Bitcoin and MajorityWhat is happening with the market and BTC?
Most analysts claimed 12–10–9–5 thousand marks for BTC
Is it possible? — Perhaps.
But why is the probability of falling further complicated?
The story tied with FTX, Binance (CZ) and other personalities is like an artificial “Black Swan” in order to intimidate weak hands, instill fear and horror in market participants, and buy the right people cheaper in order to subsequently sell more expensive.
“When you are almost a monopolist, you are in charge of the market, not you.”
Everything was about the same in 18–19 years — scam projects, small exchanges, mass liquidations and bankruptcies of projects. Selling on the loys then changed to a short-term bullish rally in half-empty order books (Fall Correction).
History shows that the memory of kryptans is short, and many simply do not see that history repeats itself, just on a large scale.
Got fear?
Of course, well-known publications, personalities, television are already burying the crypt… Almost everywhere now there are negative headlines about problems with exchanges and the need for strict regulation. Crypto is no longer associated with profits, but with losses.
As a rule, the market does not reverse at the moment when people see a comfortable and profitable entry point. A reversal occurs at a moment when no one wants to buy anymore and most in fear and horror think only about selling.
Back to our global notation for the next bull market
-To date, the bearish phase lasts over 375 days.
In the 1st cycle, it lasted 413 days
In the 2nd cycle, it lasted 357 days.
Judging by the timings, the bottom is somewhere close, or already …
After each phase followed, the phase of accumulation, in which just we received a correction of the fall.
This is really the cycle of any market: Accumulation / Growth / Fall.
This is our opinion and may not be yours.
Will BTC cost 12–10–9–5 thousand, yes please, buy it at these prices too …
But unfortunately, many market participants who dreamed of buying it for 40–50 thousand dollars for 10 thousand dollars will not do this, because these are weak hands, it will be even worse for them.
Psychology
The "So-Called" Psychology of a Market Cycle!Greetings Dear Investors and Traders, today CryptoQueens, an educational post regarding the so-called Psychology of a Market Cycle.
When making investment decisions, investors have a wide variety of tools at their disposal. While these tools can form the basis of a sound investment thesis, their effectiveness is limited by one’s emotions. Allowing emotions to dictate decisions is a common mistake made by many investors, yet they may not even realize it. People experience different emotions during these market cycles ranging from fear to greed. Below we will analyze, as well as you will find attached in the chart image the different emotions experienced by investors during market cycles which overwhelms the majority of the traders:
Disbelief:
This phase happens after the bottom has been hit. There is a sense of disbelief among investors about the rally. They believe just like it happened in the past few months, the markets will fall again. Their fear of making another mistake causes them to miss the optimal window to re-enter the market.
Optimism:
During this phase, the realization dawns on most of the investors that the rally is real. Investing during this phase if stocks are chosen well can give good returns.
Enthusiasm:
This is the time when the majority of investors are convinced about the market rally, therefore market demand rise. They believe that now is the time to be fully invested. Some naysayers still don’t believe in the market rally and advise caution.
Euphoria:
This is the phase where there is irrational exuberance in the markets. Investors share a collective dopamine as they think that they are genius because they made a fortune. It is advisable to stay cautious during this phase.
Overconfidence/Greed:
Investors continue to increase their positions despite high volatility.
If you buy during this phase, you are sure to lose money, whatever you buy.
Anxiety:
Fear sets in, as losses begin to mount.
Investors believe that the dip is taking more time than expected. This is the the moment when people are notified with margin calls due to the recent market fall. Anxiety kicks in.
Denial:
The herd ignores the market signs as market demand weakens. They believe that since their investments are in great companies, they will bounce back.
Panic:
Herd mentality takes over and market participants rushes to sell leading to widespread selling even at losses. This is a good time to buy extremely selectively for the long term as it may be very difficult to know even for well-informed investors whether we are in the denial phase, panic phase or capitulation phase.
Capitulation:
Market Participants accepts their losses and completely exit the market. They are selling close to the bottom of the cycle.
Agony/Anger:
Steep losses take a psychological factor in many investors and they start to blame the government, or anything correlated, perceiving it as market manipulation.
Depression:
This is the period when investors believe that their retirement savings are gone and their financial security is affected. They even start blaming themselves for investing. However, markets inevitably starts to recover.
Conclusion:
As an investor, you need to recognize these signals and never lose sight of the bigger picture. It is like Warren Buffett once mentioned. Be scared when others are greedy and greedy when others are afraid. Therefore, keep an eye on the fundamentals and behavioral factors that influence the market and always remain ahead of the game. Make sure you include this in your trading plan before to take action on it.
If you liked it, make sure to support with a like, follow and a comment!
Best Regards, CryptoQueens.
😱 Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO)📉Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO) / SHORT scenario.
Fear of missing out, or FOMO, is the feeling of anxiety or regret that can occur when someone believes that they have missed an opportunity to invest in a stock or crypto currency that is increasing or decreasing in value.
This feeling can be triggered by seeing others making money from a particular investment, or by observing the stock or crypto's value increasing or decreasing over time and thinking that one should have invested earlier.
FOMO can be dangerous to investors because it can lead to impulsive buying or selling decisions that are not based on sound investment strategies.
In the above scenario we can see the effect of FOMO in play. The price action breakdown of the trendline, indicating weak support and a flip of the trend.
This psychological effect can be observed without the use of indicators and by just looking at the price action.
A deeper look into order flow and Open Interest could further explain the trader's behavior on this particular effect that occurs.
🔴 ENTRY is based on the first major red candle after the breakdown, trying to knife-catch the price, based on no strategy and purely
emotion of missing out a potential short position with a stop loss nowhere close to a potential supply zone where the price action could re-visit
for confirmation of a downtrend.
🟢 ENTRY is based AFTER the retest of the trendline, on a potential supply zone where the price action is looking
for a retest at this level before confirmation of further decline of price action. Stop loss is given above the
last high, above the trendline.
👤 @AlgoBuddy
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
❤️ If you appreciate our work , Please like, comment and follow ❤️
MACD 1D: X, XD, XDD, and P=M(XD)Andrew M. Kempi
7 January 2023
MACD 1D Methodology:
X, XD (X•), XDD (X••), and P=M(XD)
Determine Volume psychology and volume mass.
P=Mass(Velocity), p=volume(XD), including pascal averaging.
The Volume, and price value, is dependent on Velocity (XD).
Velocity is dependent on Acceleration.
Confirm undeviated direction and trend.
Establish location: above or below directional price average.
Trend symmetrically around price average.
Confirm XDD (X••) acceleration.
Identify the Vector utilizing XD (X•).
The Psychology Of A Market CycleThe psychology of a market cycle refers to the emotional and psychological states that investors and traders go through as they react to market conditions. Here is a short summary of each stage of the market cycle:
🔵 Disbelief:
At this stage, market participants are skeptical about the potential for a market rally or recovery.
They may be hesitant to invest or trade, as they do not believe that the market has the potential to improve.
🔵 Hope:
As market conditions begin to improve, investors and traders may start to feel more hopeful about the future.
They may start to see opportunities for profit and become more willing to take risks.
🔵 Belief:
At this stage, market participants start to believe that the market will continue to improve.
They may become more confident in their investment decisions and become more willing to hold onto their positions for longer periods of time.
🔵 Euphoria:
As the market continues to rise, investors and traders may become overly optimistic and start to believe that the market will continue to rise indefinitely.
This can lead to excessive risk-taking and overconfidence.
🔵 Anxiety:
As market conditions start to deteriorate, investors and traders may become anxious about the potential for losses.
They may start to question their investment decisions and become more hesitant to take risks.
🔵 Denial:
As market conditions continue to worsen, some investors and traders may start to deny that the market is in a downturn.
They may continue to hold onto their positions in the hope that the market will recover.
🔵 Panic:
At this stage, market participants may become panicked about the potential for further losses.
They may start to sell their positions in a rush to get out of the market.
🔵 Capitulation:
As market conditions reach their lowest point, investors and traders may give up hope and sell their positions, even at a loss.
This is known as capitulation.
🔵 Anger:
After the market has bottomed out, some investors and traders may feel angry about their losses and the perceived market manipulation
or wrongdoing that they believe caused the market crash.
🔵 Depression:
After experiencing significant losses, some investors and traders may feel depressed
and lose motivation to engage in further investment or trading activities.
🔵 Disbelief:
As market conditions begin to improve again, some investors and traders may return to a state of disbelief
and skepticism about the potential for a sustained market rally.
👤 @AlgoBuddy
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
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Every trader life cycleThe Trader's Cycle
The trader's cycle is the time span between the first replenishment of the deposit and its total loss. The cycle is divided into four parts, each of which corresponds to a different condition of the trader.
Every trader is in one of the stages of the trader's cycle; it is impossible to avoid the cycle by trading continuously. However, by splitting into a "cycle," you may lengthen the stages and reduce your losses.
The "trader's cycle" phases:
"Stability" is the initial step.
The trader is in a condition of equilibrium, regulates his emotions, initiates trades only on his system entry points, does not engage in high-frequency trading, employs stop losses, monitors risk management, treats losses properly, and lives his life throughout the first phase.
The second stage is known as "sudden impact."
In the second phase, an incident occurs in the life of a trader that throws him off balance psychologically. A stunning incident for a trader is a large loss that wipes out the results of his efforts for an extended period of time. In general, the major causes of "shock" include neglecting risk management and not employing stop losses, as well as a series of transactions closed by stop losses in system trading in accordance with all of the trader's trading system regulations.
A unexpected blow can also be caused by technical errors: a forgotten or failed order, technical issues with a broker or equipment at the worst possible time.
The core of the second phase is that the trader experiences psychological trauma, which causes him to lose his psychological equilibrium and engage in illogical behavior.
The third stage is referred to as "risk rise."
In the third phase, the trader awakens with a desire to recover his losses, which causes him to raise the volume of positions, increase leverage, refuse to apply stop losses, depart from risk management, and average positions, which leads to irreversible repercussions.
The trader deviates from another critical approach - consistent profit taking. He stops taking profits from the market, constantly desiring more, as a result of which he misses profits and awakens within himself the infamous feeling of missed profit - FOMO (The fear of missing out), which in turn feeds the trader's psychological trauma and causes him to behave aggressively in the market.
The trader has a "perception filter": he begins to automatically reject any market information and signals that contradict his established abnormally high confidence in the market's future direction.
The fourth stage is "collapse."
The trader's position is liquidated when the market moves against him, and he is left with no money. On the one hand, the trader has lost everything; on the other hand, he feels some relief and begins to behave objectively, abandoning wishful thinking.
After putting himself in order and returning to normal life, the trader begins to evaluate blunders. After dealing with the mistakes, the trader pledges himself not to repeat them and not to break from his trading strategy, but vows are broken over time, and the cycle continues.
Repetition of the cycle
After the "first round," most rookie traders abandon trading permanently, blaming the market and condemned "manipulators" for everything. Another, smaller group of traders has the courage to accept their mistakes and return to trading at a higher level.
After a period, the cycle repeats for most merchants, and they are once again separated into two groups, with the majority of them leaving the market for good.
How can you break the cycle?
Every trader should embrace and realize the fact that the trader's cycle is inevitable, therefore, he should take efforts in advance to assist "soften the fall". Here are some practical suggestions.
Rest and recuperation
Every year, the work of a trader becomes more difficult: new patterns emerge, more and more variables must be considered, which increases the emotional load many times over, so rest and recovery are critical: the right approach to leisure time will help to avoid emotional burnout and will "reboot" you, completely clearing from thoughts, allowing you to return to your favorite work with renewed vigor. Take regular breaks from trading, vacations, and living life, because the aim of your trade is to increase the quality of your life. Does your life improve if you make a lot of money but are miserable? Look for new interests and experiment with new things. Recommendations for healing include bathing, swimming in a pool, massage, meditation, winter swimming, spending time in nature, and traveling.
Lifestyle
Your lifestyle, whether you like it or not, will be reflected in your trading, so don't get too caught up in trading - satisfy yourself and your loved ones by spending gains and developing yourself.
Eat, travel, and live life to the fullest. This will undoubtedly boost your attitude and, as a result, the outcome.
Sport influences your physical health, which in turn affects your mental health, and mental health allows you to be more productive and balanced for longer periods of time. Also, keep your mental surroundings in mind and limit your time spent on devices and news sources.
Pay attention to your health, thoughts, nutrition, lifestyle, sleep, and connections with loved ones.
Trading strategy
The attitude to trading is the foundation that may both save you from the "trader's cycle" and push you into it. Here are a few highlights:
1. Risk assessment.
Maintain strict risk management and never, ever overstate dangers. Diversify your cash in several areas to ensure that you cannot gamble too much on one trade. Divide your trading deposit, for example, into four pieces and transfer cash to separate exchanges and wallets.
This strategy will have a significant psychological influence on you, so that if you lose, you will only lose a portion of the cash. Even if you let go a little when transferring cash from one account to another, your brain will remember why you split and withdrawn the funds, and your emotions will have time to settle.
2. Profit obsession.
Fix locations in sections, always leaving a little bit out of the transaction. Using this profit-taking approach, you will skim the juiciest milk from winning transactions and eliminate FOMO, which will benefit your trading.
3. Taking an asset from the watchlist.
Remove the asset from your watchlist and cease watching it for a time if you still did not follow the strategy of frequent profit taking and closed the position fully.
Why would you do it? Assume that once you've established your successful position, the price rises by another 10-20-30%. How will you react? Most likely, you will have FOMO (fear of missing out), return to the transaction, and the price will then reverse.
To avoid this, either fix positions in parts depending on the balance of the position rather than the beginning volume, or do not open the chart after closing the trade.
4. A sequence of stop losses
Leave trading for a day if you close two transactions in a row on stop losses, since failing trades produce unpleasant emotions, which lead to bad judgments, and bad decisions lead to a desire to recover.
It is critical to learn to track your mental condition and step away from the terminal as soon as possible.
Workspace
The workplace should be a quiet and pleasant setting where you can concentrate and nothing will distract you from your task.
The trading system
Your trading system is critical to your success. You must design it based on your trading strategy and risk tolerance.
The trading system should comprise the following components:
Risk administration.
A collection of entrance points.
A collection of indicators.
Self-control techniques.
Profit safeguard approach.
Transferring positions to breakeven is a strategy.
Various trading methods and tools are available.
Make plans for profit distribution and withdrawal.
A set of guidelines "What should I do if...".
Trader's journal, where you will keep track of your transactions.
Savings and income sources
To avoid an urgent need to recoup while incurring a major loss, it is vital to save - develop an airbag for 6-12 months of a pleasant living and do not squander it. Savings will be ineffective even in the best-case scenario, but the advantages of the "airbag" are difficult to overestimate. Such accumulations will improve your psychological state since you will be more confident in the future and will not tear your hair out by launching a "transaction for the sake of a deal" and anticipating a quick payoff.
It is also vital to generate "cash flows" (other sources of income) for yourself outside of trading in order to increase your passive profit.
Profits and interruptions are reduced to zero.
"Crashes to zero" and samsara in the shape of a "trader's cycle" are unavoidable, therefore you must plan for "rainy days" by taking action ahead of time.
The finest traders can maintain equilibrium for far longer, but they also have breakdowns. Don't think of yourself as an exception. End collapses, extract winnings, and build passive income streams since the ultimate purpose of your trade is to improve the quality of your life. Keep in mind that the funds in your brokerage account do not belong to you, and anything might happen to the broker.
Regular withdrawal of cash ensures a constant and comfortable quality of living, since if you lose control of yourself, you will lose just a portion of the assets, not all of them. Create bulletproof stages that will allow your capital curve to increase indefinitely.
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What is FOMO and how to avoid it? What is FOMO?
FOMO - Fear of missing out or Lost Profit Syndrome - an obsessive fear of missing out on an investment opportunity.
This syndrome can overtake in any everyday situation and make you remember missed chances to get rich all day: ignore the growing popularity of cryptocurrencies, not invest in bitcoin and many other short-sighted actions.
To determine the presence of the syndrome of lost profits can be on several grounds:
frequent check of the exchange rate of the asset in the portfolio;
obsessive fear of missing some important event or news;
dependence on a smartphone, discomfort in the absence of a gadget;
resentment if someone is luckier or more successful.
In trading and investing, the FOMO phenomenon is especially noticeable. Many investors under the influence of the syndrome make spontaneous purchases, make many mistakes and subsequently lose faith in the prospects of the market.
But the good news is that even this obsessive-compulsive disorder can be cured with a few tricks
✅ Forget about the past.
What once happened in the market is absolutely irrelevant. No successful investor looks at quotes in the past. He only thinks about the future. Chances never end, they always reappear.
✅ Increase your competence.
Master new skills, study the experience of professionals, All this will give not only the necessary knowledge, but also confidence in the correctness of your actions.
✅ Set clear goals.
You should always keep your strategy in mind and set target values when buying an asset. If the quotes reach your target, you should sell.
✅ If there are no ideas for investing - wait.
If there are no assets that fit into your strategy, then the most correct decision would be to save, increasing the cash position. And wait for the right moment. It will definitely come, and you will know about it when the crowd will scream about the next funeral of the stock market.
✅ Your strategy is everything.
Develop your own strategy and stick to it, improving on the way!
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What problems can a trader face and what are the reasons behind?What problems can a trader face and what are the reasons behind this?
Trading is an exciting activity, but for a beginner, there are many difficulties along the way. Today we will talk about a few of them, revealing the reasons for their occurrence!
Fear of closing a position by stop loss or fear of loss.
Often the reason for this lies in the trader's fear of failing and losing faith in himself.
Too early exit from profitable trades.
This may indicate excessive emotional involvement and dependence on the result. In this case, there is a strong anxiety, which is removed when the position is closed.
Adding to a losing position (averaging).
This sign may indicate the unwillingness of the trader to admit his own wrong and fear to take responsibility for the results of trading.
Excessive joy from a profitable trade.
This signals that a trader's self-esteem is directly related to trading results.
Restriction of profits and a feeling of undeserved success.
Internal belief that the trader does not deserve the money he has earned: the "impostor syndrome" that annoys many specialists.
Oversize position.
This is an alarm sign that warns that the trader does not fully understand the risk and does not understand the importance of good money management.
ost-Trading Irritability: Emotional swings caused by anger, fear and greed.
A trader attaches great importance to the results of trading, and not to the trading system. At the same time, he forgets about learning new tools and personal development.
You can't afford to lose.
This problem is typical for trading on borrowed funds or on family savings. From this, the trader's fear of losing becomes stronger, and the clarity of thinking becomes weaker.
Cognitive bias in TradingAnchor Effect
This cognitive bias causes a tendency to over-trust other people's judgments. And in a situation of uncertainty, the desire to find a foothold increases, which issomeone's authoritative opinion. The anchor effect makes traders look for hints of trend changes from analysts, and in advanced cases, from astrologers (however, they are not much different from each other). And even consult with "colleagues" on the forums, breaking through all levels of thebottom.
What to do? Think with your head
Monte Carlo effect
If two independent events occur sequentially (one after the other), a person tends toconsider them interconnected. And calculate the probability of the second eventoccurring in relation to the first What to do? Remember that the question: "Will mynext deal successful? there is only one answer: "Maybe it will, or maybe not." Atrader generally does not have the right to think in terms of individual transactions
Irwin effect (valency effect)
Sometimes, when we really want something, we tend tooverestimate the likelihood of a positive outcome. And vice versa - underestimate the probability of anegative. It can be said in a simpler way, without any valencies:unreasonable optimism is turned on. Traders often have this cognitive bias when making decisions. Because I really want money...
What to do? Turn on defensive pessimism
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WARNING! This will reflect on your tradingThe world thrives on drama, gossip and most people just want it to end by the way they think...
I can't blame them because most people are struggling to live their lives where they are working from pay check to pay check. Where they are hoping their boss will give them a half day off.
Where they are constantly feeding the fat cats of the world and paying taxes from their salaries.
But then trading comes along, where you can have some degree of control of your finances and investments.
Where you can risk what you wish and play the rules with growing a portfolio,...
BUT if you bring in your emotional aggression and tendencies, it will reflect on your trading...
Instead, you should work on yourself more.
Don't be angry over unnecessary things
Don't make a mountain out of a mole hill
Don't risk anything you can't afford to lose
Don't get angry over a small loss - you are in the trading den to make money NOT to be right
Take 10 DEEP breaths in and out before you make any impulsive decisions or take any abrasive action.
Focus on change and the whole world, your mind and your trading results will change with you...
Let me know if this helps by commenting below or at least liking this post.
Trade well, live free,
Timon
MATI Trader
MOST DANGEROUS TRADING TRAIT!Most people talk about Fear and Greed being the barometers to failure...
I think there is an underlying trait that is far superior which leads to ultimate account catastrophe.
EGO.
They just want to be right or they will have a hissy fit.
They refuse to take a loss...
They refuse to accept that the market is moving against you.
They find ways to disagree with the market which gets them committing moe.
They move their stop loss away further away - which means they risk more.
Rinse and repeat - GONE.
Cut out your ego or the markets will cut you out. Simple.
Trade well, live free.
Timon
MATI Trader
How To Succeed In Your TradingFocus on one single trading strategy
One thing that many people try and do is switch between strategies constantly. This is setting you up for failure, and if the concept of probabilities is truly understood, you will comprehend the reasons why a single strategy will work.
Any strategy is not going to have a 100% win rate, so first you should attempt at getting 50% of your trades right. After that mastering a 2:1 Reward to risk ratio is what will make you profitable. Trying to juggle many strategies will have you working tirelessly, but not moving forward in any particular one.
Less trading, more education
Many people have the conception that spending countless hours in front of the screen looking for potential set ups is how it should be, however that is completely wrong in my eyes. I spend minimal time now looking at charts and set ups, I highlight key levels I want to look at, along with alerts, and simply wait for the market to head there. Time spent looking at charts should be simply for education and mastering your strategy through back testing or simply understanding previous data.
Approach the market from a neutral position
Anyone that knows me knows how big I am on trading psychology and how I believe it is the most important aspect of trading.
Emotions in trading can be one of your greatest enemies as it can lead you to failure even after your success. There are scenarios where you can take trades and be in positive which will lead you to feel over confident, happy, and those will ultimately will lead to irrational decisions if you let them. Those emotions will make you believe you are better than the markets, or that you can outsmart them, ultimately leading your successful trade to turn into a failure. The same can happen when you feel the opposite and lack confidence to enter another trade due to a loss, or think have feelings of doubt.
This is why the market needs to be approached by a completely neutral position. Once you understand that for every person on one side of a trade, there is someone on the opposite side, you will begin to understand that the market itself is just a whole bunch of neutral information moving in nobody’s favour.
Write your goals
Affirmations are great and something that has helped me in every aspect of my life and not just trading. It is very important to write down your goals in order to manifest them into reality. All ideas first begin in the mind, and then come into the physical. Your goals need to be solidified, definite, and written down in order for your mind and yourself to know exactly what you are going after.
Every single day, you need to read your goals aloud, envision them in your mind with every bit of detail possible in order to bring them into the physical. In order to achieve a goal you need to arrive at the destination first in your mind.
Relax
There is no need to rush a single thing in your trading journey, and believe me take it from my experience, every time I tried to, I failed. People attend university for years before going out into a career which then takes many years before mastering it, yet people want to master trading in a year.
Patience is required in all aspects of trading, whether it’s on the charts themselves, or with your strategy, or with your learning curve. It all requires patience. If you are going after trading as a serious life career which you aim to remain in, then relaxing and taking your time is the first step. Nothing great comes from rushing it, especially the markets.
Know how to handle your trades
Based on your strategy and the concept of probability there are a number of things needed in order to appropriately handle your trades.
Firstly, don’t touch your stop loss. I cant say this enough, but stop losses are determined as the final barrier before the trade is invalid, and they are determine before entering the trade. If you find yourself moving your stop, ask yourself why. You will find out mostly its out of fear of losing your money, which is one of the 4 fears of trading. Accept your loss and let the trade stop out, you had it there for a reason.
Also, don’t leave trades behind out of fear. If you have a strategy that you have confidently developed, you should understand that the overall should be a greater number of winners than losers, and you should not leave trades behind out of fear, because they can be the ones that perform the best and make up for the losers.
Another thing to have in place is an appropriate strategy for exiting your trades. Many people have trades that are in profit, however due to the lack of knowledge on how to exit their trades, they still end up not profitable. You need to have a system on how to exit your trades appropriately and at what levels. Always remember, the profit running on a trade is not yours until its closed.
Risk management
Yes, I know you have heard it and read it a thousand times already, but you have no idea how important risk management is until the day you master it and recognise it was the single greatest thing holding you back from success.
People can have amazing strategies, the best reward to risk ratios, but with the inappropriate risk management trust me it means absolutely nothing. I have seen people overleverage on a trade simply because it “looked too good” compared to other trades, only for it to be the worst of the bunch.
I have seen people lose tremendous amounts of money and one thing I can promise you is not a single one of these people lost 100 trades in a row at 1% a trade. Every single one of them lost their entire accounts due to ONE trade that they married.
Risk management should be one of your main areas of focus, because believe me if you have mastered it, even with an average strategy you are doing much better than someone with an exceptional strategy with no adequate risk management.
Keep track of your performance
The only way to improve in any aspect of life is to first recognise what needs change and then work on it. It is very important to actually understand your positives and negatives and have them all tracked. A journal is one of the first steps in order to look in the mirror. Being completely honest is the only way a journal will work, and lying is only lying to yourself. If you are after serious improvement you need to appropriately identify all your flaws in order to better them.
You should never feel down or behind, remember trading the markets is one of the biggest psychological challenges one can face, and that is exactly why not everyone is suited for them. Instead see it as a challenge to better yourself and achieve the perfection and discipline you have always desired on and off the charts. Trading the markets will teach you lessons that you will carry with you throughout your entire life and not just on the trading floor.
XLM/BTC Position Trading. Zones. Money management. PsychologyLogarithm. Time interval—1 month. The main trend since the beginning of trading.
Coin in coinmarketcap: Stellar.
Top trading pairs to bitcoin have significant liquidity. In position trading, you need to work in portions from support/resistance level zones with a predetermined size distribution.
Unlike pairs to the dollar, pumps/dumps are smaller in % ratio due to the % rise/fall of bitcoin itself. If bitcoin is cashed in the market, profits remain the same. Hence, the smaller % is illusory in nature.
BTC instead of stabelcoins .
In such pairs, the “money” is bitcoin. Consequently, even premature selling (there shouldn't be any, since the position is allocated in advance) forgives mistakes, since you get bitcoins instead of USD or stabelcoins. Currently, many stabelcoins are losing their $1 peg, meaning they are devalued. Trading in a bitcoin pair reduces that risk.
Work on such pairs is suitable foremost for medium and large participants of the market. It is not rational to work with a small amount in such a time/profit perspective.
Money (crypto assets) security Money management.
This is key. You don't need to hold a large position on the exchange for this kind of trading! Why keep coins or stabelcoins on exchange if you make transactions quite rarely, only large movements. You understand beforehand when it will happen and in what price zone you are going to buy/sell.
That's what all the big market participants who don't take part in price formation do. When you need to buy or sell, you transfer the assets to the exchange and sell or buy on the market. You withdraw right away. If the amount is large enough, you should do this procedure in installments, preferably on several exchanges.
At one time I worked for a long time (several years) on DOGE/BTC pair, when this coin was (scam, joke coin) nobody was interested in it, unlike the current time of hype. There is a trading idea of the principle of this work in Russian 2019.
In this work, you work only in the secondary trend, from the main support/resistance zones, considering the development of the trend. You absolutely do not need to be interested in crypto news, the opinion of the majority and so on. You can look at the chart even once every few months.
What's more, you also don't need to know the future highs and lows of the next cycle (though for traders, they are easily identifiable). You work piecemeal from the zones. You know in advance where and by how much you buy or sell. Locally you can trade 20-30% of your coins, so you will have extra profit. But you don't have to.
The price goes down — good for you.
The price goes up — good for you.
Trading is guessing market probabilities of price movements. Algorithmic thinking according to a trading strategy, devoid of any emotion, makes money. Anything else loses it in any market. In other words, you must initially be prepared for more likely (in your opinion) and less likely outcomes. Know under what conditions you buy and under what conditions you sell.
Buying/selling in portions of coins according to predetermined zones.
You work from the average recruitment price and from the average selling price in portions, similar to how large market participants work on the BTC/USD pair. You never go completely into cache or similarly into coins. Only the % ratio of coins to money changes depending on the market cycle.
Work from the average buy/sell price (of money and coins) on a global scale (large time frame), without any "what if this time will be different". If it does, it's none of your business.
Know in advance where you will buy more in case of drawdown, and where you will sell in case of pumping. Again, without the "It could be different this time" and emotional component.
Sell and buy assets a little bit before everyone else in the market in installments, "not knowing the exact future," even if you think you know it. This will keep you from making mistakes.
Coin trading in the local trend.
By trading part of a position locally, you will always have money from profits to buy (averaging the main position) in case of so-called local "black swans". This work is not mandatory, but desirable.
It helps some people a lot psychologically, especially if the initial entry into the asset was erroneous and the price dropped significantly. By increasing the number of coins of local work, you thereby reduce your previous losses or even come out in profit over time. Again, you don't have to work this way, but it is advisable.
The smaller goals you set, the more you end up earning on the distance .
An untouchable supply of coins and cache in case of market force of circumstances .
Always keep in mind the possibility of a “black swan,” even if it seems impossible. You always have 20-30% of your position depending on the cycle (money/coins) in case of force of circumstances.
Bearish—a “black swan” sell-off under the channel support zone (happens very rarely).
Bullish—the final hammer madness over the channel resistance (happens very rarely just in pairs with bitcoin because in a bull cycle bitcoin grows 5-8 times on average).
Remember that in the accumulation phase in most cases there is a residual price zone of capitulation, super fear. It is usually accompanied by a “black swan. When everyone gets rid of their assets out of fear. You, on the contrary, buy with a grid of orders with a large range, without emotion.
Consequently, always have a pre-allocated cache (or from the profits of a local trade) if such a trading situation is realized in the market. Turn someone else's negative emotions into your own profits.
You should always act according to your trading plan and be ready for any market situation, even an extremely unlikely one.
bull market highs zone (channel resistance).
At the peak of the market, you should already have more than 60-70% in bitcoin (cache) for the next market cycle. 10-20% of the rest of the position should be in a stop loss to protect profits. This is more rational if the last spurt occurs.
Coins sold for bitcoin can be held in bitcoin in a cold wallet (not rational if the overall market trend has reversed). You can also similarly sell on the market for cash (be sure to withdraw from the exchange), or put a stop-loss to protect profits, in case the market makes another spurt (additional profit on the BTC/USD pair).
Always sell when the price rises significantly (pumping). Protect your profits with a stop.
Always sell a substantial portion of your coins with a grid of pending orders during an active pumping phase. Another option is not to sell, but to protect your profits with a stop loss.
Bear market minima. (lower channel zone).
In a bear market, the lower the price falls, the more market participants wait even lower. Everything is similar to the distribution, only mirrored in the opposite direction. This illogical inadequacy of people is especially noticeable at the "peak of fear." Before that super minimum (there may not be one), you need to gain most of the coin position in advance, but be prepared for anything...
Again, you must know in advance where and for what % of the allocated amount you buy coins and under what conditions. There must be discipline in everything and determine in advance what your further actions will be in accordance with your trading algorithm, rather than an emotional component.
Always have a certain percentage of money that is comfortable for you in any dominant trend and phase of the market.
Bull Market .
In a bull phase, you should accumulate a large percentage of cache (stabelcoins) at the expense of profits.
Bear market .
In the bear phase (altcoins from -90% and below) you should accumulate in portions of cryptocurrencies you are interested in.
I'm sure most people have it the other way around. In a bullish phase, most collect promising cryptocurrencies bought near price highs (hype, everything goes up in value).
In the bear phase, on the contrary, most market participants load most of their trading depots into staplecoins (fear, everything is falling in price, expectation of inadequate floor prices). They are driven by the desire to buy back the lowest price of the trend, right before the reversal. The lower the market falls, the more most go from fear to stablcoins.
Trade market cycles, not individual cryptocurrencies. Because their price strictly follows market cycles, but not the other way around.
Options for the development of price movement on the pair XLM/BTC. .
I will show the percentages of the following 3 zones of this channel, depending on where and under what conditions the reversal of this secondary trend will occur (a downward wedge is formed).
1 variant of reversal. Candlestick chart. Butterfly formation, the wedge is not embodied.
1 reversal variant. Line chart.
2 reversal variant. Candlestick chart.
Version 2 of reversal. Line chart.
3 reversal variant. Candlestick chart. Full formation of the descending wedge on the classic TA.
3 reversal variant. Line chart.
Be aware of trends and accumulation/distribution zones .
Remember that a bear market, like a bull market, will not last forever. Where there is supposedly an end, there is always a new beginning.
Everything is subject to cycles. This is especially true of financial markets. Every cycle is the same to the point of triviality. Be guided by trends, that is, by accumulation/distribution zones, when they start and end.
Bitcoin — as more than a decade of cycle history shows, this is from -70-82% of the secondary trend high. This does not mean that the subsequent cycle will have the same percentage trend value, but there is a possibility.
Alts average -90-96% and lower depending on the liquidity of the crypto coin. The lower the liquidity (people involvement), the higher the risk. You should also understand that the lower the liquidity, the higher the slippage at “peak fear” can be. Many altcoins, especially those with low liquidity, do not survive to the next cycle.
Also be aware of market capitulation shocks as a consequence of so-called “black swans.” It won't necessarily happen, but the possibility always exists.
The price of something that is worthless can be turned into absolutely anything on the market, to the point of inadequacy. It's not a real commodity whose value people understand.
Psychology. Indicators of distribution/accumulation zones in cycles.
Allocation zones —resetting to “hamsters” (fools or inexperienced market participants) is expensive.
In a bull market, the higher the price rises, the higher the expectations. Up to inadequacy in the last reset zone in the distribution. “Hamsters” buy very expensive “promising coins” near trending price highs (marketing, information noise) and wait even higher.
Accumulation Zones — Large market participants buy on the cheap from “hamsters”, constantly scaring them with various bikes and imitations. There is a massive build-up of negative news.
Hamsters sell cheap and wait for an even lower price. No matter how low the price is, it cannot satisfy people like them.
In other words, their thinking is sharpened to the opposite. Projecting onto trade what they are in life. Anything to do with money reinforces this effect. Buy expensive, sell cheap. Don't inherit this tendency of those who lose money in the market.
As a rule, most people don't buy at flea markets; they are afraid. They wait for those who should be selling to them to say, "Fools, it's time to buy in the very expensive.")
What matters is how much you earn when you're right, and how much you lose when you're wrong. You should know these potential values initially before you make a deal. If you can't determine them, or the risk is too high — refrain from trading.
Immunity to guessing lows and highs .
Most fools do this in all cycles. Forget the hamster concept of selling at the peak or buying at the low. Leave it to those who are destitute and will be even poorer because of it.
Again, it's all in the head. What a person is like in reality is what a person is like in trading. Kill your greed.
For example, in all bitcoin cycles (I have my third), the so-called hamsters (fuel) and pseudo traders (fuel) always want to guess the highs and lows of the price. The question is, why do we need to do this? The answer lies in the thinking of the poor and lack of understanding of simple logical things.
The ability to wait for your goals.
Be patient. Cycles, both local and global, tend to recur with their own time interval, which cannot be identical to the previous one. Consequently, only the patient earns.
Learn to be out of the market,
In areas of uncertainty, if the market doesn't let you make money, why burn time in vain? This time can be used with benefit both for yourself and for others. Take a rest, read an interesting book, go somewhere, do something useful. The main thing is not to immerse yourself on the Internet.
It is important how much you earn when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong. Initially, before entering a trade, you should know these potential values. If you can't determine them, or the risk is too high, then refrain from trading.
Treat the numbers on the screen as numbers, not as money.
No equation with the value of "what you can buy with that amount of money on the screen." That is, you have to identify with the percentage of profit/loss, not the money — the amount of profit/loss.
When -5% to $100 is $5, and you are not afraid of such a loss.
But, for example, when your balance is over $10 million, then -5% would be $0.5 million. For a fat hamster, that's a tragedy. For a big trader, it is a calculated risk. The drawdown can be much more significant, but the risk is always considered and accepted in advance. In the end, the profit more than compensates for such a drawdown. I think you understand the logic. It allows you to understand whether you are ready to work with large sums or not.
I purposely wrote a large amount as an example to provide a clear contrast because everyone is ready to lose temporarily, namely temporarily $5?
But $500,000 is an unimaginable amount for most people. But to be ready to work with big sums, you need that discipline and attitude towards money at the very beginning of your hobby of trading. Everyone wants to work with large sums in the future when they trade, or am I wrong?
As a rule, most market participants cannot overcome this barrier because of their "lust for money" and identification: the numbers on the screen are real money, not just profit/loss % figures.
A trader's behavior in the market is a result of his thinking. Your way of thinking affects your habits, and your habits are what makes or loses money in the market.
Margin is bad .
The exception (not necessarily) is an adequate short position with minimum leverage and risk limitation.
If you want to steadily earn in the market and never get nervous - don't use margin at all. Absolutely never. As a rule, the poor use margin, and the poorer they are, the higher the leverage. Perhaps that is the secret of their poverty. I'm not talking about margin in the first place, I'm talking about the mindset that generates higher margin leverage, driving the risk/profit ratio to idiocy, but that's the way it is.
Exchanges don't like those who make money and adore those who might lose money trying to get rich.
Margin trading with leverage is only for experienced traders. It should be taboo for novice traders.
Diversification of storage and trading places .
This is very relevant to position trading. I wrote about it above. Don't trade or store your coins in one place.
"Russian or South Korean hackers attacked a top exchange, all cryptocurrency stolen." This is sarcasm, but this is exactly the kind of FUD for fools you will see when they just steal cryptocurrency from exchanges under the guise of such a tale. The made-up story doesn't matter, what matters is that the people behind the cryptocurrency exchanges will steal cryptocurrency from you, wearing the skin of an injured sheep).
The safety of your money (including cryptocurrencies) depends only on you, not on chance. Anything that seems random is not. If you always rely on chance instead of your mind, you are doomed. The will of chance will shadow you and haunt and empty your pocket time after time. You will always be at the forefront of the victims of your carelessness and self-confidence.
Always keep some of your positions in cold storage .
Keep some of your positions, even if you are very actively trading, on a cold or hardware wallet (preferably several). It should be at least 30% of your total deposit. This percentage should vary during certain phases of the market. In accumulation zones, most of the position should be out of the exchanges.
Diversification of stubblecoins (profits) and their blockchain storage.
Very relevant because in the future, one liquid stabelcoin like UST (Luna) will be zeroed out (disposal of money on a large scale). Probably, many people have understood this for a long time, but do not believe it will be implemented. Not only that, but most altcoins will evaporate at the moment. Yes, the probability, as always, is no greater. But if that probability is there, it is rational to take steps to make sure it doesn't hurt you. Diversification as well as swift action during an event is the best defense against something like this.
Stable coins are always a risk. Keep this diversification in mind, both by their own varieties and by blockchain if you are storing them on a hardware wallet.
Unfortunately, this is a risk you will have to accept and live with, as using stablcoins is a component of trading.
Diversify such assets not only when you are out of the market waiting to trade, but even when you are actively trading. That is, by using different stabelcoins when trading the same cryptocurrency (e.g., BTC) you reduce risk. For example, BTC/USDC, BTC /USDT or BTC/BUSD.
Any stabelcoin is an altcoin whose value (stability) is based only on people's belief in its stability .
Totally uninterested in the opinion of the crowd .
The crowd is always wrong. The majority always loses in the market. Otherwise, it would be impossible to make money in the market. Therefore, by being interested in and listening to the trend of the opinions of most market participants, you can unnoticeably lean towards the opinion and understanding of those who initially have to lose. Are you prepared for losses? No? Then why should you be?
Another option is to use the opinion of most market participants to track market trends. If you are well-versed in psychology, this will be helpful. If not, you yourself may fall prey to opinions unnoticed.
Everything unpredictable is the fate of only absolutely predictable people, it always was, is and will be .
Don't be interested in cryptocurrency news.
The chart takes everything into account, including the release of "tales for fools." All crypto news is created for price direction and nothing more.
Small-scale news for influencing fools (their logical scare/satisfaction actions) to locally influence the price. Large scale news and events to globally influence the trend and the market as a whole.
If you can understand and read between the lines, understanding what the manipulator is trying to achieve, then you can use the news background in your trading strategy. If not, and you are not a good psychologist - completely ignore the flow of information.
The positive and negative emotions of others in the market generate volatility, which is your earning wave. Ride it.
Don't mess with anonymous fools.
Appreciate your time. Don't pay attention if someone criticizes you without being constructive, or wants to impose their perspective without arguments of rightness. Such commenters are usually people with a very low social status in reality, they are trying to assert themselves through the internet in an anonymous world.
Be immune to such losers, they are the ones who want you to doubt yourself and accept their perspective. The more bile, the more anonymous cries from.
Understand that only such people have time to correspond and “spout bile” on the anonymous internet. As a rule, these are immature individuals or conventionally "mature," but with the mindset and interests of a teenager.
Don't waste your time on the vacuous or psychological aberrations of flawed Internet characters. Make good use of your time.
The behavior of people in financial markets is a projection of who they are in real life. That is, their positive and negative psychological qualities.
Don't be a trading junkie. Don't waste time.
Don't waste time. Both for meaningless Internet price guessing, and for round-the-clock trading.
Mindless guesses.
The idiocy of the crowd. Trying to guess highs or lows that are logically understandable. When all scenarios are clear and understandable. Do not turn into idiots from the "where the price of bitcoin will go" sect. Everything is always the same in every cycle.
You must decide for yourself initially (after spending several hours) on what conditions and prices you will buy this or that cryptocurrency and at what prices to sell. Have a more likely and less likely scenario. Be ready for any incarnation. Do not complicate simple logical things with the stupidity of fortune-tellers mixed with your greed.
The basis of trading is your trading strategy , that is, your knowledge that you put into practice in symbiosis with risk management , that is, your manner of taking on take risks in transactions and manage money.
To paraphrase, initially you need to understand how much you will earn when you are right, and how much you will lose (hit stop or averaging if a less likely scenario is realized) when you are wrong. In such cases, it is absolutely not necessary to know the exact price of the low or high of the trend, leave that to the idiots.
Trading 24/7.
I will write short and clear. Money without life is not needed. In everything there must be adequacy.
Knowing the instinctively more likely behavior of people (the psychology of mass behavior) in a given situation, as well as programming people's behavior (what is right / wrong, how to act in a given situation according to the rules) and creating the same situations, allows easy to manage "potentially uncontrollable behavioral chaos".
Psychology. Be yourself - don't go against yourself.
For traders Work with your trading algorithms based on your knowledge and experience, not on emotions.
For those who are faced with the fact that trading constantly "hit the head" . Become an investor.
Carefully study the cryptocurrencies you are interested in and decide whether to invest in them or not. Divide the money needed to invest in each cryptocurrency into several parts. Buy in areas of potential price reversal. After purchase, send your coins to a hardware wallet.
Stay away from your cryptocurrencies until the new bull cycle (peak will be in 2025). Also, before the big bull cycle, there will be an intermediate one by a relatively small percentage, as in 2019-2020. Don't forget to sell some of the coins to buy them back much cheaper.
It is also worth paying attention to those cryptocurrencies that are included (blockchains and protocols) in the development of CBDC and comply with the future ISO 20022 standard (already in March). XLM is one of them.
⚠️Don't let FOMO ruin your trading⚠️FOMO, or "fear of missing out," is a common emotion that can lead to impulsive and potentially reckless trading decisions. ⚠️
✅Here are five key rules to help you respect and manage FOMO in your trading:
🔵 Use risk management techniques.
Proper risk management is critical to successful trading. This includes setting stop-loss orders to limit potential losses and using position sizing strategies to ensure that you don't risk more than you can afford to lose.
🔵 Seek out education and guidance.
If you're new to trading or struggling to manage FOMO, it can be helpful to seek out educational resources or seek guidance from an experienced trader or financial advisor.
By learning more about the markets and trading strategies, you can increase your knowledge and confidence, which can help you make more informed and rational trading decisions.
🔵 Take breaks and step away from the markets.
It can be easy to get caught up in the excitement of trading, but taking breaks and stepping away from the markets can help you clear your head and make more rational decisions.
🔵 Don't let emotions drive your trades.
FOMO can lead to emotional trading, which is often not based on sound analysis or strategy. It's important to stay disciplined and base your trades on objective criteria rather than letting emotions drive your decisions.
🔵 Set clear trading goals and stick to your trading plan.
Having a clear understanding of what you hope to achieve with your trades and a plan to achieve those goals can help you avoid making impulsive decisions driven by FOMO.
👤 @Galerdev
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
❤️ If you appreciate my work , Please like, comment and follow ❤️
Emotion-Free Trading After a Loss✅1. Don't panic:
Losing a trade can be frustrating, but it's important to remain calm and not make any hasty decisions. Remember that investing in stocks and cryptocurrency carries inherent risks, and losing a trade is a normal part of the process.
2. Don't hold onto a losing position:
If a trade is not going in your favor, it's generally a good idea to cut your losses and sell the position. Holding onto a losing position in the hope that it will turn around can lead to even greater losses.
3. Don't chase losses:
Trying to recover losses by making risky trades or investing more money is a common mistake made by investors. This approach is often referred to as "revenge trading," and it can lead to even greater losses.
4. Don't give up:
Losing a trade can be a setback, but it's important to stay the course and continue to invest in a disciplined and strategic way. Don't let a losing trade discourage you from reaching your long-term investment goals.
5. Don't ignore risk management strategies:
It's important to have a plan in place to manage risk, especially when losing a trade. This could include setting stop-loss orders, diversifying your portfolio, or using other risk management techniques. Ignoring risk management strategies can lead to even greater losses.
🚀For updates on the latest developments in psychology, market trends, and important news, follow our page. Stay informed and stay ahead of the game with our regular updates.
Trade with Confidence: 5 Day Trading Psychology Rules to Embrace Set clear goals and limits:
Before you begin trading, it's important to have a clear idea of what you hope to accomplish and how much risk you are willing to take on. This will help you make informed decisions and avoid making impulsive trades based on emotions.
Control your emotions:
Day trading can be stressful, and it's easy to let emotions like fear or greed influence your decisions. It's important to stay level-headed and stick to your pre-determined trading plan, rather than getting caught up in the heat of the moment.
Use stop-loss orders:
A stop-loss order is a type of order that closes a trade automatically once it reaches a certain price. This can help you minimize losses if the market moves against you.
Diversify your portfolio:
Diversification is a risk management strategy that involves spreading your investments across a variety of asset classes. This can help you manage risk and potentially earn higher returns over the long term.
Continuously educate yourself:
The world of day trading is constantly evolving, so it's important to stay up-to-date on the latest trends and techniques. This can help you make informed decisions and improve your chances of success.
The Biggest Mistake Novice Traders Make When Learning To TradeI wasted a lot of time from years one to four in my trading career.
Being scammed led me to decide to create my unique trading strategy. I used the course material I bought and google to do so. It worked but after years of pain and suffering. If I had continued searching for a legit trading coach, I would've succeeded much quicker.
But I'm grateful because I learned a valuable lesson, which is to always...
Start By Mastering An Existing Trading Strategy Before Creating A Brand New One.
Ignoring this advice, especially as a novice trader, will stop you from succeeding on time.
For that reason, trying to create something new that you don't have experience with is useless. Because it will waste the mental energy and time you need to master what you already have to move forward. Thus committing to grasp the details of a trading strategy will save you from mental battles that hinder your growth. You'll also free up time to develop the following key ingredients for trading success:
1. Trading and Risk Management (Business) Plan.
2. Risk Management edge.
3. Psychological edge.
4. Journalling Habit.
With that said, let me show you how to flourish as a novice trader, below.
Find a legitimate trading coach with a proven track record.
Having a professional trader coaching you through your journey will make it a bit easier and more fun.
But there aren't many legitimate professionals who will make that possible. The industry has a lot of scammers who only make money from selling courses. That's not a problem though as there are traders who live off trading. Your job is to find them.
How?
Do research before buying a course:
1. Pick 2-3 traders you perceive as legitimate.
2. Check if their course will help you develop the 4 ingredients for trading success.
3. Check the coach's Trustpilot for course/community reviews.
4. Do research by contacting people who have bought it.
5. Ask for the coach's trading (Myfxbook) statistics.
6. Join their free communities to ask questions.
Once you’ve found your perfect match, focus on studying and mastering his/her course material till you become a profitable trader.
And while doing that teach other people your skill for free. This will quicken the process of learning, understanding, and mastering. After that form new trading strategies to maximize your gains and sell to other people for extra cash.
Following the advice above, will save you years of pain and suffering in exchange for fun years of rapid growth and success.
So trust the process and you’ll make it.
EOS and SEC!!! EOS against BTC has been in a downtrend for a very long time. The chart says it all, but lately the chart is creating a higher low and will indeed create a higher high soon.
IMPORTANT - SEC has already fined EOS this makes EOS safe from SEC. Nothing more to say than accumulate from here.
Long position set. Time to sell!The asset has been in the sideways for a long time. Observe the pulse breakdown of the volumetric poc level and the consolidation below. The news feed is negative. The local maximum closed with a shadow, stop for the shadow. I expect a breakdown of the level of 16700 $ and a movement lower. Goal - 16300$
Trading with 0 stress👉So you see a trading opportunity. It looks like a fair setup. You get confirmation to enter, but you hesitate. You're afraid of losing money, or you have some anxiety that keeps you from pulling the trigger. This is a problem that almost all traders face at some point in their trading career. I too have suffered from fear of losing money and this problem has led to other mistakes that have stopped me from executing my best trades. Today I share my process of what I did. To reduce my anxiety while trading and the actual steps I took to improve my trading execution.
❓ Do you think the color of the candle affects you while trading? Of course it does. Feel free to tell me if this sounds familiar in the comment section. You enter a long trade expecting the market to go up. You gain a few %, then the price turns against you and forms a red candle. And you start watching the movement, especially each candle pointing down. And you focus on the red color of the candle.
😱You get more and more anxious. When another red candle forms. This was a big problem for me in my early years. I closed my trades after a few minutes. When I saw more red candles below my entry point. The solution to overcome this is simple:
🧨 Change the color of the candles to one color. This way you will only track the price and its range.
Let me ask you, which of the texts on the screen is the one that is easier to read? The single colour or the multi-colour? There is a phenomenon in psychology called visual perception. Your brain is always looking for patterns in commerce. If you use multi-coloured candles, you reduce your ability to recognise patterns. Let me repeat that. Your brain is looking for patterns, and one of those patterns is similar colors. Colors affect your brain, your emotions, your feelings. Your psychology, potentially your trading ability. To trade best, you need to trade in a neutral, unbiased state of mind. I've bought in the past because of fast moving red or green candles, I've made bad trades, both on entry and exit. If you get anxious during an open trade, use candles of the same color. So try this simple tip to reduce your reaction to price movements. Change the colour to anything but not to red. Blue or green, yellow or white candles. Just stay away from red and give me a feedback in a week or so. I find myself calmer using a single color for the up and down candles. Maybe this little brainstorming session will help relieve some of the anxiety.
👉 Here's another situation. You see a long opportunity. The price is around the key level and you need to decide. You pull the trigger at, say, $50. You say to yourself, "Wait, I'll wait until... until the market drops a few cents. The market drops to $50.02, but you're still waiting. And then the market goes back up to $50.10 and... you say to yourself, I'm not getting in now. That's a worse price than five minutes ago. I'll wait until it goes down again. And of course the price never comes back. It goes up without you. And now you're frustrated because you anticipated the move, but your perfectionism... prevented you from pulling the trigger. Fear of losing money and perfectionism can lead to irrational behavior, overanalyzing, overthinking and slowly draining your mental energy.
🟢 One of the problems I personally struggled with was. That I wanted to be perfect in my trades. I was looking for the perfect opportunity. You know, when you enter and the price never goes against you, not even one %. Being a perfectionist in trading is stressful and always being on the edge doesn't help you make good trading decisions. In most cases, when you are waiting for the perfect entry, you realize you just missed a big move. Trying to time your entry precisely, at the entry point, is a foolish undertaking. Perfection can be your biggest enemy in trading and can cause you a lot of stress.
🟢 Here's how to reduce that anxiety. Use ranges instead of exact prices. As a day trader, you will not be able to track price movements every minute of the day. That's why you should use price ranges instead of exact prices. This gives you some flexibility. And of course you still need to be strict with yourself when executing your plan. Good traders are vigilant, yet patient. When a lineup they've been waiting for pops up, they grab it without hesitation. But until that time comes, they won't budge. The price fluctuations that lure other traders. They choose to reserve energy for what they are prepared for and ignore everything else. They don't chase the market, they let the market come to them. The opposite of this is forcing trades. You know the feeling when you wait for a trade, see some activity, and pull the trigger early. You force the trade. I did that almost every day.
🟢 Here's the solution. Stop using market orders and use limit orders instead. Basically let the market come to you. Once you have selected the assets you want and done your analysis, you need to determine the prices where you will buy and sell. Your goal is simply to buy and sell at the best possible prices, and use your research to identify reasonable prices in advance. Not only will this help you get a better deal, it will also help you avoid emotion-based trading. The simple solution to reducing stress and anxiety is to only act when the conditions are what you expect. Letting the market come to you is a difficult but valuable skill to learn. So forget market orders and use limit orders. This will reduce your emotional involvement and prevent you from making bad decisions.
🟢 If you want to reduce stress and anxiety while trading, you should switch to higher time frames. This will allow you the time needed to make informed decisions. I know you will find it difficult at first, but you will continue to struggle with anxiety and stress until you make the change. If you are feeling nervous and afraid of losing money, I highly recommend trying the higher time frames. Again, this transition to higher time frames is difficult and most traders are reluctant to switch. But you need to change your environment if you want better trading performance. If you trade in an environment like the 1-minute or the 5-minute chart, you risk the risk of market noise. True, higher time frames don't offer trading opportunities with as much speed, but the signals generated are more reliable and have a much higher chance of working. Better to trade a handful of good quality trades. Rather than trying with many poor quality trades. Daytrade trading is exciting, but it also requires you to monitor price movements for many hours. Most daytrade traders initially like the excitement and moving on lower time frames, but it's only a matter of time before they experience mental burnout, and once mental discipline is exhausted, greed, frustration, anger and impatience will bring bad trades and send you into a dangerous state of mind from which it is difficult to recover. So move into higher time frames. You'll only spend a fraction of the time in front of the charts, and you'll be at less risk of burnout. After a while, you'll find that it becomes much easier to work with a cool head while maintaining mental and emotional discipline.
🟢 How often do you enter trading? The setup looked great, then the price went straight away to your stop-loss before it got to your take profit level without you. Without profit, this is probably the most frustrating scenario many traders face on a daily basis. Because you fear losing money, you tend to use small stop losses. You don't want to make a mistake and try to keep your losses small, but keeping your levels too close to the entry candle is a recipe for having your account cut to pieces. A tight stop relies on you having very precise, near-perfect entries, and we've already talked about perfectionism in trading. If you repeatedly see your stops being hit regularly before the price turns in the original direction, it is very likely that you have placed your stops at levels that other traders use, especially if you trade on obvious price movement patterns. My advice is to start trading with a wider stop loss and a lower position size away from the entry. The position size you use should be small enough that neither a loss nor a gain will affect your mindset and ability to continue trading, only then will you really focus on proper execution.
🟢If you are trading the markets with your hard-earned money, but you don't know what your trading strategy is and you don't trust your market analysis skills. You probably shouldn't be trading with a live account. One of the biggest reasons why you are nervous and afraid when you trade is that you will lose your money because you don't trust your own trading skills. You may not have learned a trading strategy. You do not have a trading plan, you do not keep a trading diary. You are simply not prepared to take risks. Real money at risk in the markets. That is why you feel fear when you trade. Basically, trading anxiety comes from not knowing what you are doing. I have talked many times about the value of a trading log. The key is to use your trading log to keep track of when you are at your best and when you are at your worst when it comes to your trading and your emotions. I pay close attention in my trading diary to times when I make mental mistakes, such as not trading a good trade when I know I should. When I am afraid of losing money or avoiding a good trade, I look for triggers and patterns. Was I confused? Did I make that mistake in a particular market situation? Do I have certain feelings and emotions from previous trades? These are the intangible factors that you need to track in your trading log.
🟢 Most traders are fixated on short-term results. They make money by pressing a few buttons and don't pay attention to the process that makes it possible. They make mistakes, learn from them, and correct them over and over again. Everyone thinks about winning, but few think about the benefits of losing . In my experience, most wins are directly attributable to a big losing trade that I learned from making money in the past. As a trader it makes no sense if you don't understand why/why you can't repeat. Similarly, losing money is a valuable experience. If you understand why you lost. Paradoxically, you cannot understand why you win. Without first understanding how you could have lost in the same situation. So change the way you think about losses, because they will show you the direction of repeatable victories in the future.
If you've already lost, at least don't lose the lesson.
Take care my friend and have a good trade!
Trade Management (Updating Stop Losses)The above shows a trade I placed yesterday,
I entered at 17050 , after confirmation of a breakout to the upside.
However, after coming back to check my trade a few hours later, and was in the money, blinded by the "let the trade run, don't touch it." mindset, I, well... let the trade run. I moved my stop loss just around my entry.
That's greed and it's not a profitable 'strategy'.
If you see your trade is in the money, set your stop loss in the money, in this case, I realistically should have moved the stop loss up where the second breakout occurred, you may not get the whole trade exactly your way, but, profit is profit.
The old saying goes, you can't make money if you're losing money.
Chase those %, not the $.
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Cheers :)