Showcase: A quick trade on e-mini Dow Jones (YM, 25 July 2022)I recorded the video abit late:
There was a nice pullback formation earlier and if you look on the left side of the chart, you can see the price was on downtrend before it made a reversal with high vol. (indicated in the video as SO, which is actually an SP based on the bar characteristics).
I did set my EP at 31282 but the price volatility caught me off guard and I emotionally entered on market price. Eventually price went down to capture my earlier EP level before continue moving upwards.
We managed to exit with 25pts profit for holding of less than 10mins. This shows that having a proper background and entry on Pullback would yield a good return; bear in mind that in Futures, you need to enter in and out quickly.
Pullback
Next move on EURUSD pending This week we're about to see the FED Interest Rate decision.
This will most likely cause some moves and bring some trading opportunities.
On EURUSD we could expect that to push price above 1,0278 and take it up to our sell zone.
That's where we will look for possible short positions.
The target will then be a breakout below 1,0000!
Summer BTC Movement Scenarios (End of Summer Rally ?)Hello everyone,
I would like to share with the community my first analysis ever. First thing first I am in the process of learning, so all the feedbacks are more than welcome.
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Let's start,
I have been watching BTC movement very closely more than ever this bear cycle. Even more so as we are more likely to enter a recession cycle within the next 12 months. Not to mention the disastrous world economic situation resulting in the spiking inflation rates, the devaluation of USD and the worst of all: Oil crisis.
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July 13
After BTC started its rally to "summer moon," a sudden reversal in trend formed a wedge on the Jul 20 by a reversal in trend caused by Elon Musk's BTC announcement (short).
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Jul 22
BTC price started to show premature signs of what seemed to be a regular range movement upward to retest the wedge resistance (yellow) in a natural accumulation pattern to break upward (as the wedge initially formed in an already developed up trend).
But things didn't not go as expected.
The first red flag was that when retesting the support, the price started consolidating longer than usual near the support area then quickly rested the closest resistance before reversion as quickly downward to retest the same support again.
In other words, the consolidation happened suddenly for an unusual length of time (breaking the ranging pattern). All this, oddly near the support area.
It seems to me like a failed bull trap (as buyers did not bite in) - Let me know what you guys think ?
Next thing you know the BIG DUMP (breakdown) that we all witnessed a few hours ago.
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To conclude this mini crash broke this short term rally as you can see on the chart I shared. Will it rally ? Will it pull back and bring us to the price levels before July 13th ?
All in all, The next days will tell us for sure.
The 2 decisive Macro factors will be:
1) Retail sentiment / Adaptation to this breakdown or upcoming breakdowns if there will be.
2) Big NEWS / Breaking News. Bullish or Bearish.
As per my TA:
I foresee that we will be pulling back one way of another towards the 21.6K in the short-term. Retesting the 19K resistance in the mid-term.
Thank you for your time.
Please leave a comment, any kind of support will be appreciated !
Your Truly :)
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DISCLAIMER: THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE.
These are just my own analysis and ideas about the current market.
I am not a professional financial advisor.
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EURUSD after ECB Yesterday we saw temporary rise in the EUR due to the higher interest rates.
Next week is FED's turn!
It looks like the market will wait for that event as well to create a clear direction.
Right now, we shouldn't be selling but we're actually expecting a continuation up.
Once we see a breakout below 1,0150, then we can start considering short positions.
Atom at crucial resistance. What to do!?Atom is approaching the 1st crucial resistance zone between $11.19 - 12.50 and a pullback is likely to occur there.
The next important resistance located near $17.30
To go long wait the pullback or the flip of $11.19 - 12.50 zone, so you have greater probabilities for profit.
The rise on EURUSD has not finished yet The pullback on EURUSD continues and it's now moving towards 1,0360 where we may also see higher values than that.
Tomorrow the ECB will announce the interest rate and this will be a suitable moment to see price at our expected levels.
We will be selling this pair only after a confirmation!
The pullback on EURUSD continues Yesterday, we saw reaction at 1,0200 followed by rejection.
It looks like this pullback will have enough strength to continue around 1,0360 which is the 61,8 Fibonacci level on the last move.
Once we see the market trading around those levels, we will look for further sell positions.
Don't forget about the ECB interest rate decision that comes out on Thursday. That will most likely cause some extra volatility on EURUSD!
EUR ATTEMPTS TO RECOVERLast week EUR pairs experienced strong bearish pressure dropping to respective strong support levels.
Eurjpy has played out a double bottom pattern and RSI bullish divergence on the support level suggesting a pullback is about to happen.
EURUSD bounced on the support level and printed a rejection candle on the daily timeframe.
EURAUD displays similar dynamics attempting to pullback.
All these suggests the EUR might make recovery attempts in the coming week.
Look out for entries on lower timeframes with proper risk management.
Pullback buy on JKSTook a long position on JKS based on following basis: strong close (top of the range) on Friday bounce from 50SMA 50 i 200SMAs show uptrend. The entry was after the break of Friday's high. We will see how it holds. I will not have a problem to sell is it turns around on me. I am still not sure of this market.
Is it time for a correction on EURUSD?We're going to see interest rates by the ECB this week.
This may lead to more volatility in EURUSD and a deeper correction.
We're expecting to reach 38,2 of the last decline which is at 1.0204 level.
Once the market reaches these levels we're be looking for reversal signals and new sell opportunities.
Is that the bottom on EURUSD?The main questions that we get right now are if that's the bottom and are we going to see a reversal.
The downtrend is really strong and we're expecting to see a breakout of the 1,0000 level.
Right now, we're in a pullback and we would expect to have more selling opportunities once it ends.
Such opportunities would be if price manages to push higher to around 1,0150 and it then reverses.
The targets will be again a retest of the lows and also a possible breakout.
Therefore, the trend is still valid and we should see a new lower low!
Is it time for a pullback on EURUSD?Like we said yesterday, the strong psychological number of 1,000 is suitable for a possible pullback.
As of right now, it hasn't gained momentum yet and it's still possible to see a further push down and price trying to break below the parity level.
In case of price bouncing back up, we could wait for 1,0150 and then look to enter short again!
Larsen & toubro infotech ( can break either)1 week frame shows it has reached the support level and near to the oversold zone. Just for information purpose
Parity price on EURUSDThis morning EURUSD was a few pips away from its parity price.
The downtrend is still strong and we will be looking for levels below 1,0000.
This strong psychological number will most likely cause a pullback due to profit taking and stop loss hunting.
If this happens then it will look even better for short positions.
We're not looking to buy the EUR here on this pair!
Once we have a pullback, that's when we will be looking to sell again!
The downtrend on EURUSD continues On Friday we had a downtrend continuation and a new low.
We will be looking to sell again, as soon as price gets around 1,0200 and it then reverses.
The candle wicks will give us a good entry signal.
We're expecting to see a retest of the low and a breakout as well.