Get started

Psubankindex

Nifty PSU Bank Rally - Real or Trap ???Since US Federal Reserve cut 50 bps points on their interest rates last week - there is so much Hungama on the Media Channels about an impending BLAST on the Nifty PSU Banking Sector Everyday there is news that the Sector would Rally and as "Anticipated" by so many the PSU Bank index Blasted 3% yesterday and was the Top Gainer among the Nifty peers But has the Rally Really Started yet ??? Before falling Trap to Media Hype - let's take sometime to analyze - why it MUST Rally now ? 1. There are NO new investments in this sector 2. There is no major policy change from India's PM, FM or RBI 3. Even if there is a News or Interest Rate reduction from RBI.... the technical structures doesn't show upside now Quarterly Timeframe (On Left) 1) There has been a Non-Stop run of 650% in just 4 years (since Apr 2020) 2) Also, given the September Quarter is just about to end in 4 more sessions, the current candle shows "Bearish Engulfing" candle + "Tweezer Top" formation - both indicating Bearish side 3) On Quarterly - we can also, see the Multi-year Parallel Channel broken out during Jan 2024 and now the price is Retesting the BO zone 4) There are no intermediary Supports created - before reaching the Parallel Channel Retest zone Daily Timeframe (On Right) 1) The price has already taken a Resistance from a Combination of Falling Parallel Channel + Weekly Resistance and fell -0.86% today 2) The price would further fall down to the bottom of the Falling Parallel Channel around 6,215 zone and then go sideways for some more time The Monthly Timeframe chart (on Middle) 1) The Price is expected to Bounce once sharply - may be with the news from RBI on Rate Cut - you can see a 1-2 days sharp blast which WILL NOT sustain 2) The price would form a Double Bottom by retesting the Multi-year Parallel Channel and then take a Bullish reversal - by which time it would be end of Current Financial Year Don't get attracted by a short 1-2 days or even a week blast due to any rate reduction by RBI. As soon as the effect of NEWS subsides the sector would stop or fall again. There is NO juice left for a continuous rally after giving 650% returns
NSE:CNXPSUBANK
by Stocks-n-Trends
PSU Banks Can take off from here. Signs looking ominous. Trend line has given support to PSU bank index. Father line has given support to PSU bank index. If mother line gives support later this week. They can have a huge upside in the range of 10 to 40% depending on individual banks and their fundamentals.Things are looking ominous. Mother Line Breakout (Mother's Blessing/Ashirwaad can happen later this week.) To know more about Mother, father and small child theory and Happy Candles numbers that we assign to stocks, Parallel channel etc. read my book The Happy Candles way to wealth creation. The book is available on Amazon in paperback and Kindle version. RSI is crossing over to the bullish territory. Moving Averages are converging in a positive way. Keep all the banks in this index on radar. Performance of each can differ depending on fundamentals of each one. The PSU Bank Index comprises of banks like SBI, BOB, Indian Overseas Bank, Punjab National Bank, Bank of Maharashtra, UCO Bank, Central Bank of India, Union Bank of India, Punjab & Sind Bank, Bank of India, Canara Bank and Indian Bank. Keep them all in radar.
NSE:CNXPSUBANKLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Study of PSU Bank Index/actions that can be taken by an investorFor last few weeks we have been looking at indices. By the study of a particular index we then try to determine about investing in components of that index or the stocks that from that particular index. In the series we will today have a look at PSU Bank Index. PSU Banks and the index of PSU bank consisting of banks like Bank of Maharashtra, Canara Bank, CBI, Indian Bank, IOB, Punjab and Sind Bank, Punjab National Bank, SBI, UCO bank and Union Bank of India had a consistent run till the index reached a near channel top at 7418.75 from there it corrected about 11.5% and made a low of 6561(near channel bottom) recently. After taking the support of 50 days EMA the index is seen to be rising again by giving 2 consistent Green candles to end the week. In the coming week if resistance of 6919 is broken by PSU Bank Index and we get a closing above 6920, there is a possibility of a proper 5 to 10% rally in the sector with resistance at 7092, 7265 and 7437. Consider 6574.15 as a support. If in case of a down turn due to local or global factors we get a closing below 6574 we might see a weakness in the sector. The shadow of candles created this week looks positive for the upcoming week in this sector and RSI is also showing strength. In this we when we get indication of a sector becoming strong we should look at fundamental and technical strength of constituents of that particular sector and there is a possibility of making an investment pick from the same. Thus using this model, you can try to determine tops of current rally or trend. You can reverse the process and try find of the probable bottom in case of downturn. Trend lines / Peaks / Valleys and Fibonacci levels will also give you probable supports and resistances in the path. You can become an expert by studying and drawing and reading charts every day. The more you practice the better accuracy you can achieve. Disclaimer: Investment in stocks and mutual funds is subject to market risks, please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. The names of the stocks or index levels of spot Nifty mentioned in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any sorts.
NSE:CNXPSUBANKLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment