PORTO Basic Trend. Psychology. Volatility or super ticker?Logarithm. The time interval is 3 days. Cryptocurrency as an example. Cryptocurrency with high volatility (low liquidity) for dump/pump strategy.
Primary trend — horizontal channel.
Secondary trend — descending wedge.
Local trend — consolidation after a wedge breakout.
Line chart without “market noise” (volatility, squeezes).
Immediately want to note that low-liquid cryptocurrencies better still trade on liquid exchanges, otherwise you are already your deposit succumb to a huge risk trading on exchanges with a small total turnover of funds (survivability, competition).
Psychology. Volatility and market cycles are your friend, not the ticker name! .
Notice what % the price slippage was. This was leaked to the market by the creators of the phantik (just in case), everything can be tracked on the blockchain, any sale at any price is profit.
Everyone does it, but with such low liquidity, it's very visible on the chart as well as on the blockchain. It's not something "scary", it's normal behavior of smart people who "don't believe in crypto wrappers", not just someone else's, but even their own.
Unlike stupid market participants who determine the value of a particular cryptocurrency, with the help of a particular cryptocurrency ticker (legend of usefulness to the industry). Because of this, there are thousands of phantoms and such market participants make up whole herd sects (they are entertained by selling "nothing" and making real money on the belief in crypto projects).
I think every market participant has their own set of phonies in their portfolio. I'm sure a larger percentage of cryptocurrencies are the ones that "youtube and telegram bloggers are talking about" and not through their own independent analysis. But you have to realize that everyone's cryptocurrency combinations are different..... because there are more than 13,000 alts......
Generally, cryptocurrencies rise behind the general trend of the market, and some will occasionally "overtake the market" and then deflate to the general trend..... You can play around with this and "wait for the overtake". It is very important not to get attached to the ticker name (real or not real scam). The desire to get rich with a "special cryptocurrency" clouds the mind....
Psychology
💡MAJOR mistake that all beginners do. Try to do the opposite.💡The main purpose of my resources is free, actionable education for anyone who wants to learn trading. Consider following the attached links for improvement of your mental and technical trading skills - learn from hundreds of videos featuring the real story and growth of a particular trader, with all the mistakes and pain on the way to consistency. I'm always glad to discuss and answer questions.
☝️3 Main enemies of a trader and how to deal with them☝️☝️Dear traders, no one here has superpowers, and I'm just a human after all. Please take everything with a grain of salt. I'm sharing my view and one of the possible scenarios of price action, but mostly - my direct experience. When I enter I try to predict as little as possible and actually follow what the market is doing, joining the market and not arguing with it or forcing my will. Have good trading, keep a constant flow of self-awareness, and do your best. 🙌
Trading BTC : Dunning Kruger Effect 🐸Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫
Have you ever wondered what it takes to be a good and profitable trader? Have you wondered how long it will take before you would have mastered the art f trading? Myself and Dunning Kruger will let you in on a little secret - the journey of pretty much every person that has ever started trading is explained in the chart above.
The Dunning-Kruger effect, in psychology, is a cognitive bias whereby people with limited knowledge (in a given intellectual or social domain) greatly overestimate their own knowledge or competence in that domain relative to objective criteria or to the performance of their peers or of people in general. This happens in trading all the time. In fact, we probably all started there if we're being honest .
So - What causes the Dunning-Kruger effect? Confidence is so highly prized that many people would rather pretend to be smart or skilled than risk looking inadequate and losing face. Even smart people can be affected by the Dunning-Kruger effect because having intelligence isn’t the same thing as learning and developing a specific skill. Many individuals mistakenly believe that their experience and skills in one particular area are transferable to another. Many people would describe themselves as above average in intelligence, humor, and a variety of skills. They can’t accurately judge their own competence, because they lack metacognition, or the ability to step back and examine oneself objectively. In fact, those who are the least skilled are also the most likely to overestimate their abilities. This also relates to their ability to judge how well they are doing their work, hobbies, etc.
The Dunning-Kruger effect results in what’s known as a double curse : Not only do people perform poorly, but they are not self-aware enough to judge themselves accurately—and are thus unlikely to learn and grow. So how can we prevent ourselves from falling into this trap? Here's a few things to keep in mind: To avoid falling prey to the Dunning-Kruger effect, you should honestly and routinely question your knowledge base and the conclusions you draw, rather than blindly accepting them. As David Dunning proposes, people can be their own devil’s advocates, by challenging themselves to probe how they might possibly be wrong. Individuals could also escape the trap by seeking others whose expertise can help cover their own blind spots, such as turning to a colleague or friend for advice or constructive criticism. Continuing to study a specific subject will also bring one’s capacity into a clearer focus.
💭Practice these habits to ultimately escape the double curse:
- Continuous learning. This will keep your mindset open to new possibilities, whilst increasing your knowledge over time.
- Pay attention to who's talking about what. Is the accountant talking about bodybuilding?
- Don't be overconfident. This is self explanatory.
I hope you enjoyed this post today! Please give us a thumbs up 👌
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GMT/USDT Major trend. Super HYIP and Super Dump. -96,69%Main trend. Time frame 1 week. There is no sense in less. The super dump is about +5000%, similarly the super dump is -96.69% from the peak at the moment. A big wedge is forming, the price is near the reversal zone. The target, which with a high probability will be reached urgently, is shown on the chart in case of a breakthrough of the dynamic resistance (downward trend) of the wedge - descending channel.
Marketing program "buy promising" on pampa +2500%
Notice where the super marketing PR was launched about “blockchain sneakers” for true ..... At +2500% price values (pamp stick). Then a little consolidation (sales of “promising” ... so that each “hamster” was in the future fabulously rich) then the last shot +88% (so that hamsters were happy about a successful investment) and naturally super depreciation of unnecessary phantom -96%
Expensive and cheap. Trading and investment. Psychology.
-96.69% Wanting to buy “blockchain sneakers” to make money or something there...??
The former "investors in nothing" will probably get sick from such an offer. Maybe it's a bad idea. Maybe it's time to buy a little, because before the desired and very expensive crypto hype (sales of creators and funds - investors) crypto garbage will be dozens of times more. The main thing is to hold a little and do not forget to get rid of it, so that you can repeat the “investment” again for a longer period of time.... and then already get a super profit.
Maybe it's time?)
This is what the trend of this cryptocurrency looks like on a line chart. .
Happy New Year 2024| Learn Our Methods | Read Description|Happy New Year Everyone 2024:
Let's first talk about CHFJPY then we will talk about how you can improve and learn some tips.
CHFJPY in last six or seven months price overbought heavily due to JPY poor performance and government's zero intention to interfere in the market. However, many reports suggests that JPY will likely to be rebound in first quarter of 2024 in this case we can see a strong shift in price characteristics. Our first entry indicates, that we should expect price to continue the bearish momentum and drop from current area of the price. However, as we will having NFP in the first week of the month, it is likely to see some unexpected movement in the market. Second entry, is when price fill the gaps in the market and then drop smoothly, we will keep you updated.
We want all of you to succeed in the forex or commodities trading.
Here how you can improve:
Firstly find one or two pairs that suits you: meaning if you focus on every single instruments available to trade in the market, you will never succeed instead focus on one or two pairs and master them, know how and when these pairs move, what factors influence them in the market and trade swing highs and lows.
Secondly, use longer time frames to have a better vision, have a longer vision which will help you catch the big moves, yes, it is time consuming but if you are beginner then focus first in this and then along the way you will learn intraday trading.
Lastly, learn more about consolidation, accumulation and distribution: before the big reversal, price first will consolidate then accumulate and distribute, you should be looking to enter in phase of accumulation and take every enter when price consolidate which leads to a breakout.
If you learn above information in details and practice, your chances of becoming a successful trade increase. There is no overnight success, it is all hard work, if you believe in your self and focus on above things you will one day be proud of yourself.
Happy New Year and Trade Safe 2024.
We wish all of you all the best.
Team Setupsfx_
Shiba Inu... Tecnicall and Market psychologyFortunately, Shiba has not yet broken its upward trend line, although the profits it gave us were took , and some did not sell, but there is no need to worry, please don't be just a seller
.I see Shiba rising until the weekend,, it was a correction of the work of the whales, not a technical analysis. This is where a question arises in the mind that how 22% growth suddenly became a loss in this way, I really don't know, but this is the conspiracy of the whales who can create such a queue with a lot of money. Please don't be a seller, the whales 🐋 note is fixing this situation so that they're can buy at lower prices and sell at higher prices, I hope you will make a great profit by the end of the week.
LTC/USD Main trend. Halving. Cycles The psychology of repetitionMain trend. The graph is logarithmic. The timeframe is 1 month. This idea is relevant both for understanding the secondary trend work and as a training in simple cyclic, logical manipulation processes. Note also the halving of the LTC and the designated time zones between cycles.
The primary trend is an uptrend in which a huge butterfly is forming (forming part 2)
Secondary trend is a downward channel.
Local trend in the secondary trend is a wedge.
Coin in the coin market : Litecoin
The chart is taken from the Bitfiniex exchange, I used it because of the long price history (the coin has been traded on this exchange for a long time). Of course, the chart is relevant for all exchanges with liquidity. The coin and the pair are liquid, it is acceptable to set large positions. The price behavior is predictable. Ups/Downs are similar. Let's consider them below.
Everything is unpredictable only for absolutely predictable people, it always was, is and will be.
Same time frame on a line chart (no market noise, pure trend direction)
A close-up of this area on the line chart.
And this area on the candlestick chart.
What matters is the average buy/sell. Approach the market regardless of the size of your deposit as a major market participant. Stop thinking like a "hamster". You don't need to guess, you need to know and be prepared for any outcome, even unlikely scenarios.
Psychology of behavior in the market.
Expectation. Reality. "Stop-loss resets. Cyclicality of predictable behavior. .
Predictable price behavior. "Knockouts" of obedient (acting by the rules) and naughty (acting on emotion) fools are as logical and predictable as anything else everywhere else. Increase your knowledge and experience, and it won't affect you.
Remember, theory without practice is nothing. Real trading is very different from theory, you should understand that. That's why all "programmed traders" lose money or their earnings are quite modest.
You should not ask anyone where to buy/sell this or that crypto-asset. You should initially know yourself under what conditions you will buy and under what conditions you will sell.
Past "stop-losses" before secondary trend reversals .
Secondary trend reversal zones and "takeout" before pullbacks in 2019 (+450 average) and 2021 (+900% average).
Candlestick chart. 3-day timeframe. Fear peak zones.
Line chart. Three-day timeframe. Fear peak zones. (without market noise).
As we can see, this "fear peak" on the line chart evaporates, all these local "super resets" have no effect on the trend. It's just the "death of hamsters." The capitulation of human stupidity and greed. You can add predictability and submissiveness to this. The train always leaves without such marketable characters.
Such always sell (fear) at the lowest prices, shortly before the trend reverses. It is worth adding that they buy at the highest prices "at the behest" of the pump to get fabulously "rich. This makes the cryptocurrency market super profitable. Such fuel is the basis of profit. "Market fuel flows" lend themselves to cycles.
Price management is the psychology and manipulation of people's minds through basic instincts through price values. All of this is real and as old as the world. A foolish person keeps stepping on the same rake, each time telling himself that this is the last time, or this is a special case.
This "last case" must be repeated systematically, but in different conditions that you create. Your effectiveness depends on how masterful you are at forming such obsessive thoughts in the mind of such market characters.
Fundamentals of Trading. Trading strategy. Capital management. Price forecasting.
It is your trading strategy and money management, based on your experience, that is the basis of trading, not guessing the price. But guessing is what most people want. Such people should have no money. As a rule, such people in real life are very poor, do not have their own business, go "to work" (do not want to take responsibility).
They think real life doesn't give them many resources, but market speculation will quickly make them fabulously rich. Rather the opposite is true. Total impoverishment regardless of the direction of the trend due to the reinforcement of destructive qualities of a person with financial instruments. The behavior of such people in the market is a projection of what they are like in real life.
The behavior of people in financial markets is a projection of what they are in real life. That is, their positive and negative psychological qualities. You can't run away from yourself. A stupid person will be overtaken by his own stupidity, a greedy person by greed, an intolerant person by intolerance, an indecisive person by indecision, an irresponsible person by irresponsibility.
Such will be punished by their own destructive qualities. The main thing is that the victim draws conclusions from this and it is an incentive to correct the root cause and basis of the failures, rather than looking for the culprit of his own stupidity in "random events" and other people.
You guessed once, second time, third time zeroed in and hit your own self-confidence with your own stupidity and predictability. Consequently, all your previous guesses at the distance equals zero.
Trading is a probability game. It is impossible to guess everything because of the many components of pricing. It is possible not to guess, but to know the more and less potentially realizable probabilities because of certain market conditions.
No one knows the exact future, there is only an assumed more likely future and the work that leads to it.
The basis of profit/loss is what you are in the here and now. Your knowledge and experience are projected onto the chart. The symbiosis of these two parameters makes or loses money in practice.
Read these 6 points carefully:
1) The first problem most marketers have is that everyone wants to get a lot of money in the moment and, most importantly, without effort. That's what most people want, so it's not rational or dangerous to satisfy their desires.
2) The second problem is that they can't be "out of the market" until they find a good entry point. "Fear of missing out" does its destructive work.
3) The third problem is, of course, the disease from "childhood," which manifests itself in adulthood. People begin to collect various crypto coins, endowing them with different values according to their beliefs and, above all, their desires.
4) The fourth problem is greed, insatiability combined with inexperience. People don't want to protect their profits, they want more and more and more and more and more, eventually from greed and inexperience they completely (more greedy) or partially (less greedy) nullify themselves.
5) Lack of knowledge and experience. Lack of desire to develop and learn. The less experienced a market participant is, the more confident he is in his competence and "screams text".
6) The sixth most serious problem - laziness. It manifests itself in the fact that few people want to work, everyone wants to have.
Under ideas are captured my trading ideas for this trading pair over the past 3 years. Most of them are previously closed trade ideas. There are 3 learning ideas that I have shown on this trading pair (based on publicly published simple trading ideas) .
TSLA - trade ideaBeen a while since I posted an idea here, it doesnt matter what Ideas I post, it is more important to learn trade psychology and understand your risk reward, you can enter 1,000 trades with bad risk reward and never win. Or you can step into the arena, get beaten up enough times to finally snap out of it and find your way. Why risk it to make the biscuit?!
TESLA Support resistance trades, no trader has the golden ticket, find your way!
Funded 1.7m with APEX and TakeProfit trader, after blood sweat and tears, it may not be much to many but to me its lifechanging. Lets get it!!!!
Understanding FOMO: A Psychological and Trading PerspectiveWhat is FOMO?
FOMO, or the "Fear Of Missing Out," is a pervasive apprehension that others might be having rewarding experiences from which one is absent. This social anxiety is characterized by a desire to stay continually connected with what others are doing. It's rooted in the human instinct to be part of the tribe and not to miss out on opportunities for survival or enjoyment.
The Psychology of FOMO
Psychologically, FOMO is closely tied to feelings of envy and low self-esteem. It arises from situational or long-term dissatisfaction, where one’s current status feels insufficient compared to others'. Social media has exacerbated this phenomenon, providing constant insight into the highlight reels of others' lives, prompting self-comparison and the fear of not living to the fullest.
FOMO in Everyday Life
In everyday life, FOMO can manifest in various ways: an unwillingness to commit to social plans, constantly browsing social media, or an inability to disconnect from notifications. It can lead to overcommitment, stress, and ultimately, a paradoxical sense of disconnection and loneliness.
FOMO in Trading
In the trading world, FOMO takes on a more financially charged significance. It's the fear traders feel when they see a stock or asset skyrocketing and believe they must get in on the action to make quick gains. This fear is often fueled by hearing success stories of others who have profited from market movements.
The Impact of FOMO on Trading Decisions
FOMO can lead traders to make impulsive decisions, such as:
Entering Trades Prematurely: Jumping into positions without proper analysis.
Overtrading: Taking excessive trades to not miss out on perceived opportunities.
Abandoning Strategy: Ignoring predefined trading plans in pursuit of quick profits.
The Consequences of FOMO-Driven Trading
Trading under the influence of FOMO can have several negative consequences:
Increased Risk: Making larger or more frequent trades than one's risk management strategy allows.
Capital Erosion: Quick losses due to poorly thought-out decisions can erode capital.
Emotional Turmoil: Stress and anxiety from FOMO can lead to further poor decision-making and a vicious cycle of losses.
Combating FOMO in Trading
Overcoming FOMO in trading requires discipline and a robust strategy:
Adhering to a Trading Plan: Having a clear plan and sticking to it can help negate the impulses that FOMO stirs up.
Risk Management: Setting strict risk parameters ensures that FOMO doesn't lead to devastating losses.
Emotional Control: Developing an awareness of one’s emotional state and recognizing FOMO as a natural, but controllable, reaction is crucial.
Educational Growth: Continual learning can instill confidence in one’s strategy, reducing the tendency to chase the market.
Conclusion
FOMO is a natural human emotion, but in trading, it can be a dangerous adversary. Awareness and strategy are the keys to ensuring that FOMO does not derail one's trading journey. By acknowledging its presence and adhering to disciplined trading practices, investors can mitigate the risks associated with this emotional response and make more rational, profitable decisions.
Gamblers and a traders The difference between a gambler and a player, as well as the similarities between a player and a trader.
The player and the gambler are very often confused; if we are talking about gambling itself, then this is a psychiatric problem. If you come across conditional roulette, then you will always catch the trigger, absolutely every time it will cause the same positive emotions that roulette caused you before and this will direct the Vector of your behavior and thinking towards trying to play again. That is, the only solution is to leave. If we are talking about players, that is, is the trader a professional gambler, I 100% agree with this. That is, a player is a person who wants to win, and for a gambler it’s a game for the sake of playing.
When a person, so to speak, trades, he will form a certain technical picture in some market, he will see some specific situations that lead to a result that is understandable to him. Look for understandable patterns that lead to understandable, logical results! There will be a positive mathematical expectation and a negative one! Everyone remembers this story about 10 thousand hours! So, by analyzing charts and studying information, you can grow as a player and a trader, and if you just sit and look at the roulette wheel for 10 thousand hours where red and black appear, nothing will change, it will just be an accident!
You also need to understand that there are gamblers in trading who open a trade for the sake of trading, in order to be in a position and feel some kind of emotion! This is already a problem! People who have lost regularly in casinos or sports betting will always deny that it was a problem for them! It’s the same in trading, if you open a thoughtless series of positions just to be in the market and feel emotions, this is already a problem, not gambling yet, but already a problem!
Therefore, in trading, a large part of success is occupied by psychology and working on oneself! Mastering the technical side is much easier than defeating yourself!
Therefore, it’s probably still self-analysis and the ability to critically evaluate one’s actions
The results and actions that lead to these results are very important! In the game for the sake of playing it does not exist, the game is for the sake of the game, it is maintained due to emotional passion, in the moment only if you play longer and the moment stretches out, that’s all!
Be attentive to your emotional state!
FOUR MARKET PHASESAll stocks go thru 4 stages, sometimes each stage can last months or even years, and it's not always easy to recognize like it is on this chart.
Stage 1: Accumulation - buyers coming in stopping the down fall, and the stock starts trading sideways. (Wait)
Stage 2: Markup - Bullish phase, where traders and institutions start buying the up trend. (Buy)
Stage 3: Distribution - where institutions and traders start taking profits - selling. (Sell)
Stage 4: Decline - shorts recognize this stage and start shorting the stock. (Avoid)
Influencers and trading Today I want to make a post about influencers and the crypto market.
The most important thing for you to understand is that no one, absolutely no one can know the future. People who share ideas on any social media are ordinary people who analyze the market just like you. The only difference is they post it on social media.
No one anywhere ever says and has never said that these people know more than you. A person who has 20 followers on X can have more correct ideas than someone who has 100,000 followers. And that's normal.
You also don't need to listen to and believe everything that world magazines, excerpts and analysts tell you. Big hedge funds with billions in their accounts make wrong predictions and that's okay. It is important that at the distance you are in profit and not loss. This applies to both the investment portfolio and daily trades.
Remember, all responsibility for YOUR money always belongs to YOU. All the actions you take or not take on the market, you do by yourself by pressing the buy or sell buttons or dont touching any button. If you give your funds to someone in trust management, it is only YOUR personal choice. If you follow and copy some trades of an influencer in copy trading, it is YOUR personal choice. No one is forcing you to follow anyone at all, copy their deals, or follow any signals. There is always a 50/50 probability of price movement in the market. All responsibility for your profit or your loss on YOU.
Influencers are ordinary people who run their own blogs where they share ideas, to someone these ideas may be close to someone not, this does not mean that this ideas is bad or good. A person is simply sharing his ideas. No one is forcing you to watch videos or subscribe to channels or any accounts. All people can make correct and incorrect predictions by analyzing the market. The only question here is whether you have your own plan or not, because most likely the influencer has a plan for any result in the market. And he knows what he will do if the market goes down or up. If, after seeing an idea, you are not ready for a completely different scenario, this is your personal problem. Social media is free and people launch blog about training, cooking, painting, they share their experiences and ideas, so do traders share their experiences and ideas.
No one influencer owes YOU anything. This is a person who runs his own blog, because social networks are a place to express his thoughts and ideas. If the influencer makes the correct forecast, he is well done, if not, everyone starts laughing at him. Everyone makes correct predictions and incorrect ones. This is normal. At least the influencer has his vision of the market, and if you don't have it at all, then the only loser in the market is you, because you don't know how to analyze the market at all, you don't know how to do it, and you watch dozens of bloggers to find out the Graal. I also noticed such a thing, if the forecast is correct and the idea worked, someone made money, for some reason no one writes the blogger, thank you for the idea, let me share % of the earnings with you, but if the idea turned out to be wrong, everyone blames the blogger for allegedly losing money because of him. This is the stupid nature of people who are always looking for people to blame for their mistakes in everything. No one owes you anything on the market. All your victories and defeats are solely your responsibility.
Which influencers should definitely be avoided . Just an entertaining type of content where you are shown that trading is easy, no it is not easy. Trading is a profession and requires knowledge, skills, experience and daily analysis and work with oneself in terms of psychology. If an influencer simply posts every day “write 10 altcoins to buy now” “what you can buy $10,000 now shill me your tokens” this is just content for engagement. Many influencers earn more from referral links than from trading itself. Many exchanges offer conditions where traders conditionally trade with virtual funds and show their phenomenal trends, but these are not real funds, but simply luring new users to the platform, where the influencer will receive a % of each of your trades, whether it is successful or losing. It is good to be a partner with exchanges, because an influencer can help in case of blocking someone's account, can directly contact a representative of the exchange, help someone from the subscribers, has access to discounts and promotions on exchanges that give bonuses. It is important to understand that you do not need to follow a blogger just because he promises you some super discounts. It is not necessary to trust 100% of funds and believe in signal groups even if it is a free group. A person can simply give signals and they will be either true or false. All responsibility lies with YOU anyway. No need to pay for signal groups, no one is going to make YOU rich for $200 a month waiting for some signals. Do not be fooled by promises that in 2 weeks you will be able to trade in a profit. Avoid influencers who constantly send you some new tokens, always check the information yourself and do your own analysis. Very often, when a new token is created, an amount of money is allocated for marketing and scam projects pay influencers to advertise the token. It is possible that the influencer himself does not know the plans of the team, but be respectful and work on the power of the research in the future.
Influencers and courses - The most valuable resource in life is time. There is no information in the world that you will not find in the public domain - this is a fact (well, we do not take various inside stories, very large connections, etc.). However, how long will it take you to obtain this information, find everything you need, gain experience, etc.
I haven’t seen people who learn English from open sources; most go to a tutor. For what? You can open the Internet and learn a new language yourself.
If a person values his time, he goes to study with a professional. Some may not succeed, some may not have two free years to fully study crypt, etc.
Friends, it is normal to learn something. Buying training and courses if they are individual and personal is normal. But here, each person has his own approach. It’s easier for someone to learn everything on their own (for me its easier because I love learning something new by my own) , or it’s easier to learn information from a teacher, or it’s better to learn from books, or it’s better to learn from video lessons. Some need to take training offline, some need individual classes, and some need group classes.
Before you buy any training again, analyze why you are buying it, what YOU need it for, and think about who you would like to get trained with. Now everyone want to be a coach so double check what courses you looking to join.
Indicators . The indicators are a tool and not a charming money button. Standard tools and original products such as writing code, focusing on evidence and analytics. Indicators are the greatest additional tool for a trader because indicators can analyze data on different time frames in real time, providing more information for analysis and decision-making. The indicators does not carry the emotion of, they just show a picture of what is going on in the market now. The indicator cannot predict a new posts in media that can appear at any moment, the indicators cannot predict what Jerome Powell or Elon Musk will say in twitter next moment, the indicator is an excellent tool that you can successfully integrate into your trading strategy. On backtest you can find more confirmation from the indicators of your trading strategy and significantly improve the success of your trading. It show you wider picture and data to confirm or deny your technical analysis. Therefore, with proper use of indicators, they will become your reliable assistant, if not a charmer.
The deposit amount is yours and that of the influencer. Don’t think that an influencer posts great PNL and great earnings numbers, he trades better than you, or know something better than you 100%. You can simply buy a token at an early stage and earn your first capital. Main thing is not the size of the deposit, but discipline and trading at a distance. There is a lot of stories when people bought for example by luck or randomly Shiba Inu or Pepe, took away hundreds of thousands of dollars in profits, and then the traders lost the entire deposit. If you have a deposit of 1000 dollars and in whom there is absolutely no difference between you and 100 thousand, there is no need to be jealous of yourself and think that you are not successful. As soon as you earn your % from 1000 dollars and work systematically following your strategy, you doing everything correctly. Then you can simply scale your income and improve your skills and strategy. What is important at a distance is the percentage of winning trades and not the one time income. A person with a 100 thousand deposit can spend all the money if the risk management and self-esteem are not protected. Moreover, when the numbers are higher, your emotional and psychological state does not suffer. You are doing everything right. Don’t let social media and “luxury” lifestyle spill into your path as a trader.
Filter your news feed and maintain hygiene on social media. Continue to practice and improve your knowledge, skills and trading strategy. If you like the thoughts, ideas, and market dynamics of any influencer, you can follow him, looking for new ideas and a different look at the market that can give you new information for your analysis. But always DYOR and take 100% responsibility for your actions
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
• For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
The Timeless Abyss of Trading: The Greatest Trap Of All-timeI am here with a unique topic. It is about a psychological trading trap called the cycle of doom. What got me interested in this psychological topic? Well, there are very few articles about it. You can count them on one hand, and more than 90% of traders are losing money.
Most traders find their method of trading. What stops them from becoming profitable traders? Tradingview platform is one of the biggest charting platforms that provide an educational section and editorial peak for traders to sharpen their knowledge related to technical analysis, trading methodology, trading psychology, etc.
As a trader, we are making market memories by improving screen time, practicing technical analysis, analyzing option data(if applicable), and a lot more. Why do we still fall short in applying in real time? What stops us from becoming a profitable trader? Something looks missing out!
I would like to draw your attention to the psychological trap cycle of doom, a topic discussed by only a few traders. Let me be clear, I do believe that this topic is universally applicable!
The cycle of doom is made up of three phases:
The search
The Action
The Blame
"Sun Tzu said Know the enemy and know yourself in a hundred battles you will never be in peril."
In order to exit from the loop of the cycle, we have to understand the parts of the cycle.
1) The Search:
Probably, it's the first phase of the cycle. Just recall your initial stages of trading. You were finding a trading strategy to make money out of the money. You may have asked to friend, watched a YouTube video, read an article on Tradingview, bought a book or course or indicators, or purchased the strategy. At that time, you were entered into the cycle.
Additionally, we should never trade for enjoyment but treat it as a business. The statement does not apply to the initial stages. Trader explores new methods, theories, and systems.
Postulate, Trader A uses X theory to do their day trading for a living, and you were impressed and took it to put your money on it, or you found the method by yourself. The trader will switch his next position after finding a system that is convenient for his trading and trusts that he can take minimal risks to achieve expected returns.
2) The Action:
The Action phase is the second phase of the cycle. Now, you have a trading system that will make your money grow to expected returns. This phase can be super exciting for traders as they believe he has an edge and is most likely a key to opening a present of unrealistic returns.
Issues arise when a trader employs their strategy without supporting evidence, like backtesting results. Your heart may be pounding, and your fingers may be trembling like a child, but it doesn't mean you should directly trade the strategy without checking the results, failure, and performance of the system.
Just five percent of traders actually test a trading system before putting it into action. You might discover that the trading system performs well for a prolonged period. Suddenly, a drawdown appeared! At a certain point, everything may seem bleak. While profits might flow in initially, eventually, the losing trades start to accumulate.
It's a red signal for traders that their trading system is now on oxygen. I don't think traders can trust the system after a big streak of losing traders. You have entered into the blame phase.
3) The Blame:
The Blame is the final stage of the cycle. As we discussed, the trader has lost their trust in his trading system, which was a holy grail for him at the initial stage. The Red portfolio hurts more than a break-up. The trader is not happy with the system as it has wiped out the gain + trading capital, and the trading system is the only cause that affected the profit and wants to remove the system and search for a new strategy.
4) Loop of the cycle:
As can be seen, the trader again finds a new strategy and makes an effort and action on it, then blames the system. The cycle repeats and traps the trader in this way.
How to get out of the cycle?
1. Modification is the only way to survival & Trust the system:
Traders should modify their strategy according to market conditions, instruments, and trading style. Maybe not everything works for everyone. Therefore, traders should do this according to him. For example, I use Elliott wave theory as the first base and price action as a confirmation tool along with different indicators according to the situation. I do modify Elliott and price action as per my observation of price moves and wavelength.
2. Backtesting is the holy grail:
Choosing trading theory also depends on traders' mindset, risk-aptitude, and expected return. Scalpers will never check the PE, P/S, or EV/EBITDA ratio of the firm just because of their duration and risk-reward calculation.
After choosing an appropriate trading strategy, traders should backtest their trading strategy before doing real-market transaction. We have the advantage of backtesting tools, algo, and virtual account, which was not available for pit traders.
3. Risk management:
Already many ideas are available on this topic. The trading system should be giving proper returns as per the taken risk unless it is nothing more than Drilling a well in the desert.
I need more time to write a full idea on the escape of the cycle of doom.
Thank you!
@Money_Dictators
Psychographic Analysis - Life Cycle of InvestorImagine an investment as a journey with twists and turns. Knowing its different stages is like having a map for investors. It helps them decide if they want a thrilling ride with big potential rewards or a smoother path with steady stability, based on their comfort with risk. For investors, understanding the life cycle is crucial because it directly impacts the investor's risk appetite.
✨Personality characteristics of investors
✨Risk/Return Trade-Offs for Investors:
🔸 Risk/reward trade-offs are related to the relationship that exists between the degree of risk an investor takes and the potential reward for the investment. larger-risk investments have the potential for greater returns, but they also have the potential for greater losses as well. Lower-risk investments, on the other hand, have the potential for lower profits, but also for fewer losses.
🔸 The risk tolerance and investment objectives of investors will change over time. Younger investors who are just starting out are more likely to be on the risk/reward spectrum, willing to take on more risk in exchange for the chance of larger profits. This is because they have a longer time horizon with which to invest and recoup from losses. Investors may grow more risk-averse and migrate to the left side of the spectrum as they near retirement. They may need to start withdrawing from their assets to fund their retirement, so they want to protect their money and avoid large losses.
✨Phases of the Investment Life Cycle:
↪️ Here is a breakdown of the investment life cycle and how risk/reward trade-offs may change at each stage:
1️⃣ Accumulation Phase
In the initial stage, known as the accumulation phase, individuals find themselves with a modest net worth relative to their liabilities. Their investment portfolio tends to be limited and less diversified. Goals often include funding education, purchasing a home, and laying the groundwork for future financial independence. With a long time horizon and potential income growth, investors in this phase can afford to explore high-return, high-risk capital gain-oriented investments.
2️⃣ Consolidation Phase
As individuals progress through their mid-to-late careers, they enter the consolidation phase. Characterized by income surpassing expenses, this period, although still distant from retirement, prompts a shift towards capital preservation. Investors start balancing high capital gain investments with lower-risk assets, creating a more stable and resilient portfolio.
3️⃣ Spending Phase
The spending phase marks a transition when living expenses are no longer sustained by earned income but by accumulated assets, such as investments and retirement funds. With a decreased likelihood of returning to work, stability becomes paramount in the investment portfolio. Preferences shift towards investments generating steady income through dividends, interest, and rentals. Despite the reduced time horizon, some growth-focused investments are retained to hedge against inflation.
4️⃣ Gifting Phase
In the final phase, the gifting phase, investors realize an abundance of assets beyond personal needs. At this juncture, the purpose of investments may evolve, focusing on leaving a lasting legacy or supporting charitable causes.
📊 Importance:
It's like having a guide for your financial journey when you understand the investor life cycle. It assists you in choosing, depending on your comfort level with danger, between an exhilarating, high-risk ride and a more steady, smooth road. Understanding the various investment phases is essential as it influences your willingness to accept risk. It's similar to changing your game plan as you move through different stages of life, such as the exuberant early years and the more measured approach as you near retirement. Put simply, understanding the investor life cycle assists you at every stage in reaching your financial objectives and making wise decisions.
By @Money_Dictators on @TradingView Platform
OvertradingOvertrading is a common issue in trading and can lead to significant losses. It occurs when a trader excessively opens and manages positions, often due to psychological and emotional factors. To avoid overtrading, consider the following strategies:
Establish a Solid Trading Plan: Having a well-defined trading plan is crucial. Your plan should outline entry and exit strategies, risk management rules, and criteria for position sizing. Stick to this plan and avoid deviating from it due to emotional impulses.
Risk Management: Limit the amount of capital you risk on each trade. A common guideline is not to risk more than 1-2% of your total trading capital on a single trade. This approach helps protect your capital from significant losses.
Diversify Your Portfolio: Avoid putting all your capital into a single trade or asset. Diversifying your investments across different assets can help spread risk and reduce the temptation to overtrade a single asset.
Set Trading Hours: Define specific trading hours or sessions during which you'll be actively trading. Outside of these hours, avoid opening new positions or making impulsive decisions. This approach can help maintain discipline.
Emotional Control: Recognize the emotional triggers that lead to overtrading, such as desperation, overconfidence, or impatience. When you feel these emotions, take a step back from trading, focus on your trading plan, and practice mindfulness techniques to manage emotions.
Monitor Your Trading Frequency: Keep track of the number of trades you execute in a day or week. If you notice you're trading excessively, it's a warning sign of overtrading. Review your trading activities and identify what drove you to make those trades.
Limit the Number of Open Positions: Setting a maximum number of concurrent open positions can prevent overtrading. This restriction forces you to be selective and prioritize quality over quantity.
Use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Orders: Implementing stop-loss and take-profit orders can automate your exit strategy. This reduces the temptation to constantly monitor and adjust trades, which can lead to overtrading.
Trade Size: Be mindful of your position size relative to your account balance. Avoid increasing position sizes disproportionately after a series of wins. Stick to a consistent position sizing strategy that aligns with your risk tolerance.
Take Regular Breaks: Trading for extended periods can lead to fatigue and emotional decision-making. Schedule breaks to clear your mind and refocus your trading strategy.
Remember, trading is a long-term endeavor, and success is not determined by individual trades but by your overall performance. Avoid the allure of quick profits and stay disciplined in following your trading plan to mitigate the risks associated with overtrading.
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The psychology of tradingThe psychology of trading presents one of the most significant challenges, especially for day traders.
Initially, when individuals enter the world of trading, they primarily focus on profit. Their thoughts are consumed by calculating how much they can earn. This focus on profit is entirely valid, as trading is, ultimately, a means to make money. However, the real trick lies in developing the mindset of a speculator. Over time, traders must shift their focus from profit to potential risk. The "Risk/Reward" calculator should be constantly running in their minds. If the potential for profit in a particular trade is low, then it's usually best to avoid it.
However, for beginners, it often doesn't work this way. Their unaccustomed brains are constantly bombarded by new emotions, with the primary culprits being greed and fear. These emotions lead to continuous, uncontrollable reactions.
To become a professional trader, one must learn to set aside these emotions. This is easier said than done. Everyone emphasises removing emotions from trading, but the reality is that emotions are deeply rooted in the subconscious, often overriding conscious efforts. To address this problem, a deeper understanding is needed, looking at the fundamental aspects.
Fear: Fear arises when confronted with the unknown. Take the example of children's fear of the dark. Darkness was a historic human adversary because it harbored predators that could potentially harm people. For a long time, human civilization lacked the technological means to repel these predators. In our instincts, fear equates to death. This explains the intense reaction generated by fear.
In modern times, cities are illuminated day and night, and predators are scarce. However, fear persists as if it's programmed into us. Why aren't adults afraid of the dark? They know there is nothing there. They are familiar with the situation, and this knowledge breeds confidence, mitigating fear.
Greed: Understanding the roots of greed is a more intricate task. In essence, greed can be traced back to a form of fear. Imagine that our ancestors spent hundreds of thousands of years in conditions of resource scarcity. Food, clothing, warmth, and more were essential for survival. Life depended on securing these resources. If you couldn't feed yourself, you'd perish; if you were cold, you'd die. Death, in this context, is equated with fear. To save your life, you needed more resources. To ensure an abundance of resources, you had to strive tirelessly.
Over millennia, for the sake of practicality and daily life, humanity introduced money as a means to acquire these resources. That's when greed became linked to money. In modern times, there is no resource shortage, but this deeply rooted emotion persists as part of our nature.
Excessive greed typically leads to impulsive actions. While impulsiveness can be advantageous in some areas, it is detrimental in trading, where it often results in errors and losses.
So, what can traders do to address these challenges? As previously discussed, it all boils down to fear, which can be conquered through familiarity. Familiarity, in this context, refers to understanding the relationships between different trading actions and their corresponding outcomes. Our field is entwined with probabilities. Mathematics underpins virtually every aspect of trading. To be profitable, traders must strive for more positive outcomes. Therefore, the key is to identify the chain of actions and consequences that leads to favorable results.
10 Proven Tips for TradersIn the fast-paced world of day trading, staying ahead of the curve is essential.
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Here are ten time-tested strategies to guide your journey towards trading success:
1. Craft a Concrete Plan:
A meticulously planned strategy is your foundation. Clearly define what, how much, and when you will trade. Rushing into trades without a plan can lead to costly mistakes.
2. Prioritize Risk Management:
Risk management is paramount. Establish a robust strategy, including stop-loss levels and trusted brokers. Safeguarding your capital ensures longevity in the trading game.
3. Leverage Technology:
Embrace cutting-edge tools. Utilize charting platforms for market analysis and backtest your strategies against historical data. Mobile apps offer real-time market access, empowering you to make informed decisions.
4. Embrace Continuous Learning:
Stay nimble by staying informed. Keep up with news, trading literature, and emerging market trends. Adaptability is key in evolving markets like cryptocurrencies.
5. Rely on Facts, Not Emotions:
Base your decisions on cold, hard facts. Emotional impulses can cloud your judgment. Trust your data-backed strategies, preventing impulsive and regrettable actions.
6. Set Entry and Exit Rules:
Discipline is your ally. Stick unwaveringly to your predefined entry and exit points. Deviating from your plan risks unnecessary losses.
7. Strategy Over Money:
Focus on strategy execution, not profits. Concentrating solely on money can lead to hasty, ill-informed decisions. Trust your strategy; profits will naturally follow.
8. Own Your Decisions:
Accept responsibility for both wins and losses. Learn from mistakes constructively. Pinpoint errors, adjust your approach, and fortify your strategy for future trades.
9. Maintain a Detailed Trade Journal:
Record every trade meticulously. Modern software simplifies this process, offering insights into your past trades. A trading journal is your compass, guiding you towards informed decisions.
10. Recognize When to Pause:
Acknowledge when your strategy falters. Avoid chasing losses; instead, recalibrate your approach. Knowing when to step back is a hallmark of a seasoned trader.
Continuously refining your skills with these principles can elevate your day trading prowess. Stay disciplined, adapt to the markets, and success will undoubtedly follow.
Happy trading! 💜
Market narrativesWhen analyzing the crypto market, we often use the concept of a "market narrative." However, it's essential to understand that these narratives are not solely shaped by price movements and chart manipulations but are also influenced by external factors.
In the world of cryptocurrencies, this market is significantly different from traditional financial markets. It is particularly susceptible to a wide range of influences from various sources, including news, social media, online communities, and the development trajectories of Tier-1 projects.
Event-Driven Influence:
The crypto market's relatively low liquidity makes it prone to sudden changes in prices triggered by various events. These events encompass exchange hacks, regulatory alterations, technical updates, and other news that significantly influence market narratives and participant activity.
Social Media Impact:
Popular social media platforms play a pivotal role in shaping market narratives. These platforms enable the formation of communities where opinions are shared, rumors spread, and public sentiment is influenced. Notably, the initiation of verbal battles and provocations within comment sections can manipulate public opinion. These conversations often seek to confirm existing beliefs and reinforce the primary narrative, sometimes even at a subconscious level.
Media and Blogs:
Thematic news websites and blogs, along with influencers, can wield considerable influence over market narratives through articles, reviews, research publications, interviews, and commentary. It's worth noting that some individuals and companies conduct paid PR campaigns for projects, and these campaigns may sometimes involve deceitful practices.
Institutional Participation:
Actions taken by significant players, such as institutional investors, cryptocurrency companies, funds, and media figures, can escalate interest in the information sphere. For instance, news of a major investor or fund purchasing tokens from a specific project can lead to increased interest, heightened volatility, and price fluctuations. Narratives surrounding developments like ETF adoption or Bakkt can serve as hype builders, even though underlying issues within the industry may still loom large.
Guidelines for Interacting with Market Narratives:
Research and Verification: Avoid accepting information at face value. Conduct thorough research and cross-verify news from multiple sources before making any decisions.
Risk Assessment: Acknowledge the extreme volatility in the crypto market and objectively calculate risk-reward ratios. The size of positions should be determined based on an assessment of fundamental indicators and project metrics. Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Develop Your Investment Strategy: Define an investment strategy that aligns with your goals, timeframes, and risk tolerance. Understanding the fundamental aspects of blockchain projects and technology is vital, as it goes beyond market narratives and can be the key to informed investment decisions.
Connect with Like-Minded Individuals: Given the vastness of the industry, it's challenging to track every change and update by yourself. Engage with a community of peers to quickly access necessary information and learn from the experiences of others, which can directly impact your investment strategy.
Embrace Long-Term Goals: Instead of trying to predict short-term price changes or immediate hype-driven surges, adopt a long-term perspective of the crypto market. Long-term plans and strategies are less susceptible to volatility and associated risks. Understanding a project's fundamentals and metrics can provide insights into its long-term potential, which often provides more valuable information than short-term market fluctuations after a listing on a cryptocurrency exchange.
In summary, to navigate the crypto market effectively, it's vital to be cautious, well-informed, and maintain a long-term perspective, all while actively participating in the crypto community to stay updated and share experiences.
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20 trading rules1. A bad trade or a string of bad trades doesn't mean anything.
2. Don't focus on the last deal: it has nothing to do with the next one.
3. Always follow the trading plan: in good and bad times.
4. Focus on one trading pair.
5. In this business, losses are inevitable: in order to succeed in trading, you need to learn to accept risks. Reducing risks will help eliminate anxiety and a source of stress.
6. You need to understand what kind of trader you are: which trading discipline is best for you. If you are slow to react to price movements, then short-term or swing trading may be better for you. If you are able to quickly respond to price movements, intraday trading is probably suitable for you.
7. Trading without a plan and without using a protective stop loss order, excessive use of a deposit - all this can bury you as a trader.
8. Never make anything absolute in trading - we work with probabilities. Every transaction must be considered in terms of probabilities. Nobody knows where the price will go. Give up perfection in trading. You can't be right all the time. If we have a sound trading model and the ability to manage risk, the outcome of a trade should not weigh so heavily on our psyche.
9. You need to leave your ego out of the market.
10. Lower time frames narrow the picture and create a misleading picture of the current state of the market, so you should focus on long-term charts even if you are a day trader.
11. Expectations should be down to earth: there is no need to set inflated goals, this can lead to rash decisions and unsuccessful transactions. If you cannot achieve an inflated goal within a week , then this may cause a deviation from the plan and force events.
12. Success in trading requires consistency, not large trading positions. Even with a small starting capital, you can achieve amazing results if you: follow the rules of risk management , act according to a trading plan, reinvest income (compound interest method).
13. Do not complicate the work process using different approaches and strategies. The simple system makes trading less stressful and more profitable. Any strategy will have losing trades, but when those losses are within acceptable expectations for your system, the law of averages will guide you through the drawdown periods and you will make money.
14. If the system does not show results in the long term, then it is worth looking for the reason. You need to find your weaknesses and bad habits.
15. Trading should not take up all your free time. Presence is only required at specific times, which are coordinated with the economic calendar . Relax and mind your own business. Avoid addiction to trading.
16. Excessive trading does not lead to anything good. Limit yourself only to those models that are specified in your trading strategy . Understand that the market will provide new opportunities and setups. Relax and remember to have realistic expectations.
17. You should not be in front of charts during periods when you are not feeling the best or are in a bad mood. This may result in a desire to take out your anger on the market. This approach is fatal for a trader. Take a break and rest.
18. It is necessary to keep a trading journal and record in it not only transactions, but also your experiences at the time of entering and exiting a transaction. Another reason to keep a trading journal is to try to stay organized and disciplined. Following a trading plan is much more difficult than it seems.
19. A professional trader should open a trading terminal like a 6th grade mechanic approaches the machine - calmly, without emotions, clearly knowing what he will be doing for the next few hours, when all actions are brought to automaticity.
20. Every professional speculator hides three psychotypes of personality: analyst, trader and gambler. A trader will be successful by ignoring the gambler and listening to the analyst.
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Unlocking The Trader's PyramidIn the realm of trading, success isn't solely derived from intricate technical analysis.
Surprisingly, the key to triumph lies in an unconventional ratio: 20% technical analysis and a staggering 80% blend of emotions, discipline, psychology, risk management, and money management.
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The 20%: Technical Expertise
Yes, technical analysis is crucial, comprising the foundational 20% of your crypto trading journey. This segment encompasses chart patterns, indicators, and market trends. However, it's not the sole determinant of your success.
The 80%: The Pillars of Triumph
The real magic happens within the 80%. Embracing your emotions, mastering discipline, understanding market psychology, and implementing astute risk and money management techniques form the cornerstone of your success. Emotional intelligence allows you to navigate market highs and lows, discipline ensures you stick to your strategies, and psychological resilience helps you stay steady amidst volatility. Effective risk and money management safeguard your capital and nurture your profits.
This symbiotic blend of technical expertise and emotional intelligence propels you towards trading mastery. By allocating your focus and energy according to this pyramid, you're not just trading; you're sculpting success . Let this balanced approach be your guiding light in the trading journey!
Happy trading! 💜