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Natural Gas: The supply-demand dynamic is at a critical stageDeutsche Bank reported that in a particularly critical phase is the supply-demand dynamics regarding natural gas towards the winter season, which the behavior of households will be decisive in the coming months, as their consumption represents a large percentage of total consumption. A supply failure is likely to be avoided at least as the scenarios confirm that a 20% YoY reduction in consumption this winter (and flat annual demand thereafter) is likely to lead to some shortages either early in 2023 or the winter of 2023/24. The reduction in Germany remains at 40%, while if demand falls by only 10% YoY stocks will not be exhausted even in such a scenario. For certain, fill levels would fall below 10% in late winter 2022/23, but this would not put energy security in doubt until 2024. The European Commission is working on proposals to limit prices. While negotiating with reliable suppliers, for instance, Norway, and strengthening common markets seem to be the Commission’s preferred options, the idea of ​​a (temporary) price cap on imported natural gas is gaining ground. The greater the potential for the implementation of a cap the lower the success of the implementation of the first two measures. Such an implementation could lead to increase supply risks, depending on the design of such an import price cap which would accompany the mandatory demand reduction. From an Elliot wave perspective, we will examine the Natural Gas chart to see its potential move in the short to mid-term. Looking at the weekly chart, natural gas made an impulsive five-wave rally from the lows, which suggests that low is in place and we can expect a bigger recovery. However, in Elliott waves, after every five-wave rise we can expect a slow down in three waves, so we are tracking now an (A)-(B)-(C) correction before the uptrend resumes. First support is around 5.3 level, while second support would be around 3.5 level. All the best! If you like what we do, then please like and share our idea. Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
NYMEX:NG1!
by ew-forecast
1
USDCAD Is Looking Higher Within A Five-Wave ImpulseUSDCAD is breaking higher, now making some extended upward move which is acting like an impulse because of an extended and sharp move up from 1.3. As such, we think this can be impulse wave 3 where pair can slow down for a corrective pullback into wave four. Ideally that upcoming wave four will then stop and stabilize at the upper line of a base channel. Trade well! If you like what we do, then please like and share our idea. Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
by ew-forecast
EURUSD H1 analysis Like we said yesterday, the downtrend on EURUSD is still valid and the best trading opportunities will appear as soon as price confirms another downside push. However, it is still early to enter short and expect to see a breakout of the previous low. We are now waiting for the pullback to continue and trick us a few more times. That's why we should reduce the amount of trades and position size before we see a clear setup. We could potentially see a drop to around 0,9750 and then another push higher maybe taking price above the parity level.
by ForexTrendline
3
⭕️BUY GOLD at the best place and time 😉 ❗️🔰You can see gold analysis in 15 minutes time frame (XAUUSD_ 15min)💣🔍 💥Due to the breaking of the Downward trend line🖤 by the price, we can expect the price to rise when the price pullback❗ to the Downward trend line🖤 in the overlapping area of the Downward trend line🖤 and Support🧡 until the SUPPLY zone🔺🚀 Do you think this analysis can be profitable❓ I hope the analysis was useful for you🤍🌹 📌Please introduce the channel to your friends 🙏🏻 __________📈TRADER STREET📉___________
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TRADER_STREET
EURUSD Big Picture Pullback into Continuation ShortsEURUSD made a push to the mid 0.9530s during Asian Session (Sept 28,2022), recovering nicely again to just below previous NY Lows of 0.9580s during London. At this time the 1H Timeframe was in a beautiful downtrend but giving Price Action signals of a possible break. From a Big Picture point of view, I wanted to see price make a recovery and break again above the 0.9600 (this has just been done during the NY Session (Sept 29). We have a clear break in structure from 1H down, and I am currently waiting on a Pullback to enter on a Long Position and ride the higher timeframe pullback as shown. Possible Entries: 0.9600 0.9573 Stops between 10-15 pips below these entries Targets: Target 1: 0.9750 Target 2: 0.9825 Note: this is not trading advice and/or signals, do your own analysis and manage your risk accordingly. Would love to hear your feedback. Best of luck in your trading.
Long
by adapenafigueroa
4