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Psychology

SOL BottomThis is more of a lesson on Psychology of Markets and how it can be used as confluence in helping identify bottoms. Crypto is very cyclical and there are tons of emotions involved, especially for novice members. Crypto also has many beginner investors that enter, as the user base is primarily younger generations dipping their toes in on perhaps generational wealth. I have traded crypto markets for 6+ years now and been involved with 3 market bottoms now. This is the exact type of chatter/doomsville posts you see at the bottom of markets. Remember, 99% of investors are euphoric at the tops, 99% of investors are fearful at the bottom. I am heavy Long on SOL, not just from technicals, but now increasing confluence with market participants emotions. advisor.visualcapitalist.com
Long
by CryptoCurb
2
Trading Psychology – FOMO #2JS-Masterclass: FOMO-Trading #2 In the first FOMO tutorial, I have summarized the characteristics of a FOMO trader and explained contributing factors which encourage FOMO-trading. In this tutorial, I will compare the typical behaviors of FOMO traders versus disciplined traders and give tips to overcome FOMO-trading. FOMO TRADERS VS DISCIPLINED TRADERS The process of placing a trade can be very different depending on the situation in hand and the factors that are driving a trader’s decisions. Here is the trading cycle of a FOMO trader vs a disciplined trader – as you will see, there are some fundamental differences that can lead to very different outcomes. TIPS TO OVERCOME FOMO Overcoming FOMO begins with greater self-awareness, and understanding the importance of discipline and risk management in trading. While there is no simple solution to preventing emotions from impacting trades and stopping FOMO in its tracks, there are various techniques that can help traders make informed decisions and trade more effectively. Here are some tips and reminders to help manage the fear factor: • Be aware that there will always be another trade. Trading opportunities are like buses – another one will always come along. This might not be immediate, but the right opportunities are worth the wait. • Everyone is in the same position. Recognising this is a breakthrough moment for many traders, making the FOMO less intense. Join a social trading platform or a trading service to get in contact and share experiences with other traders – this can be a useful first step in understanding and improving trading psychology. • Have a trading plan and stick to that. Every trader should know their strategy, create a trading plan, then ALWAYS stick to it. This is the way to achieve long-term success • Taking the emotion out of trading is key. Learn to put emotions aside – a trading plan will help with this, improving trading confidence. • Traders should only ever use capital they can afford to lose. Always define your stop-loss levels before you enter a trade and always stick to that. This helps to minimize losses if the market moves unexpectedly. • Knowing the markets is essential. Traders should conduct their own analysis and use this to inform trades, taking all information on board to be aware of every possible outcome. • FOMO isn’t easily forgotten, but it can be controlled. The right strategies and approaches ensure traders can rise above FOMO. • Keeping a trading journal helps with planning. It’s no coincidence that the most successful traders use a journal, drawing on personal experience to help them plan. Overcoming FOMO doesn’t happen overnight, it’s an ongoing process. This article has provided a good starting point, highlighting the importance of trading psychology and managing emotions to prevent FOMO from affecting decisions when placing a trade.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by JS_TechTrading
1
My Interview with US Successful Trader Peter L. BrandtThe Internet has truly made the world a smaller and a more accessible place. In 2013, I stumbled across world-renown trader, author and owner Peter L. Brandt, on Twitter and his blog. I sent him a request for him to join one of the most elite South African trader groups on Skype. We had some fantastic chats over the next couple of days. There are words of wisdom that are far too essential to let them slip by. I’ve collated some of the timeless lessons Peter L. Brandt shared with me. I hope you enjoy the interview and find it useful for your trading career. Timon: I’ve never met a trader who trades long time-frames on Forex and commodities, do you believe technical charts can be used to predict market movements? Peter: I absolutely positively do NOT believe I can predict the markets. I absolutely positively do NOT believe charts are predictive tools any more than a MACD, COT, Moving Averages or anything else. My win rate is historically around 38%, although I made some changes to the system in an attempt to boost that to 45%. Generally, 100% of my profits come from 10% of my trades. It is a matter of trying to keep the other 90% from being a net loss. Timon: I agree with no one being able to predict the market movements, however, I believe in probability predictions. If there is a breakout to the upside, there is a higher probability for the market to continue moving in the direction of the breakout. What is your take on when unfavourable markets bring about a 15% or more drawdown on your portfolio? Peter: Drawdowns come with the territory. The question to always ask for discretionary traders is, whether their trading rules are out of sync with the markets? If they are out of sync with their rules? or both? If I know the problem are my rules being out of sync with the markets, I will never stop trading because I cannot time my rules. I may cut back on the size during a losing period. Timon: As my trading mentor and dear friend Igor Marinkovic says, “Your biggest drawdown is still to come and so is your biggest winning streak.” What are your thoughts on risk management principles? Peter: As a general rule — very general rule — an excellent trader with a great grasp of money management should have an average annual ROR that is 1.5 to 2 times their worst drawdown, over the past three or five years. For me, this is mandatory Even daily patterns are made up of many hourly patterns that morphed, which are made up of many 15-minute patterns that morphed etc... — I call it ‘Chart Morphology’. The trick is to determine which patterns are real and which patterns are more likely to morph. Sometimes a market reveals itself by failing. It is because of morphology that I seek patterns that are 10 to 12 weeks or longer. I’m also not worried about markets changing so drastically that all conventional systems stop working. The reason is my belief that markets are and have always been driven by fear, greed and money flows. These things will always be the same. Timon: Yes, that’s why I don’t believe in Holy Grail systems. I believe in finding the system that suits your personality and risk profile. Along the way, one should not feel scared about making mistakes, but be sure to avoid them from being too costly. What would be your final feedback on trading in general? Peter: Sounds like you are well on your way to a long and profitable career trading. Mistakes are the tuition charged by the markets for learning. Unfortunately, the markets often decide the tuition rate, not us. Hence, I only risk 0.5% per trade. You have to develop your own style. I have never met another truly skilled trader who has copied his or her style from another trader. This is true from a tactical standpoint, but from a money management standpoint most skilled traders think very much alike.
JSE:J200Education
by Timonrosso
2
Trading Psychology – FOMOJS-Masterclass – FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) Definition FOMO – Fear of Missing Out - is a relatively recent addition to the English language, but one that is intrinsic to our day-to-day lives. A true phenomenon that affects many traders and can be a major hurdle to become a successful trader. For instance, the feeling of missing out could lead to the entering of trades without enough thought, or to closing trades at inopportune moments because it’s what others seem to be doing. It can even cause traders to risk too much capital due to a lack of research, or the need to follow the herd. For some, the sense of FOMO created by seeing others succeed is only heightened by fast-paced markets and volatility; it feels like there is a lot to miss out on. To help traders better understand the concept of FOMO in trading and why it happens, this tutorial will identify potential triggers and how they can affect a day trader’s success WHAT IS FOMO IN TRADING? FOMO in trading is the Fear of Missing Out on a big opportunity in the markets and is a common issue many traders will experience during their careers. FOMO can affect everyone, from new traders with retail accounts through to professional and institutional traders. In the modern age of social media, which gives us unprecedented access to the lives of others, FOMO is a common phenomenon. It stems from the feeling that other traders are more successful, and it can cause overly high expectations, a lack of long-term perspective, overconfidence/too little confidence and an unwillingness to wait. Emotions are often a key driving force behind FOMO which can lead traders to neglect trading plans and disrespect their trading strategy. Common emotions in trading that can feed into FOMO include Greed, Fear, Excitement, Jealousy, Impatience and Anxiety CHARACTERISTICS OF A FOMO TRADER Traders who act on FOMO will likely share similar traits and be driven by a particular set of assumptions. Below is a list of the top things that guide a FOMO traders’ behavior: 1. Listen too much to the news. ‘They are all doing it so it must be a good idea’. 2. Be too much focused on potential profits versus thinking risk first. 3. Not sure but just let’s give it a go. 4. Getting frustrated in hindsight: ‘OMG, I should have seen this coming’. 5. This will be a great opportunity and if I do too much analysis, I will miss this great opportunity. What factors contribute to FOMO trading? FOMO is an internal feeling, but one that can be caused by a range of situations. Some of the external factors that could lead to a trader experiencing FOMO are: • Volatile markets. FOMO isn’t limited to bullish markets where people want to hop on a trend – it can creep into our psyche when there is market movement in any direction. No trader wants to miss out on a good opportunity • Big winning streaks. Buoyed up by recent wins, it is easy to spot new opportunities and get caught up in them. And it’s fine, because everyone else is doing it, right? Unfortunately, winning streaks don’t last forever • Repetitive losses. Traders can end up in a vicious cycle: entering a position, getting scared, closing out, then re-entering another trade as anxiety and disappointment arise about not holding out. This can eventually lead to bigger losses • News and rumours. Hearing a rumour circulating can heighten the feeling of being left out –traders might feel like they’re out of the loop • Social media. The mix of social media and trading can be toxic when it looks like everyone is winning trades. It’s important not to take social media content at face value, and to take the time to research influencers and evaluate posts.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by JS_TechTrading
Trading-Psychology: Fear & GreedFear & Greed Trading psychology is different for each trader, and it is influenced by the trader’s emotions and biases. The two main emotions that are likely to impact the success or failure of a trade are greed or fear. Greed is defined as the excessive desire for profits that could affect the rationality and judgment of a trader. A greed-inspired trade may involve buying stocks of untested companies because they are on the rise or buying shares of a company without understanding the underlying investment. Greed can also make a trader stay in a position for too long in an attempt to squeeze every event out of the trade. It is common at the end of a bull market when traders attempt to take on risky and speculative positions to profit from the market movements. On the other hand, fear is the opposite of greed and the reason why people exit a trade prematurely or refrain from taking on risky positions due to concerns of incurring losses. Fear makes investors act irrationally as they rush to exit the trade. It is common during bear markets, and it is characterized by significant selloffs from panic-selling. Fear and greed play an important role in a trader’s overall strategy and understanding how to control the emotions is essential in becoming a successful trader.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by JS_TechTrading
Trading-Psychology: Fear & GreedFear & Greed Trading psychology is different for each trader, and it is influenced by the trader’s emotions and biases. The two main emotions that are likely to impact the success or failure of a trade are greed or fear. Greed is defined as the excessive desire for profits that could affect the rationality and judgment of a trader. A greed-inspired trade may involve buying stocks of untested companies because they are on the rise or buying shares of a company without understanding the underlying investment. Greed can also make a trader stay in a position for too long in an attempt to squeeze every event out of the trade. It is common at the end of a bull market when traders attempt to take on risky and speculative positions to profit from the market movements. On the other hand, fear is the opposite of greed and the reason why people exit a trade prematurely or refrain from taking on risky positions due to concerns of incurring losses. Fear makes investors act irrationally as they rush to exit the trade. It is common during bear markets, and it is characterized by significant selloffs from panic-selling. Fear and greed play an important role in a trader’s overall strategy and understanding how to control the emotions is essential in becoming a successful trader.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by JS_TechTrading
Overcome Fear of Missing Out 🤮MAIN TALKING POINTS: What is FOMO in trading? What characterises a FOMO Trader? Factors that can Trigger FOMO DailyFX analysts share their FOMO experiences Tips to overcome FOMO WHAT IS FOMO IN TRADING? FOMO in trading is the Fear of Missing Out on a big opportunity in the markets and is a common issue many traders will experience during their careers. FOMO can affect everyone, from new traders with retail accounts through to professional forex traders. In the modern age of social media, which gives us unprecedented access to the lives of others, FOMO is a common phenomenon. It stems from the feeling that other traders are more successful, and it can cause overly high expectations, a lack of long-term perspective, overconfidence/too little confidence and an unwillingness to wait. Emotions are often a key driving force behind FOMO. If left unchecked, they can lead traders to neglect trading plans and exceed comfortable levels of risk. Common emotions in trading that can feed into FOMO include: Greed Fear Excitement Jealousy Impatience Anxiety WHAT CHARACTERIZES A FOMO TRADER? Traders who act on FOMO will likely share similar traits and be driven by a particular set of assumptions. WHAT FACTORS CAN TRIGGER FOMO TRADING? FOMO is an internal feeling, but one that can be caused by a range of situations. Some of the external factors that could lead to a trader experiencing FOMO are: Volatile markets. FOMO isn’t limited to bullish markets where people want to hop on a trend – it can creep into our psyche when there is market movement in any direction. No trader wants to miss out on a good opportunity Big winning streaks. Buoyed up by recent wins, it is easy to spot new opportunities and get caught up in them. And it’s fine, because everyone else is doing it, right? Unfortunately, winning streaks don’t last forever Repetitive losses. Traders can end up in a vicious cycle: entering a position, getting scared, closing out, then re-entering another trade as anxiety and disappointment arise about not holding out. This can eventually lead to bigger losses News and rumours. Hearing a rumour circulating can heighten the feeling of being left out –traders might feel like they’re out of the loop Social media, especially financial Twitter (#FinTwit). The mix of social media and trading can be toxic when it looks like everyone is winning trades. It’s important not to take social media content at face value, and to take the time to research influencers and evaluate posts. We recommend using the FinTwit hashtag for inspiration, not as a definitive planning tool. As well as affecting traders on an individual level, FOMO can have a direct bearing upon the markets. Moving markets might be emotionally driven – traders look for opportunities and seek out entry points as they perceive a new trend to be forming. DAILYFX ANALYSTS SHARE THEIR FOMO EXPERIENCES Traders of all levels of experience have dealt with FOMO, including our DailyFX analysts: “Trade according to your strategy, not your feelings” – Peter Hanks, Junior Analyst “Strategize. Execute. Stick to the plan and don’t be greedy. All types of traders make money; pigs get slaughtered” – Christopher Vecchio, Senior Strategist “Trade decisions are not binary, long vs. short. Sometimes doing nothing is the best trade you can make” - IIya Spivak, Senior Currency Strategist “If you don’t deal with and temper FOMO in trading – it will deal with you” – James Stanley, Technical Strategist “No one trade should make or break you. With that said, if you miss an opportunity there is always another one around the corner” – Paul Robinson, Currency Strategist TIPS TO OVERCOME FOMO Overcoming FOMO begins with greater self-awareness, and understanding the importance of discipline and risk management in trading. While there is no simple solution to preventing emotions from impacting trades and stopping FOMO in its tracks, there are various techniques that can help traders make informed decisions and trade more effectively. Here are some tips and reminders to help manage the fear factor: There will always be another trade. Trading opportunities are like buses – another one will always come along. This might not be immediate, but the right opportunities are worth the wait. Everyone is in the same position. Recognising this is a breakthrough moment for many traders, making the FOMO less intense. Join a DailyFX webinar and share experiences with other traders – this can be a useful first step in understanding and improving trading psychology. Stick to a trading plan. Every trader should know their strategy, create a trading plan, then stick to it. This is the way to achieve long-term success Taking the emotion out of trading is key. Learn to put emotions aside – a trading plan will help with this, improving trading confidence. Traders should only ever use capital they can afford to lose. They can also use a stop to minimise losses if the market moves unexpectedly. Knowing the markets is essential. Traders should conduct their own analysis and use this to inform trades, taking all information on board to be aware of every possible outcome. FOMO isn’t easily forgotten, but it can be controlled. The right strategies and approaches ensure traders can rise above FOMO. Keeping a trading journal helps with planning. It’s no coincidence that the most successful traders use a journal, drawing on personal experience to help them plan. Overcoming FOMO doesn’t happen overnight; it’s an ongoing process. This article has provided a good starting point, highlighting the importance of trading psychology and managing emotions to prevent FOMO from affecting decisions when placing a trade. TURN YOUR FOMO INTO JOMO Now you know how to spot and stop FOMO in its tracks, find out how to embrace JOMO in trading and change your mindset for greater success. Source: DailyFX
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Hsan_BenAhmed
2
Indecision is the enemy of success.The most successful traders have one thing in common: they know when to pull the trigger. They don’t hesitate. They don’t second-guess themselves. They make a decision and they stick to it. Indecision is the enemy of success. It’s what causes trading losses. If you can’t make a decision, you’ll never make any money in the markets. The trick is to not let indecision steal your opportunity. When you see a good trade setup, don’t hesitate. Take action and be confident in your decision. Remember, even if it turns out to be a wrong decision, it’s better than no decision at all. Follow Me For More 👉 @MarketsCoach
BITMEX:XBTEducation
by UnknownUnicorn33550147
Dealing with losses...before they happenLosses are part of this business. People do not react well to losses. Badly handled losses in trading can trigger bigger losses. Furthermore, these have the dangerous potential of wiping out entire accounts. If you want to make it as a trader you need to have a solid psychological approach to accept and handle losses. Lots of internet articles are suggesting that the way to prevent debilitating losses in trading is to follow risk management rules. What are those rules about? Basically, they are simple thresholds indicating the maximum $ /percentage you should risk per trade, day, month, etc. Having such rules is a must but it’s not enough. You can still lose much if your mind is not actually prepared to implement them. That’s why many traders set rules only to break them in the most inappropriate moments. People do not follow their own risk management rules because they are not psychologically prepared to accept losses. They are not prepared for the pain caused by a loss or a series of losses. The single most efficient way to handle losses is to accept them consciously and unconsciously. One of the most dangerous ways to react to losses is “revenge” or “on tilt” trading. This happens when the pain caused by a loss is so high that the trader loses his / her rationality and only wants his / her money back, disregarding most of the things he/she actually knows about the market. The brain cannot accept the emotional discomfort and the fastest solution is to quickly find a trade to make the money back. Most of the time, the quickest trade is in the same instrument (FX pair, stock, etc) that generated the initial loss, by averaging down/up or flipping. Some of the most experienced traders can work their way out but the vast majority will only make things worse. In order to prevent this kind of psychological slippage, you need to prepare your mind to consciously and unconsciously accept losses BEFORE they occur. With the help of a psychotherapist or by yourself you can perform visual exercises where you will imagine yourself being in a losing position and reacting the right way. This would desensitize you if done right. The technique I always use each time I open a position is to do that desensitization process “on the fly”. I watch the market and I see an opportunity. BEFORE opening the position, I imagine myself in the posture of facing that trade ending in a loss. After that, I imagine that trade going the way I want. I might even go back and forth (in my mind) a few times between losing and winning. This way, I prepare my unconscious mind. If I cannot imagine myself easily handling the loss (or the win) I will simply reduce size. Pay attention though, I am not recommending here to imagine yourself constantly losing because this would do more harm than good. This would be a separate topic about the power of visualization exercises.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
12
TRADING - TRUTH VS LIE 📉📈 A financial background can be useful for understanding how forex and other markets work. However, more beneficial are skills in math, engineering and hard sciences, which better prepare traders for analyzing and acting on economic factors and chart patterns. It doesn’t matter how much awareness you have about financial markets – if you can’t process new data quickly, methodically and in a focused manner, those same markets you thought you knew so well can eat you alive. ANSWER: LIE EXPERT TIP: To prepare for trading, focus on developing analytical skills rather than boning up on financial knowledge. Trading is like running a business. In order to be successful, you need to learn from mistakes and have rules in place to help protect your capital. Like a business, it’s crucial to have appropriate strategies on hand for varying market conditions. Setting up a business is easy, and similarly, trading is easy too. Developing successful strategies and making money? That’s the hard part. ANSWER: TRUTH EXPERT TIP: It will seem easy if your early trades go well, but long-term profitability is a different matter altogether. Make your life easier by researching your trades, using the right position size, setting stops and keeping a handle on your emotions. Can you be successful with a small trading account? It depends on your definition of successful. An account needs to be large enough to accommodate proper risk parameters. But success is relative; a high rate of return is based on percentages and not on monetary amounts. For example, a 20% return is a 20% return regardless of the account size. However, if your 20% return isn’t worth enough in hard cash, it might be hard to incentivize yourself to improve as a trader. ANSWER: IT DEPENDS EXPERT TIP: Your account size will depend on your goals and your prior success. Naturally, experienced traders will have a larger account but to begin with, concentrate on that rate of return percentage. Bragging rights be damned: the number of trades you win is irrelevant. Profitable traders simply make more money than they lose. Say you win five trades and make $5,000, but lose one trade and lose $6,000 – you have won more trades than you have lost but are still down overall. Profitable traders will set rigid risk-reward parameters for a trade – for example they might risk $500 to make $1,000, a risk-reward ratio of 1:2. If a trader makes five trades using this method, loses three of them and wins two of them, the trader is still $500 in profit ($2,000 profit-$1,500 loss). Don’t be afraid of taking a few hits: if your process is sound, one big winning trade can reverse your fortunes. ANSWER: LIE EXPERT TIP: Many successful traders will be losing more trades than they win, but oftentimes it won’t bother them. Focus on getting the right setups rather than worrying about the ones that got away. How much time you spend trading, and monitoring trades, will depend on your trading style. Those employing a scalping strategy, for instance, will make a large number of transactions per day, entering and exiting many positions, and will need to pay close attention to their trades on the shortest timeframes. However, position traders won’t need to spend as much time monitoring, as their transactions may last weeks, months or even longer – meaning long-term analysis will account for short-term fluctuations. ANSWER: IT DEPENDS EXPERT TIP: Ask yourself what type of trader you are. Shorter timeframes will mean monitoring and analyzing constantly – being ‘always on’. If you favor a more relaxed approach you may be suited better for position trading. Some traders advocate a ‘mental stop loss’ when the market gets tough – that is, relying on oneself rather than a computer to set a level at which to exit a losing position. The problem is, a ‘mental stop loss’ is just a number that makes you worried about the money you’re losing. You may fret about the direction of the market - but you won’t necessarily be compelled to exit your trade. A fixed forex stop loss is completely different – if your stop loss price trades you are out of the position, no ifs or buts. Exercising proper money and risk management means setting solid stops. Period. Answer: TRUTH EXPERT TIP: It can be so easy to neglect your stop loss. When a trade is going your way, the dollar signs can blind you - but you should protect yourself against the market turning. Spreads may represent the primary cost of trading, but they aren’t the be-all-end-all when it comes to choosing your market. You may find an asset that has a wide spread but represents a strong opportunity due to its volatility. Similarly, you may find an asset with high liquidity and a tight spread, but that isn’t showing much trading potential. Above all, you should let your trading decisions be governed by setups presented by the market, not the size of the spread. Answer: LIE EXPERT TIP: The spread can represent a significant cost to traders – but don’t let it be the sole factor dictating your choice of asset. The economic analysis key to a fundamental approach helps give traders a broader view of the market. Sound knowledge of the underlying forces of the economy, industries and even individual companies can enable a trader to forecast future prices and developments. This is different to technical analysis, which helps to identify key price levels and historical patterns, and provides conviction for entering/exiting a trade. It’s true to say that expertise in economic analysis is important. However, so too is expertise in the technicals. Many successful traders will look to combine fundamental and technical analysis so as to be in a position to draw on as wide a range of data as possible. Answer: TRUTH EXPERT TIP: It may be worthwhile to devise a strategy accounting for the nuances of both technical and fundamental analysis. News can create big moves in the market, but that doesn’t mean trading the news leads to the biggest opportunities. For a start, the volatility of important news events often makes spreads wider, in turn increasing trading costs and hitting your bottom line. Slippage, or when you get filled at a different price than you intended, can also hit your profitability in volatile markets. On top of these drawbacks, traders could get locked out, making them helpless to correct a trade that moves against them. ANSWER: LIE EXPERT TIP: ‘Trading the news’ can seem like a fashionable thing to do, but market movements can be unpredictable at the time of major releases. It’s often best to steer clear during such high volatility. Excluding emotions from trading is an impossible endeavor. It can lead to more internal conflict than benefits, which is why managing emotions is a better way of looking at it. You have negative emotions like fear and greed that need to be managed without suppressing positive ones like conviction that help drive you towards the best opportunities. Answer: TRUTH EXPERT TIP: Even the most experienced traders feel emotion in the heat of the markets, but how they harness that emotion makes all the difference. Source: DailyFX
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Hsan_BenAhmed
2
Big Money Fakeouts And Why S&P500 Is So Hard To TradeThis week my trading hasnt be succesful. I dont use trading as my main platform but i think it should be. When i trade ES with ninjatrader my winrate is so much worse when using tradingview. I think its because of my psycology and my tight stoploss on ninjatrade. When ever i trade with tradingview i feel chilled. Specially in S&P 500 the volalitety is so huge so i always got stopped out even tho the trade is eventually going to my direction. When trading breakouts i think it very important to have one high which is like overbought to see that the trend is over. You can see in the chart the price moves quickly up taking my stoploss and the going bearish. So peapol dont entry before this move. Like whatever you think is gonna happen the freaking opposite happens. Its literally a patter if the Markets open bullish the bigger move is usually bearish. So when ever you trade S&P 500 let the time do your job and let the trade breath.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Patrickthe_trader
1
Trading Psychology: 4 Dangerous Emotions Traders Must AvoidWhen I was a naive, newbie trader, I didn’t pay much attention to my trading psychology. I was more focused on the technical chart patterns and trade setups. However, I soon found out the hard way that… Ignoring the psychology of trading was destroying my trading results. That’s when I began making a serious effort to master my personal trading psychology. I started reading trading psychology books, and even worked with a personal trading coach. I was definitely on the right path to mastering trading psychology, but wished I would have started learning sooner. That’s why NOW is the perfect time to start getting your trading psychology edge. But why is it important to understand stock market psychology? Understanding stock market psychology paves the way for your long-term trading success. That’s why this exclusive new mini-lesson of top trading psychology tips is just for you. How do you develop trading psychology? Some trading sites advise new stock and crypto traders to gain experience by paper trading with a simulated account. This can be helpful to learn the basics of trading, but it’s a much different ball game when real money is on the line. Your true emotions in trading will only be revealed when risking your own money with actual trades. Therefore, the best way to develop your trading psychology is simply by working your way through hundreds of live trades with real capital. Keep a basic journal and note when you feel the dangerous emotions below start creeping in. This is the only way to truly identify your personal strengths and weaknesses in trading psychology. 4 Most Dangerous Emotions to Avoid: Fear, Greed, Hope, and Regret Investing decisions in any market in the world are driven by 4 powerful emotions of Fear, Greed, Hope, and Regret. Left uncontrolled, these emotions can have a seriously negative impact on your trading account—but only if you let them. Your personal ability to master these key emotions directly determines your long-term trading success. So here’s a quick rundown of how fear, greed, hope, and regret can harm your trading results. Most importantly, I have also included actionable ways to avoid these emotions in your trading. FEAR – The most powerful human emotion that affects your trading Fear is a distressing emotion caused by a feeling of impending danger. This results in a survival response, regardless of whether the threat is real or imagined. Traders consistently report fear as the emotion they struggle with the most. Fear has even caused people to jump off buildings during market panics. FEAR is the reason markets typically fall much faster than they rise. It took the Dow Jones Industrial Average 24 years (1983 until 2007) to rally from 1,000 to 14,200…BUT it only took 2 years (2007-2009) to lose HALF of that multi-decade gain. Why? Uncontrolled fear rapidly leads to panic—which leads to poor decision making in the markets. When traders become driven by panic, they often sell their positions at any price. That’s why stocks frequently cliff dive when group fear starts kicking in. Fear can also rear its ugly head after you experience a string of losing trades. After suffering many losses, fear of “yet another loss” can make it mentally challenging to enter new swing trade setups. When paralyzed by fear, you miss out on profitable trading opportunities. If it’s a quality trade setup, then don’t let fear prevent you from buying (be careful not to confuse this with revenge trading). Remember that each trade you enter is completely independent of the previous trade. Therefore, losing money on a prior trade does not necessarily mean you will lose on the next trade. Fear is not always bad, as it can help keep losses small. For example, fear of a bigger loss can get you out of a bad trade you should no longer be in. If you immediately sell your stock or crypto when it hits your preset stop price, then the fear of a bigger loss protects you from major losses. When there is fear, steer clear! If the market is in a state of panic, don’t fight the downtrend. If you’re in doubt, get out! Don’t try to rationalize or come up with excuses to stay in losing positions beyond their stop prices. HINT: Ignore the news and internet forums to prevent lame rationalizations for staying in losing trades. When there is too much fear in the markets, our flagship swing trade alerts service simply shifts to cash until a new buy signal is received. This prevents fighting strong downtrends in unfavorable conditions. GREED – Too much greed decreases your trading profits Greed is an excessive desire for money and wealth, but is a natural human emotion. A healthy amount of greed can help drive your trading profits, but too much greed will have the opposite effect. How to know when it’s too much greed Greed is when you have already made a large profit on a trade, BUT are still obsessed with how much more you could have made if you stayed in the trade longer. The mistake with this reasoning is that all gains are not real until the position is closed. Until then, a winning trade is only a profit on paper. Greed can also cause traders to make bad trades by ignoring solid risk management rules, which signals a lack of discipline in your trading or investing. To keep greed at bay on a winning trade, sell partial share size to lock in profits, then trail a stop higher on the rest. Proactive trade management like this is why our exclusive Wagner Daily stock picks have been consistently profitable over the past 20 years. HOPE – A fake friend who will take your money (but only if you let it) Hope, a feeling of anticipation and desire for a certain event to happen, may be the most dangerous emotion for traders. If you are an active trader or investor, the feeling of “hope” in your day to day trading activities must be avoided at all costs. Why is hope so dangerous for traders? Hope may prevent you from immediately selling a losing trade that hits its stop price—which is the top rule with most trading strategies. When you blow a stop, you will usually wind up with a much bigger loss than you planned to risk. You may get lucky with a second chance to exit (especially in a forgiving bull market). However, this is definitely not a situation you want to be in. A weak stock typically continues much lower before bouncing, which is why you must always honor your stops. Otherwise, that’s when hope can really sneak up on you! Hope will convince you to just “hang in there a little longer” because: “Big news is coming soon” “This stock will surely rally after their next earnings report” (Insert your favorite bullshit excuse here) Meanwhile, while you’re busy hoping, the price plummets and has a catastrophic effect on your entire trading account. Rest assured, the market will eventually punish you by taking your money when you slip into “hope mode.” But the good news is that YOU alone can easily prevent this scenario from happening. Simply always set protective stops to pre-define your maximum risk per trade. Be rigidly disciplined to follow your trading plan, and hope will never become an issue in your trading. Plan your trades, and trade your plan. REGRET – Remember the next opportunity is always just around the corner Regret is defined as a feeling of sadness or disappointment over something that has happened—especially when it involves a loss or a missed opportunity. It is only natural for a stock trader to regret entering a losing trade or missing out on a winning trade. But to master your trading psychology, do not hyper-focus on losing trades or missed opportunities. If you lose money on a trade, then simply evaluate what went wrong, learn from it, and move on. Don’t waste time regretting your original decision to enter the trade. What’s done is done. Conversely, you may feel regret when you miss an opportunity. This is human nature. However, you must train your mind to simply move on to the next trading opportunity—which is always just around the corner. When you allow this type of regret to control you, it becomes too easy to “chase trades” with risky entry prices. If you chase, your risk/reward ratio of the setup no longer meets the parameters of healthy trade management. Let’s say you plan to buy $DUDE stock at a $60 buy trigger price, with a swing trade target around $70. If you buy it, you plan your initial stop at $55. This gives you a 1:2 risk/reward ratio (risking $5 to gain $10). $DUDE stock rallies, but you miss your original $60 buy and instead chase the price to an entry at $65. If you don’t significantly raise your initial stop, you now have a negative risk-reward (risking $10 to gain $5). In this case, your regret of missing the $60 entry caused you to chase it to $65 (next time, just wait for a pullback). Avoid feelings of regret to ensure the math of trading is always in your favor. We always target a bare minimum risk/reward ratio of 1:2 for swing trades in our stock and crypto swing trade alerts services. Successful traders keep their minds disciplined to avoid remorseful thinking. original source
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by rp-mtg
Theory Of Visualization And Powerful Concept For Trader 🌆In today’s TradingView Post, I’m going to talk about the one Concept that Nobody Talk About and It Is Very Useful For Traders. You see, very often traders are bent on making trading a Right or Wrong endeavor. The moment they place their Trade, they do it with an expectation of Profit. Now, on this trade.  And that’s the Wrong Mental approach to have, that’s the Wrong mentality to adopt in this endeavor. Because the Market doesn’t work like that. To Trading requires clear rules about the actual trade execution as well as with regards to the mental condition. Both requires training which on the one side can be achieved through Screen Time And Focus however Visualisation one the other side represents an Effective Concept to further strengthen the own Abilities off the Screens. In This Post we Investigates the Concept of Visualisation and Try Make it to the Topic For Trader. ok let's go . * . * . * "THE THEORY OF VISUALISATION" Brain Studies provide a Strong Scientific basis for How and Why Visualisation works. In Some Neuropsychology Research reveal that Thoughts Create the Same Mental instructions as Actions. Mental Visualisation has an impact on many Cognitive Processes in the Brain Confirming the Brain is getting trained for the actual Physical performance during the Visualisation in other words We Stimulate the Brain activity through Visualising the same way as when Actually performing the Action. The Thalamus is the Responsible Part of Brain which serves this Unique role , ranging from relaying Sensory and Motor Signals , as well as regulation of Consciousness and alertness It makes no distinction between Inner and Outer realities, Therefore , any idea that is Visualised intensively enough will take on a semblance of reality in the brain - the actual belief becomes neurologically real and the brain responds accordingly. This effect has specifically been visible when people Meditated intensively on a specific goal over an extended period of time. The Brain begins relating to that Meditated idea as of it were reality . During the research, Neuroscientists discovered Two VERY FUNDAMENTAL Characteristics the Brain that Help Visualisation Work the way it does.. First : the Brain thinks in Pictures Second : the Brain cannot distinguish whether something is just Imagination or actually Experienced. ( And There are people who believe that pain and illness are not real. They usually also believe that the universe is essentially a figment of our imagination. How we got imagination without having a brain escapes me, but think “The Matrix” without an underlying reality .) Lets Back To The Topic... Just Remember this. Brain Think In a Image And Cannot Distinguish Whether is Real or Not.. THE BLUE-PRINT It was noticed that Visualisation creates Neural Pathways in the Brain which act as a Blueprint to be Followed in the actual Physical Performance concluding while Visualising the brain creates the same neural pathways as actually doing it. Psychologist Sian Leah Beilock of University of Chicago has done Research in this Area and considers Visualisation an important aspect for setting any goal since much the Unconscious Brain is build around a Visual Construction of the world. Many studies have confirmed that Visualising the performance actually improves the Execution in the Real World. Neural Connections are formed and the Strength of the Connections is directly proportional to the intensity of the Individual's Imagination feeling strengthens the Neural Connections. Famous Actor Arnold Schwarzenegger have confirmed to use Visualisation techniques to cultivate a sense of belief , build confidence and create momentum to realise their ultimate goals. " The more I focused in on this image and worked and grew, the more I saw it was real and possible for me to be like him .” - Arnold Schwarzenegger " It’s the same process I used in bodybuilding: What you do is create a vision of who you want to be — and then live that picture as if it were already true .” - Arnold Schwarzenegger TRANSFERRING THE CONCEPT TO TRADING Finally , transferring this concept to Trading , Screen Time can be extended to Visualisation Getting into a Meditative mode and Visualising your Trading Plan and Rules helps to better Internalise them getting a clear picture of what to look for. Additionally , different Trading Scenarios can be visualised like the Perfect Trade Including the location and setup, Reversal and Breakout situations. Also Scenarios where a Sense of Anxiousness is Experienced can be Recreated during the Visualisation to Train dealing with the Respective Emotions and be better prepared in live Situations. When a Concept is Visualised over and over , the Brain begins to respond as the concept was real the Respective Neural Connections are formed. Ideas for Visualisation can be taken directly from the recent experience or trade reviews for example providing a clear focus on what to visualise. As a result , those Concepts begin to feel more obtainable and Real Motivating other parts of the take intentional action the Physical World... CONCLUSION The Brain not know whether your Visualisisation is real or not and Try to Visualize Sweet and Bitter moments Over and Over in Trading to Create a Respective Neural Connection to build Confidence ,etc That will helping you in Trading.. END.. *Thank For Reading Guys no more words. Just Wishing you Profitable Weeks!! Regard Valerus Source: Bladerunner 2049 Movies Wallstreet Journal Uctrading
CRYPTOCAP:XRPEducation
by Zestiria
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