Pullback
Crypto Bulls Awaken – Is This Just the Beginning?In the past 48 hours, the crypto market has brought joy to traders and investors who managed to buy near the bottom.
(Sorry to the cryptobros still holding floating losses—your time will come too! 😊)
Some of you might be thinking it's too late to ride this bull run. But if you zoom out and look at the bigger picture, there's still plenty of room for the bull to run.
Just switch to a higher timeframe like the weekly or monthly chart, and you'll see the potential upside.
One coin that looks particularly interesting is BINANCE:SUIUSDT .
There's been a pullback from 2.1829 - 1.7997, and it's supported by bullish divergence, suggesting a continuation of the impulsive move with 7.6108 as the first major target.
This bullish scenario remains valid as long as the price holds above 1.7174.
You might be wondering,
" So can I just buy/long BINANCE:SUIUSDT now? "
Not yet.
For a better entry and a more favorable risk-reward ratio, I suggest using the daily chart.
Wait for a pullback, then look for confirmation using candlestick patterns.
(I'll cover those patterns in my next post—stay tuned!)
Why This Bearish Trend Is Actually a Bullish Opportunity?Understanding the Multi Timeframe Analysis – Part 2 of 2
Alright from the prior post we talked about how the corrective move on the 4H timeframe turns out to be a bearish trend on the 1H chart. Now, let’s dive deeper into that 1-hour chart.
In this 1H chart, we can observe a trend shift from bullish to bearish.
Before the red arrow, we can clearly see a bullish structure:
Blue arrows continue to form higher lows, and
Orange arrows form higher highs (except one minor failure, which still maintains the bullish structure because price doesn’t break the previous low).
But everything changes after the red arrow:
Orange arrows fail to create new highs,
Blue arrows start forming lower lows,
→ confirming a bearish reversal on the 1H timeframe.
So… How Can We Use This Bearish Trend as a Bullish Opportunity?
Here's where it gets interesting — instead of seeing the bearish trend as a threat, we use it for better entry with an improved risk-reward ratio.
But here’s the catch – some conditions must be met:
Make sure the bigger timeframe (4H) still supports a bullish trend.
Wait for price to drop lower than the last blue arrow (prior low).
Look for bullish divergence + candlestick confirmation before entering.
Once you get the signal, you can place your stop loss below the confirmation candle to limit your risk.
What If Price Breaks the Orange Arrow (Prior High)?
If price invalidates the bearish structure by breaking the previous high, that means:
The 1H bearish trend is over.
The pullback on 4H timeframe is done.
And price is likely resuming the main bullish trend.
So, whether price goes lower or higher — you’re ready either way.
Alright, that’s my take on using multiple timeframes—hope it helps clear up any confusion you had! Let me know your thoughts in the comments. See you in the next post!
Sell BTC if below 83000We're still in a downtrend, and the prior low has been cleared, and in the pullback back we have a strong supply zone which has been tested 3 times! The 3rd time we have this little pattern, which will probably see a bearish breakout. If this happens, we can enter with the breakout and sell for 73000, which makes an R/R of 2. So if the support zone of 83000 is lost, it is a good time to sell.
FCPO 16 April 2025 - Palm Oil Daily Chart Analysis
Yesterday's candlestick closed as a bear bar in its lower half with a prominent tail below.
Currently, the market is a small bull inside bar trading near its high.
The bulls want a reversal from a wedge pattern (Mar 25, Apr 9, and Apr 15) and a small double bottom (Apr 9 and Apr 15)
They see yesterday's move simply as a retest of the April 9 low and want a reversal from a lower low major trend reversal.
They must create strong bull bars with follow-through buying to increase the odds of a TBTL (Ten Bars, Two Legs) pullback.
They want a retest of the 20-day EMA.
The bears want a retest of the January low.
They want a large second leg sideways to down with the first leg being the April 2 to April 9 low.
If the market trades higher, they want the April 10 high or the 20-day EMA to act as resistance, followed by a reversal from a double-top bear flag.
Exports for the first 15 days are up ITS: 16.95%, AmSpec: 13.55%.
Production is slowly picking up, but not in a big way yet.
Refineries' appetite to buy physical looks lukewarm with the recent sharp falling market.
The market remains Always In Short.
The recent selling has been climactic and slightly oversold.
Perhaps we may see a minor pullback towards the 20-day EMA or April 10 high area?
Let's monitor the buying/selling pressure and if the bulls can create strong follow-through buying tomorrow.
US500 Historical Rallies & Pullbacks with a Potential ProjectionI’ve observed the US500’s performance over the years, marking rallies with a blue line and pullbacks with a yellow line. Looking at the chart, a systematic repetition of these movements emerges, which, at first glance, seems to follow a recognizable pattern.
Specifically, I’ve cloned the blue line from the rally that started on 03/23/2020 and ended on 12/20/2021, now represented by a green line, to hypothesize a potential future rally. This clone is based on the duration of previous pullbacks:
The first pullback, before the 2020 rally, began on 02/20/2020 and ended on 03/23/2020.
The second pullback, the current one, started on 02/17/2025 and might conclude around 04/07/2025, potentially paving the way for a new rally.
the angle of those pullbacks is almost identic
This "snapshot" observation suggests we could be nearing a turning point. Of course, this is just a hypothesis based on historical patterns, and I encourage cross-referencing it with other indicators or analyses. What are your thoughts?
SPX500 24/3/2025 Sideways to up pullback phase
Last Friday's candlestick closed as a bull bar near its high. The market opened lower but lacked follow-through selling and traded sideways to up for the rest of the day.
In our last report, we said that traders would see if the bears could create a strong bear bar, or if the market would open lower but lack follow-through selling, like Thursday.
The bulls want the market to form a 2 legged sideways to up pullback.
The pullback currently has more bull bars vs bear bars with no follow-through selling. The bulls are stronger.
The next targets for the bulls are the 20-day EMA, 200-day EMA or the January 13 low.
The market has formed 3 pushes up (including today's gap up) with the first two legs being the Mar 17 and Mar 19 high.
If there is a pullback, the bulls want at least a small sideways to up leg to retest the current leg high (Mar 24).
The bears see any pullback as minor. They expect at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the Mar 13 low after the pullback phase.
The strong move down slightly favor the first pullback to be minor and not lead to a reversal up.
They were not able to create follow-through selling on Mar 18 and Mar 21.
They must create strong bear bars with follow-through selling to increase the odds of another leg down.
The prior climactic selloff and parabolic wedge increase the odds of a pullback which is underway.
Traders will see the strength of the pullback. If it is strong (consecutive bull bars closing near their highs), they may look for a retest of the 20-day and the breakout point - Jan 13 low.
If the pullback lacks follow-through buying (overlapping candlesticks, doji bars, bear bars, long tails above bars), the odds of another leg down AFTER the pullback phase increase.
For now, the buying pressure is stronger than the selling pressure (bear bars with no follow-through selling).
Odds slightly favor the market to still be in the sideways to up pullback phase.
Gold (XAU/USD) Pullback – Key Support Levels to Watch"📈 Chart Pattern:
Gold has been trading inside an ascending channel, showing a strong uptrend. However, the price has started to decline from resistance, signaling a potential correction.
🔹 Key Levels:
Current Price: $3,036.77
Support Target: $2,980.48 - $2,978.25 (First key support level)
Stronger Support: $2,829.63 (Major trendline support)
📊 Trading Plan:
Short-term traders may look for a sell setup toward $2,980 if the price continues its pullback.
Buyers should wait for support confirmation before entering long trades.
If price breaks below $2,980, the next support to watch is around $2,829.63.
⚠️ Risk Management:
A return above $3,050 could invalidate the bearish pullback scenario.
If the price bounces from support, buyers could target new highs.
💡 Conclusion:
Gold is currently experiencing a pullback after a strong uptrend. Watch key support zones for potential trade opportunities. 📉📊
When you're Dancing on the ceiling; Short then LongWe recently broke-out of a trading range, to the Upside. Short now for Temporary Profits, or, Wait for the price to follow the grey line I drew in illustrating the likely Anticipated move. Buy long, at-or-near the Pullback (top Dashed line).
Should go (up) Down Upppp!
For your added Confidence, i recommend Waiting for a Bullish Candle After the retest to Pullback Level; you Want to See a Green candle after touching that Dashed line.
SBUX | What's Next?SBUX has been on a tear lately. The screenshot I am including explains all of this as well; however, SBUX has seen a decline in value since being bouncing between the tight Support and Resistance levels. With all confluences taking into consideration - news, patterns, price action, and whatever else you can think of to make a case for a breakout beyond resistance or a reversal would be great towards helping me learn more!
Appreciate your time!
NASDAQ:SBUX
High Risk Play: ACHR Pullback to 9.50-9.75 Before EarningsCurrently holding 20 puts at 9.50 strike expiring 21-FEB-25.
I'm looking at capturing a decent pullback from 10.35 close on Friday to around 9.50-9.75 before 21-FEB due to retracement levels, strong support and resistant levels, and the two most recent catalysts:
1. Blackrock's entry announced on 11-FEB-25 at the 8.50 level. This was announced before earnings so as to not hamper the massive gains expected to come from the 27-FEB-25 report.
2. There is no announced reason as to why the underlying is rising to 10.35 before earnings. I think this is a pump before a general market pullback.
Overall I'm bullish on ACHR and will aim to enter $10 calls before 21-FEB-25 provided the underlying does what I am praying for :)
$INDEX:BTCUSD Death Cross Potential - 200 EMA test imminent INDEX:BTCUSD
BTC has been stagnant since the initial excitement over the political landscape got brought back to earth through the talk of steep tariffs by the US on imports from its main suppliers and trading partners. The DEEPSEEK bomb went off around the same time sending the big buyers to put a pause on accumulating crypto and we have seen the this translate into a very weary market.
And Now because of investor insecurity smart money is waiting for the price to fall to take advantage of the fear that we are witnessing the end of the cycle and 20k btc is around the corner. No Such luck, however we do get a nice DEATH CROSS on the daily looking like weekend price movement is bound to see selling pressure that will drive the 20 EMA below the 50 EMA which will see bearish results in price and pressure to trend downwards
Anyone reading my Posts knows that I've been eyeing the 200 EMA on the daily as a zone that we are bound to visit before the market can continue to increase and set higher highs. I've previously given my reasons why in previous posts ie. convergence, fvg, support. I believe this could be the pressure that will drive is into those mid to low 80k areas that seemed so far away a few weeks ago, low 70's are also in play if we can't hold the 200 EMA or the psychological 80k support . I believe that enough buyers are waiting down there for those fire sale prices that once we do hit the 200 EMA it will be paramount to assess market conditions before going full in on the bounce likely to take place around 84,500k the 200 EMA's relative area that ties into the liquidity in the FVG.
XCN is likely to pullback upwards of 40% in the short-term.XCN has been on an absolute tear as of late. Although price action has been incredibly bullish, it is very likely to pull back by upwards of 40% in the short term on the wave four count, reaching the bottom of the bullish wedge pattern before making a significant move to the upside. These bullish moves generally—but not always—comprise a five-wave count within these wedge patterns before making big upside moves, and XCN is currently at or near the top of wave three.
As with anything in trading, this isn't guaranteed, but it is probably more likely than continuing up and breaking out on the wave three count. Therefore, there may be an opportunity for lower-priced entries in the coming days or weeks.
Overall, I'm bullish on XCN, but this perspective is just something to consider.
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
JKCEMENT : Strong Bullish Momentum with Possible BreakoutJK Cement Ltd. (NSE: JKCEMENT) has recently demonstrated strong bullish momentum, marked by significant price movements and key technical indicators that point towards a potential breakout. Investors and traders are closely watching this stock for further upward movement, making it an attractive candidate for a swing trade.
Key Highlights:
Possible Breakout
The recent price action in JK Cement Ltd. suggests a possible breakout from a previous resistance zone. The stock has surged past the ₹4894.23 resistance level, indicating strong buying interest and the potential for continued upward movement. This breakout is a bullish signal that could pave the way for higher price targets.
Strong Bullish Candle
In the latest trading session, JK Cement Ltd. formed a strong bullish candle, closing with a substantial gain of ₹150.60 (+3.25%). This candle not only signifies significant buying pressure but also breaks above key resistance levels, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. The strength of this bullish candle is a clear indicator of strong upward momentum.
RSI Breakout
While the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is not explicitly shown in the chart, the overall price movement suggests a possible RSI breakout. An RSI breakout above the 70 level typically indicates overbought conditions, reflecting strong bullish momentum. Such a breakout often attracts additional buyers, pushing the stock price higher.
Possible Swing Trade
Given the current technical setup, JK Cement Ltd. presents a compelling opportunity for a swing trade. The combination of a possible breakout, a strong bullish candle, and a potential RSI breakout indicates a high probability of continued upward movement. Swing traders can consider entering a long position, targeting the next resistance levels at ₹4999.42 and ₹5157.63. It is also prudent to set a stop-loss below the recent support level at ₹4630.83 to manage risk.
Additional Chart Patterns and Readings
Double Bottom Pattern
Upon further analysis, the chart reveals a potential double bottom pattern formed around the 13th of January. This pattern is a bullish reversal signal, indicating that the downtrend may have ended and a new uptrend could be starting. The breakout above the resistance zone further confirms this bullish reversal, adding to the positive outlook for JK Cement Ltd.
Volume Analysis
The volume bars at the bottom of the chart highlight a significant increase in trading volume on the most recent day. This 5-day volume breakout, where the volume is significantly higher than the average over the past five days, adds credibility to the price movement. The 5X volume breakout indicates strong participation from traders and investors, further validating the bullish sentiment.
Conclusion
JK Cement Ltd. is exhibiting strong bullish signals, with key technical indicators pointing towards a potential breakout and continued upward movement. The strong bullish candle, possible RSI breakout, and significant volume increase make it an attractive candidate for a swing trade. Traders should monitor the stock closely and consider entering a long position while managing risk with appropriate stop-loss levels.
With the current market setup, JK Cement Ltd. is poised for further gains, making it a stock to watch in the coming days. 📈🚀