PGR Weekly Bearish Setup – 2025-06-13 Expiry📉 PGR Weekly Bearish Setup – 2025-06-13 Expiry
🧠 AI Model Consensus | NYSE:PGR
Despite a short-term bounce, multiple AI models signal a bearish bias this week for Progressive Corp ( NYSE:PGR ), driven by weak daily charts and heavy put interest around the $250 zone.
🧪 Model Breakdown:
🔹 Grok/xAI
• 📉 Bearish overall: Price < daily EMAs, negative MACD, oversold RSI
• 🟢 5-min chart shows temporary bounce
• ⚠️ Max pain & heavy put OI @ $250
• 🛠️ Trade: Buy $260P @ market (target +50%, SL: stock > $272.50)
• 📈 Confidence: 65%
🔹 Claude/Anthropic
• 📉 Below all EMAs (5-min + daily), RSI oversold
• ⚠️ Max pain at $250, put dominance
• 🛠️ Trade: Buy $260P @ ~$0.70 → PT: $1.40 (100%), SL: $0.35
• 📈 Confidence: ~66%
🔹 Llama/Meta
• 📉 Daily chart bearish, MACD down, near lower BB
• 🟢 Short-term bounce likely
• 🛠️ Trade: Buy $260P @ $0.85 → PT: $1.275 (50%), SL: $0.25
🔹 Gemini/Google
• 🚨 Strongly bearish daily (MACD down, BB breakdown)
• 📊 Recommends $262.50P for better liquidity
• 🛠️ Trade: Buy $262.5P @ $1.25 → PT: $2.50 (100%), SL: $0.625
• 📈 Strategy: Day-trade or short swing
🔹 DeepSeek
• 📉 Bearish across timeframes; RSI oversold, price < EMAs
• ⚠️ Max pain at $250, strong put skew
• 🛠️ Trade: Buy $260P @ $0.85 → PT: $1.70 (100%), SL: $0.425
• 📈 Confidence: 75%
✅ Consensus Summary:
📉 Market Direction: Bearish
• Daily structure weak across all models
• Max pain + put OI @ $250 = downside magnet
• Short-term relief rally possible, but larger trend down
• $262.50P selected for best liquidity & execution
📌 Suggested Trade Setup
🎯 Symbol: NYSE:PGR
🟢 Strike: 262.50 PUT
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
💵 Entry Price: $1.25
🎯 Profit Target: $2.50 (+100%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.625 (–50%)
📈 Confidence: 75%
⏰ Entry Timing: Market open
⚠️ Risk Factors
• 📈 Short-term RSI oversold → possible bounce
• 🟢 5-min trend relief rally could cause drawdown
• 🧊 VIX dropping → lower option volatility
• 💸 Liquidity better at $262.50 than $260 strikes
📊 TRADE JSON
💬 Are you watching NYSE:PGR this week? Drop your setups or counter-trades below!
📉 Follow for more AI-powered weekly trade breakdowns.
Progressive
PGR - Weekly & Daily SetupPGR
BUYZONE = 81 - 82
Cost Ang Down (CAD) = 70 -71
1st Target = 92
2nd Target = 98
HODL Target = ATH+
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This content is for informational, educational and entertainment purposes only. This is not in any way, shape or form financial or trading advice.
Good luck, happy trading and stay chill,
2degreez
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