USOIL - LONG - WEEKLY ANALYSISThe "USOIL" has been in a downtrend since May - 2022 and it stands to reason that we will start to see a bottoming soon if necessary.
In today's post, I will analyze in more detail at which key areas we can expect a bottoming.
- For this, we will look at the "USOIL" from the weekly view and integrate elements of the daily, weekly and monthly charts.
In the following, I will go into more detail about the individual areas and break them down in an understandable way:
1. | FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT |
For this Fibonacci retracement we take the movement,
which started in - December/2021 - and ended in - March/2022 -.
-> 0.786 FIB = 76.79 USD | Successfully processed
-> 0.88 FIB = 70.50 USD | Pending retracement
> As "BLUE" lines + area - drawn in the chart.
2. | FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT |
For this Fibonacci retracement we take the movement,
which started in - November/2021 - and ended in - March/2022 -.
-> 0.618 FIB = 70.25 USD | Pending retracement
-> 0.65 FIB = 67.18 USD | Pending retracement
> As "ORANGE" lines + area - drawn in the chart.
3. | DEMAND ZONES |
The demand zones formed at the beginning of the upward movement,
so they were created and in - November-December/2022.
-> MONTH ZONE = 62.46 - 77.41 USD | Pending settlement
-> WEEK ZONE = 62,46 - 72,97 USD | Outstanding settlement
-> DAY ZONE = 66,24 - 70,42 USD | Pending execution
> As "GREY" areas - drawn in the chart.
4. | POINT OF INTEREST
The point of psychological interest,
was created the first time in - August/2005 - and showed some reactions since then.
-> POI = 70.00 USD | Pending settlement
| In the upcoming situation, the POI should be used as a support.
| POI is used as ZONE -> no point exact support.
> As "TURKIS" line - drawn in the chart.
NOTE
-> Psychological numbers are relevant decision points, because the human brain (subconsciously) prefers round numbers.
-> For this reason, a lot of interest (orders) accumulates at these points, which serve as required liquidity for institutions.
4. | CONCLUSION
How the detailed scenario for "USOIL" could look like, cannot be guessed at the moment, so we have to postpone the more detailed consideration to the future.
Despite this, the key points I have presented, will most likely trigger a reaction.
-> As soon as we reach the areas, I will upload a detailed execution.
Feel free to discuss it in the comments and share our perspectives, I would be "burning" to hear your take on it all.
Thanks a lot and happy trading!
Prognosis
Speculative Grade LongI rarely dabble in health service companies. But, after doing some reading I see a lot of merit in their mission, and this company could easily be worth 10X its current market capitalization if utilized by the Health service industry or acquired by an insurers to cut liability costs. Little can be distilled from available chart data, and comprehending the fundamentals for this sector are beyond my expertise. I am looking at this company as a speculative grade holding to diversify the portfolio a bit into the health service sector.
seekingalpha.com
seraprognostics.com
www.360dx.com
*TA interpretation + personal opinion = not investment advice
Settlement of my forecast from 26.09.2018I wrote:
"Publishing to check it out, if this "prophecies" will fulfil or not, just of curiosity. I am using my own knowledge only in the field of astrology.
2018 (from now to the end of this year), 2019 - whole year
Whole cryptomarket capitalisation- 2018 there will be pump but not much profitable (limited in nature)/ 2019 - will do new dip or dips, temporary very deep, there will be spikes up, but without new bubble, only corrective moves after decline times, the year will be closed however with + in whole marketcap.
Some from my "to observe" list:
Ripple - 2018 - huge gains/ in 2019 will be not profitable (stagnation with tendency to decline)
Bitcoin - 2018 - the same as whole market, pumps will be not very profitable, and year will be ended with resuming of further decline/ 2019- hard days, seeking of new skin, need to reform, gains are limited with further decline tendency
Bitcoin Cash - 2018 and 2019 - only pumps&dumps activity after decline periods
XEM - 2018 - after deep declining there will be temporary spike up, that will fade soon after that/ 2019 - work in the shade, some turbulences but the year will be in + for market value (not huge, no bubble)
Waves - 2018 - declining further after some spikes up and stagnation
Verge - 2018 - bigger pumps and dumps after with tendency to fading of capitalisation to new lows
Komodo - 2018 - no chances for big growth in value
Decentraland - 2018 - no perspectives for huge gains
ZClassic - 2018 - pumps&dumps activity only with tendency to further decline of marcetcap near the end of the year
Veritaseum - 2018 - chance for huge gains, but temporary in nature
Aragon - 2018 - will gain significant value (temporary) after some big agreement
So astrology says, that some gains are possible, but only limited in nature to the end of this year, and not in many projects. "
Part 1: What is Technical Analysis? Starters guide for investingDear investor,
Welcome to my blog, where i am trying to learn investing with technical analysis (TA). I will share my studies and investings ideas with you, so we can discuss with each other.. First off all i'll investigate a theoretical studie. After this i'll try the theoretical studie on cryptocurrencies. This blog is for everyone who wants to start investing, but does not know how to begin.
Why cryptocurrency?
The volatility makes it more attractive to invest in Cryptocurrencie. Because of the volatility we can invest in short and long term targets.
My opinion: do not invest money what u can't loose and make youre own strategy on how much money you can invest.
What is TA and prognosis?
Technical analysis is an anlysis method whereby we will make an prognose by watching historical price.
From this sentence we can conlcude that all our prognoses are related on just one piece of information: the historical price movement. For the technical analyst the price movement is the only objective information what he has. All other informations are subjective and can be interpreted in different ways.
Another important word in the previous sentence is prognose . This word prognose is carefully chosen, because making of an prognose is not the same as predicting. Predicting suggest any certainty, but this is not possible. My analysis can be verry good, however it can be wrong because of all kinds of unexpected external/internal factors. The course is never unclear: it rises or goes down . This can not bi disputed.
With prognosing we sketch the most likely scenario, with targets and stop loss. Targets are my selling points. I'll not sell all my coins in just 1 target, but spread it in 1/4 part on each target. The stopp-loss is the level where i will get off my coins with loss. When reaching this level, i say that my analyse is wrong and i have to step out with loss timely before i'll have bigger problem (If i do not step out at this level, a will have a bigger loss what means i have to wait to long time to get my money back). When finishin my investing scenario, i'll make an counter scenario with the possible movement if my scenario fails.
(This is just an example on how to note targets and stopp-loss on youre charts, not an trade idea. Finding the target areas and stopp-loss are will be studied in another part..)
Summary:
For the technical analyst the price movement is the only objective information what he has;
Making of an prognose is not the same as predicting. Predicting suggest any certainty, but this is not possible;
The course is never unclear: it rises or goes down;
With prognosing we sketch the most likely scenario, with targets and stop loss
In the following parts i'll write about charttechincal and statistically analyse. I'll studie Elliot wave and combine this with indicators to prognose an scenario. If you like to know more about investing with TA please follow me and feel free to place youre comment.
One generation passeth away, another generation cometh, but the earth abideth forever. The sun also ariseth, and the sun goeth down, and hasteth to his place where he arose.
The wind goeth toward the south, and turneth about unto the north; it whirleth about contunually, and the wind returneth again according to his circuits. All the rivers run into the sea; yet the sea is not full; unto the flow from whence the rivers come, thither they return again...
The thing that hat been, it is that which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall done; and there is no new thing under the sun..
Source: Elliot Wave Principle, Key to Market Behavior.
The books i mostly use and reccomend are:
- Elliot Wave Principle, Charles J. Collins
- Investing with technical analysis, H.J. Geels (Dutch)
ADA/BTC - Dangerous Stability in the Short term, watch out!Actually, noticed most important points on the graph. So, watch out carefully and let's see what will happen. I'm waiting ADA to get out of this Stable range . Hope it'll be able to get enough positive volume to go up above First strong Resistance , so we can buy for very huge profits in the mid-term.
P.S. News shows that ADA will certainly overcome this dangerous situation.