported by the parabolic trend. This breakout could indicate a potential reversal and continuation of the upward trend. ⬆️💰
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, set a stop-loss order below the lower trendline, protecting against potential downside. ⛔️📉
Target Levels: Identify key resistance levels or previous swing highs as profit targets. Adjust your position size and take profits accordingly. 🎯📈
Risk Management:
Implement proper risk management techniques, such as position sizing, setting stop-loss orders, and adhering to your trading plan. Always be aware of the inherent risks associated with trading cryptocurrencies like $1INCH. ⚠️💼💡
Disclaimer: Trading cryptocurrencies carries risks, and it is crucial to conduct thorough analysis and seek professional advice before making any investment decisions.
#FallingWedge #1INCH #Cryptocurrency #ParabolicTrend #BullishReversal #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #ProfitTargets #RiskManagement
In conclusion, the falling wedge pattern identified on CRYPTOCAP:1INCH , combined with the parabolic trend, suggests a potential bullish reversal. Exercise caution and wait for a confirmed breakout before making any trading decisions. Stay tuned for further updates on $1INCH! 🚀💹
(Note: This post is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice.) 💡💼📚
The Exit - How to take profitsToday’s content:
1. Why each exit is within 3 months?
2. Why I turn from investing to trading the US markets since Jan 2022 and onwards
If you have been following, today’s is the 6th tutorial in our Trading Series:
1. “The buy strategy”
2. “The sell strategy”
3. “Developing long & short-term view”
4. “Choosing between the time frame”
5. “The entry”
6. “The exit”
Refer to the links below or check the previous 5 videos.
E-Mini Nasdaq Futures
Minimum fluctuation
0.25 point = $5
1 point = $20
10 points = $200
100 points = $2,000
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
+129 Pips Profit On USDCAD Trend Trade!After yesterday's @FollowMyForex trend following strategy to buy USDCAD on the H4 chart price never looked back and just blew through our first and then second targets.
This is why our trend-following system will always be my personal favourite. When it gives a signal I always have so much confidence in the trade. You just know that you are getting on board with something that has major momentum left in the engine and the odds are always in our favor with this trade.
On average our trend trades last about 2 days if we take it from the H4 chart, but this one lasted no more than 14 hours and we had all our profits booked!
A commenter on the initial trade signal mentioned that he only sees downside from here which obviously wasn't the case. The lesson here is that if you have a proven professional strategy that you trade with that has a defined edge, you take each and every trade with full confidence, regardless of the scary uncertainty of what's going to happen next. You know that even if this trade results in a loss, if you keep trading this system you'll come out very profitable. And that's what it's all about after all, isn't it? Being profitable month after month, year after year.
Good luck out there and well done to everybody who took yet another profitable trade with us!
KNC/BTC Trade Setup. Bullish Div. on RSIBullish Divergence on the RSI... higher lows, and yet the price has stayed about the same. Big resistance at 6k, but after that we are clear until 7.4k.
Kyber Network Credits (KNC) has spiked to that level twice already on kucoin.
So that is where I would place the first profit target, around 7.4k satoshis.
A good stop-loss would be 5k satoshis, but that's up to you. I set alerts for certain price levels rather than stops, so I can analyze the situation instead of being auto-stopped out of a trade.
As for longer term profit targets, we could realistically hit the 9-10k satoshis range. Typical practice is to sell half at the first target, and hold 25-50% for future targets.
Very important...! I know little about this coin KNC fundamentally, so it is automatically a high risk high reward trade for me. I put a small bag in this coin, 2% of my portfolio, with a 60% sale target at 7.4k sats.
I wish I had more time to do research on setups like this, but for the time being I am incredibly busy.
Thank you, and good luck traders!
LUNyr (LUN) : 1H Chart : 400% Potential ProfitAfter waiting for what feels like a month, LUN seems to be ready for its next run..
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Time requirement for targets to be met are undefined and difficult to project in advance..
This is not investment advice, merely my personal opinion and therefore fallible.. Trade safely..
I don't accept responsibility for any losses incurred, but will however attempt to guide you out of a bad trade, should that come to pass as a result of my posts..