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SPX Future Projection Analysis *Future spike detected*TVC:SPX What's happening on the May 1, 2020? Checking the United States Economic calendar. This is what I found that could be the cause of the increase volatility on that day: 1) Core Price PCE Index: Forecast is 1.7%, Previous was 1.8%...May drop further than anticipated. 2) Employment Cost Index: Forecast is 0.7%, Previous was 0.7%..."The Employment Cost Index measures the change in the price businesses and the government pay for civilian labor. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD. " ...Will this be 0.8%+? I think so. 3) PCE Price Index..."The PCE price index, also referred to as the PCE deflator, is a United States-wide indicator of the average increase in prices for all domestic personal consumption. The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in CPI may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in CPI may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency. 4) Personal Spending (Month to Month) Forecast is -6.5%, Previous was 0.2%...Maybe reading will show less than negative forecast. 5) Chicago PMI While these reading can flip the forecast; volatility will increase. So, for all Option holders, check your Vega. If you don't know what Vega is, don't do options until you understand the Greeks.
TVC:SPXLong
by investinfamily
Study of Tom DeMark D-Waves on actual BTC USD price actionI love the fact Tom DeMark gives strict and precise rules on how to determine his indicators and patterns. I have applied his rules for TD D-Waves (his own variation of Elliot Waves) to the actual BTC USD price action. To origin D-Wave 1 you need to have a 21 low bars close (a close less than all twenty prior closes), then the D-Wave is confirmed when you have a 13 high bars close (a close that is higher then all twelve prior closes). The fade and completion of D-Wave 1 will come when you have a 8 low bars close (a close less than all seven prior closes) and this means also that D-Wave 2 is in progress. D-Wave 2 will extend until when the market records a 21 high bars close (a close that is higher then all twenty prior closes), that will confirm too that D-Wave 3 is in progress. Applying those rules to actual chart, we see D-Wave 1 is complete and D-Wave 2 is in progress. Tom DeMark gives this price projection for D-Wave 2: its pullback should ideally be 61.8 percent of the distance traveled between the low close of D-Wave 1 and the high close of D-Wave 2. The theory is giving us a target price around 5.8k before we have the raise by D-Wave 3. Bibliography: "DeMark Indicators" by Jason Perl
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by UnknownUnicorn4800276
9
EU easy 800 pip short. Follow the chart & count your profits. New to Tradingview but veteran to Forex markets. Follow the charts and I will help spread the wealth. This is a common pattern that the MM love to produce on EURUSD. From this area, most long term level traders would be expecting almost a full retrace back to level 1. However, this will most certainly not get there as the recent stop hunt elucidates their true intentions. From here they will look to move price up to the 1.12642 area. I assume price won't reach this locus until some point after Tuesday because this slight move up will become the pin (trap) for the new monthly bar. The logic behind this slight ascension above recent resistance/fibs will be to stop out any weak shorts who are in correct position, while providing MM with new longs who will be trapped on the wrong side of the imminent descension. After they collected orders and displaced retail traders, price will drop like a rock down to the 1.0350 area. When price reaches the 1.0350 area it will drop even further. I will post a prediction for price flow when it reaches that level. Good luck all. Follow the prediction, stack your chips & don't be long. GoG
by GhostofGrails
24
MSFT: small shorti totally hate to use the weeklies, they're so volatile - but i opened a small short (March 6 160 puts) in an attempt to ride this quick move down. The day's volume and Open Interest on these contracts is crazy. still hoping we touch the $160 tomorrow - and i don't want to hold that position over the weekend. i have no doubt the long awaited correction has started, and not only for MSFT. - the other things is, when inspecting the chart closely, in my view, today's action is more of an attempt to keep the price up to sell into the highest price, more than authentic buying pressure. looking at bar spread vs volume on the 30mins we'll see tomorrow. will update.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by RedKTrader
AAPL: (follow-up) yesterday's drop in more detailsfellow traders, here's the zoom-in view (30min bars) of yesterday's session against the short-term projection levels * the last hour of the session had increased selling that started pushing the price down - indicating that sellers may continue to be in control for few more days until the supply / fear / cashing-out is over - so we'll keep watching these projected price levels * if you want to go long AAPL (i do!), i suggest to be patient and wait until there's more favorable winds in the right direction. we're not there yet. AAPL is not going anywhere soon and there will be a lot of opportunities in future - patience will be rewarded :) let me know your thoughts and comments if you find sharing this analysis useful?
NASDAQ:AAPL
by RedKTrader
Bitcoin log chart with growth curves and fractal projectionHere is a long term growth curve of Bitcoin. The coloured curves inside the white lines are set to Fibonacci values. The purpose of this chart is to help long term Bitcoin investors clearly identify different phases of the market cycle. Most importantly: Euphoria - when price approaches the top white line. Capitulation - when price returns to the bottom white line. Accumulation and re-accumulation - when price ranges between the green curves and bottom white line. Happy investing!
BNC:BLXLong
by Bifonacci
PayPal possible 10% up move in 10 weeksNASDAQ:PYPL i don't usually publish my target projections - but thought i should start at one point to get more experienced traders than myself to provide feedback for how to improve. PYPL shows a potential run up after a good 6-month accumulation. Price projections shows a possible 10% within 10-12 weeks. The magic entry zone was $108 to $112 or so. the first projected target $117 was hit there's couple of signs of strength - especially how it picked up from the gap down post Jan earnings announcement for my entry, and to get totally convinced, i want to see more buying momentum building up, and a come back to the buy zone followed by a confirmation of continuation up - and that should happen within the next 5-6 trading days, if not sooner. comments and thoughts?
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by RedKTrader
Where could AAPL go from here, if the fear wave continuesNASDAQ:AAPL There isn't much to go on from a price projection perspective (yet) for AAPL - maybe in couple of weeks when the move/market reveals itself - but it's an exciting challenge to try to predict what may unfold. we only have the last couple of weeks to base the projection on (and they show sudden anxiety and a rush to take some profits at the highs) , plus the historical growth, performance and higher time frame trend. These are my expected price projections for now *if* the move to the downside is confirmed - with a worst case correction of ~15% - 17%. the other possible scenario is to float sideways for few weeks but remain around the $300 level - as big money tries to keep some excitement to give them a chance to "distribute" after such a big run. after the reaction of the earnings week, i think any move up would not be supported - but we need to consider that there's still big positive momentum / wind behind us, that will take time to dissipate. the green box is my most probable scenario for ~ mid-March, if a move to the downside develops - definitely need to revisit in couple of weeks. and, i'm a buyer if it goes down to any of these nice levels :) -- i'm totally against going short for now, it's just too risky and would be swimming against a strong current. But *no one* can predict the future and i might be totally wrong :) - thoughts?
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by RedKTrader