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Psychology

Analyzing Bitcoin like a game of war Sept 22There is a lot of trader sentiment leaning in both directions strongly. There is a lot of noobs bullish, and a lot of pro traders saying a retest of lower fib levels. There is a wide range of players spanning from black to white on this. Some people are pro but roll with the noobs, other are noobs and roll with the pros. This is the hive mind that drives BTC price. Nobody knows who will win. Lets all be honest. We've already tried going both directions multiple times, which shows the market is undecided and confused. BOTH SIDES are valid, therefore. The only variable that changes is TIME. Time creates PATTERNS. Therefore, patterns and time decide which way the market goes, because they are the only thing that is changing. If there was news, this would change the price. If there was an approaching deadline like EOY, that would change the price, but that is along the lines of TIME. Which of these can tip the scales of the balance? Which of these can decide the outcome? Most likely patterns. Patterns are starting to emerge which almost guarantee a move to everyone who knows them, like an emerging triangle or flag. XRP probably plays a big role in deciding what happens, since it is the one that pulled the market up, although surprisingly. Another option is a fakeout. Again, this is an emerging pattern. It tries to retest the fib level, then reverses and cause a massive rally, converting all pros who were waiting or were too late. This tips the balance. A bear trap. Lastly, there is time. Time might convert one or both of the sides. Then, it becomes a question of who has the most resolve. Naturally, since it's overextended, and the bulls are more emotional, and the pros are doing the preaching, the bulls will give in first. The bull's argument is that the price is going up. If that isn't happening (sideways) people stop listening to them.The only way they win is if they use the emerged patterns to breakout and convert the other side, or if more people join their ranks, most likely from the news (but it's not mainstream, and not really huge news until >$1...). Beyond that, the only other option of winning is to use the fakeout, mentioned earlier. A bear trap.
KRAKEN:XRPUSD
by hydrix95
Elon Musk: Apparent pot-smoking, smokes TESLA's share price. Just to be 100% clear, I have not determined what Elon Musk was smoking on the Roe Jogan show. Media sources say it was pot. Video and audio evidence suggests that Musk knew or was led to believe that it was a cigar containing marijuana that about he was about to smoke. It is not clear if this was a prank. He smoked what he was offered. If it was a prank it was misguided. The point is that markets react to this sort of thing. It's about perception and human psychology - well 'beyond technical analysis'. There may be a limited opportunity to exploit any probability that the one-hour time frame gap could be be closed. Risky - I'm not in it on the one hourly time frame. Tesla's move south may have nothing to do with the 'incident'. Overall 'tech' stocks in the USA have been taking a beating. The FANGS have been taking a beating as international trade tensions hit home. I'm short on APPL - and at no-loss position.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by Captain_Walker
Buy if breakout the triangleAs we can see volumes are lower and lower This mean there is no more liquidity coming from particular or from companies and not so much money by the financial institutions. We can observe a triangle, when it will breakout, that probably mean BTC is regaining interest on the most of people turning around crypto so a new leg up will keep attracting more and more people in it (particular or institutions/companies) and this can be the start of a new bullrun
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by jeanneymar011001
2
HOW to indentify a TREND! MUST see for beginners! #EZ-learningHey tradomaniacs and becoming traders, I love sharing my knowledge and wanna help everyone who is interested and trading. :-) Check this "journal" and start to understand the market. Most of us know how a trend works. BUT NOT WHY! I hope this will help you out to understand and improves your abillity to indentify Trends. Peace and happy learning Irasor Trading2ez - Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me! - Any questions? Wanna more stuff PM me!
XETR:DAXEducation
by Trading2ez
3
Bitcoin and Ethereum - can you exploit FOMO? This is well beyond technical analysis - into the domain of human psychology. In this video I theorise on exploiting FOMO - which is psychological phenomenon - instead of just being a victim of it. I look briefly at Ehterium as well. An important thing for all markets is that the point of greatest fear is also the point of greatest opportunity. Please note that I am not predicting anything. I totally expect price to crash as well. All I can do is control my loss. Supplemental: Microtends and risk aversion Disclaimers and Declarations: No pecuniary or other advantages are derived or to be derived by sharing opinion/information presented here, even if originating from other parties. The representations herein are indicative, not predictive and do not imply any past, present or future performance of the individual making the representation. Under no circumstances does any graphical or other representation imply, encourage or recommend the buying or selling of securities, or the making of any kind of investment or trade. No guarantee of accuracy is provided for reported facts. No insight into practical aspects of trading or investment is provided. There are no cloaked, or implied meanings or expectations to be received. Gambling in financial markets is strongly discouraged. Trading or investing in securities, crytpocurrencies or tokens of any kind carries serious and/or catastrophic financial risks. Those who lack the knowledge, skill and experience in those markets should avoid taking those risks. Interpretations by others about what may appear to be implied by the presence or absence of some content, are dismissed in advance and do not nullify all or any part of this disclaimer. You are responsible for your own due diligence. Should you take financial risk by acting on this representation or any interpretation of it, you do so entirely at your own risk.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Captain_Walker
To boldly go beyond technical analysis towards self-analysisHaving been on Tradingview for the last few years, I've observed that perhaps 'the most important' aspect of trading is hardly ever discussed. I'm not sure why that its. Look, this is a loser's game. How? Read on. Some key estimates: 1. 90% of traders will lose money consistently. . 2. 80% of trading success depends on managing individual psychology. 3. It is possible to be consistently profitable even with a 30% win rate. I say that there is an invisible wall that affects many new and seasoned traders. How would I know? I've been there - and head-butted the wall! The difficult aspects of trading: 1. Managing risk 2. Self-deception 3. Finding reasonable entry and exit points. 4. Being disciplined - staying disciplined. 5. Changing patterns of cognition 6. Changing patterns of behaviour. 7. Managing external influences. 8. Managing emotions. Core trading skills to develop: 1. Finding trends early enough. 2. Calculating acceptable losses. 3. Exploiting trends. 4. Understanding when not to enter a trade. How do new traders get conned? 1. They have ideas or beliefs that there is some magic formula or system of trading that will work to beat the markets. 2. They are influenced to join training programs, most of which deliver little or no strategies for coping with the difficulties. 3. They move from program to program spending on 'hope'; losing as they go. 4. They spend on signalling services. The difficulty is that many traders have a difficult time seeing their own psychology. Note - I'm not talking about psychology in general or the stuff you find in textbooks. So a trader could focus on all manner of trading methodology and still have a very big problem. Dig deep fellow traders. The markets are their to punish you but also the markets are sound teachers.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Captain_Walker
Buying The EUR/USD Daily Double BottomIt appears that the vacant economic calendar and slow trading conditions are promoting a rotational EUR/USD. Until Friday’s U.S. CPI release, I expect this market to trade between the 38% Current Wave retracement (1.1612) and the June/July Double Bottom (1.1510). In the event the EUR/USD fails to sustain trade above the 1.1612 area, then we are in a position to test the Double Bottom just above the 1.1510 handle. For the remainder of the week, here is the trade: Entry: Buy 1.1512 Stop: 1.1474 Profit Target: 1.1549 Risk vs Reward Ratio: Very near 1/1
Long
by FXLeaders
EURJPY Short IdeaSelling EURJPY at 131.9 Stop loss 132.2 (just below the quarter level) Target 1 = 131.3 Target 2 = 130.9 Target 3 = 130.6 Anticipating "Midweek Reversal" Setup with the divergence/double top occurring as well as the psychological effect of getting a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern at the 132 level while we are in an obvious uptrend Trading with real money involves risk. I am not a licensed financial adviser, nor is this analysis investment advice. Hold yourself accountable
by ZacharyHogan
2
Bitcoin's Reversal: A Story of EmotionsClearly Bitcoin's bears are having a crisis of confidence. Throughout this possible Inverted Head & Shoulders, they've been through a range of extreme emotions that have likely decimated their accounts. Head & Shoulders are distribution patterns that represent the distribution of control from bears to bulls or from bulls to bears. This inverted one has left the bears in a very weak position, and now, as this possible right shoulder is forming, they're beginning to wonder whether to become bull. No one really knows why a Head & Shoulders pattern looks the way it does, but looking at it through the lens of emotion can give us some insight, teach us how not to trade, and how to feel after the pattern has concluded. Left Shoulder: Confidence Bitcoin's drop to what is now the left shoulder was surprisingly deep. The $6,850 support zone was already on my chart weeks before, and it was the bluest blue support at the time. Yet the bears managed to break it down, and even the next strong support close by. This gave the bears an extreme amount of confidence. Confidence, however, is a dangerous thing. The bulls managed to pullback straight back to $6,850, the support that the bears fought so hard to turn into a resistance, now the reddest red resistance on my chart, forming the left shoulder. Head: Euphoria For the bears to not only succeed in breaking down $6,850, but to take down yet another pullback, and then to create an entirely new low for this year at $5,750 is quite a feat. Their confidence was only magnified into euphoria by this success. But if there's nothing more dangerous than confidence, it's euphoria. This left the bears in a position of complacency. They were assuming $5,000, but their dreams were swiftly torn away as the bulls defended $5,750 twice, and yet again pulled us back to the $6,850 resistance, putting the bears in crisis mode. Right Shoulder: Hope/Fear Managing to defend the $6,850 resistance for the second time probably felt like of sigh of relief for the bears, and gave them the most dangerous and vulnerable emotion possible: hope. However, extreme emotions in one direction can easily become extreme emotions in the other direction. The bears only need to slightest disturbance from their hope to become fearful. And if it's any emotion that creates extreme price movements, it's fear. The Reversal: Capitulation Bitcoin is slowly curling back up, possibly forming the right shoulder. This is possibly indicative of control distributing toward the bulls. The bears could not bring the price lower than they hoped, and now their hope could slowly be turning into fear. The higher we go, the more fearful they could become. If we reach close to $6,850, this is clearly not just a small pullback, so we can invalidate our Ghost Shoulder and Bruce Willis scenario. This will be the bears at their most fearful, and begin to exit their positions en masse as their fear turns to capitulation. How Not to Trade Like the Herd The bears' struggles throughout this Inverse H&S have clearly shown that extreme emotions are dangerous. So I pose this question to the bulls: How will you feel if we reverse? Will that confidence turn to euphoria? Will any defense of a pullback turn to hope? Part of trading is managing your emotions. This stops you from becoming complacent and following the herd. It also allows you to hold your biases lightly, admit when you're wrong, and enter or exit a trade accordingly. Seeing the valuation of your account go up after entering a position is only half of an emotion. The emotion is only complete until after you exit that position, not before. Catching a reversal is the best trade you could make, don't squander it by over exaggerating incomplete emotions.
Long
by BTC-Pizzaiolo
11
Getting ready for another drop. With a new resistance.I know it SEEMS like this is the area we will bounce around, but i think on balance of probabilities we will Find ourselves hitting a new low shortly. So far with every initial pump to begin a larger pump we have not had a divergence on the momentum as we do now. As well as that, every time we did have a dead cat bounce we DID have a divergence before a new low was made. With this is mind, I say get ready for a new low, and another bounce. It isn't even oversold on the daily yet, and yet here we are.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn2073191
5
Three things Mark Douglas taught me (Pt3)Trading Strategy The trading strategy of any trader is one that should fit him or her. There really isn’t much to this section as a plethora of trading systems can be on the internet. What matters the most is that your system has a risk reward ratio of at least 1/4. If you desire a profitable trading strategy I highly suggest Michael Covel's and Rayner Teo's style of trading. They are great traders. Please check out my other article as well!
Education
by ElieTheForexTraitor
2
SPX / H2 : Psychology inside the big range... From what I can see the US market is no longer bullish.. despite all the remaining sentiment I still think the right context is a range, and therefore applying trend strategies in there is the most stupid action to perform ! Trade according to the range strategy would definitely be the best option. Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;) That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users. All my scenarios and portfolio managements are explained in a daily basis on my Youtube channel. You'll find a link to get there in my profile signature here : @PRO_Indicators The English videos are posted upon the "Market Forecast (ENG)" Playlist. Kindly, Phil If you want to learn more about the basic rules to trade with my indicators here's the educational video link :
SP:SPX
by PRO_Indicators
1
Trading Psychology 5 Edge ExecutionEdge Execution Trading is a numbers game, and markets are based on the mathematics of the traders equation. However, understanding this alone will not guarantee profits. The ability to apply and conform to the math of the current market context is what leads to consistent profits. Beginners often have a misconecption that they need to know what is going to happen over the period of the next X number of bars in order to make a profit. They believe they must enter at the exact right time and price in order to win on a trade. This could not be further from the truth, and anyone consistenly making money from the markets knows the reality. The reality is a trader does not need to know what is going to happen next in order to make a profit. In fact, a professional trader knows that any given trade is irrelevant to the bigger picture, and an income is generated over a series of trades; not any single trade. This menatlity is past the duality of winning and losing, which are simply accepted as part of the job. This can be called the "probability mindset." Profits are generated over a series of trades, not any single trade. Therefore, it is not necessary to make money on every trade, every day, or even every month to be a succesful trader. It takes time to build confidence, believe this is true and fully understand this concept. Perhaps this is why most traders fail, by giving up before coming to this realization. It has been said that professional traders have "Won the game before they started playing." (Jack Swagger). This confidence can only come from the probability mindset, when a trader accepts he may lose on this trade, the day, or even this year. But he accepts his risk, and trusts the math that over time he will generate a profit. Even if he takes a large loss, or several, it does not matter; he knows he will make it back up. The overall point of this is that losses are part of the trading process. If a trade is a loser, it does not matter; move on to the next trade. Dwelling on losses or a drawdown does not bring the money back, but continuing to trade does. In this sense it can be said that a successful trader "trades his way out of a drawdown." It is helpful to think of losses as the "cost of doing business" just like any other business would incur expenses while conducting its operations. There are very few (if any) businesses that do not require heavy start up costs, or capital to continue the business while generating profits. Ever heard the saying "It takes money to make money?" Trading is no different, although most traders fail to realize this, and focus solely on profits. In trading, our costs are commissions and losses, which are offset by gains, resulting in a net profit. Employing your Edge So what does this have to do with exeucting an edge? Well, it is necessary to understand not every trade is a guranteed success, and there is a random distribution between wins and losses, with any edge. Even the best setup or edge will result in a loss 30-40% of the time. It is virtually impossible to know in advance, which trade will win and which will lose. Therefore it is absolutely imperative to take every trade that meets a traders edge, regardless of how the trader feels, thinks, or any other variables unrelated to the edge. With this said, here are the basic steps to exeucting and employing an edge. 1). Identify edge. Pick a setup (second entry, wedge reversal, follow through bar, ect.) It is a good idea to start with one until familiar with reading prices. 2). Ask yourself at the close of every bar "Is my edge present?" If no, wait. If yes, enter the trade. 3). Execute the edge with a series of 10 or 20 trades, document every trade. At the end of the series analyze results and tweak. Wishing you the best of luck on your trading journey -Josh Ridenour
Education
by tradersmentality
1
Trading Psychology 4 "Now Moment"Trading the "Now moment" Most of the time, prices do what they have been doing or normally do based on the current context. But what about when they dont, or instead do the opposite? For instance a strong bear breakout of a bull channel. Five minutes ago prices were rallying higher and higher, with no end in sight. Now prices are falling dramatically, what is a trader to do? Is he going to continue trading as a bull channel or trading range? Or does he exit his longs with a loss and sell at the market? Unless he accepts the reality that in a market truly anything can happen and anything is possible, he will more likely be unable to let go of the past and not willing to recognize the opportunity being presented right now. In this scenario he would probably fail to take the later action, and instead continue to fight the strong bear breakout because his mind is convinced prices are still in some form of bull trend or bull flag trading range. Until a trader truly accepts this fundamental point of market reality, it is easy to get caught up in what should happen and the true opportunity continues to elude him. The reality of the market is; every moment in the market is unique, and every opportunity has a different set of risk, reward, and probability. What worked today, may or may not work tomorrow. Most beginners fail to appreciate or even realize this is the case, as they attempt to apply rigid rules to a constantly changing environment. This prevents a clear, objective view of what prices are likely and not likely to do. As a result, this does not allow the trader to correctly identify the opportunity being presented "right now." Awareness A major obstacle to trading the "now moment" is where a traders awareness lies at any given time. Is he thinking about what happened an hour ago, or what may happen by the end of the day, or is he intently focused on what is transpiring in this very moment? Identifying and becoming aware of what is occuring internally while trading is helpful in this situtation. The idea is not to fight or prevent emotions from occuring, but rather acknowledge they are present and inturn may lead to a poor trading decision. Most trading errors are due to an emotional outburst or the traders awareness being somewhere else other than the market. Beathing exercises such as focusing on the breath and taking slow, deep breaths, can help ease the internal tension and return focus back to the market. This is a form of awareness training (mindfulness), which can help a trader with concentration and placing his awareness on the trading task at hand. It is also beneficial to practice some form of mindfulness outside of trading to become more intune with yourself, and ultimately the market. Trading along side stress / emotions What makes the difference between an amateur and professional trader is not the lack of thoughts, emotions, or stress. Professional traders too have these characterstics as we are all human, although they may be less obvious to the observer. However, a professional does not act on these feelings, and instead does what is necessary based on the market structure, not how he feels or what he thinks. He may find himself distracted with thoughts or an emotion, but then brings his awareness back to the trading task at hand. Amateurs do the opposite by allowing these feelings and emotions to lead to actions in the market, which more often than not are trading errors. Amateurs get stuck so to speak in the stress or emotion rather than the correct trade action. Moving past this is not easy, but returning awareness to the market rather than internally is the first step. An easy way of accomplishing this is to periodically throughout the day ask yourself "Where is my awareness?" or "Where is my mind?" The next question is, "What is the opportunity being presented right now?” or “What is the market telling me to do right now?” Continued...
Education
by tradersmentality
Trading Psychology 3 Fear Keys to building a strong Traders Mentality (Probability Mindset) There are many hindrences to developing the probability mindset, and it would be easy to write an entire book dedicated to them all. However most of these issues fall into four broader categories; fear, false beliefs, trading the "now moment", and edge execution. In the following paragraphs we will touch on these key issues and simple ways to address them. Fear As humans we all experience fear throughout our lifetime and so much so the "fight or flight" response has been genetically enbeded into our DNA. Many traders believe they will natuarlly be able to “trade as a computer” after X amount of practice or experience. They assume these components of human nature will eventually give way and soon they will be able to trade without fear or emotions. There is a problem with this theory. We are not computers, and never will be. We are human, which means we are susceptible to emotions and fear responses that are built into us. We are also far from perfect, and full of mistakes, furthering us apart from computers. With this said, it is extremely unlikely a trader will be able to over-ride his natural insticts without slowly and gradually changing his way of thinking first. The best way to overcome fear is through exposure in small doses. For example someone who is afraid of heights, is not taken to a fifty foot cliff and forced to jump off. And he surely does not overcome this fear spontaneously, or naturally after any period of time. Instead he is slowly exposed to heights and as he gets comfortable, taken to increasingly higher points. He may jump off a ten foot cliff, then twenty, and so on until he reaches the fifty foot cliff and jumps off. It is important to realize his fear was never removed completely, but rather he was able to cope with the fear and still jump. This model can be applied to trading, whether it is slowly building a position size, executing an edge every time it is present, or getting comfortable being in the market with looming uncertainty. Fear can often be debiliating, and is a major hurdle to overcome when transitioning from an amateur to professional trader. The most common result of fear is "anaylsis paralysis" where a trader is unable to make an action due to information overload. There are many different types of fear that occur while trading. Fear of failure, success, missing out, leaving money on the table, and mistakes, just to name a few. It is normal to feel uneasy when putting on a trade or while in a position. The problem lies within hesitation when fear prevents you from entering an otherwise reasonable trade, or any other necessary market action (take profits, cut a loser, hold longer, ect). If you find yourself not entering a trade, there are only two reasons why. First, the trade does not meet your edge criteria, which is a completley valid reason to not enter a trade. The second which is a problem, is fear. When a trader stops entering trades meeting his criteria due to internal fears, he begins to cherry pick trades, and skews his traders equation. This can mean the difference between a profit and a loss at the end of a series of trades. Understanding and recognizing fear within yourself and the market is vital to profitable trading. Awareness of fear within yourself is the first step to overriding and correcting it. And recognizing fear in the market is often a good opporunity to position a profitable trade. It can also be helpful to realize fear only exists in terms of one's ego and is not actually real, only percieved. Using "Halfsky" position to overcome fear Many traders experience fear and hesitation after a series of losing or winning trades. When he passes on a trade which works, he is upset he missed out. If he enters and loses, he is upset he gave back profits. This back and forth continues to build, and again leads to cherry picking trades as he believes he can identify w
Education
by tradersmentality
Trading Psychology 2 How Strong is your Trading Mentality?How strong is your Trader Mentality? Signs of an "Amateur Mindset" If you identify with any of these characteristics while trading, you are suffering from an Amateur Mindset. These are normal when first learning how to trade, and even common in advanced traders who have not yet mastered their trading psychology. Very succesful traders may still occasionally experience some of these symptoms while increasing positions, but as far as day to day, do not. Hesitation to enter positions meeting edge criteria Fail to exit trades not performing to expectations Feelings of fear (missing out, failure, success, leaving money on the table, etc.) Upset/mad when prices go against you or happy / relief when prices go your way The market is too painful to watch (pain avoidance) Market actions led by emotions / feelings / stress Forms and applies rigid rules for entry / exiting market Afraid to make mistakes / upset after mistakes Signs of a "Probability mindset" or Professional Trader Enters or exits trades without hesitation Does not experience internal conflict while entering, or managing trades Willing to take a loss (accepts his risk) Flows with the market seemingly effortlessly Not attached to outcome of any trade Emotions / stress do not lead to market actions Enters / exits however necessary Accepts mistakes and moves on Interestingly, it is easy to separate a professional trader from an amateur, not based on profits or losses, or the amount of ticks he makes a day; but based on his actions in the market. By observing how a trader interacts and engages with the market it is obvious if his actions were led by emotions or intuitively based on what the market told him to do at the time. Professionals flow with the market, and do not fight or resist it in any way. As a result money seems to flow effortlessly into their accounts, and their equity curve is that of a healthy bull trend. Amateurs are constantly fighting the market and themselves, with actions led by what they think, perceive as a threat, or the false belief that they know what is going to happen next. The outcome is a slowly depreciating account balance, and an equity curve that is flat or in a bear trend. The later is a sign of trading errors made by the trader and not that of an edge being executed properly. Continued...
AMEX:SDSEducation
by tradersmentality
Trading Psychology Introduction to Trader Psychology There is evidence of technical analysis dating back to the 17th century. The candlestick charts most of use everyday to trade were created in the 18th century by a Japanese rice trader. By this point one would think technical analysis should result in more profitable traders and lead atleast a quarter of price technicians to a profit. However, this is not the case and in fact the opposite is true as most traders fail, even after years of studying price action. With this said, it is obvious learning how to read a price chart alone is not what leads to consistent profits. So what is it that seperates the very few succesful traders from the so many failures? Is it their strategy, their money managament skills, IQ, were they born with a different skill set than most, do they work harder than most, or are they just plain lucky? All of these sound plausible, but are they really the driving factor behind consistent profits? The short answer is no, none of the above. Perhaps we have been looking for the answer in the wrong place all along. In fact, most traders never even consider the possibility that it is their attitude or mental habits which prevent their success. What truely seperates the winners from the losers has nothing to do with external factors, but rather what goes on internally while observing and engaging the market, in other words; a traders mentality. "If the next bar is a bull follow through bar, the bulls have a 60% chance of making a profit. If the next bar is a bear bar that means....." Absolutely nothing! Unless you can structure a trade plan, and abide your plan as the market unfolds, without questioning yourself or your plan, and execute it flawlessly. Most beginning traders believe if they study harder and learn more setups, they will eventually become profitable. This is the fallacy of price action analysis. In fact, most economists and price analysts do not make good traders. Why? Because they form rigid rules and ideas as to what prices should or will do, and in turn fail to recognize and accept the "now opporutinty" the market is offering to traders who are open to all possibilities, including a lower probability event. Even more debilitating is the false belief that they can pick out winning trades, and avoid the losers, which leads to cherry picking through a traders edge. If the market spends most of its time with a probability between 40-60%, why is it so hard to generate a consistent profit? Understanding prices and their tendencies is only half the battle of becoming a Professional Trader. The other half and harder to develop, is the traders mindset. What makes a good trader is not only his knack for reading prices. It is the ability to flow with the market as it is unfolding, and the art of doing the right thing at the right time; without questioning himself. If the market is only offering X amount of profit, he takes it. If the market is unfolding in a way that he did not expect, he exits. He is willing to take a loss, and more importantly does not care what happens to "himself" in the market. He does not take it personally, and carries on throughout the day executing trade after trade. Continued...
Education
by tradersmentality
$FNGU Full Moon FunThis one is dedicated to all the nonbelievers -- anyone who might doubt the influence of the moon on our everyday psychology and our everyday lives. Anyone who might not see the utility of basic observation and pattern recognition of 'natural cycles' like moonphase. Now some may ask why might tracking the moon work? Well, if you are a patron of mine I have written a brief summary of and also sent out the verbatim pdf that the FED published on how 'otherworldly' events can influence the markets by way of mass psychology . This chart may serve as an example. As we approach the full moon humankind's sleep quality will decrease and stress levels will increase. As people's fear and stress rises, there presents a buying opportunity at the peak of fear and potentially oversold levels ... the full moon! As the new moon approaches humankind's sleep quality increases and stress levels decrease. As people's fear and stress fall, there presents a selling opportunity at the height of confidence and potentially overbought levels... the new moon! I present to you: $FNGU a 3x leveraged fund that tracks the daily movement of the FANG stocks; because this is A) a 3x leveraged 'bull' fund and B) related to some very popular stocks for daytraders ($FB, $NFLX, $AMZN, $GOOGL), we can more easily catch upside moves related to exploiting these daytraders at their peak fear levels and then selling back to them when they are at their peak of confidence. This chart may serve as an example of the use and abuse of mass psychology as it relates to moon cycles, but there is more to this chart than moon cycles alone: As we can see the current price is between the TS and KS of the ichimoku system. Finding prices between these levels can sometimes be considered a 'value area'. Some other potentially long bias signals are the fact that we may be able to catch the 5th and final wave of the Elliot wave count presented here. We also see that a 'clone' level of the X-C-D modified schiff pitchfork has been respected as support so far. The last long bias signal I will mention is the Japanese candlestick pattern that has appeared: a bullish harami. I am proposing a trade that has ~13% downside risk with upside gain potential of ~50%; allowing for ~3.5 dollars of profit to be gained for every ~1 dollar risked (3.5:1) Manage your own risk GL HF xoxo Snoop
AMEX:FNGULong
by 420snoop
10
XRP Weekly AnalysisThe price is consolidating through a descending channel. Kumo is wide, kijun, tenkan, are acting as resistance and have been moving sideways. ADX confirms the strength of this downtrend is strong and the width of the DIs indicate that it has possible room to go. Stochastic had and TRIX are very oversold but do not look as if they will be have any strong bull crosses in the near future. XRP has some very strong psychological support which is plotted in purple. My weekly analysis price range estimate for XRP is: Low - 0.49614 High - 0.54094
BITFINEX:XRPUSD
by SpektreSignal
2