NAS100 $NQ1! After doing top down analysis i'm looking for a move to the downside after a retracement on Friday.
Disclaimer: This is not trade advice. Trading foreign currencies, stocks, indices, etc can be a challenging and potentially profitable opportunity for investors. However, before deciding to participate in the financial markets, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose!!!
Good luck and Happy trading!
Psychology
Human weaknesses that need to be overcome in the trading process
Fear of missing out
Before entering the market, you may have a bullish or bearish view and enter accordingly. Once you have a position, you are constantly concerned with the fluctuations of your account funds, tormented by various temptations, fears, greed, persistence, hope, and emotions influenced by these changes, and ignoring the market itself. This greatly interferes with normal thinking and judgment.
Whether it's a long or short position, whether it's a profit or loss, as long as small gains and losses are within an acceptable range, one should beware of large losses. Traders should focus on the correctness of the process and be content with the results as they come. If you think about the results in advance, it will disturb the entire trading process and result in losses every time.
The human mind always jumps ahead to imagine unrealistic outcomes and ignores what is actually happening in the present. This is a big mistake in our lives. These are the causes of fear or greed, which can lead to traders regretting after placing an order or closing a position, causing hesitation and indecision.
The reason for this is that there is no effective trading system, causing traders to lack confidence in any aspect of the trading process.
Confronting the market
Traders must first understand that the market does not shift according to human will. The education we have received since childhood is based on competition, such as overcoming various obstacles and fighting difficulties. This consciousness has deeply rooted itself in the hearts of traders.
In fact, when traders enter the market, they still carry this mentality. Often, some elites from various industries come to the market and suffer failures, and even more thoroughly than ordinary people.
This is because successful people in other industries have a strong sense of self and do not believe they will fail. They are also unwilling to accept their own failures. Their success makes their personalities become very tough, so when the market turns against them, they do not know how to yield and compromise, but adopt a confrontational attitude until they are destroyed.
People in life tend to defend their views to some extent, unwilling to admit their judgment errors. Therefore, regardless of whether a person is right or wrong, they will stick to their attitude to the end. What they defend is not the truth, but their self.
This inherent nature of struggle and the attitude of not wanting to yield or give up self is the biggest obstacle in trading. Holding positions, not setting stop losses, and not admitting mistakes can eventually result in large losses or even liquidation.
The pursuit of perfection
The pursuit of perfection is a very greedy and extreme mentality. Because of this pursuit, it does not allow any flaws, cannot bear even very small losses, and it is difficult to execute a stop loss when necessary, and wants more profit when it is time to close a profitable position. Because of this pursuit, a person tries to capture every movement and does not want to miss any market situation.
Everyone has their own limitations and areas in which they are not good at. The pursuit of perfection can easily lead to frequent and impulsive trading.
To be continued...
How to survive in the market for the long-term?
In the market, regret is a frequent word. Many people face the complex investment market and often feel fear, hesitation, and regret, whether it's before buying, after buying, after selling, or just watching without buying. How to avoid this phenomenon? The fear, hesitation, and regret are largely due to not knowing how to manage positions and follow the crowd. Often pursuing high probability profits results in the opposite.
Risk management is an unavoidable issue when it comes to this. Whether you are a financial master or an individual investor, the importance of risk management is paramount. To relax and operate in the market, you need to face your current situation, make correct judgments on the profit and loss ratio, determine your operating frequency and position management, and give yourself correct psychological guidance.
Everyone's personality is different, and their risk tolerance and trading styles are also different. There is no strategy that is 100% accurate, but if you want to survive in the market for a long time, you need to control risk. Don't be afraid of losses. Losses are inevitable, but the key is how much loss you can tolerate. This is the core of risk management. For small losses, we need to prepare ourselves psychologically. This is a link in risk management. Don't rely on luck. The losses brought about by a lucky mentality are incalculable.
About 70% of the time in market fluctuations is in oscillation, and only about 30% of the time is in a unilateral surge or decline. Therefore, accumulating small victories is the magic weapon for long-term success. Always wanting to go all-in and make a big move at once may result in missed profits due to not exiting in time. No matter what state you are in now, I hope I can bring you a little bit of help!
Biases that influence your decisions Biases that influence your investment decisions
Most people who invest in the stock market don't reach their goals. The top 1% of investors can double or even triple their returns from the market.
Reason: how investors think
How this article will help you avoid these biases: * Awareness - Knowing what biases affect your decision making is half the battle.
*Routine: I've made a list of biases that affect your analysis and biases that make you overestimate investments.
Cognitive frivolity
All of the following biases work so well because of the way people's minds work. Cognitive light-mindedness is a state of mind that is wanted and linked to good feelings. This is the main reason why people make bad choices.
Halo effect
It is much easier to think in black-and-white stereotypes than in gray ones. The halo effect explains why we like or dislike everything about someone or something that is connected to them. It's harder than we think to agree with some ideas and disagree with others.
What You See Is All There Is
All there is is what you see. You can't think about something you don't know. In a strange way, self-righteousness goes up when you only listen to one point of view. Again, we choose certainty over uncertainty.
Anchoring
Our decisions are mostly based on the first information we get. If you know that Apple shares are worth $150, they will look like a good deal at $120. Not even knowing if $150 is close to what something is really worth.
Regression (Correction)
We love to find links between things that don't have any. Regression to the mean can be one of the most important, but often overlooked, factors. Due to price balancing, everything tends to be worth about the same.
Perceptual bias
We think that events were easier to predict than they really were because of what we already thought. In hindsight, it's easy to make up connections between things. The truth, though, is more complicated. There are a lot of good ways to guess what will happen.
The Fallacy of Mastery
Both buyers and sellers know the same things. They buy and sell stocks based on what they think. People don't believe that short-term stock picking is good luck because it's done by smart people.
Loss aversion
Loss aversion makes us ignore even gambling that has a good chance of going our way. A loss has twice the weight of an equal gain.
Dedication bias
Commitment is linked to good traits like consistency and intelligence. In this way, we don't break our promises. Investment decisions must be talked about in public. The more you talk, the more you can persuade yourself of something.
Leaning toward recent events
We tend to give too much weight to things that have happened recently. Because of this effect, the market tends to move in a certain direction most of the time. When things are going well, we think they will only get better. We think that when things go wrong, they will only get worse.
Effect of ownership
When we own something, we value it more. This is one way we can explain why we did what we did. Before we buy a stock, we look at it critically and try to find any risks. After making a purchase, we think about the good things about it to justify our choice.
This is called confirmation bias
We choose what to believe based on what we already know. What doesn't fit with our ideas is either ignored or called a lie.
Thinking based on odds
We often think based on how we feel. But in our lives, everything is a game of chances. Using reasoning to think about the most likely outcomes will help us make better decisions.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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5 Newbie Trading Mistakes.Trading is a complex activity that requires many skills and knowledge. Novices who are just starting their journey in trading often make mistakes that can lead to significant financial losses. In this article, we will discuss 5 common mistakes made by beginner traders and provide advice on how to avoid them.
Lack of knowledge and experience
One of the main mistakes that novice traders make is a lack of knowledge and experience. Many beginning traders believe that it is enough to read a few articles online or read a couple of books on trading to become a successful trader. In reality, trading is a long process that requires continuous learning and practice. Novices should spend time studying the basics of trading, becoming familiar with technical and fundamental analysis, and practicing on demo accounts.
Advice: Start by learning the basics of trading and continue to educate yourself. Read books, watch videos, and talk to experienced traders. Never stop learning. Gradually move from demo accounts to real trading accounts, but do not risk large sums of money until you are confident in your skills.
Incorrect risk management
Some novices believe that successful trading is just a matter of luck. They do not pay enough attention to risk management and often risk large sums of money on a single trade. This can lead to significant losses if the trade does not meet expectations.
Advice: Never risk large sums of money on a single trade. Determine your risk tolerance and choose a position size that does not exceed this level. Use stop-loss orders to protect your capital from large losses.
Incorrect choice of trading instruments
Another common mistake made by beginners is choosing the wrong trading instruments. Some novice traders try to trade on all markets at once or choose instruments that they know nothing about. This can lead to significant financial losses.
Advice: Start by learning about the markets and choose trading instruments that you are familiar with and interested in. Do not try to trade on all markets at once. Choose one or a few instruments and gradually expand your knowledge.
The need for controlling your emotions
Trading is not just about analyzing charts and fundamental data, but also about managing your emotions. Novices often make mistakes related to emotions. They may close trades too early or, on the contrary, hold positions for too long, violating their risk management plan.
Advice: Develop your own trading plan and stick to it. Use stop-loss orders to protect your capital from large losses. Never react to emotions while trading. Stay calm in any situation.
Lack of patience
Trading is a long-term process that requires patience and persistence. Some beginners expect quick results and may be disappointed when they do not receive them.
Advice: Do not expect quick results. Start with small amounts of money and gradually increase them. Learn from your mistakes and continue to learn. Patience and persistence are key qualities of a successful trader.
In conclusion, trading is a complex and responsible activity that requires many skills and knowledge. Beginners should study the basics of trading, manage their emotions, develop trading plans, and stick to them. They should also choose trading tools that interest them and be patient in their efforts.
By avoiding these five common mistakes, you can increase your chances of success in trading. But remember, trading is a continuous process of learning and improvement, and there is always something to learn and improve in your skills.
Psychology of trading.Stress in trading
How can stress manifest in trading? Losses. Losses occur due to lack of knowledge or experience. They will always be present, as it is an integral part of the job. However, their quantity can be reduced. Paradoxically, one should not fight stress: it should be endured and one should come out of the situation with dignity. Moreover, stress can become a catalyst for more productive activity.
To begin with, define the source of stress. If it is related to family affairs, then allocate less time to trading and more to family matters. If you are overwhelmed by stops, then it is worth taking a break from practice and devoting more time to backtesting and transaction analysis. If stress is caused by lack of knowledge, it is better to review the material that has been covered. If you are not able to accomplish everything, write down all your actions during the day for a week, down to the phone call. Then write down what you can eliminate to free up those necessary minutes. You need to work on yourself constantly by analyzing mistakes and drawing conclusions. This applies not only to trading but to all aspects of your life.
You may think, "What an unfair exchange: the price took my stop-loss order again and went in the right direction, why does everyone in the chat have profits, and I'm the only one sitting here with stops? What's wrong with me? Am I a loser?" No, in trading, although luck plays a role, it is definitely not the most important factor. It is important to understand that trading is about working with probabilities. No one knows how your area of interest will play out, no one knows where the chart will go tomorrow, no one even has any idea how much assets will cost in a year. There are only probabilities of how certain instruments will work. Therefore, you need to change your attitude towards failures. Collect data on the operation of setups, know the percentage of tools that you use that work positively and negatively. If the trade did not happen, it is not scary if you already have statistical data and have conducted backtesting. How many out of 10 trades does this trading instrument work in the positive? How many in the negative? There must be clear answers to these questions before starting to trade. If you analyze your failures and understand that you are solely responsible, then there is no need to worry. Any business is supported by the responsibility of the entrepreneur. If you received a stop order just because Elon Musk tweeted something, that's one thing. If you received a stop order because you incorrectly determined the trend, that's a completely different matter. Like stress, you should not fight failures, or you will lose.
Obstacles on the path to stability.
Addiction.
If you are an extremely addictive person, enjoy gambling and get an adrenaline rush from the process itself, then you should think about how you will cope with addiction during trading. Gambling and professional trading are inherently antonymous and lead to different results.
Attitude towards money.
Do you have a very reverent attitude towards money? Maybe you need to work on your attitude towards money? Perhaps it's not worth overestimating their importance? After all, this can adversely affect your emotional health in the future. Money in trading is a working tool, but at the initial stages of a trader's development, money will still be perceived as a means of payment. For example, when closing a deal, thoughts may come to mind that in just 10 minutes, your trading account has increased by an amount equal to someone's monthly salary. Or that the stop you just caught could have been used to purchase something significant for you. The transition from standard thinking to a professional one takes time. It's about when the funds in the trading account have only a percentage value. And both profit and loss. Money will be a catalyst for all of your skeletons that will fall out of the closet as soon as you open a position on the stock exchange. It's inevitable."
Practical methods for problem-solving.
Time. Don't spend 24/7 staring at charts and watching every candlestick. Besides overtrading and fatigue, you won't get anything (you definitely won't earn more money). Therefore, choose a working schedule for yourself. Either work all day and relax in the evening, or occasionally monitor the situation during the day, after analyzing charts in the morning and placing limit orders, while you focus on your other activities. Yes, it will be difficult to choose a time for yourself right away. It will come to you when you decide on the type of trading, whether it's scalping, swing, intraday, etc.
Pay attention to the chart. Set your preferred color scheme and tools in Trading View and on the exchange itself.
Keep a notebook. In the beginning, write down everything. All observations, all trades, all emotions, all shortcomings. Write down absolutely everything, every day.
Write yourself a checklist, add everything that hinders your work, and hang it in front of the monitor. Every morning, before looking at the chart, check if the conditions are met. For example: great mood, no headaches or other pains, well-rested, focused. All urgent matters are taken care of, so that nothing distracts you, etc. And most importantly - be disciplined.
Calculate profit and loss ONLY in percentages. Your deposit is 100% and only that matters, regardless of how much it is in $. It is only important how much it increases monthly in %. If you get used to this simple rule initially, the improvement in your life and finances will not take long to come. Compound interest will do its job.
Create and refine your trading system. The trading system is the most important element of trading that helps you cope with stress, see the big picture, and know your goals. But creating a trading strategy is one thing, and FOLLOWING THE RULES that you have set for yourself is another thing. The trading system provides the opportunity to neutralize all types of worries. Worries arise when a trader violates his own rules.
Backtests. The most important element of trading activity. Know for sure when to open a trade, know the percentage of instrument performance, and know the exact stages of market analysis. Print out data about your personal business. Keep track of it. Stop playing on the exchange - trade professionally.
Psychological correction.
Rest is as important as anything else. You decide how to spend it. I would like to tell you when you should take a break for a while:
Several stops in a row. Determine your critical point of losses (percentage of drawdown of the trading account) for the day, week, or month, again, this depends on your trading style. For example, for me, it's a critical point of 1% within a day, after which I turn off the computer and do not approach the charts or the terminal. Sometimes I can afford to do backtests, but even that doesn't help because my head is not cool or rational.
Do not try to recoup your losses! Know that you can only worsen the situation by trying to get back the money that has already been spent. The money is already gone, and losses are part of any business. Reached the critical point? Turn off the computer, spend time with your family, go to the gym, or engage in your hobby. Understand that the market won't go anywhere, it will be here tomorrow, the day after tomorrow, and even in 5 years, the market will always be there as long as humanity exists.
Profitable trades. It's also always worth taking a break, either after a trade with a big profit or after a series of successful trades. Why? Because you are filled with euphoria, you think that this is it, the bright streak in trading, and this distracts your attention, you also become less responsible, you can increase the risk on a trade or ignore the stop loss. I think you got the logic. Everything is going well? Well, that's great. Take the earned funds, spend them on yourself, give yourself or your loved ones a gift. You simply need to do this; you must feel that you are earning. As long as the money is on the exchange, it's 100%, but as soon as you withdraw the funds from the exchange, it's already $. You can't earn all the money in the world. It doesn't make any sense.
Freedom. Trading can give you the most important thing - freedom. Freedom in finances, freedom from depending on a workplace, freedom to manage your own time. BUT: only when you can accept this freedom. If you sit at the computer for days, trying to grow your deposit with thoughts like "when I have $100,000, then I will rest," denying yourself pleasures: "It's better to buy a coin with this money, and it will grow," etc. - in this case, you yourself deprive yourself of freedom and become a prisoner of this squirrel wheel. Don't look for an entry into a trade inside every area of interest on a 5M timeframe. In the end, you'll just stop getting anything from trading, and it will become just a source of stress and loss.
Higher Rewards For Less RiskI've changed my reward-to-risk ratio from 1:1 to 2:1.
You heard me right! They have changed.
I wasn't a stickler about my ratios, but I am now. I want to make more money and do less trading. How is this possible, you may be asking?
It's simple when you look into the details. So let's take a look at the losses first.
What do my losses look like?
Each time I lose a trade, I recently exited a previous winner or wasn't in a trade on that currency pair before I lost. Let me explain because these are two different things.
When I win a trade, I give back my profits on losing trades and may not enter the next trade due to my emotions being everywhere.
I noticed that I was stopped out, and the price flowed my way. But, honestly, I can do nothing to prevent this from happening.
You may say, "well, can't you change your stop loss?"
I could, but to what? I never know when I'll be stopped out or how big the wicks will be to get me out of the trade. This means every trade is unique, and I'm making a mistake if I don't follow my rules.
Being stopped out isn't the problem. Trading my system too much with almost the same reward to risk is the problem.
Question to myself, what if you could hold the trade longer(I'm a swing trader, so this fits) and increase your reward significantly, so you don't have to keep entering multiple trades unless the reward was worth it? So now, if I am stopped, my winning trades will make up for my losses and more.
What do my winning trades look like?
My winning trades look more significant than my losses. My focus is and will always be higher timeframes. I like to trade when markets are trending. So per the daily, weekly, or monthly timeframe, I'm trading if my currency pairs are trending.
My goal is to get the best entry that fits my rules and hold to my long-term targets, and any trade under a 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio will not be traded.
I'm also ok with not being triggered into trades set by my pending orders. I'm also ok with losing trades. That's part of the business.
In Summary
I seek to hold trades longer to receive bigger rewards and let the small losses be small. I've not changed my trading strategy. It works, and I am working on it. We go well together.
My belief is as long as the market is trending, I can hold my trade.
I pray this blessed you,
Shaquan
Remember, you don't trade the markets. You trade what you believe about the markets. "Van Tharp"
german 30 analysis - 22 february 2023hope all you guys are blessed! it's my baby brother's birthday today si i'm in the best of moods today and please wish him a happy birthday :)
but here's my breakdown for german 30
- this market has been in a range on the daily timeframe and the most recent was a touch on the support of the range
- but on the H4 market has been making LOWER LOWS and LOWER HIGHS with large bearish candlesticks showing a lot of volume
- down onto the M30/M15 market was in a mini range and i am currently waiting for a break of the support then i will go short
- take profits are at the 15315 level
- market could turn anytime and be bullish so proper risk mangement is key
What I Do After I Lose A TradeI noticed I’m still in AUDNZD, which is in good profit. Price made a new high, and my first action was to move the trade to break even. At the same time, I noticed I lost a trade on NZDCHF which I set a pending order for this morning.
What I did next was a reaction to the loss. I immediately sought a trade on a currency pair that was not on my list.
Once I did that, I heard a voice saying, STOP DOING THAT!
This is a repeated action I do when I lose a trade. Instead of feeling the loss, I try to medicate it by looking for something else to do.
As soon as I realized this, I wrote that down as a limiting belief and then wrote down what I believe about the market.
Limiting Belief: Losing a trade makes me feel like I need to look for a trade on another pair to make my money back.
Action to take: take a slight loss. It’s better than letting a losing trade run.
Belief: Small losses tell you the price has reversed and to be patient to wait for the following setup on the same currency pair.
Belief: The market changes. I have to adapt quickly because the price movement will change, which means every trade is unique.
Belief: Make trading a fun puzzle to figure out. It will become overwhelming if I work on too many puzzles simultaneously.
What I noticed last was how I felt. Usually, I feel a tight pinch in my chest before I get on my charts. Its anxiety. I didn’t feel it this morning. I felt relaxed.
After dealing with years of anxiety I can feel it decreasing the more I write out my thoughts and beliefs and see how they are what I trade.
Experiencing today's lose I had no feeling just a reaction I will work hard to not do again.
What reactions do you have when you lose a trade. What are thoughts and feelings? If negative what can you now begin doing that will help you adapt to price movement with a clear mind and well thought out actions?
If you found value in this shared moment of my trading journey please like this post and comment. You're not alone in this trading world. Let's talk it out.
Psychological state in tradingThe important point is to describe your psychological state in two cases:
When you are not in a trade.
When you are in a trade.
In the first case, the common problem is missed profit. Often, novices take this very painfully and think about the missed opportunity that could have brought them potential profit. However, the market, especially the cryptocurrency market which operates 24/7 without breaks, has many trading ideas and opportunities, so there is no need to fixate on it or torment yourself with it.
Therefore, when you are not in a trade, try to describe your psychological state, what you feel at that moment, whether it's the fear of potential loss from missing a trade or something else.
In the second case, when you are in a trade, you need to describe your state, what worries you. It could be greed to fixate profit or fear of losses. In both states, you need to fully describe yourself, the trading setups that cause such emotions.
To avoid these emotional swings, you should have a clear plan for taking profit and an approximate loss in case of failure before entering a trade. When you do not have such a plan, you will swing back and forth, and the outcome may be negative. Therefore, when you are in a trade, describe your state in detail and document it in a journal related to your psychology, as psychology is 80% of successful trading.
All these aspects will help you learn more about yourself and your psychology, which will enable you to build your trading strategy, as psychology accounts for 80% of successful trading. That's why soulless machines, neural networks, and AI are so good at trading compared to humans with their emotional instincts.
Because many people want more profit here and now, they are not willing to bear losses, develop, or understand themselves. Due to this incorrect psychological mindset, people often lose money and then blame trading for being a casino. Of course, it's a casino for ludomaniacs who, without a strategy, listen to "experts on Instagram" and are already turning to the 30th leverage for a short.
I hope you understand why this aspect is necessary. Nevertheless, in subsequent articles, we will try to describe more about psychology in trading.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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🧊The Iceberg Illusion In TradingThe iceberg illusion in trading refers to the perception gap between what people think trading is and what it actually means. Many people see trading as a simple way to make quick profits and accumulate wealth, with the idea that all one has to do is buy low and sell high. However, the reality is far more complex. Under the surface of what appears to be a straightforward process lies a world of risk, stress, and uncertainty. Trading is not just about making money, it requires discipline, patience, and a deep understanding of the markets. Those who don't understand the true nature of trading may face financial loss, depression and failure, much like the hidden dangers beneath the surface of an iceberg. Success in trading often requires much more than just a basic understanding of market trends and patterns, and those who dive in without being fully prepared may face dire consequences.
🔷 Above the Iceberg
Above the iceberg, people often see the glamorous and attractive side of trading, characterized by success, wealth, and financial independence. They imagine traders as confident and knowledgeable individuals, making smart decisions and reaping the rewards of their investments. The image of traders making large profits in a short amount of time is one that is often perpetuated by media and popular culture. People often see the stock market as a fast-paced, exciting place where opportunities for financial gain are abundant, and the idea of being able to control one's financial future through trading is alluring. This perception of trading often creates a rosy and idealized image of what it entails, leading many to believe that success in the markets is easy to achieve.
🔶 Bellow the Iceberg
Below the iceberg, lies the reality of the challenges and difficulties that traders face on a daily basis. There are many hidden risks and uncertainties that are not immediately apparent to those who are new to the world of trading. Some of the things that people don't know that lie beneath the surface of the iceberg include:
🔸 Market volatility:
The stock market is a highly volatile environment, and prices can fluctuate rapidly and unpredictably. This can make it difficult for traders to manage their positions and minimize their losses.
🔸 Emotional stress:
Trading can be a highly emotional experience, and the pressure to make the right decisions can be immense. Many traders struggle with anxiety, fear, and depression, particularly when faced with losing trades.
🔸 Lack of understanding:
The stock market is complex, and it can be difficult for traders to understand all of the factors that influence market trends and prices. This can lead to costly mistakes and an increased risk of financial loss.
🔸 Competition:
The stock market is a highly competitive environment, and traders must be able to keep up with fast-moving markets and make quick decisions based on complex data and information.
🔸 Long-term success:
Many traders are focused on short-term profits and may not consider the long-term impact of their trading decisions. Achieving lasting success in the markets requires a well-thought-out strategy and a strong understanding of the markets and the risks involved.
🔸 Timing:
Successful trading often requires precise timing, as markets can change rapidly and prices can fluctuate. Traders must have a deep understanding of market trends and be able to make quick decisions to take advantage of opportunities.
🔸 Risk management:
Trading involves risk, and traders must be able to manage their positions and minimize their losses. This requires a well-planned and executed risk management strategy, including setting stop-losses and taking profits at appropriate levels.
🔸 Knowledge and experience:
Trading is not just about buying low and selling high. It requires a deep understanding of market trends, economics, and financial analysis, as well as years of experience to develop a successful trading strategy.
🔸 Discipline:
Trading requires discipline and patience, as well as the ability to stick to a well-thought-out strategy. Many traders make impulsive decisions based on emotions or market rumors, which can lead to financial losses.
Welcome to the hardest game in the world.
👤 @AlgoBuddy
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How to run a marketing business in Bitcoin in 7 steps.This is how influencers make loads of money. I am just using this one as an example, because I know them the best. They are probably not the worst one.
Step 1. Make it look like you are mega rich and successful, basically make sheeple aspire to be you so that they forget logic and reality.
Step 2.
Open your mouth really wide. I have NO idea why this works but they all do it. Lazily copy the same image many times. Mirror image is fine.
Step 3.
Make it seem like you have to act RIGHT NOW! Use buzzwords that new traders have heard of, like Golden Cross.
Step 4.
Exaggerate the tiniest move. When Bitcoin is flying, encourage buying, because that's what sheeple want to hear. It triggers their greed. When the price is in the toilet, encourage them to sell, because that triggers their fear.
Step 5. If your analysis turns out to be wrong, remove the video or change its name. (I have proof, before you ask)
Step 6. Have affiliate links with brokers and exchanges so that every time someone deposits you get a massive cut, as the exchanges know sheeple are going to lose as soon as they start. Don't forget that 90% of new traders lose 90% in 90 days. The exchange knows this, and can pay you half of the deposit if it wants to, and still make money.
Step 7. Profit from the affiliate links and the YouTube views. No need to trade. Even shill a coin that you create. Easy money. It's all in the marketing team.
Don't be sheeple, people. Listen to logic. There is still likely to be a long time before this plays out. We are bullish of BTC, but we want to wait for confirmation, not just buy every 5% rally and sell every 5% drop.
We have been saying that this is the value area for months. If you have been listening, then you have averaged your purchases below like 28k, and you are in cash with no margin. Trading BTC on margin is a bit of a mug's game. Too easy to get wicked out.
28k may sound high as a starting point, given the low, but it sure ain't 35k or 45k or 67k like the influencers recommended. I am long at around 22k on average and happy with it.
We expect another visit to 30K but probably also 18k or lower, just to iron out all those who got excited since January, and make them feel sad enough to sell.
If you have any ammunition left, save it for the next drop, or wait for confirmation and buy it higher. Less reward but a LOT less risk. These price movements are good signs, but it is EARLY IN THE PROCESS
Patience is a hard skill. Good luck. Stop listening to these people. Calm down.
BTC - PSYCHOLOGY PHASES OF THE MARKET + WYCKOFF METHOD PHASES
- BTC in key support zone
- Psychologically in the Anger area, possible new pump to look for the 25k , and then keep falling. If it loses the current support it could start a downtrend.
- According to Wyckoff's theory, we are in phase B where the price can still fall, breaking the following supports to look for even lower minimum prices of 15,000
I will follow the development of this graph weekly
What is Holding You Back Trader?So you want to trade, but just not taking action.
You’re on the computer and so close to taking a trade or opening an account with a broker.
The button is right there.
And yet, it feels like there’s a wall between your finger and the button.
I get it.
It’s a big step to take when you know you’re entering into uncharted financial waters.
You know risk is involved… You know time is needed. And you know education is crucial.
And yet you’re still hesitant.
In this article, we’ll pinpoint what is holding you back from creating your financial freedom as a trader.
REASON #1:
You’re talking more than doing
This is a big one.
Maybe you’ve been reading trading and investing articles for years now.
And yet, you keep finding excuses to not take action.
1. “I’ll start next month”
2. “I’ll wait for the market to correct before I trade”
3. “I’m stressed with work and family”
Listen…
Life is going to continue with new problems, stresses and issues.
And this will extend your delays and increase the number of excuses you’ll make with any new hobby.
You just need to start doing, and the rest will take care of itself.
And you’ll find you’ll feel more accomplished and proud of the fact, you took action.
REASON #2:
You’re concerned of the short term
Every trader I know wants their first trade and month to be profitable.
I was the same. In 2003, I bought a bunch of Anglo Gold shares.
I felt so much panic because I wanted it to be a winner. I didn’t think of the long term effects.
Let me tell you, I don’t even remember my first winner. I’ve taken thousands of trades and I’ll tell you, the first trade is over looked and felt.
When you have a proven trading strategy, you lose interest in what a few trades will do for your portfolio.
You keep your eye on the long term rewards.
REASON #3:
You are scared of losing
This is one humble game, where the market takes a little and gives back to you and then some.
It’s all down to one simple method – Risk and reward.
You’re in a calculations game now, where you need to lose in order to win.
Embrace the losses and own them as you would with any business costs or overheads.
REASON 4#:
You’re waiting for the right time
What does that mean?
Are you waiting for enough money?
You never start with a lot of money as a trader. You test, you learn and you gain experience.
I guarantee you blow more money on a holiday, on petrol and at restaurants than the amount you’ll lose as a start up and humble trader.
Are you waiting for the right time?
There are thousands of markets that are either in uptrend, downtrends or sideways trends everyday. There is never the right time to get into trading.
Why? Because it’s always the right time.
REASON 5#:
You’re too busy to start
I’m sure this article has helped open your eyes to a new spectrum of reasons why you’re holding back.
Stop talking, start doing.
You do have enough money to start trading.
You have more than enough time
You need to lose, to win.
Nobody is ever too busy to not pursue their dreams and create their freedom.
Got it? So stop holding back and listening to some imaginary voice inside your head
Traders balance between intellect and emotionsHow can traders create a balance between intellect and emotion?
In trading, rationality and passion are two sides of the same coin. Rationality helps us make educated and reasonable trading decisions, but unbridled emotions may be harmful. How do traders strike a balance between these two factors?
- Understand your emotions and their influence on your trading is the first step. For instance, if you experience panic when you lose, you may terminate the deal early than necessary. If you are excited about winning, you may hang onto a position longer than required. Understanding your emotions and their influence on your trade can enable you to exert greater control over them.
- Create a trading strategy based on facts and data, not on your emotions. This will assist you in making more educated trading selections and avoiding emotional mistakes. Create a risk management compliance system that will assist you in minimizing losses and maximizing profits.
- Practice yoga and meditation to enhance your emotional control. This can help you become calmer and more concentrated, which will allow you to make better trading judgments.
- In conclusion, the equilibrium between intellect and emotion in trading is crucial for success. By understanding your emotions, adopting a sensible trading plan, and practicing strategies for emotion regulation, you may reach incredible harmony and balance, as well as make better educated trading judgments.
Throughout the trading process, you must practice and continually evaluate your psychological condition.
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✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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🧠 The Mind Of A Smart TraderTrading psychology is influenced by emotions like greed and fear, which can drive irrational behavior in markets. Greed causes excessive risk-taking and speculation, while fear causes traders to exit positions prematurely or avoid risk. Regret can also cause traders to violate discipline and make trades at peak prices, leading to losses. These emotions can be particularly prominent in bull or bear markets and can have a significant impact on market outcomes. Trading psychology is a crucial factor in determining success in trading securities. It includes aspects of an individual's character and behavior that affect their trading decisions. Discipline and risk-taking are critical components of trading psychology, as is the impact of emotions like fear, greed, hope, and regret. It can be as important as knowledge, experience, and skill in determining trading success.
🧠10 Trading mindset tips:
🔹 Stay informed: Stay updated with the latest market news, trends, and developments, as well as your preferred assets.
🔹 Create a trading plan: This should include a clear set of rules for entry, exit, and risk management. Stick to your plan.
🔹 Manage your emotions: Avoid making impulsive decisions, especially during volatile market conditions. Keep a clear head and stick to your plan.
🔹 Continuously educate yourself: Enhance your knowledge and skills by reading books, attending seminars, and practicing with demo accounts.
🔹 Diversify your portfolio: Spread your risk across different assets and markets to reduce your exposure to any one particular market.
🔹 Stay disciplined: Follow your plan and stick to your rules, even if your emotions are telling you otherwise.
🔹 Set realistic expectations: Be mindful of your limitations and don’t overreach. Accept small losses and focus on long-term success.
🔹 Stay focused: Avoid distractions and keep your mind on your trading activities.
🔹 Keep a trading journal: Record your trades, track your progress, and reflect on what you could have done differently.
🔹 Take breaks: Avoid overtrading, which can lead to burnout. Take time to recharge and come back fresh.
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📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
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10 Common Lies and Misconceptions About Trading 🥺🤮1. People are born traders. While it is true that certain personal characteristics make it easier to trade, no one is born a trader. One of the main themes of the Market Wizards books written by Jack Schwager is that almost none of the market wizards was successful from the start. They all worked hard at it.
2. You have to have a high IQ to trade. Just not true. In some ways, an above average IQ may be a hindrance. Trading is a human performance activity where strong intellectual abilities are unnecessary.
3. Top traders are successful because they have the "right trading personality." There is no such thing as the "right trading personality." Researches have been unable to find a strong correlation between personality type and trading success. It is important, however, to understand your personal characteristics and how they may help and hinder your trading.
4. Trading is easy. It sure looks that way, doesn't it? Just draw a few lines on the chart, watch your indicators, and follow the price bars. The truth is that trading is a difficult business to master. It involves different skill sets and abilities from what are needed in most other professions and careers. The trader must understand his or her personal strengths and limitations and develop specific skills to deal with the mental and emotional demands of trading. The later skills are the most difficult to develop and the most overlooked.
5. You must be tough, hard charging, and fearless to be successful. That's more media hype than anything else. It glorifies a strong ego, which is a detriment in trading. The most successful traders I know quietly do their research, study the charts, and patiently wait for the right moment. They strive to keep their ego out of their trading.
6. You must trade without emotions. If you are human, that's impossible. More importantly, when you understand your emotions you will realize they are assets, not liabilities. The real keys are:
To be aware of how your emotions interact with and influence your trading, and
To develop the skills needed to trade with them.
7. Top traders are usually right about the market. Top traders have many, many scratch and losing trades. Top traders are at the top because they exercise good risk control, limit the amount of loss from any given trade, and have developed a psychological edge that allows them to be unfazed by small losing trades. Most of their trading consists of modest profits and very small losses. When conditions are right, they step up size and let the profitable trades run.
8. Paper trading is useless - it's not a real trade without money behind it. If you aren't paper trading,you are doing yourself a disservice. You should always be paper trading your trading ideas. Why limit your education and experience by the amount of capital you have? Paper trading keeps you sharp ; you learn the conditions under which your trading ideas work best. Where else can you get such vital education at so little cost?
9. Master the technical skills and you will be successful. This is where most traders spend the vast majority of their time, but it's only part of the picture. You also have to learn important performance skills. Traders should spend as much-if not more-time learning to develop their psychological edge as they do in developing their technical trading edge.
10. Trading is stressful. It certainly can be stressful, and it certainly is stressful for many. It doesn't have to be. Successful traders have a certain mindset. They put little importance on any given trade. Their focus is on the long haul. They know that if they attend to the aspects of trading that are within their control (i.e., trade selection, entry, risk control, and trade management) the profits will take care of themselves.
source: DailyFX
7 main mistakes of new traders List of deadly crimes committed by new traders
So far, you have created a new account, purchased your first Bitcoin. You are now prepared to become a trader in cryptocurrencies. You frequently trade on an exchange where the price of the first coin you purchase increases by 10% before you sell it. Self-satisfied that you did it. Using the ingenious "Buy Low, Sell High" method, you are advancing: a Twitter account. There is already a crowd of new employees awaiting your calls. It was going so well until you committed one of the following rookie errors.
1 - Waiting Pump and Dump
Observing a green candle that rockets up into the sky is one of the most beautiful sights a trader can see - if they purchased at the bottom. However, without a horse to race, envy might be overwhelming. You will experience lapsed profit syndrome and attempt to wager your entire bankroll. Occasionally it will pay off, but more often than not it will place you in an awkward situation.
A quick price swing in cryptocurrency is not always indicative of a pump-and-dump scam. Positive news or a major influencer's promotion might also result in exponential growth. Before purchasing a coin, it is essential to comprehend why its value is soaring. If not, you risk failure. Many inexperienced cryptocurrency traders try with pump-and-dump organizations that guarantee rapid gains with minimal effort. Failure once or twice will be sufficient to learn the lesson and pursue more intelligent trading tactics.
2 - Buying in illiquid markets
For your coin to continue increasing, someone else must want to purchase it. The issue with numerous developing altcoins and numerous tiny exchanges is that they have a dearth of orders. You can be certain that Sprouts (SPRTS) is the future of crypto, but if a sufficient number of traders disagree, you risk focusing on a currency that no one wants to purchase, or at least not at a price that you are willing to pay.
There is nothing wrong with long-term investment in a coin whose fundamentals you respect. However, these "undiscovered diamonds" are prone to a lack of liquidity in the short run. Traders who have grown weary of waiting for a coin's price to rise may be compelled to sell drastically below their desired price.
3 - Set the incorrect price
Raise your hand If you've ever missed a zero on a trade setup and your coins surged, set your sell order 10 times lower. This is easy to accomplish when dealing with altcoins that are priced in fractions of Bitcoin: you think you're making an order to sell 0.0000457 BTC, but you've actually placed an order to sell 0.00000457 BTC. The majority of exchanges will rise to the maximum rate. However, services like Etherdelta are not as user-friendly as others. Always double-check the buy or sell price before pressing the execute button.
4 - Transferring the incorrect coin to an exchange's wallet or use wrong chain
If you sent Bitcoin Cash to a Bitcoin wallet by accident, do not expect the exchange to bail you out. However, the larger exchanges are unlikely to be of assistance. You must exercise caution before sending funds to the wallet, as errors are nearly impossible to rectify. Sending Ethereum tokens to an Ethereum exchange wallet or requesting a mining pool payout directly to an exchange wallet are other rookie errors. Avoid doing that. The greater your trading motivation, the better you will become.
5 - Revenge of trader
You are unhappy because you refused to purchase a coin at the last minute, and then it flew to the moon. Or you purchased a worthless certificate - a sure loser - and it failed. Infuriated, you wager your entire fortune on the next green coin and attempt to ride this train to Profitville. In doing so, you overestimate your abilities and enter a market you have not yet explored.
Where do you enter and exit the market? Why is the coin's value increasing? You are ignorant because you act based on your feelings. Revenge trading is analogous to capturing your partner in the arms of another person and then grabbing the first item you discover. Nine times out of ten, it will end in tears. The greater your ability to detach your emotions from your trade, the more successful you will become.
6 - Overactivity
Too many chefs will destroy the broth, and too many traders will diminish your earnings. This is a simple trap to fall into, and every new trader does it. The day after purchasing a coin, you check to see if its value has increased by 20%. Isn't it preferable to sell and earn a profit? Not required Cut off your losses and let your winners run, as the adage goes.
A basic trading approach that can deprive you of some of your greatest rewards is selling assets for the sake of profit. There is nothing more disheartening than selling a coin for a tiny profit only to discover that someone else paid 10 times as much. Additionally, excessive activity for minimal income will result in an increase in assets conserved through exchange costs.
In certain ways, hyperactivity that generates tiny earnings is advantageous, but these profits will be consumed by commissions on any exchange. You comprehend the outcomes yourself.
7 - Self-confidence
Intuitively, you purchase a coin and observe its value double over the next week. You repeat the procedure with a second coin and the same result occurs. You are fantastic. You are a man. You convert everything you touch into gold. You are staking your next decision on boldness, which may feel like flying to the moon. Then... one loses everything. What occurred? You are impudent, that is what.
A little self-assurance is wonderful; it's what enables traders to go against the grain and make their own conclusions. Conversely, over confidence is a formula for disaster. When you disregard warning flags while feeling invincible.
Eliminating these seven fatal errors does not qualify you as a professional trader; years of expertise, late hours and early mornings spent watching two monitors and creating charts are still required. Nevertheless, if you eliminate your rookie errors, you may survive long enough to become a pro.
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7 Reasons why Elite Traders Crush the CompetitionHello TradingView world,
I have been trading for almost 15 years and have learned some serious lessons about trading and the markets. I have also been fortunate enough to interact with many great traders over that time that have helped me tremendously, however I still struggled for a long while and wondered why I wasn’t making the progress I desperately wanted to make.
I thought just like everyone else, that if I found the perfect trading strategy, all of my problems would vanish and profits would rain down from the sky like salt bae letting salt drip down off his forearm.
Well guess what happened? I ACTUALLY DID FIND IT.
In fact, my analysis in the market was so damn good that in 2013 I was invited to speak on a worldwide webinar hosted by Daily-FX which was then owned by FXCM.
I’d have a 50 pip stop with a 500+ pip price target and I was nailing the trades left and right, so this was the reason I was invited on. I was working at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York during this time and I ended up leaving that job to trade full time that same year.
Things went smoothly for a while. I partied… A LOT. Did all kinds of reckless and stupid things with my time and money and I ultimately lost it all by 2015. I pondered for a long time about what happened and once I removed my ego and stubbornness, I figured out that what makes a trader great has nothing to do with the outside and has everything to do with the inside.
This is the TRUE secret of trading success. It’s all about YOU and how YOU approach trading. There is so much more to the story but without further hesitation, based on what I have learned from other great traders and have personally learned through brutal hard lessons, this is why Elite traders crush everyone else in the market and if you begin employing these lessons in your own trading, I can guarantee that you will see a dramatic change in your results.
#1 - ELITE TRADERS ARE LEAGUES ABOVE YOU IN PATIENCE
Everyone gets into trading for one thing and one thing only; to make money and to make as much of it as possible. One thing that the majority of traders do is that they also want to do it in the FASTEST way possible. This is where they screw up but is it any surprise that this is the case? I mean look all around you in terms of social media (Facebook, Instagram, YouTube, etc.) it’s all over the place with people touting “Watch me turn $1,000 into $10,000 in just a few days!” … This gets views, it gets attention and it encourages other traders to continuously take on massive risks in order to achieve this.
Is it possible to do? YES, because many traders (Including myself) have done it but what does it also do? It creates detrimental habits that keep you in this mindset of turning a small account into a large account quickly and then that one day comes when you take on massive risk on a trade that looks “good” but ends up going violently against you for a huge loss or COMPLETE destruction of your account.
Another factor is that the majority of traders want to be in the market ALL of the time. They can’t resist staying out and staying flat during times of uncertainty or when the charts aren’t clear enough to validate putting their capital at risk. Elite traders can wait hours, days and even WEEKS before putting on another trade because they understand, their trading opportunity is not yet clear and they rather wait as long as possible in order to enter the market at the most optimal time and conditions.
Think about it; do you want to be in the market on a consistent basis? Are you able to wait a few days or a few weeks before putting on a new trade? It’s a very difficult thing for many traders to do while Elite traders have mastered the game of patience to their advantage. It’s not a matter of how long is the next trade going to take to develop? Rather, I’ll take the next trade when the optimal conditions are met regardless of how long it takes.
#2 - ELITE TRADERS KNOW THEIR OWN WEAKNESSES
Everyone has weaknesses whether we like to admit it or not. Some traders are severely impatient, some have a problem with risk management, some have a problem with making impulsive trades and become reckless, some have a problem with over analyzing their charts or trying to look at multiple markets at the same time, etc. Most traders either try to suppress them or choose to ignore them completely and this causes many to struggle and stay frustrated.
Have you ever thought to yourself, “Shit, why did I do that!?” or “Why did I get out when I should have stayed in” or “Why did I chase it! I knew I should have stayed out” … There is a weakness there that you have not learned to master or work on improving it. Even if you finally acknowledge it and try to write it down or post it on your wall by your trading desk… You STILL end up making that mistake and frustration takes over.
Elite traders through trial and error have learned to master their INTERNAL trading character. They know what triggers them and have found a way to stop it in its tracks so that mistakes are kept under control. They also understand that when these weaknesses start to creep up on them, they can identify WHY it’s happening and talk themselves out of it.
For example, if the market is rising and it looks like it’s going to get away from them, they understand that by chasing after it, the market could turn around and leave them with an unnecessary loss or trap them in a position that they should have not gotten into in the first place. Their attitude is “The market did not give me the optimal trading opportunity that I wanted therefore I will wait. Let the market do whatever it’s going to do, I don’t care. I only care about my optimal trading opportunities” This tie’s in with reason #1 (Patience). They will not let ANYTHING force them into trades they shouldn’t be in.
#3 - ELITE TRADERS FOCUS ON ONE MARKET/PAIR/SECTOR
This is not only true of trading but life in general, focusing on one thing and mastering that one thing to become great at it. There are a multitude of instruments and markets to trade and it gives us traders the freedom to choose where we’d like to put our capital to work but as many of us know, too much choice can actually be a bad thing. When it comes to the Forex market, we have many pairs we can work with and that can actually be a problem.
Everyone has a watch-list of pairs that they want to trade but is that causing you more trading struggles for you or keeping you confused? Whether the answer is yes or no, why are you doing that? And the answer is most likely because you believe it presents more trading opportunities but that is not always the right way to go about things. Each pair moves and reacts differently during certain market conditions and what works well on the EUR/USD may not work on the GBP/JPY. While the EUR/USD moves at a more stable pace and a big day would be considered a 1% move, the GBP/JPY can become wildly explosive and relentless when it comes to market volatility.
Elite traders know this and they stick to ONE thing and become a master at it. I personally stick to the EUR/USD and that is MORE than enough to make profitable trades on. Elite traders do not divert to other markets or other pairs to try and make more profits but they lock down and focus on that one pair and crush it. It’s not common for the majority of traders to do this because they feel that they will be missing out on other trading opportunities but are they really? Or are they just finding multiple ways to take losses?
In order to trade this way, it would require the ability to stay incredibly patient but it would allow for you to stay away from multiple charts and remain disciplined while not putting your capital at risk and avoiding impulse/emotional trades.
This is not common but then again… this is why Elite traders do it and the majority does not.
#4 - ELITE TRADERS PREFER A LONGER TERM OUTLOOK
Just look at the screenshots of charts scattered on trading forums, social media or any other discussion outlet, more times than not everyone’s looking at the 1 Minute all through the 4 Hour time frames. You’ll find a few daily charts here and there and even less Weekly+ charts. Most traders want to be in the market every day and this is why Day trading is so enticing, it gives them a reason to log in, open up their charts and look for trading opportunities to make money. That’s a Mistake.
You’re probably noticing that the previous 3 reasons tie into this reason and that’s because this is just another manifestation of lack of patience or inability to focus on one thing. Short term charts give the impression that there will be more moves to get in and out and not staying in a position overnight. Yes, I get that some traders out there prefer to just get into the market and then be done with it at the end of the day but more times than not, you’ll end up making impulsive trades that creates a string of losses if you don’t have your emotions in check.
Elite traders like to look at the “whole picture” and prefer looking at the daily charts and up. Since longer time frames take time to develop, this is perfectly fine for them as it gives them more time to prepare for the upcoming trade and analyze the levels, they want to take a position and take profit. Once they enter a position, they set their stop and let the market work for them.
They don’t need to check their positions multiple times per day since they know the market will take its time doing what it’s going to do and therefore have time for other activities in their lives or businesses.
#5 - ELITE TRADERS VIEW TRADING FROM A BUSINESS PERSPECTIVE
“How much can I make per day”, “How much can I make per week” or “How much can I make per month” … This is what you’ll usually hear from the majority of traders but how many times have you heard “We’ll see how performance looks at the end of the Quarter”? I’m willing to bet, not many. There is a lot of hype about how much can be made in one day or week but trading is not about just one day, one week or one month, it’s about the long game and how results look over time.
Some Elite traders even go as far as looking at profit-loss on a yearly basis but because market conditions change throughout the year, reviewing how performance looks like at the end of the quarter is preferable. There is no rush to try to make a gain at the end of the day, week or month. Spacing out P/L review allows opportunities to both develop and play out especially if the market is trending.
Elite traders don’t mess around in the market either, this is not a game or hobby for them while many amateurs in the market don’t take it as seriously as you would think. They know that the market is a battlefield and the other side of the trade won’t hesitate for a Nano-second to take their money. They understand that trading should be treated with the same care as running a business and properly deploying their capital out into the market is essential in bringing back even more capital for future trading opportunities that yield larger profits.
Although trading is now offered to the masses and anyone can pretty much open a brokerage account and begin to trade, there are millions of traders that are misinformed and approach the market incorrectly and unprofessionally. “But, I’m not looking to trade professionally, I just want to trade casually” sure, that is completely fine however guess who’s going to eat you alive in the markets? That’s right, the Elite traders who do take things seriously and professionally.
#6 - ELITE TRADERS PROTECT THEIR CAPITAL AT ALL TIMES
In the boxing world, what is one of the warnings referees issue to the fighter’s right before the fight begins? “Keep your hands up and Protect yourself at all times!” and for good reason, right? So that they do not put their hands down and get a crushing hard punch to the head that knocks them out cold. It doesn’t matter how well you trained or for how long you’ve trained because one lazy mistake can cost you the fight, in some cases brutally.
If you’ve been in the trading scene for any length of time, you have read or heard it countless times “manage your risk, manage your risk, manage your risk!” but how many traders ACTUALLY do it? You’d be surprised at how many do not do it at all because it’s painful to do. Painful? How so?... Well, it requires one to make small gains over time instead of putting the pedal to the metal and use high leverage on one single trade. That’s very difficult for the majority of traders to do because that means no “Account Flips” or trying to hit a homerun trade every single time and let’s face it, everyone is trying to get “rich” quickly.
Elite traders know that just one mistake of not practicing sound money management by either not using a stop loss or using too much leverage can be extremely dangerous to their account and they know that it’s just not worth it. On another note, they understand that following risk control is instilling good and strong habits for their subconscious mind and it will carry along for the rest of their careers if they just stick to that simple principle.
If there’s one major reason the majority of traders fail while a small percentage of traders make money consistently, it’s a lack of risk management and account/capital protection.
Before you step into the unforgiving arena (Forex) be sure to protect your account at ALL times! Keep your "Guard" up and play defense!
#7 - ELITE TRADERS AVOID DISTRACTIONS AND NOISE
This is a pretty interesting and controversial one. It can be difficult to ignore the distractions and noise because us traders want to be part of a group or community so that we can share ideas and forecasts along with everyone else but sometimes, you’ve got to be careful with this. You may have an idea or outlook that goes against what others think is going to happen and it could get you off track. You may have experienced this a few times where you believe the market is going to go in one direction and others share the complete opposite view which then causes you to doubt your analysis. You end up cutting the position too early for fear of being wrong and ultimately the market goes in the direction you thought it would and you’re left frustrated.
Distractions can also come in the form of upcoming economic data such as the Federal Reserve coming out with Interest Rates or its chairman Jerome Powell talking about certain economic projections. Volatility spikes up and it sucks you into the hype but if you have a sound trading strategy and rules, you may have noticed that even during high volatility, the market still respects order on the charts. It just moves as a faster pace.
I have personally experienced this through my years of trading, in fact a recent memory comes to mind in 2020. I was invited by an online friend to a private Meta trading group and I wanted to offer some help and insight into what I knew, so I shared a screenshot of my outlook of the EUR/USD going forward.
It was a powerful chart pattern I had seen countless times on the weekly chart and the EUR/USD was trading around 1.0850. Once I shared my screenshot calling for the Euro to make a strong 1000+ pip move and trend towards 1.2000 to 1.2200, some other group member immediately called my analysis a joke and that chart patterns were garbage and useless.
I was going to retaliate back but I thought to myself, this is childish, unprofessional and really unproductive, so I immediately left that group. My friend apologized and said the other guy had a chip on his shoulder because he was former banker for a massive global investment bank (I won’t say which one but I can guarantee you, everyone knows it). I appreciated the apology and left it at that. I the end, all that mattered to me was that as the months went by, the EUR/USD did in fact trend towards the exact projected price levels. That was a lesson for me to avoid detrimental opinions from others.
Elite traders know about this type of noise and are sure to remove any of that from their trading. This is why many stay “undercover” and you don’t really hear about them. They stay under the radar and just do what they do and do it well.
The overall lesson here is that a community should be about helping others and uplifting them, even when they’re wrong. No matter how great a trader is, he/she still deals with losses and nobody is ever correct 100% of the time. Trading is already difficult, so by encouraging and helping others become better at trading the markets, everyone improves as a whole.
Conclusion
There you have it, just some of the basics of what Elite traders do and what has transformed my own trading results tremendously. We all know that there are a variety of ways to approach the market but if there is one takeaway from all of this is that, Top Level traders have learned to master themselves and how they mentally approach trading. It’s actually quite simple and straight forward however it can be hard to implement in real time but that doesn’t mean that it cannot be done and transform your own trading. I wish you the best in your trading journey. I personally know it can be VERY tough but it's well worth it. Keep at it and never give up.
Psychology of a Market Cycle Ft. BitcoinPsychology of a Market Cycle Ft. Bitcoin
Tried to match the psychology of Market Cycle with Bitcoin, I think we are about to see a price target of $14-$16k before the actual rally begins.
This was a very well executed market cycle by the whales and market makers.
Healthy for long term.
The 4 fears of every traderTrading in the financial markets, whether it be forex or cryptocurrency, can be a thrilling yet challenging experience. It requires a level of strategy, discipline, and risk tolerance to make informed decisions and reap profits. But, as traders, we are often faced with fears that can cloud our judgment and hinder our success in the market.
To help you overcome these fears, we will delve into the four main categories that traders face: fear of being wrong, fear of losing money, fear of leaving money on the table, and fear of missing out. These fears can be crippling, but with the right understanding and approach, they can be conquered. Join us on a journey to understand these fears and how to overcome them, so you can become a confident, successful trader in the forex and cryptocurrency markets.
Fear of being wrong
The fear of being wrong is the most common obstacle for traders. It's only natural to want to be right all the time, but in the fast-paced and ever-changing world of trading, being wrong is an inevitable part of the process. But this fear can hold us back from making the bold and calculated decisions necessary for success.
When we're too afraid of being wrong, we may avoid taking calculated risks, miss out on potential profits, or even make impulsive decisions based on emotions instead of data. But here's the thing: being wrong is a valuable opportunity to learn and grow as a trader. Every misstep is a chance to analyze what went wrong and improve our strategy for the next trade.
So instead of letting the fear of being wrong hold you back, embrace it. Embrace the possibility of being wrong and use it as fuel to become a better trader. Remember, even the most successful traders make mistakes and face losses all the time. The key is to learn from those mistakes and come back stronger.
Fear of losing money
No one wants to watch their hard-earned capital disappear, but in the world of trading, losses are a fact of life. However, letting this fear control our decisions can be just as detrimental to our success as the fear of being wrong.
If we're too afraid to lose money, we may be hesitant to take calculated risks, miss out on potential profits, or even exit positions prematurely. But here's the truth: losses are an integral part of the trading process and can be managed with a solid trading plan in place. By implementing risk management techniques, such as stop-loss orders, traders can minimize their losses and protect their capital.
So instead of letting the fear of losing money paralyze you, turn it into a strength. Use it as motivation to develop a comprehensive trading plan that incorporates effective risk management strategies. Accept that losses are a natural part of trading, and use them as an opportunity to improve your strategies and refine your approach. Don't be afraid to lose money, be afraid of not taking advantage of opportunities to grow your wealth.
Fear of leaving money on the table
The fear of leaving money on the table is a tricky one, as it often arises when we're in a winning trade. It's tempting to hold on, hoping to squeeze out even more profits. But this can be a dangerous mindset that can lead to ignoring stop-losses and exposing ourselves to unnecessary risk. After all, you don't have a crystal ball ( and aren't an FOMC member ), so you should expect to buy the exact bottom and sell the exact top.
Instead, you need to have a clear exit strategy in place and stick to it, no matter how much you feel like the trade can continue to go in your favor. By having a predetermined exit plan, we can lock in profits, manage risk, and avoid emotional decision-making.
So, instead of succumbing to the fear of leaving money on the table, embrace discipline. Develop a solid exit strategy that balances the desire for profits with the need for risk management. Don't be afraid to lock in your profits, even if it feels like there's still money to be made. Trust in your strategy and stick to your plan, and you'll be in a better position to capitalize on future opportunities.
Fear of missing out
The fear of missing out (FOMO) is a feeling that all traders have faced at some point. It's especially prevalent in a volatile market, where prices are moving quickly, and it can be tempting to jump in without fully analyzing the situation. But succumbing to FOMO can lead to hasty decisions based on emotions, rather than logic, which can result in costly mistakes ( emotions causing mistakes...do you see a pattern? ).
It's important to resist the temptation of FOMO and stick to your trading plan, even when the market is moving rapidly. By having a clear strategy in place and following it, we can avoid impulsive trades and make informed decisions that are grounded in logic and analysis. Take the time to thoroughly analyze each opportunity before making a decision. Trust in your strategy and stick to your plan, even when it feels like the market is passing you by.
How to overcome our fears?
For a brighter reader, it is easy to notice that these fears are omnipresent. No matter what you do or don't do during your trading day, you can't avoid these fears. Overcoming them is not easy, but it is essential for achieving success in the market. Here are a few pointers that can help you overcome these four fears and become more disciplined and consistent traders:
Develop a reliable trading plan
Having a well-defined trading plan can help us to manage our risks and make informed, rational decisions. A good trading plan should include our goals, risk management rules, and entry and exit strategies. By following our plan, we can stay disciplined and avoid making emotional decisions based on fear.
Practice proper risk management
Risk management is an essential part of trading, and it can help us to overcome our fear of losing money. By setting clear stop-loss levels and position sizes, we can minimize our losses and protect our capital. This can give us the confidence to take on appropriate levels of risk and pursue potential trading opportunities.
Realize that your ego is the enemy
How many times have you held a losing position past your stop loss and literally prayed for the break-even? Did anything fundamentally change about your position? No, you just didn't want to take the loss, am I right? See, even though we know that losses are part of the process it is still very hard for us to accept that any trade can go against us. And sometimes you do everything right, and still lose.
Every trading system works with probabilities. Losses are normal. Let your ego go and stop trying to force a win out of every single position you take. ( Add this to your daily affirmation ritual if you must )
Stay focused on the long term
It's easy to get caught up in the short-term movements of the market, but it's important to remember that trading is a long-term game. By focusing on our long-term goals it becomes easier to stay disciplined. Every losing day can get you closer to your long-term goal, as long as you sit down, analyze what happened, and learn from it.
Take regular breaks
Trading can be mentally and emotionally exhausting, and it's important to take regular breaks to recharge and refocus. By stepping away from the markets for a while, you can clear your mind and come back to our trading with a fresh perspective. This can help you avoid making rash decisions.
Learn from your mistakes
This is the big one. Realize that nobody is perfect, and everyone makes mistakes in their trading careers. It's important to learn from these mistakes and use them as opportunities for growth and improvement. By analyzing your past mistakes and adjusting your strategies accordingly, you can become better trader and overcome your fears.
Consider automating your trading process
Our trading platform does a fantastic job of keeping your emotions out of trading. You can set multiple take profits and stop losses, understand your risk-to-reward ratio, the trade's impact on your portfolio and much more before you even place the trade. You can backtest your strategies, trade them live automatically, and much much more. Leveraging technology in your favor can yield a tremendous difference in your trading results, as it did for our 15 thousand users.
Conclusion
The four main fears that traders face - fear of being wrong, fear of losing money, fear of leaving money on the table, and fear of missing out - can have a significant impact on our success in the markets. However, with the right approach and mindset, these fears can be overcome and transformed into positive drivers for our trading.
By accepting that being wrong is a natural part of the trading process, managing our risks, having a clear exit strategy, and resisting the temptation of FOMO, we can overcome these fears and become more confident and successful traders. By doing so, we can capitalize on opportunities, make informed decisions, and achieve our trading goals. So embrace these fears, overcome them, and take control of your trading journey.
The low is probably not in for Bitcoin.This is probably not it folks...
A supposed break of structure to the upside should only be considered as the beginning of an accumulation.
Therefore I am anticipating a delivery lower before any real upside presents itself.
I'm not considering any long positions before the low is swept.....
reasoning; trader psychology
Either way, BLX on the monthly chart looks good. Both retracement % and amount of bearish monthly candlesticks line up with what we've seen before.
Not to mention that the bitcoin halving is creeping up ......
Can't go wrong with buying some bitcoin, even if you don't get the best fill price (for long term holdings).
Money you can get back as a trader - Time you can't!When you're YOUNG you have time and energy but no money.
when you're an ADULT you have energy and money but no time.
When you're RETIRED and old you have money but less time and little energy.
So, yes you can make mistakes, yes you can learn to trade, and practice for a bit.
But DON'T do the following:
Make BIG financial mistakes - Because that time to recoup it may be too late.
Procrastinate with when to trade and why to trade - every day is an opportunity lost and an opportunity cost. Bite the bullet and do it well and risk aversely.
Jump from winning strategy to winning strategy because of drawdowns. All trading strategies come with drawdowns and trading in the financial markets can be a highly profitable endeavor, but it can also be a time-consuming and stressful one.
If you approach your trading with ONE strategy that suits you with a clear mind, a solid strategy, and a disciplined approach, you can maximize your chances of success.
As I like to say. It is better to have 9 years of experience trading 1 strategy than 1 year of trading experience for 9 systems.
It makes sense in my head.
Let's focus on the power of 1 and your time will be worth the wait for when you achieve your trading success.
Trade well, live free.
Timon
(Financial trader since 2003)