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Psychology

Trading needs to be treated like a business 🧑‍💼This is spoken about a lot but what does it mean?⁠ In starting a business you would need funding and a business plan, right?⁠ ⁠ You would have realistic goals mapped out and be focused on your cashflow.⁠ ⁠ You wouldn't blow your 'cash' in recruiting too fast, or buying too much stock or spending too much on marketing.⁠ ⁠ Yet, in trading most don't have a plan. Or focus on protecting their cash.⁠ ⁠ They also don't think long term in line with their plan.⁠ ⁠ They over estimate their expectations short term and in doing so mess up what they could achieve long term. ⁠ You just wouldn't do this in business right? No one would open or run a business you knew nothing about. Most come in to trading thinking this will be easy! It's not and we all come in knowing nothing. So again would you start any other business with no training or idea? Most can keep the trading cash flow topped up as we all start out on this journey having another job to fund trading. There is no such thing as a sure-fire way to make money online. However, if you seriously want to make money out of forex trading it needs treating like a business. In a lot of ways, being a trader is like being an entrepreneur. It takes more than just knowledge and a killer idea. It also takes hard work, discipline and mental preparation. The reason it’s a good idea to treat forex trading like a business is because as a trader, your account is your own business. Trading isn't about the quick money it's about being consistent. That consistency comes from having a plan and sticking to it much like you would a business plan. Treat losses as a cost of business and factor them into the plan. The business plan for you the trader will be the strategy and risk management you opt to run. Set realistic targets and goals this will ensure suitability, Much how good businesses set up there own goals and aims for coming year with out being to risky. If you lack on the knowledge front in certain areas invest in education and training, No successful business neglects training and learning. Invest in resources that will help your business grow. Yes TradingView is free but having a higher package and more data help me just as an example. There is no other business in the world like trading where the over heads and start up cost are low, So if paid resources can kick you on to next level factor them in as a cost of business. Keep treating trading as a hobby and it becomes an expensive one. Start treating trading as a business with the ethos and cultures applied the same as those of successful businesses and that profit starts to come naturally. Thanks for taking the time to read my idea. Hope you all have a good weekend Darren 👍 ⁠
Education
by pow_removetheguesswork
57
SHIBUSDT - Dunning Kruger Effect with PepeHi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📉📈 Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩‍🏫 In today's analysis, we're taking a look at the Dunning Kruger Effect. Dunning-Kruger effect, in psychology, is a cognitive bias whereby people with limited knowledge or competence (in a given intellectual or social domain) greatly overestimate their own knowledge or competence in that domain relative to objective criteria or to the performance of their peers or of people in general. This happens in trading all the time. In fact, we probably all started there if we're being honest. So - What causes the Dunning-Kruger effect? Confidence is so highly prized that many people would rather pretend to be smart or skilled than risk looking inadequate and losing face. Even smart people can be affected by the Dunning-Kruger effect because having intelligence isn’t the same thing as learning and developing a specific skill. Many individuals mistakenly believe that their experience and skills in one particular area are transferable to another. Many people would describe themselves as above average in intelligence, humor, and a variety of skills. They can’t accurately judge their own competence, because they lack metacognition, or the ability to step back and examine oneself objectively. In fact, those who are the least skilled are also the most likely to overestimate their abilities. This also relates to their ability to judge how well they are doing their work, hobbies, etc. The Dunning-Kruger effect results in what’s known as a double curse : Not only do people perform poorly, but they are not self-aware enough to judge themselves accurately—and are thus unlikely to learn and grow. So how can we prevent ourselves from falling into this trap? Here's a few things to keep in mind: To avoid falling prey to the Dunning-Kruger effect, you should honestly and routinely question your knowledge base and the conclusions you draw, rather than blindly accepting them. As David Dunning proposes, people can be their own devil’s advocates, by challenging themselves to probe how they might possibly be wrong. Individuals could also escape the trap by seeking others whose expertise can help cover their own blind spots, such as turning to a colleague or friend for advice or constructive criticism. Continuing to study a specific subject will also bring one’s capacity into a clearer focus. Practice these habits to ultimately escape the double curse: - Continuous learning. This will keep your mindset open to new possibilities, whilst increasing your knowledge over time. - Pay attention to who's talking about what. Is the accountant talking about bodybuilding? - Don't be overconfident. This is self explanatory. I hope you enjoyed this post today! Please give us a thumbs up 👌 _________________ 👀 Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎 👍Hit like & Follow 🔔 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck
Education
by CryptoCheck-
42
ETH/USD Main trend. Accumulation/Distribution. Pivot pointsThe chart shows the main trend (most of it) of this cryptocurrency. The timeframe is 1 week. Most people "trade" and do not understand the profit values of the price from the real set zones (not hamsters). Also shown are the recruitment zones (horizontal channel) and partial reset zones (until the triangle decoupling) of previously gained positions of large market participants. The last video explained this in detail and showed it on the example of this coin. Even taking into account that this triangle (1.5 years) is a position reset. That doesn't mean that this formation must necessarily break down. But, this is something to keep in mind, especially the +3600%. Volatility narrowing, that is, the end of triangle formation is a “doubt zone”—the “market fuel” (small and medium market participants) for the impulse is clamped down. That is, the decoupling of the triangle and the direction of further trend development. The price is clamped into a triangle. A formation of this magnitude will only unravel due to future world shocks, especially financial ones. Who knows, maybe this time there will be no correlation at all, as the time of "coming out of the shadows" approaches. Always trade within your working range (for example 1 day), always understand where the price is in the main trend. Based on this understanding, limit the risks, and make a decision about reducing (partial liquidation) or, on the contrary, about adding to the position. Locally on the 1-day timeframe a wedge is formed on the decline. I've shown all the decoupling options for this trading situation in detail in this trading idea, as well as in the video. ETH/USDT Local trend. Channel. Wedge. Pivot zones. Under idea fixed my previous trading as well as training/trading ideas where I accompanied the price in updates for quite a long period. Note the exact values and more. You can use the material in them as educational, based on reality. Remember, the basis of trading is not guessing (that's what everyone wants to do), but your trading strategy and risk management based on your knowledge and experience. Those who want to guess tend to lose money. Do not be such characters in the market, that is, its fuel. I wish all smart people a big profit, and wish all stupid people to wake up from the dream of stupidity.
Education
by SpartaBTC
6
🧠Remember: THE base on Trading.🙃 When I see all these desperate or panicked publications/posts, it makes you wonder if these people have just discovered #cryptos or if they are in complete denial...  ↪️ We just finished the 2nd important wave of 📉 #BTC  ⏰ Wake up and start with THE base ⤵ 1) Have a proven Trading #method, thanks to 2 main #indicators of quality and evaluation of #Trading: ↪The “Profit Factor” (P.F.). ↪The "Max DrawDown" (M.D.D.). 2) Fix yourself: ➡ Trading #rules. ➡ Money-Management (M.M.) rules. ➡ rules to best manage your #Psychology. ✔️ This is THE base before you start. ✔️ This is THE base for the long term Trading. ✔️ This is THE basis to really share your experience.
by TradeAtHome
✍️WEEKLY QUOTE: Can we change our beliefs about the market?✍️..Each time I experienced a conflicting thought and was able to successfully refocus on my objective, with enough conviction to get me into my running shoes and out the door, I added energy to the belief that "I am a runner." And, just as important, I inadvertently drew energy away from all of the beliefs that would argue otherwise. ..Beliefs can be changed, and if it's possible to change one belief, then it's possible to change any belief if you understand that you really aren't changing them, but are only transferring energy from one concept to another. Therefore, two completely contradictory beliefs can exist in your mental system, side by side. But if you've drawn the energy out of one belief and completely energized the other, no contradiction exists from a functional perspective; only the belief that the energy will have the capacity to act as a force on your state of mind, on your perception and interpretation of information, and your behavior. ..Remember that consistency is not the same as the ability to put on a winning trade, or even a string of winning trades for that matter, because putting on a winning trade requires absolutely no skill. All you have to do is guess correctly, which is no different than guessing the outcome of a coin toss, whereas consistency is a state of mind that, once achieved, won't allow you to "be" any other way. You won't have to try to be consistent because it will be a natural function of your identity In fact, if you have to try, it's an indication that you haven't completely integrated the principles of consistent success as dominant, unconflicted beliefs. For example, predefining your risk is a step in the process of "being consistent." If it takes any special effort to predefine your risk, if you have to consciously remind yourself to do it if you experience any conflicting thoughts (in essence, trying to talk you out of doing it), or if you find yourself in a trade where you haven't predefined your risk, then this principle is not dominant, functioning part of your identity. It isn't "who you are." If it were, it wouldn't even occur to you not to predefine your risk. If and when all of the sources of conflict have been deactivated, there's no longer a potential for you to "be" any other way. What was once a struggle will become virtually effortless. At that point, it may seem to other people that you are so disciplined (because you can do something they find difficult, if not impossible), but the reality is that you aren't being disciplined at all; you are simply functioning from a different set of beliefs that compel you to behave in a way that is consistent with your desires, goals, or objectives From Trading in the Zone by M. Douglas
COINBASE:ETHUSDEducation
by Yelli_trades
4
The Art Of Do Nothing In TradingSociety… it conditions us to continually chase money, power, and a faster, wilder pace of life. Don’t slow down, and God forbid don’t pause, don’t reflect. Keep chasing or you fall behind. Over-schedule, overthink, overwork… this is the mantra. This is supposed to be what progress is. This is supposed to be what success is. Early, we learn to believe that this is absolutely normal, and in due time it becomes an addiction. We can’t sit still for a moment. Just like any addict, sitting still and doing nothing makes us feel unproductive. We feel we’re losing time, so we become agitated. In trading, patience and the ability to sit still is not only a virtue, it’s gold. Doing nothing can be one of the most productive things you can do. But as one would expect, being the addicts that we are, the moment the trading session opens, we feel the urge to become more productive all of a sudden. It’s like our minds will not let us enjoy doing nothing. We have to analyze, anticipate, worry, stress, tweak, especially when we’re not supposed to THE REASON… You have thoughts, right? Have you ever noticed that those thoughts tend to occur constantly? Have you ever noticed that some of those thoughts are visual?– you have memories (past), plans (future), imaginations (fantasy) just popping up like that in that space you call mind. Have you ever noticed that you have sensations all over your body–in it and on it; pleasant, unpleasant; some physical, some emotional? Have you ever noticed that all these experiences–thoughts and sensations–are continuous? You’re constantly pulled to mental states and body states, and, most of the time, you’re not aware that you are. You’re automatically in the stories, you believe them, and they urge you to act in a certain way. Which you do. Have you ever noticed that too? Then, next thing you know, you’re entering your trades at the wrong time; you’re exiting at the wrong time; you’re removing your stop-loss; you’re increasing or decreasing your position size… essentially, you’re going against your trading rules. This is a problem because this lack of awareness of your urges is costing you money. Trading is mostly a waiting game where you have to strike only when the time is right. If you want action that happens on your own terms, you’re in the wrong field. As a trader, you simply can’t afford to lack self-awareness. The market does not hurry, it moves at its own rhythm, on its own time. And self-awareness helps you cultivate patience and ‘do nothing’ as that happens. This ability to let the market do its thing saves you time and energy. It allows trades to come to you. It puts a stop to the chasing. It embraces the natural order and evolution of things. But best of all, this is a learnable skill. Absolutely! Let’s try a little exercise… THE DO-NOTHING TECHNIQUE Posture : Right where you are. When : While waiting for your entry signal; while waiting for your exit signal. Instructions : Just allow your mind to do its thing. It will generate stories and your body will generate feelings urging you to behave in a certain way. Your aim is to tolerate being there with yourself without trying to change or control anything. Just be there. Let your attention go anywhere it wants. You can fantasize about the perfect trade that yields you 1000% return; you can worry about missing out on an incredible opportunity; you can fear a loss; you can think about nothing or everything. But notice it. Notice where your mind goes. Tune in to that part of you that simply notices what you’re thinking and feeling instead of being automatically captured by those different states. That observing quality of your mind notices things in a neutral way. Notice how it’s not entangled or captured by the different stories and mental and bodily states. It simply observes. Pure, neutral, unencumbered… And that’s it. That’s the whole technique! Now, the do-nothing technique is more readily applicable for day traders since they have to be in front of their screen during the entire process, from trade selection to exit. But swing traders and position traders can also make use of it. In fact, you can use it anywhere, anytime, in and out of the market. This technique helps you tolerate whatever your body and mind do, which helps you overcome impatience. Impatience is you trying to force things to happen by thinking them more strongly or more often, without paying very much attention to where things actually are at. On the other hand, when you’re patient, you’re a keen observer of what’s happening. You notice when there’s an opportunity for something to happen, and when there isn’t yet. You notice that things develop through different cycles, and different things happen at different points in the cycle. In other words, you drop the need to create action on your own terms, you only respond to the action in a systematic way whenever it appears. Now, a few tips… Tip #1 –This Takes Practice It’s OK if you find it hard to do the do-nothing technique at first, but this is where you start from. By the way, Tom Basso (hedge fund manager interviewed in The New Market Wizards uses a very similar technique. Tip #2 –You Are Intentionally Doing Nothing You do not even have to approach this as a meditation technique, although you are free to do so. Notice what your attitudes are, and do not defend yourself against anything. Whether you are bored, happy, tired, excited, anxious, fearful, greedy, restless, you welcome it all. Your goal is to just observe yourself experiencing those different states. You cannot fail at this. Tip #3 –Notice The Urge To Take Action If you have a lot of noise in your head, you may find yourself wanting to take action in some form – entering (or exiting) before you even get a trade signal. As said, all that “noise” or mental rehearsal is not a problem and is not to be resisted. When you resist the noise, it only gets louder. But just this act of noticing the noise is extremely powerful because it allows you to see what’s going on in your mind and body as if from a third-person perspective. This begets objectivity and you can then say “ Okay, this thought, or feeling, or urge is not in line with my trading rules, so I will not act on them .” The Bottom Line The Do-Nothing technique is simply about interrupting your impulsive behaviors. It’s cultivating a calm acceptance that things in life can and will often happen in a different order than the one you could be holding in mind. It’s keeping a good attitude while waiting for your pitch. And this all starts with awareness. Stay Safe & Good Luck Wish You Have Profitable Weeks!! Have Nice Days!
AMEX:SPYEducation
by Zestiria
285
✍️WEEKLY QUOTE: How to be rigid and flexible at the same time?✍️ In what way does a trader have to learn how to be rigid and flexible at the same time? The answer is: We have to be rigid in our rules and flexible in our expectations 🟢We need to be rigid in our rules so that we gain a sense of self-trust that can, and will always, protect us in an environment that has few, if any, boundaries. We need to be flexible in our expectations so we can perceive, with the greatest degree of clarity and objectivity, what the market is communicating to us from its perspective. At this point, it probably goes without saying that the typical trader does just the opposite: He is flexible in his rules and rigid in his expectations. Interestingly enough, the more rigid the expectation, the more he has to either bend, violate, or break his rules in order to accommodate his unwillingness to give up what he wants in favor of what the market is offering. 🟢To eliminate the emotional risk of trading, you have to neutralize your expectations about what the market will or will not do at any given moment or in any given situation. You can do this by being willing to think from the market's perspective. Remember, the market is always communicating in probabilities. At the collective level, your edge may look perfect in every respect; but at the individual level, every trader who has the potential to act as a force on price movement can negate the positive outcome of that edge. To think in probabilities, you have to create a mental framework or mindset that is consistent with the underlying principles of a probabilistic environment. 💡 A probabilistic mindset consists of five fundamental truths.💡 1. Anything can happen. 2. You don't need to know what is going to happen next in order to make money. 3. There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge. 4. An edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing happening over another. 5. Every moment in the market is unique. From Trading in the Zone, by M. Douglas ❤️Please, support this post with like and comments!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Yelli_trades
4
YOU SHOULD KNOW THISYOU SHOULD KNOW THIS Hello everyone! Today I would like to remind you of a couple of things, the understanding of which will definitely take you to a new level. Let's go! 1. 99% of newbies come to trading with a desire to make quick money and that's the problem. Trading is a long game. It's worth understanding right away and remembering. In trading, it is impossible to consistently make a double-digit increase in capital and at the same time follow reasonable risk management. 2. Without reasonable risk management, sooner or later you will lose ALL your capital. All professional traders follow risk management and as a rule do not risk more than 1% of the capital in one transaction. 3. Small capital will be a problem. As a rule, 90% of small capitals are burned in the forex market in the first week. All because it is difficult to follow the rules of risk management with a small account, largely because the profit will be scanty, and the time spent will be too much. Over time, you will get tired of wasting time and getting nothing in return, and you will start taking risks, thereby bringing your account to $ 0. 4. You will not be able to correctly predict the exact direction of the market every time. If you think it's possible, the market will kill you. No one can know the future and nitko cannot predict all market movements. But the good news is, you don't have to be right in every trade. 5. The right risk-to-profit ratio will take you to the top. In the market, it is enough to be right in 40% of cases if your RR in transactions is equal to 1:4. Only 4 deals out of 10 will help your account grow steadily. And the higher the RR, the better for your score, but don't flirt. Understand these principles now, and your trading will become more profitable today. Good luck. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Education
by Lingrid
15
'Spidey sense' tingling? Depends how you know what you know.Safe experience lull you into a false sense of security, even when you know about a clear and present danger. That's what experts on risk and decision making** say about the role of our personal experience in our risk perception. Take 9/11 for example. Many, suddenly concerned about the risk in flying, opted to drive instead. However, in reality the risk of injury or death while driving is multiple times that of flying. Why was driving perceived as safer? Studies of decision making say that a big factor is the *way* people get most of their information. When that information comes from repeated personal experience (like car trips) it is given a bigger weight in the decisions we make. The catch is when the typical experience shows no danger simply because the threat is very rare, novel (for us) or out of our awareness. It's August 25th, 2022 and, stock indexes are levitating, held up by some unseen force. The "Doom and Gloom" on you tube is starting to ring hollow. We know the risks: inflation, dollar, rates, etc. etc. etc. I won't bore you further with my mundane perspective of, what has been for me, a mundane market. You already know the punchline cleverly hidden in the chart on the right (a 3 day chart of VIX). Out of curiosity, was I the only one caught off guard? If you were asked, out of the blue, to draw the 3 day VIX, would it look like that? and lastly- The best explanation I have is the one offered above. What would you add? or subtract? -Trade Safe. **The research on decisions from experience is extensive but these are good points of departure: Thinking Fast and Slow , D. Kahneman. Chapter 30. Rare Events The Black Swan : The Impact of the Highly Improbable Paperback – January 1, 2008. pp 76-78 Decisions from experience and the effect of rare events in risky choices. Psychological Science . 15. 534-539. Hertwig, R., Barron, G., Weber, E., and Erev, I. (2004). The Effect of Safe Experience on a Warnings’ Impact: Sex, Drugs, and Rock-n-Roll ." Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 106, no. 2 (July 2008): 125-142. Barron, Greg, Stephen George Leider, and Jennifer N. Stack. "
SP:SPX
by gb50k
Trading Insights #2: The Truth About Technical AnalysisDebriefing In the first part of our Trading Insights Series, we went over the essential nature of probability and random distribution as it relates to trading. If you have not yet read part one, you should start there (Probability & Random Distribution.) Intro If you’re an aspiring trader, then you’re probably familiar enough with technical analysis to muster up a definition of some kind. Despite the widespread familiarity with the concept, technical analysis is often misrepresented. This entry to the series does not focus on developing trading variables or strategies, rather, it emphasizes certain concepts relating to technical analysis. We believe the concepts herein are imperative to understand before you can successfully create or execute a trading system. What Technical Analysis Is & Isn’t Traders use technical analysis to gain an edge on the market or achieve a positive expectancy. In other words, technical analysis aids your ability to tip the odds in your favor. Yet, technical analysis does not tell you what the market is going to do next. Anyone who puts forward this idea is grossly misrepresenting an otherwise excellent analytical tool. To know what the market is going to do next would require you to read the minds of the people who have the financial capability to significantly move prices. The people who can move the market in significant ways do not think like you or me and have their own goals and agendas that guide their actions. These individuals are often called “whales”, or “dynamic players”, and have substantial financial and mental capabilities that retail traders do not possess. Many of the reasons these individuals make trades would not even cross your mind, and they do things you would never consider as possibilities. In addition to the direct actions of “whales”, the modern market is heavily influenced by automated bots and trading algorithms. These bots are able to act quicker than humans and are programmed to react to information that big players deem important. Despite the fact bots contribute heavily to price action, these bots are created and used by "whales" and "dynamic players". The code within these bots is complex and continually updated. The cascading effect of all the "whales" who trade, and the bots they create, is the real force that moves the market in meaningful ways. Retail traders are extremely limited in their ability to move prices, and this ability decreases as the market cap of the company increases. For retail traders to have any large effect on prices requires an enormous flood of market orders that can take out all of the orders at higher or lower prices. Even when retail traders are able to affect prices, the impact is generally minimal. It is estimated that retail traders in the USA account for approximately 10% of all trading volume on the Russell 3000 index, for a total of about 38 billion dollars per day. That’s no small amount, but still only accounts for 10% of all trading volume. On a fairly normal day, to move TSLA from $944 to $998 required 22 million shares to trade hands. That’s a total of about 21 billion dollars. It would require over half of all retail traders that participate in the Russell 3000 put their entire buying power on TSLA, while also having the willingness to buy at the asking price, to achieve this feat. I think everyone can agree this situation is entirely unlikely. When we consider the sheer amount of stocks available to trade and then divide that 38 billion dollars among all popular tickers, we quickly realize how limited retail traders are in their ability to significantly move prices. Every long trade you make is dependent on "whales" willing to buy at a higher price and move the market up. Obviously, in a short trade, it’s the reverse. The Truth About Technical Analysis The intent of technical analysis is to identify behavior patterns in the collective consciousness of the market. In other words, the interaction of all market participants produces patterns you can use in your favor. A pattern is simply a clue that one outcome is slightly more likely than another outcome. Conversely, as many will find surprising, a pattern can indicate that the preferred outcome is equal to or slightly less likely than the undesired outcome, but the positive results of the pattern outweigh the negative results by a fair margin. In other words, the dollar amount from the winning instances is significantly higher than the amount lost on losing trades. Each instance of a pattern or technical signal is a unique occurrence, and the result of any pattern is unrelated to the previous instance of that pattern. The market does not move because of patterns, or due to signals from technical indicators. Patterns and indicators are, for the most part, not self-fulfilling prophecies. Patterns form because the people with the capability to significantly move prices (not you) leave traces of their behavior. A certain number of "whales" may use technical patterns in their bots and analysis, yet the way they use patterns and the reasons behind their actions are almost never transparent and certainly differ from the reasons you take a trade. When you end up in a winning trade it is not because your strategy told you what was going to happen next, and it is most certainly not because a few lines crossed on a visual chart. These technical signals will draw in retail traders who try to make money without moving prices, but in order for the market to move substantially, far greater forces are required. Nearly every profitable trade you make is because "whales" entered the market with the conviction and resources to move prices in the direction of your trade. In real terms, each behavior pattern has an unknown outcome and can result in an undesired result because the traders present at each instance of a pattern vary and may not be willing to act in the same way as they previously did. Random Distribution & Technical Analysis As we explored in part one, the outcome of flipping a coin is subject to numerous factors beyond our control, making each flip unrelated to the previous flip, even if we can rig the coin to favor a certain outcome. Market patterns work in the exact same way, with the caveat that behavior patterns are subject to even more forces beyond what we can control. As already stated, "whales" and "dynamic players" have the ability to significantly move prices and have their own agendas and intentions. Even amongst these large traders, there are vastly different perspectives and goals. This creates a substantial number of unknown forces acting on each trade you make. If trading was as simple as analyzing economic information and putting on a trade, all economists would be incredibly wealthy, yet they are not. Trading is not black and white. You may make correct predictions from time to time, but it does not mean the reasons behind your predictions were correct. While market patterns help tip the odds of earning money in your favor, they do not tell you what the market is going to do next. All of this adds up to the fact that, with any behavior pattern, the winning occurrences are randomly distributed through a set of occurrences.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by Level8Trading
Specific Trendline to Determine the Direction of any MarketHow to identify the specific points for trendline to determine the direction of the market? In this example, I am using the Nasdaq index. You can use this trendline technique to any markets because its principles in this tutorial are applicable throughout whether to an individual stock, indices or even commodities. I am going to introduce the primary and secondary trendlines, I hope after this tutorial, it will bring greater clarity in how you can deploy them. Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. This method I just shared, it can be applied to any market and any timeframe, be it the minute chart or the weekly chart. Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 0.25 = US$0.50 1.00 = US$2
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Education
by konhow
11
Weekly Quote | 7 Rules of a Consistent WinnerHello trader, here's a quote from the great book "Trading in the Zone". Hope you'll find some inspiration or maybe even practical advice here. I'm a consistent winner because: 1. I objectively identify my edges. 2. I predefine the risk of every trade. 3. I completely accept risk ($ risk, risk of not being right, not being perfect, being wrong, losing money, missing out, and leaving money on the table). If not - I am willing to let go of the trade. 4. I act on my edges without reservation or hesitation. 5. I pay myself as the market makes money available to me (take partials). 6. I continually monitor my susceptibility for making errors (emotional pain or euphoria). 7. I understand the absolute necessity of these principles of consistent success and, therefore, I never violate them. Best Regards, Dima
OANDA:XAGUSDEducation
by Yelli_trades
2
📌Prospect theory; what is it? Humans are not psychologically good traders by nature ! Have you ever wondered, why trading with real money is overwhelming for you?! The reason should be sought in the psychological aspect of the case. If you lose amount money in the market, you must gain several times ,so the feeling of happiness overcomes the pain of your initial loss! although all traders, even successful traders, have tasted loss and it is an inevitable part of the trading journey !But the successful traders have learned how to control the psychologically of it and not be limited by the feelings of a loss! Prospect theory : also called loss-aversion theory is a theory of behavioral economics and behavioral finance that was developed by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky in 1979. .Daniel Kahneman the author of ' Thinking, Fast and Slow ' book is a Nobel Laureate in Economics who is a psychologist by training. He won the prize mostly for his work in decision making, specifically Prospect Theory. This book distills a lifetime of work on the engine of human thinking, highlighting our cognitive biases and showing both the brilliance and limitations of the human mind. This summary attempts to capture some of the more interesting findings. Based on results from controlled studies ,he describes how individuals assess their loss and gain perspectives in an asymmetric manner (see loss aversion). For example, for some individuals, the pain from losing $1,000 could only be compensated by the pleasure of earning $2,000 or even more. Thus, contrary to the expected utility theory (which models the decision that perfectly rational agents would make), prospect theory aims to describe the actual behavior of people. In the original formulation of the theory, the term prospect referred to the predictable results of a lottery. However, prospect theory can also be applied to the prediction of other forms of behaviors and decisions. Prospect theory: stems from Loss aversion, where the observation is that agents asymmetrically feel losses greater than that of an equivalent gain. It centralises around the idea that people conclude their utility from "gains" and "losses" relative to a certain reference point. This "reference point" is different for each person and relative to their individual situation. Thus, rather than making decisions like a rational agent (i.e using expected utility theory and choosing the maximum value), decisions are made in relativity not in absolutes. Consider two scenarios; 100% chance to gain $450 or 50% chance to gain $1000 100% chance to lose $500 or 50% chance to lose $1100 Prospect theory suggests that; When faced with a risky choice leading to gains agents are risk averse, preferring the certain outcome with a lower expected utility (concave value function). Agents will choose the certain $450 even though the expected utility of the risky gain is higher When faced with a risky choice leading to losses agents are risk seeking, preferring the outcome that has a lower expected utility but the potential to avoid losses (convex value function). Agents will choose the 50% chance to lose $1100 even though the expected utility is lower, due to the chance that they lose nothing at all These two examples are thus in contradiction with the expected utility theory, which only considers choices with the maximum utility. Also, the concavity for gains and convexity for losses implies diminishing marginal utility with increasing gains/losses. In other words, someone who has more money has a lower desire for a fixed amount of gain (and lower aversion to a fixed amount of loss) than someone who has less money. source: wikipedia Well, with these concepts , we conclude that Losses loom larger than gains! the Psychological value of a loss equal or even less than previous profit, can really affect our mindset , and feeling for trade, actually trading bots are better than us in this aspect, or better to say ;humans should have a proper trading system , also should cultivate our discipline and diligence to be a good trader(psychologically ) ! this article is For informational purposes only!
Education
by PRO_SMART_Trader
9
Secret of trading mentality Hello traders 👋 Trading Mentality First of all, ask yourself this question. ❓ How did trading impact your life ❓ It is important to remember trading could help you reach financial freedom or could easily destroy your life. Everyone knows 90% of the time people lose their money while trading. But it doesn't stop them from trading. Once you start trading it's hard to give that up. Therefore, for anyone who is sure about starting their trading journey. Please pay attention to the following friendly advices. What to keep in mind when you trade ❓ Technical analysis and indicators are tool to help you do presumptions about trade, not a gaurantee that you will have successfull trades. For example, it is possible that you will have 9 out of 10 successfull trades and lose everything on the 10th trade. So what I'm trying to say is, instead of trying too hard to do presumptions. It is also important to prepare your trading mentality. What is trading mentality ❓ Anyone who trades studied more than enough about stop lose, risk management and technical analysis. Even though traders studied and uses all of the above, they still lose they money. Traders shouldn't be paying more than necessary attention to these. When traders start making profit, they start to release dopamine chemical in their brain. This chemical makes you feel good about your confidience, mentality and makes you forget about your fear of losing. For instance, when you fund your account with $500 and you want to make that incease to $10,000. You will start to think irrationally, make wrong decisions and lose. When you start losing, it negatively impact you financially. You can lose one month worth of salary clicking one button. More you lose more you become stressed and desperate to trade not to feel defeated. When start trading, your brian starts release dopamine again. You body feel more relaxed and feel less negative thoughts.You brain fill with happy thoughts. You will oversee your studies which you spent so much time on and lose money again. If it keeps go on, your life will go down rather than up. How to prepare for all this? Of course controlling your mentality. Next lesson will be on how to control your mentality. Trader, Doctor B.Yertunts
Education
by YertuntsTrader
2
BTCUSDT - InformativeHello, today I decided to make just an informational post for you. If you want to become a successful trader in the market one day, you must first accept the fact that the price of any instrument can make any movement, throughout my career as a trader, I have met different people and the ones that never cease to amaze me are those who define one direction and explicitly stands behind it. Such people can even insult you that you are a fool if you think that the market will go in the opposite direction of their analysis. To start being consistently profitable in the markets you have to be willing to accept the fact that you can be wrong. As I remember my beginnings, I was no different. If my price hit SL, I started to blame those who decided to go against me, that it makes no sense to sell there or, on the contrary, buy. Fortunately, a very long time has passed since then and now I look at the market with the possibility to focus on both directions and I try to trade the one that has a higher probability for me. Of course, the fact that it has a higher probability still does not guarantee that the price will go in that direction! That's why today when I look at BTC, for example, I determine the potential reversal zones where it can occur and then I focus on whether it will give me an opportunity or not. I am not focused on only one direction, but on several at once. In this way, the market can never "surprise" me again. This, in my opinion, is the rarest thing that can turn a failed trader into a successful one. Once you are mentally aligned with what is happening in the market, you are better able to focus and aim in the right direction, and if your Money Management can still insulate you against a possible market turn, so much the better. Good luck and put your ego aside, if you can do that, you can be honest with yourself.
by TraderDominik
6
Finding your optimal performance 🏃‍♂️Most traders spend a good bit of time looking at charts. Well here is a chart we traders should all take a look at. The chart shown is the Yerkes-Dodson Law. The Yerkes-Dodson law is a proposition that people perform best at intermediate levels of arousal, and that performance is lower at high or low levels of arousal. The theory behind this is visually represented by the graphic in this idea. No arousal levels or a bored/laidback approach to life will mean no stress but no real performance in what you are trying to achieve or do. However when arousal and stress gets too high by pushing to hard, performance starts to decrease. It's about finding the right balance to achieve an optimal performance. A certain level of stress about what you are trying to achieve motivates you to study, learn or train in order to do your best. A sportsperson has to get bumped up before an event as well as train hard, But getting to worked up and training to hard could cause a decrease in performance when it comes to the event. Pushing not hard enough to pass an exam will lead to a fail as you haven't studied or don't care, But also pushing to hard could lead to a fail as you've let stress and anxiety take over forgetting everything you studied. Moderate levels of arousal is best for overall performance. This theory can be applied to your trading. Take a non interested approach or bored approach and you performance in this area will be affected. Less potential profits etc. Get to focused on your trading or trade to hard could lead to poor performance along with a load of stress in your life. You as an individual will have to self reflect and determine where you fit on the curve in the idea graphic. If you fell more success, achievement and happiness can be had, by all means crack on and go for it! However, if you are getting to a point where you feel you might have reached your limit, it could well be time to dial it back a bit. Don’t push to hard for it that you go down the opposite side of the curve. This theory can be applied to every aspect in your life by using it to balance all aspects of your life will also help your trading as well as work, relationships and everything else we all go through day to day. Thanks for taking time to read this. Darren 🙌
Education
by pow_removetheguesswork
'Trading Psychology: 'The 3 Levels of your Game'Hello Traders, As we know trading is one of the most challenging professions in the world and not only do you have to do your research and own due diligence on a technical aspect, you must ensure your mind/emotions are on point as it is the most common reason traders lose money in this industry. I wanted to share a bit of information from a mental and emotional standpoint about breaking down the 3 levels of your Psychology Game. . No matter how skilled one trader is, everyone has an area that could improve and everyone will make mistakes. The 3 main mistakes we as traders make are: To summarize this chart, the differences between 'B' and 'C' game is that in the 'B' game you have the impulse or thought to make a 'C' game mistake, like closing a trade too early or forcing a trade. Instead you retain the presence of mind and emotional control to avoid it. In your 'C' Game, your emotions are too strong and you cannot stop yourself from forcing trades or cutting profits short. While in the 'A' game, the impulse or thought doesn't happen, or its too small you barely notice. Your goal to as a trader is to eliminate and correct your performance errors that cause your 'C' game. You cannot by escape how much of the gravitational force 'C' game has by focusing on improving just your trading skills and knowledge. You will continue to make the same errors (possibly different ones, but errors are errors) which will create a level of excess negative emotion in your mind. Creating and plan of emotions to examine & review on a daily basis will help you correct your failures and fill you with a different type of emotions, happy ones. By writing down your thoughts of what is going on before, after and during, you start breaking down the backend of your trading and your decision-making becomes much easier and more confident. Creating a plan of your emotions could come with a variety of things, some of the most common ones to watch out for are: -Trigger (eg. Swing trading forex) -Thoughts (eg. I can't believe I got stopped out, it has to go up!) -Emotions (eg. I want revenge on any trade that I lost which I know I should have won!) -Behaviors (eg. Overly focused on one position) -Actions (eg. Constantly looking at P/L) -Changes to your decision-making (eg. I need to get my money back, I need to trade more) -Changes to your perception of the market opportunities or running positions (eg. Your going off prediction rather then reaction) -Trading Mistakes (eg. I'm taking the same trade over and over, until its clear I'm getting no where) Journaling down these emotions and also reviewing them on a day to day, trade to trade, basis, will help your trading game improve and make you become much more successful. I hope this has given a brief insight on how trading psychology plays a huge role in our careers, please leave a comment and share what level of game you are! If you felt this has shared some good information, please hit the like button and follow me for more of these! Thanks Trade Safe!
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by ktlfx
1
Think like a PRO and trade at ANY markets🔥Hi friends! Do you want to know what zones I marked on the chart? Put 🚀 and read to the end. In this educational idea I will explain a few traders secrets that will help you stay profitable in any market for the long term. Take Bitcoin as an example and you'll be surprised how often the same mistake is repeated by beginners and understand how professional traders take advantage of it. 📊 But first, let's find out why the psychology of the crowd drives the market Fortunately for professional traders, human psychology has not changed in centuries. Bubbles in financial markets now appear just as they did before the Great Depression🔻in the early 20th century, when stocks rose by hundreds of percent in a month, and just as they did during the Tulip Fever🌷in the 17th century, when the price of tulips really soared to the moon due to the huge demand for the flower. 🚩 This shows the similarity in the thoughts of people in the 17th, 20th, 21st centuries. It is these faults in human psychology that allow the patterns in trading to work and professional traders to be profitable over the long term. Just don't tell anyone about it!) 📊 Why do people tend to panic during a fall and get greedy during a rise? The fact is that our brain tends to paint wishful thinking in our imagination. When a cryptocurrency is rising, the imagination thinks that the price will rise forever, and you get excited just thinking about the possible earning. And the happiness hormones just keep surging. The opposite is the situation with the fall. When markets fall, our brain tries to protect us from more losses and forces us to sell cryptocurrency. 📊 What help the big players to control the psychology of the crowd? Of course, it's the media. Remember when news of the US recession was at its peak and it seemed like a crisis was imminent. Just at the bottom of the market, when Bitcoin fell to $17k and the SnP500 to $361. I may surprise you, but in 2018, 2020 people had identical thoughts and all thought Bitcoin would fall to $1000. The crypto market can fall lower to 10-12k of course, but just interesting to know did any of my subscribers buy cryptocurrency back then or at 17-19k❓Write in the comments./b] 📊 What are the areas on the chart? I marked 2 areas: 🔥The 1st area (white) is the areawhere the majority of traders, especially newbies, want to buy cryptocurrency. I call this " Bitcoin will rise to 1 million" zone. 🔥The 2nd area (green) is the area where most traders sell the cryptocurrency they bought at a higher price. Most importantly, it is where most traders believe that the fall will continue even lower and do not buy, expecting a fall. I call this "Bitcoin will fall to zero" zone. ✅How can you use the psychology of the crowd to your advantage? I can tell you from my own example that a clear strategy and working with indicators helps me. For example DOM and Footprint, where I can see huge whale orders and open a trade in the same direction as a big player. A large order is a clear signal✅, not a psychological speculation because of the news. A few days ago I showed in one of my ideas how Bitcoin rebounded from a large whale order. Bitcoin then grow by 4-5% in just a few hours. I also use trading systems such as Greenwich or Pump Tracker to identify Bitcoin and altcoins bottoms and ATH. You can see ideas about them on TradingView and their live results✅ It may surprise you! 🏁Summary. This knowledges are usefull for any market: crypto, stocks, ForEx, bonds etc. Human psychology and thinking are the same, but each market has its own specifics. Perhaps I will talk about this in the next educational ideas. Friends, was the idea useful to you? Have you noticed such psychological zones? Do you agree with this idea or do you think Bitcoin will fall below $17k? Write in the comments. 💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU. P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy. Always do your analysis before making a trade.
Education
by Yuriy_Bishko
15
Against Our Primitive Nature In Trading 🐵 “I think investment psychology is by far the most important element, followed by risk control, with the least important consideration being the question of where you buy and sell.” ~Tom Basso, Market Wizard A strong psychological foundation is the key to successful investing. The human mind is a powerful, complex tool that quickly turns into a double-edged sword to those untrained in its control. It’s like driving a Formula-1 race car. A skilled driver can push his racer to its limits, extracting every last bit of performance. A novice driver on the other hand is better off in a mini-van. Put him behind the wheel of an F-1 and he’ll end up crashing straight into a wall. Psychology, or emotional strength, is the basis on which high-performance skills are built. It doesn’t matter whether it’s top performing traders, all-star athletes, or extreme back-country skiers. When it comes to risky, high-pressure situations, the mind either snaps into a flow state or crashes and burns. Decision quality in these high-stress situations requires a person to be emotionally sound. And the only way to develop this emotional toughness is through consistent self-reflection. The goal is to intimately understand both your strengths and weaknesses. It’s been said that investing is the best way for a person to truly understand himself. The markets will quickly unveil every character flaw, insecurity, and weakness that lies inside. This is the nature of the market and it’s why emotions tend to run wild within it. Fear, greed, hope, self-doubt…..it takes psychological preparation to manage this barrage. The failure to do so leads to disaster. To deal with these emotions, it helps to understand how the mind originally developed. Humans evolved over millions of years, spending a majority of their time roaming the planet as tribal hunters and gatherers. The advent of cities with large populations is relatively new considering that the Agricultural Revolution was only 10,000 years ago — a small tick of time in the grand scheme of human existence. The fact that our brains were primarily developed within the harsh tribal lifestyle has many implications on our psychological makeup. It also explains why our pre-wired instincts naturally make us horrible traders. So then what’s the deal with emotions? Are they an inherent weakness to humans? NOPE!!! In fact, emotions are very useful in certain situations. Think back to the plains life: A tribal man is walking back from a hunt when he’s suddenly confronted by a mountain lion. As the lion comes into view, his brain’s amygdala triggers a fight-or-flight response. The man is instantly hit with various emotions like fear, aggression, anxiety, etc. At the same time, physiological changes take place in his body. Hormones like adrenaline, testosterone, and cortisol are let loose to prep the man to either fight or run. The man’s emotional/physiological response not only makes him stronger and more capable to survive this encounter, but it also enables him to make a decision in the blink of an eye. There’s no time to sit and ponder the best course of action in a life-or-death situation. Speed is key and emotions are instrumental in fueling rapid decision making. Okay, so emotions are great when it comes to dealing with mountain lions… but what about in present day market situations? Consider this: A man’s entire life savings is invested in SPY. All of a sudden, the market plummets 5%. And then another 6% the next day. The man is faced with both extreme volatility and huge losses. His family’s financial security is on the line. If he loses his savings, he can’t send little Timmy off to college. And if Timmy doesn’t go to college, he’ll definitely end up flipping burgers for the next 30 years at the fast food joint down the street. It’s a life-or-death situation. A decision needs to be made quickly. *Queue the mountain lion emotional/psychological response.* Rampant emotions are no good here. Rapid, haphazard decision making doesn’t help either. The man’s love for Timmy will only lead him to make irrational choices that’ll destroy his savings in the long run. In scenarios like this, the fight-or-flight response works against you. This is where cool-headed, rational decisions prevail. A trader needs to transfer his decision making from his emotional Amygdala to his rational prefrontal cortex. Doing so will help him overcome his immediate emotional and physiological responses in order to make a more sound decision for his savings. In addition to controlling these emotions, we also have to contend with our strong evolutionary desire to “fit in”. Think back to our plains-roaming ancestors again. They used to move in small packs that would provide each other with protection and support. All basic needs like food and shelter were met through the group. This reality made it vital that an individual be accepted by his group. If he wasn’t well-liked, he’d be ostracized and forced to leave, which was the equivalent of a death sentence in those days. A tribeless person would have a difficult time surviving alone and exposed in the wild. The conformists of the group were the ones who survived the longest. They were also the ones who reproduced the most, passing on their genetic code. The “fitting in” mentality became a dominant survival trait that grew stronger as it passed from generation to generation over millions of years. This is the reason we’re all born with the natural need to be accepted by others. Doing something that goes against the tide, especially something that could cause us to be rejected from our group, goes completely against our nature. This mentality may have made sense in the past, but it doesn’t make sense today… especially in markets. Does It Pay To Always Go With The Crowd Or Does It Pay To Think For Yourself? The answer is obvious — it pays to think for yourself. And many times independent thinking will lead you to do the exact opposite of the crowd. As Warren Buffet once said regarding Berkshire Hathaway’s success — “We simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful.” Take March 2009 for example. Fear was running rampant and no one wanted to invest post-crisis. But this was the time when valuations were ripe for the picking. The market was getting ready to turn around. Going against the crowd and investing big during this period — being greedy when others were fearful — would have made you a fortune. This is why it’s so important to avoid falling victim to groupthink. An investor needs to make his own decisions based on his own convictions. But of course this isn’t easy. Thinking For Yourself Means Violating Your Biological Need To Be Accepted By Others. It Automatically Feels Unsafe And Uncomfortable . But The Ability To Manage This Negative Emotional Reaction That Comes With Independent Thinking Is The Key To Long-term Success . AVOIDING COGNITIVE BIASES IN TRADING. On top of rampant emotions and a dire need to “fit in” , our biological evolution also had another side-effect. It made us lazy. Back in the day we were faced with an endless cycle of feast and famine. We’d have short periods of feeding followed by long periods of minimal sustenance living. So naturally we evolved to conserve our energy as much as possible. If given two options we’re conditioned to choose the one that involves the least amount of effort. This applies not only to physical activities, but to mental functions as well. After all, the brain does account for up to 20% of the body’s total energy usage (more than any other organ). We’ll always go for the quick and easy solution over the tough one that requires more thinking. This is true even if the easy option ends up being wrong… To help facilitate this low-effort decision making we’ve developed Heuristics . Heuristics are simple, efficient rules we use to quickly make decisions and form judgments. They’re mental shortcuts that slice through complexity. Yet even though these Heuristics tend to work well most of the time, they can also lead to decisions devoid of rationality and logic. The resulting errors are what we call cognitive biases. Understanding these biases is important to help avoid them when making our trading decisions. Recency Bias Recency bias is believing what occurred in the recent past will continue to occur in the future. Say you flip a coin and get heads five times in a row. Naturally you’ll begin to think the sixth flip will also be heads. Heads is the trend. But in reality, you’d be wrong. This is called recency bias . You’re letting recent outcomes incorrectly influence your belief of future outcomes. No matter the outcome of the previous trials, the probability of the next coin flip being heads will always be 50%. Believing anything else is illogical. Investors consistently fall victim to this bias. It’s the main contributor to the complacency we see during each market cycle. Consider the “buy the dip” mentality that plagued the post-QE era. One of the greatest financial crises in history occurred 8 years prior, and in the time in between investors trained themselves to throw risk management out the window and aggressively buy more each time the market fell. It’s true that “buy the dip” worked well during that time, but there was no guarantee it would work in perpetuity. This is especially true considering the nature of market cycles. Strategies tend to work for a period of time until they don’t. And it’s usually the previously successful strategies that end up failing the hardest in the new environment. No one wants to be caught buying the dip when the market morphs from bull to bear. But unfortunately, recency bias leads a majority of investors straight off that cliff. “Buy the dip worked before… so it must work again!” Nope. Sorry. Gambler’s Fallacy On the other side of the coin (pun intended) we have the gambler’s fallacy (also known as the Monte Carlo fallacy). This is the opposite of recency bias. It occurs when you start believing that because a certain result happened more frequently in the past, there’s a higher probability a different result will occur in the future. Take the coin flip example again. Someone who flipped heads five times in a row may think the next flip has to be tails because of the 50% probability associated with the game. This is once again illogical. Over a large enough sample of trials (which can be performed through a Monte Carlo simulation), the number of heads and tails will be evenly split. But over any individual, shorter stretch, there is no requirement they must show up equally. You can have 100 head flips in a row and yet the probability of the next flip will still be 50% heads, 50% tails. The Gambler’s Fallacy is thinking the probability of a tails flip has increased based on the previous streak. Our “buy the dip” example once again shows the dangers of this bias in markets. The post-QE era was littered with the corpses of fund managers who tried to short the indices. Why’d they do it? It’s because they thought that after working so many times, “buy the dip” had to fail eventually. “Business cycles only last 5-7 years. It’s due time for the market to correct for real and blow out all these “buy the dip” idiots.” Again, this is not how it works. As John Maynard Keynes once said: “The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.” Sunk-Cost Fallacy / Loss-Aversion A sunk-cost fallacy is continuing an endeavour due to previously invested resources (time, money, effort) even when the optimal decision is to stop. Ever get full at dinner, but finish your plate anyway because you don’t want to waste the good money you paid for it? That’s the Sunk-cost Fallacy in action. Loss-aversion is the tendency to strongly prefer avoiding losses to acquiring equivalent gains. The pain of losing greatly overwhelms the pleasure of gaining. Marketers use Loss-aversion all the time. Which of the following headlines make you want to buy more? “Buy our insurance and save $100 a month!” Or “You’re losing $100 a month on insurance. Buy ours and save!” The second one of course. The thought of losing $100 is much more powerful than the thought of just saving it. Both Loss-aversion And The Sunk-cost Fallacy make it difficult to cut losses in the market. No one wants to cut a losing position after spending countless hours developing a thesis. It feels like a waste… all that work for nothing. It becomes easy to find yourself attached to an investment because of the Sunk-cost Fallacy. But this mentality is completely irrational. Refusing to cut a loser, regardless of the initial time investment, leaves you exposed to an even larger total loss (time & capital) down the line. Cutting a loss also becomes even harder when loss-aversion comes into play. Taking a loss not only means admitting you’re wrong, but also turns your paper loss into a real account drawdown. This is too much to handle for most, even if it’s in their best interest. The illogical fear of taking the pain now opens the door to even more pain in the future. Confirmation Bias Confirmation bias is seeking out information that supports an initial thesis while disregarding all else. Rose-colored glasses are a large problem in the investment world. Too many investors find a company they like and then proceed to become its #1 cheerleader. They only look for news and press releases that support their positive image of that company. Any fundamental warning signs are immediately disregarded and objectivity is squashed. This is asking to be unpleasantly surprised in the future. Confirmation bias creates a dangerous blind spot that has a high likelihood of decimating a trading account. Observational Selection Bias Similar to Confirmation Bias , Observational Selection Bias involves noticing a particular idea and then falsely assuming that the frequency of available evidence supporting that idea has increased. Say you develop a thesis that Solar Stocks should take off soon. And as soon as you create that thesis, you start to notice a huge increase in News stories and data that support it. This makes you even more confident in Solar Stocks. This is most likely the bias in action. Developing your initial solar thesis has you primed towards certain types of information. This priming is very easily confused with actual increasing sentiment towards the solar sector. Objectivity is once again smothered, making this bias crucial to avoid. These Cognitive Biases are completely natural to have. And that’s what makes them dangerous. We need to stay vigilant of these biases to make sure they don’t creep into our analysis process. Objective analysis is the key to success in the markets. But for objective analysis to flourish, biases need to be squashed. PLAN YOUR TRADES AND TRADE YOUR PLAN Clearly Our Biology And The Biases That Come With It Are Hazardous To Our Financial Health. But how exactly do we solve this problem? The trick is to Plan Your Trades And Trade Your Plan. The First Step To Successful Trading Is Creating A Solid Strategy That Accounts For Every Possible Market Scenario. High Volatility, Low Volatility, Black Swans, It Doesn’t Matter. Everything Should Be Planned For. Nothing Should Be A Surprise. A Detailed Strategy Will Pre-plan The Action Steps You’ll Take In Specific Market Situations. This Ensures You’ll Have Strict Guidelines To Follow When Your Emotions Inevitably Run Wild. Your Past Objective Mind Will Have Already Made The Correct Decisions For Your Current, Emotionally Charged, Irrational Mind. This Is How You Avoid Destructive Choices In The Heat Of The Moment. But This Only Works If You Actually Execute Your Plan When The Time Comes. This May Sound Simple. And Honestly It Is. But That Doesn’t Mean It’s Easy. Execution Is Difficult Because Our Biological Wiring Does Everything In Its Power To Prevent Us From Pulling The Trigger. Our Emotions And Biases Flare Up And We’re Forced To Do Battle With Them Before All Else. The Best Trading Plan In The World Won’t Prevent Your Fight-or-flight Response. It Won’t Cure Your Dire Need To Stick With The Herd Or Your Cognitive Biases Either. You’ll Still Experience All The Feelings That Come With Your Biological Reality. There’s No Way Around It. That’s why you need to accept it. Let the process play out. Feel what you’re feeling. But as it happens, take a step back, and from a distanced view, fully acknowledge what’s occurring. Objectively analyze it: “The market just dropped 400 points and I’m feeling x, y, and z. Why am I feeling like this? Should I be feeling this way? How should I react?” Explicitly following through with this exercise, either mentally, or even better by physically writing these questions and answers down, immediately switches your brain from using its emotional Amygdala to its rational prefrontal cortex. The process will prevent the type of knee-jerk decisions you’re trying to avoid while reminding you to stick to your pre-defined trading plan. Another effective tactic to ensure execution is reducing your stimuli. If the market is crashing, don’t sit in front of your computer screen and watch it. Every tick will cause an emotional response. And the more frequently you have to deal with these emotional responses, the more likely you’ll succumb to them and deviate from your trading plan. Just like you don’t trust a toddler with a bunch of colored markers in an empty, white-walled room, we don’t trust ourselves with a mouse and keyboard during trading hours. Both result in a mess. As the Legendary Trader Peter Brandt said: “Trading an upstream swim against human emotions.” These are wise words from a wise man. Plan your trades and trade your plan . That’s How You’ll Win In The End. & Thank For Reading Untill End, No Problem If You Skipping Some Text. I Hope You Find Something Useful In This Post. Stay Safe & Good Luck. Thank Alex Burrow MACROOPS Thank For Artist The Image
NASDAQ:METAEducation
by Zestiria
24
W.D. Gann’s 28 Trading Rules - Part 2When you decide to make a trade be sure that you are not violating any of these 28 rules which are vital and important to your success. When you close a trade with a loss, go over these rules and see which rule you have violated; then do not make the same mistake the second time. Experience and investigation will convince you of the value of these rules, and observation and study will lead you to a correct and practical theory for successful Trading. Like and follow for more!
Education
by UnknownUnicorn33550147
3
W.D. Gann’s 28 Trading Rules - Part 1When you decide to make a trade be sure that you are not violating any of these 28 rules which are vital and important to your success. When you close a trade with a loss, go over these rules and see which rule you have violated; then do not make the same mistake the second time. Experience and investigation will convince you of the value of these rules, and observation and study will lead you to a correct and practical theory for successful Trading. Like and follow for more!
Education
by UnknownUnicorn33550147
The One That Got Away After a ten-month hiatus from charts, I came back to charts to try to rewire my trader's eye. Fundamentally, intuition tells me that Gold is bullish; I had a one-minute time frame entry in the highlighted region, I was doing everything wrong against my system overtrading, the timeframe is not my entry timeframe, I overleveraged after three years of trading, I'm still making rookie mistakes of wanting to have that one big trade that will take care of everything. Consciously I'm keeping track of my emotions; anxiety was at an all-time high when executing this trade. I pulled out the trade too early to recoup some of my daily losses, plus add 10% growth to my account. I may still have profit, but I lost the war with my mind. However, long story short, you can feel you are the most skilled trader of all time, but you can't beat an uncalm mind
FX:XAUUSD
by DeJaunTrades
Is mindset holding you back 🤔Trading can be a rollercoaster of emotions. Many traders are unaware of when their state of mind leads to underperforming trades and why it happens. We are all different and unique when it comes to trading, and understanding the type of trader you are is essential to your success. Traders can spend a lot of time studying technical indicators and strategies, but understanding the psychology driving your trading decisions is just as important. The first starting point of getting on the right path in regards to trading psychology and emotions is by having the right one of two mindset choices. There's two mindsets which will effect your trading results and progress massively. They are 'Growth mindset' and 'Fixed mindset' Of those two mindsets there is only a place for one when it comes to trading and that is 'GROWTH MINDSET' The graphic on chart shows the difference between the two mindsets. If you can't ditch the 'Fixed mindset ' you will never be able to progress in trading. No matter how great of a trader you think you are, or how well you think you handle your emotions. It's impossible to remove them from the equation completely when trading. When emotions are combined with a 'Fixed mindset' mentality however you are going to feel emotional pain and loss of money when it comes to your trading. Once you have learned to recognise your mindset, you can then begin the next important step of switching to the ' Growth mindset ' People with a ' Fixed mindset ' believe they are born with a certain amount of intelligence and that it is fixed for the rest of their lives. People with a 'Growth mindset ' however know that intelligence is not fixed and that you can in effect grow your brain. They see their traits as just a starting point and know that these can be developed by hard work, effort, dedication and challenge. Having a growth mindset can improve your progress and attainment and this is crucial in being successful as a trader. The brain can be developed like a muscle, changing and growing stronger the more it is used. Your abilities are also very much like muscles they need training in order to perform at their peak. You can learn how to do anything you want to do and you can get better at whatever that is with time and consistent practice. Even if you have what you perceive to be a talent or ability for something, if you never practice that talent or ability you simply will never improve. Applying this theory to your trading game will help you grow not just your accounts but as a person also. Get that 'Growth mindset' and start believing in your ability to change. Thanks for looking. Darren 🙌
Education
by pow_removetheguesswork
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