GBP/USD Bearish weakening, potential buys from 1.30500This week looks promising for my type of setups, with both sell and buy opportunities presenting decent prospects. I’ll be waiting for high-quality lower time frame confirmations before taking any trades. Depending on which point of interest (POI) gets hit, I’ll adjust, but ideally, I’m looking to sell from the supply zone down toward the demand zone.
Once price reaches the 15-hour demand zone, I’ll shift to looking for buy opportunities, targeting the imbalances above and the untouched Asian session highs. Although the overall trend is bearish and sells look favorable, I plan to wait for a mitigation of the higher supply zones around 1.32500 before committing to any shorts.
Confluences for GU Buys:
- The refined 15-hour demand zone has caused a CHOCH to the upside.
- There are significant imbalances and liquidity above that need to be filled.
- For price to retrace to the supply zone, it must first move upward.
- The US Dollar Index (DXY) is sitting in a strong supply zone, which could trigger a drop in the dollar, supporting bullish momentum for GU.
Note: If the buy scenario doesn’t play out as planned, I’ll wait for a strong supply zone to sell from and continue the bearish trend. However, given that price is already in a higher time frame demand zone, I wouldn’t be surprised to see an upward push as early as Monday.
Protrend
GBP/USD Longs from1.32000 back up This week's analysis for GBP/USD (GU) focuses on a potential retracement back to the 6-hour demand zone I've identified. Currently, the price is at one of my points of interest (POI) from last week, and we're already seeing signs of rejection. This suggests that the price may start moving downward from its current level. We’ll wait for mitigation at the demand zone before considering long positions again.
However, if the price breaks through the supply zone and continues upward, there's an unmitigated weekly supply zone that could trigger a reversal. We'll have to monitor this, but for now, I’m aligned with the current bullish trend and hope to see a retracement, providing an optimal entry for buys.
Key confluences for a potential GU buy:
- The price has broken significant structure to the upside, indicating a desire to continue upward.
- There’s a clean, unmitigated 6-hour demand zone, my main point of interest for potential long opportunities.
- This analysis is in line with the prevailing bullish trend we're observing.
- The dollar is showing bearish tendencies, which further supports a bullish outlook for GU.
P.S. If the price suddenly drops and breaks through the demand zone, we can expect a major reaction at that level.