PPC target has been extended to R4.60W Formation formed on PPC.
The price broke out of the downtrend since January 2024.
and we have further confirmation with price above both 20 and 200MA.
The target has therefore been increased to R4.60.
With the new building of the malls in South AFrica and the property boom, I don't blame a company like PPC to have invested interest from the shareholders.
Property
Foxtons - further upside on bid talkIn Feb 23 Foxtons made ranged instead of breaking out. It then took 10 month to head upwards. It tested its 30 day moving average in April and now more news of a sale process has led to today's increase of 6-10% in one day.
Resistance hit during Feb 2020 was 97 and this could be hit again.
Do your own research and trading and this is not a solicitation to trade or hold.
UPDATE Redefine Falling Flag break into a sideways range Falling Flag - Breakout took place on 18 Dec 2024.
The price stayed above 200MA but lingered between the range of 20MA.
We are seeing lower highs and lower lows. WHich means a broadening formation is forming between the bulls and the bears.
There is no strong indication when the price will rally but the analysis does remain the same until the price either hits the target or below the stop loss range.
The target is still set to R4.39.
looking to pay automatically EMI of your property and inflation Certainly! Let's dive into the world of "Athena Constructions."
Athena Constructions is a renowned construction company that has left an indelible mark on the industry. With a rich history spanning several decades, it has consistently delivered exceptional projects, earning a reputation for excellence and innovation.
Headquartered in , Athena Constructions has a global presence, operating in multiple countries and employing a diverse workforce of skilled professionals. Their expertise encompasses a wide range of construction projects, including residential, commercial, industrial, and infrastructure development.
One of the key factors behind Athena Constructions' success is their unwavering commitment to quality and customer satisfaction. They adhere to the highest standards of safety, sustainability, and ethical practices, ensuring that every project meets the specific needs and expectations of their clients.
Athena Constructions is also known for embracing cutting-edge technologies and innovative construction techniques. They continuously invest in research and development, staying at the forefront of industry advancements. This enables them to deliver projects that are not only aesthetically pleasing but also highly functional and energy-efficient.
Furthermore, Athena Constructions places great emphasis on fostering a collaborative and inclusive work environment. They value diversity and encourage teamwork, recognizing that the collective expertise of their employees is essential for achieving exceptional results.
In summary, Athena Constructions stands as a symbol of excellence in the construction industry. Their unwavering commitment to quality, innovation, and customer satisfaction has solidified their position as a trusted and respected partner for clients worldwide.
spot 12.88 rupees add this safely on current price 50 percent allocation and remaining on 11.10 level and sit tight let share work to pay ur emi :)
Calgro settings itself for super upside in 2024W Formation has formed on Calgro M3.
We haven't had our breakout yet but it's most definitely forming higher lows. ANd it's above the 200MA with a predominant uptrend.
This is all great news for potential upside.
We'll set the first target at R6.03
FUNDAMENTALS:
Calgro M3, a South African property development company, has been experiencing a rally in its stock for several reasons:
Impressive Financial Performance:
Calgro M3 reported strong financial results for the fiscal year ending in February 2023.
This included a significant increase in earnings per share and overall revenue, demonstrating the company's ability to generate sustainable profits and manage costs effectively.
Robust Revenue Pipeline:
The company has a solid revenue pipeline in residential property development, with a forecast of R15.9 billion.
This includes over 22,000 opportunities and the inclusion of a major development project, Frankenwald, which is expected to add at least 20,000 opportunities.
Successful Residential Developments:
Calgro M3 has been successful in its residential property development segment, with a large number of completed and under-construction opportunities.
This success is a key driver of the company's revenue and growth prospects.
China Property Stimulus to Boost Aus200 IndexThe recent announcement of a stimulus package by the Chinese government to boost the property sector is expected to have a positive impact on the Australian stock market, particularly the Aus200 index. The stimulus package includes measures such as lower down payments for home purchases and tax breaks for developers. These measures are expected to increase demand for property in China, which will in turn benefit Australian companies that export goods and services to the Chinese market.
In addition, the stimulus package is also expected to boost the Chinese economy, which is Australia's largest trading partner. A stronger Chinese economy will mean more demand for Australian goods and services, which will support corporate profits and earnings growth. As a result, the Aus200 index is expected to rise in the coming months.
Of course, there are also some risks associated with the China property stimulus. If the stimulus is too successful, it could lead to an overheating of the Chinese economy and a resurgence of inflation. This would be negative for Australian companies that export to China, as it would make their goods and services less competitive. However, at this stage, it appears that the risks are outweighed by the potential rewards.
Overall, the China property stimulus is a positive development for the Australian stock market. The stimulus is expected to boost demand for Australian goods and services, support corporate profits and earnings growth, and lift the Aus200 index.
LABS 0.000 7 | Hello AirBnb & Uber Vulture Capitalista blockchain that provides access to a brave new world of global citizenship
a dead capital somewhere can be put into work
with a facility such as this
i wouldnt be surprise if Sequoia or Vanguards takes ove majority of the 20% float currently being allocated to speculators and pals
#GRT worth a buyI think once can accumulate Growthpoint between 1020-1030 for an eventual pop to 1070, 1090 and 1110 (200day ma). There is some forced selling due to the MSCI index rebalancing but once this is over the stock should get some legs again. If buying use a stop loss as a close below 1000.
the 20dma which was previously resistance has now turned into support and the stock is trading in an upward channel with higher lows and higher highs which makes the structure bullish imo.
EVERGRANE: $2.20 <-- $28 | Property Bubble Capitulation we've seen this before from LEHMAN to thw GOLD market and recent covid market crash
we await government intervention
or a white knight to take over and flip this back to normal
Primary objective is to stop the bleeding
should be a good speculation stock at sub $1.0 towards $.85 .69 cents
EVER: $0.31 | a new Beginning wave iiireminds me of Century Tuna's green dev Propety ALCO land that made 8x (+800%) in just few months
when it decided to position itself clearly. Hiring seasoned officers from ALi
Change of Name is just a warm up... underneath is Vision Strategy etc for the next generation
was once the Leader in Property retail business
the ever supermart looks like Alibaba Ebay 1.0 at early stages..
entry: below ₱0.45 cents
exit: see Alco price action towards ₱1.75
Inv H &S with Vukile showing strong upside soon to R16.51Inv Head and Shoulders seems to be forming with Vukile Property.
We have recently had a breakout out of the downtrend and now there seems to be a consolidation of some kind.
I expect the range to form somewhat a Right SHoulder, before the next up side is imminent.
7>21 Price>200
RSI >50
Target R16.51
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Vukile Property Fund is a South Africa-based Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT).
The company was established in June 2004.
Vukile is listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) and the Namibian Stock Exchange (NSX).
It focuses primarily on the acquisition, management, and development of retail properties, specifically shopping centers.
Some shopping centers include:
East Rand Mall - Boksburg, Gauteng
Pine Crest Shopping Centre - Pinetown, KwaZulu-Natal
Meadowdale Mall - Germiston, Gauteng
Dobsonville Shopping Centre - Soweto, Gauteng
Randburg Square - Randburg, Gauteng
Hammersdale Junction - Hammersdale, K
The company had a strong presence in South Africa and Spain.
In South Africa, Vukile's portfolio is predominantly retail-focused, with a wide range of assets across provinces.
In Spain, the company operates through its subsidiary Castellana Properties, owning a substantial retail portfolio.
Vukile's strategy involves maintaining a diversified property portfolio to mitigate risk.
The company is committed to the principles of good corporate governance and ethics.
Vukile also focuses on sustainability initiatives, striving to limit the environmental impact of its operations.
HOW IT GOT ITS NAME
"Vukile," it's derived from the Zulu language and generally translates to "stand up" or "arise".
This name may reflect the company's commitment to growth and development, as well as its South African roots.
UPDATE Growthpoint hit its target at R11.88 warning - Load ShedH&S formed on Growthpoint.
We mentioned this was one of those low probability trades.
However, the overall trend won (as most of the time it does) and down it went.
The target hit at R11.88
And unfortunately, I see further downside to come.
LOADSHEDDING AND PROPERTY COMPANIES!
It seems like the 6 hour - 12 hour day Eskom load shedding is having somewhat an effect on property companies.
I'm no property expert but I assume there would be problems like:
1. Load shedding can lead to tenant dissatisfaction and increased vacancies.
2. Power outages disrupt property management and maintenance operations.
3. Frequent load shedding creates a negative perception of affected areas. As they say Location, Location Location
4. I imagine the power solutions (generators, alternators etc...) are extremely costly investments for backup with these property companies.
And just in general, power outages are having a broader economic impact, affecting businesses and consumer spending.
VNQ Monthly ChartBack then:
VNQ falls below 20 SMA in Jul 2007
Double attempt to rebound (red arrows) but failed
after struggling 15 months, a sell off begin in Oct 2008
Now:
VNQ falls below 20 SMA in Jun 2022
Double attempt to rebound (red arrows) but failed
RSI remained in low levels below 50 (more bearish than bullish)
Might not seen the worst yet, unless RSI reverse back above 50
TRADE UPDATE: Investec Plc not looking good but the 200MA ...Cup and Handle formed on a larger scale.
21>7 - Bearish
Price >200SMA - Bullish
RSI >50 -lower highs - Cautious
1st Target R142.49
Unfortunately, it's not looking good for the trade. It's close to the Stop loss.
It's for this reason I lowered the stop loss level below the 200MA. An order block formed which created Sell Side LIquidity. This is where Smart Money comes in and sweeps in all the sells (Buyers - stops) and Shorters (entries).
So if Smart Money is buying into this, we could get some upside. But like I said the trend has turned down and we mustn't get our hopes up.
Aveng short potential symmetrical triangle - Target R8.08Symmetrical Triangle has formed on Aveng... With the property prices on the way down with the global crash, we can expect the price to drop further... However, as traders we need to wait for a breakdown first, to confirm...
This could very well break up and we could have a Reversal Bull Symmetrical Triangle.
But right now the bias is bearish with a target at R8.08
Real Estate Blue Chip SPG Simon Property“This is the paradox of public space: even if everyone knows an unpleasant fact, saying it in public changes everything. One of the first measures taken by the new Bolshevik government in 1918 was to make public the entire corpus of tsarist secret diplomacy, all the secret agreements, the secret clauses of public agreements etc. There too the target was the entire functioning of the state apparatuses of power.”
Simon Property Group seeks hyper-privatization of property, by which they can expand their capital and power network
Political outcomes will drive the future for this corporation. Midterms of 2022 will be a catalyst to the upside, but then 2024 presidential cycle holds the true power.
Meta analysis Long term.Meta is the big bet made by Facebook to corner the market on digital devices hardware currently causing problems for their other business models. The whole effort is a data wolf in sheep's clothing and precisely why they will compete long term with a decentralized metaverse from one of the big web 3 players the sandbox, decentraland, and the other side among possible other competitors in web 3.
In short Facebook and its various platforms compete with digital content companies of various backgrounds for the 18-29-year-old audience.
They do so with various products such as Video, Messenger, Whatsapp, Groups, Search, Workplace, marketplace, etc.
These software services want to collect data to sell to advertisers to predict what an individual will want. This requires knowing more about a person than usually they know. The problem for Facebook (now Meta) is that they don't control the devices this data is generated on. Apple and Google do and they don't take kindly to a data leech on their business model. Since they control hardware decisions Meta is up a creek when decisions like IOS 14 allow you to turn off the data gathering. This is Metas' biggest problem and why oculus is so important.
Snapchat challenged Facebook with filters and private messages and expiring messages capturing marketing dollars so facebook built a clone, stories, and Instagram.
Tik Tok challenged Facebook on short video stories capturing marketing dollars so Facebook built a clone, reels.
The bet is that metaverse interactions through either VR or AR will be the big new thing after short-form video as the primary method of interaction on the internet. Meta wants to not just be ahead of their next competitor and out of cloning and catching up territory but fully into controlling the hardware that is used to interact with such systems.
Horizon is their metaverse world which one can access through either oculus or eventual AR equipment through their partnership with Luxottica.
This is the pivot to Meta and much like other tech stocks, it has been hammered by the early stages of the current recession. Meta has big hoops to get through such as onboarding a population of users who need new hardware, and their future is rocky due to the past relationships with data from Facebook.
The future will see Meta compete with the global decentralized blockchain web 3 metaverses for control of the digital twin infrastructure represented by NFTs controlled by self-sovereign identities or DAOs in a fully digital economy that directs resources of automated systems of production.
The problem for Meta, in the opinion of this author, is they only seem aware of the interaction part of the business model for profit. They want data to sell to other companies. Meta doesn't seem to grasp the macro implications for the profit motive of production that a Metaverse enables. astoundingly, they're thinking too small.
Centralized Corporations will be most challenged and supplanted by DAOs given enough time in a sufficiently decentralized metaverse. There is a possibility that a subset of DAOs enabled by quadratic voting can capture immensely profitable internet functions of the modern world. In time due to competition on price and thus profit margin, some DAOs will rise to multi-national levels. Some DAOs could become big enough and faceless enough to rend populations from their governments by challenging the interests of power. Government regulation of such DAOs will be difficult if neigh impossible, especially if profit margins of too big to fail entities are to be maintained. In such a world DAOs would hold the keys to data that participants in the DAO contribute. Some subset of such DAOs would for profit sell their data to advertisers in ways voted on by the DAO members. Precursors to this exist already such as Brave and their token BAT.
Corporations destabilize government decision-making for their gain in a system designed as their sandbox. This author suspects DAOs as a disrupting force, are a possibility among the larger outcomes of various crypto ecosystems and their synergies in the long term. An exponential change in adoption of crypto more broadly could have that scenario happen sooner rather than later. But on the scale of decades, it's a distinct possibility.
For Meta, the question is can you own anything in such a world and sell it to anyone else, including data, or are they just happy to make a profit for now before that transition occurs? Do they play whack-a-mole with crypto project models much like their other competitors Snap and TikTok?
Whatever happens it'll be fun to watch zuck and his bucks while we make alien memes for the next few decades at least. All the best, see you on the moon.
The Magic of Cycles - Part IIThis chart reviews the four major cycles affecting humanity, being the:
- Kondratieff Cycle;
- Strauss-Howe Generations Cycle;
- W.D. Gann Property Cycle; and
- Solar Cycle.
I contrast these cycles with Global events of the time, the price of Gold, the US M2 monetary aggregate, and US Interest rates.
My commentary on the chart is available on Patreon for free. Enjoy!
Chinese Property Equities Bubble Crash?Well, it has already popped. Evergrande is down 90%+ and Country Garden is almost down 60% from 2018 highs and testing 7.36 support.
A simple 1:1 extension of the 2018 drop would mean sub-14HKD prices are not too far away... watch for a break of local support at 19.20 for another 30% drop.
MapleTree Industrial Trust REITS - longWeekly descending wedge - If it breaks out of the descending wedge, we can see a strong push to the upside.
MapleTree Industrial Trust (MIT) owns data centre assets in North America and Singapore. Data centres have been gaining prominence and MIT has been pursuing more growth by leveraging on acquisition of data centres.
The total addressable market size of data centre in Singapore alone, in terms of spending opportunity, is expected to increase at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.1% between 2020 and 2025. Thus there is more potential for growth for MIT. I believe this is a long term hold, and dividend yield is 4.46%, which is not bad at all.
Gross revenue has been consistently increasing for past 5 years (average 7.07% for year 2017 to 2021).
Assets has also been on an uptrend since 2017. Total valuation of the 115 properties held by MIT is S$6,762m, and 41% of those at data centre.
Occupancy has also increased from 90.9% to 92.6% overall from 2020 to 2021.
Tenancy are also diversified across different trade sectors such as manufacturing, retail trade, financial and information & communications.
Long term PT is 3, then 3.3.
I think a great area for buying would be 2.4 range.
However, it is in a weekly descending wedge. If it does breakout strongly, I will look to buy in on retest of breakout area.
CTPNV(1D) - Long term setup on Investment properties Hi Traders // Investors,
A short thought to a lesser-known company which invest into commercial warehouse and office space facilities.
In my opinion it can be very good longterm investment for diversification of stock-portfolio.
Considering increasing growth of e-commerce and many big companies relocating to outskirts of big cities (near motorways), there will be increased interest in modern / high quality buildings.
Check their annual / quarterly report. Management is highly skilled and also highly invested in stock. (Major owner).
The rest is up to YOU... Do your homework ;)