Pullback
SBUX | What's Next?SBUX has been on a tear lately. The screenshot I am including explains all of this as well; however, SBUX has seen a decline in value since being bouncing between the tight Support and Resistance levels. With all confluences taking into consideration - news, patterns, price action, and whatever else you can think of to make a case for a breakout beyond resistance or a reversal would be great towards helping me learn more!
Appreciate your time!
NASDAQ:SBUX
High Risk Play: ACHR Pullback to 9.50-9.75 Before EarningsCurrently holding 20 puts at 9.50 strike expiring 21-FEB-25.
I'm looking at capturing a decent pullback from 10.35 close on Friday to around 9.50-9.75 before 21-FEB due to retracement levels, strong support and resistant levels, and the two most recent catalysts:
1. Blackrock's entry announced on 11-FEB-25 at the 8.50 level. This was announced before earnings so as to not hamper the massive gains expected to come from the 27-FEB-25 report.
2. There is no announced reason as to why the underlying is rising to 10.35 before earnings. I think this is a pump before a general market pullback.
Overall I'm bullish on ACHR and will aim to enter $10 calls before 21-FEB-25 provided the underlying does what I am praying for :)
$INDEX:BTCUSD Death Cross Potential - 200 EMA test imminent INDEX:BTCUSD
BTC has been stagnant since the initial excitement over the political landscape got brought back to earth through the talk of steep tariffs by the US on imports from its main suppliers and trading partners. The DEEPSEEK bomb went off around the same time sending the big buyers to put a pause on accumulating crypto and we have seen the this translate into a very weary market.
And Now because of investor insecurity smart money is waiting for the price to fall to take advantage of the fear that we are witnessing the end of the cycle and 20k btc is around the corner. No Such luck, however we do get a nice DEATH CROSS on the daily looking like weekend price movement is bound to see selling pressure that will drive the 20 EMA below the 50 EMA which will see bearish results in price and pressure to trend downwards
Anyone reading my Posts knows that I've been eyeing the 200 EMA on the daily as a zone that we are bound to visit before the market can continue to increase and set higher highs. I've previously given my reasons why in previous posts ie. convergence, fvg, support. I believe this could be the pressure that will drive is into those mid to low 80k areas that seemed so far away a few weeks ago, low 70's are also in play if we can't hold the 200 EMA or the psychological 80k support . I believe that enough buyers are waiting down there for those fire sale prices that once we do hit the 200 EMA it will be paramount to assess market conditions before going full in on the bounce likely to take place around 84,500k the 200 EMA's relative area that ties into the liquidity in the FVG.
XCN is likely to pullback upwards of 40% in the short-term.XCN has been on an absolute tear as of late. Although price action has been incredibly bullish, it is very likely to pull back by upwards of 40% in the short term on the wave four count, reaching the bottom of the bullish wedge pattern before making a significant move to the upside. These bullish moves generally—but not always—comprise a five-wave count within these wedge patterns before making big upside moves, and XCN is currently at or near the top of wave three.
As with anything in trading, this isn't guaranteed, but it is probably more likely than continuing up and breaking out on the wave three count. Therefore, there may be an opportunity for lower-priced entries in the coming days or weeks.
Overall, I'm bullish on XCN, but this perspective is just something to consider.
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
When you're Dancing on the ceiling; Short then LongWe recently broke-out of a trading range, to the Upside. Short now for Temporary Profits, or, Wait for the price to follow the grey line I drew in illustrating the likely Anticipated move. Buy long, at-or-near the Pullback (top Dashed line).
Should go (up) Down Upppp!
For your added Confidence, i recommend Waiting for a Bullish Candle After the retest to Pullback Level; you Want to See a Green candle after touching that Dashed line.
JKCEMENT : Strong Bullish Momentum with Possible BreakoutJK Cement Ltd. (NSE: JKCEMENT) has recently demonstrated strong bullish momentum, marked by significant price movements and key technical indicators that point towards a potential breakout. Investors and traders are closely watching this stock for further upward movement, making it an attractive candidate for a swing trade.
Key Highlights:
Possible Breakout
The recent price action in JK Cement Ltd. suggests a possible breakout from a previous resistance zone. The stock has surged past the ₹4894.23 resistance level, indicating strong buying interest and the potential for continued upward movement. This breakout is a bullish signal that could pave the way for higher price targets.
Strong Bullish Candle
In the latest trading session, JK Cement Ltd. formed a strong bullish candle, closing with a substantial gain of ₹150.60 (+3.25%). This candle not only signifies significant buying pressure but also breaks above key resistance levels, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. The strength of this bullish candle is a clear indicator of strong upward momentum.
RSI Breakout
While the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is not explicitly shown in the chart, the overall price movement suggests a possible RSI breakout. An RSI breakout above the 70 level typically indicates overbought conditions, reflecting strong bullish momentum. Such a breakout often attracts additional buyers, pushing the stock price higher.
Possible Swing Trade
Given the current technical setup, JK Cement Ltd. presents a compelling opportunity for a swing trade. The combination of a possible breakout, a strong bullish candle, and a potential RSI breakout indicates a high probability of continued upward movement. Swing traders can consider entering a long position, targeting the next resistance levels at ₹4999.42 and ₹5157.63. It is also prudent to set a stop-loss below the recent support level at ₹4630.83 to manage risk.
Additional Chart Patterns and Readings
Double Bottom Pattern
Upon further analysis, the chart reveals a potential double bottom pattern formed around the 13th of January. This pattern is a bullish reversal signal, indicating that the downtrend may have ended and a new uptrend could be starting. The breakout above the resistance zone further confirms this bullish reversal, adding to the positive outlook for JK Cement Ltd.
Volume Analysis
The volume bars at the bottom of the chart highlight a significant increase in trading volume on the most recent day. This 5-day volume breakout, where the volume is significantly higher than the average over the past five days, adds credibility to the price movement. The 5X volume breakout indicates strong participation from traders and investors, further validating the bullish sentiment.
Conclusion
JK Cement Ltd. is exhibiting strong bullish signals, with key technical indicators pointing towards a potential breakout and continued upward movement. The strong bullish candle, possible RSI breakout, and significant volume increase make it an attractive candidate for a swing trade. Traders should monitor the stock closely and consider entering a long position while managing risk with appropriate stop-loss levels.
With the current market setup, JK Cement Ltd. is poised for further gains, making it a stock to watch in the coming days. 📈🚀
ZENSARTECH): Strong Bullish MomentumZensar Technologies Ltd. (NSE: ZENSARTECH) has recently demonstrated remarkable bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels and achieving a 52-week high. The stock price surged to ₹836.90, marking an impressive 11.58% increase in a single trading session. This breakout is particularly noteworthy as it is accompanied by a substantial spike in trading volume, indicating strong investor interest and confidence in the stock.
Key Highlights:
52-Week Breakout: The stock has achieved a 52-week breakout, surpassing the highest price level observed in the past year. This breakout is a positive signal for investors, suggesting potential for further price appreciation.
RSI Breakout: The significant price movement and volume spike suggest that the RSI (Relative Strength Index) has broken out of a previous range, indicating overbought conditions and strong bullish sentiment. Although the RSI is not explicitly shown in the chart, the overall market behavior supports this inference.
52-Week Volume Breakout: The volume data reveals a substantial increase on the most recent trading day, indicating a 52-week volume breakout. This surge in volume supports the bullish price action and suggests strong investor interest.
20-Day Volume Breakout: The recent volume spike also represents a 20-day volume breakout, as the trading volume on the most recent day is significantly higher than the average volume over the past 20 days.
20X Volume Breakout and Price Change: The chart shows a 20X volume breakout, with the most recent trading day's volume being 20 times higher than the average volume. This massive increase in volume is accompanied by a significant price change, underscoring the strong buying interest and bullish sentiment surrounding Zensar Technologies Ltd.
Technical Analysis Insights:
The chart shows strong bullish momentum as the stock price has broken above the previous resistance level of approximately ₹800. This breakout, accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume, indicates strong buying interest and confidence among investors.
The volume data at the bottom of the chart highlights a substantial increase on the most recent trading day, reaching 28.28 million shares. This volume spike is not only the highest in the past year but also represents a 20-day volume breakout, with the trading volume being significantly higher than the average over the past 20 days.
Conclusion:
Overall, Zensar Technologies Ltd. is exhibiting strong bullish momentum, with key technical indicators pointing towards further potential gains. Investors should closely monitor the stock for continued strength and potential opportunities for profit. The recent breakout above key resistance levels, combined with substantial volume increases, suggests that the stock could experience further price appreciation in the coming days.
For those interested in the stock market analysis and investment strategies, Zensar Technologies Ltd. presents an exciting opportunity to capitalize on the current bullish trend. Keep an eye on this stock as it continues to make waves in the market. 📈🚀
Technical Analysis of Bajaj Finserv (BAJAJFINSV): A Bullish BreOverview and Key Observations
Bajaj Finserv has recently shown signs of a bullish reversal after breaking out of a classic double bottom pattern, a strong indicator of upward momentum. The neckline at ₹1,680 was breached with significant volume, confirming the breakout. The current price of ₹1,735.20 positions the stock above this critical support, establishing a solid base for further upside. The pattern suggests a measured target of ₹1,800, aligning with intermediate resistance levels.
Support and Resistance Levels
The chart highlights the following critical levels for traders:
Support Levels:
₹1,693.73: Immediate support just below the current price, ideal for pullbacks.
₹1,652.27: Intermediate support aligning with prior consolidations.
₹1,630.13: A deeper demand zone marking the bottom of the previous accumulation phase.
Resistance Levels:
₹1,757.33: The immediate resistance that needs to be breached for continued upside.
₹1,779.47: A key resistance level and the target based on the double bottom pattern height.
₹1,820.93: A stronger resistance and the next major target for the stock.
The stock currently faces resistance near ₹1,757.33, and a breakout above this level with strong volume could open the doors for a rally toward ₹1,779.47 and ₹1,820.93.
Volume and Momentum
The breakout candle exhibited a notable surge in volume, validating the reliability of the bullish move. However, subsequent candles show declining volume, suggesting mild consolidation near resistance. Momentum indicators such as the RSI and MACD need to be monitored for confirmation of continued strength. If RSI remains below 70, there is room for further upward movement.
Trading Strategies
For swing traders, entering long positions near ₹1,700–₹1,720 on pullbacks or above ₹1,757 after a breakout offers good opportunities. A stoploss at ₹1,669, below Support 1, ensures risk is minimized. Targets include ₹1,757.33, ₹1,779.47, and ₹1,820.93. For shortterm traders, a failure to sustain above ₹1,680 could indicate weakness, with downside targets of ₹1,652.27 and ₹1,630.13.
Summary and Outlook
Bajaj Finserv is exhibiting strong bullish momentum backed by technical patterns and volume. The immediate focus is on clearing the resistance at ₹1,757.33 to confirm further upside toward ₹1,779.47 and ₹1,820.93. Traders should remain cautious of a potential retest of the ₹1,680 support zone, which would act as a critical level for invalidating the bullish setup. With strong risk management and a focus on key levels, this setup offers a promising opportunity for both shortterm and longterm gains.
Short re-test and "Buy re-test" signals allow to trade the trendI am a huge fan of buying pullbacks in an uptrending market and shorting pullback in a down trending markets. This is why I always try to code algos that look for those continuation setups.
That Impulse Master Indicator haunts for those buyable and shortable setups
Exide Industries out of consolidation and ready to take off.After a period of consolidation 📉, Exide Industries seems to be building a solid base and is showing signs of renewed bullish momentum 📈. Recently, it also bounced from its 200 EMA, which is an important reversal signal 📊, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment. The consolidation phase likely allowed the market to absorb earlier gains, setting the stock up for its next upward move 🚀. Investors might see this as a prime time to enter, with the potential for continued growth looking promising based on current technical indicators 🔍.
View invalidates below 400 on daily close.
Disclaimer: All ideas are my personal views and not financial advise. I do not have any Telegram channel nor do I sell any courses.
How far ETH will pull back? Potential Future PathIn this chart, all bull trends are in green and bear trends in red, the the longer/ more tested, the stronger the line.
-The dark red line in the bottom corner was a descending trend we had since over a year ago
-We broke out and established a strong ascending trendline and an ascending channel that was about 15 degrees lower slope. And actually at the same time it confirmed the upward channel, it started the downward channel, recently confirmed.
-The other battle here is we lost that strong dark dark green ascending support line and then we came back up and took it back, got rejected and then tried numerous more times to break it before giving up and losing ground.
* Once again we will need to decide which channel we want to maintain, the ascending green channel or the newly formed descending red channel
* I drew some lines of what seems Potential Future Paths, based on my interpretation of the current chart
*Each set of eyes are where you want to be paying attention should we make it to this area.
Roughly this chart infers.
Possible downside
ETH: $3650-$3550 | bullish | If we maintain this green Ascending channel
ETH: ~$3450 | Possible short term bear
Possible Upside:
Look for resistance around $3950 after testing channel bottom.
-------------------------------------
Orderbooks:
Currently orderbooks are strong but we did have the first significant dip in trader confidence we have had in a long minute with the recent sharp pullback but asks are back up to a very stable level. A recent uptick in in bids at 100% DOM, infers traders think there is some more pullback possible though this could be short lived. This is per coinmarketflow, using the new TV charts on ETH.
-------------------------------------
Longer Term:
Note, that is 1 hour candles, here is the same chart with 1d candles:
* Notice we are in a looong term ascending trend and we still have a ways before we test our theoretical top of channel but also there is a lot of room for this to fall, ETH could fall to $2500 in the next days to months and it would still be in an overall longterm ascending pattern with numerous proofs of support over the years.
This is my research based on trend analysis and orderbooks. You should always do your own research, maybe my research will help add to your own and work out as a win.
NQ Futures Update: Warning Signs Flashinghe Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ) is exhibiting several concerning signs that suggest a potential downturn could be on the horizon. Traders should exercise caution and be prepared for a possible wave of selling pressure.
Resistance Rejection: The NQ has recently encountered strong resistance. Multiple failed attempts to break above this key level could signal that sellers are gaining control.
Breakdown Below Support: A break below the red box support level could trigger a further decline. This would likely be accompanied by an increase in selling volume and negative sentiment.
Rising Volatility: An increase in implied volatility, as reflected in the VIX index, suggests growing uncertainty and fear in the market, which could precede a broader market sell-off.
Potential Downside Targets
If the bearish scenario unfolds, the NQ could potentially drop to the displayed support levels
While the NQ is showing signs of weakness, it's important to remember that markets can be unpredictable. A sudden shift in sentiment or unexpected news could quickly change the outlook. Traders should closely monitor price action, manage risk effectively, and be prepared for volatility in the near term.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/6/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21458.50
- PR Low: 21424.75
- NZ Spread: 75.25
Key scheduled economic events
08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings
- Nonfarm Payrolls
- Unemployment Rate
AMP raised margin requirements overnight for pre-RTH jobs numbers
- ATH continue to march higher
- Retraced nearly 50% of Wednesday range
Session Open Stats (As of 1:45 AM 12/6)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 267.49
- Volume: 21K
- Open Int: 291K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096 (updated)
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
BTC December Monthly Open For the last 6 months straight, BTC has pulled back on the monthly open and each time price has recovered and pushed higher. We are currently seeing the first half of that with a rejection off $98,000 so the question is, where does it stop?
The first place of interest is ~$93,500, a bullish orderblock with a strong candle following it. In a Bullrun these areas are expected to give a reaction and so that's my first place of interest.
A deeper pullback would take us the the 4H local low, a bounce here would establish a mini-range/ accumulation zone. Now that would make sense as a base is built to target the big even $100K, after such a strong rally a cool-off and reset of indicators would be beneficial, liquidating late longs would be a bonus (if you're not on the wrong side). This level also co-insides with the 4H 200 EMA, typically in a bullmarket this level holds well and caps off correctional phases. The RSI will then also be near/in the oversold zone as further confluence.
The HTF level that most are interested in is ~$84,000, A clear FVG level. This would be a loss of the 4H 200 EMA and definitely in the RSI oversold zone. We know that there is still a massive demand for BTC on an institutional level, ETFs and retail so pullbacks should be bought up in time, the question is when and where. A fill of this area would be more bullish in the long run as the FVG won't need to be filled later, meaning the potential severity of a crash or pullback in the future won't be as much.
Short term trading : Be carreful of this candlestick config !!!You can acknowledge with me the absolutely astonishing XRP perf but when it's too nice to be true, a pull back does occur at some point. Please consider this not as a financial advice but educational content
Take care _
Do sport _
Take profit _