First Republic Bank Continues Below $5Merely an update to my previous idea.
And well... I started this idea before the bell, and it was $3.51 at the time.
It's now $2.01 post as of typing this but that will be different already.
I think I will just post this as is, because it's moving too quickly to make any rational conclusions.
To be noted, every time $15 was broken, the market dumped it below preventing it from becoming proper support.
Now, the HKEX:5 line is going to be doing similar tricks on it and FRC fell below it.
Notice the two more recent dead cats I have professionally marked 😼
I did not have HKEX:3 price line on my previous chart, but I see that now there's a clear line there as well.
Only psychological levels matter at this point.
Same ideas:
*It's a personal opinion of mine that psychological levels, whole number resistance and support, should have this much control over price action.
Psychological levels have the most effect when there's extremes of emotions. I feel it's rather self-explanatory.
It's either going towards zero or it's getting bought to prevent it from hitting the pavement.
The variance in price alone is a clear indicator its in deep trouble while it was just downgraded to BB.
Previous low on charts of $17.60 is notable, while HKEX:20 pertains to psychological significance.
Below this, I see little more than psychological levels.
HKEX:10 , double digits. HKEX:5 , where select exchanges consider a stock a penny stock. HKEX:1 , where the rest consider it a penny stock.
You can label a ton of this chart a deadcat bounce here or there.
Please add thoughts. I didn't see a Fibonacci ladder helping much because the price action was too chaotic.
DYOR/DYOC.*
Psychologicalevel
EURNZD to 1.70500Just examined the weekly timeframe, wicks thrown to the upside at a significant zone/resistance, the daily makes the price action more clear as we can identify the sellers are present at the resistance(purple zone) identifying the lower timeframe price action, market came back to a huge liquidity spot, and now momentum has kicked in(as the 15M timeframe bullish market structure has been violated, we now see first signs of the bear rally as price breaks major lows and 15M key levels) this behavior and structural behavior pattern tells us that orders has been filled and we can expect a new bear rally to 1.70500 or even lower as price is just correcting itself(ranging, showing indecisions, exhausting) from an initial impulse move to the downside for another bearish rally/leg however a break above of the purple zone would invalidate the trading setup..
For the time being, my targets at 1.70500 as its a good psychological round off number!
EURUSD| GO LONG OR GO SHORTGood morning Traders,
price action is proving resilient and is suggesting it may create a deeper channel, will it complete the channel and push out with a strong bearish close or will it just continue ascending upwards, is the main question I will be asking.
In my view of price action, I see further upside because we still have some buying power within the markets, until we have a real sell off and push away, I have highlighted areas of interest but we just may continue in this corrective range.
nonetheless I will be waiting for price action to confirm.
let me know your thoughts.
Education post 15/100 – How to trade Psychological Price Levels?What are Psychological levels?
Psychological levels are price levels which tend to draw big market attention and typically witness a reaction by price when tested. These levels are the main round numbers (whole numbers), referred to as “Double Zeros such as .9800, .990.
Plotting support and resistance levels is often a challenging and subjective task. It is also commonly one of the first areas of price action new traders attempt to tackle.
Support and resistance can be established in numerous ways, such as: trendlines, moving averages, pivot point levels, Fibonacci levels, key high/low points etc. A common complaint with a lot of these methods though is subjectivity.
This is why we believe psychological levels are appealing, as the numbers are effectively embedded within market structure and are entirely objective, as you’ll see going forward.
So...What are Psychological levels?
Say that you’re the proud owner of new car, and a buddy down the pub asks how much it cost. Assuming it set you back $10,999, it’s unlikely that you would tell him that exact figure. Instead, to keep things simple, you’d probably round the number to the nearest thousand i.e. $11,000. And this is exactly what happens in the financial markets! It is far more likely that a trader will select 1.2500 over 1.2493, for example.
Why do they work and how to trade them?
Trading support and resistance can be a fantastic way to approach the market and for many new traders this is one of the first areas of technical analysis that they come to properly understand. There are a great many varieties of support and resistance in the market that traders can look to build strategies around such as: key highs/lows, trend lines, Fibonacci levels, moving averages, pivots, Bollinger bands and more. However, there are also levels that are already embedded within the market that can act as powerful support and resistance and traders don’t need any tools or to perform any complicated analysis to find them. These levels are called “Psychological levels”
More on our website, link on Profile.
EURUSD Short - Multiple Resistance Level @ 1.14Since EURUSD has broken below a 3-month low at1.13, the price has retraced significantly, but with little sign of reversal.
A retracement channel has been formed for the past 4 days and the price is about to reach a psychological level at 1.14.
The level at 1.14 is a combination of not just a psychological number, but also an important supply zone combined with 618 retracement level, as well as the top of a falling channel.
Since 1.13 was broken, the gateway to further depreciation is wide opened, thus I assume that 1.14 would be a very good level to short with a high reward-risk ratio.
VEN Price Analysis. Again. Instead of updating old charts we prefer to re-do them so as not to introduce any past bias that the previous chart may or may not have.
This is not a signal. Yellow is past psychological resistance levels. This is only an analysis of the price movement as we see it currently.
Volume is decreasing the price could fall back into the kumo. Kijun and Tenkan are supportive but ranging which indicates lesser price momentum upwards.
LITECOIN: Bullish Triangle Already Completed?!BITFINEX:LTCUSD broke above 70, which could be a signal that triangle is finally completed and that bulls are confirmed. We can clearly see A-B-C-D-E formation and broken upper triangle line, so we assume that Litecoin could see new all-time highs towards wave C, where we see our first minimum target and also nice psychological level 117; maybe even higher for a second target A=C at psychological level 149! If Litecoin from any reason drops below 55, then there will be something more complex and could stay sideways for a while.
Follow the trend! (GBPAUD analysis)Hi guys,
few days ago we managed to get more than a hundred pips from shorting this pair. Now the situation has changed, since we came back to previous structure and started consolidating right at the trendline retest. Besides, the zone we're on is a daily structure that could push price up, according to the major trend.
The RSI divergence down on the bottom additionally confirm our view, along with the psychological number 1,6500.
I'm buying with stops below the lows, and targets as illustrated above.
If you want to ask questions or share your view, feel free to comment beneath.
Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
Apple: Low volatility, volume and price- where are the bulls at?Volume
Apple-0.09% Volume continued falling on Tuesday and Wednesday, -5% on each to 20.8m which is 45% below the 1 month average at 38.5m and 50% below the 6 month average at 40m.
This is Bullish IMO as it shows that at these prices holders are not willing to sell their AAPL-0.09% risk at these prices, as they seek higher prices before they offer higher supply, hence volume stays low and the stock trades with a bid bias - hence the gap up at the open today - illustrating the supply & demand disequilibrium caused by low supply side liquidity and maintained order demand.
However, volume has contracted significantly every day this week, losing over 20% since the week start, providing a promising environment for apple-0.09% growth, but the stock has struggled to hold onoto any gains, with candles often closing in the lower 25% quartiles of their ranges - indicating the stock isnt necessarily looking to push up yet.
IMO the stock requires more new buyers, it isnt a selling problem its a demand side issue. With the SPX0.33% rising, it shows liquidity is increasing in risk assets so im not sure why apple-0.09% isnt receiving some of the new liquidity and posting upside gains.
Volatility & Apple-0.09% vs VXAP Correlation
We continue to have a bullish view from a vols perspective as implied vols dropped yesterday over 1% to 20.90. Apple-0.09% vol0.00% carries the trend with volume , falling every day this week and now sits at lows from June 2015.
Also the correlation between APPLE-0.09% and its Implied volatility index continued to maintain deep into negative territory - at 93% falling marginally from 94% yesterday. This reinforces the bullish volatility signal - as historically, a higher negative relationship sets the best environment for Apple-0.09% growth.
However, the correlation dips slightly, as PRICE that is starting to fail the relationship - as when correlation falls price SHOULD rise hence the high negative relationship. However, price is trading flat/lower thus the correlation is becoming more positive (lower vols and lower price = positive corr)
Evalutaion
Both the falling implied vols and volume , all of which in record setting/ bullish areas provide the perfect environment for growth so as per the last 3 days I am bullish on apple-0.09% and STILL expect a $100 break out to 101/2 this week, though the probability falls significantly, but thrusday is usually the best day for gains, with friday being the worst.
These indicators make me especially bullish as the lower volume and vols are occuring whilst apple-0.09% trades close to 100USD, where usually, the psychological level causes volume to spike as the uncertainty causes sellers and buyers to flood the market - Which as a result also cause volatility to spike.
Given that we havent see this, apple-0.09% should be comfortable with a price hike and is showing strong signs that this is the case.
I feel apple-0.09% needs some upside stimulus at these prices and it will cause a cascaded rally from 100 to 1005+ in a short period of time. We just need to get past this 100 level, which keeps growing its strength every day