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Pullback

Current Pull-Back: A Perspective Using NASDAQ 100 WeeklyCME_MINI:NQ1! has had the sharpest pullback in last couple of weeks. The Semiconductor Industry NASDAQ:SOXX has been the largest driver in this selloffs. In this Trend Analysis, I tried to draw a perspective as to how deep this pullback could be given Support and Resistance areas that stood the test of time in recent years. I used Weekly chart to gain a broader perspective of where the index will end up in coming months. It is easy to establish that the TOP of the Current Rally (~16,100), i.e., the Resistance has been determined by the Start of the Recent Bear Market in 2022. Which technically started with the collapse of the Post Pandemic Rally in early January, 2022. This is the most important Control Level that the current market needs to break for a further rally in the future. The Bear Market in 2022 was strictly bound by the Wedge Resistance as we can see. The same phenomenon can also be shown by simply drawing an Anchored VWAP from the All Time High. Throughout the course of the Bear Trend CME_MINI:NQ1! could not break above the AVWAP. After the market established a bottom between October and December of 2022, it finally broke above the Wedge in the last week of January, 2023. We can call this the beginning of the current Bull Market. NASDAQ eventually broke the AVWAP in the last week of March 2023 to further confirm the Bull Trend. The AVWAP has worked as a Support Level since then until the market boosted up in May. Now coming back to the Current Pull-back, It is not hard to identify that there is a possible Support Area at the bottom of the range (~14,775) which the Current Bull Trend has established. If this Support Level is held then the projected size of the pullback from the top will be approximately 8.0 %. Current price action has confirmed a breach of the Short Term EMA cloud in the Weekly chart. In the Daily chart it came down below the 50 day Moving Average which indicates Short Term bearish tendency. If CME_MINI:NQ1! doesn't take support at the Range Bottom, then we could think of the Long Term EMA cloud as secondary Support Area. The next Support Area could be the AVWAP from ATH. For now, there is no reason to believe that there will be a lingering pull-back in the market going forward to start another Bear Market. Our best "hope" is that the market will take support and continue the Bull Trend in coming months. Please note that historically, in Pre-election years, August and September had been the most bearish months. This write-up is solely based on Technical and Trend Analysis to figure out the best case scenario. Thanks for Reading!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Trading-Economist
6
Here's my line. When pullback bottom is confirmed, re-enter.Traders, It's been a few weeks since I have done a video update. Hopefully, you all have been following my non-video posts too. I have been making regular posts in attempts to keep you all up to speed on the latest market price action. In this video, I will show you the line that caused me to sell. This does not mean I have now gone bearish on the market. On the contrary, I am still overall bullish longer term. However, the market is definitely experiencing a bit of a pullback here due to some new inflation data causing more uncertainty. Once this pullback has confirmed a bottom, I will once again look to re-enter my longs. I will show you some of the levels I am targeting on Bitcoin, Litecoin, and Ripple near the end of the video. Best, Stew
AMEX:SPY
by stewdamus
6
SPY with a Classic RestestTraders, In my last post I alluded to SPY. I stated that it remained in breakout territory which is still true today. I stated that as long as we remain above 450, I remain bullish. Still true. In fact, all that has happened here is that we have a classic retest of previous resistance taking place currently. If we break below, another story may unfold and I will have to re-assess. But as of this post, 450 is holding strong and the retest (if it holds) is yet another rather bullish signal. Stay tuned, Stew
AMEX:SPYLong
by stewdamus
1
GBP/AUDFast intraday search through my watchlist. You can follow the price with candle confirmation or whatever strategy you have. None of these are 100 %, complete confident analyses.. this market is all about probability .. so try to work on your risk management and self-control.. all the traders in the world can tell for sure what's going to happen or where the price is going in the next 1 hour. Ps. Leave your comment and thoughts. I posted this position a couple of days ago .. still valid.
Short
by Cryptosours
2
GBP/AUDFor this week, I'm looking at GBP/USD for opportunities to enter sell positions, as I showed on the chart .. 
the price has been moving in a trading range ( NOT A CLEAN ONE) for some time now. We have a resistance zone where the price had been rejected a couple of times .. last week, the price broke the resistance for 10 hours max but came back to our range with a big black candle and also made a pullback to our highlighted zone .. in lower time frames; if the price breaks the 15 min low then there's a good chance were you can follow it to the cluster made by a dynamic trend line and the last low in 4h time frame. Please Tell me what you think about this. Leave your comment and thoughts.
Short
by Cryptosours